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14 December, 2011 DPI presentation to EDIC Inquiry into greenfields mineral exploration and project development in Victoria
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14 December, 2011

DPI presentation to EDIC Inquiry into greenfields mineral exploration and project development in Victoria

Overview

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Falling value of the sector

Low levels of exploration activity

Greenfields v brownfields

Pipeline of mining projects

Virtuous /vicious cycle

Findings of the Allens report

Impact of geoscience data

SA case study (lessons and insights for Victoria)

Mineral potential

Room to improve (regulations)

Victoria's regulatory framework

MRSDA phase 1

MRSDA phase 2

Community engagement and landowner rights

Mineral sands

Gas

Base metals

Summary & Conclusions

Victoria's Earth Resources Commodities by Revenue ($m) 2010-11

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Oil Gas LPG Stone/Sand Coal MineralSands

Gold

Valu

e ($

m)

Source: DPI

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

ExplorationLicencesGranted

Large MiningLicencesGranted

EnvironmentalEffects

StatementReferrals

EESs Submitted WorkAuthorities

Granted

Number of newmines to

commenceproduction

Number of mineexpansions

1999 - 2009: Victorian Activity Ratios (Minerals)605

697 3 4 2 3

Precompetitive

Exploration2-3 years

ConceptualStudies1 year

Pre-feasibilityStudies3 years

Feasibility Studies

(bankable)2 years

Construction/Pre-production

2- 3 years

Operation to Expansion3-5 years

Inferredresource

IndicatedResource

MeasuredResource

Decision to mine

Victoria: Brownfields exploration - unrelated to discovery activity

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0

Greenfields Exploration Expenditure (annualised $million pa)

Bro

wnf

ield

s Ex

plor

atio

n Ex

pend

iture

(a

nnua

lised

$m

illio

n pa

)

Source: ABS CAT# 8412, March 2011 Release

2003-2011 quarterly 4 pt moving average

Current 2008

Only “Greenfields” (or “grass roots” or “new deposits”) exploration is about new discoveries

Total exploration expenditure” (ABS) includes “brownfields”:

“Existing deposits” – delineating or proving up an existing resource

Expenditure/activity includes anything for an already discovered resource

- to inferred standard or above (i.e. discovery long past)- in existing mines- in in-fill drilling- for mine planning

Globally, on average, total exploration expenditure is about 2.5 times greenfields expenditure

Greenfields (mostly unsuccessful) is “pure discovery” – the primary source of future mines.

Not all “exploration” is discovery oriented

Exploration licence grant rate correlates with greenfield exploration expenditure

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11

Expl

orat

ion

Lice

nces

Gra

nted

in

Vict

oria

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Gre

enfie

ld E

xplo

ratio

n Ex

pend

iture

, $M

Exploration Licence Grants Victoria's New Deposit Exploration Expenditure

Source: DPI for Licence Data and ABS Report 8412, Jun 2011

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1993

/9419

94/95

1995

/9619

96/97

1997

/9819

98/99

1999

/0020

00/01

2001

/0220

02/03

2003

/0420

04/05

2005

/0620

06/07

2007

/0820

08/09

2009

/1020

10/11

Num

ber o

f exp

lora

tion

licen

ces

gran

ted

Gold/Silver/Platinum Mineral Sands Other

Minerals Greenfields Exploration Activity (Victoria) –Insufficient to sustain activity

300 licences = 1 (small) mine 10-15 years later

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

ShorterCycletimes

New minescoming on stream

Improvedperception

of prospectivity

Increasedgreenfieldsexploration

New depositsidentified

Virtuous Cycle

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Exploration cost of new mines (35 year history):

Tier 1 (World class mine):

$2.6 billion ($ of the day) per mine* – total exploration (including delineation)

@40% greenfields: > $1.0 billion to find a tier 1 (world class) mine

Victorian greenfields exploration rate: $25 million pa

Small mine (Victoria):

$150 million (current dollars) greenfields exploration costs

* Basis: Tier 1 base metals deposits (14% of deposits accounting for 2/3 of NPV from new mines)Source: Richard Schodde (Minex Consulting), Theo Murphy Think Tank 2010

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Much available land is subject to licences

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

… more about driving demand, farm-ins and enabling work than eviction

Exploration licence cycle time - faster turnover drives greater discovery activity (2003/4 - 2010/11)

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00

Licence Cycle Time, Years

Vict

oria

's G

reen

field

s Ex

plor

atio

n Ex

pend

iture

, % o

f Aus

tral

ia

Sources: ABS, DPI

2003/20042008-2011

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Reviewed $46 million of Victorian government programs in pre- competitive geoscience for impact on greenfields exploration activity and improving perceptions of mineral prospects in the jurisdiction.

“Victoria’s earth resources programs have produced high quality, world class outputs”

“… the reason that these programs may have been ineffective in stimulating greenfields exploration is because the principal source of market failure is not missing information”

“…. an analysis of the impact of geological data stocks on perceived prospectivity (contained in a report by the Fraser Institute) also proved uncompelling”

The earth resources programs were not materially affected by either:

• the quality of products, or systematic failures in the way programs were delivered, or

• exceptionally burdensome aspects of Victoria’s regulatory or policy environment.

Allen Consulting Group Report August 2011

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Recommendations:

Objectives: “articulate clear objectives from the start”

Measures: “KPIs for determining success or otherwise”

Evaluation: needed, “after an appropriate length of time”

Focus: “build on what has been achieved”

Leverage: “company generated data …. publicly accessible sooner …. by voluntary disclosure”

Industry consultation:

“consult with parties outside Australia, or outside Victoria”

Allen Consulting Group Report August 2011

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Fraser Survey: Data availability isn't enough

AlbertaBritish

Columbia

Manitoba

New Brunswick Nfld./Labr

NWT

Nova Scotia

Nunavut

Ontario Quebec Saskatchewan

Yukon

Alaska Arizona

CaliforniaColorado

Idaho Michigan

Minnesota Montana

Nevada New Mexico

South Dakota

Utah

Washington

Wisconsin

Wyoming

New South Wales

Northern Territory Queensland

South Australia

Tasmania

Victoria Western Australia

Indonesia

New Zealand

Papua New Guinea

Philippines

Botswana

Burkina Faso

DRC (Congo)

Ghana

Guinea (Conakry)

Madagascar Mali

Namibia

Niger

South Africa

Tanzania Zambia

Zimbabwe

Argentina

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Ecuador

Guatemala

Honduras

Mexico

Panama

Peru

Venezuela

Bulgaria

China

Finland

Greenland

India

Ireland

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan

Mongolia

Norway

Romania

Russia

Spain

Sweden

Turkey

Vietnam

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1

Mineral Prospectivity

Geo

logi

cal D

atab

ase

Ran

king

Source: Fraser Institute Survey of Mining Companies 2010/2011

Old mining?

High New Potential

Current Mining Jurisdictions

Problem children?

Jurisdictions marked red are known to host iconic mines / deposits

What are we doing? – Ongoing Support

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Providing for a well fed pipeline Assisting projects to emergefrom the pipeline

Maintaining an engaged, aligned& positive industry

Maintaining informed, engaged & positive communities

Geological and resource information (GeoVic)

- closing critical data gaps- tenement data (licences)- Commonwealth (and State) acreage release

Targeted engagement focused on potential

Coordinating efficient approvals across government (scaled facilitation)

Understanding Victoria’s competitive potential & endowments

Targeted engagement – relevant developers (case by case, e.g. mineral sands, gas)

Industry level engagement – reform alignment, monthly meetings, roadshows

Regulatory alignment & streamlining- identifying future pathways & policy options- legislative reforms- administrative reforms- whole of government scanning & networking

General information- DPI website- Resources Roundup, - Discovery periodical

Community engagement framework (see later)

Public meetings (emerging issues)

Ensuring rights are clarified

Regional offices

Working with DPI Regional Directors

What are we doing? – Initiatives

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Initiatives

- Rediscover Victoria – supporting geological data availability & modelling

- VicGCS – Gippsland basin wide models/geophysics for geological carbon dioxide storage potential

- Clean Coal Victoria – planning and community engagement for coal’s long term future

Plus:

- ETIS, CarbonNet

- VGBO (DBI)

- Case by case infrastructure support

- Policy support (e.g. with Cth)

South Australia: A case study in success

South Australia engaged with industry from a standing start –improved alignment, improved promotion, improved support

Quarterly Greenfields Exploration Intensity

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

Sep-03

Dec-03

Mar-04

Jun-0

4Sep

-04Dec

-04Mar-

05Ju

n-05

Sep-05

Dec-05

Mar-06

Jun-0

6Sep

-06Dec

-06Mar-

07Ju

n-07

Sep-07

Dec-07

Mar-08

Jun-0

8Sep

-08Dec

-08Mar-

09Ju

n-09

Sep-09

Dec-09

Mar-10

Jun-1

0

Quarters

$/sq

km

NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT

Global Commodities BoomGFC

SAMPEG,PACE commence SA

Significant increase from low base

PACE/SAMPEGStrong outreach/engagement focus (25% geosurvey)

Government expenditure on collaborative drilling 11% of total state greenfields exploration + government geologists on the rigs as outreach (Rediscover Victoria = 3%, no outreach)

Systems approach - leveraged

Triple bottom line balance

Centre for Exploration

Geophysics

Geochemical information

Data delivery/geological models

SAMPEG global outreach

Cultural significance facilitation

Drilling collaboration

Data and assistance was provided to progress companies & projects to the feasibility stage to ensure “a constant supply of projects in the pipeline”

Allen Consulting Group 2011

Population Density Impacts Proportion of Mining Contribution to GSP*

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25

Area per person, sq km

% M

inin

g C

ontr

ibut

ion

WA

Qld

SAVicVic 1995

ACTTas

NSW* excludes NT (at 5 sq km/person), for

graphical representation purposesSA 1995

Cause and effect are separated:

“In South Australia they have been plugging away for a long time, but the new mines are still really few and far between” Tim Goldsmith (Global Leader, Mining, PWC, EDIC submission August 2011.

Greenfields exploration crudely relates to economic output - some leaders, some laggers

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

GSP Contribution from Minerals & Petroleum (Sm)

Gre

enfie

lds

Min

eral

s Ex

plor

atio

n Ex

pend

iture

($m

)

Victoria

Source: ABS 2009-2010

QldSANT

Tas NSW

WA

Vietnam Turkey

Sweden

Spain

Russia

Romania

Norway

Wyoming

Western Australia

Utah

South Australia

Mali

Saskatchewan

Queensland

Papua New Guinea

Greenland

Ecuador

Argentina

Zimbabwe

Arizona

Victoria

Kazakhstan

Alberta

British Columbia

Manitoba

New Brunswick

Nfld./Labrador

NWT

Nova Scotia

Nunavut

Ontario

Quebec

Yukon

Alaska

California

Colorado

Idaho

Michigan Minnesota

Montana

Nevada

New Mexico

Washington

Wisconsin

New South Wales

Northern Territory Tasmania

Indonesia

New Zealand

Philippines

Botswana

Burkina Faso

DRC (Congo)

Ghana Guinea (Conakry)

Madagascar

Namibia

Niger

South Africa

Tanzania Zambia

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Guatemala

Honduras

Mexico

Panama

Peru

Venezuela

Bulgaria

China

Finland

India

Ireland

Kyrgyzstan

Mongolia

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1

Mineral Prospectivity

Polic

y Po

tent

ial I

ndex

Sco

re

Source: Fraser Institute Survey of Mining Companies 2010/2011

Generally not known for large deposits

Iconic Mines / Deposits

Criticalchallenge

Australian range

Better than many

Best practicegap

Perceived prospectivity a major challenge(& streamlining needs work)

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Victoria

“If there is no geological endowment or you think it is a long shot, it does not matter how good we make the rules and regulations, people are not going to bother coming here”.

Tim Goldsmith, Global Leader, Mining, PWC, EDIC submission August 2011

“The best indicator of prospectivity is a recent success” Richard Schodde, EDIC presentation August 2011

Victoria ranked lowest “room to improve” from changing policy settings in Australia (Fraser Institute global survey), 9/79 globally.

Perceptions, based on success, are the key

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

World Class Resources:“Giant deposits are of academic interest…, may not necessarily be economic. …What you are really looking for are things that can be turned into mines of large size and long life, and can actually have an impact on society.”

Richard Schodde, Theo Murphy Think Tank 2010 proceedings.The future of Australian resource discovery and utilisation.

$-

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Orebody Size (million tonnes ore)

$/t R

even

ue in

Gro

und

Grande Cote

MadagascarKwale

Coburn

Bubble sizes represent total in ground value

Xolobeni

Large, and globally competitive resources

Announced projects(global)

Mineral sands

Victorian fine grainedmineral sands

Distinctive endowment v competitive endowment

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

- Geological data and information relevant to competitive potential

- Competitive, coordinated and accessible regulatory and approvals regime

Plus (most importantly)

• Outreach into the (global) industry – Understand Victoria’s competitive position (& risks) in earth resources & develop policies & programs to attract appropriate explorers and developers

• Outreach into the community – active engagement based on benefits and rights, build community confidence

• Effective use of land area – maximise value by ensuring active & financially capable tenure holders

In summary, an outward and systematic approach seems to work best

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Whole of government regulatory environment

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Mineral Resources (Sustainable Development) Act 1990 To encourage economically viable mining and extractive industries which make the best use of resources in a way that is compatible with the economic, social and environmental objectives of the State.  Environmental Effects Act 1978 To set out the approval process for public works (including mining) that require assessment of the environmental effects.  Planning and Environment Act 1987 To establish a framework for planning the use, development and protection of land in Victoria in the present and long‐term interests of all Victorians.  Environment Protection Act 1970 To create a legislative framework for the protection of the environment in Victoria having regard to the principles of environmental protection.  Occupational Health and Safety Act 2004 To secure the health, safety and welfare of employees and other persons at work; to eliminate, at the source, risks to the health, safety or welfare of employees and other persons at work; to ensure that the health and safety of members of the public is not placed at risk by the conduct of undertakings by employers and self‐employed persons; and to provide for the involvement of employees, employers, and organisations representing those persons, in the formulation and implementation of health, safety and welfare standards.  Aboriginal Heritage Act 2006 To provide for the protection of Aboriginal cultural heritage in Victoria.

Traditional Owners Settlement Act 2010 To advance reconciliation and promote good relations between the State and traditional owners and to recognise traditional owner groups based in their traditional and cultural associations to certain land in Victoria.  National Parks Act 1975 To make provision, in respect of national parks, State parks, marine national parks and marine sanctuaries for preservation, protection, study and effective management, and to make further provision in respect of designated water supply catchment areas and wilderness parks.  Crown Land (Reserves) Act 1978 To provide for the Reservation of Crown Lands for certain purposes and for the management of such Reserved Lands and for other purposes.  Conservation Forest & Land Act 1987 To make provisions with respect to creation of a body corporate called the Director‐General of Conservation, Forests and Lands; to define its powers; to provide a framework for a land management system and to make necessary administrative, financial and enforcement provisions; and to establish a system of land management co‐operative agreements.  Climate Change Act 2010 To establish a framework for the treatment of climate change issues and actions in Victoria.  Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act 1988 To establish a legal and administrative structure to enable and promote the conservation of Victoria's native flora and fauna and to provide for a choice of procedures which can be used for the conservation, management or control of flora and fauna and the management of potentially threatening processes.  Water Act 1989 To establish the regulatory arrangements relating to water in Victoria.

Plus, Commonwealth legislation, e.g. Native Title Act, Environmental Protection & Biodiversity Conservation ActPlus, regulatory instruments such as the Victorian Planning Provisions (VPP) and the State Planning Policy Framework (native vegetation, administered by DSE)

Victoria’s Regulatory Framework

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

DPI

DPCD

DPCD

DSE, EPA

DTF, VWA

DPCD, AAV

DOJ

DSE, PV

DSE

DSE

DSE

DSE

DSE, DPI

Regulatory reform

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Principal Act - MRSDA

“To encourage economically viable mining and extractive industries which make the best use of resources in a way that is compatible with the economic, social and environmental objectives of the State”.

Main approaches:

Licensing, work authorities & compliance

Encourage active development within limited condition forming powers of the Act

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

MRSDA Review

• The Review of the Mineral Resources (Sustainable Development) Act 1990 (MRSDA) is a major reform activity

• Phase 1 of the review has resulted in the MRSDA Amendment Act 2010 – focused primarily on modernisation of licensing to align with industry practices.

• Phase 2, targeting a further set of amendments in 2012 to streamline approvals processes, improve planning and address inefficiencies is in progress, with policy position in late stage development (target end 2012).

MRSDA Review Phase 1

The new arrangements have been designed to:

• clarify purpose of licences (exploration, evaluation, mining)• align to today’s industry (development sequence, commitment rises with

certainty, time provided for evaluation)• add virtually no regulatory burden• improve security of tenure when a resource is identified• encourage development of Victoria’s resources (development obligation,

relinquishment), • ensure that land not being explored or mined becomes available to others

http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/about-earth-resources/news-and-events/minerals-and-extractive-industries- stakeholder-information-days-presentations/mrsda-review-phase-1-presentation

MRSDA Review Phase 2

We are currently testing policy positions after consultation across industry and government. Some important areas of discussion (legislative & administrative) are:

• A lead agency approach – whole of govt advocacy and navigation

• Work plan requirements

• Work approvals processes across Government

• Planning matters and resource stewardship

• Rehabilitation bonds

• DPI’s enforcement tools

• Low impact exploration (native vegetation, cultural heritage)

http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/about-earth-resources/legislation-and-regulation/discussion-papers/review-of-the- mineral-resources-sustainable-development-act-1990

Community engagement & land access

- Unique legislated requirement for licensees to engage (Victoria only)

- Community engagement plans required for work plan approval

- Training & advice to licensees, made accountable (audits)

- Clarification of rights & response to complaints- Communication: resources belong to Crown

- Clarification: exploration rarely leads to mining

- Negotiated consent, or in accord with compensation (VCAT decision if necessary)

- Two stage approvals process (licence, then work)

DPI consultation/ communication example (council & community group focus):http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/community-information/landholders-info/coal-seam

Consultation guidelines for licensees:http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/community-information/guidelines-exploration

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Commodity Opportunities (Minerals & Energy)

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

OilConventional gasGoldGeothermal

Unconventional gasMineral sandsCoalBase metals

Commodities of relevance to Victoria

Highest market/resource potential

Mineral Sands – a $1 billion pa opportunity (16% of GSP M&P)

“Where will supply come from….”?Matched to current global needs – no need to exploreMurray Basin - Large, high grade (excellent assemblage), unconventional resources -opportunityRegulatory environment provides security, requires development – farm-in opportunitiesActivity responding: flotation developments, piloting, ilmenite upgrading, zircon specification ….

“There’s been little new capacity investment over the past decade. Major ore bodies are nearing depletion, and bringing new ore bodies on line will not happen overnight”. Jean-Francois Turgeon

CEO, Rio Tinto Iron & Titanium

TZMI MDL

Stars are lining up

“Much of the new capacity will only cover the growth in demand from China alone, not other growing markets such asIndonesia and India”. David Robb

CEO, Iluka

Zircon

TiO2 feedstocks

Mineral Sands – a $1 billion pa opportunity (16% of GSP M&P)

“Where will supply come from….”?Matched to current global needs – no need to exploreMurray Basin - Large, high grade (excellent assemblage), unconventional resources -opportunityRegulatory environment provides security, requires development – farm-in opportunitiesActivity responding: flotation developments, piloting, ilmenite upgrading, zircon specification ….

“There’s been little new capacity investment over the past decade. Major ore bodies are nearing depletion, and bringing new ore bodies on line will not happen overnight”. Jean-Francois Turgeon

CEO, Rio Tinto Iron & Titanium

TZMI MDL

Stars are lining up

“Much of the new capacity will only cover the growth in demand from China alone, not other growing markets such asIndonesia and India”. David Robb

CEO, Iluka

ZirconZircon

TiO2 feedstocksTiO2 feedstocks

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Gas – Victoria’s resource positionVictoria’s gas demand is expected to double by 2030

Current gas sources will be depleted somewhere between 2025 and 2030

There are three possible new sources of local supply which need to be investigated:

Some publicly reported intersections, but no reported reserves

Sources: AEMO Gas Statement of Opportunities

DPI Annual Statistical Review

‘http://www.lakesoil.com.au/assets/Uploads/Announcements11/Clean-Onshore-Gippsland-Gas.18072011.pdf’

Michael Yeager, CEO BHP Petroleum, “Price pressure rising as Bass gas exported”, The Australian, 16 November 2011

• conventional gas offshore (limited)

• shale gas and tight gas onshore

• biological coal seam gas onshore

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Mineral carbonation?

Direct exports

Derivatives

Ports, rail, water, roads, public safety

Victorian EnergySecurity/Cost

Other base load energy options

Large liquid CO2geo storage

Power

“Bio” sequestration

17 – 30 Bt ligniteCost?

EnergyEfficiency?

Selection?

AtmosphericDischarge?

Base Metals Porphyry in the MIGA ARC? – new ideas about evolution

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Earth resources is a small but valuable part of Victoria’s economy

High use of products within Victoria itself – competitive influence

Sector has overall declined – depleted resources not replaced

Greenfields exploration remains subdued – area is at a premium, cycle time reflects low ranking for spending (some recent improvement)

Prospectivity is perceived as low

Leveraging already best in class geological data availability to exploration success is a key challenge

There is active regulatory reform

Promotion requires active engagement focused on competitive potential

Victoria has significant endowments and potential for development

Active working of licences is a critical need

Community engagement is acknowledged as critical for success

Summary

For reference if needed

The Crown owns all minerals (some term based exemptions)

Stone on or below the surface of any private land is the property of the owner of the land.

Consistency with the Native Title Act 1993 of the Commonwealth and the Land Titles Validation Act 1994.

Exemptions to a licence or other authority under this Act- (National Parks, Aboriginal Heritage protection, Ministerial exemption)Royalties (ad valorem or in case of coal energy based, can set to any level by regulations except coal)

Licences – exploration, retention, mining

Advertising requirements – licence grant (14 days)

Mining economic benefit compared with agriculture, and excision.Publication of reasons for granting or refusal to grant

Main Provisions of (Amended) MRSDA

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Scope of licence conditions

Licence transfer, cancellation of licence

Objections processes (21 days from notification)

Mine stability levy (technical review board)

Authority to enter land (in absence of consent – Dept Head), with notice

Work plan and work plan approval, work authority

Obligation (on licensee) to consult with affected communities

EES exempts need for planning permit

Statutory endorsement of approvals

Compensation – all loss or damage, solatium, negotiated prior to access, appealsMining warden & powersInspection & enforcement powersAdministrative processes

Main Provisions of (Amended) MRSDA (Continued)

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

MRSDA Review Phase 1

The new arrangements have been designed to:

• clarify purpose of licences (exploration, evaluation, mining)• align to today’s industry (development sequence, commitment rises with certainty, time provided for

evaluation)• add virtually no regulatory burden• improve security of tenure when a resource is identified• encourage development of Victoria’s resources (development obligation, relinquishment), • ensure that land not being explored or mined becomes available to others

http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/about-earth-resources/news-and-events/minerals-and-extractive-industries- stakeholder-information-days-presentations/mrsda-review-phase-1-presentation

An integrated new licensing system is being introduced that includes a new Retention Licence

• Retention licence is an optional licence between exploration and mining stages, for the purposes of development and evaluation of economic viability

• Provides secure tenure, around an identified resource, in the absence of mining, with no compulsory area relinquishments

• Requires compliance with an agreed work program - work towards defining economic reserves and establishing economic viability

• Encourages farm-ins where commercially appropriate

• Can still choose exploration licence (with relinquishments) or mining licence (with commitment to mine)

Package of reforms includes changes to exploration and mining licences complementary to introduction of the retention licence.

MRSDA Review Phase 1 –Retention licences

MRSDA AmendmentsRetention licences: Strong alignment with industry evaluation processes

Strong security of tenure, with high incentive to partner where needed for active development

Resource identified?

Reasonableprospect?

Economic viabilityTest I

Yes

Retention LicenceGranted (if sought)

Work program Positive prefeasibility

study?

Economic viabilityTest II

Yes

No

Mining Licence

Iterate topositive?

Still reasonableprospect forthis project?

Economic viabilityTest II

Yes

Yes

No

Economic viabilityTest III

No

No

Formed Intention to mine?

Licence relinquishment

Changes to Exploration Licences

• Exploration Licences are for ‘greenfields’ exploration, not resource evaluation – need to make space for retention licences

• Transparent tenure limits (5 years, 1 renewal – not as right, 1 further renewal under exceptional circumstances, with relinquishments)

• Additional relinquishments (relinquishment to 75%, 40%, 20% and 10% at 2, 4, 7 and 10 years, assuming licence still valid)

• New work program expectations (e.g. when on a known resource endowment)

• Fair transitional arrangements for existing exploration licences (2 year renewal possible at term for those already renewed once to enable bridge to retention licence - but with relinquishments as above)

MRSDA Review Phase 1 –

Exploration Licences

Changes to Mining Licences

• Mining licences are for mining only (compliance expected)

• Prior to grant - Identification of a mineral resource, mineralisation report (unless already mining) and demonstration that a resource and project will be economically viable

• Expectation of mining within 2 years of grant

• While mining has not commenced an appropriate program of work is required

• Transitional arrangements: for 12 months following commencement, existing licensees can apply for a retention licence – once only

MRSDA Review Phase 1 –Mining Licences

Introduction of a Prospecting licence

• The new licensing system may not complement prospectors and small scale miners who request tenure to small areas for their activities

• The New Prospecting Licence allows exploration and/or mining activities with lower entry and work requirements (no resource identification, no need for prefeasibility study on licence).

• Is limited in size (5 Ha)

• Is limited to 5 years and is not renewable

• Provides an exclusive right to apply for a mining licence during the life of the licence.

MRSDA Review Phase 1 –Prospecting Licences

Statutory Endorsement of Work Plans

• Give legislative effect to current administrative practice of endorsing work plans prior to planning permit applications

• Process: work plan to referral authorities for 30 days comment; DPI Head must consider comments prior to endorsement

• Intended to streamline work approvals by reducing or eliminating duplication of referrals to other agencies (e.g. in approving planning permits)

• Only applies where a planning permit is required for a work plan or work plan variation

MRSDA Review Phase 1 –Statutory Endorsement

MRSDA Review Phase 2

Policy position yet to be finalised, discussion papers available

• A lead agency approach – whole of govt advocacy and navigation

• Work plan requirements

• Work approvals processes across Government

• Planning matters and resource stewardship

• Rehabilitation bonds

• DPI’s enforcement tools

• Low impact exploration (native vegetation, cultural heritage)

• A variety of other matters

http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/earth-resources/about-earth-resources/legislation-and-regulation/discussion-papers/review-of-the- mineral-resources-sustainable-development-act-1990

DPI’s Proposed Lead Agency Role

Victoria is unique – not “one stop shop” preference in approvals

Clarity on facilitation services provided & navigation aids – standard decision trees and Gantt charts

Project management based approach

Scaled approach to facilitation

Clearly available information & measures

Single point of information

Efficient government decision making

Web based application procedures (RRAMS)

Monitoring of approval timeframes

Advocate for industry interests

MRSDA Review Phase 2

Minister for Public Transport Terry Mulder has welcomed today's commencement of Iluka Resources Limited's trial mineral sands trains from Hopetoun in northwest Victoria to Iluka's Hamilton Mineral Separation Plant.

"This $9 million Iluka Resources rail freight project involves Iluka providing $5 million and the Victorian Government $4 million, the latter largely through Regional Development Victoria.. The project consists of a rail loading facility at Hopetoun, together with rail sidings and an unloading facility at Iluka's Hamilton Mineral Separation Plant," Mr Mulder said.

Iluka's General Manager, Australian Operations, Mr Steve Wickham said that the rail freight project was another sign of Iluka's investment in Victoria.

Premier’s Office, Friday 18 November, 2011

Example – Infrastructure support

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Engaging & attracting relevant explorers

Relevant Explorers #

Global Greenfield Exploration Budgets

(2010) Total 108 $950.8m Overseas only 71 $303.1m Active in Australia 37 $647.7m Active in Victoria 2 $6.0m

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

Perceptions of Prospectivity are Related to Land Area(With Upwards Scatter Related to Iconic Mines)

Mongolia

Kyrgyzstan

Ireland

India

Finland

Bulgaria

Venezuela

Peru

Panama

Mexico

Honduras

Guatemala

Colombia

Chile

Bolivia

Zambia Tanzania

South Africa

Niger

Namibia Madagascar

Guinea (Conakry)

Ghana

DRC (Congo)

Burkina Faso

Botswana

Philippines

New Zealand

Indonesia

Tasmania

Northern Territory

New South Wales

Wisconsin

Washington

New Mexico

Nevada

Montana

Minnesota

Michigan

Idaho

Colorado

California

Alaska Yukon

Quebec Ontario Nunavut

Nova Scotia

NWT

Nfld./Labrador

New Brunswick

Manitoba

British Columbia

Alberta

Wyoming

Western Australia

Utah

South Australia Mali

Saskatchewan

Queensland

Papua New Guinea

Greenland Ecuador Argentina

Zimbabwe

Arizona

Victoria

Kazakhstan

Norway

Romania

Spain

Sweden

Turkey

Vietnam

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

- 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000Land Area KM2 (Excluding Water Bodies)

Perc

eive

d M

iner

al P

rosp

ectiv

ity A

ssum

ing

No

Res

tric

tions

Source: Fraser Institute Survey of Mining Companies 2010/2011 Jurisdictions marked red are known to host iconic mines / deposits

Virtually no large jurisdictions have low perceived prospectivity

Victoria’schallenges

DPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities SummaryVictoria’s

challengesDPI’sapproaches Prospectivity

Regulation/reform Opportunities Summary

World’

s largest mine

“ ”

?

Victoria is not on the radar , even for its land area


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