Dynamical causes of Echo Training in The Southern Swiss Alps
Austin Wardall
ERAU
Maggia Valley Flash Floods
• Major Hazard
• Related to Echo Training– Convective cells repeatedly triggering at
the same location and following the same storm track
Procedure
• Modeled four major echo training events using the WRF-EMS mesoscale atmospheric research and forecasting model
• Investigated the four simulations for similar precipitation patterns to those observed by Swiss operational radar data
• Proceeded with a graphical study of dynamical conditions supporting orographic convective triggering upwind from the Maggia River
Pre
cipi
tatio
n E
vent
s
(Panziera et al., 2014)
Topographic Map of Northern Italy and Switzerland
Modeled Precipitation Events
17-18 Aug. 2006 5-7 Sept. 2008
“Good” Simulations
Modeled Precipitation Events
5-6 June 2009 25-26 Sept. 2012
“Bad” Simulations
Dynamical Findings
Lee Troughing and Cyclogenesis
950mb relative vorticity and streamlines with 1km reflectivity
17 Aug. 2006 1900Z 5 Sept. 2008 1700Z
“Good” Simulations
Lee Troughing and Cyclogenesis
950mb relative vorticity and streamlines with 1km reflectivity
6 June 2009 0100Z 26 Sept. 2012 1800Z
“Bad” Simulations
MSLP
17 Aug 2006 1900Z 7 Sept. 2008 0200Z
“Good” Simulations
MSLP
6 June 2009 1900Z 26 Sept. 2012 2100Z
“Bad” Simulations
Low-level Moist Jet
950mb dewpoint and streamlines with 1km reflectivity
17 Aug. 2006 2200Z 7 Sept. 2008 0500Z
“Good” Simulations
Low-level Moist Jet
950mb dewpoint and streamlines with 1km reflectivity
6 June 2009 0800Z 26 Sept. 2012 1800Z
“Bad” Simulations
Conclusions
• The model more accurately simulates the location of convection when it captures lee troughing to the north of the Appennine Range
• The lee troughing to the north of the Appennines may contribute to the formation of an easterly barrier jet along the southern slopes of the Alps
• The convergence of this barrier jet with moist southerly low-level flow from the Mediterranean over the southeast-facing Alpine slopes seems to be the main trigger leading to flooding in the Maggia Valley
Citations
Panziera, L., C. N. James, and U. Germann. "Mesoscale organization and structure of orographic precipitation producing flash floods in the Lago Maggiore region." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2014).
Acknowledgements
• Dr. Curtis James, ERAU
• Luca Panziera, University of Trento
• Dr. Gary Yale, ERAU Space Grant