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Dispersion Modelling Quetta

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

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    AIR DISPERSION

    MODELING

    By

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    AIR DISPERSION MODELING

    Mathematical calculations for predicting the dispersion

    behavior of air pollutants emitted into the atmosphere

    Air dispersion models are used to estimate thedownwind concentration of pollutants emitted byvarious pollution sources, from industrial and vehicular

    sources.

    Dispersion models are typically used to demonstratecompliance regulatory standards.

    Decision makers can compare exposures to somebenchmark (state regulatory thresholds or a level witha known health effect.)

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    Purpose of Air Quality Modeling

    To quantify ambient concentrations ofpollutants or pollutant precursors

    To determine optimum locations for siting

    pollution monitors

    To determine source contributions toconcentration estimates

    To develop emission limits for sources

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    Inadequacy of Ambient Measurements

    Ambient air measurement through site survey andsampling cannot be made at all points.

    There are chances, during measurement, to miss location

    of maximum concentrations.

    Also, measurement technique cannot always be used tofully diagnose past episodes

    This facility has been recently introduced in Pakistan and

    it is highly demanding for air quality assessment

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    Assumptions for Model Development

    Note: These boundary conditions are not suitable for most practical

    dispersion models for the boundary layer.

    Steady-StateConditions

    MassConservation

    BoundaryConditions

    Constantemission rate

    No deposition No lowerbounding surface(earths surface)

    Constant windspeed anddirection

    No chemicaltransformation No upperbounding surface( elevatedinversion)

    No radioactivedecay

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    Factors in Modeling

    )Dispersion(DilutionRateEmissionionConcentrat

    2

    length

    1

    time

    length1

    time

    mass

    volume

    mass

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    Wind Dilution

    Emission Rate:

    1 particle/s

    Wind Speed:1 m/s

    Emission Rate:

    1 particle/s

    Wind Speed:

    2 m/s

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    Modeling Continuous Emission Source

    ),,(1

    ),,( zyxDu

    QzyxC

    0),,( zyxD

    DispersionDilutionRateEmissionionConcentrat

    1),,(

    dydzzyxD

    ),,(1

    ),,( zyxDu

    QzyxC

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    Plume Dispersion

    y

    zx

    Continuous

    point source

    x-axis aligned with

    wind direction

    x-dispersion neglected

    for continuous source

    y- andz-dispersion not

    necessarily equal

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    Dispersion View

    H hs

    h

    h

    hsH

    Y

    Z

    X

    Virtual Point Source

    Z

    Y

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    Gaussian Function

    (Standard Distribution)

    (Bell-Shaped Curve)

    (Normal Distribution)

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    Gaussian Distribution Function2

    2

    1

    21

    x

    e

    1.01.02.152.15

    0.606

    0.100

    0.606

    0.100

    1.000

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    Dispersion Density Functions

    2

    2

    2exp

    2

    1),(

    yyhor

    yyxD

    2

    2

    2exp

    2

    1),(

    zzver

    zzxD

    Where

    yand z are not necessarily equal.

    y is horizontal standard deviation of emission distribution in meters

    z is vertical standard deviation of emission distribution in meters

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    Dispersion

    ),,(1

    ),,( zyxD

    u

    QzyxC

    DispersionDilutionRateEmissionionConcentrat

    ),,(1

    ),,( zyxD

    u

    QzyxC

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    Basic Dispersion Equation

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1exp

    2),,(

    zyzy

    zy

    u

    QzyxC

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2exp

    21

    2exp

    211),,(

    zzyy

    zyu

    QzyxC

    or

    C is concentration of emission in grams / m3 at any receptor located at:

    x meters down wind from the emission source point.y is meters cross wind from the emission plume center line.

    z meters above ground level.

    Q is source pollutant emission rate, grams / second.

    u is horizontal wind velocity along the plume center line, m / sec.

    Where:

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    y

    z

    x

    Continuous

    elevated

    point source

    h

    Elevated Source

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    Dispersion Equation Including Source

    Height, h

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1exp

    2);,,(

    zyzy

    hzy

    u

    QhzyxC

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    Reflection from Ground Surface

    Surfaceh

    -h

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    Dispersion Equation Accounting for aReflecting Lower Barrier

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1exp

    2);,,(

    zyzy

    hzy

    u

    QhzyxC

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1exp

    2zyzy

    hzy

    u

    Q

    (Actual

    Source)

    (Image

    Source)

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2exp

    2exp

    2exp

    2);,,(

    zzyzy

    hzhzy

    u

    QhzyxC

    or

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    Dispersion Equation Different Forms

    General Equation Plume with Reflection for Stack Height H

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2222zzyzy

    HzHzy

    u

    QHzyxC

    expexpexp);,,(

    Ground Level Concentration Stack at Height H

    2

    2

    2

    2

    220zyzy

    Hy

    u

    Q

    HyxC expexp);,,(

    Ground Level Center Line Concentration Stack at Height H

    2

    2

    2

    00

    zzy

    H

    u

    QHxC

    exp);,,(

    Ground Level Center Line Ground Point Source

    zyu

    QxC

    );,,( 000

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    Cross-wind Dispersion, y

    A B C D E

    F

    11

    10

    100

    1,000

    10,000

    10 100

    Distance Downwind, km

    y,meters

    Pasquill-GiffordSigmas

    Rural

    0.1

    A-B

    McElroy-PoolerSigmas

    Urban

    C D E-F

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    Vertical Dispersion, z

    11

    10

    100

    1,000

    10,000

    10 100

    Distance Downwind, km

    z,meters

    A

    B

    C

    DE

    F

    Pasquill-GiffordSigmas

    Rural

    McElroy-PoolerSigmas

    Urban

    A-B

    C

    D

    E-F

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    Effective Stack Height

    h

    hs 's

    h

    Dh

    Buoyant ormomentum

    stage

    hhhhhh sdws DDD'

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    Calculation of Effective Stack Height

    Note that H = hs + Dh, where Dh is the plume rise.

    Plume rise is dependant on stack characteristics,Meteorology, and physico-chemical nature of effluent.

    * Carson-Moses Equation:

    s

    h

    s

    s

    u

    Q

    u

    dVh

    21

    62.2029.0 D

    * Holland Formula:

    D

    dV

    Q

    u

    dVh

    s

    h

    s

    s 0096051 ..

    * Concawe Formula:

    6940

    4440

    714.

    .

    .s

    h

    u

    Qh D

    Where

    asph TTCmQ

    Qh is Energy (Cal/sec) Outputfrom Stack

    Vs Stack Exit Velocitys is ambient velocity or windspeed at source

    d is stack diameter

    Cp Specific heat for air

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    Wake Region

    Building Downwash

    Building Cavity

    Undisturbed Flow

    Hg

    Height To Undisturbed FlowOR

    Height Of Wake Region

    DownwashEffects

    T i Eff t

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    Hc

    mass fraction of the plume below Hc

    Terrain Effect

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    Levels of Model SophisticationRecognized by the Modeling Guidelines

    ScreeningRelatively simple estimation techniques that provide

    conservative estimates of air-quality impact. Some examplesof screening models are CAL3QHC, CAL3QHCR, COMPLEX1,CTSCREEN, LONGZ, RTDM3.2, SCREEN3, SHORTZ, TSCREEN,

    VALLEY and VISCREEN

    RefinedAnalytical techniques that provide more detailed treatment of

    physical and chemical atmospheric processes, require moredetailed and precise input data, and provide more specialized

    concentration estimates. Some examples of refineddispersion models are BLP, CALINE3, CDM2, CTDMPLUS, ISC,ISC-PRIME, OCD, RAM and UAM-IV.

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    Simplistic Air Dispersion Model

    Limited Capabilities Compared to RefinedModels

    Less Accurate Than Refined Models Easier to Set Up and Run

    Gives Conservative Results (i.e.,overpredicts compared to refined models)

    What is a Screening Model?

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    Refined Dispersion Models

    ISCST3

    AERMOD

    CALPUFF

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    ISCST3 Modeling System

    Industrial Source Complex Model

    Modeling of Plume Dispersion is Crude

    Only 6 possible states (Stability Classes)

    No variation in meteorological variables with height

    No use of observed turbulence data

    No information about surface characteristics

    Substantial over prediction in complex terrain

    Crude building downwash algorithm

    33

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    AERMOD Modeling System

    AERMOD is American Meteorological Society/Environmental Protection Agency RegulatoryModel

    Steady-state plume model that incorporatesair dispersion based on planetary boundarylayer turbulence structure and scalingconcepts, including treatment of both surface

    and elevated sources, and both simple andcomplex terrain.

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    CALPUFF Modeling System

    A non-steady-state puff dispersion modelthat simulates the effects of time- and

    space-varying meteorological conditionson pollution transport, transformation,and removal. CALPUFF can be applied for

    long range transport and for complexterrain.

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    AERMOD

    3 COMPONENTS

    AERMET The Meteorological Preprocessor

    AERMAP The Terrain Data Preprocessor

    AERMOD The Dispersion Model

    2 SUPPORT TOOLS

    AERSURFACE Processes Surface Characteristics Data

    AERSCREEN Provides a Screening Tool

    36

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    Comparison of ISC & AERMOD

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    Feature ISCST3 AERMOD Comments

    Types of Sources Point, Area, Volume Point, Area, Volume Models are Comparable

    Plume Rise Uses Briggs equations withStack-top wind speed andvertical temp gradient

    In stable use BriggsIn convective uses randomconvective velocities

    AERMOD superior inaccounting for convectiveupdrafts and downdrafts

    Met Data Input One level of data accepted An arbitrarily large numberof data levels can be

    accommodated

    AERMOD can adapt multiplelevels of data to various

    stack and plume heightsProfiling Met Data Only wind speed is profiled Creates profiles for wind,

    temperature and turbulenceMore accurate portrayal ofactual conditions

    Plume Dispersion Gaussian treatment inhorizontal and vertical

    Same for stable only; non-Gaussian probability densityin vertical for unstableconditions

    More accurate portrayal ofactual conditions

    Urban Treatment Urban option either on oroff Population is specified sotreatment can consider avariety of urban conditions;sources can individually bemodeled urban or rural

    More options to depictsurban characteristics

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    Data Requirement for Modeling

    Source Data

    Background Concentrations

    Meteorological Data Terrain Information

    Buildings Dimensions

    Receptor Location

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    Source Input Data (Typical)

    Locations

    Physical dimensions

    Stack heights and diameters

    Building dimensions

    Source Type

    Source shapes

    Emission properties

    Emission rates

    Exit temperatures

    Exit velocities

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    Source Types

    EmissionDuration

    Instantaneous

    Continuous

    Source Geometry

    Point Line Area Volume

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    ISCST3 Met. Data File

    The ISCST3 meteorological data files can be

    Unformatted sequential files of meteorological data

    generated by the PCRAMMET and the MPRM preprocessors

    Or formatted ASCII files that contain sequential hourly

    records of meteorological variables, and provide hourly

    stability class, wind direction, wind speed, temperature, and

    mixing height

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    Stability Class

    We use the Pasquill Index, which prescribes one of a series of classes, which may

    be named by a single letter or a descriptive phrase:

    LETTER PHRASE

    A Very unstable

    B Moderately unstable

    C Slightly unstable

    D Neutral

    E Slightly stable

    F Moderately stable

    G Very stable

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    Stability Classes

    Pasqill stability categories

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    Stability

    Class

    Amount of wind swing

    over 2 hours

    Vertical diffusion

    produced

    Lateral diffusion

    produced

    A Over 135o Very large Very large

    B 105o 135o Large Large

    C 75o 105oModerate tolarge

    Moderate tolarge

    D 45o 75oModerate tosmall

    Moderate tosmall

    E 15o 45o Small Small

    FUnder 15o or very littlerapid variation and slow

    variation under 30o

    Very small Very small

    GUnder 15o or very littlerapid variation and slowvariation over 30o

    Very small Large

    Interpretation of the Stability Classes

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    Wind Velocity U for the Model

    U = f(z) given by (U/U1) = (z/z1)p, where p depends onatmospheric stability.

    Appropriate value of U for dispersion model is the meanvalue through the plume.

    If mean U is unavailable, use appropriate U at stack

    height. In most cases only U10m is available- thencorrect for U at stack height using above equation.

    If no mention of height of measurement of U is madeuse U as mean. If measured height is specified for U,then correct for it to get U at stack height.

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    Default Wind Profile

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    3928 03 13996 0808 1 1 1 161.0000 3.0866 270.4 6 509.5 113.0 .2428 45.2 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 2 148.0000 4.1155 270.9 5 517.7 113.0 .3614 100.2 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 3 154.0000 5.1444 272.0 4 526.0 526.0 .4756 212.6 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 4 173.0000 6.1733 270.9 4 534.3 534.3 .5761 264.1 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 5 173.0000 7.7166 271.5 4 542.5 542.5 .7348 549.1 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 6 182.0000 6.1733 270.9 4 550.8 550.8 .5761 264.1 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 7 165.0000 5.6588 269.8 4 559.1 559.1 .5228 208.9 .1500 0 .0008 1 1 8 173.0000 5.6588 269.8 4 567.4 567.4 .5228 208.9 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 9 177.0000 6.6877 272.0 4 575.6 575.6 .6298 346.5 .1500 0 .0008 1 110191.0000 7.2022 273.7 4 583.9 583.9 .6995 -999.0 .1500 0 .0008 1 111174.0000 8.7455 275.4 4 592.2 592.2 .8530 -999.0 .1500 0 .0008 1 112166.0000 8.2310 277.0 4 600.5 600.5 .8061 -750.8 .1500 0 .0008 1 113183.0000 8.2310 278.7 4 608.7 608.7 .8067 -691.5 .1500 0 .0008 1 114129.0000 7.2022 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .7083 -508.8 .1500 0 .0008 1 115132.0000 7.7166 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .7547 -882.9 .1500 0 .0008 1 116154.0000 6.6877 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .6505 -999.0 .1500 0 .0008 1 117151.0000 5.1444 278.2 4 617.0 617.0 .4708 174.7 .1500 0 .0008 1 118127.0000 3.6011 274.3 5 624.6 551.2 .3050 72.3 .1500 0 .0008 1 119 94.0000 3.0866 272.0 6 632.8 479.2 .2433 45.6 .1500 0 .0008 1 120 67.0000 2.0578 270.9 6 641.1 407.2 .0999 10.5 .1500 0 .00

    ISCST3 Met File

    3928 03 13996 08

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    08 1 1 1 161.0000 3.0866 270.4 6 509.5 113.0 .2428 45.2 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 2 148.0000 4.1155 270.9 5 517.7 113.0 .3614 100.2 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 3 154.0000 5.1444 272.0 4 526.0 526.0 .4756 212.6 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 4 173.0000 6.1733 270.9 4 534.3 534.3 .5761 264.1 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 5 173.0000 7.7166 271.5 4 542.5 542.5 .7348 549.1 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 6 182.0000 6.1733 270.9 4 550.8 550.8 .5761 264.1 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 7 165.0000 5.6588 269.8 4 559.1 559.1 .5228 208.9 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 8 173.0000 5.6588 269.8 4 567.4 567.4 .5228 208.9 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 9 177.0000 6.6877 272.0 4 575.6 575.6 .6298 346.5 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 10 191.0000 7.2022 273.7 4 583.9 583.9 .6995 -999.0 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 11 174.0000 8.7455 275.4 4 592.2 592.2 .8530 -999.0 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 12 166.0000 8.2310 277.0 4 600.5 600.5 .8061 -750.8 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 13 183.0000 8.2310 278.7 4 608.7 608.7 .8067 -691.5 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 14 129.0000 7.2022 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .7083 -508.8 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 15 132.0000 7.7166 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .7547 -882.9 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 16 154.0000 6.6877 279.3 4 617.0 617.0 .6505 -999.0 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 17 151.0000 5.1444 278.2 4 617.0 617.0 .4708 174.7 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 18 127.0000 3.6011 274.3 5 624.6 551.2 .3050 72.3 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 19 94.0000 3.0866 272.0 6 632.8 479.2 .2433 45.6 .1500 0 .00

    08 1 1 20 67.0000 2.0578 270.9 6 641.1 407.2 .0999 10.5 .1500 0 .00

    ISCLT3 M t D t Fil

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    CAT1 CAT2 CAT3 CAT4 CAT5 CAT6

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 A

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 *

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.0000000.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.100000 0.300000 0.250000 0.150000 0.075000 0.050000 *

    0.150000 0.350000 0.220000 0.110000 0.080000 0.200000

    0.150000 0.150000 0.100000 0.230000 0.300000 0.250000

    0.350000 0.150000 0.300000 0.300000 0.450000 0.300000

    0.250000 0.050000 0.130000 0.210000 0.095000 0.200000 *

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

    ISCLT3 Met. Data File2008

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    * ISCLT3 (96113): PB RUN FOR ISCLT3 MODEL - BASED ON 2003 VALUES

    * MODELING OPTIONS USED:* CONC RURAL FLAT DFAULT* PLOT FILE OF PERIOD VALUES FOR SOURCE GROUP: ALL* FOR A TOTAL OF 352 RECEPTORS.* FORMAT: (2(1X,F13.5),1X,F14.6,1X,F8.2,2X,A6,2X,A8,2X,A8)

    Output Plot file

    X Y CONC ZELEV AVE GROUP NET ID

    76.53668 184.77591 0.000000 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    191.34172 461.93976 0.000000 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    229.61006 554.32770 0.000002 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    267.87839 646.71570 0.000015 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    306.14673 739.10364 0.000057 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    344.41510 831.49158 0.000140 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    382.68344 923.87952 0.000265 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    574.02515 1385.81934 0.001029 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

    765.36688 1847.75903 0.001539 0.00 PERIOD ALL POL1

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    52

    Calculate the following equation:

    X = Q exp (-1/2(H/ z )2)

    y z U

    Q = 4800 g/sec

    y = 550 m

    z = 135 mU = 11 m/s

    H = 100 m

    2.

    Where = 3.14

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    53

    Calculate night time concentration of oxides of Nitrogen1 Km downwind of an open burning dump, If the dump

    emits 2g/sec of NO2. The wind speed is 4m/sec atz=10m . y=70m of 1 hr average diffusion coefficient , and

    z=50m. If dump is point source.

    Q

    X(x,0,0,0) = y z U

    X(x,0,z,0) = Q exp(-1/2((z-H)/ z)2)

    y z U

    1.

    Where = 3.14

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    54

    g/m3 = ppm * MW * 106

    24,500

    PPm = g/m3 * 24,500 * 10-6

    MW

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    i) Normal Scenarios:

    a) Emission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) at -30oC of gas

    ii) Emergency Scenarios:

    b) Emission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) at fire condition.

    2CH4 + 3O2 2CO +4H2O

    CH4 + 5O2 + 3(3.76)N2 4NO + NO2 + CO2 + 2H2O

    Modeling Scenarios:Modeling scenarios based on the various environmental, storage and decking

    conditions:

    Equation

    c) Emission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) explosion /storage tank rupture.

    Equation

    d) Emission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) explosion without storage tank rupture.

    LNG Storage Tank Modeling

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    MODELING INPUTSLNG molecular weight = 18

    Density (at 1013.25 mbar at atm. Pressure equilibrium) = 420 kg / m3. LNG

    Density = 423 kg / m3 or 3.530106 lb/gal(US). Liquid phase @ -161.6oC

    Density = 0.681 kg / m3. Gas phase @ 0oC

    Vapor pressure (psia) at 40oF =0.07117, Vapor pressure (psia) at 50oF =0.07117

    Vapor pressure (psia) at 60oF = 0.06827, Vapor pressure (psia) at 70oF= 0.06827

    Vapor pressure (psia) at 80oF= 0.06685, Vapor pressure (psia) at 90oF =0.065427

    Vapor pressure (psia) at 100oF =0.064005

    Tank 1 volume = 13,722 m3 = 484587.86 ft3

    Tank 2 volume = 26,153 m3 = 923584.48 ft3

    Tank 3 volume = 30,049 m3 = 1061170.42 ft3

    Tank 4 volume = 30,031 m3 = 1060534.76 ft3Tank 5 volume = 30,043 m3 = 1060958.53 ft3

    Length overall LOA = 280.6 m = 920.65 ft

    Length between perpendiculars Lpp = 266 m

    Breadth = 41.6 m = 136.4896 ft

    Turnover per year = 100 (No. of times tank is filled or empted in a year)

    Depth = 27.5 m = 90.2275 ft = 6.94ft

    Net Throughput (gal/yr) = 100*2383740 = 238374000 (turnover multiplied by tank volume)

    Gas sent our rate = 750 m3/hr = 26486 ft3/hr = 635664 ft3/day = 232017360 ft3/year

    Floating Storage Unit (FSU) = 135,000 m3 or 35663227.06835 gal or 4767480 ft3 or

    2383740 ft3 (divided by 2) or 17831613.506494 gal

    Turnover per year = Gas sent our rate / Floating Storage Unit (FSU) = 232017360 / 2383740 = 100

    Height of the Tank = 24.6 m

    Diameter of the Tank = 37.5 m

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    NORMAL SCENARIOEmission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) atnormal atmospheric conditions

    24-Hourly Concentrations Monthly Concentrations

    Pollutant MonthsConcentration

    (mg/m3)Pollutant Months

    Concentration(mg/m3)

    CH4 Jan 462.7637 CH4 Jan 132.57381

    CH4 Feb 510.83643 CH4 Feb 89.64204

    CH4 Mar 306.90994 CH4 Mar 119.48125

    CH4 Apr 342.24738 CH4 Apr 149.258

    CH4 May 328.27609 CH4 May 114.94402

    CH4 Jun 306.90994 CH4 Jun 116.56017

    CH4 Jul 524.43585 CH4 Jul 171.97145

    CH4 Aug 521.18225 CH4 Aug 192.47266CH4 Sep 521.18225 CH4 Sep 167.50706

    CH4 Oct 524.43585 CH4 Oct 171.97145

    CH4 Nov 521.18225 CH4 Nov 186.60109

    CH4 Dec 521.18225 CH4 Dec 169.73735

    Color Contour Map for the month of January

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Color Contour Map for the month of February

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    p y

    Color Contour Map for the month of June

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Emergency Scenario:

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Emergency Scenario:Emission of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vapors (Loss of containment) due to failureof temperature control system due to collision, Tsunami or other freak weatherincidence

    24-hourly Concentrations Monthly Concentrations

    Pollutant MonthsConcentration

    (mg/m3)Pollutant Months

    Concentration(mg/m3)

    CH4 Jan 276732.7813 CH4 Jan 79279.16406

    CH4 Feb 305480.3125 CH4 Feb 53605.95703

    CH4 Mar 212716.7656 CH4 Mar 56145.87891

    CH4 Apr 196309.0938 CH4 Apr 67950.23438

    CH4 May 183532.1406 CH4 May 81289.50781

    CH4 Jun 183532.1406 CH4 Jun 81289.50781

    CH4 Jul 196309.1094 CH4 Jul 68736.59375

    CH4 Aug 311666.9688 CH4 Aug 115098.5078

    CH4 Sep 311666.9688 CH4 Sep 100169.0391

    CH4 Oct 313612.625 CH4 Oct 102838.6719

    CH4 Nov 311666.9688 CH4 Nov 111587.1719

    CH4 Dec 311666.9688 CH4 Dec 101502.7656

    Color Contour Map for the month of January

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Color Contour Map for the month of February

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Color Contour Map for the month of June

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Shadow modeling of KPT Tower Complex

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Shadow modeling of KPT Tower Complex

    EW

    S

    N

    Equinoxes-ISunrise: 06:42 Hrs

    Culmination: 12:41 Hrs

    Sunset: 18:41 Hrs

    Latitude: 24.54 oN

    Building Height: 330.098 m

    S.No

    Time(PST)

    Sun Parameters Shadow

    Elevation Azimuth Directionelongation

    (m)

    1 0700 4.7 o 92.1 o 270 o 3979.9

    2 0730 11.5 o 95.3 o 280 o 1614.74

    3 0800 18.3 o 98.6 o 290 o 996.38

    4 0900 31.6 o 106.2 o 300 o 535.28

    5 1000 44.4 o 116.4 o 310 o 337.18

    6 1100 56.7 o 131.8 o 320 o 224.78

    7 1200 63.8 o 157.3 o 350 162.42

    8 1300 65.1 o 192.4 o 15 o 153.41

    9 1400 58.7 o 221.7 o 30 o 200.52

    10 1500 48.1 o 239.7 o 50 o 296.19

    11 1600 35.7 o 251.1 o 67 o 459.71

    12 1700 22.5 o 259.3 o 78 o 797.24

    13 1800 9.0 o 266.1 o 85 o 2092.01o o o

    (21 March 2007)Equinoxes-I

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    0730 0800 09001000

    18001700

    1600

    1500140013001100

    0700

    0700 0730 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800

    3979.91614.7

    4 996.38 535.28 337.18 224.78 162.42 153.41 200.52 296.19 459.71 797.242092.0

    1

    (23 September 2007)Equinoxes-II

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800

    2306 830 473 304 205 155 161 220 330 521 955 3436

    0700 0800 0900 1000

    17301700

    160015001400

    13001100

    (15th May 2007)Summer

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    07000800

    0900 1000

    173017001600

    15001400

    13001100

    0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1830

    11136 1254 618 371 228 128 50 55 135 238 385 545 1348 25166

    33.74 3.80 1.87 1.12 0.69 0.39 0.15 0.17 0.41 0.72 1.17 1.65 4.08 76.24

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Modeling Of

    Karachi Elevated

    Expressway (KEE)

    CO Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-I on Baloch colony

    X-Coordinates (Meters)

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    Y-Coordinates -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    20023.4

    835.6

    142.4

    652.5

    557.6

    458.6

    757.2

    835.6

    925.8

    1

    100

    57.8

    4

    83.1

    1

    89.4

    1

    85.1

    7

    77.5

    5

    70.0

    3

    63.5

    8

    35.6

    8

    25.0

    9

    5053.6

    982.9

    391.7

    088.5

    281.0

    873.1

    566.6

    436.7

    426.3

    6

    -5030.1

    839.6

    944.0

    845.2

    544.5

    042.6

    339.2

    820.2

    114.7

    4

    -10028.9

    133.5

    543.4

    752.2

    456.3

    757.0

    255.6

    534.6

    125.6

    3

    CO Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-II on Baloch colony

    Y-Coordinates

    X-Coordinates (Meters)

    -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    20023.9

    833.9

    37.76

    38.36

    37.34

    36.58

    35.53

    19.32

    12.88

    10019.8

    330.7

    737.1

    546.4

    451.0

    552

    50.77

    31.45

    22.6

    5045.7

    666.6

    372.0

    268.7

    162.5

    856.4

    851.2

    531.4

    121.9

    5

    -5045.6

    759.5

    466.1

    763.9

    958.7

    553.3

    148.5

    726.4

    218.5

    9

    -10025.6

    434.2

    938.5

    339.8

    539.3

    537.7

    934.9

    617.8

    712.9

    6

    CO Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-III on Baloch colony

    Y-Coordinates

    X-Coordinates (Meters)

    -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    20034.4

    844.7

    548.6

    957.0

    672.7

    883.1

    489.9

    385.8

    678.2

    5

    100 33.247.1

    154.4

    856.8

    463.3

    774.3

    382.6

    780.0

    173.5

    1

    5045.3

    661.1

    864.9

    962.3

    257.2

    341.7

    544.5

    251.0

    243.5

    3

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    Pakistan Space & Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)

    NOx Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-I on Baloch colony

    YX-Coordinates (Meters)

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    Y-Coordinate

    s

    -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    200 4.63 7.4412.6

    913.4

    711.4

    310.7

    39.67 8.48 6.92

    100 3.71 6.1111.1

    9

    11.8

    1 9.92 8.95 8.18 6.80 6.16

    5019.4

    728.8

    843.8

    340.0

    534.5

    533.5

    725.4

    318.1

    014.7

    4

    -5022.5

    526.3

    035.3

    828.7

    132.6

    326.1

    128.1

    620.8

    016.9

    1

    -100 6.97 8.6615.2

    317.6

    513.4

    214.7

    511.2

    311.6

    69.50

    NOx Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-II on Baloch colony

    Y-Coordinates

    X-Coordinates (Meters)

    -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    200 1.76 2.3 3.44 3.14 4.01 3.39 2.78 2.77 2.32

    10018.3

    223.8

    833.1

    931.2

    528.7

    821.9

    128.2

    917.5

    814.7

    4

    5016.4

    122.5

    333.8

    131.4

    328.9 20.8

    27.75

    15.83

    12.71

    -50 1.81 2.35 3.27 3.09 2.84 2.12 2.78 1.62 1.3

    -1001.2 1.67 3.06 2.65 4.89 4.38 2.17 3.58 2.99

    NOx Average Concentrations in g/m3 at Level-III on Baloch colony

    Y-Coordinates

    X-Coordinates (Meters)

    -100

    -50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

    2007.65

    514.0

    115.3

    314.8

    114.8

    117.1

    218.0

    315.5

    77.65

    5

    10013.7

    827.5

    425.9

    827.6

    926.4

    525

    22.63

    20.55

    13.78

    50 13.56 29.35 30.86 27.9 24.71 24.89 22.25 20.01 13.56

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