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Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

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Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference June 23, 2022
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Page 1: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next?

Kansas Winter Grazing ConferenceApril 18, 2023

Page 2: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Kansas Drought Status over Time

Date None D0-D4 D1-D4 D2-D4 D3-D4 D4

17-Jan-2012 38.25 61.75 47.15 23.20 13.50 0.22

11-Oct-2011 20.8 79.3 65.8 49.6 26.0 15.2

12-Jul-2011 33.9 66.1 48.6 34.4 17.1 8.7

12-Oct-2010 83.2 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

13-Jul-2010 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

K-State Research & Extension

Page 3: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

Current Drought Status

Page 4: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Kansas Drought Status

K-State Research & Extension

Page 5: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

November Palmer Index

Page 6: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Current Palmer Index

Page 7: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Moisture Needed

K-State Research & Extension

Page 8: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Moisture Needed

K-State Research & Extension

Page 9: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Typical January Moisture

K-State Research & Extension

Page 10: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

Page 11: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

Page 12: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

Page 13: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Vegetative Conditions

K-State Research & Extension

Page 14: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Vegetative Conditions

Page 15: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

What’s the Drought Outlook?

Page 16: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

What’s the Drought Outlook?

Page 17: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

Why?

Continuing La Niña Change in North Atlantic Oscillation Change in Artic Oscillation

Page 18: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Typical La Niña Winters

Page 19: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

North Atlantic Oscillation

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). When the NAO index is low, shown above, ocean winds are weaker and the U.S. winter more severe. Changes in ocean temperature distributions are also observed. Its "high index" state corresponds to particularly high atmospheric pressure over the Azores, an intense low over Iceland. Ocean winds are stronger and winters milder in the eastern U.S. (Illustration by Fritz Heide & Jack Cook, WHOI) http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=10146

Page 20: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Artic Oscillation

Page 21: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Risk of Extreme Events

Page 22: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Gulf Moisture

Page 23: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

Gulf Moisture

Page 24: Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015.

K-State Research & Extension

Mary KnappWeather Data Library1703 Throckmorton HallKansas State UniversityManhattan, KS 66506

PH: 785 532-7019

E-mail: [email protected]

URL: http://www.ksre.ksu.edu/wdl


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