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    Business Valuation Associationof Chicago

    Developments in the Valuation of

    Healthcare Service Businesses

    Presented by:

    ROBERT JAMES CIMASI, CBCPresident

    HEALTH CAPITAL CONSULTANTS10420 Old Olive Street Road, Suite 200

    St. Louis, Missouri 63141-5938(800) FYI-VALU

    www.healthcapital.com

    March 23, 2000 Chicago, Illinois

    .

    Robert James Cimasi, CBC

    This presentation addresses information and developments in the admittedlybroad and rapidly changing area of business valuation as it relates to healthcare

    professional practices. Neither the presenter nor the sponsor intend this

    presentation to render any legal or accounting advice, but rather to provide

    general information and sources. Neither the presenter nor the sponsor assume

    any liability with respect to the use of information contained in this presentation.

    For le al or accountin advice individuals and their irms are ur ed to consult

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    Table of Contents

    I. INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................1

    A.Do You Know What the Trends and Developments Are in the Healthcare Industry?........1B.Importance of a Professional Valuation...............................................................................2

    II. OVERVIEW OF MAJOR HEALTHCARE VALUATION CONCEPTS &CHALLENGES..................................................................................................................4

    A.Healthcare Valuation Context .............................................................................................4B.

    Basic Healthcare Valuation Tenets .....................................................................................4

    C.Reliance on Historical Data ................................................................................................6D.Value as Incremental Benefit ...........................................................................................8E.Scope & Nature of Valuation Engagements are Changing-Aspects to Consider .............11F.The Range of Services for Healthcare Valuation Reports.................................................13

    III. INDUSTRY BACKGROUND ISSUES..........................................................................14

    A.The Shifting Universe of Healthcare Delivery ..................................................................14B.Trends in Physician Supply, Workplace and Specialization .............................................17C.Changes in the Professional Practice Competitive Environment .....................................21D.Reimbursement Issues and the Transition to Capitation ..................................................27

    IV. THE RISE OF EMERGING HEALTHCARE ORGANIZATIONS (EHOS)...........34

    A.Types of EHOs...................................................................................................................37B.Challenges to the Valuation of Emerging Healthcare Organizations (EHOs)...................49

    V. TRENDS IN HEALTHCARE TRANSACTIONS........................................................51

    A.Physician to Physician Transactions .................................................................................51B.Physician Practice Management Company (PPMC) Transactions ...................................51

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    Table of Contents (continued)

    C.Hospital Transactions .......................................................................................................55D.Cost Containment-Regulatory Agenda is Changing the Market Terms and Structure of

    Healthcare Transactions ..................................................................................................55

    APPENDICES:

    General Research Sources and Information:

    A. Selected Healthcare Articles Bibliography

    B. Emerging Healthcare Organizations Articles Bibliography

    C. Valuation Books

    D. Glossary of Healthcare Terms

    E. Additional Sources of Information

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    1

    I. INTRODUCTION

    With the rise of managed care over the last decade, the healthcare provider environment has

    experienced significant and often chaotic transactional activity. Physician integration /

    affiliation arrangements, practice and other healthcare entity acquisitions and mergers, and

    industry-wide provider roll-ups and consolidations as well as other creative equity sharing

    integration activities have often been seen as the key to the capital formation strategies

    necessary for developing integrated delivery systems that can compete in the highly

    competitive managed care environment of the 90s. More recently, some of these integration,

    consolidation, and provider entity roll-ups have experienced divestiture and dissolution in

    recognition of the failed expectation of capital markets as well as a lack of understanding as

    to the difficulty of managing physicians. In either scenario, i.e. consolidation or divestiture,

    the valuation of these healthcare provider entities is at the core of each of these transactional

    activities.

    A. Do You Know What the Trends and Developments Are in the Healthcare

    Industry?

    Questions to ask!

    1. Do you stay informed about the almost daily changes in the industry; thevarious specialties; payment reform and reimbursement trends; the

    payer/delivery system mix; costs; emerging healthcare organizations; and

    regulatory & enforcement issues related to the health care professional

    practice market in general and your practice service area in particular?

    Do you have access to a research department that subscribes tohealthcare industry newsletters, journals, and health law & policy

    reporters?

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    Do you stay in touch with healthcare associations, medicalsocieties, practice brokers, managed care and hospital/system players?

    Do you attend conferences, symposiums, workshops, andhealthcare industry seminars?

    2. Do you demonstrate requisite skills and consistent effort to make all

    appropriate adjustments to the subject practice earnings stream,

    professional owner compensation as well as risk adjustments to discount

    and capitalization rates?

    3. Do you perform regular reviews and reassessments of all reports to insure

    compliance with healthcare regulatory and legal constraints and

    requirements?

    B. Importance of a Professional Valuation

    Professional valuations serve a number of important functions for both owners, other

    interested or related parties, and potential buyers. For potential transactions, these

    include the disclosure of facts, preemption of objections, and establishment of an asking

    price. However, one of the most important of these functions may be to avoid potential

    legal issues related to Fraud & Abuse laws as described below.

    Fraud & Abuse Issues and Endangerment of Charitable Tax Status. A non-profit,

    charitable organization (e.g., hospital, foundation) may have its tax exempt status

    revoked if it pays more than fair-market value for a medical practice. Internal Revenue

    Code (IRC) Section 501(c)(3) tax-exempt organizations must be organized and operated

    exclusively for charitable, religious or educational purposes. The tax law contains

    prohibitions against private inurement and private benefit for tax-exempt entities. Under

    this rule, certain insiders of a tax-exempt entity, including directors/trustees, officers and

    certain physicians, may not engage in a non-fair-market-value transaction with the tax-

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    exempt entity. If the entity allows such inurement and the private benefit conferred on an

    individual is not merely incidental to the exempt activities of the organization, the

    organization may have its exempt status revoked by the IRS. On December 22, 1992, aletter from D. McCarty Thornton, Associate General Counsel of OIG of the Department

    of Health and Human Services was sent in response to an IRS inquiry regarding kickback

    concerns related to an acquisition involving a charitable 501(c)(3) buyer. Mr. Thornton

    stated that that any amounts paid to physicians in excess of Fair Market Value of the

    practice's hard assets is suspect and could be considered improper inducement for

    referrals. It is critical for both the buyer and seller of a medical practice to be assured

    that the appraiser is aware of the regulatory issues that govern healthcare business

    transactions. Otherwise, both parties may be at risk.

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    II. OVERVIEW OF MAJOR HEALTHCARE VALUATION CONCEPTS &

    CHALLENGES

    A. Healthcare Valuation Context

    1. The "IRV" pyramid - The process related to the financial valuation of

    professional practices can generally be discussed within the context of two

    (2) determinants: (See Exhibit I)

    a. "I" = The determination of the appropriate

    Income/Earnings/Benefit Stream for the subject practice.

    b. "R" = The development and selection of the appropriate risk

    adjusted discount rate/cap rate/multiple to apply to the income

    stream selected.

    2. Therefore, items that are related to each determinant, such as the rapidlychanging reimbursement and regulatory environment, are important to the

    appraisal process.

    B. Basic Healthcare Valuation Tenets

    1. The importance to the practice valuation process of a thorough knowledgeof both the current status of the healthcare industry and practice

    marketplace, and the future trends of each is illustrated by the following

    basic tenets of practice valuation:

    a. Value is forward looking.

    b. All value is the expectation of future benefit.

    c. The best indicator of future performance is usually the

    performance of the immediate past.

    d. Historical accounting and other data are useful primarily as a

    road map to the future.

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    Exhibit I

    I

    R V

    Income/Earnings/Benefit Stream as defined by appraiser & appropriate to

    Risk Adjusted Discount Rate/Cap Rate/Multiple risk adjusted and applica

    income stream

    V A L U E

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    2. In light of these basic valuation tenets, the historical performance of asubject practice under the traditional provider delivery system may not be

    a valid indicator of its future performance within the context of areimbursement and regulatory environment driven by cost containment,

    managed care, and capitation.

    C. Reliance on Historical Data

    1. Traditional professional practice valuation methodologies have relied

    upon the analysis of historical accounting and other data as predictive of

    future performance and value. The current turbulent status of the

    healthcare industry has introduced intravening events and circumstances

    that may have a dramatic effect on the revenue or benefit stream of the

    subject practice, i.e. the "road map of historical performance" becomes

    less predictive of future performance. An example of events that may

    change the prediction of future performance is set forth on Exhibit II.

    2. The Total Net Revenues/Practitioner Benefit Stream of the subject

    practice, as derived from historical data, must be adjusted to reflect the

    most accurate and appropriate information available on the "as of date" to

    arrive at an estimate of the "normalized earnings" for the practice. These

    adjustments might include:

    a. Actual or expected increase/decrease(s) in fees and reimbursementfor services by regulation or competitive market pressures.

    b. Projected increase/decrease(s) in practice operating expenses &non-provider compensation related costs based on new practice

    operating parameters and market realities.

    3. Expectations of the future stability and growth of revenue streams andearnings are difficult to predict and sustain within the context of a chaotic

    healthcare industry and practice market place.

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    EXHIBIT II

    RELIANCE ON HISTORICAL

    Q: HOW USEFUL IS PAST IN DETER

    AS OF DATEPAST

    (5) (4) (3) (2) (1) (1) (2)

    Relatively stable Regulatory and

    Reimbursement Environment

    Traditional fee for service Provider Delivery System

    Price to Earnings

    Reimbursementincreased for

    Primary CareProviders(PCP)

    Managed capanel shuts practice -takes patien

    PCPs seefewer

    patients wihigher Grow/ capitatio

    Reimbursementslashed forspecialists

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    D. Value as "Incremental Benefit" (See Exhibit III)

    1. The economic "Principle of Substitution" states that the cost of an equallydesirable substitute, or one of equivalent utility, tends to set the ceiling of

    value, i.e. it is the maximum that a knowledgeable buyer would be willing

    to pay for a given asset or property. As applied to the professional

    practice appraisal process, this concept is embodied and exemplified in

    the "discounted future benefits" method that recognizes that the Fair

    Market Value of a professional practice is the aggregate present value of

    the total of all future benefits from the subject practice, in excess of the

    level of benefits that may be projected to accrue from a hypothetical start-

    up practice of the same specialty, setting, format, and location

    ("Incremental Benefit"). The challenge for the professional practice

    appraiser is to arrive at a determination of the present value of this

    "Incremental Benefit" within the context of an industry undergoing a "sea-

    change" of massively shifting markets, cost structures, and provider

    expectations.

    2. Determination of hypothetical start-up scenario has become more

    complex.

    a. The appraiser's determination of the level of benefits derived froma "blended alternative scenario" (a concept which incorporates

    the estimated net benefits from a hypothetical start-up of a practice

    of the same specialty, setting, format and location, and the

    alternative compensation available to the practitioner in the

    physician manpower marketplace) must rely on historical data

    which is subject to the vagaries of industry changes discussed

    above.

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    b. The "equally desirable substitute" for professional practitionersthat is required by the "principle of substitution" is more difficultto hypothecate or project at a time when historical trends and

    assumptions are often no longer deemed valid by prospective

    purchasers.

    3. Hypothetical Start-up Earnings are subject to similar uncertainties.

    a. It is difficult to gauge the depth of the Professional Practice

    Marketplace's perception that the probability of success for

    practice start-ups has been diminished by reimbursement and

    regulatory pressures.

    b. Data related to the costs and earnings of practice start-ups is scarce

    and problematic at best.

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    EXHIBIT III

    VALUE AS INCREMENTAL BENEFIT

    INCREMENTAL BENEFIT

    (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

    HYPOTHETCAL

    STARTUP

    THE TOTAL INCREMEBE SAID TO REPRESENOBTAINING AN EQUALSUBSTITUTE TO THE EPRACTICE, i.e. REPLICSTARTUP.

    ESTABLISHED, ONGOINGSUBJECT PRACTICE

    NUMBER OF YEARS REQUIRED TO REPLICATEESTABLISHED PRACTICE FROM STARTUP

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    E. Scope & Nature of Valuation Engagements are Changing - Aspects to

    Consider

    1. The consolidation and integration of practices have resulted in a largernumber of FTE MDs & larger revenue size of new practice entities.

    a. Valuation engagements for a specified minority interest owned by

    a provider in larger practice entities can be more complex.

    b. Larger practice entities are often multi-specialty with a more

    complicated income distribution plan, requiring a diversity of data

    for compensation, costs, performance, etc.

    c. Larger practice entities limit the universe of potential buyers to

    those parties who can handle larger transactions. This places a

    great impact on the conceptually favored "market approach"

    methodology in that it limits the number of transaction data.

    d. IPAs, PHOs, GPWWs, MSOs, and other Emerging Healthcare

    Organizations (EHOs) result in unique new practice entities with

    altered, scattered asset bases that must be identified, disaggregated

    and analyzed.

    2. The selection & definition of an appropriate Standard of Value is

    problematic with changes in the professional practice market place.

    a. Fair Market Value (FMV) presumes a "universe of potentialbuyers" in an open market. Regulatory edicts, such as the

    Thornton letter, discourage certain classes of buyers and types of

    transactions.

    b. Changing reimbursement patterns, payer mixes, and provideralliances make the market for medical practices harder to define &

    hypothecate.

    c. Market changes due to regulatory and reimbursement demands

    may reduce the universe of potential purchasers into a specific

    class of potential purchasers. This may change the standard of

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    value sought to "acquisition value" vs. Fair Market Value.

    3. Government Regulatory Scrutiny & fraud and abuse law prohibitions may

    dictate the premise and Standard of Value and, therefore, the methodologyemployed, as well as determine the "permissible assets" for acquisition.

    a. Thornton's letter has made suspect any estimates of "goodwill,"

    "intangibles," & "future projections."

    b. The "premise of value" debate; i.e., "Value in use" (an ongoing

    enterprise) vs. "Value in exchange" (liquidation - forced or

    orderly) is complicated if the appraiser cannot consider or project

    future revenues.

    c. Even if the tangible assets of the subject practice are the onlyassets considered, the issue of "Book Value" vs. "Adjusted Book"

    also arises. The appraiser ordinarily determines adjustments to

    Book Value by first determining the Fair Market Value of the

    underlying component assets. Fair Market Value may not be

    appropriate as a standard of value under some regulatory

    conditions.

    d. In response to the "Thornton letter", hospital purchasers are nowoften employing Machinery & Equipment appraisers to value

    "hard" or "tangible" practice assets only. Most often they employ

    a standard of value called "Fair Market Value in-use-in-place",

    rather than liquidation value. It should be noted that "Fair Market

    Value in-use-in-place" also relies, in part, on the continuity of a

    future earnings stream to support the feasibility of purchase and

    maintenance of the underlying tangible assets. There seems to be

    an apparent contradiction with the use of this approach to avoid

    placing "value" on intangibles.

    F. The Range of Services For Healthcare Valuation Reports

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    Different types of healthcare organizations and circumstances require valuation

    related calculations and valuation reports for a wide range of needs. These needstranslate into an expanded range of services and corresponding reports for

    valuators including the following types.

    Desktop Analysis & Review: Provides valuation related calculations.No formal correlation, synthesis, conclusion, or certified opinion of value is

    provided. Report should provide adequate spreadsheets and notes to support

    each of the valuation methods utilized. Report states a range of value

    estimates ONLY.

    Oral Reports: Requires the same analysis and valuation work-up aseither a "desktop analysis & review" or a "basic narrative valuation report,"

    but provides either a range of value estimates or opinion orally, to be followed

    by formal letter.

    Letter Reports: Requires the same analysis and valuation work-up as a"basic narrative valuation report" but is reported with a letter format with

    attached appendices of spreadsheets and data.

    Basic Narrative Report: Formal narrative report with table of contentsand attached appendices.

    Comprehensive Narrative Report: Basic report plus additional marketanalysis, e.g., utilization demand of practice's services; MD/ population ratios;

    incursion of managed care.

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    This presentation will briefly touch upon some of the industry background issues and how they

    apply to major healthcare valuation concepts and challenges.

    III. INDUSTRY BACKGROUND ISSUES

    A. The Shifting Universe of Healthcare Delivery (see Exhibit IV)

    1. Hospital Centric to Covered Life Centric

    2. Market Evolution factors driving move to very large purchasers and verylarge provider networks. (See Exhibit V)

    3. Markets have evolved through several stages toward greater consolidation.As markets evolve and enrollment in managed care plans increases, HMO

    revenues per member per month decrease along with medical and other

    costs.

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    EXHIBIT IV

    The Shifting Universe of Healthcare Deliv

    Hospital

    Prevention PrimaryCare

    Specialist

    Hospital

    Access

    Mechanism

    Wellness

    Covered L

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    EXHIBIT V

    Market Evolution

    Economies of ScaleFORCES: Negotiating Power Competitive Pressures

    STAGES:IndependentProviders &

    Ownership

    LooseModels of

    Affiliation

    TighterLinkages and

    Consolidation

    M

    C

    RESULTS:Heightened

    Accountability For

    Cost and Outcomes

    Very Provid

    Purch

    Integrated Systems

    Development

    I II III I

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    B. Trends in Physician Supply, Workplace and Specialization

    1. Trends in Physician Supply - Total MD/Population Ratios have increasedover a thirty (30) year span with a projected increase continuing

    throughout the 21st century. The American Medical Association

    estimated the ratio of total doctors in patient care per 100,000 population

    rose from 132 in 1965 to 226 in 1996, representing an increase of 71.2%

    in just over 30 years.1 (See Exhibit VI) With the rapid increase in MD

    supply, the patient base per MD is declining, resulting in increased

    competition. In concept, this might make it more attractive to acquire an

    existing practice that already has a patient base. However, this concept is

    challenged by the issue as to whether the patients still "adhere" to

    practices or to payers (e.g. insurance plans).

    U.S. Physician/Population Ratios2:

    Year Total Physician Population Physician/Population Ratio

    1950 219,997 1:703

    1960 260,484 1:703

    1970 334,028 1:623

    1980 467,679 1:494

    1990 615,421 1:410

    1996 737,764 1:360

    2022 860,000 1:3393

    1 Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the U.S. 1997/98 ed. American Medical Association, 1997, p. 34.2 Ibid.3 Seeking a balanced physician workforce for the 21st century. JAMA, V. 272 (9), Sept. 7, 1994, p. 680-687 (seefig. 2).

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    EXHIBIT VI4

    2. The Proliferation of Medical Groups and Employed Physicians - In the

    1960s and 1970s, the physician enterprise was characterized by solo-

    practitioners. In 1965, 11% of physicians practiced in groups with other

    physicians. By 1995 this figure had risen to 34%.5 As the financing of

    healthcare changed, the organization of physicians has also changed. The

    proportion of employed physicians has risen from 26.2% to 39% between

    1991 and 1997.6 The change can be attributed primarily to hospitals

    purchasing medical practices in an effort to create integrated delivery

    systems and the emergence of PPMCs.

    3. Trends in the Specialization of Professional Practices - While the trend of

    4 Source: Rovner, Julie, The State of Health Care in America Business & Health Magazine: 19965 Medical Groups in the US: A Survey of practice characteristics. 1996 ed. American Medical Association, p. 45.

    6 Physician Marketplace Statistics, 1997/98. AMA, 1991& 1997, p. 8, 109.

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    Physicians per100,000

    population

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    physicians entering medical school since the 1960s has been focused on

    specialization, attempts are being made to turn the focus to primary care as

    the specialty of choice. With the rise of managed care, the increased roleof the "gatekeeper," and the rapid consolidation of healthcare providers

    into integrated delivery systems, a premium in "value" has been placed on

    primary care physicians in some markets. Not withstanding this and

    government sponsored efforts to effect a change, recent surveys indicate a

    majority of medical students still plan to specialize.

    Surveys based on 1998 data have surmised that the United States would

    need about 17,000 fewer medical specialists, 19,000 fewer surgical

    specialists and 29,300 additional primary care physicians (including

    obstetrics and gynecology) if everyone in the country was enrolled in an

    HMO.7

    One could attribute the fact that medical students are still specializing, to

    the growing aging population. According to data from the Center for

    Health Statistics patients age 65 and over have an Average Length of Stay

    (ALOS) for short-stay hospitalizations of 6.3 days compared with 4.3 days

    for population under 65 years old. 37 % of all procedures for discharges

    from short-stay hospital are for patients 65 years and older. Those over 65

    years old are responsible for 65% of all discharges from short-stay

    hospitals.8 For some specialties, such as cardiology, the effect is even

    greater. The number of office visits to cardiologists is over 10 times

    higher for patients age 65 and over9, while discharges from short-stay

    7 Physician Resource Planning, 9th Edition, Sachs Group, 1998.8 Lawrence L, Hall MJ. 1997 summary: National Hospital Discharge Survey. Advanced data from vital and healthstatistics; no. 308. Hyattsville, Maryland: National Center for Health Statistics. 1999, p. 3, 5, 12.9 Schappert SM. Ambulatory care visits to physician offices, hospital outpatient departments, and emergencydepartments: United States, 1996. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Stat 13(134). 1998, p. 9.

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    hospital for heart diseases are three times higher.10 Due to the patient age

    mix, there seems to be an increased need for specialists which may

    suggest a balancing effect on supply and demand.

    Overall, the trend of practice continues to move toward specialization and

    away from primary care. While it is expected that patient care demand

    will continue to grow, it is not projected to be enough to absorb an

    expected oversupply of specialists, according to the Council of Graduate

    Medical Education (COGME). While recent efforts to redirect medical

    students to primary care are significant, long term results are still

    inconclusive.

    In 1996, 40% of all physicians were primary care physicians only slightly

    less than the 41% which were in primary care in 1970. However, within

    primary care there was a trend toward subspecialization and away from

    general practice. Of the primary care specialties as of December 31, 1995,

    Internal Medicine is the largest at 41%, with Family Practice second at

    21%, followed by Pediatrics (18.5%), Obstetrics/Gynecology (13.4%),

    and General Practice (6%).11 (See Exhibit VII) These specialties have

    become more attractive and such practices are often highly sought after as

    patient care "gatekeepers" in managed care oriented delivery systems.

    Even with a recent trend towards "right-sizing," i.e., the reduction in

    specialists allowed in managed care networks or panels, the trend toward

    specialization continues, as insurance plans provide Point of Service

    (POS) options which allow patients the option of directly selecting

    specialists for a higher copay. This approach, often called the Open

    10 Benson v and Marano MA. Current estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, 1995. National HealthInterview Survey, 1995. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Stat 10(199). 1998.11 Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the U.S., 1997/98 ed. American Medical Association, 1997, p. 279-280.

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    Access Specialty Based Model, becomes particularly attractive for HMO

    plans that develop disease management carve-outs and integrated

    specialty care aimed at a specific disease with at risk managed carecontracts.

    EXHIBIT VII

    C. Changes in the Professional Practice Competitive Environment

    1. The emergence of competing providers from Allied Health Professions,

    physician extenders and para-professionals, as "lower cost providers"

    has increased competitive pressures on physician practices.

    a. Competing Providers - Allied Health Professions

    (1) Psychiatrists - versus -Psychologists - versus -Licensed

    41%

    21 %

    19%

    6%13 %

    InternalMedicine

    Family Practice

    Pediatrics

    OB/GYN

    General

    Practice

    Distribution of Primary Care Doctors by Specialty

    Source: 1997-98 Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the US. AMA, 1997.

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    Psycho-therapists

    (2) Ophthalmologists - versus - Optometrists -versus - Opticians

    (3) Orthopedists - versus - Osteopaths - versus - Chiropractorsb. Physician Extenders or Para-professionals can either compete or

    add practice revenues. Para-professional have the effect of also

    increasing practice productivity and revenue.

    (1) Physician's Assistants (PA) - The Association of Physician

    Assistant Programs reported 2.3 job offers for each PA

    graduate in 1997.12 The ratio of Physician Assistants per

    100,000 is 11.7. The U.S. Labor Department predicts that

    the number of PA positions will grow 47% by 2006.13

    (2) Nurse Practitioners (NP) - According to the Nurse

    Practitioner Support Service, the number of NPs is 33.6 per

    100,000 population.

    (3) Nurse Midwives

    (4) Certified Registered Nurse Anesthetists (CRNAs)

    2. Managed care plans have challenged the traditional providers hold onpatient loyalty and referral patterns. As a result of the demand for cost

    containment, there has been a rapid growth in the number of patients

    covered by managed care. (See Exhibit VIII) Health Maintenance

    Organizations (HMOs) and Preferred Provider Organizations (PPOs),

    have sought to combine the role of the insurance company, utilization

    review organization, and medical services provider in order to offer

    prepaid medical plans to subscribers thereby forcing cost containment by

    integrating operational and financial functions.

    12 Perceptions of Marketplace Demand: Results of National Survey of 97 Physician Assistant Graduates.Perspectives on Physician Assistant Education, Vol. 9, no. 14, Autumn 98, p. 192-196.13 U.S. Department of Labor. Monthly Labor Review, Vol. 120, no. 11, Nov. 1997, p. 65.

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    a. The growing acceptance of managed care in the healthcaredelivery system is exhibited by ongoing enrollment trends. In

    1996, 160 million people were estimated to be enrolled in amanaged care plan, up from 112 million in 1995.14 The number of

    Americans insured by HMOs grew nearly 15 percent from 57.2

    million to 65.6 million in this same time period with HMO

    enrollment up almost another 13 percent to 73.8 million from 1997

    to 1998.15 Such enrollment growth should continue as public and

    private payors transfer more covered lives into managed care

    programs.

    b. Employers of all sizes and in all regions of the country saw

    increases in managed care enrollment.

    (1) HMO enrollment among large employers nationwide rosefrom 72% of all eligible employees in 1997 to 87% in

    1998, again exceeding indemnity plan enrollment.16

    Dramatic growth rates are occurring among small business

    employers.

    14 The Guide to the Managed Care Industry. HCIA, 1998, p. xi.15 The Guide to the Managed Care Industry. HCIA, 1999, p. XV.16 InterStudy Competitive Edge Part II: HMO Industry Report. InterStudy Publications, Jan. 1, 1997, p. xiv, 2, 34 and Jan. 1, 1998, p. 6.

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    Exhibit VIII

    c. Corporate Employer Alliances and Healthcare Provider Networks are

    being formed and driven by corporate healthcare buyers who want

    one-stop healthcare shopping with cost containment and quality

    outcome measurement.

    d. Provider Sponsored Organizations (PSOs). PSOs have been

    developed in order to allow providers to accept financial risk in

    providing services to Medicare and Medicaid enrollees. The 1998U.S. fiscal budget defined PSOs as majority provider owned

    entities providing all medical care for 1500 or more Medicare

    enrollees in urban areas and 500 in rural. PSOs are licensed by the

    states and will bear the full financial risk in contracting with

    Medicare. Payment will be on a capitated basis, with per member

    Managed Care Continues to Edge out Indemnity CoveragePercent of Employees Enrolled by Region and Plan Type

    Source: The managed-care juggernaut: Explosive growth nationwide. Medical Economics, April 15, 1996.

    00.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.250.3

    0.35

    0.40.45

    West

    Midwest

    South

    Northeast

    Nationwide

    Indemnity

    POS

    PPOsHMOs

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    per month (PMPM), payments. State solvency standards vary for

    PSOs. Federal solvency standards of $1.5 million, with half in

    cash or cash equivalents.

    e. The Rise and Fall of the Gatekeeper System.

    The Gatekeeper System, where patients may not consult specialists

    without first obtaining a referral from a primary care physician, is

    another cost containment measure impacting practice today. This

    system elevated the value of primary care physician practices

    within markets dominated by the gatekeeper system.

    In the last few years, health plan designs are offering more

    consumer choices, especially the open access, specialty based

    model which does not rely on PCPs as gatekeepers but uses other

    medical management tools to allow patients to see the most

    appropriate provider for their condition.

    Patient protection legislation including limited direct access to

    specialists continues to be debated by Congress as the result of

    public outcry against the restrictions of managed care including the

    gatekeeper system. A bipartisan bill was introduced in October of

    1999 that would ensure that decisions on medical necessity would

    be made by physicians alone, that enrollees have the right to select

    a point of service plan option, direct access to OB/GYNs and

    pediatricians, better disclosure of information about health plans, a

    prudent layperson standard for emergency coverage, the

    prohibition of gag clauses in physician contracts, and external

    appeals of health plan decisions. The rights of patients to sue their

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    HMOs has also been the subject of recent legislative debate.

    In addition to public scrutiny of their medical managementtechniques, HMOs are facing increasing financial pressures as

    competition and the negotiating power of purchasers keep

    premium growth below rises in medical and administrative costs.

    HMO profitability fell between 1994 and 1997 with median HMO

    operating losses of 3.5% in 1997 and 1998.17

    Even the largest HMOs have not been immune to these public and

    financial pressures. Aetna, the largest U.S. healthcare benefits

    company, lost two thirds of its stock price between 1997 and the

    spring of 1999. This was despite growth in revenues (largely

    through acquisitions, notably Prudential Healthcare in July 1999)

    and earnings with approximately $1 billion in earnings in 1999.

    Resulting shareholder pressure has led to the unexpected

    resignation of Aetnas chairman and CEO, Richard Huber, and the

    decision to split the company into two independent publicly traded

    companies and to sell off its international assets as part of its

    reexamination of all its business strategies including its all-

    products policy requiring physicians to contract for all of Aetnas

    products if they wish to provide any of them.

    17 The InterStudy Competitive Edge: HMO Industry Report 9.2. InterStudy, 1999, p. xi.

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    D. Reimbursement Issues and the Transition to Capitation

    Physician compensation levels have come under increasing pressure with theintroduction of managed care and governmental cost control efforts. However,

    despite these pressures, the average annual percentage change in median net

    income after expenses before taxes, for nonfederal physicians, 1986-1996 was

    5.2%.18

    (See Exhibit IX)

    EXHIBIT IX

    Physician Compensation19

    Groups Hospital/Systems Managed Care

    Full-Time $187,827 $170,258 $156,954

    Part-Time $64,660 $105,966 $108,123

    Have contract 50% 62% 42%

    Contract/years 2.3 1.7 1.9

    Severance/months 10 8 11

    Physician Income by Size of Practice20

    # of Practice MDs: Solo Two Three 4-8 Over 8

    Median Net Income $150,000 $188,000 $200,000 $250,000 $230,000

    The following chart (Exhibit X) illustrated trends in physician compensation by specialty

    over the last several years.

    18 Physician Marketplace Statistics 1997/98. American Medical Association, 1998, p. 85.19 A Report of Surveys of Managed Care Organizations, Hospitals/Systems and Group Practices. The Instituteof Physician-Management Relations, Witt/Kieffer, Ford, Hadelman & Lloyd, 1996.20 Physician Marketplace Statistics 1997/98. American Medical Association, 1998, p. 87.

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    Exhibit X

    $0

    $25,000

    $50,000

    $75,000

    $100,000

    $125,000

    $150,000

    $175,000

    $200,000

    $225,000

    $250,000

    $275,000

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

    Anesthesiology

    Cardiology

    Emergency Medicine

    Family Practice

    General Surgery

    Hospitalists

    Internal Medicine

    Neurology

    OB/GYN

    Oncology

    Pathology

    Pediatrics

    Psychiatry

    Radiology

    Urology

    Physician Compensation Trends 1994-1999

    Source: Modern Healthcares annual report on physician compensation, 1994-1999.

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    1. Healthcare Industry Symptoms Drive Payment Reform

    a. The idea of payment reform has been spurred by the perceivedfailure of healthcare industry cost containment. The perceptionhas been driven by:

    (1) Lack of Accountability for Cost

    (2) Supply Driven Inelastic Demand

    (3) Excess Capacity of Providers and Specialty Imbalance

    (4) Cost-Plus Reimbursement

    (5) Unsustainable High Profit Margins of Industry andProfession

    b. The transition from the passage of Title XVIII of Social Security

    Act 1965 until the passage of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation

    Act (OBRA) of 1989 included:

    (1) OBRA '85 directed the development of RBRVS

    (Hsiao/Harvard Studies).

    (2) OBRA '86 reduced payments for cataract surgery &anesthesiology - setting out the concept of "inherent

    reasonableness" for the first time.

    (3) OBRA '87 provided payment reductions for 12 additionalgroups of "over-valued" procedures.

    (4) OBRA '89 established volume performance rates, replacedCPR with a fee schedule based on relative values (RV), and

    replaced the maximum actual allowable charge (MAAC)

    restriction on non-participating MDs with a new limiting

    charge. States shrink caps.

    (5) OBRA '90 [Public law 101-508] made revisions to OBRA

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    '89 RVs, asserted "budget neutrality", and set transition

    rules.

    (6) Final rules & schedules were published by HCFA in theU.S. Federal Register 11/25/91 which took effect 1/1/92.

    (7) OBRA 93 rewarded primary care, exempted "clinicswithout walls," further adjusted reimbursement to

    specialists and surgeons.

    c. The implementation of the Resource Based Relative Value Scales

    (RBRBS), completed from 1991 to 1996, as the new Medicare fee

    schedule has played a significant part in changing reimbursement

    patterns and practice revenues. RBRVS assigns medical

    procedures with Relative Value Units (RVUs) based on the

    necessary resources used to perform a medical service: i.e.

    overhead, malpractice insurance costs, and physicians' work.

    Payment levels are based on the RVUs for a procedure,

    geographically adjusted, and multiplied by a Conversion Factor.

    In assigning the relative values to procedures and in making yearly

    updates to these levels, the government has deliberately shifted

    payment levels to primary care specialties in order to redress what

    they believe are historic inequalities perceived to cause medical

    students to over specialize and thereby raise healthcare costs.

    These adjustments in reimbursement levels have and are forecast

    to have significant impacts for many specialties as is illustrated in

    Exhibit XI.

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    Exhibit XI

    -40%-35%-30%

    -25%-20%-15%-10%

    -5%0%5%

    10%15%

    20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

    FamilyPractice

    GeneralPractice

    InternalMedicine

    Otolaryngology

    Neurology

    Pulmonary

    Dermatology

    Nephrology

    Urology

    OrthopedicSurgery

    Pathology

    Gastroenterology

    Cardiology

    GeneralSurgery

    Radiology

    PlasticSurgery

    Neurosurgery

    Ophthalmology

    Anesthesiology

    ThoracicSurgery

    Pe rcent Change in Medicare P ayments 1991-2002

    Sources: Created through the composite analysis of various reports from the Physician Payment Review Commission, Physicians Payment Update, and HCF

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    2. Will RBRVS be Abandoned?

    a. Healthcare payment reform is gaining momentum, having shiftedfocus from the federal to the state level. With continued costcontainment pressure, RBRVS is likely to be replaced by capitated

    plans, at least in those areas where excess provider capacity has

    been squeezed out of the system.

    b. Diverting from a fee for service to a capitated basis may have amore significant impact on practice value than the implementation

    of RBRVS, due to the shifting of "risk" from payer to provider.

    c. Notwithstanding the above, RBRVS has become the standard forthe negotiation of most commercial managed care contracts

    supplanting the utilization of St. Anthonys Relative Values for

    Physicians (fka McGraw-Hill) which has historically been

    preferential to specialists and surgeons.

    3. The transition from a fee-for-service form of reimbursement to capitation

    will cause healthcare providers to alter their ways of delivering care.

    a. The transition to capitation may offer positives to providers.

    (1) Provides for immediate access to reimbursement(2) Gives freedom from insurance utilization controls and pre-

    authorization requirements

    (3) Is considered attractive to payers(4) Potentially increases information sharing

    b. Capitation also has several restrictions that should be considered in

    the valuation process.

    (1) Fixed reimbursement requires significant and consistentutilization management and the tracking of referrals with

    their incurred but not reported (IBNR) liabilities.

    (2) Quality of care may be compromised in certain casesbecause of inadequate treatment or extended waiting times

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    (3) Establishing parameters and administrative guidelines canbe complicated

    (4) Adverse selection in small populations can inhibit costcontainment

    4. Government Reimbursements Change to Prospective Payments Systems

    Medicare and Medicaid originally paid for hospital services using a cost

    plus reimbursement basis, where hospitals were paid for all of their costs

    and more. The rising costs associated with this system led to the

    introduction by the federal government of a prospective pricing system

    for hospital payment, where hospitals are reimbursed an average, qualified

    amount for each patient treated with the same type of diagnosis specified

    by Diagnostic Related Group (DRG). The government is currently

    developing prospective pricing systems for reimbursement for ambulatory

    surgery centers, hospital outpatient services, home health care, skilled

    nursing facilities, and rehabilitation facilities. There are also plans for a

    prospective pricing system for long-term hospital care. Since the

    government is the single largest payor for healthcare services, these

    changes exert enormous pressure on providers to reduce costs.

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    IV. THE RISE OF EMERGING HEALTHCARE ORGANIZATIONS (EHOS)

    In response to the market forces described above, providers are consolidating and

    integrating into new organizational forms, called Emerging Healthcare Organizations

    or EHOs, to attempt to compete more effectively. The business objective in healthcare

    now is control over covered lives. Emerging Healthcare Organizations are generally

    formed to pursue this goal.

    An emerging healthcare organization is an organizational form

    consisting of hospital(s), physician(s), and/or health plan(s) that have

    consolidated, merged, integrated or affiliated in response to managed

    care and integration forces in their market.21

    The critical element to this broad definition is the reason for an EHOs existence. Market

    forces, primarily demands for lower prices and/or improved outcomes, catalyze EHO

    development and operations.

    EHOs are vehicles for physician integration. In a cost-sensitive managed care

    environment or a more progressive outcome-focused one, it is critical for payors and

    others who bear risk for health services to have strong relationships with physicians. The

    rationale is simple: physicians direct care, thereby giving them considerable control over

    healthcare expenditures and medical outcomes.

    Physician integration models such as EHOs combine groups of providers to compete in

    the market as the "highest quality, lowest-cost provider" of healthcare services.

    However, along with the growth and penetration of managed care, the evolution of these

    systems, organizations, and networks challenges the traditional healthcare delivery

    21 Capital Survey of Emerging Healthcare Organizations. Second Annual Report 1996, Integrated Healthcare

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    systems, especially the traditional, independent private practice of medicine. As

    physicians integrate to seek leverage in the marketplace they lose varying degrees of their

    practice autonomy. The relationship between autonomy and leverage is illustrated inExhibit XII.

    Report, Medical Group Management Association, and Ziegler Securities, 1996, p. 1.

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    EXHIBIT XII

    Autonomy/Leverage Diagram

    L E V E R A G E

    SOLO PRACTITIONER

    INDEPENDENT PRACTICE ASSOCIATION (IPA)

    GROUP PRACTICE WITHOUT WALLS

    MANAGEMENT SERVICES ORGANIZ

    A

    U

    T

    O

    N

    O

    M

    Y

    PHYSICIAN/HOSPITAL ORGANIZATION (PHO)

    AUTONOMY /PRACTICEINDEPENDENCE

    HOSPITAL

    DEPENDENT

    PRACTICE

    FLEXIBILITY OPERATING

    EFFICIENCIES

    (SHORT TERM)

    MANAGED CARE ATTRACTIVENESS

    SECURE REFERRAL SOURCES

    OPERATING EFFICIENCIES (LONG TERM)

    PRACTICE STABILITY

    MANAGEMENT SERVICES BUREAU (MSB)

    FULLY INTEGRATED

    MEDICAL GROUP (FIMG)

    INTEGRATED DSYSTEM (ID

    FINANCIAL REWARDS

    START-UP CAPITAL/FINANCIAL COM

    FINANCIAL/OPERATING RISK

    COMPLEXITY (LEGAL, OPERATIONA

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    A. Types of EHOs

    1. Classification

    EHOs take numerous forms to fill may functions in todays marketplace. To

    simplify the complex situation, this course focuses on six major EHOs:

    1. Independent Practice Association (IPA)

    2. Physician Hospital Organization (PHO)

    3. Physician Practice Management Company (PPMC)

    4. Management Services Organization (MSO)

    5. Fully Integrated Medical Group (FIMG)

    6. Integrated Delivery Systems (IDS)

    In addition to these models, a section on Group Practices Without Walls

    (GPWWs), a less prevalent model, but one which is important in the history of

    EHOs, is included.

    2. Type and Degree of Integration (See Exhibit XIII)

    By definition, EHOs are integrated businesses. However, EHOs level of

    integration varies in degree and in forms, whether horizontal or vertical.

    Horizontal integration is the acquisition and consolidation of like organizations

    or business ventures under a single corporate management, in order to producesynergy, reduce redundancies and duplication of efforts or products, and achieve

    economies of scale while increasing market share.22 When hospitals join

    together and create hospital systems or when physicians join forces to form

    22 Peter Boland. The Capitation Sourcebook. Boland Healthcare, 1996, p. 618.

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    organizations that primarily offer physician services, horizontal integration is at

    work.

    Vertical integration involves to joining of organizations that are fundamentally

    different in their product and/or services offerings. It is the aggregation of

    dissimilar but related business units, companies, or organizations under a single

    ownership or management in order to provide a full range of related products and

    services.23 The evolution of many healthcare markets is being driven by a vision

    for fully-integrated organizations.

    Exhibit XIII

    23 Ibid, p. 629.

    Evolution and Continuum of Physician Integration

    Shared Economic RiskLEAST MOST

    MOST

    LEAST

    Solo

    Practice

    IndependentPractice

    Association

    Group Practice

    Without Walls

    Open PHO

    Closed PHO

    Comprehensive

    MSO

    FoundationModel

    Equity

    Model

    Staff/EmployedModel

    Management

    Service

    Bureau

    Fully Integrated

    Group Practice

    IndividualDecisionMaking

    MSO

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    3. A Framework for Understanding EHOs.

    A framework for the emerging enterprises in the business of healthcare is shownin Exhibit XIV below. Its rows classify each EHO by its function and level of

    integration (least integrated at the top) and the columns denote integration type

    (horizontal versus vertical). In less technical terms, it is a two by three matrix

    where the short axis represents the type of integration and the long axis represents

    the type of business operations.

    Exhibit XIV

    Each of the three levels can be identified according to their business strategy:

    PHO

    MSO

    IDS

    IPA

    PPMC

    Multi-Specialty

    Group Practice

    WHYWHAT

    Horizontal Vertical

    Maintain Status Quo

    Cost Containment

    Change Care Process

    Managed Care

    contracting

    Operations / Economies

    of Scale

    Population-based healthmanagement

    EHO Models

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    I: Resistors. Organizations designed to maintain the status quo, fend off managed

    care, or slowly learn how to successfully operate in a managed care environment.

    IPAs and PHOs

    II: Cost Containers. Organizations that are capable of controlling healthcare

    costs through economies of scale. Their ability to contract effectively with

    managed care organizations and systematically reduce utilization of services is

    limited, however.

    PPMCs and MSOs

    III: True Integrators. These are organizations that are so financially integrated

    through risk contracting or ownership, true integration of care processes is

    possible. There are very few true integrators operating in the United States, but

    many EHOs see themselves as evolving toward true integration.

    FIMGs and IDSs

    4. Independent Practice Associations (IPAs)

    The acronym IPA stands for Individual Practice Association or Independent Practice

    Association. It is a legal entity of independent physicians that contracts with health

    insurance companies to provide medical services. IPAs are generally not-for-profit,

    although it is not a requirement. Individual physicians operate under their own tax IDs,

    Medicare provider numbers, etc. and generally do not share administrative overhead or

    centralized systems such as billing and claims processing information systems. Although

    some IPAs include investment by hospitals, this section focuses on the horizontally-

    integrated IPA which excludes hospitals and other non-physician-controlled businesses.

    Refer to Exhibit XV for an illustration of the organizational form of an IPA.

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    Over 1200 IPAs have been identified by the American Hospital Association, but because

    they are forming so quickly, the actual number may be twice this many. In 1997, 50

    percent of physicians participated in managed care contracts via IPAs, and for theaverage physician these contracts represent about 20 percent of their revenues.

    Exhibit XV

    5. Physician Practice Management Companies (PPMCs)

    a. Definition

    Although Physician Practice Management Companies have been classified as

    simply publicly traded MSOs, there is a more refined definition. First, to be

    classified as a PPMC, an organization must be physician-dominated. PPMCs are

    INDEPENDENT PRACTICE ASSOCIATION (IPA)

    Physician Practice

    IPA

    Billing and Collection

    UM/QA

    Usually, Risk-sharing or

    Capitation Accounts

    IPA-ContractedPayor

    Non-IPA ContractedPayor

    Provider Agreement

    $ (multiple reimbursement mechanism)

    Provider Agreement

    May be fee-

    for-service or

    capitation

    $

    Ownership

    $

    (usually

    capitation)

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    management firms that specialize in the management of large group practices or

    IPAs through ownership, management agreement, or both. PPMCs generally own

    the physician practices with which they affiliate via subsidiaries. In the last fiveyears, PPMCs have acquired increasing numbers of physician practices.

    Physician Practice Management Companies offer access to the capital markets

    that physicians have not historically had. With capital, physicians in PPMCs have

    been able to build surgery centers, expand service lines, and bolster contracting

    leverage with managed care organizations, hospitals, and health systems.

    b. PPMC Business Performance

    The publicly traded industry has undergone large swings in its market

    capitalization. As discussed earlier, several of the major publicly traded PPMCs

    have gone bankrupt or decided to leave the practice management business. Poor

    financial management including over aggressive acquisitions have contributed to

    this recent industry shakedown. The number of public PPMCs could continue to

    fall in the short term as some of the remaining companies restructure or close

    their practice management operations. Generally multispecialty PPMCs have

    performed far worse that those which focus on a single specialty or condition.

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    Exhibit XVI

    6. Physician Hospital Organizations (PHOs)

    A Physician Hospital Organization (PHO) unites a hospital or group of hospitals

    with a physician organization through a contractual relationship. The PHO is

    usually owned by the physicians and/or hospital and, in many cases, is a non-

    profit organization. In Exhibit XVII, individual physicians own shares of a

    physician organization that enters a joint venture with a hospital called a PHO.

    Physician Practice Management Company (PPMC)

    Equity Model

    The PhyCor Model

    MOST COMMONPPMC

    Local Subsidiary of PPMC

    (50/50 Governance)

    (Not Always Implemented)

    Professional

    Association/Corporation

    MDsAssets

    Non-MD Staff Initial 3-5 yr Contract

    Long-termAgreement

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    Exhibit XVII

    7. Management Services Organizations (MSOs) (Exhibit XVIII)

    An MSO is a legal entity owned by physicians, hospitals, or lay investors that

    provides an array of practice management services. Traditionally, MSOs have

    provided a variety of services to both medical practices and hospitals. An MSO

    can also be referred to as a PSN, or Physician Services Network; an MSB, or

    Management Services Bureau; or a Practice Asset Organization.

    In their [most] basic form, MSOs sell practice management services for a

    Medical

    Group

    Medical

    Group

    Medical

    Group

    Physician Hospital Organization Hospital

    Physician Hospital Organization(PHO)Joint Ownership Structure

    Shareholders Shareholders

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    monthly fee,24 but the services provided by MSOs encompass a broad range and

    include, but are not limited to: operations management, marketing, contract

    negotiation, new assets acquisition, personnel management, leasing, providingsupport services to other organizations (i.e., hospitals), physician recruitment,

    MIS development, purchasing, and facilities development.25

    Exhibit XVIII

    8. Group Practices Without Walls (GPWWs) (Exhibit XIX)

    A Group Practice Without Walls (GPWW), also called a clinic without walls, is a

    24 Perry, Kristie, Would an MSO Make Your Life Easier? Medical Economics, April 10, 1995.25 Goldstein, Douglas, From Physician Bonding to Alliances: Building New Physician-Hospital Relationships,Capital Publications, Inc, 1992, and Peters, Gerald R., Esq., Healthcare Integration: A Legal Manual forConstructing Integrated Organizations. National Health Lawyers Association, 1995.

    Management Services Organization (MSO)Joint Venture Hospital Physician-Owned

    MSO Payors

    Non-owner

    Physicians

    Owner

    PhysiciansHospital

    Medical

    Services

    Ownership

    Managem

    ent

    Services

    $

    $

    Ownership

    Management

    Services $$

    Medica

    l

    Service

    s

    ProviderAgreement

    ProviderAgreement

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    network of physicians who have merged into one legal entity but maintain control

    over individual practice sites. A GPWW does not include the participation of

    hospitals or other non-physicians. In forming of this type of organization,physicians aggregate their practice assets (tangible and intangible) into one entity,

    providing them with contracting leverage with managed care organizations.

    GPWWs differ from MSOs in two ways:

    1) only physicians may be owners of GPWWs, and2) a GPWW acquires all assets, while an MSO acquires just tangibles.

    Exhibit XIX

    9. Fully Integrated Medical Groups (FIMGs)

    A Fully Integrated Medical Group (FIMG) is a highly integrated medical group

    Group Practice Without Walls (GPWW)

    Site A Site B Site C Site x

    GPWW

    Physician Owner

    Payors

    Provider Agreement

    $

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    practice organized as a single legal entity. Management is centralized and has

    sufficient authority to effectively manage both the medical and business

    operations of the group allowing FIMGs to integrate clinical, financial, andoperational aspects of the practice. An income distribution plan aligns the

    incentives of the physician and the group. FIMGs are organizations often called

    physician equity groups, which can vary in their level of integration from that

    of traditional practices to that of FIMGs. The real differentiating factor between

    group practices and FIMGs is the level of integration a subjective quality.

    Exhibit XX

    10.Integrated Delivery Systems (IDS) (Exhibit XXI)

    As providers consolidate and Managed Care Organizations seek to contract on a capitated

    basis for the provision of all of the care that patients require, hospitals and physicians, as

    Fully-Integrated Medical Group (FIMG)

    Provider Agreement

    $

    Payor

    Non-Owner

    Physicians

    Owner

    Physicians

    Medical Group

    Employment

    Agreement

    $

    Compensation

    Emplo

    yment

    Agreement

    $

    Compensation

    Ownership

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    the traditional providers of care, are destined to become more and more integrated into

    single organizations. Most existing Integrated Delivery Systems (IDS) began when

    hospitals acquired or affiliated with physicians through PHOs or MSOs for the purposeof managed care contracting.26 These organizations desire to expand the range of

    services they provide has led to their merger, acquisition, or affiliation with other types of

    facilities such as long-term care, skilled nursing facilities, and ambulatory surgery centers

    as well as with ancillary providers including laboratories and diagnostics.

    Exhibit XXI

    26 DeMuro, Paul R. Managed care & integrated delivery systems: Strategies for contracting, compensation &reimbursement. Irwin Professional Publishing, 1995, pp. 13-14.

    Integrated Delivery System (IDS)

    Hospitals

    Outside Payor

    Physician

    Organization

    Provider Agreement

    $

    Provider Agreement

    $

    Provider Agreement

    $

    Provider Agreement

    $

    Provider

    Agreements$

    $

    $

    $

    Other Providerslabphysical therapyhome healthetc.

    HMO

    (optional)

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    B. Challenges to the Valuation of Emerging Healthcare Organizations (EHOs)

    1. Identifying the Relationships Among All Entities (See Exhibit XXII) Ownership of both tangible & intangible assets Identification of structure, governance, control & risk relationships

    within entity

    2. Tracking the Cash Flows

    Value is related to the probability of the continuity of net cash flows The quality and expected duration of the cash flow must be determined Unrecognized liabilities, e.g. IBNR and related matters must be

    accounted for

    3. The Developing Market

    Transactions involving IPAs, MSOs, and other EHOs are currentlybeing seen in the marketplace, and these transactions require

    valuations

    Both Transactions and Guideline Companies are available forcomparison utilizing market concept valuation approaches

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    EXHIBIT XXII

    Emerging Healthcare Organizations

    Q. What holds the value?A. It depends on the legal and organizational structure

    Intangible Assets may include:

    Service Contracts with Third Party Payors & MCOs Strength of Agreements with all Providers Management Services Agreements Provider Services Agreements

    Capture of the Ancillaries (Lab, Diagnostics, etc.) Other Intangibles

    Tangible Assets may include:

    Cash and Accounts Receivable Hard Assets: Furniture, Fixtures, & Equipment (FF&E) Real Estate and Buildings Durable Medical Equipment (DME) and Supplies

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    V. TRENDS IN HEALTHCARE TRANSACTIONS

    A. Physician to physician transactions

    1. As managed care penetration increases, physicians are reacting to the

    market's signals. According to a 1997 Medical Economics survey of

    11,104 practicing physicians, 38% had structurally changed their practices

    or planned to do so in 1998.27

    Types of physician-physician transactions

    include:

    a. Recruitment of new associates or partners

    b. Medical practice sale by a retiring physician

    c. Medical practice expansion through acquisition

    d. Establishment of practice satellite location

    e. Group practice formation

    f. Establishment of a physician organization (PO)

    2. While these types of transactions have been frequent in the past, the total

    number of physician to physician transactions has been significantly

    reduced as a result of integration/consolidation efforts.

    B. Physician Practice Management Company (PPMC) transactions

    Competing in todays marketplace calls for a rapid growth by physician-led

    integrated health care organizations. Three market forces have caused physicians

    to financially merge their medical practices: (1) the increased financial benefit

    from revenue from owned related health services without violating Stark II, (2)

    the ability to negotiate risk and non-risk managed health plan contracts with

    sufficient leverage, and (3) the promise of creating a larger economic entity

    capable of accessing outside sources of capital on favorable terms.

    27 "Doctors on the move". Medical Economics, Vol. 74, No. 24, December 8th 1997, page 145.

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    Publicly-traded Physician Practice Management Companies (PPMCs) emerged in

    response to physician practices needs for capital, strong management and

    managed care expertise in an increasingly competitive healthcare industry. In1997, 34 public PPMCs raised $2 billion28.

    Physician practice acquisition has become a corporate deal that is no longer quiet.

    As of early 1998, investor-owned PPMCs were buying physician practices at 5-

    10 times EBIT29 with a high percentage of the price paid in stock and making

    news in the Wall Street Journal. With hospitals and health systems (both for-

    profit and non-profit) purchasing medical practices as well, the competition for

    quality physician practices was high, and likewise the transaction prices.

    1999 has seen the pace of practice acquisitions greatly slowed and in many

    markets PPMCs and hospitals are divesting previously acquired practices. The

    reasons for these sales are varied but they have in common the failed financial

    and strategic performance of acquired practices resulting from overall poor

    management. Many of these purchasers underestimated the complexity of

    effective practice management.

    Before the current downturn in acquisitions, it was estimated that PPMCs

    acquired approximately 260 physician practices in 1997.30

    Initially, stock prices

    and growth of these companies outpaced stock indexes, but recently these

    companies have underperformed the market. Despite their recent poor stock

    performance as a group, PPMCs offer physicians an innovative mechanism to try

    to regain control of the healthcare industry by providing physicians with access to

    capital, management, and managed care expertise.

    1. The Collapse of Publicly Traded PPMCs

    28 Ibid.29 1998 PPMC Yearbook, Sherlock Company, May 1998..30 The 1998 PPMC Yearbook. Sherlock Company, 1998, p.17.

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    PPMCs emerged over the past five years as a vehicle of change for physicians.

    The companies initially enjoyed strong growth in revenue and earnings duringtheir first few years31. In 1998 Sherlock Co. identified 164 PPMCs, 39 of which

    were then publicly traded.32 Thirty-four public PPMCs (as of April 14, 1998)

    were affiliated with 5% of the nations active physicians.33 To support their

    growth, PPMCs offered lucrative buy-out deals to physicians, especially

    compared to the hospital buy-out offers and physician-physician deals. The

    PPMC industry attempts to aggregate medical practices in order to build market

    clout and boost their stock performance.

    However, in the last year, PPMCs have suffered from various management and

    financial problems and in the nine months ending September 1998, the market

    capitalization for publicly traded PPMCs fell 58%. In the first half of 1999,

    PPMC stocks have underperformed the market, falling over 30% compared with

    the 8.8% growth of the S&P 500.34 Since last September, several of the largest

    PPMCs have declared bankruptcy or have decided to exit the practice

    management business. Some of the larger companies involved are noted below.

    In July of 1998, FPA Medical Management declared bankruptcy, theresult of poor management, financial and otherwise, and over aggressive

    acquisitions. Its stock price fell to $.18 per share from $18 per share four

    months earlier. California physicians were shorted $60 million in payments

    and physicians nationwide may have lost $200 million in payments.35

    PhyMatrix announced in October of 1998 that it would divest its group31 ONeil, B, Manderfeld, T. Physician Practice Management: Searching for Value. Piper Jaffray, August 1997.32 1998 PPMC Yearbook. Sherlock Company, 1998, p. 3, 7.33 PPMC(newsletter). Sherlock Company. May 1998.34 PPMC. Sherlock Company, June 1999, p. 2.

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    practice management business to focus on hospitalist practices and practice

    networks management.

    MedPartners, once the largest PPMC, announced its intent to divest it practicemanagement business in November of 1998 stating that the industry is

    viewed unfavorably as presently configured.36

    The PPMC suffered a loss of

    $1.2 billion in the fourth quarter of 1998.37 On March 11, 1999 a voluntary

    bankruptcy petition was filed by the conservator for MedPartners Provider

    Network and a settlement was reached with the State of California in April

    which provided for the orderly disposition of existing California operations.38

    PhyCor, once the second largest PPMC, announced at the beginning of theyear that it did not plan on purchasing physician practices in 1999.39 The

    PPMC lost $111.5 million in 1998 on revenues of $2.9 billion as compared

    with a $3.2 million dollar loss in 1997.40

    The number of publicly traded PPMCs had fallen to 22 by June of 1999.41 The number

    of PPMC acquisitions of physician practices has declined in the last year and will

    probably continue to decline in the short term. However, PPMC business strategies and

    market positions vary considerably and the outlook is not entirely bleak. Single specialty

    PPMCs are a potential notable exception to the current trends.

    C. Hospital transactions

    Hospitals purchase physician practices in order to further integrate with

    35 How FPAs implosion buried its doctors by Robert Lowes. Medical Economics, Jan. 25, 1999, p. 141.36 Ibid, May 1999, p. 3.37 Ibid, March 1999.38 Ibid, June, 1999.39 Medical Economics, Jan. 25, 1999.40 PPMC. Sherlock Company, April 1999.

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    physicians, to strengthen referral relationships, to add physician reimbursement to

    their earnings pool, and to increase managed care contracting leverage. Since

    1994, hospitals have acquired 5,000 doctors primary care practices per year,spending $100,000 per physician on average.42 A 17-hospital survey by Coopers

    & Lybrand found that, on average, hospitals were incurring annual losses of

    $97,000 per acquired physician due to high purchase prices and low

    productivity.43

    Another recent survey based upon 382 practices that were

    acquired by hospitals between 1993 and 1996 revealed the following44:

    Average physician salary paid was $154,464. Average forecasted profit in first year per physician was -$11,134.

    With such losses recorded and poor strategic gains, hospitals are less likely to pay

    high amounts for additional medical practices. Tenet Healthcare Corp. and

    Columbia/HCA, the two largest hospital management companies, have both

    stated that they are considering divesting physician practices.

    D. Cost Containment-Regulatory Agenda is changing the market terms and

    structure of practice transactions.

    2. Tax Code - Increased scrutiny of 501(c) 3 status has affected the marketfor selling practices to charitable institutions, e.g., hospitals, foundations.

    a. The primary concern is that the private benefit and private

    inurement standards are fulfilled, along with other structural and

    community benefit requirements. A sampling of relevant issues

    41 Ibid.42 Hospitals that gobbled up physician practices feel ill. Wall Street Journal. June 17, 1997.43 Ibid.44 The 1997-98 Physician Practice Acquisition Resource Book. Center for Healthcare Industry PerformanceStudies, 1997, p. 4, 55, 65, 230.

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