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8/8/2019 Dr. Nasrin Nazemzadeh, Dissertation, Dr. William Allan Kritsonis, Dissertation Chair
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numbers of “educated” job applicants because they cannot write coherent sentences
or perform simple mathematical calculations. Part of the problem, as Greenspan
notes, is that the educational bureaucracy bars people who have proficiency in math
from teaching that subject, if they lack a degree in education. He refers to a paper for
the Hamilton project of the Brookings Institution that points out that the certification
of teachers – which generally requires a degree in education – has little to do with
whether a teacher is effective (Greenspan, 2007). The Hamilton Project is named after
Alexander Hamilton, an immigrant who was born into poverty and was self-schooled
in his early years, yet rose to become the nation’s first treasury secretary. At the
launching of the Hamilton Project, Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) discussed a paper
that laments the inadequate investment in key growth enhancing areas like education
(Brookings, 2006).
As our primary and secondary schools continue to graduate students lacking
the mix of skills needed to succeed in a high-tech global economy, the U.S. economy
itself becomes hostage to the failure of leadership in American education. It would be
difficult for American higher education to continue to function at a high level if
increasingly large numbers of high school graduates and college freshmen are
unprepared for college. With so much at stake, the accrediting agencies have recently
moved educational assessment to center stage. For example, the Southern Association
of Colleges and Schools, SACS, and the Association to Advance Collegiate Schools
of Business, AACSB, now require the implementation of assessment programs as a
condition for accreditation, or for retaining accreditation.
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The relatively low performance of our students in standardized tests has raised
an alarm in the U.S. Congress. In 1978, Congress passed Goals 2000: Educate
America Act that aimed to improve educational outcomes and to develop teachers’
instructional skills. More recently, President Bush made the No Child Left behind Act ,
the centerpiece of an educational initiative that compels schools to meet federally
required results (U.S. Department of Education, 2006).
Online education presents unusual challenges and opportunities for educators
and students alike (Moskal, and et al, 2006). Increasingly, students at all educational
levels (primary, secondary, post-secondary, continuing education), participate online
in hybrid, mixed mode, and Web-enhanced face-to-face courses. The increased
capability of digital communication in all formats has brought a strong shift from
people working individually towards people who can work collaboratively
(Larreamendy-Joem, & Leihardt, 2006). As the world moves into the information age
and away from the industrial age, and as the economy becomes progressively more
global, collaboration has become a necessity. The new workplace model often
requires that employees work together and effectively as a team (U.S. Department of
Labor, 1999). It is important to determine to what extent online education empowers
students and imparts to them the skills needed in order to succeed.
There is a growing recognition that social presence affects students’ perceived
learning (Benjamin Kehrwald, 2008).
Background of the Problem
When something new comes along sometimes it is embraced to excess. Online
education is the new kid in the metaphorical block of higher education. Schools face
pressure from students who demand more online courses. They also face budget
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constrains, and in this regard online courses are a godsend since enrollments and
revenues may grow without a concomitant increase in outlays for physical plant.
Members of the learning community are demanding Internet-based classes for widely
varied reasons. Online courses have gained in popularity among non-traditional
students who appreciate online courses because of the flexibility, including learning
outside the normal classroom schedule constraints ( Ruth Lapsley, Rex Moody 2006).
Numerous nontraditional students are now seeking higher education. An Internet-
based course allows these students to attend class at their convenience. Typically,
nontraditional students are funding their educations themselves and often have limited
financial resources. Internet-based classes can also be less expensive than traditional
on-campus classes, though this is not always the case. Reduced cost and convenience
may mean an education to someone who otherwise would not have such an
opportunity (Almala, 2006). In this pressure-cooker environment, online course
offerings will experience supernormal growth. Therefore, it is extremely important to
attempt to measure exactly what is being gained by this phenomenal growth (Moskal,
and et al, 2006).
Statement of the Problem
Online education is the fastest growing segment of the higher education
industry. This growth is not limited to the United States. According to Debeb (2001)
over 90 million students enrolled worldwide in 986 distance teaching institutions in
2001. He projected this number will grow to at least 120 million by the year 2025
(Debra Spague, 2007). According to a recent study by the Sloan Consortium, an
online education group, nearly 3.48 million students took at least one online course
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during the fall of 2006 semester compare to 2.35 million reported in 2005 ( Sloan,
2007). The proportion of institutions that believe that online education is important to
their long-term strategy continues to increase, growing from 48.8% of all institutions
in 2003 to 53.5% in 2004, 56% in 2005 and 58.4% in 2006 .Although almost all types
and sizes of institutions show an increase in the importance of online education to
their long term strategy institutions, two year colleges show the highest level of
agreement, 67% in 2006 two year colleges show the highest level of agreement(67%
in 2006) (The Sloan Consortium, 2006).
Given the spectacular growth of online education, it is important to inquire if
this growth will simply exacerbate the educational deficits that others have
documented in traditional education. Will online education contribute to the further
debasement of American education? Is online education neutral in the sense that it is
a perfect substitute for traditional education because it achieves the same results?
These are important questions that go to the heart of issues in educational leadership.
This study attempts to provide a small picture of the overall puzzle via a
survey of online students at Lone Star College-Tomball – a community college
located in Tomball, Texas. Once viewed as the backwater of American education,
community colleges are now in the vanguard as evidenced by the dramatic increase in
enrollments (Greenspan, 2007). Greenspan reports that student enrollment in two-
year colleges rose from 2.1 million in 1969 to 6.5 million in 2004. Community
colleges also have been at the vanguard in offering online classes. A recent report
from the Sloan Foundation indicates that 72% of two-year institutions recognize
online education as an integral part of their long-term growth strategy (Allen and
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Seaman, 2005). This growth obeys both demand and supply forces. On the supply
side there is evidence that community colleges view online delivery as a way to tap
new markets and expand enrollments, see, e.g., Allen and Seaman (2006). Along the
same lines, Keenan (2007) indicates that some university administrators, in their
hiring decisions, give preference to those whose experience with online education
would ensure growth for the department.
If colleges take the path of least resistance and expand their online course
offerings without taking the necessary steps in training faculty to recognize the
special needs of online students, both students and their prospective employers will
pay a price. Clearly, administrators must be made aware of the requirements needed
to sustain a high quality online learning experience. This is an issue of the highest
priority in educational leadership.
Most institutions (64%) agree with the statement “Students need more
discipline to succeed in an online course than in a face to face course” as the most
significant barrier in online education (The Sloan Consortium, 2007). This is greatest
in private for profit institutions where 78.8% responded that students need more
discipline to succeed in online courses. In community college this issue has been cited
as a very important factor as well. This is an interesting finding, given that
Community Colleges are among those with both the most positive views on online
education and have the highest penetration rates and account for over one-half of all
online enrollments for the last five years (The Sloan Consortium, 2007). Clearly,
these schools do not view the need for increased student discipline as a strong
inhibiting factor for online education.
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Vermeil & Berge (2000), indicate that a technologically-driven global
economy in the 21st century contributes to the emergence of online education and the
growth of electronic communication, particularly the use of the internet, in
institutions of higher education.
The importance of learners’ attitudes toward the learning environment and the
subject of study have been highlighted by researchers documenting students’
attitudes, perceptions, and experiences is important as it will help faculty improve the
design of online courses, and provide administrator with information about
recruitment and educational assessment (Lao & Gonzales 2005). An investigation is
required to identify the perceptions and attitudes of community college students
toward online-learning (Almala, 2006, & Moskal et. al, 2006).
Instructors spend time and energy developing online courses, with an
assumption that students will take advantage of them and thereby benefit from
utilizing these online resources. This assumption, however, may not be warranted,
since there is little research that has examined how students actually use, perceive and
benefit from online courses (Rosen & Petty, 1997). Moreover, some students may
benefit more from online courses than others due to past internet experience, attitudes
toward computers and learning style. An understanding of how students utilize and
perceive online courses and how different factors influence their use and perceptions
will provide valuable input to instructors. Based on this knowledge, instructors can
justify their effort and design online courses to maximize the utility to all students,
not just those who are particularly computer literate (Zembylas, M., & Varsidas, C.,
2007).
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While online instruction is gaining popularity, it is not free from criticism.
Many educators and trainers do not support online instruction because they do not
believe it actually solves difficult teaching and learning problems (Conlon, 1997),
while others are concerned about the many barriers that hinder effective online
teaching and learning. These concerns include the changing nature of technology, the
complexity of networked systems, the lack of stability in online learning
environments, and the limited understanding of how much students and instructors
need to know to successfully participate (Brandt, 1996 & Carr-Chellman, 2006).
Online instruction also threatens to commercialize education, isolate students and
faculty, and may reduce standards or even devalue university degrees (Gallick, 1998
& Kraut, et al., 1998).
Seventy- seven percent of prospective college students in the United States
would consider enrolling in a distance education program (Sloan Report, 2005). This
report identified convenience and flexibility as driving consumer interest in online
program. The study also found a great concern about online education. Students
remain concerned about the quality of online education. When asked about this, 38%
of those surveyed were unsure of the quality of online education relative to classroom
instruction, and 29% believed online education is inferior to classroom instruction.
Additionally, some students surveyed were worried that an online degree would not
be as acceptable to potential employers as a more traditional-based degree
(Tabatabaei; Schrottner; & Reichgelt, 2006).
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Research Questions
1. Does the online learning experience contribute to feelings of isolationamong students?
2. What factors influence student satisfaction in online classes?
3. Is the online learning experience detrimental to students’ motivation?
4. What factors influence learning outcomes?
5. Is perceived learning related to social presence?
6. What are the perceived strengths and weaknesses of online education?
Null Hypotheses
The extensive data set allows testing as many as 50 null hypotheses. In the interest of
parsimony, the following only lists a few of these.
H01. There is no statistically significant difference between the personal
experience of the online course and that of the classroom.
H02. There is no statistically significant relationship between labor force
activity as measured by average weekly hours of work, and the decision
to enroll in online courses.
H03. There is no statistically significant relationship between commuting time
to school and the decision to enroll in online courses.
H04. There is no statistically significant relationship between student
satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s social
presence.
H05. There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.
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H06. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
a poor way to communicate with the instructor.
H07. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
threatening.
H08. There is no statistically significant relationship between perceived
learning and social presence in online education.
Purpose of the Study
The purpose of the study is to examine the role of social presence in online
courses at a community college. Specifically, the study examines the relationship of
social presence in online courses to students’ perceived learning and to their
satisfaction with the instructor. The result of this study will help educational leaders
to more effectively utilize online instruction.
Significance of the Study
The study provides information that administrators and faculty may use to
improve the design and delivery of online education. The study is significant because
online education is the fastest growing segment of higher education. According to a
survey conducted by Eduventures Inc. half of prospective college students are
interested in earning a degree online (The Chronicle oh Higher Education, 2006). For
example, during 2003-2004 online enrollments grew by 18.2 %. In comparison, the
National Center for Education Statistics projections for total enrollment growth for all
degree-granting postsecondary institutions during 2003-2004, ranged from a low of
0.87% to a high of 1.31% (The Sloan Consortium, 2005).
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Gaining knowledge about the processes and outcomes of online instruction
will help administrators, educators, and researchers make more informed decisions
about future online course development and implementation. With little empirical
knowledge about Internet-based education outcomes, the need for research in this
area is not only timely, but also imperative (Moskal & et. al., 2006 & Caudill,
2007).The online education experience is of recent vintage; therefore, additional
information underscoring students’ satisfaction, problems encountered, and
educational achievement under this new medium should be useful to administrators,
faculty and future students (Tallent-Runnels, et. al., 2006).
Assumptions
1. The sample data is large enough to draw valid statistical inferences.
2. The instrument used to collect student responses is valid.
Delimitations of the Study
The study was conducted on students in the Department of Business and
Technology at Lone Star College-Tomball in Houston, Texas. The results of the study
may be generalized to the population of students at Lone Star College-Tomball.
Because the study was conducted on the students of a college in an area whose
demographic characteristics are not representative of all areas of the country, the
results may not generalize to community college students in other areas.
Limitations of the Study
The empirical results may reflect survivor bias because the drop-out rate in
online classes typically is much higher than that in traditional classes. Based on the
personal experience of the researcher, the drop-out rate in some online classes is as
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high as 40% to 50%; therefore, the results reflect mainly the survivor’s opinions.
Students were given a chance to volunteer for participation in the study. Only about
53% of those eligible to participate actually completed the survey.
Definition of Terms
Asynchronous: “Communication in which interaction between parties does not take
place simultaneously” (e.g., email, mail, threaded posting) (Glossary, n.d.).
Collaborative Learning: A learning environment in which individual learners support
and add to an emerging pool of knowledge of a group; emphasizes peer relationships
as learners work together creating learning communities (Moore Michael & Kearsley
Greg 2005).
Computer-assisted instruction: Instruction delivered with the assistance of a
computer. The student interacts with the computer and proceeds at his or her own
speed. CAI software is commonly classified into these categories: drill-and-practice;
tutorial; simulation; educational games; problem solving; applications (Glossary,
Oregon Network Education).
Computer-mediated instruction: When computers are used as the media that delivers
the course content from the instructor to the student (e.g., web-based courses, e-mail,
chat rooms, and videoconferencing (Berge, Z.L. and Collins, M. 1995).
Correspondence Course: A distance learning environment where the course content
and communications between the instructor and the student are provided using the
U.S. postal system (Moore and Kearsley, 2005).
Distance Education: “the organizational framework and process of providing
instruction at a distance. Distance education takes place when a teacher and student
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(s) are physically separated, and technology (i.e., voice, video, data, or print) are used
to bridge the instructional gap” (Willis 1994).
Distance Learning: “education or training offered to learners who are in a different
location than the source or provider of instruction” (Porter, 1997).
Learner Autonomy: "Concept that learners have different capacities for making
decisions regarding their own learning." Relates to the structure and interactive
expectations of a distance education course. (Moore & Kearsley, 1996).
Social Presence: “Social presence theory, a sub-area of communication theory,
postulates that a critical factor of a communication medium is its “social presence,”
which is defined as the “degree of salience of the other person in the (mediated)
interaction and the consequent salience of the interpersonal relationships” (Short &
Chritie, 1976). This is interpreted as the degree to which a person is perceived as
“real” in mediated communication. Originally construed as an inherent feature of
differing media, social presence may also be explored by examining a variety of
issues which may contribute to the social climate of the classroom (Gunawardena,
1995). Consequently, it has been argued that social presence is a factor of both the
medium and the communicators’ perceptions of presence in a sequence of
interactions (Gunawardena, 1995). The construct of social presence in this
construction appears to have subsumed that of teacher immediacy by taking into
consideration the fact that some media, such as computer, interactive video,
audiotape, alter learning environments.
Synchronous: “Communication in which interaction between participants is
simultaneous time (e.g., videoconferencing, chat rooms) (Glossary, n.d.).
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Telecourse: A strategy of distance learning that provides instruction to the students
using television broadcasts or pre-recorded tapes. (Glossary, Oregon Network
Education).
Web-Enhanced Instructions: the use of course management system tools (i.e.,
Blackboard, WebCT) to augment the traditional face–to-face classroom (Hayward,
Lorna M, 2004).
World Wide Web: “A system of Internet servers that support specially formulated
documents. The documents are formatted in a markup language called HTML (Hyper
Text Markup Language) that supports links to other documents, as well as graphics,
audio, and video files…Not all Internet servers are part of the World Wide Web.”
(Webopedia, n.d.).
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CHAPTER II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Overview
Distance education has existed in various forms for centuries; it began with
the invention of writing and evolved to make use of new technologies. This chapter
focuses on the online form that became possible in the last two decades due to
advances in information technology. However, a brief historical overview of the
antecedents of online learning is in order. Sloman (2002) identified four generations
in the evolution of distance learning.
History of Distance Education
Distance learning has been in existence for two centuries in Europe and for
more than one century in the United States. During the past two centuries, the
introduction of new technologies has provided new options for delivering distance
learning opportunities to potential distance learners. Sloman (2002) described the
periods of technological advancement as follows:
First Generation
The medium of communication was text and instruction was by postal
correspondence during the first generation. Distance education programs date from
the nineteenth century (Nasseh, 1997; McIsaac & Gunawardena, 1996). Sir Issac
Pitman, regarded as the first modern distance educator, began teaching shorthand by
correspondence from the English City of Bath in 1840 (Lau, 2000). Charles
Toussaint, a Frenchman, established a correspondence language instruction in the mid
1850 in Europe (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). The University of London founded its
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correspondence college at around this time, and other private correspondence colleges
began in the late 1880s (Levenburg, n.d.). In the USA, corresponding through the
mail was first used in higher education by the Chautauqua Correspondence College in
1881 (Dede, 1990). This institution offered a 4-year correspondence course of
readings to supplement the summer school (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). By 1910,
International Correspondence Schools in the USA already had around 184,000
students (Glatter & Wedell, 1971).
The motive for the early correspondence educator was to reach people who
wanted to study at home or at work through the use of new technology, cheap and
reliable postal services. This included women, and perhaps for this reason, women
played an essential role in the history of distance education (Moore & Kearsley,
2005). Anna Eliot, established one of the first home study schools in 1873 (Moore &
Kearsley, 2005). According to Nasseh (1997), this school was formed to help women
who were denied formal education. In 1990, Cornell University with the help of
Martha Van developed a program for women in rural up-state New York that enrolled
more than 20,000 women (Cornell University, 2001).
By 1930, 39 American universities, with the enrollment of two million
students, offered correspondence courses with four times the number enrollment in all
colleges, universities and professional schools in the United States (Moore &
Kearsley, 2005). In 1969, the name correspondence education was changed to
“independent study” (Moore & Kearsley, 2005).
While the correspondence course movement opened doors to higher education
for thousands of adults who otherwise would have been excluded from educational
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advancement opportunities, several critics began to question the effectiveness of
correspondence courses (Glatter & Wedell, 1971). In fact, many elitists looked down
on this form of education and argued that correspondence courses of study were
inferior and designed for those intellectually incapable of functioning within
traditional university environments. For example, William Harper, a Yale University
professor of Hebrew who taught correspondence courses from 1883 to 1891, believed
that even if correspondence studies could supplant oral instruction, they would always
be viewed as a substitute (Matthews, 1999). In response to the criticism, many
institutions began to question and assess the effectiveness of distance learning.
Several colleges and universities decided to reconstruct their correspondence courses
to include direct contact sessions. While the criticism of correspondence courses
seems insignificant, the argument concerning the effectiveness of distance learning
courses has continued from the correspondence course movement to distance learning
delivery methods being used today (Glatter & Wedell, 1971).
Second Generation
Newer technologies have been used since the start of the twentieth century.
During the second generation advanced electronic communications technologies
allowed colleges and universities to deliver correspondence courses using radio and
television (Sloman, 2002). The State University of Iowa began experimenting with
transmitting instructional courses and offered the first credit radio courses as early as
1925, seven years before television was introduced at the New York World's Fair
(Pittman, 1986). Another example was Wisconsin's "School of the Air," it featured
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ten programs per week to campuses in the 1930s, and continued on-air until the 1970s
(Bianchi, 2002).
In the USA, radio, which was exhibited by commercial broadcasters as a
medium for advertising, did not live up to expectations. In the mid-1920s, the
Department of Education in the UK began to provide radio based instruction, and
soon 10,000 schools were using BBC radio programs to support classroom teachers
(Demiray & Isman, 1999).
Educational television, as a medium of communication, started in 1934. The
State University of Iowa offered courses such as hygiene and astronomy in 1934 and
by 1939 the university’s station had broadcasted about 400 educational programs in
the USA (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). After World War Two, 242 of the 2,053
channels were given to non-commercial use by which some of the best educational
television was offered. Educational television was more successful than radio partly
because of hundreds of millions of dollars contributions by the Ford Foundation
(Moore & Kearsley, 2005). Some of the educational television success includes the
construction of educational television stations by the Federal Educational Television
Facilities Act in 1962, The Corporation for Public Broadcasting in 1965, and the
involvement of community colleges in teaching by television by Chicago TV College
in 1956 (Moore & Kearsley, 2005).
Television and especially radio were used to a greater degree after the war,
though not, according to Cambre (1991) with too much success, owing to the
unimaginitive way in which lectures were filmed and presented.
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In 1952, the first cable television began to operate (Freed, 1999). In 1970,
California used the funding obtained through a Title I provision to form a task force
to design distance learning courses that would be delivered using television networks
(Freed, 1999). The project involved all California community colleges and the
University of California. The task force developed the concept of the “telecourse,”,
educational programs delivered by broadcast or cable television, a distance learning
vehicle whereby the instructor sits before a camera in a classroom or studio and the
students receive asynchronous or synchronous television transmissions (Freed, 1999).
Because the communications in this environment were one-way, provisions were
developed to provide instructor and student interaction, to arrange student submission
of assignments to the instructor, and to facilitate the return of graded assignments to
the students (Freed, 1999). Among the early leaders in telecourses were the
Appalachian Community Service Network based at the University of Kentucky, The
Pennsylvania State University’s Pennarama Network, the privately funded Mind
Extension University, The Electronic University Network, and the International
University Consortium (Wright, 1991).
California created Coastline Community College, in 1972 in order to
coordinate the development, distribution and licensing of telecourses (Freed, 1999).
Coastline Community College developed telecourses that were broadcasted from a
public television station, to colleges, universities and libraries located in Los Angeles.
By 1976, Coastline Community College was serving 18,500 students within a 150-
square-mile area of southern California (Freed, 1999).
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Dallas Community College also began to develop telecourse on video cassette
for distribution to other colleges (Freed, 1999). This way the students were able to
view the cassettes at any time and place where there was a video cassette player
available. This strategy allowed students to receive instructions in diverse location.
The commercial success of Dallas Community College motivated Coastline
Community College to produce and license pre-packaged telecourses for other
colleges (Freed, 1999).
Subsequently, other states such as Arizona, Colorado, Oklahoma, and Florida
began to offer variations of video on demand, telecourses (Freed, 1999). In 1972 the
Federal Communications Commission required all cable operators to provide an
educational channel (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). By the 1980s, the Public
Broadcasting Service (PBS), a quasi-government broadcasting studio, began
producing and broadcasting telecourses. However, when PBS began to experience
budget shortfalls in the telcourse production market, the broadcasting company
started purchasing licensed educational content and assumed the role of satellite link
broadcasting the programs to local schools and colleges (Freed, 1999).
Following PBS, several cable television and satellite companies were formed
in the late 1980s to broadcast educational programs to supplement existing
curriculums rather than providing pre-packaged telecourses (Freed, 1999). Because of
the success and journalistic integrity of these programs, there are approximately 240
consortia of public and private educational and creative enterprises in the United
States that produce educational programs that are used by thousands of colleges and
universities (Freed, 1999).
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Broadcasting and programming channels like Mind Extension University, the
Discovery Channel, the Learning Channel and CNN’s Cable in the Classroom have
increased their market shares via the delivery of instructional video using satellite
communication. For example, Time Warner’s Cable in the Classroom is a coalition of
cable companies that offering programs that educators can record and replay without
paying licensing fees. This attempt to educate primary and secondary school students
represents commitment to public education within the cable industry. For example,
Cable in the Classroom reaches more than 90 percent of the public primary and
secondary schools in the United States (Pittman, 2003; Feasley, 2003; Bunker, 2003).
Third Generation
Distance education went through critical changes in the late 1960s and early
1970s due to the introduction of new technology, leading to new instructional
techniques and new educational theories (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). The two most
important projects were the University of Wisconsin’s Articulated Instructional
Media Project (AIM) in the USA and the Open University of Great Britain. The
University of Wisconsin, at the forefront of progress, created the Articulated
Instructional Media project (AIM), which attempted to be a complete system of
distance education, including broadcast media, correspondence and telephone (Cook,
2000). The purpose of AIM was to experiment with the idea of joining various
communication technologies to offer high quality, low cost education to off- campus
students. AIM, which was funded by the Carnegie Corporation from 1964 to 1968
and directed by Charles Wedemeyer at the University of Wisconsin, represented a
historic milestone and turning point in the history of distance education in the USA
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(Moore & Kearsley, 2005). In the UK, the Labor Government also looked to
television to provide distance learning, and approved the setting up of the so-called
"University of the air", renamed the Open University (OU), based in Milton Keynes
(OU, 2003a). It has become the UK's largest university, with over 200,000 domestic
and international adult students (OU, 2003a; OU, 2003b). The Open University model
has been adopted by many countries in both the developed and developing world
(Keegan, 1996). The Open University was created in 1969 and was identical to AIM,
according to Wedemeyer (1982). The UK Open University is considered a world
class university and a model of a total systems approach to distance education. This is
100 percent distance education, charging students about 40 percent of the average
cost of the traditional universities and has first come first service policy. It is ranked
near the top of UK universities in both teaching and research. The idea of the UK
Open University system has spread globally. Countries such as China, India,
Indonesia, Iran, Korea, Spain, Thailand, and Turkey adopted the UKOU model to
offer distance education courses. These universities are usually “mega-universities”;
meaning they have more than 100,000 students (Daniel, 1996).
The United State is one of the few countries that did not set up a national
open university. However, the third generation of distance learning started after
educators began to explore the possibilities of using new technologies which would
offer synchronous communications between teacher and students (Sloman, 2002).
During the 1970’s, Athabasca University in Canada began to provide distance
learning opportunities that combines synchronous telephone-based communication
technologies and home study techniques (Dede, 1990). Following this lead, Nova
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University, University of Wisconsin, Empire State College, and Oklahoma State
University began to offer distance learning courses that employed teleconferencing
technologies, a method of communication that enabled colleges to offer synchronous
interaction among multiple locations using teleconferencing (Dede, 1990). This
learning environment allowed the instructor and the student to communicate audibly
in real-time, and represented a breakthrough over the first and second generations of
distance learning. Nevertheless, skeptics believed that this environment was inferior
to the traditional learning environment (Dede, 1990). This spurred instructional
designers to continue searching for a learning environment that closely emulated the
intimacy of the traditional education setting.
During the 1980’s educators began to take advantage of the availability of
cable television to offer videoconference courses between different campuses
(Hancock, 1999). This environment allows the instructor and students to
communicate in real-time using cameras and sound production technologies. This
way, the instructor and the student may be in separate classrooms or studios that are
capable of transmitting and receiving live visual and audible communications.
By the 1990s, most colleges and universities had discarded the postal service
delivery mode (Hancock, 1999). Instead, colleges and universities shifted to
teleconferencing and videoconferencing technologies. Iowa and North Carolina
developed comprehensive networks that connected public schools, community
colleges, and universities providing videoconferencing sessions. In this environment
one instructor could reach students enrolled in the same class at different institutions.
This feature was beneficial for colleges seeking to offer courses unavailable on their
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campuses due to financial constraints or the lack of qualified instructors. This
modality has gained popularity. For example, the University of Kebangsaan in
Malaysia installed a videoconferencing system that enables them to communicate
with universities located in New Zealand and Canada (Hancock, 1999).
Fourth Generation
The fourth generation of distance learning began in the late 1950’s when
technology-based distance learning started using mainframe computers to meet the
demands of companies, such as IBM. For example, in 1959 IBM assisted in the
development of the first program to teach mathematics (Inglis et al., 1999). In 1963,
Stanford University and IBM released COURSEWRITER , a programming language
software, designed for using computers to deliver individual lessons (Pittman, 2003;
Feasley, 2003; Bunker, 2003). Computer-assisted instruction served to deliver
interactive, responsive, and convenient education. Therefore, teaching and learning
were based on asynchronous activities without limitations of time and place.
In the 1990’s, the University of Illinois developed a computer-assisted
instruction system using PLATO, Programmed Logic for Automatic Teaching (Inglis
et al., 1999). The university provided student access to PLATO using terminals for
mainframe computer-assisted instruction. These were developed to provide college-
level instruction and to provide supplemental instruction to students located at
correctional institutions and basic skills centers. This approach continued until the
introduction of the first personal computer in the early 1980’s (Pittman, 2003;
Feasley, 2003; Bunker, 2003).The advent of the personal computer promoted the
widespread usage of computers in colleges and universities. Since then, distance
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learning delivery methods have been adapted to numerous developing computer-
based technologies that include powerful operating systems, networking technologies
and compact discs (Pittman, 2003).
The advent of the internet in the mid 1990’s allowed colleges to deliver web-
based programs and courses directly to the workstations, residences, and mobile
computers of learners. Increasingly, distance learning utilizes computer-mediated
technologies (Driscoll, 2002; Sloman, 2002). Today, colleges view distance learning
as an integral part of higher education as they seek to enter the highly skilled
workforce (Pantazis, 2002). Enthusiasm is not universal; critics argue that most
distance learning courses offered by postsecondary institutions via the Internet are
crude. Different opinions prevail. Among the critics, Shank and Sitze (2004) argue
that most web-based courses are sub-standard because they are based largely on
lecture notes, assignments and reserved readings and fail to recognize the unique
needs of distance learners. On the other hand, private colleges such as Capella
University, Cardean University, Nova Southeastern University, and the University of
Phoenix allegedly design their web-based courses using experts in the fields of adult
learning theory, instructional design, and technology (Farrell, 2003). These
institutions seek to deliver web-based courses that are both entertaining and effective
in transferring knowledge (Sloman, 2002).
Web-based instruction allows postsecondary institutions to provide a greater
volume of courses to more students at a lower cost than traditional classroom-based
instruction (Silberman, 1998). The business model of the University of Phoenix is
based on a new generation of educational delivery system that is not constrained by
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the traditional education. In 1994, the University of Phoenix became the largest and
fastest growing private university in the United States with 145,000 students of which
63,500 are enrolled in distance learning programs (University of Phoenix, 2004).
Next Generation
Futurists predict that by 2010 the next generation of distance learning will
allow unobtrusive broadband access to interactive courses which will be cheaper and
more convenient than the same course offered on college campuses (Dunn, 2000).
During the next decade, distance learning will rely on broadband wireless
technologies that will allow students access to learning programs at any place and any
time. The distance learning student of the future will be able to travel anywhere and
receive access to email, electronic documents, and media, audio and video clips. The
student will use voice activated handheld computers to participate in interactive
videoconference sessions with classmates and save a copy of the transcript from the
sessions on an interactive course web site. Distance learning courses will become
student-centered, whereby students will have access to interactive computer-mediated
technologies that continuously assess and adapt to the student’s aptitude (Driscoll,
2002). For example, a student will log into class and select a simulated lesson that
constantly adapts to his/her personal level of achievement. Dunn (2000) predicts that
by 2018 computers will enable international students to communicate with their
foreign instructors or peers in their native language using computers that will
accurately translate languages in real-time.
Those who view online education as a perfect substitute for traditional
education argue that the way in which colleges and universities adapt to the changes
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in computer-mediated course delivery technologies may determine whether they
remain competitive in the future. Given the demand and response, education will
become a commodity, making consumers of students and putting them in a position to
shop for the best deal (Dubois, 1996; Johnstone, Ewell, & Paulson, 2002).
A different outcome is possible – one in which employers find online-
educated graduates inferior to those graduating from traditional university. Under this
scenario graduates of online colleges may face poorer employment prospects and
lower salaries than graduates of traditional universities. If so, online colleges will
begin to experience difficulty attracting and retaining bright and ambitious students.
Of course, if U.S. public colleges succumb to the same failure of leadership endemic
in primary and secondary education, and seek to imitate the for-profit providers of
online degrees, this will simply accelerate the outsourcing of skilled jobs to other
countries.
As innovative for-profit universities become more and more successful, there
is evidence that political leaders throughout the nation are beginning to question the
efficiency and effectiveness of state-supported higher education during an era when
business and industry are restructuring to meet the demands of globalization, a
phenomenon whereby the barriers of time and space separating individuals and places
are diminished (Jones, 2003; Levin, 2001). McGuinness (2001) postulates that
college and university leaders are ill-prepared to deal with the education reform
movements triggered by the shift in political and economic power at the state level.
McGuinnes reports the gap between the external and internal definitions and
expectations for quality assurance is placing untenable political pressure on
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postsecondary institutions. Dunn (2000) projected that the number of degree-granting
distance learning institutions will continue to grow, while the number of traditional
campuses will decline. By 2025, half of today’s existing independent colleges will be
closed, merged, or significantly altered in mission (Dunn, 2000). The combination of
growing markets, increased costs and increased competition will force postsecondary
institutions to become market driven in order to compete with institutions such as
Capella University, Cardean University, Nova Southeastern University, and the
University of Phoenix (Dunn, 2000). In order to understand the challenges that the
future will bring it is necessary to review the theories of Distance Learning.
Theories of Distance Learning
There are four theoretical frameworks that have provided a framework of
understanding for Distance Education: Transactional Distance, Interactivity Theory,
Social Context, and Control.
1. Transactional Distance
In the early 1970s Michael Moore came to the conclusion that the two key
factors in independent learning are structure and dialog (Moore, 1973). Moore
defined structure as "a measure of an educational program's responsiveness to
learners’ individual needs." He defined dialog as "the extent to which, in any
educational program, learner and educator are able to respond to each other." Put
another way, structure refers to the design of the instructional program while dialog
refers to the interaction through communication between the learner and the
educator.A transaction is a mutual exchange between parties. Moore recognized that
in a course high in structure, such as a pure lecture course, there is generally little
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dialog between educator, learner and transactional distance is maximized.
Conversely, as dialog is increased, the structure decreases, thereby minimizing the
transactional distance between educator and learner (Moore, 1973).
Saba and Shearer (1994) supported this dynamic relationship between
structure and dialog by conducting a controlled experimentation. This research
supported the concept that the distance between teacher and learner in distance
education was not a geographical distance, but a pedagogical distance determined by
the balance of structure and dialog.
Instructional designers of distance education should aim for the optimum
balance of structure and dialog. It is important to note that there is no magic ratio of
structure to dialog that will fit every course. It is the task of the designer to evaluate
and plan for dialog and structure as dictated by the nature of the course. Although it
originated in the domain of distance education, the concept of acceptable balance of
structure and dialog is the key to all successful instruction and learning. Care must be
taken during the design of instruction to account for this balance (Bird, 2007).
Distance is not determined geographically, but by the variety of transactions
that occur between the leaner and teacher. This continuum challenges the idea of
traditional versus distance education. Saba and Shearer (1994) conclude that as
dialogue increases, transactional distance decreases. It is not location that determines
the effect of instruction, rather the interaction between student and instructor.
Transactional distance was advanced by Michael Moore (1990). Here, "distance" is
determined by the amount of communication or interaction which occurs between
learner and instructor, and the amount of structure which exists in the design of the
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course. Greater transactional distance occurs when a course has more structure and
less communication (or interaction). A continuum of transactions might exist in this
model, from less distant, where there is greater interaction and less structure, to more
distant where there may be less interaction and more structure. There is, these days,
the problem of combining of distance learning with e-learning. It could be argued that
e-learning provides such a high level of interaction that the "distance" is necessarily
smaller. According to Martindale (2002), "'transactional distance' requires a learner,
teacher, and a communication channel" (p.4). Different teaching situations involving
different transactional distances require different instructional techniques. Stein et al.,
(2005) used Moore's (1993) theory of transactional distance as a conceptual
framework, to study learners in six courses that varied by course format, structure,
and opportunities for interaction. The obtained result indicated that learner
satisfaction with the course structure-activities, assignments, and instructor guidance
and encouragement increased greatly with perceived knowledge gained. Interaction
was highly correlated with structure. Interactions initiated by the learners contributed
to their satisfaction with perceived knowledge gained. Technical expertise had no
effect on satisfaction with perceived knowledge gained.
Dron (2007) in his book “Control and Constraint in E-learning” looks
backward at the theoretical balances between structure, control, power and
transactional distance. He believes that many of these concepts are fuzzy, hard to
prove empirically and often misunderstood or misinterpreted by both authors and
readers. Dron creates the six forms of interaction: learner-teacher; learner-control;
teacher-content; teacher-teacher; and content-content.
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2. Interaction Theory
Moore (1989) discusses three types of relationships, which are essential in
distance education.
a. Learner -instructor (dialogue between the student & teacher). The instructor
should be the facilitator of knowledge and provides feedback, support and
encouragement to the student.
b. Learner- content (How students obtain intellectual information from the
text).The manner how the student obtains the information. Learner should be
given the content so that they can construct their own understanding.
c. Learner-learner (Exchange of ideas between the students)
3. Social Context
McIsaac (1993) discusses the social context where the learning takes place
and how the environment affects motivation, attitudes, teaching, and learning.
McIsaac and Gunawardena (1996) summarize the characteristics of distance
education from their own review of the literature as: education imparted where the
learner is physically separated from the teacher. Many writers have looked at the
higher level of independence or "learner control" which is a feature of distance
education (Holmberg, 1995). Baynton (1992) developed a model to examine the
concept of learner control in terms of independence, competence and support. She
notes that "control" is more than "independence". It is also affected by competence
(ability and skill), and support (both human and material).
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4. Control (Locus of control)
According to Moore (1973), this theory relates to how the student views his
role in learning; whether the student has an internal locus of control or an external
locus. Does the student feel that his/her academic success is based on his own
personal accomplishments or that success is related to outside forces or fate?
Online Learning: Potential Advantages and Drawbacks
To review the advantages and drawbacks of online learning we presently turn
to: Online Learning: Potential Advantages, Drawbacks and Enrollment Growth.
Potential Advantages
Online learning has been defined as anywhere, anytime computer-mediated
instruction (Harasim, 1990). According to The Sloan Consortium (2006), 62 percent
of academic leaders believe that the quality of online instruction is the same or
superior to that of traditional face to face classes. According to Harasim (1990) and
McComb (1993), online learning has the characteristics of asynchronicity (time and
place independent), text-based and many-to-many communication with vast and
efficient information access. Progressive online multimedia environments facilitate
the effective delivery of online instruction because they mimic the dynamics involved
in high-quality, face-to-face classroom instruction. For example, well-designed
Internet-based instructional models will continue to flourish because they support
problem solving and allow detail-oriented instructional guidance using highly
structured tasks (Larreamendy-Joerns & Leinhardt, 2006). According to Carr-
Chellman (2006), students will not see lower course fees but they will at least save on
transportation and child care. Some of the advocates believe that the efficiency in
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online education outweighs the quality. Due to these attributes of online learning, it is
considered to have the following potential advantages for student learning.
Flexibility, Convenience of Access, and Sense of Control
Students reported flexibility, convenience of access and sense of control as
reasons to register for an online course instead of a face-to-face course (Richards &
Ridley, 1997). Since online instruction frees students from the constraints of time and
space, learners find it more convenient to take courses or earn degrees online while
they work full or part-time (Burge, 1994; Harasim, 1987; Hiltz, 1997). At the same
time, learners reported increased learning as a result of the availability and flexibility
of the classes (Harasim, 1987). The flexibility of access, for example, allows students
control over the learning situation so that they can learn at the time when they
function best. They can control the nature and time of their interactions with learning
materials and participate to the degree they wish (Harasim, 1987; Burge, 1994). Thus
there is more time for reflection and thinking in online courses (Garrison, 1997;
Harasim, 1990). Online instruction has given a diverse group of citizens increased
access to educational opportunities, reducing educational inequality. This could be
beneficial for non-native English speakers since students can control the time they
take to reflect, and compose their postings in online classes (Bulger, 2005). The
online learning has extended new advantages to business-people, such as the ability to
complete continuing education courses online (Bulger, 2005).
Democratic Learning Environment
Due to the text basis of most online courses, some physical and social cues of
students, such as appearance, gender, race, education, and social status, are reduced.
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The absence of these physical and social status cues diminishes stereotyping
associated with these cues, and may overcome gender and race-based discrimination
(Harasim, 1987; McCreary, 1990; Ruberg, Moore, & Taylor, 1996). According to
Carr-Chellman (2006), the underlying spirit of open access in online education, holds
the promise of equity. Modern technology brings education to students rather than
forcing them to subsidize fancy campuses. Online education makes it possible for
students all over the world to study at the prestigious schools without leaving their
home (Moore & Kearsley, 2005). The online instructional environment can also
provide for the equal participation of all students. Since in online environments there
is no competition for “air time,” students’ anxiety levels are lowered (Harasim, 1987).
Students with different learning styles or personalities can participate as they wish.
This is especially true for students who are shy or less assertive and for those whose
native language is not English (Chen, 1999; Harasim, 1987; Kamhi-Stein, 2000; Yi
& Majima, 1993). More equal opportunities for participation are provided and
students feel more confident participating in the discussion (Chen, 1999; Kamhi-
Stein, 2000; Warschauer, 1997; Yi & Majima, 1993).
Enhanced Level of Interactivity within the Learning Community
According to Harasim (1990), Mason and Kaye (1990), and Stacey (1997),
online education is distinguished by the social nature of online learning environments
and their potential for creating interactive communities of learners. Many students
reported that they had more communication in online classes than in traditional, face-
to-face classes (Schutte, 1996; Turgeon, Biase & Miller, 2000). Generally speaking,
students possessing computer training and experience were more satisfied with online
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courses (Kim & Moore, 2005; Tallent-Runnels et al., 2006). Students also felt that
asynchronous learning networks provided them with better access to their professors,
and that they got more individual attention from instructors online (Guernsey, 1998;
Hiltz, 1997). Harasim (1987) reported students felt not only that there was more
interaction, but also that there was more intense learning interaction in an online
learning situation, At the same time, teachers likewise reported online education
provided time for details and individualized instruction with students (Cifuentes &
Shih, 2001; Kashy, Thoennessen, Albertelli, & Tsai, 2000). After online training,
teachers changed their attitudes toward online instruction as well, and considered it
more participatory and interactive than face-to-face instruction (Gold, 2001). Many
teachers have reported being more satisfied with online instruction because of
increased interaction with students or among students (Hartman, Dziuban, & Moskal,
2000; Fredericksen et al., 2000). Indeed, researchers agree that online education
supports interactive group communication with all its social, affective, and cognitive
benefits (Burge, 1994; Beauvois & Eledge, 1995/96).
Potential for Collaborative Learning
The online environment supports collaborative learning among diverse and
dispersed learners (Garrison, 1997, Jonassen, Davidson, Collins, Campbell, & Haag,
1995). The nature of many-to-many communication in an asynchronous learning
network allows students access to large and diverse group knowledge and support
(Burge, 1994; Kamhi-Stein, 2000). Students are more active in group work and
discussion (Barreau, Eslinger, Mcgoff, & Tonnesen, 1993 & Hiltz, 1997). Kamhi-
Stein (2000) found online instruction promoted a high degree of peer support,
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assistance, and collaboration. Online instruction may be more learner-centered. The
instructor is more a facilitator than a disseminator of learning (Cifuentes & Shih,
2001; Kamhi-Stein, 2000) and online discussions are driven by the needs and
interests of the students. With multiple perspectives on given topics and access to a
vast array of information, students are actively engaged in context-rich, social
negotiation of ideas. Harasim (1987) stated that she found within online environments
an increased sense of group responsibility from students and increased cooperation
among students. Hiltz (1997) reported 55% of students felt more motivated to work
hard on their assignments because others would be reading them. Students were
found to have formed good working relationships, felt equality in their contributions,
and produced higher quality projects within the groups (Barreau et al, 1993; Burge,
1994; McConnell, 1994).
Facilitates Higher Level Learning
The nature of text-based communication in most online education makes it
necessary for learners to communicate through writing and allows time for reflection
on that writing. These processes encourage higher-level learning and promote clearer
and more process-orientated thinking and encourage analysis, synthesis, and
evaluation (Garrison, 1997; Jonassen, 1996). Wegner et al. (1999) reported that
students in their internet-based instruction group felt that they had acquired skills of
collaboration, problem solving, locating and using information, and communication.
In addition, text-based asynchronous discussion produces a record of the discussion to
which students can refer to reflect on negotiated meanings and to find the thread of
their thinking and their own position within it (Ganeva, 1999; Harasim, 1987).
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Through this process, students are engaged in the self-regulatory, self-mediated and
self-aware learning processes that constructivists suggest support optimal learning.
In summary, it is considered that online learning has the potential for
encouraging collaboration, interactivity, and reflectivity which are important for
knowledge construction according to social learning theory (Vygotsky, 1978). In
addition, empirical studies in online learning found that students who have high levels
of interaction with peers and the instructor regarded their online classes as more
satisfactory and of higher quality than their face-to-face classes (Hiltz, 1990;
Picciano, 2002; Swan, 2002a; Swan, 2002b; & Berge, 1999). They also reported that
interaction is important to learner satisfaction and that interaction assists in
maintaining student persistence in courses. Northrup (2002) found, in her study, that
students reported that instructor’s timely feedback was valued most by participants. In
Jiang and Ting’s (2000) study, students reported better learning experiences in
courses which emphasized online discussion. It can be concluded that discussions
play an important role in online learning environments and more discussions among
students occurred in online environments than in face-to-face classrooms. Teachers
act more as facilitators or guides in online discussions.
Induction for online distance learning requires that students are successfully
introduced to the new learning environment for self-study and are also introduced to
online group work and activities. One of the perceived benefits of CMC for distance
education is the opportunity it brings for geographically distanced students to
communicate and interact with peers (Vrasidas & McIsaac, 1999). Hailed as "third
generation distance learning" (Nipper, 1989, p. 67), computer conferencing offers the
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potential for active group participation and reconstructs distance learning as a social
process. While pre-online distance education has been reported by some as an
autonomous, isolated experience (Eastmond, 1995; Stacey, 1997) others have
recognized its capacity for interactivity, notably activities and questions in print-
based texts (Lockwood, 1992; Rountree, 1990), audio teleconferencing (Robertson,
1987), and student participation at residential study schools (Morgan & Thorpe,
1993). While interactivity need not necessarily be deployed in distance education,
following a revival of interest in Vygotskian social constructivism, student interaction
has come to be regarded as significant in facilitating and consolidating learning
(Garrison, 1992; Laurillard, 1993).
According to McConnell (1992), a clear stance taken in the literature reviewed
is that collaborative learning methods encourage dialogue, which facilitates "deeper"
understanding, greater skill development, and the construction of knowledge (as cited
in Nixon & Salmon, 1996; Fung, 2004; Garrison, 1993; Hodgson & McConnell,
1995; Marjanovic, 1999). It is in this learning space that students often find
reassurance, build relationships, and use each other as a "cognitive resource" (Wilson
& Whitelock, 1998, p. 92). Indeed, online communication between distance students
is purported by some authors as lessening student's feelings of isolation; bolstering
peer support networks; and producing more reflective, critical and informed written
responses due to the medium's asynchronicity and/or more effective synthesis of
knowledge (Eastmond, 1995; Garrison & Anderson, 2003; Rovai, 2001; Rovai, 2002;
Wegner et al., 1999). The benefits and fruitfulness of online communities, however,
are doubted by other commentators who report inconvenience, frustration, and
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difficulties in access for some students; information overload; the overly time-
consuming nature of asynchronous communication; forced participation; and/or low
levels of user involvement (Hara & Kling, 2000). In addition to assessing student
learning, it is equally important to assess the quality of the learner's experience
commonly referred to as “student satisfaction” (Moskal, Dziuban, Upchurch,
Hatrman, & Truman, 2006).
Potential Problems: Failure of Leadership
One potential problem that begs for attention is that online education may
increasingly fall pray to a marketing strategy − yet another way to increase
enrollment. When educational success is measured by the number of new students,
we witness the ultimate failure of educational leadership. The farmer who grows the
most potatoes may be the object of envy, but students are not potatoes. Devoid of
educational assessment and without empirical studies documenting what is being
gained and lost, marketing-driven growth may be more damaging to the U.S. than
what foreign terrorists could do.
Online Learning Barriers
The literature also reveals some drawbacks of online education. Pajo (2001)
identified a number of barriers to uptake of web-technology by university staff. Chief
among these were the time required in learning how to use web-based technology and
develop appropriate courses, the lack of training, and monitoring of web-based
teaching.
Some students may not be suited for the online environment. These would
include students who quit when something goes wrong and those who are not self-
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motivated, disciplined, or committed enough to learning (Weiss, 2000). It takes a lot
of discipline to regularly log on and complete assignments on time. Online courses
out of sight can also be out of mind and students who get behind later get
overwhelmed (Frankola, 2001).
According to Sprague et al. (2007), the growth in online education courses
reduces the enrollment in traditional programs especially master degree programs.
There is a problem of how best to evaluate online courses according to Chapman
(2006). Lack of community and student isolation in online education needs a lot of
attention according to Sprague et al. (2007). Social isolation has become a source of
depression, frustration, and decreasing social interaction in online education (Kraut et
al., 1998). Online programs have the potential to be efficient but the impact on
effectiveness and quality is not addressed by web-based educators. According to
Berube (1998), when you are teaching 10,000 students by satellite or via internet, you
basically cannot read, make necessary corrections, provide recommendation and
grade their papers, work and advise them on their career, and advise them on their
courses. Personal, individual contact with each student is one of the most inefficient
and costly services that a university can provide. According to Carr-Chellman (2006),
online programs attract students that are looking for answers that can apply to their
jobs, not who are interested in learning about theoretical constructs. Therefore, the
distance learner is not suited to traditional degree programs especially at the doctoral
level. Perhaps one of the most important issues in online education is the area of
intellectual property (Carr-Chellman, 2006). Once a faculty posts the course material
online, the knowledge and the course design skills will be transferred to the machine
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and will be placed in the hand of the administration which is now in the position to
hire less skilled and cheaper instructors to deliver the prepackaged course.
Powell et al. (1990) developed a conceptual framework that attempts to
account for some aforemetioned drawbacks the framework focuses on predisposing
characteristics of student success. Powell classified the factors contributing to success
and retention in distance education into two general categories. These are:
1. Predisposing characteristics: including prior education, socio-economic and
demographic status, and motivational and other personal attributes.
2. Institutional: including quality and difficulty of instructional materials,
access to and quality of tutorial support and the administrative and other support
service provided.
In their study of drop-outs from a Hellenic Open University course in
education studies, Vergidis and Panagiotakopoulos (2002) found that the main
problems stemmed from family or work obligations, rather than from factors intrinsic
to the course or its delivery. Other studies (Carr et al., 1996; Goodman et al., 1990;
Lazin & Neumann, 1991) all indicate that demographic variables were less predictive
of completing an educational program than attitude and the degree of social support
received.
Some work has been carried out with regard to barriers that prevent full
participation in online courses and ITV, even for students who complete them.
Howard, Caroline, Discenza, Richard, Schenk, and Karen (2002), identified several
barriers with regard to online interaction, the school principal was an insurmountable
social-psychological barrier. Technical problems were also blamed for a lack of
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interaction, with the sound often of poor quality and difficulties in manipulating
cameras and microphones. They also noted a certain degree of alienation, brought
about by the lack of physical presence and the reluctance to use the technology. The
latter finding reflects earlier research by, for example, Comeaux (1995) and McHenry
and Bozik (1995), which indicated low levels of interactivity often resulting from
technological problems. Most concerns are based upon the perceived lack of social
interaction and immediate feedback, inability to address the learning needs of a
diverse group of students, lack of transparent academic activities by for-profit online
schools (e.g., diploma mills).
According to The Sloan Consortium (2006), about two-thirds of the
administrators believe that student discipline is a critical barrier in online education.
Also faculty issues, such as acceptance of online education and the need for greater
time and effort to teach online are important barriers.
Enrollment Growth
According to Clouse and Goodin (2001-2002), growth in online education
resulted from three paradigm shifts. The first shift was due to the growth in
investment, primarily from governmental sources, toward integrating information
technology with instruction. The second paradigm was the tremendous growth in the
number of college students demanding distance learning courses. Finally, the growth
in the number of research studies in online education.
The literature reveals that enrollment growth in online courses has been
spectacular (Tham & Werner, 2005). Allen and Seaman (2004) observed that
enrollments in online courses continue to grow at a rate more rapid than predicted by
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institutions of higher education. With e-learning now occupying about 20 percent of
corporate training, a recent study by Sloan Consortium (2005), concluded that it
would be useful for company training executives to explore ways in which academic
and corporate online learning officers might collaborate. A report from (Sloan
Consortium, 2005) showed a 22.9% overall increase in the number of students taking
one or more online courses, growing from 1.60 to 1.98 million students. Schools were
optimistic about future growth as well, with 74.8% reporting that they expected their
online enrollments to increase (Sloan Consortium, 2005).
According to the Sloan Consortium (2006), 58.4 % of all institutions rated
online education as important for their long-term strategy. This is not consistent
across all types of institutions; small schools, and private nonprofit institutions were
the least likely to support this view (Sloan Consortium, 2006). The evidence from
higher education’s academic leaders suggests that there is a strong trend upwards in
considering online education as part of a school’s long-term strategy (Sloan
Consortium, 2006). There is growth among all types of schools: The overall percent
of schools identifying online education as a critical long-term strategy grew from
48.8% in 2003 to 58.4% in 2006 (Sloan Consortium, 2006). The largest increases
were seen in Associates degree institutions where 67.0% now agree that it is part of
their institution’s long-term strategy, up from 57.7% in 2003 (Sloan Consortium,
2006). Associate institutions are making more inroads in online education than four-
year institutions.
According to Sloan Consortium, (2006) larger institutions are most likely to
offer more online programs. Institutions with enrollments of over 15,000, offer twice
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as many online programs as the smallest institutions. The difference in online
programs offerings among institutions is interesting. Doctoral/Research institutions
offer more online programs than four year degree institutions.
The increase in the overall number of online learners was the same in 2007 as
in 2006 (an increase of around 360,000 each year) for an overall enrollment growth
rate of 18.2%. This growth rate greatly exceeds the overall growth rate in the higher
education student body. The overall size of the higher education student body is about
17 million with online students representing 3.48 million or almost 20 percent of total
enrollments in higher education (Sloan, 2007).
According to The Sloan Consortium (2006), 62 percent of Chief Academic
Officers believe that online courses are of equal quality or better than face-to-face
courses, and that students are as satisfied with online as with face-to-face courses.
The largest schools continue to be the most positive toward online education.
Chief Academic Officers believe, in general, that it takes more effort to teach
online. A large majority of them (63.6%) believe that it takes more discipline for a
student to succeed in an online course. Although online education continues to
penetrate into all types of institutions, a relatively stable minority of Chief Academic
Officers (28% in 2003 compared with 31% in 2005) continue to believe that their
faculty fully accept the value and legitimacy of online education. Eighty-two percent
of respondents believe that it is no more difficult to evaluate the quality of an online
course than one delivered face-to-face (Sloan Consortium 2006).
In 2006 (The Chronicle of Higher Education), reported that Congress is about
to remove the "50-percent rule," which bars any college that provides more than half
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of its courses via distance education from participating in federal student-aid
programs. Elimination of the 50-percent rule removes one more barrier to the
acceptance of on-line distance education as a legitimate vehicle for the delivery of
degree programs. As these barriers fall, more on-line degree programs will be
developed (The Sloan Consortium, 2006).
In 2006 (Sloan), eighty-nine percent of all institutions offer face-to-face
undergraduate-level courses, and 55% of all institutions offer online undergraduate-
level courses. This means that 62.5% of all those institutions that offer undergraduate
face-to-face courses also offer the same level course online; in other words, online
has a 62.5% penetration rate for undergraduate level courses. Far fewer institutions
provide graduate-level courses (only 26%), but the percentage of these that also have
an online offering is actually slightly higher (65%) than the penetration rate for
undergraduate courses. This analysis does not address the number of courses that
institutions offer in face-to-face and online modes, only if they offer or do not offer
them (Sloan, 2006).
Social Presence
The issue of “social presence” in online education has become an important
issue. Brownrigg (2002) identifies five characteristics of social presence. These
defining characteristics are interactivity, mediated communication, immediacy,
reciprocal awareness, and connectedness.
The genealogy of the phrase “social presence” can be traced back to
Mehrabian’s (1969) concept of “immediacy,” which he defined as "those
communication behaviors that enhance closeness to and nonverbal interaction with
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another." His research suggested that nonverbal cues such as facial expressions, body
movements, and eye contact, increase the sensory stimulation of interlocutors. This,
in turn, would lead to more intense, more affective, more immediate interactions.
Mehrabian’s (1969) work was followed up by communication theorists who
studied a variety of media including facsimile machines, voice mail, and audio
teleconferencing in organizational settings. Short, Williams, and Christie (1976)
argued that the inability of these media to transmit nonverbal cues would have a
negative effect on interpersonal communication.
It was Short et al. who introduced and defined the term social presence as “the
salience of the other in a mediated communication and the consequent salience of
their interpersonal interactions” (Short, Williams, & Christie, 1976). This is
interpreted as the degree to which a person is perceived as “real” in mediated
communication. Originally construed as an inherent feature of differing media, social
presence may also be explored by examining a variety of issues which may contribute
to the social climate of the classroom (Gunawardena, 1995). Consequently, it has
been argued that social presence is a factor of both the medium and the
communicators’ perceptions of presence in a sequence of interactions (Gunawardena
& Zittle, 1997). Short, et al. (1976), the initial investigators of social presence,
hypothesized that users of communication media are in some sense aware of the
degree of social presence of each medium and tend to avoid using particular
interactions in particular media. Specifically, users avoid interactions requiring a
higher sense of social presence in media which lack such capacity. Social presence,
they contend, varies among different media, it affects the nature of the interaction and
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it interacts with the purpose of the interaction to influence the medium chosen by the
individual who wishes to communicate (Short et al., 1976).
Gunawardena and Zittle (1997), researchers in the area of social presence and
computer-mediated conferencing, argued that in reviewing social presence research, it
is important to examine whether the actual characteristics of the media are the causal
determinants of communication differences or whether users’ perceptions of media
alter their behavior. They found that social presence could be cultured among
teleconference participants, a position different from the view that social presence is
largely an attribute of the communication medium. Their research demonstrated that
social presence is both a factor of the medium and of the communicators and their
presence in a sequence of interactions (Gunawardena & Zittle, 1997).
Related to the research on social presence is the research conducted on teacher
immediacy behaviors. The concept of teacher immediacy, originated by Wiener and
Mehrabian’s work, is a measure of the psychological distance that a communicator
puts between him/herself and the object of their communication (Wiener &
Mehrabian,1968). The majority of research in instructional communication related to
teacher immediacy behaviors has focused on teachers’ use of verbal and nonverbal
immediacy and the impact of those behaviors on students in traditional, face-to-face
communication. For example, highly immediate behaviors have been associated with
attitudinal changes, such as increase in student motivation (Christophel & Gorham,
1995; Christophel,1990) and student satisfaction (Moore, Masterson, Christophel, &
Shea, 1996).
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Teacher immediacy behaviors seem to take into account the same phenomena
as social presence without the intermediating variable of media. It may be that
instructors and students involved in asynchronous communication develop a set of
immediacy behaviors that enhance social presence in online courses as Gunawardena
and Zittle suggest (Gunawardena & Zittle, 1997).
Andersen (1979) looked at the role of immediacy in post-secondary education
and proposed the following definition of teacher immediacy: “Teacher immediacy is
conceptualized as those nonverbal behaviors that reduce physical and/or
psychological distance between teachers and students.” She found that engaging in
eye contact with students, adopting a relaxed body posture, using gestures, and
smiling, improved students attitudes toward in the course, the subject matter of the
course, and the course instructor.
Gorham (1988) expanded the definition of teacher immediacy behaviors to
include verbal behaviors such as talking about experiences that have occurred outside
class, using humor, addressing students by name, and praising students' work or
comments. Her results suggest that these types of behaviors also contributed
significantly to students’ affective learning.
Sanders and Wiseman (1990) extended this relationship to include behavioral
and cognitive learning. The authors operationally defined cognitive learning as how
much students thought they had learned in a course. The authors defined behavioral
learning as the likelihood that students would actually attempt to use the behaviors,
practices, or theories studied in the course. Positive correlations between both
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nonverbal and verbal teacher immediacy behaviors and student affective, behavioral,
and cognitive learning were significant.
The designation of this line of research as teacher immediacy implies an
instructor-centered perspective of the teaching-learning relationship in which the
teacher plays a central and authoritative role in the classroom. According to this
perspective, the creation of a warm, open, and trusting environment is regarded
primarily as the responsibility of the teacher. In this setting, teachers and learners
participate in a learning transaction that is more readily identified with constructivist
rather than instructivist orientations. Furthermore, it should be noted that teacher
immediacy research has concentrated on the investigation of nonverbal and verbal
behaviors in the face-to-face classroom.
The literature finds that humor is a contributive factor to immediacy and
subsequently to learning (Christenson & Menzel, 1998; Christophel, 1990; Gorham,
1988; Gorham & Zakahi, 1990; Sanders & Wiseman, 1990). Christophel and Gorham
(1995) liken humor to an invitation to start a conversation; it aims at decreasing social
distance, and it conveys goodwill. Research by Eggins and Slade (1997) reinforces
the importance of humor as an indicator of social presence. They found humor to be a
pervasive characteristic of casual conversation, in contrast to its infrequent
occurrence in formal, pragmatic interactions. They also postulate a connection
between humor and critical discourse: The construction of group cohesion frequently
involves using conversational strategies such as humorous banter, teasing, and joking.
These strategies allow differences between group members not to be viewed as
serious challenges to the consensus and similarity of the group.
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The psychological explanation of social attraction and bonding between
individuals includes self-disclosure. Cutler (1995) explains that the more one
discloses personal information, the more others will reciprocate, and the more
individuals know about each other the more likely they are to establish trust, seek
support, and thus find satisfaction. Shamp (1999) applied these notions to computer
mediated communication (CMC) and built on Turkle’s (1997) observation that people
have a tendency to attribute human characteristics to computers (anthropomorphism).
Shamp suggested that people have an inverse tendency to attribute characteristics of
computers to humans (mechanomorphism). Shamp (1999) discusses the negative
implications of this tendency that relate directly to the facilitation of a community of
inquiry. He notes that although CMC augments the number of people with whom an
individual can interact, it does not necessarily augment the degree of exposure to the
multifaceted nature of adult participants. For Shamp (1999), the lack of perceived
diversity in communication partners that CMC fosters has the potential to turn CMC
into a closed system which allows little new and different information about the
world to enter. The negative implications for the construction of knowledge are
apparent. In regard to social presence, Shamp (1999) notes mechanomorphism could
lead to computer communication that is not fulfilling or successful. He recommends
the exchange of personal information to reduce feelings of social isolation and thus
contribute to the formation of individualized impressions of interlocutors.
Teacher immediacy literature has provided an empirical justification for
extending Shamp’s conclusions to educational applications of computer conferencing.
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Christenson and Menzel (1998), Gorham (1988), Gorham and Christophel (1990),
Gorham and Zakahi (1990), and Sanders and Wiseman (1990) found positive
correlations between use of personal examples, personal anecdotes, and self-
disclosure, affective, cognitive and behavioral measures of learning.
The concept of interactivity is also related to social presence. Interaction can
happen between instructors and students, among students, or basically between two
individuals. Social presence is not present if interaction does not occur (Short,
Williams, & Christie, 1976).
Finally the concept of connectedness is another facet of to social presence.
This concept was introduced by Rouke et al., (1999) as a “community of inquiry” in
which there is a sense of affiliation among the group members and a sense of
solidarity of the group. Rovai (2001) refers the concept of connectedness to a “sense
of involvement and engagement.” DeGreef and Ijsselsteijin (2001) define
connectedness as “sense of being together” and finally Bibeau (2001) refers the
concept to getting connected and collaborated.
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CHAPTER III
METHODOLOGY
Introduction
Online education presents unusual challenges and opportunities for educators
and students alike. In the context of educational leadership, it is important to
determine to what extent online education motivates students to learn and provides an
overall educational experience similar to that of traditional face-to-face education.
For example, it is important to establish to what degree students find the technology
threatening, experience feelings of isolation, are less likely to communicate with the
instructor, and tend to learn less than they would in a traditional setting. All of this
relates to the issue of social presence. The study also addresses measures that may be
taken to mitigate the negative aspects of online education.
This chapter describes the various statistical techniques that were used in an
attempt to identify those attributes conducive to a high-quality learning experience, as
well as those attributes that influence student enrollment in online courses.
Research Questions
1. Does the online learning experience contribute to feelings of isolation
among students?
2. What factors influence student satisfaction in online classes?
3. Is the online learning experience detrimental to students’ motivation?
4. What factors influence learning outcomes?
5. Is perceived learning related to social presence?
6. What are the perceived strengths and weaknesses of online education?
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Null Hypotheses
H01. There is no statistically significant difference between the personal
experience of the online course and that of the classroom.
H02. There is no statistically significant relationship between labor force
activity as measured by average weekly hours of work, and the decision
to enroll in online courses.
H03. There is no statistically significant relationship between commuting time
to school and the decision to enroll in online courses.
H04. There is no statistically significant relationship between student
satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s social
presence.
H05. There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.
H06. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
a poor way to communicate with the instructor.
H07. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
threatening.
H08. There is no statistically significant relationship between perceived
learning and social presence in online education.
Research Methodology
The investigator used various data-analytic methods, including descriptive
statistics, multiple regression analysis, ANOVA, and logit analysis of binary
dependent variable models.
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This section has a two-fold objective: (1) it explains the equivalence of the
traditional analysis of variance (ANOVA) model and the dummy or qualitative
independent variable regression model; and (2) it presents a brief description of the
logit regression model.
Models with a single qualitative variable have been traditionally formulated as
ANOVA models. Typically, we have observations on a variable Y that may be
grouped into two or more groups. The hypothesis tested with the ANOVA model is
that there is no significant difference between the groups, or equivalently that the two
groups are drawn from the same population. However, this test may also be carried-
out within a regression model using binary variables, also known as dummy variables
─ the method of choice in this dissertation. Such variables take only a value of zero
or one (0, 1). Kmenta (1971) shows that the two approaches are equivalent and lead
to the same test results. Because the observed variables are binary, the mean of each
group is also the proportion of respondents. We wish to test if the respective group
means differ significantly.
The following example demonstrates the equivalence of the traditional
ANOVA t-test for the significance of the difference between means, and the
regression approach. Suppose that we have six observations on variable Y as shown
in Table 1.
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Table 1. Hypothetical Data
Y X __________________________________________
20 1
35 145 1
30 0
20 010 0
__________________________________________
Notice that the mean of the first three observations, 33.33, differs from that of
the last three observations, 20. The investigator wants to determine if the difference in
means is significant. The null is that all of the observations are drawn from the same
population, i.e. that the difference in means is zero. The alternative is that the first
three and the last three observations are samples from different populations, i.e., that
the difference in means is significantly different from zero. Using Excel, we treat the
first three observations as one variable and the last three as another variable, and do a
t-test for two samples assuming unequal variances. The results in Table 2 indicate that
the test statistic is 1.4368, and the P-value for a two-tailed test is 0.2241. The P-value
is the probability of obtaining the observed difference in means under the null. In
order to reject the null we require a low P-value, say, 0.05, or even lower 0.01.
However, in this case it shows that the probability that the two samples are drawn
from the same population is 0.2241, thus we cannot reject the null hypothesis with a
high level of confidence.
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Table 2. ANOVA Test Results Obtained with Excel
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming UnequalVariances
Y X Mean 33.33333 20
Variance 158.3333 100
Observations 3 3
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
df 4
t Stat 1.436842
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.112061
t Critical one-tail 2.131847
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.224122
t Critical two-tail 2.776445
Using a regression model, instead of treating the first three and last three observations
of Y in Table 1 as two different variables, all six observations are treated as one
variable. However, we introduce an independent binary variable X such that X=1 for
the first three observations and is zero otherwise. See Table 1. We then estimate the
following regression model,
0 1i i iY X β β ε = + + (1)
In this case, the binary variable X, also called a dummy variable, acts as a switch, i.e.
when X=0, the mean of Y is β0, the intercept, also the mean of the last three
observations in Table 1, and when X=1, the mean of Y is β0 + β1 (the mean of the first
three observations in Table 1). Table 3 below shows the estimation results obtained
with Excel.
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It is noted that the difference in means is 13.3333, the t-statistic of this
coefficient is 1.4368, and its P-value is 0.2241. These are exactly the same values
obtained earlier with the traditional ANOVA model and shown in Table 2. This
concludes the demonstration of the equivalence of these two methods. It is important
to note that the simple regression method in equation (1) may easily be generalized to
allow the inclusion of additional independent variables in a multiple regression model
that permits the simultaneous testing of several null hypotheses.
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The Logit Model
The logit model has found wide applications in research and in business in
situations when the dependent variable is binary. It derives its name from the logistic
distribution. Consider first a model designed to account for individual choice, e.g.,
whether students enroll in online courses or not. The dependent variable is qualitative
taking only two possible values one or zero depending on the given choice. Although
such a model may be estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS), resulting in the
linear probability model (LPM), there are serious problems associated with such a
model. First, the disturbances are not normally distributed, violating one of the
assumptions needed for statistical inference. Second, the disturbances do not exhibit
constant variance, i.e., are heteroscedastic, also violating another assumption needed
for valid statistical inference. Finally, the probabilities estimated under the LPM are
not constrained to fall between zero and one. Probability values greater than one or
less than zero are nonsense. Alternative estimation methods, such as probit, logit,
tobit, and discriminant analysis have been developed that eschew the pitfalls of the
LPM. See Gujarati (Basic Econometrics, 4th edition, McGraw- Hill, 2003).
The logit model transforms the dependent variable to an index constrained to
fall within the bounds of the cumulative logistic distribution. Estimation of the logit
model results in coefficients for each independent variable; the statistical significance
of each coefficient is tested using a t-statistic. The independent variables may be a
mixed set consisting of both qualitative and quantitative variables. Moreover, the
significance of a group of coefficients may be tested via a likelihood (LR) ratio
statistic analogous to the F test in the linear regression model (Gujarati, 2003).
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In the context of this dissertation, Yi may alternate between 0 and 1 depending on
whether students are satisfied with the learning experience or not. The explanatory
variables may include, among others, whether they feel isolated or not, whether they
missed not seeing and hearing the instructor, and whether they felt part of a group or
not.
Suppose that we wish to quantify the effect of feelings of isolation on perceived
learning. We could specify a model,
Yi = β0 + β1 Xi + ei , (1)
where, Xi =1 is the student felt isolated, and X i =0 if the student did not feel isolated,
and Yi =1 or Yi =0 depending on whether perceived learning increased or decreased.
Finally, β0 and β1 are parameters to be estimated. Since all observations on the
dependent variable equal 0 or 1, we are interested in estimating the probability of an
outcome conditional upon an observed value of the independent variable, X i.
One possible interpretation of equation (1) is that the probability of success is
a linear function of Xi. However, if we try to estimate equation (1) by ordinary least
squares, the error term will not be normally distributed, its variance will not be
constant, the regression coefficient will be biased, and predicted values of Yi may be
negative or greater than one. In order to sidestep this minefield of problems,
statisticians developed the logit model, which is based on the logistic function. One
desirable property of the logistic function is that it is bounded by 0 and 1. Another
interesting property is that although it is non-linear, it can be easily transformed into a
linear function by taking logs. Figure 1 shows the logistic response function.
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Let P1 denote the probability that Y = 1, and P0 denote the probability that Y = 0,
then,
)(
)(
110
10
1X
X
e
e P
β β
β β
+
+
+
= (2),
and,
)(0 101
1 X
e P
β β ++
= (3).
Suppose we write,
P' = P1/(1 – P0) (4).
Equation (4) is the logistic or logit transformation. Inserting (2) and (3) into (4)
yields,
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)(' 10 X e P
β β +
= (5).
And now, taking natural logs of both sides of (5) yields equation (6) which is
estimated by maximum likelihood to obtain values of the parameters β0 and β1. The
parameter of interest is β1which expresses the effect of a one unit change in Xi (in the
present example, the proportion of students reporting feelings of isolation) on the
probability that perceive. D learning increased.
=
'
lni
P β0 + β1Xi (6).
Research Design
Data analysis was carried out by means of descriptive statistics, analysis of
variance, multiple regression analysis, and logit analysis.
Subject of Study
The study was conducted on students enrolled in online courses in the
department of Business and Technology at Lone Star College-Tomball in Tomball,
Texas. The results of the study may be generalized to the population of students at
Lone Star College-Tomball.
Instrumentation
After careful analysis of several developed instruments, questions that have
been used in other published studies were selected for the instrument thus minimizing
the need for validation. The modified instrument consists of 48 questions. The first 42
questions are multiple-choice, and the last six requires written responses. The
modified instrument focuses on students’ demographic data, students’ enrollment,
learning environment, and evaluation criteria in both online and face-to-face courses.
The instrument appears in Appendix 1.
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Procedures
The experimentally accessible population for the study included students
enrolled in online sections of Economics, Accounting, Management and Computer
Information Studies courses. In the spring semester of 2008, a letter was sent to Dr.
Raymond Hawkins, president of the Lone Star College at Tomball requesting
permission to administer the instrument to students. Dr. Hawkins granted permission,
and data were collected during the summer and fall semesters of 2008. Student
participation was voluntary. The instrument was placed with Wonder Survey Inc. and
students logged on to the Wonder Survey web site where they answered the questions
directly. Students provided consent via submission of the electronic survey to Wonder
Survey.
A total of 150 students, 52.14%, of those invited completed the survey.
Subsequently, Wonder Survey tabulated the responses and provided to me the
students’ final responses. It is worth noting that since the students communicated
electronically with Wonder Survey, the investigator was not involved with the data
gathering or tabulation of the responses.
Reliability and Validity
The variables in this study measure perceptions, attitudes, and educational
outcomes. The validity of an empirical model is judged by measures of goodness-of-
fit, such the t-statistics of the regression coefficients. These are universally used as
measures of model validity, reliability, and adequacy.
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Data Collection
To ensure confidentiality, the instrument was placed with Wonder Survey Inc.
and students logged on to the Wonder Survey web site where they answered the
questions directly. Subsequently, Wonder Survey tabulated the responses and
provided to the researcher the final responses of students. It is worth noting that since
the students communicated electronically with Wonder Survey, the researcher was
not involved with the data gathering or tabulation of the responses. The collected data
has been stored in a password-protected file in the researcher’s personal computer
which only the researcher may access. The data will be stored for seven years and
will be deleted afterwards.
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CHAPTER IV
ANALYSIS OF DATA
The data set permits answering a large number of research questions, and
testing a large number of hypotheses. For convenience’s sake the research questions
and null hypotheses are reproduced below.
Research Questions
1. Does the online learning experience contribute to feelings of isolation
among students?
2. What factors influence student satisfaction in online classes?
3. Is the online learning experience detrimental to students’ motivation?
4. What factors influence learning outcomes?
5. Is perceived learning related to social presence?
6. What are the perceived strengths and weaknesses of online education?
Null Hypotheses
H01. There is no statistically significant difference between the personal
experience of the online course and that of the classroom.
H02. There is no statistically significant relationship between labor force
activity as measured by average weekly hours of work, and the decision
to enroll in online courses.
H03. There is no statistically significant relationship between commuting time
to school and the decision to enroll in online courses.
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H04. There is no statistically significant relationship between student
satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s social
presence.
H05. There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.
H06. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
a poor way to communicate with the instructor.
H07. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
threatening.
H08. There is no statistically significant relationship between perceived
learning and social presence in online education.
Hypothesis No. 2
Considering the relationship between labor force activity and the decision to
enroll in an online course, Table 4 shows the percent of respondents and the number
of weekly hours of labor force activity. No clear pattern emerges; for example, 18.7
percent worked only 1-10 hours, while 24% worked over 40 hours, and this
difference in proportions is not statistically significant.
Table 4
______________________________________________________ Hours/Week Percent of Respondents t-Stat P-value
______________________________________________________
1-10 18.7 -1.12 0.2611-20 14.0 -2.22 0.03
21-30 10.7 -3.09 0.00
31-40 32.7 1.66 0.1Over 40 24.0
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The responses to another question shed corroborating evidence on the
relationship between labor force activity and the decision to enroll online;
specifically: “Would you take another online course if offered?” Table 5 shows the
responses.
Table 5 ____________________________________________________________
Hours/Week Percent of respondents willing t-Stat P-value
to take another online course
____________________________________________________________ 1-10 89 -0.75 .46
11-20 95 0.11 .92
21-30 94 -0.08 .93
31-40 90 -0.77 .44Over 40 94
The test statistics show that the differences in means between each group and the
reference group, those working over 40 hours per week, are not statistically
significant.
Hypothesis No. 3
Considering the relationship between commuting time to school and the
decision to enroll in online courses, table 6 summarizes the responses. Lone Star
College draws its students from a narrow geographical area, as commuting time for
44% of respondents is 15 minutes or less, and for an additional 30.7% it is within 16-
30 minutes.
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Table 6
______________________________________________________
Commuting Time Percent of t-Stat P-value(minutes) Respondents
______________________________________________________
0-15 44 9.67 0.0016-30 30.7 6.10 0.00
31-45 17.3 4.35 0.00
46-60 5.3 1.18 0.24Over 60 2.7
“Would you take another online course if offered?” Table 7 shows that a
uniformly high percentage of respondents is willing to take another online course
regardless of commuting time.
Table 7 ____________________________________________________________
Commuting Time Percent of respondents willing t-Stat P-value
(minutes) to take another online course ____________________________________________________________
0-15 95 -0.33 .74
16-30 96 -0.32 .74
31-45 73 -1.91 .0646-60 100 0.00 1
Over 60 100
The results in Table 5 and 7 indicate that, for the data sample under study,
neither labor force activity nor commuting time, are important determinants of the
decision to enroll in online courses at Lone Star College. What then matters?
Question # 34 in the instrument reads: “I took the online course because it
allowed me more flexibility in managing my time and schedule.” Table 8 shows that
94% of the students strongly agreed, or agreed with the statement. Therefore, these
students flock to online classes mainly because of flexibility.
Table 8. Took the online course primarily because it allowed me more
flexibility in managing my time and schedule
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______________________________________________________________
_
Strongly agree 64%Agree 30%
Strongly disagree 0.7%
Disagree 5%
Given the spectacular growth of online education, one important issue in
educational leadership concerns the educational outcome. This is a complex and
multi-faceted issue and one aspect of which involves social presence. In question #
11 in the instrument, students were asked to rate their overall educational experience
in taking an online course; five choices were available: excellent (EA1), very good
(EA2), good (EA3), satisfactory (EA4), and poor (EA5). Analysis of the responses to
this question sheds light on the factors that contribute to student satisfaction with
online education as well as those that detract from it.
Hypothesis No. 4
This hypothesis posits that: “There is no statistically significant relationship
between student satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s
social presence.” One way to shed light on this issue is via regression analysis within
the framework of the logit model that was introduced earlier in the methodology
section. The logit models below were estimated using the Oxmetrics software
package because the data set is too large to be read with the student version of SPSS.
Students rated their overall educational experience in taking an online course
as follows: Excellent (17%), Very Good (19%), Good (24%), Satisfactory (31%), and
Poor (8%). Altogether, 70% of respondents fall in the first three groups, it will be
interesting to see how these three groups differ from the last two. In the following
model the dependent variable (EA) equals one for the first three groups, and is zero
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otherwise. In question # 33, the independent variable (miss) is one if the student
missed not seeing and hearing the instructor, and is zero otherwise.
Modeling Satisfaction with the Educational Experience by Logit
The estimation sample is 1 - 150 ____________________________________________________________________
Coefficient Std.Error t-value t-prob
Constant 1.35239 0.2897 4.67 0.000miss -1.64007 0.3701 -4.43 0.000
log-likelihood -89.6610156 no. of states 2
no. of observations 150 no. of parameters 2 baseline log-lik -100.5324 Test: Chi^2( 1) 21.743 [0.0000]**
____________________________________________________________________
The coefficient of the independent variable is -1.64 and is significantly
different from zero. The interpretation of this coefficient is straightforward, it
indicates for each 1% increase in the proportion of students that missed not seeing
and hearing the instructor, the probability that a student would rate the educational
experience as excellent, very good, or good decreases by 1.64% as compared to the
alternative. The null hypothesis of no relationship is rejected, since the t-stat of the
coefficient is -4.43 and its probability value (t-Prob) is 0.000. In other words, this
indicates that if the null hypothesis were true one would obtain results like those
shown above in zero of 1000 cases. Thus we can decisively reject the null. This has
established that there is a clear, statistically significant, inverse relationship between
social presence and satisfaction with the educational experience. Finally, the reported
Chi-squared statistic is a measure of overall goodness-of-fit.
Another way to shed additional light on the relationship between satisfaction
with the educational experience and social presence is via question # 29 in the
instrument, “I learned a great deal about the instructor in the online course.” In the
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following logit model, the independent variable (ins) equals one if the students
strongly agreed, or agreed with the statement, and equals zero otherwise. The
regression coefficient shown below is positive (0.987) indicating that the more
students learn about the instructor, the more favorable the educational experience
becomes. Here the t-statistic, 2.82, is also significantly different from zero, with a
probability value of 0.005.
Modeling Satisfaction with the Educational Experience by LogitThe estimation sample is 1 – 150
____________________________________________________________________
Coefficient Std.Error t-value t-prob
Constant 2.37308e-016 0.2236 0.00 1.000ins 0.987387 0.3496 2.82 0.005
log-likelihood -96.3789935 no. of states 2
no. of observations 150 no. of parameters 2
baseline log-lik -100.5324 Test: Chi^2( 1) 8.3068 [0.0039]**
Social presence has many dimensions and it extends to the presence of other
students as well. Question #21 in the instrument reads: “Even though we were not
physically in a traditional classroom, I still felt like I was part of a group in the online
course.” In the following model the independent variable (group) equals one if the
students strongly agreed, or agreed with the statement, and is zero otherwise. The
coefficient of the independent variable is 1.32 and is significantly different from zero.
This indicates for each 1% increase in the proportion of students that feel part of a
group, the probability that a student would rate the educational experience as
excellent, very good, or good increases by 1.32% Thus there is statistically significant
direct relationship between belonging to a group and satisfaction with the educational
experience.
Modeling Satisfaction with the Educational Experience by Logit
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The estimation sample is 1 - 150
____________________________________________________________________
Coefficient Std.Error t-value t-probConstant -0.374693 0.2770 -1.35 0.178
group 1.31296 0.3581 3.67 0.000
log-likelihood -93.5351378 no. of states 2
no. of observations 150 no. of parameters 2
baseline log-lik -100.5324 Test: Chi^2( 1) 13.994 [0.0002]**
Yet another way of looking at social presence is in terms of the extent to
which students experience feelings of isolation. Question # 31 reads: “I felt isolated
and alone while taking an online course.” The independent variable (isol) equals one
if the students strongly agreed, or agreed with the statement, and is zero otherwise.
The coefficient of the independent variable is -1.71 and is significantly different from
zero as evidenced by the t-statistic and associated probability level. This indicates for
each 1% increase in the proportion of students that experienced feelings of isolation,
the probability that a student would rate the educational experience as excellent, very
good, or good decreases by 1.71%. There is a statistically significant inverse
relationship between “isolation” and satisfaction with the educational experience.
Modeling Satisfaction with the Educational Experience by Logit
The estimation sample is 1 - 150
____________________________________________________________________
Coefficient Std.Error t-value t-probConstant 1.02165 0.2244 4.55 0.000
isol -1.71480 0.3796 -4.52 0.000
log-likelihood -89.5007031 no. of states 2
no. of observations 150 no. of parameters 2 baseline log-lik -100.5324 Test: Chi^2( 1) 22.063 [0.0000]** ____________________________________________________________________
_
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The following section tests a larger number of null hypotheses concerning the
statistical significance of the difference between group means. The tests go beyond
those reported above.
As shown above, students rated their overall educational experience in taking
an online course as follows: Excellent (17%), Very Good (19%), Good (24%),
Satisfactory (31%), and Poor (8%). Table 9 shows the proportions, or means (%), of
students that fall into each of the above in relation to several statements or questions
from the instrument, so we can test for the statistical significance of the difference
between group means by each of the instrument items in column 1. Appendix D
shows the computer output from which Table 9 was constructed.
The first item in Table 9 reads: “Learned a great deal about the instructor.”
Column 2 shows that 50% of the students who rated their educational experience as
excellent agreed with the statement, and as we move to the right we find the
following numbers: 66, 52, 40, and 0 – those are the percentage of the students in
each group agreeing with the statement. The proportion in the last group – the poor
raters – is precisely zero. We observe a tendency for the proportion of students who
learned a great deal about the instructor, to decrease as their perception of the
educational experience worsens. It is worth inquiring if the difference between each
group mean and those who rated their experience as poor, the benchmark group in
column 6, is statistically significant. Table 10 shows the test statistics (t-stats) and
their significance levels. The t-statistics for question # 1 in columns 2, 3, and 4 are all
significant, indicating that we can reject the null hypothesis that the difference in each
group mean relative to poor raters in Table 9, column 6 is zero. We observe that all
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of the t-stats for question #1 are significant at the 0.01 level or lower. Please note that
Table 10 does not have a column for the “poor” group because that group is the
benchmark. The t-stats in Table 10 allow us to identify the characteristics and
perceptions that distinguish those who rated their online educational experience as
“poor” from the other four groups. This is worth doing. It will help faculty members
understand why some students perform poorly; moreover, it will help professors
design their online courses so as to minimize failure. Before proceeding, a caveat is
necessary, to-wit, the empirical findings are tainted by survivor bias. The reason is
that the drop rate in online classes approaches 50%; this means that those who were
most disappointed with their online educational experience had dropped the course
before the instrument was administered.
The main characteristics that distinguish the poor raters from the first three
groups are as follows. They tend to feel threatened, isolated, and miss not seeing and
hearing the instructor. Also, they do not feel part of group, are less motivated to
participate and to learn, and they report that the online educational experience is very
different from that of the classroom. Finally, only a small percentage of the poor
raters, 17%, report that they enjoyed the online course. See question #17, column 6.
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The next section examines the relationship between perceived learning and
several variables that proxy for social presence. One question allowed students to
indicate how much they learned in the course; specifically, they could select one of
five choices regarding the amount learned: (1) increased (29%); (2) increased
somewhat (10%); (3) no change (38%); (4) decreased somewhat (16%), or (5)
decreased (7%). The above percentages in parentheses show the distribution of
responses; for example, 29% indicated that the amount learned increased, 10%
indicated that it increased somewhat, and 7% indicated that it decreased. Table 11
cross tabulates the proportion (percent) of respondents that selected one of the above
in relation to other questions. The questions in Table 11 are relevant to the issue of
social presence, and allow testing for the relationship between perceived learning and
social presence.
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Question # 7 in Table 9 reads: “Missed not seeing and hearing the instructor.”
A significant proportion of the students in all five groups (columns 2 through 6)
missed not seeing and hearing the instructor, suggesting that this is one aspect of the
personal experience of online education that differs significantly from traditional
education. It is worth noting that as perceived learning decreased, the percentage of
students who missed the instructor’s presence increased. For example, question #7 in
Table 11, column 2 shows that of those indicating that the amount learned increased,
only 37% missed the instructor’s presence, as compared to 63% of those reporting
that the amount learned decreased somewhat (column 5), and 100% of those who
indicated that the amount learned decreased (column 6). Is 37% significantly different
from 100%? Table 12, column 2, shows the test statistic (-3.61) which is significantly
different from zero; its significance level is 0.00. This indicates that we can decisively
reject the null hypothesis that the difference in means is zero. The same holds for the
test-statistics in columns 3, 4, and 5 of Table 12. Each of those tests for the difference
in means of each group versus the reference group – those indicating that the amount
learned decreased.
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Fifty-seven percent of the students in Table 11, column 2 opine that they
learned a great deal about the instructor, as compared to zero percent of those in
column 6. This difference is highly significant. See Table 12. Looking at questions 8,
9, 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14 in Table 11 we find a striking difference in the responses
shown in columns 2 and 6. All in all, the results in Tables 11 and 12 confirm those
reported in Tables 9 and 10, and provide statistically significant evidence that
educational outcomes are adversely affected by a diminution of social presence in
online class.
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CHAPTER V
SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Introduction
This chapter summarizes the major findings of the work and conclusions.
Recommendations are presented for mitigating the special problems that students face
in online courses.
Summary
Problem
Online education is the fastest growing segment of the higher education industry.
Offering an increasingly large number of online courses has become a panacea for
schools wishing to increase enrollments both inside and outside of their traditional
market areas. Nevertheless, there is a growing awareness that online education is not
a perfect substitute for traditional face-to-face education in a classroom setting.
Online students face unusual problems and challenges. Likewise, online teachers face
unusual problems. It is important for educational leaders to recognize the
shortcomings of online education in order that faculty may receive the training
needed to become more effective teachers in the online medium. Special attention
must be paid as well to course design.
Purpose of the Study
The purpose of the study is to examine the importance of social presence in
online courses at a community college. Specifically, the study examined the
relationship of social presence in online courses to students’ perceived learning and
satisfaction.
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Research Questions
The following research questions motivated the study:
1. Does the online learning experience contribute to feelings of isolation
among students?
2. What factors influence student satisfaction in online classes?
3. Is the online learning experience detrimental to students’ motivation?
4. What factors influence learning outcomes?
5. Is perceived learning related to social presence?
6. What are the perceived strengths and weaknesses of online education?
Null Hypotheses
H01. There is no statistically significant difference between the personal
experience of the online course and that of the classroom.
H02. There is no statistically significant relationship between labor force
activity as measured by average weekly hours of work, and the decision
to enroll in online courses.
H03. There is no statistically significant relationship between commuting time
to school and the decision to enroll in online courses.
H04. There is no statistically significant relationship between student
satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s social
presence.
H05. There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.
H06. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
a poor way to communicate with the instructor.
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H07. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
threatening.
H08. There is no statistically significant relationship between perceived
learning and social presence in online education.
Methodology
The dissertation used various data-analytic methods, including descriptive
statistics, multiple regression analysis, ANOVA, and logit analysis of binary
dependent variable models.
Summary of Findings
Research Question No. 1
The first research question reads: “Does the online learning experience
contribute to feelings of isolation among students?” The companion null hypothesis
reads: “There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.” This dissertation provides clear, compelling, and statistically significant
evidence that feelings of isolation are common to online students. Moreover, the
greater the prevalence of these feelings, the less satisfied students typically are, and
the less they perceive to learn.
Research Question No. 2
The second research question reads: What factors influence student
satisfaction in online classes? The data shown in Table 9 indicates that the
instructor’s social presence contributes directly to student satisfaction. The extent to
which students feel that they are part of a group, and that they are able to
communicate effectively with the instructor and with other students also varies
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directly with student satisfaction with the online instructional experience. On the
other hand, factors that detract from it are: feeling threatened, feeling isolated, and
missing not seeing and hearing the instructor.
Research Question No. 3
Research question #3 reads: “Is the online learning experience detrimental to
students’ motivation?” The related item in the instrument reads: “The online course
stimulated my desire to learn.” Overall, 66% agreed with the statement and 34%
disagreed. The proportion that disagreed is significantly different from zero, t-stat =
8.76, probability value = 0.000.
Research Question No. 4
Research question 4 reads: “What factors influence learning outcomes?” The
evidence indicates that learning outcomes are positively impacted by feeling to be
part of a group, by being able to communicate with other students and with the
instructor, and by learning about the instructor, i.e., the human dimension of the
instructor is important. On the other hand, learning outcomes or perceived learning is
negatively impacted by feelings of isolation and feeling threatened by the course and
technology.
Research Question No. 5
Research Question 5 reads: “Is perceived learning related to social presence?”
The data in Tables 11 and 12 were used to answer this question and related null
hypotheses. For example, question #7 in Table 11, column 2 shows that of those
indicating that the amount learned increased, only 37% missed the instructor’s
presence, as compared to 63% of those reporting that the amount learned decreased
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somewhat (column 5), and 100% of those who indicated that the amount learned
decreased (column 6). Is 37% significantly different from 100%? Table 12, column 2,
shows the test statistic (-3.61) which significantly different from zero; its significance
level is 0.00. This indicates that we can decisively reject the null hypothesis that the
difference in means is zero. The same holds for the test-statistics in columns 3, 4, and
5 of Table 12. Each of those tests for the difference in means of each group versus the
reference group – those indicating that the amount learned decreased.
Research Question No. 6
Research Question 6 reads: “What are the perceived strengths and
weaknesses of online education?” The evidence indicates that for the students
sampled in this study, flexibility in managing their time and schedule was the greatest
perceived strength. As shown earlier in Table 8, 94% of the respondents indicated
that they took the online course because it allowed more flexibility in time
management. Consistent with this finding, the overwhelming majority of respondents
indicated that they are willing to take another online course.
The results also indicate that the respondents missed not seeing and hearing
the instructor, felt isolated and threatened, were less motivated to learn, were less
satisfied with the educational experience, reported that the amount learned decreased,
their motivation to participate decreased, the amount and quality of interaction with
the instructor and students decreased, and the online course did not provide an
educational experience similar to the classroom.
Conclusions
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The failure to recognize that effective online instruction requires a new
paradigm, has the potential to do great harm. It threatens to devalue education and to
render it subservient to convenience and to the search for higher enrollments. This is
a critical issue in educational leadership. Tax payers who fund the world’s most
expensive educational system should get an adequate return for their tax dollars, yet
the willy-nilly growth of online education will achieve the opposite unless
administrators and teachers recognize the peculiar difficulties and challenges inherent
in the online medium.
This work shows that in a statistically significant proportion of online students
the motivation to learn decreases. Also, the students tend to feel isolated and
threatened, miss not seeing and hearing the instructor, find the online medium to be a
poor way to communicate and interact with others, and in fact, report a decrease in
perceived learning.
Recommendations
In order to understand the recommendations, consider what may be an all too
common situation. Assume that a college professor who has taught a given course in
a face-to-face setting for many years is now given the opportunity to teach it online
for the first time. The school will provide training in Vista or WebCT to facilitate
posting materials online. However, he is not alerted to the special needs, or problems
faced by online students. He posts the same syllabus that he uses in the face-to-face
classes, and grades similarly on the basis of, say, three exams and one paper.
Unaware that many students feel isolated, become less motivated to learn, and in
effect learn less than they would in a traditional setting, he assumes that the online
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students are equally motivated, and do the reading assignments on a timely basis.
Essentially, following the line of least effort, he continues to use the traditional face-
to-face instructional paradigm that is woefully inadequate for the online medium.
Later, he finds that the online students do not perform as well as he expected.
However, perhaps to avoid flunking a disproportionate number of students, he bases
the curve on the class average, in effect, lowering the standards and passing students
who learned little. On the other hand, the students who got a passing grade with less
effort, but who enjoyed the benefits of lower transportation costs, and time-
management flexibility, will now prefer to enroll in online courses. While the above
picture is unflattering, it underscores what may happen when teachers offer online
classes without the benefit of professional development or training.
First-time online teachers may be annoyed and perhaps overwhelmed by the
cornucopia of problems that they will have to deal with. For example, students fail to
follow simple instructions such as using the correct password to open posted exams,
or even opening exams during the prescribed window of time. The instructor’s mail
box will have several angry emails from these students. If the instructor provides her
home phone number to the students, as this author does, some students will call at
unreasonable hours. All of these problems will contribute to instructor burnt-out
syndrome.
The researcher’s specific recommendations are as follows:
1. Just like students receive orientation to familiarize them with the
technology of online education (Vista, etc.), teachers must receive
training to make them aware of the problems peculiar to online
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students. There is a pressing need for instructor training or
professional development to refine and fine-tune instructional
practices appropriate to online instruction.
2. Student training should go beyond the technical aspects of the
course management system tools (i.e., Vista, WebCT). They should
be dropped from the class roster if they fail to complete the needed
training. They should be made aware, that they will experience
feelings of isolation, and decreased motivation to participate and to
learn. They should be instructed on actions that they may take to
mitigate these negative aspects.
3. The empirical findings show that many students find the online
courses threatening. Many students may not be ready to take online
courses. Thus, it is important to pre-test the students to determine if
they are ready to tackle online courses.
4. In order to mitigate isolation, instructors should assign group
projects, encouraging students to interact with others. To lessen the
free-rider problem, i.e., the tendency of some members of a group to
do nothing, the group members should evaluate each other.
5. The instructor should provide interesting discussion questions,
journal articles, cases, and other current reading materials, thus
encouraging students to present their views, and react to the views
of others in the chat room and via conferences, thus fostering a
sense of community. This should be an integral part of course
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requirements and should carry a weight towards the grade earned on
the course. The instructor should be an active participant in the
discussions online; he must interact with the students in a way that
they feel his social presence and are stimulated by him.
6. Make use of the chat room feature in Vista/WebCT.
7. Use streaming videos so that the students may see the instructor or
at least hear his voice, in the absence of the needed camera. This
way the instructor may videotape lectures and place them in Vista
for the students’ convenience.
8. Just like traditional faculty must have office hours, administrators
should require online faculty to interact with their students over the
chat room (immediate response) a minimum number of times each
month.
9. Online faculty should be required to interact with the students, and
the students among themselves, via the discussion board.
Recommendations for Further Study
Based on the results of this study, the researcher recommends the following for the
further study:
1. A study should be conducted to include a larger sample of students
in the Lone Star College System in order to determine the extent to
which the results generalize to students in other departments besides
Business and Technology, and in other locations. The Lone Star
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College System includes six campuses with over 51,000 students,
and is the largest higher education institution in Houston and the
third largest in Texas.
2. A study should be conducted to include undergraduate students at the
university level in order to ascertain if the results generalize to a
larger cross section of students including juniors and seniors.
3. A study should be conducted to include graduate students at the
university level in order to ascertain if the results generalize to them
as well.
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Webopedia (n.d.). Encyclopedia dedicated to computer technology. Retrieved
December 4, 2007, from http://www.webopedia.com.html
Whalen, T., & Wright, D. (2000).The business case for web-based training.
Norwood, MA: Artech House.
Wiener, M., & Mehrabian, A. (1968). Language within language: Immediacy, a
channel in verbal communication. New York: Appleton-Century-Crofts.
Weiss, S. (2000, April). Virtual education 101. The Washington Post, pp.31-47.
Willis, B. (1994). Distance education: A practical guide. Englewood Cliffs, NJ:
Educational Technology Publications.
Wilson, T., & Whitelock, D. (1998, April/May). What are the perceived benefits of
participating in a computer-mediated communication (CMC) environment for
distance learning computer science students? Computer & Education, 30(3/4),
259-269.
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Wright, S. J. (1991). Opportunity lost, opportunity regained: University independent
study in the modern era. In B. L. Watkins, & S. J., Wright (Eds.), The
foundation of American distance education: A century of collegiate
correspondence study (37-66). Dubuque, IA: Kendall/Hunt.
Yi, H. & Majima, J. (1993). The teacher-learner relationship and classroom
interaction in distance learning: A case study of the Japanese language classes
at an American high school. Foreign Language Annuals, 26 (1), 21-30.
Zembylas, M. & Vrasidas C. (2007). Listening for silence in text-based, online
encounters. Distance Education, 28(1), 5-25.
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APPENDICES
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APPENDIX A
LONE-STAR COLLEGE-TOMBALL STUDENTS’ SURVEY
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This Survey is part of a graduate student’s doctoral dissertation. Your
responses are strictly confidential. The data gathered will be destroyed 3 years
after the study is completed. Sharing the answers of the survey is prohibited.Please respond to the following questions.
Tell us about yourself 1. What is your age?
18-24years_____ 25-34_____ 35-44_____ 45-54_____ 55 and above _____
2. What is your gender?
Female_____ Male_____
3. How many hours do you work as an employee in a typical week?1-10_____11-20_____21-30_____31-40_____Over 40 hours
4. How long does it typically take for you to commute to college?
0-15_____16-30_____31-45_____46-60minutes_____More than an hour
5. Where do you most frequently use a computer for your online courses?Home_____ Work_____ Other_____ If other, specify_____
Tell us about your online class
6. Did you take an orientation course to help you get familiar with the
procedure and the technology of taking courses online?
Yes_____ No_____ Not sure_____
7. How easy/difficult was it for you to use the technology to participate in an
online course?Easy_____ Somewhat Easy_____ Somewhat Difficult_____ Difficult_____
8. How easy/difficult it was for you to use WebCT/VISTA?Easy_____ Somewhat Easy_____ Somewhat Difficult_____ Difficult_____
9. About how many online courses have you completed before taking this
course?My first course_____ One_____ Two or Three____ Four or Five_____ Six or
More_____
10. Would you take another online course if offered?
No_____ Maybe_____ Definitely_____
11. How would you rate your overall educational experience in taking an
online course?
Poor_____ Satisfactory_____ Good_____ Very Good_____ Excellent_____
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Tell us about your online course in comparison to your traditional face-to-
face course
12. The amount of interaction with other students
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
13. The quality of interaction with other students
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
14. The amount of interaction with the instructor
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
15. The quality of interaction with the instructor
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
16. The amount that you learned
Increased____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
17. The quality of your learning experience
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
18. The motivation to participate
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
19. Your familiarity with computer technology
Increased_____ Somewhat Increased_____ No Change_____ Somewhat
Decreased_____ Decreased_____
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Based on your experience with the online course(s), please tell us about the
level of agreement with each of the following statements.
20. I enjoy the online course(s).
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree_____ Disagree _____
21. Even though we were not physically in a traditional classroom, I still felt
like I was part of a group in the online course.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree______ Disagree _____
22. The online course stimulated my desire to learn.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree______ Disagree_____
23. An online course provides a personal experience similar to the classroom.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree _____Disagree _____
24. An online course allows for social interaction.Strongly Agree_____ Agree_____ Strongly Disagree______ Disagree_____
25. An online course allows me to express my feelings, and to learn the
feelings of others.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree__________ Disagree
_____
26. An online course provides a reliable means of communication.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree _____Disagree _____
27. An online course is an efficient means of communicating with others.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree ______Disagree_____
28. I found the online course threatening to me.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree ______Disagree_____
29. I learned a great deal about the instructor in the online course.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____ Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
30. I learned a great deal about the other students in the online course.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
31. I felt isolated and alone while taking an online course.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
32. The online course is more time consuming than I expect.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
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33. I missed not seeing and hearing the instructor(s) and other students as I
would have in a face to face classroom.
Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
34. I took the online course primarily because it allowed me more flexibility
in managing my time and schedule.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
35. I took the online course primarily because I had no choice.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
36. I felt like I had control over what and how I learned when taking the
online course.Strongly Agree_____ Agree _____Strongly Disagree ______Disagree _____
Tell us about the following tools that are available to you for accessing
information and for communicating with colleagues and the instructor.
37. Course Calendar: Not used_____ Important Tool_____ Somewhat Important Tool_____ Very
Important Tool_____
38. E-Mail: Not used_____ Important Tool_____ Somewhat Important Tool_____ Very
Important Tool_____
39. Chat-Room:
Not used_____ Important Tool_____ Somewhat Important Tool_____ Very
Important Tool_____
40. Discussion Board:
Not used_____ Important Tool_____ Somewhat Important Tool_____ Very Important Tool_____
41. Online Library Resources:
Not used_____ Important Tool_____ Somewhat Important Tool_____ Very
Important Tool_____
42. Would you rate your experience to date with the online course as?
Successful_____ Not Successful_____
If Successful, what aspect of the course most contributed to its success:
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
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____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
If not successful, what aspect of the online course was most problematic:
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
43. Should Tomball College offer more online courses?
Yes_____ No_____
Please explain:
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
44. Please describe your opinion about the overall survey.
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
45. In your opinion, what questions should be eliminated? Please list those
questions by the number of the questions.
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ 46. In your opinion, what questions should be added to this survey. Please list
those questions.
____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
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APPENDIX B
CONSENT TO PARTICIPATE IN RESEARCH
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Proposal Title: Social Presence in Online Course: An
Examination of Perceived Learning and Satisfaction
CONSENT TO PARTICIPATE IN RESEARCH
You are invited to participate in a research study conducted by Nasrin Nazemzadeh,
who is a doctoral student from the Department of Educational Leadership and
Counseling at Prairie View A&M University. Ms. Nazemzadeh is conducting thisstudy for her doctoral dissertation. Her faculty advisor is Dr. William Allen Kritsonis.
You must be 18 and older to participate in this survey. Your participation in this studyis entirely voluntary. You should read the information below and ask questions about
anything you do not understand, before deciding whether or not to participate.
PURPOSE OF THE STUDY
The purpose of the study is to examine the role of social presence in online courses at
a community college. Specifically, the study will examine the relationship of social presence in online courses to students’ perceived learning and to their satisfaction
with the instructor.
PROCEDURE
If you volunteer to participate in this study, we will ask you to complete an online
questionnaire consisting of 48 questions. This survey will take approximately 25minutes to finish.
POTENTIAL BENEFIT TO SUBJECTS AND/OR SOCIETY
The study will shed light on the factors that contribute to favorable learning outcomes
in online education.
PAYMENT FOR PARTICIPATION
You will not receive any payment or other compensation for participation in this
study. There is also no cost to you for participation.
ANONYMOUS
Any information that is obtained in connection with this study will be unidentifiable
in your response. Please do not enter your name on the survey. When the study isfinished, the data gathered will be destroyed three years after the study is completed.
Sharing the answers of the survey is prohibited.
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PARTICIPATION AND WITHDRAWAL
Once you choose to participate in this study, you may leave blank any questions youdo not want to answer and you may withdraw from participation by choosing not to
submit your survey.
IDENTIFICATION OF INVESTIGATOR
If you have any questions or concerns about the survey, please feel free to contact
Ms. Nasrin Nazemzadeh
Principal Investigator
9114 S. Pass Ln.Houston, TX 77604
281-894-0855
RIGHT OF RESEARCH SUBJECT
If you have any questions about your rights as a research subject, you may contact the
Prairie View A&M University Institutional Review Board (IRB) by mail at P.O.B.
519, MS # 1200, Prairie View, TX 77446, by phone at 936.261.1588, or e-mail at
[email protected]. Address your questions to Ms. Marcia Shelton, Director,Research Regulatory Compliance. You will be given the opportunity to discuss any
questions about your rights as a research subject with a member of the IRB.
The link to the survey is:
https://www.wondersurvey.com/open_survey.html?sid=ODQ5
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APPENDIX C
LETTER TO THE PRESITENT OF LONE-STAR COLLEGE-TOMBALL
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From: Nasrin Nazemzadeh, Lone Star College-Tomball
To: Dr. Raymond Hawkins, President Lone Star College-Tomball
Date: April 16, 2008
I am in the process of writing my dissertation to fulfill requirements for the doctorate of Educatio
Educational Leadership and Counseling at Prairie View A&M University in Prairie View, Texasunder the direction of Dr. William Allen Kritsonis, professor, College of Education.
Please accept this as my request for institutional approval from Lone Star College-Tomball to
undertake the study described below. If the study is approved, I will need to submit it to the PrairView A&M University Institutional Review Board.
Description of Study
The purpose of the study is to examine the role of social presence in online courses at a communi
college. Specifically, the study will examine the relationship of social presence in online courses students’ perceived learning and to their satisfaction with the instructor. The study aims at the
identifying the factors that contribute to students satisfaction with online education.
This study will provide administrators and faculty with information to improve the design and
delivery of online education.
Research Questions
The following research questions guide the study.
1. Does the online learning experience contribute to feelings of isolation
among students?2. What factors influence student satisfaction in online classes?
3. Is the online learning experience detrimental to students’ motivation?
4. What factors influence learning outcomes?5. Is perceived learning related to social presence?
6. What are the perceived strengths and weaknesses of online education
Null Hypotheses
H01. There is no statistically significant difference between the personal
experience of the online course and that of the classroom.
H02. There is no statistically significant relationship between labor forceactivity as measured by average weekly hours of work, and the decision
to enroll in online courses.
H03. There is no statistically significant relationship between commuting time
to school and the decision to enroll in online courses.
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H04. There is no statistically significant relationship between student
satisfaction with the educational experience and the instructor’s social
presence.H05. There is no statistical evidence that students feel isolated by the online
experience.
H06. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to bea poor way to communicate with the instructor.
H07. There is no statistical evidence that students find the online medium to be
threatening.H08. There is no statistically significant relationship between perceived
learning and social presence in online education.
Participants
The experimentally accessible population for the study will include students enrolled in sections
Economics, Accounting, Management and Computer Related Studies courses. Several faculty
members in the Department of Business and Technology will be asked to administer the instrume
to their online students The instrument will be placed with Wonder Survey Inc. and students will on to the Wonder Survey web site where they will answer the questions directly. Subsequently,
Wonder Survey will tabulate the responses and provide to me the final responses of students. It isworth noting that since the students will communicate electronically with Wonder Survey, the
researcher will not be involved in any way, shape, or form with the data gathering or tabulation o
the responses.
Confidentiality
To ensure confidentiality, data will be stored in a password-protected file in my personal computer.
Thank you for your support and assistance,
Nasrin Nazemzadeh
Contact Information: Nasrin Nazemzadeh
9114 S. Pass Ln.
Houston, TX 77064281-894-0855 Home
281-401-1804 Work
832-816-3456 Cell [email protected]
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Appendix D
Sample Computer Output for Table 9
*Computer output for Table 9.
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* Software package WinRats, Estima.
all 200
open data c:\progra~1\estima\current\edgycol.xls
data(for=xls,org=obs)
set ins = ins1+ins2
set tac = ta1+ta2
set noc = noc1+noc2
set joy = joy1 + joy2
set group = gr1 + gr2
set dl = dl1 + dl2
set sc = sc1 + sc2
set soc = soc1 + soc2
set comm = com1 + com2
set threat = th1 + th2
set isol = isol1 + isol2
set time = time1 + time2
set miss = mss1 + mss2
set flex = flex1 + flex2
set ease = e1+e2
set ea = ea1+ea2 +ea3
set aylr = ayl1+ayl2set qis = qis1+qis2
set ii = ii1+ii2
set qii = qii1+qii2
set fam = fct1+fct2
set webct = wc1+wc2
set is = is1 + is2
set mp = mp1 + mp2
set fee = fee1 + fee2
set std = std1 + std2
set qle = qle1+qle2
set eco = eco1 + eco1
set cosa = isol3+isol4
set x = dl3 + dl
sta(smpl=ea1) ins
sta(smpl=ea1) group
sta(smpl=ea1) sc
sta(smpl=ea1) soc
sta(smpl=ea1) comm
sta(smpl=ea1) isol
sta(smpl=ea1) miss
sta(smpl=ea1) qis
sta(smpl=ea1) ii
sta(smpl=ea1) qii
sta(smpl=ea1) is
sta(smpl=ea1) mp
sta(smpl=ea1) dlsta(smpl=ea1) qle
sta(smpl=ea1) fee
sta(smpl=ea1) std
sta(smpl=ea1) joy
sta(smpl=ea1) ea
sta(smpl=ea1) eco
sta(smpl=ea1) threat
sta(smpl=ea1) flex
sta(smpl=ea1) aylr
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linreg dl
# constant
Linear Regression - Estimation by Least Squares
Dependent Variable DL
Usable Observations 150 Degrees of Freedom 149
Centered R**2 -0.000000 R Bar **2 -0.000000
Uncentered R**2 0.660000 T x R**2 99.000
Mean of Dependent Variable 0.6600000000
Std Error of Dependent Variable 0.4752957398
Standard Error of Estimate 0.4752957398
Sum of Squared Residuals 33.660000000
Log Likelihood -100.76640
Durbin-Watson Statistic 1.901367
Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat
Signif
********************************************************************
***********
1. Constant 0.6600000000 0.0388077346 17.00692
0.00000000
* The following sample means are the descriptive statistics in Table
9, column 2. The computer output also
* shows the t-statistic and significance level of the null
hypothesis that the mean equals zero.
Statistics on Series INS
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.500000 Variance 0.260000
Standard Error 0.509902 of Sample Mean 0.100000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.000000 Signif Level 0.000037
Skewness 0.000000 Signif Level (Sk=0) 1.000000
Kurtosis (excess) -2.173913 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.049129
Jarque-Bera 5.119723 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.077315
Statistics on Series GROUP
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.846154 Variance 0.135385
Standard Error 0.367946 of Sample Mean 0.072160
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 11.726039 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -2.038340 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000064
Kurtosis (excess) 2.328310 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.035100
Jarque-Bera 23.877043 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000007
Statistics on Series SCObservations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.807692 Variance 0.161538
Standard Error 0.401918 of Sample Mean 0.078823
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 10.246951 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -1.658711 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.001142
Kurtosis (excess) 0.807453 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.464917
Jarque-Bera 12.628711 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.001810
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Statistics on Series SOC
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.500000 Variance 0.260000
Standard Error 0.509902 of Sample Mean 0.100000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.000000 Signif Level 0.000037
Skewness 0.000000 Signif Level (Sk=0) 1.000000
Kurtosis (excess) -2.173913 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.049129
Jarque-Bera 5.119723 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.077315
Statistics on Series COMM
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.769231 Variance 0.184615
Standard Error 0.429669 of Sample Mean 0.084265
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 9.128709 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -1.357634 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.007755
Kurtosis (excess) -0.176630 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.872994
Jarque-Bera 8.020874 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.018125
Statistics on Series ISOLObservations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.153846 Variance 0.135385
Standard Error 0.367946 of Sample Mean 0.072160
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.132007 Signif Level 0.043014
Skewness 2.038340 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000064
Kurtosis (excess) 2.328310 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.035100
Jarque-Bera 23.877043 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000007
Statistics on Series MISS
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.307692 Variance 0.221538
Standard Error 0.470679 of Sample Mean 0.092308
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.333333 Signif Level 0.002675
Skewness 0.885246 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.082544
Kurtosis (excess) -1.324728 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.230557
Jarque-Bera 5.297013 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.070757
Statistics on Series QIS
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.384615 Variance 0.246154
Standard Error 0.496139 of Sample Mean 0.097301
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.952847 Signif Level 0.000559
Skewness 0.503891 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.323049
Kurtosis (excess) -1.898777 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.085713
Jarque-Bera 5.006061 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.081837
Statistics on Series II
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.461538 Variance 0.258462
Standard Error 0.508391 of Sample Mean 0.099704
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.629100 Signif Level 0.000097
Skewness 0.163916 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.747858
Kurtosis (excess) -2.144798 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.052244
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Jarque-Bera 5.099935 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.078084
Statistics on Series QII
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.576923 Variance 0.253846
Standard Error 0.503831 of Sample Mean 0.098809
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.838742 Signif Level 0.000004
Skewness -0.330798 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.516501
Kurtosis (excess) -2.055336 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.062864
Jarque-Bera 5.050626 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.080033
Statistics on Series IS
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.384615 Variance 0.246154
Standard Error 0.496139 of Sample Mean 0.097301
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.952847 Signif Level 0.000559
Skewness 0.503891 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.323049
Kurtosis (excess) -1.898777 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.085713
Jarque-Bera 5.006061 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.081837
Statistics on Series MP
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.692308 Variance 0.221538
Standard Error 0.470679 of Sample Mean 0.092308
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.500000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.885246 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.082544
Kurtosis (excess) -1.324728 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.230557
Jarque-Bera 5.297013 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.070757
Statistics on Series DL
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.923077 Variance 0.073846
Standard Error 0.271746 of Sample Mean 0.053294
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 17.320508 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.373242 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 10.156250 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 161.053165 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series QLE
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.576923 Variance 0.253846
Standard Error 0.503831 of Sample Mean 0.098809
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.838742 Signif Level 0.000004Skewness -0.330798 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.516501
Kurtosis (excess) -2.055336 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.062864
Jarque-Bera 5.050626 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.080033
Statistics on Series FEE
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.500000 Variance 0.260000
Standard Error 0.509902 of Sample Mean 0.100000
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t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.000000 Signif Level 0.000037
Skewness 0.000000 Signif Level (Sk=0) 1.000000
Kurtosis (excess) -2.173913 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.049129
Jarque-Bera 5.119723 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.077315
Statistics on Series STD
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.346154 Variance 0.235385
Standard Error 0.485165 of Sample Mean 0.095149
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.638034 Signif Level 0.001247
Skewness 0.687052 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.177845
Kurtosis (excess) -1.662404 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.132444
Jarque-Bera 5.039396 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.080484
Statistics on Series JOY
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.961538 Variance 0.038462
Standard Error 0.196116 of Sample Mean 0.038462
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 25.000000 Signif Level 0.000000Skewness -5.099020 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 26.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 845.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series TAC
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.923077 Variance 0.073846
Standard Error 0.271746 of Sample Mean 0.053294
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 17.320508 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.373242 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 10.156250 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 161.053165 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ECO
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.615385 Variance 0.886154
Standard Error 0.941357 of Sample Mean 0.184615
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.333333 Signif Level 0.002675
Skewness 0.885246 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.082544
Kurtosis (excess) -1.324728 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.230557
Jarque-Bera 5.297013 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.070757
Statistics on Series THREAT
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124Sample Mean 0.076923 Variance 0.073846
Standard Error 0.271746 of Sample Mean 0.053294
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.443376 Signif Level 0.161329
Skewness 3.373242 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 10.156250 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 161.053165 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series FLEX
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Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.961538 Variance 0.038462
Standard Error 0.196116 of Sample Mean 0.038462
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 25.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -5.099020 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 26.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 845.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series AYLR
Observations 26 Skipped/Missing 124
Sample Mean 0.692308 Variance 0.221538
Standard Error 0.470679 of Sample Mean 0.092308
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.500000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.885246 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.082544
Kurtosis (excess) -1.324728 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.230557
Jarque-Bera 5.297013 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.070757
sta(smpl=ea2) ins
sta(smpl=ea2) groupsta(smpl=ea2) sc
sta(smpl=ea2) soc
sta(smpl=ea2) comm
sta(smpl=ea2) isol
sta(smpl=ea2) miss
sta(smpl=ea2) qis
sta(smpl=ea2) ii
sta(smpl=ea2) qii
sta(smpl=ea2) is
sta(smpl=ea2) mp
sta(smpl=ea2) dl
sta(smpl=ea2) qle
sta(smpl=ea2) fee
sta(smpl=ea2) std
sta(smpl=ea2) joy
sta(smpl=ea2) tac
sta(smpl=ea2) eco
sta(smpl=ea2) threat
sta(smpl=ea2) flex
sta(smpl=ea2) aylr
* The following sample means are the descriptive statistics in Table
9, column 3
Statistics on Series INS
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121Sample Mean 0.655172 Variance 0.233990
Standard Error 0.483725 of Sample Mean 0.089826
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.293833 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.689096 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.150897
Kurtosis (excess) -1.643725 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.110753
Jarque-Bera 5.559839 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.062044
Statistics on Series GROUP
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Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.827586 Variance 0.147783
Standard Error 0.384426 of Sample Mean 0.071386
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 11.593101 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -1.830532 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000136
Kurtosis (excess) 1.445869 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.160662
Jarque-Bera 18.721821 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000086
Statistics on Series SC
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.586207 Variance 0.251232
Standard Error 0.501230 of Sample Mean 0.093076
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.298148 Signif Level 0.000001
Skewness -0.369461 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.441232
Kurtosis (excess) -2.007206 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.051477
Jarque-Bera 5.527985 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.063040
Statistics on Series SOC
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121Sample Mean 0.482759 Variance 0.258621
Standard Error 0.508548 of Sample Mean 0.094435
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.112077 Signif Level 0.000020
Skewness 0.072829 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.879339
Kurtosis (excess) -2.148148 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.037139
Jarque-Bera 5.601539 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.060763
Statistics on Series COMM
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.931034 Variance 0.066502
Standard Error 0.257881 of Sample Mean 0.047887
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 19.442222 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.590520 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 11.695473 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 227.591320 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ISOL
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.034483 Variance 0.034483
Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.000000 Signif Level 0.325875
Skewness 5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series MISS
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.206897 Variance 0.169951
Standard Error 0.412251 of Sample Mean 0.076553
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.702656 Signif Level 0.011555
Skewness 1.527297 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.001455
Kurtosis (excess) 0.352038 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.732679
Jarque-Bera 11.424164 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.003306
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Statistics on Series QIS
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.137931 Variance 0.123153
Standard Error 0.350931 of Sample Mean 0.065166
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.116601 Signif Level 0.043313
Skewness 2.216326 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000004
Kurtosis (excess) 3.123077 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.002444
Jarque-Bera 35.527422 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series II
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.310345 Variance 0.221675
Standard Error 0.470824 of Sample Mean 0.087430
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.549648 Signif Level 0.001385
Skewness 0.865308 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.071283
Kurtosis (excess) -1.349478 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.190424
Jarque-Bera 5.819480 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.054490
Statistics on Series QII
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.379310 Variance 0.243842
Standard Error 0.493804 of Sample Mean 0.091697
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.136558 Signif Level 0.000291
Skewness 0.525025 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.273791
Kurtosis (excess) -1.857723 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.071475
Jarque-Bera 5.502432 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.063850
Statistics on Series IS
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.068966 Variance 0.066502
Standard Error 0.257881 of Sample Mean 0.047887
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.440165 Signif Level 0.160909
Skewness 3.590520 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 11.695473 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 227.591320 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series MP
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.551724 Variance 0.256158
Standard Error 0.506120 of Sample Mean 0.093984
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.870395 Signif Level 0.000003
Skewness -0.219535 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.647237Kurtosis (excess) -2.102071 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.041397
Jarque-Bera 5.572211 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.061661
Statistics on Series DL
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.965517 Variance 0.034483
Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 28.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
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Skewness -5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series QLE
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.689655 Variance 0.221675
Standard Error 0.470824 of Sample Mean 0.087430
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.888106 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.865308 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.071283
Kurtosis (excess) -1.349478 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.190424
Jarque-Bera 5.819480 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.054490
Statistics on Series FEE
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.724138 Variance 0.206897
Standard Error 0.454859 of Sample Mean 0.084465
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 8.573214 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -1.058529 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.027354Kurtosis (excess) -0.950142 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.356595
Jarque-Bera 6.506524 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.038648
Statistics on Series STD
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.551724 Variance 0.256158
Standard Error 0.506120 of Sample Mean 0.093984
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.870395 Signif Level 0.000003
Skewness -0.219535 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.647237
Kurtosis (excess) -2.102071 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.041397
Jarque-Bera 5.572211 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.061661
Statistics on Series JOY
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.965517 Variance 0.034483
Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 28.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series TAC
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.965517 Variance 0.034483Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 28.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ECO
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
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Sample Mean 0.206897 Variance 0.384236
Standard Error 0.619868 of Sample Mean 0.115107
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.797434 Signif Level 0.083061
Skewness 2.748494 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 5.961429 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 79.454575 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series THREAT
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.034483 Variance 0.034483
Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.000000 Signif Level 0.325875
Skewness 5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series FLEX
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.965517 Variance 0.034483Standard Error 0.185695 of Sample Mean 0.034483
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 28.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -5.385165 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 29.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1156.375000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series AYLR
Observations 29 Skipped/Missing 121
Sample Mean 0.551724 Variance 0.256158
Standard Error 0.506120 of Sample Mean 0.093984
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.870395 Signif Level 0.000003
Skewness -0.219535 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.647237
Kurtosis (excess) -2.102071 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.041397
Jarque-Bera 5.572211 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.061661
sta(smpl=ea3) ins
sta(smpl=ea3) group
sta(smpl=ea3) sc
sta(smpl=ea3) soc
sta(smpl=ea3) comm
sta(smpl=ea3) isol
sta(smpl=ea3) miss
sta(smpl=ea3) qis
sta(smpl=ea3) ii
sta(smpl=ea3) qiista(smpl=ea3) is
sta(smpl=ea3) mp
sta(smpl=ea3) dl
sta(smpl=ea3) qle
sta(smpl=ea3) fee
sta(smpl=ea3) std
sta(smpl=ea3) joy
sta(smpl=ea3) tac
sta(smpl=ea3) eco
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sta(smpl=ea3) threat
sta(smpl=ea3) flex
sta(smpl=ea3) aylr
* The following sample means are the descriptive statistics in Table
9, column 4
Statistics on Series INS
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.527778 Variance 0.256349
Standard Error 0.506309 of Sample Mean 0.084385
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.254410 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.116181 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.785085
Kurtosis (excess) -2.106919 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.019534
Jarque-Bera 6.739648 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.034396
Statistics on Series GROUP
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.638889 Variance 0.237302Standard Error 0.487136 of Sample Mean 0.081189
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.869122 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.603769 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.156438
Kurtosis (excess) -1.735196 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.054457
Jarque-Bera 6.703578 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.035022
Statistics on Series SC
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.222222 Variance 0.177778
Standard Error 0.421637 of Sample Mean 0.070273
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.162278 Signif Level 0.003228
Skewness 1.395122 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.001058
Kurtosis (excess) -0.060160 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.946838
Jarque-Bera 11.683630 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002904
Statistics on Series SOC
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.361111 Variance 0.237302
Standard Error 0.487136 of Sample Mean 0.081189
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.447764 Signif Level 0.000084
Skewness 0.603769 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.156438
Kurtosis (excess) -1.735196 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.054457
Jarque-Bera 6.703578 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.035022
Statistics on Series COMM
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.833333 Variance 0.142857
Standard Error 0.377964 of Sample Mean 0.062994
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 13.228757 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -1.867589 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000012
Kurtosis (excess) 1.572193 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.081417
Jarque-Bera 24.635020 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000004
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Statistics on Series ISOL
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.305556 Variance 0.218254
Standard Error 0.467177 of Sample Mean 0.077863
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.924283 Signif Level 0.000388
Skewness 0.881390 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.038567
Kurtosis (excess) -1.298590 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.150072
Jarque-Bera 7.190593 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.027453
Statistics on Series MISS
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.527778 Variance 0.256349
Standard Error 0.506309 of Sample Mean 0.084385
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.254410 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.116181 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.785085
Kurtosis (excess) -2.106919 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.019534
Jarque-Bera 6.739648 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.034396
Statistics on Series QIS
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.222222 Variance 0.177778
Standard Error 0.421637 of Sample Mean 0.070273
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.162278 Signif Level 0.003228
Skewness 1.395122 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.001058
Kurtosis (excess) -0.060160 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.946838
Jarque-Bera 11.683630 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002904
Statistics on Series II
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.277778 Variance 0.206349
Standard Error 0.454257 of Sample Mean 0.075709
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.668997 Signif Level 0.000804
Skewness 1.035952 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.015034
Kurtosis (excess) -0.984780 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.275066
Jarque-Bera 7.893867 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.019314
Statistics on Series QII
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.361111 Variance 0.237302
Standard Error 0.487136 of Sample Mean 0.081189
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.447764 Signif Level 0.000084
Skewness 0.603769 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.156438
Kurtosis (excess) -1.735196 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.054457Jarque-Bera 6.703578 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.035022
Statistics on Series IS
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.222222 Variance 0.177778
Standard Error 0.421637 of Sample Mean 0.070273
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.162278 Signif Level 0.003228
Skewness 1.395122 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.001058
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Kurtosis (excess) -0.060160 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.946838
Jarque-Bera 11.683630 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002904
Statistics on Series MP
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.388889 Variance 0.244444
Standard Error 0.494413 of Sample Mean 0.082402
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.719399 Signif Level 0.000037
Skewness 0.475906 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.263978
Kurtosis (excess) -1.881381 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.037050
Jarque-Bera 6.668308 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.035645
Statistics on Series DL
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.555556 Variance 0.253968
Standard Error 0.503953 of Sample Mean 0.083992
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.614378 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.233449 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.583729
Kurtosis (excess) -2.063503 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.022192Jarque-Bera 6.714055 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.034839
Statistics on Series QLE
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.194444 Variance 0.161111
Standard Error 0.401386 of Sample Mean 0.066898
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.906592 Signif Level 0.006300
Skewness 1.612059 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000154
Kurtosis (excess) 0.630647 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.484570
Jarque-Bera 16.188985 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000305
Statistics on Series FEE
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.500000 Variance 0.257143
Standard Error 0.507093 of Sample Mean 0.084515
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.916080 Signif Level 0.000001
Skewness 0.000000 Signif Level (Sk=0) 1.000000
Kurtosis (excess) -2.121212 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.018722
Jarque-Bera 6.749311 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.034230
Statistics on Series STD
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.388889 Variance 0.244444
Standard Error 0.494413 of Sample Mean 0.082402t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.719399 Signif Level 0.000037
Skewness 0.475906 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.263978
Kurtosis (excess) -1.881381 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.037050
Jarque-Bera 6.668308 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.035645
Statistics on Series JOY
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.916667 Variance 0.078571
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Standard Error 0.280306 of Sample Mean 0.046718
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 19.621417 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.147821 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 8.371415 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 164.573534 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series TAC
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.972222 Variance 0.027778
Standard Error 0.166667 of Sample Mean 0.027778
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 35.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -6.000000 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 36.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 2160.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ECO
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.111111 Variance 0.215873
Standard Error 0.464621 of Sample Mean 0.077437t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.434860 Signif Level 0.160203
Skewness 4.051370 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 15.259516 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 447.760803 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series THREAT
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.083333 Variance 0.078571
Standard Error 0.280306 of Sample Mean 0.046718
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.783765 Signif Level 0.083135
Skewness 3.147821 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 8.371415 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 164.573534 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series FLEX
Observations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.916667 Variance 0.078571
Standard Error 0.280306 of Sample Mean 0.046718
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 19.621417 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.147821 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 8.371415 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 164.573534 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series AYLRObservations 36 Skipped/Missing 114
Sample Mean 0.305556 Variance 0.218254
Standard Error 0.467177 of Sample Mean 0.077863
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.924283 Signif Level 0.000388
Skewness 0.881390 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.038567
Kurtosis (excess) -1.298590 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.150072
Jarque-Bera 7.190593 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.027453
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sta(smpl=ea4) ins
sta(smpl=ea4) group
sta(smpl=ea4) sc
sta(smpl=ea4) soc
sta(smpl=ea4) comm
sta(smpl=ea4) isol
sta(smpl=ea4) miss
sta(smpl=ea4) qis
sta(smpl=ea4) ii
sta(smpl=ea4) qii
sta(smpl=ea4) is
sta(smpl=ea4) mp
sta(smpl=ea4) dl
sta(smpl=ea4) qle
sta(smpl=ea4) fee
sta(smpl=ea4) std
sta(smpl=ea4) joy
sta(smpl=ea4) tac
sta(smpl=ea4) eco
sta(smpl=ea4) threat
sta(smpl=ea4) flexsta(smpl=ea4) aylr
* The following sample means are the descriptive statistics in Table
9, column 5
Statistics on Series INS
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.404255 Variance 0.246068
Standard Error 0.496053 of Sample Mean 0.072357
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.586975 Signif Level 0.000001
Skewness 0.403183 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.274678
Kurtosis (excess) -1.921121 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.012714
Jarque-Bera 8.500991 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.014257
Statistics on Series GROUP
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.510638 Variance 0.255319
Standard Error 0.505291 of Sample Mean 0.073704
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.928203 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.043979 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.905154
Kurtosis (excess) -2.088889 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.006743
Jarque-Bera 8.560254 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.013841
Statistics on Series SCObservations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.425532 Variance 0.249769
Standard Error 0.499769 of Sample Mean 0.072899
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.837300 Signif Level 0.000001
Skewness 0.311255 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.399066
Kurtosis (excess) -1.989719 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.009862
Jarque-Bera 8.511900 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.014180
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Statistics on Series SOC
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.404255 Variance 0.246068
Standard Error 0.496053 of Sample Mean 0.072357
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.586975 Signif Level 0.000001
Skewness 0.403183 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.274678
Kurtosis (excess) -1.921121 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.012714
Jarque-Bera 8.500991 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.014257
Statistics on Series COMM
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.872340 Variance 0.113784
Standard Error 0.337318 of Sample Mean 0.049203
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 17.729448 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -2.305769 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 3.462183 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000007
Jarque-Bera 65.120449 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ISOLObservations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.489362 Variance 0.255319
Standard Error 0.505291 of Sample Mean 0.073704
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.639528 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness 0.043979 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.905154
Kurtosis (excess) -2.088889 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.006743
Jarque-Bera 8.560254 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.013841
Statistics on Series MISS
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.680851 Variance 0.222017
Standard Error 0.471186 of Sample Mean 0.068730
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 9.906227 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.801759 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.029839
Kurtosis (excess) -1.419495 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.065611
Jarque-Bera 8.981374 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.011213
Statistics on Series QIS
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.148936 Variance 0.129510
Standard Error 0.359875 of Sample Mean 0.052493
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.837252 Signif Level 0.006747
Skewness 2.037747 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 2.246234 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.003576
Jarque-Bera 42.408133 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series II
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.276596 Variance 0.204440
Standard Error 0.452151 of Sample Mean 0.065953
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.193833 Signif Level 0.000124
Skewness 1.032104 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.005169
Kurtosis (excess) -0.978281 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.204506
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Jarque-Bera 10.218560 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.006040
Statistics on Series QII
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.319149 Variance 0.222017
Standard Error 0.471186 of Sample Mean 0.068730
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.643544 Signif Level 0.000029
Skewness 0.801759 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.029839
Kurtosis (excess) -1.419495 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.065611
Jarque-Bera 8.981374 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.011213
Statistics on Series IS
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.042553 Variance 0.041628
Standard Error 0.204030 of Sample Mean 0.029761
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.429841 Signif Level 0.159520
Skewness 4.683414 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 20.819259 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 1020.642239 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series MP
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.319149 Variance 0.222017
Standard Error 0.471186 of Sample Mean 0.068730
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.643544 Signif Level 0.000029
Skewness 0.801759 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.029839
Kurtosis (excess) -1.419495 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.065611
Jarque-Bera 8.981374 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.011213
Statistics on Series DL
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.553191 Variance 0.252544
Standard Error 0.502538 of Sample Mean 0.073303
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 7.546680 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -0.221100 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.549152
Kurtosis (excess) -2.039849 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.008153
Jarque-Bera 8.531528 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.014041
Statistics on Series QLE
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.489362 Variance 0.255319
Standard Error 0.505291 of Sample Mean 0.073704
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.639528 Signif Level 0.000000Skewness 0.043979 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.905154
Kurtosis (excess) -2.088889 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.006743
Jarque-Bera 8.560254 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.013841
Statistics on Series FEE
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.468085 Variance 0.254394
Standard Error 0.504375 of Sample Mean 0.073571
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t-Statistic (Mean=0) 6.362389 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness 0.132177 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.720261
Kurtosis (excess) -2.072661 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.007183
Jarque-Bera 8.549706 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.013914
Statistics on Series STD
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.276596 Variance 0.204440
Standard Error 0.452151 of Sample Mean 0.065953
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.193833 Signif Level 0.000124
Skewness 1.032104 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.005169
Kurtosis (excess) -0.978281 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.204506
Jarque-Bera 10.218560 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.006040
Statistics on Series JOY
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.914894 Variance 0.079556
Standard Error 0.282057 of Sample Mean 0.041142
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 22.237356 Signif Level 0.000000Skewness -3.072669 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 7.770402 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 192.199275 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series TAC
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.978723 Variance 0.021277
Standard Error 0.145865 of Sample Mean 0.021277
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 46.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -6.855655 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 47.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 4694.125000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series ECO
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.170213 Variance 0.318224
Standard Error 0.564113 of Sample Mean 0.082284
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.068591 Signif Level 0.044232
Skewness 3.072669 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 7.770402 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 192.199275 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series THREAT
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103Sample Mean 0.191489 Variance 0.158187
Standard Error 0.397727 of Sample Mean 0.058014
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.300718 Signif Level 0.001869
Skewness 1.620318 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000011
Kurtosis (excess) 0.651320 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.398248
Jarque-Bera 21.396634 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000023
Statistics on Series FLEX
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Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.936170 Variance 0.061055
Standard Error 0.247092 of Sample Mean 0.036042
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 25.974346 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.687332 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000000
Kurtosis (excess) 12.110376 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 393.716812 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series AYLR
Observations 47 Skipped/Missing 103
Sample Mean 0.297872 Variance 0.213691
Standard Error 0.462267 of Sample Mean 0.067429
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 4.417596 Signif Level 0.000060
Skewness 0.913373 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.013338
Kurtosis (excess) -1.219546 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.113709
Jarque-Bera 9.447568 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.008882
sta(smpl=ea5) ins
sta(smpl=ea5) group
sta(smpl=ea5) scsta(smpl=ea5) soc
sta(smpl=ea5) comm
sta(smpl=ea5) isol
sta(smpl=ea5) miss
sta(smpl=ea5) qis
sta(smpl=ea5) ii
sta(smpl=ea5) qii
sta(smpl=ea5) is
sta(smpl=ea5) mp
sta(smpl=ea5) dl
sta(smpl=ea5) qle
sta(smpl=ea5) fee
sta(smpl=ea5) std
sta(smpl=ea5) joy
sta(smpl=ea5) tac
sta(smpl=ea5) eco
sta(smpl=ea5) threat
sta(smpl=ea5) flex
sta(smpl=ea5) aylr
* The following sample means are the descriptive statistics in Table
9, column 6
Statistics on Series INS
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.000000 Variance 0.000000Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
Statistics on Series GROUP
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.250000 Variance 0.204545
Standard Error 0.452267 of Sample Mean 0.130558
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.914854 Signif Level 0.081864
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Skewness 1.326650 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.101050
Kurtosis (excess) -0.325926 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.866900
Jarque-Bera 3.573114 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.167536
Statistics on Series SC
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.000000 Variance 0.000000
Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
Statistics on Series SOC
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.083333 Variance 0.083333
Standard Error 0.288675 of Sample Mean 0.083333
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.000000 Signif Level 0.338801
Skewness 3.464102 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000019
Kurtosis (excess) 12.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 96.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series COMM
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.333333 Variance 0.242424
Standard Error 0.492366 of Sample Mean 0.142134
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.345208 Signif Level 0.038814
Skewness 0.812404 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.315302
Kurtosis (excess) -1.650000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.396179
Jarque-Bera 2.681250 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.261682
Statistics on Series ISOL
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.750000 Variance 0.204545
Standard Error 0.452267 of Sample Mean 0.130558
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 5.744563 Signif Level 0.000129
Skewness -1.326650 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.101050
Kurtosis (excess) -0.325926 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.866900
Jarque-Bera 3.573114 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.167536
Statistics on Series MISS
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 1.000000 Variance 0.000000
Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
Statistics on Series QIS
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
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Statistics on Series II
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series QII
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series IS
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series MP
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series DL
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.083333 Variance 0.083333
Standard Error 0.288675 of Sample Mean 0.083333
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.000000 Signif Level 0.338801
Skewness 3.464102 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000019Kurtosis (excess) 12.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 96.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series QLE
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.000000 Variance 0.000000
Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
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Statistics on Series FEE
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.250000 Variance 0.204545
Standard Error 0.452267 of Sample Mean 0.130558
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.914854 Signif Level 0.081864
Skewness 1.326650 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.101050
Kurtosis (excess) -0.325926 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.866900
Jarque-Bera 3.573114 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.167536
Statistics on Series STD
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series JOY
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.166667 Variance 0.151515
Standard Error 0.389249 of Sample Mean 0.112367
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 1.483240 Signif Level 0.166087
Skewness 2.055237 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.011074
Kurtosis (excess) 2.640000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.174609
Jarque-Bera 11.932800 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.002563
Statistics on Series TAC
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.416667 Variance 0.265152
Standard Error 0.514929 of Sample Mean 0.148647
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 2.803060 Signif Level 0.017180
Skewness 0.388403 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.631171
Kurtosis (excess) -2.262857 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.244583
Jarque-Bera 2.861976 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.239073
Statistics on Series ECO
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.000000 Variance 0.000000
Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
Statistics on Series THREAT
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.583333 Variance 0.265152
Standard Error 0.514929 of Sample Mean 0.148647
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 3.924283 Signif Level 0.002375
Skewness -0.388403 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.631171
Kurtosis (excess) -2.262857 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.244583
Jarque-Bera 2.861976 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.239073
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Statistics on Series FLEX
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.916667 Variance 0.083333
Standard Error 0.288675 of Sample Mean 0.083333
t-Statistic (Mean=0) 11.000000 Signif Level 0.000000
Skewness -3.464102 Signif Level (Sk=0) 0.000019
Kurtosis (excess) 12.000000 Signif Level (Ku=0) 0.000000
Jarque-Bera 96.000000 Signif Level (JB=0) 0.000000
Statistics on Series AYLR
Observations 12 Skipped/Missing 138
Sample Mean 0.000000 Variance 0.000000
Standard Error 0.000000 of Sample Mean 0.000000
t-Statistic (Mean=0) NA Signif Level NA
VITA
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NASRIN NAZEMZADEH
9114 S. Pass LN.
Houston, Texas 77064
EDUCATIONAL HISTORYSoutheastern Louisiana University, Hammond, Louisiana
M.B.A., 1986
Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
M.A. in Higher Education, 1979
University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran
B.S. in Biology, 1974
EMPLOYMENT HISTORY
2002-Present Professor of Business and Economics, Lone Star College-
Tomball
1999-2002 Instructor of Economics, Prairie View A&M University
1992-1999 Instructor of Economics, Houston Community College
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