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Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company. *This is an edited version of the presentation in order to accommodate its availability for the website.
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Page 1: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review

June 2007

This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company.

*This is an edited version of the presentation in order to accommodate its availability for the website.

Page 2: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

2

TODAY’S DISCUSSION TOPICS

• Dorchester/Mattapan overview

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools - Areas of opportunity– Overall– School configuration– Physical school structures– Offerings and value proposition

• Survey Summaries– Parents– Teachers– Principals

• Process Timeline

Page 3: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

3

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN POPULATION IS YOUNGER THAN THE OVERALL BOSTON POPULATION

*Boston MSA includes Boston, Cambridge, Quincy, Newton, and Framingham

Source:ESRI; team analysis

Population by age, 2006Percent, thousands of people

12 17

2429

3227

32 26

131

Dorchester

4,500

Boston MSA*

<20

20-40

40-60

60+

100% =

Medianage

31 37

• Overall, Dorchester/Mattapan has a much younger population vs. the entire Boston metropolitan area (32% of the population in Dorchester/Mattapan vs. 26% of people in Boston)

• Its overall population expected to stay relatively flat over the next 5 years at 131K people

• However, forecasts predict fewer people under 20 years of age by 2011

School aged population

Page 4: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

4

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN HAS ~40K PEOPLE UNDER THE AGE OF 20

11,35210,83110,659

2,9292,197

Pre-K Grade5-8

Grade 9-12

Grade1-4

Kindergarten

Dorchester/Mattapan “under 20” population by corresponding grade level, 2006Number of people

Note:Not all children actually enrolled in a Dorchester school

Source:Dorchester Catholic School Review, 04/23/07; team analysis

Catholic school penetrationPercent

1.0 11.2 7.2 5.5 n/a

Page 5: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

5

AT RISK OF LOSING CLOSE TO 2,000 PREK-9th GRADERS WITHIN 5 YEARS

Source: ESRI; team analysis

Dorchester/Mattapan “under 20” population by age, 2006Number of people

• Lost ~3,000 Pre-K-9th grade students from 2000 to 2006, a 8% drop (vs. ~18% drop for Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools over the same period)

• Expected to lose ~2,000 Pre-K-9th grade students by 2011 (from 30.7K students to 28.8K students), a 6% drop

Pre-high-school population

10.6 11.7 10.7

11.9 11.68.8

11.9 9.3

9.3

10.110.2

10.6

44.4

2000

42.8

2006

39.3

2011E

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

-1%-2%

Page 6: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

6

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN HOUSEHOLDS HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER INCOMES THAN THE BOSTON HOUSEHOLDS

10

1828

31

57

35

87

22

131

Dorchester

4,500

Boston MSA*

<$50

$50-100

$100-150

$150-200

>$200

100% =

Population by income level, 2006Percent, thousands of people

Projected growth in income, 2006-11Percent

3.1 4.2

*Boston MSA includes Boston, Cambridge, Quincy, Newton, and Framingham

Source:ESRI; team analysis

Page 7: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

7

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN IS A COMPETITIVE SCHOOL SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE SCHOOL CHOICES FOR PARENTS

Catholic

Charter

Public

• 33 elementary schools in the Dorchester/Mattapan region– 8 Catholic schools– 3 charter schools– 22 public schools

• PreK/extended day care also offered at sites outside Catholic, charter, and public schools

• METCO also an option for students (allowing inner city students to attend suburban schools)

• Public and charter schools do not charge tuition

• Catholic schools charge varying tuition rates based on school, in-Parish vs. out-of-Parish student, students’ financial need

Source: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic School Review, 04/23/07; team analysis

Page 8: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

8

TODAY’S DISCUSSION TOPICS

• Dorchester/Mattapan overview

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools - Areas of opportunity– Overall– School configuration– Physical school structures– Offerings and value proposition• Survey Summaries

• Parents• Teachers• Principals• Process Timeline

Page 9: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

9

THERE ARE 8 CATHOLIC SCHOOLS IN THE DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN REGION

Source:School data

• Blessed Mother Teresa • St. Ann

• St. Peter • St. Brendan

• St. Mark • St. Gregory

• St. Kevin • St. Angela Merici

Page 10: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

10

CATHOLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT NUMBERS

Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools enrollment by grade, 2006Percent, number of students

76

110 111 105 107 9877

97

59 71

68

75 85 87 9385

74

83

7265

220

22

Pre-K

144

Grade 3

200

Grade 2

183

Grade 4

151

Grade 5

180

Grade 6

131

Grade 7

192

Grade 8Grade 1

196

K2

185

K1

136

Source:Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic School Review, 04/23/07; Enrollment model; team analysis

Page 11: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

11

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN CATHOLIC SCHOOLS ARE SPREAD EVENLY THROUGHOUT THE REGION IN AREAS OF DIFFERING POPULATION DENSITY

Source:ESRI Business Analyst; team analysis

Population density by block groups, 2006 Total population/square mile

2,793-10,260

10,261 – 17,540

17,541 – 23,760

23,761 – 30,080

30,081 – 40,660

BL Mother TeresaSt. Kevin

St. Ann

St. Brendan

St. Gregory

St. Mark

St. Peter

St. Angela

Page 12: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

12

THE POPULATION DENSITY PROFILE OF DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE THROUGH 2011

Population density by block groups, 2011 Total population/square mile

Source:ESRI Business Analyst; team analysis

BL Mother TeresaSt. Kevin

St. Ann

St. Brendan

St. Gregory

St. Mark

St. Peter

St. Angela

2,793 - 10,227

10,228 – 17,523

17,524 – 23,948

23,949– 30,886

30,887 – 41,049

Page 13: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

13

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN CATHOLIC SCHOOLS CAN BE ASSESSED ALONG 3 KEY FACTORS

Key findings

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools are in relatively poor condition• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools are primarily old buildings from 1900-1950• No school is up to date• Schools may be well maintained but have old boilers, old windows and fixtures,

etc.

2 Physical school structures

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools enrollment has been declining since 2000 (e.g., -2% annually) and is expected to lose ~10% of its current student population by 2011

• Approximately two-thirds of Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools are running a deficit and are operating significantly below original capacity

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools serve a diverse community with each school typically serving 1 key ethnic group

1 School configuration

• Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools need to offer a unified value proposition to parents, Parishioners, teachers, and the community at large

• Given varying tuition and size of buildings and maintenance, there is confusion among parents about the quality of education from school to school

• The quality of education in the schools is not necessarily aligned to tuition.• There is a need for consistency for quality of education in each school

3 Offerings and value proposition

Page 14: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

14

THE CATHOLIC SCHOOL STUDENT POPULATION IS SHRINKING AND EXPECTED TO DROP ~10-20% BY 2011

Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic schools enrollment, 2003-2011ENumber of students

1,5601,6841,7201,689

1,785

1,987

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2011E

-5%

-2%

Projection

• The Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic school enrollment has declined at ~2% annually since 2000

• This decline has increased in recent years (e.g., -5% annually from 2003 to 2006)

• Based on recent trajectories, the Catholic school student population will shrink by ~10% over the next 5 years

• Much of the student loss has come from students leaving for exam schools after 6th grade

Note:Based on 2000-2006 growth rates for each school

Source:ABSCO model; team analysis

1

Page 15: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

15

DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN CATHOLIC SCHOOLS ALSO SERVE AREAS OF DIFFERING INCOME LEVELS

Median household income by block groups, 2006

Source:ESRI Business Analyst; team analysis

$15,969 – 28,638

$28,639 – 37,888

$37,889 – 46,963

$46,964 – 57,368

$57,369 – 80,104

BL Mother TeresaSt. Kevin

St. Ann

St. Brendan

St. Gregory

St. Mark

St. Peter

St. Angela

1

Page 16: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

16

Physical School Structures

2

Page 17: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

17

APPROXIMATELY 3/4 OF DORCHESTER/MATTAPAN CATHOLIC SCHOOLS NEED PHYSICAL REPAIR

Source: Dorchester/Mattapan School Review, 04/23/2007; Team analysis

School ConditionCost to updateDollars

• Blessed Mother Teresa of Calcutta

Average 6,808,995

• St. Peter Elementary Poor 7,019,416

• St. Mark Elementary Average 7,462,764

• St. Kevin Elementary Poor 9,020,411

• St. Ann Elementary Poor 7,123,203

• St. Brendan Elementary Good 5,339,917

• St. Gregory Elementary Good 7,710,276

• St. Angela Elementary Average 7,391,673

• Only 2 of 8 schools are considered to be in good condition:– St. Gregory– St. Brendan

• 3 of the 8 schools are considered to be in average condition:

• St. Mark• BMT• St. Angela

• 3 of the 8 schools are considered to be in poor condition:

• St. Peter• St. Kevin• St. Ann

2

TOTAL: 57,876,655

Page 18: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

18

Offerings and Value Proposition

3

Page 19: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

19

Average student tuition, 2006Dollars

3,5003,275

2,500

3,500

Average3,194

St. MarkSt. KevinSt. PeterBlessed Mother Teresa

TUITION RATES VARY SIGNIFICANTLY BY SCHOOL

2,750

3,700

2,850

3,425

St. Angela

Average3,181

St. Brendan

St. Gregory

St. Ann

Source: Catholic Schools Foundation; team analysis

Average student tuition, 2006Dollars

3

Page 20: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

20

FURTHERMORE, MANY (POTENTIAL) CATHOLIC SCHOOL STUDENTS CANNOT AFFORD THE CURRENT TUITION RATES . . .

Percent of students needing financial aid

28

69

3438

61

47

30

88

St AnnSt Mark St Brendan

Average 49%

St Peter St GregorySt KevinSt AngelaBMT

On average, 49% of students cannot afford tuition

Source: Catholic Schools Foundation; team analysis

3

Page 21: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

21

Average Class Size Per School3

Average class size per school, 2006Students equivalents

17.217.918.419.719.7

20.921.621.8

St. Angela

St. Kevin St. AnnSt. Mark St. PeterBlessed Mother Teresa

St. Gregory

St. Brendan

Source: Enrollment model; School data; team analysis

Average:~20 students per class

Page 22: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

Final Report: Dorchester/Mattapan Elementary Catholic School Surveys

Parents, Teachers, PrincipalsJune 1, 2007

STRATEGIC PLANNING COMMITTEE2010 INITIATIVE

Page 23: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

23

Overview of findings – Parents & Teachers

• St. Angela

• St. Ann

• Blessed Mother Teresa

• St. Brendan

• St. Gregory

• St. Kevin

• St. Mark

• St. Peter

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 24: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

24

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS – PARENTS

•On average, primary reasons parents selected their school, in order:– Quality education– Safety– Location

•On average, the primary strengths parents identify in their schools, in order:– Education– Faith formation– Teachers

•On average, primary weaknesses parents identify, in order:– Facilities– Specials– Cost

Page 25: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

25

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS – PARENTS

• Most parents are very happy with the quality of the education their children are receiving.

• Community:– Many parents are sending their children to a school they

themselves went to, or their parents or other family members attended.

– There is a warm community feel to many of the schools.– Safety and location near home are as important to parents as is the

Catholic faith formation.– Discipline is also important.

• Facility and Supplies:– Most buildings lack basic facilities needed for lower schools, such

as gym and playground space, lunch rooms, art rooms, etc.– Equipment and supplies are often out of date, broken or

unavailable, including text books and computers.

Page 26: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

26

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS – PARENTS

• Staff and Class Size:– Most schools lack support staff (i.e. full time nurse, counselor,

substitute teachers, full time custodian, etc.)– Many schools don’t have enough time and staff to provide learning

support to children who are having trouble keeping up. – Class sizes in many schools are a challenge: Class size in the

lower grades is often too large, while the class size in middle schools are too small.

• Curriculum & Specials: – Given the tuition, parents would like to see more specials offered,

and/or have them offered more frequently, including gym, art and music.

– Many parents want foreign languages offered to the curriculum.

Page 27: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

27

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS – PARENTS

• Families:– Many parents struggle with their current tuition.– The diversity that the schools in Dorchester and Mattapan offer is

generally seen as an asset, giving kids valuable exposures to different cultures.

– There are great discrepancies, across schools, in how involved parents are.

Page 28: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

28

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS – TEACHERS

• On average, teachers feel the top strengths of their schools to be to following:

– The teachers themselves– Faith formation– The administration

• For teachers across the schools, their view of weaknesses and challenges varies quite significantly. Most identify the facility and lack of specials as two areas of weakness.

Page 29: Dorchester/Mattapan Catholic Schools Review June 2007 This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or.

29

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS: PRINCIPALS

•On average the Principals think that the strengths of the schools are:– The teachers– Faith formation– Academics– Administration

• The principals view of the weaknesses of the schools varied. Most identified curriculum development in math and sciences, loss of children to exam and charter schools, need for more specials, and teacher development as areas for improvement.


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