Contents • All Data is for Cash Games Only • MLB 2013 Average Winning Scores – By League Type (Top Heavy GPPs, Head-to-Head, and Double Ups) – Min and Max Player Score By League Type • High Score / Low Ownership Contrarian play dynamic in GPPs (not double)? – Cap Allocation by Position on Winning Lineups – Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation • Winning • Overall / Mean • Stacking – NFL – QB and WR Stack • Difference in NFL Scoring – Thursday Night Leagues vs Sunday Night Leagues (GPP) • % Lineups with Players that Don’t Play – Dimensions: Sport, Day of Week • Late Player Swaps – Net + or Net – result
Transcript
Contents• All Data is for Cash Games Only
• MLB 2013 Average Winning Scores– By League Type (Top Heavy GPPs, Head-to-Head, and Double Ups)– Min and Max Player Score By League Type
• High Score / Low Ownership Contrarian play dynamic in GPPs (not double)?– Cap Allocation by Position on Winning Lineups– Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation
• Winning• Overall / Mean
• Stacking– NFL – QB and WR Stack
• Difference in NFL Scoring– Thursday Night Leagues vs Sunday Night Leagues (GPP)
• % Lineups with Players that Don’t Play– Dimensions: Sport, Day of Week
• Late Player Swaps– Net + or Net – result
MLB 2013 Average Scoring
MLB 2013 Big GPPs
MLB 2013 Head-to-Head
MLB 2013 50/50s
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
97 97 99
132
110 116
165
110
140
Avg ScoreAvg "In the Money" ScoreAvg Winning Score
Updated
NFL 2013 Average Scoring
0
50
100
150
200
250
127 131 128
161144 145
209
144172
Avg ScoreAvg "In the Money" ScoreAvg Winning Score
Updated
Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score
MLB 2013 NFL 20130.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
1.34.0
30.4
34.0
Avg Score Worst PlayerAvg Score Best Player
Updated
MLB Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score by Game Type
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.034.9
29.132.8
3.20.9 2.0
Best Player Avg ScoreWorst Player Avg Score
UPDATED
NFL Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score by Game Type
NFL 2013 Top Heav
y GPPs
NFL 2013 Head
-to-H
ead
NFL 2013 Double Ups
0.05.0
10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.0
38.333.2
38.0
6.73.8 4.8
Best Player Avg ScoreWorst Player Avg Score
UPDATED
GPP Winning Lineup – Best Player % Owned Frequency
1%-5%
6%-10%
11%-15%
16%-20%
21%-25%
26%-30%
31%-35%
36%-40%
41%-45%
46%-50%
51% +
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
12.9%
32.3%
12.9%12.9%
9.7%
3.2%
0.0%
3.2%
0.0%
6.5% 6.5%
23.3%
18.1%
6.9%
12.1%
8.6%6.9%
5.2%
0.9%
5.2%
0.9%
12.1% NFL 2013MLB 2013
UPDATED
MLB Cap Allocation on Winning Teams - GPPs
SP (2 roster spots); 35.1%
C; 7.1%
1B; 8.8%2B; 7.6%
3B; 8.8%
SS; 7.5%
OF (3 roster spots); 25.0%
MLB 2013
SP (2 roster spots)C1B2B3BSSOF (3 roster spots)
DONE
MLB Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – Head to Head
SP (2 roster spots); 35.0%
C; 7.2%
1B; 8.6%2B; 8.0%
3B; 8.3%
SS; 7.5%
OF (3 roster spots); 25.3%
MLB 2013
SP (2 roster spots)C1B2B3BSSOF (3 roster spots)
UPDATED
MLB Cap Allocation on In the $ Teams – 50/50’s
SP (2 roster spots); 34.5%
C; 7.2%
1B; 8.7%2B; 8.1%
3B; 8.5%
SS; 7.5%
OF (3 roster spots); 25.6%
MLB 2013
SP (2 roster spots)C1B2B3BSSOF (3 roster spots)
UPDATED
MLB Cap Allocation on Avg Team
SP (2 roster spots); 34.6%
C; 7.3%
1B; 8.7%2B; 8.0%
3B; 8.4%
SS; 7.5%
OF (3 roster spots); 25.5%
MLB 2013
SP (2 roster spots)C1B2B3BSSOF (3 roster spots)
UPDATED
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams - GPPs
QB; 15.9%
RB (2 roster spots); 25.3%
WR (2 roster spots); 23.7%
TE; 10.5%
FLEX (RB or WR or TE);
10.2%
K; 7.7%DEF; 6.7%
NFL 2013
QBRB (2 roster spots)WR (2 roster spots)TEFLEX (RB or WR or TE)KDEF
Updated
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – Head To Head
QB; 16.4%
RB (2 roster spots); 24.9%
WR (2 roster spots); 24.5%
TE; 10.7%
FLEX (RB or WR or TE);
10.0%
K; 7.0%DEF; 6.5%
NFL 2013
QBRB (2 roster spots)WR (2 roster spots)TEFLEX (RB or WR or TE)KDEF
UPDATED
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – 50/50’s
QB; 15.8%
RB (2 roster spots); 24.8%
WR (2 roster spots); 24.5%
TE; 11.2%
FLEX (RB or WR or TE);
9.7%
K; 7.4%DEF; 6.5%
NFL 2013
QBRB (2 roster spots)WR (2 roster spots)TEFLEX (RB or WR or TE)KDEF
UPDATED
NFL Cap Allocation on Avg Teams
QB; 15.9%
RB (2 roster spots); 24.7%
WR (2 roster spots); 24.5%
TE; 11.2%
FLEX (RB or WR or TE);
9.7%
K; 7.4%DEF; 6.5%
NFL 2013
QBRB (2 roster spots)WR (2 roster spots)TEFLEX (RB or WR or TE)KDEF
Updated
Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation
Winning Team Average0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
34.6% 34.3%
65.4% 65.7%
HittingPitching
UPDATED
NFL QB to Team WR FPPs Correlation
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900
10
20
30
40
50
60
f(x) = 0.354893841988083 x + 5.81730089897761
QB Points
WR Points
done
MLB Hitter-Only Stack Correlation(Max # of Players from same team in Lineup)
• Insert Paul’s Chart
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 80%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
150+140 to 150130 to 140120 to 130110 to 120100 to 11090 to 10080 to 9070 to 8060 to 7050 to 60<50
