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DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS • ECONOMICS • FINANCIAL ADVISORY • MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy onto the Grid? An Analysis of California Programs and CAISO Requirements Stuart Schare Director, Energy Practice National Town Meeting on Demand Response and Smart Grid Washington, DC July 11, 2013
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Page 1: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS • ECONOMICS • FINANCIAL ADVISORY • MANAGEMENT CONSULTING

Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy onto the Grid?An Analysis of California Programs and CAISO Requirements

Stuart SchareDirector, Energy Practice

National Town Meeting on Demand Response and Smart GridWashington, DCJuly 11, 2013

Page 2: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

“Reliability” DR programs are larger & more common than “price-responsive” or “economic” DR

Fewer programs with fewer MW have attributes that may be able to provide energy or ancillary services

Smallest subset of all might have attributes needed to provide regulation-up services (much less reg-down)

Most DR Programs Are Not Designed to Provide Ancillary Services

Page 3: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

An initial test is whether they meet CAISO requirements for ancillary services:

Advance Notice of Deployment

Speed of Response to Control Signal

Duration of Response

Frequency of Response

Range of Permissible Deviation

Ramping and load following services to support renewables integration may be less onerous

Can Existing IOU DR Programs in CaliforniaProvide Renewables Integration Services?

Sources: CAISO and various California studies

Page 4: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

Event duration is generally sufficient

Other requirements met by few programs

Precision of delivered load drop (“deviation”) is problematic, especially for fast response

Current IOU DR programs in California have limited ability

to meet CAISO ancillary services requirements

Page 5: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

California DR programs—as a portfolio—are a long way from being able to provide ancillary services

On average, across programs, DR cannot provide even non-spinning reserves

But maybe some individual programs could support renewables integration…?

Page 6: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

A few DR programs come close to having the attributes needed to provide non-spinning reserves

Page 7: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

Program-by-program assessment of potential modifications

Modifications could not change the fundamental nature of a program

Modifications may reduce the number of customers willing/able to participate in DR

Key modifications:Telemetry for real-time communications, metering, and controlAutomated response to control signalsReduced/no advance notification time Increased frequency with which DR resource could be dispatched.

Could DR programs be modified to provide renewables integration services?

Page 8: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

Increase is most significant for spinning and non-spinning reserves

On average, programs still fall short of CAISO standards

Modifications could significantly increase the ability of

the average program to meet CAISO AS standards

Page 9: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

Five programs could meet all requirements

Aggregator programs (3) Agricultural pumping Customer-sited generation Most program would be deficient in

just one or two attributes (deviation and…?)

Some programs could be modified to meet CAISO non-spinning reserve requirements

Page 10: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

A few likely can provide non-spinning reserves

Slightly fewer meet spinning reserve requirements

Regulation requires special equipment and characteristics that will limit DR’s applications—but how much do we need?

Typical DR program structures are not well-suited for precise response in minutes or seconds

Page 11: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

New DR programs could be designed specifically to provide

renewable energy integration services

Attributes Required

Continuous Ramping/ Load Following

Spinning & Non-Spinning Reserves Regulation Services

Telemetry Required

Automated response

Required

Response time Less than one hour, but some could be up to 10 hours

Less than 10 minutes; less than 10 second to begin ramping is desirable

Seconds

Event limitations10 hours or more duration, minimum of one hour

Dozens to more than 100 events lasting at least one hour each

Continuous availability desired

Daily/seasonal availability

24x7 year-round, with seasonal variation 24x7 year-round 24x7 year-round

Target end usesCommercial lighting and HVAC

Agricultural and municipal pumping, electric water heat

Temperature controlled warehouses, industrial motor loads on VFDs

Page 12: DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS ECONOMICS FINANCIAL ADVISORY MANAGEMENT CONSULTING Can Today's Demand Response Programs Support Integration of Renewable Energy.

KeyC O N T A C T S

©2010 Navigant Consulting, Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.

KeyC O N T A C T S

©2010 Navigant Consulting, Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.

KeyC O N T A C T S

©2010 Navigant Consulting, Inc. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute or copy.

KeyC O N T A C T S

©2012 Navigant Consulting, Inc. . 12

ENERGY

Stuart SchareDirector | Energy [email protected] office

ENERGY


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