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Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette...

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Dr Peter Saunders Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust 16-19 April 2013, Manchester Central Convention Complex 19 th Annual Conference of the British HIV Association (BHIVA)
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Page 1: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Dr Peter Saunders Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust

16-19 April 2013, Manchester Central Convention Complex

19th Annual Conference of the

British HIV Association (BHIVA)

Page 2: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Gender differences in

outcomes to first-line

treatment in the era of

modern antiretroviral

therapy (ART)

Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman,

Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall,

Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe,

Professor Margaret Johnson

The Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust

University College London

Page 3: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Aim Previous studies of HIV care have

reported disparities in outcomes for women. We have studied whether

these differences persist in the modern ART era.

We used single centre cohort analysis

to determine this.

Barber et al UK CHIC Study BMJ 2011; 343:d6016

Page 4: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Method All previously ART-naïve individuals attending our clinic (Royal Free Hospital, London) starting on triple ART from 1st January 2006 onwards.

Patients were stratified into three groups: MSMs, non-MSM men and women

Time to:

- viral load suppression (<50 copies/ml)

- viral failure (2 consecutive VLs >200 copies/ml more than 6 months after starting ART)

- treatment modification (any ART discontinuation/substitution)

were estimated using standard survival methods.

Page 5: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

563, 50%

241, 21%

327, 29%

Previously ART naive patients starting triple ART from January

2006

MSM

Non MSM Men

Women

1131 Patients

Page 6: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

MSM Non-MSM Men Women

Pregnant when

started ART

Yes 0 0 32 (10%)

Age at ART (years) Median (IQR) 39 (33,44) 41 (35,49) 37 (32, 43)

Ethnicity White

Black African

Other

459 (82%)

7 (1%)

97 (17%)

84 (35%)

105 (44%)

52 (21%)

56 (17%)

196 (60%)

75 (23%)

HIV Risk for

acquisition

MSM

IDU

Heterosexual

Other/Unknown

563 (100%)

0

0

0

0

19 (8%)

207 (86%)

15 (6%)

0

8 (2%)

316 (97%)

3 (1%)

Year started ART Median 2008 2008 2008

Previous AIDS

diagnosis

Yes 70 (12%) 72 (30%) 71 (22%)

Total follow up

(years)

Median (IQR) 3.0 (1.7, 4.6) 2.8 (1.2, 4.2) 2.9 (1.3, 4.6)

Page 7: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Average CD4 counts at

start of therapy and nadir

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

MSM Non-MSM Men Women

Media

n C

D4 C

ount

cells/

mm

3

Group

CD4 at ART

Nadir CD4

Median time

from diagnosis

to ART (years)

2.3

(0.2, 5.1)

0.3

(0.1, 2.9)

0.3

(0.1, 3.6) p=<0.0001

Page 8: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Viral loads at ART initiation

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

MSM Non-MSM men Women

VL a

t A

RT (

log10 c

opie

s/m

l)

Group

Median (IQR); p<0.0001

Page 9: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

ART components – NRTI backbone

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

MSM Non-MSM Men Women

Perc

enta

ge o

f pati

ents

receiv

ing

thera

py

Group

Other

d4T/3TC

TDF/3TC

AZT/3TC

ABC/3TC

FTC/TDF

p<0.0001

Page 10: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

ART components – PI/NNRTI/II

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

MSM Non-MSM Men Women

Perc

enta

ge o

f pati

ents

receiv

ing

thera

py

Group

3NRTI

Unboosted PI

Boosted PI

LPV

Other NNRTI

NVP

EFV

p=0.02

Page 11: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Viral load suppression <50cps/ml

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6Pro

port

ion w

ho a

chie

ved v

iral lo

ad<50

copie

s/m

l

Time since start of ART (years)

MSM Male other Women

p value 0.19 By 1 year: MSM: 88.8% Other men: 83.4% Women: 84.7%

Page 12: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Virological failure (2 VLs

>200cps/ml >6/12 after ART start)

P <0.0001 By 2 years 3.65% 7.56% 11.27%

Virological failure: Individuals censored if they stop all ARVs

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

Pro

port

ion e

xperi

enced

vir

olo

gic

al

failure

Time since start of ART (years)

MSM Other men Women

Page 13: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Treatment outcomes at 12 months

(snapshot analysis)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

MSM Non MSM men Women

Perc

enta

ge o

f pati

ents

Group

Changed a component of regimen Complete ART discontinuation

P<0.0001

Page 14: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Sensitivity analyses

We investigated the sensitivity of our results to the definition of virological failure used:

• Consider complete treatment discontinuation as failure

• Exclude pregnant women

• Change viral load cut-off to 50 or 1000 copies/ml

• Change time cut-off from 6 to 4 months

• Stratify by baseline viral load

• Only consider virological failures more than one year after starting ART

All analyses gave consistent results

Page 15: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Multivariable (adjusted) estimates

Other men vs.

MSM

Women vs. MSM p-value

HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)

Virological endpoints

Virological suppression 0.83 (0.68, 1.02) 0.92 (0.76, 1.12) 0.19

Virological failure, censoring at

complete ART discontinuation

3.69 (1.76, 7.74) 4.63 (2.26, 9.48) 0.0001

Treatment change endpoints

Switch a least 1 drug 1.40 (1.08, 1.81) 1.92 (1.47, 2.50) <0.0001

Complete ART discontinuation 2.28 (1.35, 3.83) 3.45 (2.20, 5.40) <0.0001

Adjustment for potential confounders

Cox hazards regression model,

Adjusted for: age at start of ART, time from diagnosis to start of ART,

pre-ART VL, pre-ART CD4, calendar date of starting ART, NRTI backbone

type third drug type; ethnicity

Page 16: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

Conclusions

Women experienced more virological failure than MSM and non-MSM men in our cohort

This seems to be independent of the use of ART to cover pregnancy only

Women are more likely to change components of their ART regimen

Complete discontinuation of ART was also more common amongst women

Page 17: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

With thanks to the Royal

Free HIV Cohort Database Clinical: S Bhagani, F Burns, P Byrne, A Carroll, I Cropley, Z

Cuthbertson, T Drinkwater, T Fernandez, E Garusu, D Grover, B Killingley, G Murphy, D Ivens, M Johnson, S Kinloch-de Loes, M Lipman,

S Madge, N Marshall, H Montgomery, R Shah, L Swaden, M Tyrer, M Youle, D Webster

Data management: C Chaloner, M Miah, S Rhule, R Tsintas

Epidemiology/Biostatistics: V Cambiano, F Lampe, R Lodwick, F Nakagawa, J O’Connor, A Phillips, C Smith, A Speakman

Laboratory: M Connell, G Clewley, G Dickinson, L Gardner, G Janossy, S Martin, M Thomas

Page 18: Dr Peter Saunders - British HIV Association · Dr Peter Saunders, Dr Anna Goodman, Dr Colette Smith, Mr Neal Marshall, Ms Jemma O’Connor, Dr Fiona Lampe, Professor Margaret Johnson

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