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Demetrio Innocenti
Programme Officer
UNISDR Europe
www.unisdr.org
Disaster economics and governance
of risks: investing today for a safer
tomorrow
International Symposium on Disaster Economics
Istanbul, Turkey
03 April 2013
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Developing or increasing our
countries’ stock of risks and
liabilities?
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Once upon a time …
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Increasing disaster losses
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Growing losses
Disaster losses by Presidential period Mexico 1982 – 2009
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…and low investment in vulnerability
reduction (HFA reports 2011)
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Damages absorbed by governments and individuals
Housing damage by governorate in Jordan and the Syrian Arab Republic and by province in Yemen (1989-2009)
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Increased exposure of people and economic
activities to weather-related hazards
Population exposed to tropical cyclones, China coast section
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Falling mortality – rising economic loss risk
Cyclone mortality risk Flood economic loss risk
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… reflecting conditions and capacities for vulnerability reduction
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Revealing risk
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0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Mozambique (EM-DAT) Mozambique (INGC/DIBI)
De
ath
s re
cord
ed
Drought impacts in Mozambique (1990 – 2009)
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Systematically account for disaster losses
Number of education facilities damaged (1970-2009) Kilometers of road damaged (1970-2009)
per province (Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Venezuela)
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Temporal Analysis: distribution of losses over time
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The risk footprint
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Identify risk strata
Contribution of cyclone severity, exposure and
vulnerability parameters to tropical cyclone risk
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Transfer catastrophic risk
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Use public investment planning
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… be selective in corrective investments
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Invest today for a safer
tomorrow
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Reform risk governance
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Mixed progress towards achieving the HFA
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Europe: Average progress in each Priority Area
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Thank you
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, UNISDR
Regional Office for Europe
UN House, 14 Rue Montoyer
1000, Brussels, Belgium
T: +32 (0) 22 902 588
F: +32 (0) 22 904 950
www.unisdr.org
www.unisdr.org/europe