Tab 13

Disruptive Trends In Transportation Ronald T. Milam | AICP, PTP March 2018

Trends

Trends 1970 to 2004 INCREASE

2004

Trends 2017 to 2040 UNCERTAINTY

Trend Effects Tipping Point

95% of Passenger Miles by 2030 Delivered by Transportation as a

Service (TaaS) in Autonomous Electric Vehicles (AEVs)

https://tonyseba.com | 2018 TRB Presentation

Trend Effects Evidence New York Chicago

Boston Los Angeles

www.schallerconsult.com | 2018 TRB Presentation

TNC Effects Evidence

60+ % of TNC Trips Are New Vehicle Trips

Regional Travel Demand Models

9

Freeway Simulations

2

TNCs to AVs Fehr & Peers Testing

AV Tests Vehicle Results

AV Tests Transit Results

AV Effects Evidence

Policy Response

Disruptive Trends In Transportation Ronald T. Milam | AICP, PTP March 2018