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ECONOMICS OF CONJUNCTIVE W ATER MANAGEMENT UNDER CROP SALINITY TOLERANCE CONSTRAINTS ISMAIL HIRSI B.Sc. (Honours) Agriculture M.Sc. (Honours)) Agricultural Economics A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Sciences International Centre of Water for Food Security Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences Charles Sturt University
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ECONOMICS OF CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT

UNDER CROP SALINITY TOLERANCE CONSTRAINTS

ISMAIL HIRSI

B.Sc. (Honours) Agriculture M.Sc. (Honours)) Agricultural Economics

A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Sciences

International Centre of Water for Food Security Faculty of Science, School of Environmental Sciences

Charles Sturt University

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February 2008

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CERTIFICATE OF AUTHORSHIP

HD7 CERTIFICATE OF AUTHORSHIP OF THESIS &

AGREEMENT FOR THE RETENTION & USE OF THE THESIS

DOCTORAL AND MASTER BY RESEARCH APPLICANTS

To be completed by the student for submission with each of the bound copies of the thesis submitted for examination to the Centre of Research & Graduate Training. For duplication purpose, please TYPE or PRINT on this form in BLACK PEN ONLY. Please keep a copy for your own records.

I Mr. Ismail Hirsi S/O Farah Hirsi

Hereby declare that this submission is my own work and that, to the best of my knowledge and belief, it contains no material previously published or written by another person nor material which to a substantial extent has been accepted for the award of any other degree or diploma at Charles Sturt University or any other educational institution, except where due acknowledgment is made in the thesis. Any contribution made to the research by colleagues with whom I have worked at Charles Sturt University or elsewhere during my candidature is fully acknowledged. I agree that the thesis be accessible for the purpose of study and research in accordance with the normal conditions established by the University Librarian for the care, loan and reproduction of the thesis.*

Signature Date

* Subject to confidentiality provisions as approved by the University

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

In the Name of Allah, the Merciful, the Compassionate All praises and thanks be to Allah (S.W.T), we praise Him, seek His aid, forgiveness, and His protection against our evil-self and wrong doings. My deep sense of gratitude is due to Allah (S.W.T), Who enabled me to complete this study. The efforts made with trust in Allah (S.W.T) and faith in His Prophet (may the blessings and peace of Allah be upon him) always bear fruit. May Allah (S.W.T) accept this humble effort as a reflection to His sayings: “Say: “Have you ever considered that if all the water you have, sink down in the ground, who then can bring you the clear-flowing water?”. (Sûrah 67, verse 30). “Mentioning (speaking of) the favours of Allah is (a show of) gratefulness. Leaving it (the favour) is ingratitude. Whoever does not thank (for) the little will not thank the much. And he who does not thank the people does not thank Allah...”(On the authority of Nu’man Ibn Basheer. Hadith No. 5325 in Al Jami’ Assaghir). With feelings of great pleasure and deep sense of profound gratitude, my acknowledgement also goes to my supervisor Professor Shahbaz Khan for his intelligible guidance and moral support during the course of this study. The benefits from many helpful discussions with Dr. Tom Nordblom, Dr. Richard Culas, and the members of International Centre of Water for Food Security, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga must not be left unacknowledged. I am greatly indebted to the Australian Cooperative Research Centre for Irrigation Future (CRC IF). I am sincerely thankful for the cooperation from the officials of the Coleambally Irrigation Cooperative Limited (CICL), Coleambally, and the hospitality offered by the members of staff of the CICL during my field study tour to Coleambally Irrigation Area. Thanks are due to my wife, children, brothers, sister and other family members for their unreserved love, benevolent prayers, and sacrifices in sustaining my efforts during the studies. Sincere thanks are due to all my friends from Somalia, Pakistan, Australia, Egypt, Indonesia, China, Palestine, Oman, India, Bangladesh, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Djibouti, Ethiopia, and Ghana. I am indebted to all the members of the Islamic Students’ Association Riverina of Charles Sturt University during my study period. It was an unforgettable experience to see these companions as a profound reflection of the following verse of Al-Qur’an: “O mankind! We created you from a single (pair) of a male and a female and made you into nations and tribes that you may know each other (not that you may despise each other). Verily the most honoured of you in the sight of Allah is (he who is) the most righteous of you. And Allah has full knowledge and is well acquainted (with all things)” (Sûrah 49, verse 13). My greatest and ultimate gratitude is due to Allah (S.W.T), the Creator of the heavens and the earth. May He forgive my failings and weaknesses, strengthen and enliven my faith in Him and endow me with knowledge and wisdom, Aameen!

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Ismail Hirsi

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ABSTRACT

The negative effect associated with soil salinisation has been an issue of

irrigated agriculture for centuries. The agricultural impacts associated with

excess soil salinity levels cause decrease in crop yield and other off farm

impacts such as damages to infrastructure and build environment. The main

goal of this dissertation was to study the economics of conjunctive water

management under crop salinity tolerance constraints. The specific

objectives were to: determine the possibilities of increasing gross margins

by taking optimal mix of crops under crop salinity tolerance constraints;

develop a hydrologic economic model and employ different mathematical

optimisation techniques using GAMS environment to determine the ways of

best use of conjunctive water for irrigation; and estimate and compare the

cost of irrigation and the resulting gross margins from using surface water,

groundwater and conjunctive water use with respect to optimal crop mix

under crop salinity tolerance constraints.

This study extended previous work on SWAGMAN Farm models, which

are a range of models of salt and water balance at the plant, farm and

catchment scale. However, this study integrated the Mass and Hoffmann

Model accounting for crop-soil groundwater salinity interactions in the

standard SWAGMAN Farm version. This was the key conceptual

contribution of this dissertation and an advance into the standard

SWAGMAN Farm model. It involved mixed integer programming in

GAMS (General Algebraic Modeling System) environment to model the

nonlinearities in the Mass and Hoffmann equation. This advance enables a

more scientific and accurate assessment of the impact of salinity on crop

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yield via-a-vis land and water management strategies to enhance

productivity and environmental sustainability in an economic decision

making environment. The nonlinearities and crop yield response to salinity

as defined by Mass and Hoffman cannot be captured by conventional

biophysical modelling techniques alone due to complex relationship.

The model was successfully validated on selected farms in two mature

irrigation areas in Pakistan and Australia. The overall model result show

that the yield and profitability response to salinity and groundwater depth

varies across farms within the same irrigation system. For a given level of

canal water allocation the gross margin per ha is lowest with the

groundwater use only, and highest for the canal water use only for current

salinity levels in the studied systems. The lowest economic returns under

groundwater use only mean those crop yields are adversely impacted due to

higher salinity of groundwater, lowering economic returns. In limiting

salinity areas, mixing of canal water with groundwater to achieve a specific

target salinity level enables farmer to achieve higher economic return per ha

and enhance total return from available water resources. This has

implications for allocating more canal water to saline environments such as

the tail ends, better groundwater mapping, and for public investments and

subsidy in groundwater use.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................... 1

1.1 BACKGROUND ..................................................................................................... 1

1.1.1 Global issues.................................................................................................. 4

1.1.2 Conjunctive water management in an Australian context.............................. 7

1.1.3 Conjunctive water management in a Pakistani context ................................. 8

1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT......................................................................................... 9

1.2.1 Research question ........................................................................................ 10

1.2.2 Research objectives...................................................................................... 10

1.3 STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS................................................................................ 11

2 LITERATURE REVIEW........................................................................................ 13

2.1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................. 13

2.2 CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT................................................................ 16

2.2.1 At the irrigation system level ....................................................................... 17

2.2.2 At the farm level........................................................................................... 18

2.2.3 Key messages ............................................................................................... 20

2.3 HYDROLOGIC-ECONOMIC MODELS FOR WATER MANAGEMENT.......................... 20

2.3.1 At the irrigation system level ....................................................................... 21

2.3.2 At the farm level........................................................................................... 24

2.3.3 Observations on the hydrologic-economic models ...................................... 28

2.4 IRRIGATION WATER AND SOIL SALINISATION..................................................... 30

2.4.1 Economic loss due to soil salinity ................................................................ 32

2.4.2 Crop salinity tolerance constraints.............................................................. 34

2.4.3 Understanding the impacts of irrigation water salinity ............................... 36

2.4.4 Lesson learned ............................................................................................. 38

2.5 SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 38

3 METHODOLOGY................................................................................................... 40

3.1 SWAGMAN FARM MODEL............................................................................... 40

3.2 MODELING OBJECTIVE FUNCTION...................................................................... 43

3.3 MODELING CONSTRAINTS.................................................................................. 46

3.3.1 Constraints on area of a landuse ................................................................. 46

3.3.2 Constraints on water allocation................................................................... 48

3.3.3 Constraints on root zone salinity ................................................................. 48

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3.3.4 Constraints on pumping from shallow watertable aquifer........................... 56

3.3.5 Constraints on net recharge......................................................................... 60

3.4 SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 60

4 CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT AT THE FARM LEVEL: CASE

STUDIES IN AUSTRALIA .............................................................................................. 62

4.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREA .................................................................... 62

4.2 CASE STUDIES IN CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT..................................... 67

4.3 MODELING RESULTS AND DISCUSSION............................................................... 70

4.3.1 CIA Groundwater management zone 1........................................................ 70

4.3.2 CIA Groundwater management zone 2 & 3................................................. 72

4.3.3 CIA Groundwater management zone 4........................................................ 74

4.3.4 CIA Groundwater management zone 5........................................................ 76

4.4 GROUNDWATER SALINITY IMPACTS................................................................... 78

4.5 SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 83

5 CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT AT THE FARM LEVEL: CASE

STUDIES IN PAKISTAN ................................................................................................. 84

5.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREA .................................................................... 84

5.2 CASE STUDIES IN CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT..................................... 88

5.3 MODELING RESULTS AND DISCUSSION............................................................... 91

5.3.1 Upper Rechna Doab .................................................................................... 91

5.3.2 Middle Rechna Doab ................................................................................... 92

5.3.3 Lower Rechna Doab .................................................................................... 93

5.4 GROUNDWATER SALINITY IMPACTS................................................................... 94

5.5 SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 98

6 CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT AT THE IRRIGATION SYSTEM

LEVEL.............................................................................................................................. 100

6.1 CASE STUDY IN AUSTRALIA ............................................................................ 100

6.1.1 Surface water resources............................................................................. 100

6.1.2 Groundwater resources ............................................................................. 102

6.2 COST OF PUMPING IN AUSTRALIA.................................................................... 107

6.2.1 Input data for calculating the cost of pumping .......................................... 109

6.2.2 Net present values for diesel and electric pumps....................................... 110

6.3 COST OF PUMPING IN PAKISTAN ...................................................................... 111

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6.4 COST OF CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT FOR A RANGE OF WATER USE

SCENARIOS..................................................................................................................... 113

6.4.1 Case study in Australia .............................................................................. 114

6.4.2 Case study in Pakistan ............................................................................... 119

6.5 SUMMARY ....................................................................................................... 125

7 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS..................................................................... 127

7.1 OVERVIEW OF THE KEY ISSUES ........................................................................ 127

7.2 SUMMARY OF THE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES AND METHODOLOGY ..................... 128

7.3 AUSTRALIAN PROSPECTIVE ON CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT ............. 130

7.4 PAKISTANI PROSPECTIVE ON CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT ................. 132

7.5 COMBINED PROSPECTIVE ON CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT................. 134

7.6 A POSSIBLE WAY FORWARD............................................................................. 135

REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 136

APPENDIX I .................................................................................................................... 164

APPENDIX II .................................................................................................................. 176

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LIST OF FIGURES

FIGURE 2.1 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RELATIVE PLANT YIELD AND SOIL ROOT ZONE

SALINITY (MASS AND HOFFMAN, 1977). ......................................................... 35 FIGURE 4.1 THE COLEAMBALLY IRRIGATION AREA. ......................................................... 63 FIGURE 4.2 MONTHLY RAINFALL FIGURES DURING 2006-07 (AER 2007). ........................ 64 FIGURE 4.3 MONTHLY EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FIGURES DURING 2006-07 (AER 2007). .... 65 FIGURE 4.4 CIA GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT ZONES (KHAN ET AL., 2008)................... 69 FIGURE 4.5 FARM 1 - TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVELS

AND WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS.............................................................. 71 FIGURE 4.6 FARM 6 - TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVELS

AND WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS.............................................................. 73 FIGURE 4.7 FARM 9 - TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVELS

AND WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS. ............................................................. 76 FIGURE 4.8 FARM 11 - TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVELS

AND WATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS.............................................................. 77 FIGURE 4.9 COMPOSITE SALINITY OF CONJUNCTIVE USE ................................................... 82 FIGURE 5.1 LOCATION MAP OF RECHNA DOAB IRRIGATION SYSTEM................................ 85 FIGURE 5.2 GROUNDWATER SALINITY IN RECHNA DOAB (ΜS/CM)................................... 88 FIGURE 5.3 TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVELS AND WATER

MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN UPPER RECHNA DOAB............................................ 92 FIGURE 5.4 TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVEL AND WATER

MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS IN THE MIDDLE RECHNA DOAB................................. 93 FIGURE 5.5 TOTAL GROSS MARGIN FOR VARIOUS WATER ALLOCATION LEVEL AND WATER

MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS IN THE LOWER RECHNA DOAB.................................. 94 FIGURE 5.6 EFFECT OF MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER ON THE

GROSS MARGINS IN UPPER RECHNA DOAB. ..................................................... 95 FIGURE 5.7 EFFECT OF MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER ON THE

GROSS MARGINS IN MIDDLE RECHNA DOAB .................................................... 97 FIGURE 5.8 EFFECT OF MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER ON THE

GROSS MARGINS IN LOWER RECHNA DOAB..................................................... 98 FIGURE 6.1 ANNUAL GENERAL SECURITY ALLOCATIONS SINCE 1982/83 (AER 2007)..... 101 FIGURE 6.2 ANNUAL DIVERSION AND LICENSED ENTITLEMENT (AER 2007). .................. 101 FIGURE 6.3 LOCATION MAP OF GROUNDWATER BORES IN COLEAMBALLY IRRIGATION

AREA (CICL, 2006). ..................................................................................... 103 FIGURE 6.4 GROUNDWATER USAGE IN COLEAMBALLY IRRIGATION AREA (AER 2007).. 106 FIGURE 6.5 ANNUAL COST OFF PUMPING ELECTRIC. ....................................................... 112 FIGURE 6.6 ANNUAL COST OF PUMPING DIESEL............................................................... 113 FIGURE 6.7 ANNUAL COST OF PUMPING TRACTOR........................................................... 113 FIGURE 6.8 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE FARM 1. . 116

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FIGURE 6.9 LAND USE IN FARM 1 .................................................................................... 116 FIGURE 6.10 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE FARM 6.. 117 FIGURE 6.11 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE FARM 9. . 118 FIGURE 6.12 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER TO INDIVIDUAL FARM.

...................................................................................................................... 119 FIGURE 6.13 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE UPPER RECHNA

DOAB ............................................................................................................ 122 FIGURE 6.14 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE MIDDLE RECHNA

DOAB ............................................................................................................ 123 FIGURE 6.15 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE AND GROUNDWATER FOR THE LOWER RECHNA

DOAB ............................................................................................................ 123 FIGURE 6.16 MIXING RATIO OF SURFACE WATER AND GROUNDWATER TO INDIVIDUAL FARM

AREA. ............................................................................................................ 124

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LIST OF TABLES

TABLE 2.1 SALT TOLERANCE LEVELS OF GRAINS (ANZECC AND ARMCANZ, 2000). . 36 TABLE 3.1 LANDUSES CONSIDERED IN THE MODEL FOR A FARM. (MADDEN AND

PRATHAPAR, 1999; JEHANGIR AND KHAN, 2003)............................................ 45 TABLE 3.2 SOIL TYPES CONSIDERED IN THE MODEL FOR A FARM. (MADDEN AND

PRATHAPAR, 1999; JEHANGIR AND KHAN, 2003)............................................ 45 TABLE 4.1 AREAS (HA) OF EACH CROP TYPE IRRIGATED IN CIA, AND THE KERARBURY

CHANNEL AND OUTFALL DISTRICT, AND EACH CROP’S RELATIVE PERCENTAGE

TO TOTAL IRRIGATED AREA 2004 (COLEAMBALLY IRRIGATION CO-OPERATIVE

LIMITED 2005). ............................................................................................... 65 TABLE 4.2 AREAS (HA) OF EACH CROP TYPE IRRIGATED IN CIA, AND THE KERARBURY

CHANNEL AND OUTFALL DISTRICT, AND EACH CROP’S RELATIVE PERCENTAGE

TO TOTAL IRRIGATED AREA 2005 (COLEAMBALLY IRRIGATION CO-OPERATIVE

LIMITED 2006). ............................................................................................... 66 TABLE 4.3 A COMPARATIVE OVERVIEW OF THE MODELLED FARMS.................................. 70 TABLE 4.4 SCENARIO 1..................................................................................................... 79 TABLE 4.5 SCENARIO 2..................................................................................................... 79 TABLE 4.6 SCENARIO 3..................................................................................................... 80 TABLE 5.1 AREA UNDER MAJOR CROPS GROWN ON FARMS ACROSS IRRIGATION SUB-

DIVISIONS (HA)................................................................................................ 86 TABLE 5.2 NUMBER OF GROWING DAYS FOR PARTICULAR LAND USES. ............................ 87 TABLE 5.3 A COMPARATIVE OVERVIEW OF THE MODELLED FARMS IN PAKISTAN............. 89 TABLE 5.4 COMPOSITE EC OF CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT. ............................... 95 TABLE 5.5 COMPOSITE EC OF CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT. ............................... 96 TABLE 5.6 COMPOSITE EC OF CONJUNCTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT. ............................... 97 TABLE 6.1 SALINITY OF GROUNDWATER EXTRACTED FROM COLBORE- 2004/07 (CICL,

2005-2007) ................................................................................................... 103 TABLE 6.2 MONTHLY GROUNDWATER EXTRACTIONS FROM COLBORE 1994/95 TO

2006/07......................................................................................................... 104 TABLE 6.3 INPUT DATA USED FOR CALCULATING CAPITAL AND OPERATING COSTS IN AN

AUSTRALIAN CONTEXT (AFTER ROBINSON, 2002). ....................................... 109 TABLE 6.4 NET PRESENT VALUES OF DEEP GROUNDWATER BORES................................ 110

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ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

ANZECC Australian and New Zealand Environment and Conservation Council

ARMCANZ Agriculture and Resource Management Council of Australia and New Zealand

CIA Coleambally Irrigation Area

CICL Coleambally Irrigation Cooperative Limited

ColBore CICL augmentation bore (Bore no. 39406)

CSIRO Commonwealth Science and Industry Research Organisation

CSU Charles Sturt University

CW Canal Water

CWM Conjunctive water management

DNR NSW Department of Natural Resources (now DWE)

DPI NSW Department of Primary Industry

dS/m Deci Siemens per metre

EC Electric conductivity (a standard term used to refer to salinity as measured by micro Siemens per centimetre, µS/cm, at 25oC)*

GAMS General Algebraic Modeling System

GWSP Water Sharing Plan for the Lower Murrumbidgee Groundwater Sources

LCC Lower Chenab Canal

LWMP Land and Water Management Plan

LRDIS Lower Rechna Doab Irrigation System

MDB Murray-Darling Basin

MDBC Murray-Darling Basin Commission

MENA Middle East and North Africa

Mha Million hectare

ML Meggalitre

MRDIS Middle Rechna Doab Irrigation System

NPV Net Present Values

NSW New South Wales

SAR Sodium absorption ratio

SWAGMAN Salt Water And Groundwater Management

TGM Total Gross Margin

TW Tubewell

UCC Upper Chenab Canal

URDIS Upper Rechna Doab Irrigation System

µS/cm Micro Siemens per centimetre; the standard unit used to measure salinity (see EC)

WSP Water Sharing Plan

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CHAPTER ONE

1 Introduction

This chapter explains key issues in using the term “Conjunctive Water

Management – the joint management of groundwater and surface water”,

and expands this definition to capture its relationship in association to: (i)

conjunctive use, (ii) link between groundwater and surface water, (iii)

irrigation system management, and (iv) interpretation and implications in

water governance. Global issues of groundwater use and its key challenges

are also discussed in brief. In the context of conjunctive water management

in Australia and Pakistan, research question is defined and research

objectives are formulated to address this research question. Thesis structure

is also presented in this chapter.

1.1 Background

Surface water is an increasingly scarce commodity, particularly in arid and

semi-arid regions of the world (Falkenmark, 1986). In these regions,

groundwater (being used alone or in conjunction with limited surface water

supplies) has become an unprecedented reality to fill the gap between

demand and supply of consumptive and environmental users (Ward et al.,

1996, 2006, 2007; Chermak et al., 2005; Ding, 2005). In practice, the

conjunctive water management can be envisioned at the farm and irrigation

system levels (Houk et al., 2005; Karlberg et al., 2006; Schoups et al.,

2006). Although the scope and scale of conjunctive water management

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differ in these two levels, but it helps improve the overall availability and

reliability of water (Hussain et al., 2004; Shah and Singh, 2004; Peterson

and Ding, 2005; Sekar and Randhir, 2007; Syaukat and Fox, 2004).

Generally, the term ‘conjunctive water management’ refers to the joint

management of groundwater and surface water (Murray-Rust and Velde,

1994). This section introduces and expands on the definition of ‘conjunctive

water management’ to capture the concept of managing groundwater and

surface water as a single resource. It recognizes the hydrological and

agronomic link between surface and groundwater and juxtaposes the issues

from the management and governance perspective in the context of mature

large scale irrigation system across two diverse settings in Australia and

Pakistan. Within this context, key issues in the use of the term are associated

with its relationship to:

o Conjunctive use,

o Link between groundwater and surface water,

o Irrigation system management, and

o Interpretation and implications in water governance.

Conjunctive use: It is necessary to distinguish between conjunctive use (of

groundwater and surface water) and conjunctive water management because

conjunctive use has emerged as an on-farm practice based on institutions

which do not recognise hydraulic link between groundwater and surface

water. The term ‘conjunctive use’ refers to the practice of using multiple

resources for individual outcomes, while ‘conjunctive water management’

refers to the management of water resources for public welfare (Murray-

Rust, 2002; Merritt et al., 2005).

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Link between groundwater and surface water: The “conjunctive water

management” refers explicitly to management across hydraulically

connected groundwater and surface water systems (Sahuquillo and Lluria,

2003; Sharda et al., 2006; Sheng, 2005). This definition leaves unclear the

capacity to use the term in reference to realising public goals where there

may be no measurable natural connectivity, such as may be the case in

developing aquifer storage and recovery management options.

Irrigation system management: In this context ‘conjunctive water

management’ refers to managing and accounting for aquifer recharge as a

tool to realise efficiencies across the complementarities of groundwater and

surface water (Blomquist et al., 2004; Diodato and Ceccarelli, 2006). The

reference to complementarities implies utilisation of natural efficiencies

whether they are associated with the link or not.

Interpretation and implications in water governance: The term ‘conjunctive

water management’ has different meanings and interpretation in water

governance literature. In settings with legally enforceable private property

rights in surface and groundwater, the use of both surface and groundwater

for private benefit are sanctioned by the law, and the water is defined a

public good (Colby, 1988; Orr and Colby, 2004). Else the private use of

groundwater is permissible within limits but there are no formal institutional

or legal rules to enforce the property rights (Meinzen-Dick, 1996; Bennett,

2005). Still in other settings where groundwater may be the only resource

available for human needs such as drinking and subsistence production, it

may be regarded as a basic human right and equal access for all may be

sanctioned by local norms and customs (Laamrani et al., 2000).

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1.1.1 Global issues

There was a rapid growth in groundwater use especially since 1950.

Shallow wells and manual lifting devices were in use since the millennia. It

was used mainly for domestic needs and livestock (Shat et al., 2003).

Groundwater wells played little role in agriculture of most ancient

civilisations which grew in river valleys (Mosse, 1997). Studies on

individual ancient wells in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)

regions speak to the limited scale of its use (Giordano, 2006).

The belt stretching from Spain to Persia to the Punjab was an exception

where wells supported an agrarian society during the medieval era (Hunt

and Hunt, 1976). For example, the Persian Wheel revolutionised the

irrigation agriculture in Mughal India (Mosse, 1997). In British India wells

accounted for about 1/3rd of irrigated land even in 1903 when irrigated was

limited to only 14 percent of cropped area (Shah et al 2003).

With the introduction of the tubewell and diesel and electric pumps in

1970’s, groundwater use soared. Despite this massive growth in

groundwater use in agriculture, global groundwater use is a quarter of total

global water withdrawals. Yet its contribution to agricultural production,

food security and poverty reduction is huge. Nearly half the world’s

population relies on groundwater as a drinking water supply (Shah et al

2006; Qadir et al., 2007; Barber, 2007). Irrigated agriculture remains the

major user of groundwater. The groundwater abstracted for agriculture is

generally of a high quality and often good for human use.

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There is intense competition for high quality water (Kim, 1999). The

demand is huge for shallow groundwater that can be easily accessed at low

cost by irrigators and rural communities for sustaining their livelihoods and

food security (Hussain and Hanjra, 2002; Hussain and Hanjra, 2003;

Hussain et al., 2004b). Over abstraction of groundwater is often noticeable

in major groundwater basins, and this presents a complex challenge for

sustainable resource management (Hussain et al, 2004a). The groundwater

use in agriculture is high and increasing in developing countries, and the

associated challenges of sustainable management are the greatest both

because of the importance of the resource for sustaining livelihoods and

generally poor or often lacking laws and policies to protect its over use

(Shah et al. 2003; Chowdary et al., 2005; Gomann et al., 2005). The key

challenges include:

o Over exploitation of the resource beyond sustainable recharge

limits,

o Deterioration in quality through over use, and pollution from

agriculture and domestic and industrial uses,

o Arsenic poisoning of groundwater,

o Fall in watertable and inefficient use of energy for pumping,

o Use of poor quality groundwater for irrigation and human use and

associated impacts on productivity and human health,

o Instances of land subsidence and salt intrusion,

o Increase in salts in the root zone and impaired drainage due to

falling watertable, and

o Potential for social instability.

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There is a general lack of data on groundwater use. Data on the impact of

agricultural groundwater use on food security and ecological systems are

rare (Nickum, 2003). Groundwater is becoming increasingly important for

agriculture in many parts of the world. For instance, the first wave of

groundwater irrigation began in the US, Spain, Italy and Mexico in early

parts of 1900’s (Garrido et al., 2006; Goesch et al., 2007; Llamas and

MartAnez-Santos, 2005a, 2005b; MacKay, 2006; Narayan et al., 2007). In

South Asia, parts of the North China plains, and of the MENA regions

groundwater use has now nearly peaked, while such revolution is not in

sight in much for the sub-Saharan Africa.

Over the years, conjunctive water management has emerged as a common

wisdom for ensuring plausible consumptive and environmental gains in

irrigated agricultural areas; particularly across parts of Central America,

South America, North America, the Middle East, South Asia, Central Asia

and Australia (O’Mara, 1988; Shah et al., 2003). During the periods of

limited surface water supplies, individual farmers make decisions of using

groundwater (alone or conjunctively with surface water) at farm level

(Qureshi et al., 2004); whereas at irrigation system level, a group of water

users take collective actions to manage the underlying aquifer for ensuring

the sustainable use of available groundwater resource (Pulido-Velazquez et

al., 2004, 2006; Griffin, 2006).

Surface water and groundwater typically have a natural hydrologic

connection, and conjunctive water management tries to utilize this

connection to use the already existing water resources more efficiently but

with convenience (Dudley and Fulton, 2006; Marques, et al., 2005, 2006;

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Hafi, 2003, 2006). In irrigated agricultural areas when quantity or quality of

the primary source of water is of concern (Zhu et al., 2003; Watanabe et al.,

2006); conjunctive water management allows an individual (at farm level)

or a group of water users (at irrigation system level) to sustain (or increase)

crop production or productivity by being able to substitute or supplement

the primary source of water (i.e., surface water) with groundwater. While

conjunctive water management may prove successful for an individual or a

group of water users to cope with immediate changes and shortages, it is

also possible for conjunctive water users to deplete and/or deteriorate the

groundwater aquifer, and to harm other groundwater users who are not

involve in conjunctive water management but are reliant on the same

groundwater aquifer.

1.1.2 Conjunctive water management in an Australian context

Competition of surface water is growing, within and between consumptive

and environmental uses, while its resources are generally limited in

Australia (Elmahdi et al., 2006; Khan, 2007; Khan and Abbas, 2007; Khan

et al., 2006). Groundwater may help fulfilling the gap between supplies and

demands (Hafeez et al., 2007; Khan, 2007b). The allocation of groundwater

entitlements in Australia (that is, the volume of groundwater that irrigators

are entitled to extract in a given year) is based on annual groundwater

sustainable yield, with extractions restricted to long term average recharge

adjusted for discharge to dependent ecosystems. While groundwater

extractions (actual use) in the Murray Darling Basin were only half the

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groundwater sustainable yield in 2000-01 (1250 gigalitres), increasing

demand for irrigation water combined with restrictions on access to surface

water are likely to lead to the activation of licences that are currently unused

or partially used within groundwater systems (Qureshi et al., 2006).

The goal of water resource management is to maximise the net social

benefits from water use (Khan et al., 2008; Oelmann , 2007). These benefits

from water use are the private and external benefits derived from water use

less any private and external costs. As is the case for many natural

resources, there are external costs associated with groundwater use

(Gonzalez et al., 2006). For example, over pumping may lead to land

subsidence, loss of habitat or ecological diversity, or increased groundwater

contamination through the inability of the resource to dilute and assimilate

contaminants. In the absence of price signals that reflect the external costs

of groundwater use, irrigators will have little or no incentive to reduce

consumption (Serra et al., 2006). As a result governments may intervene to

ensure that at least some of these costs are accounted for by irrigators. Thus,

for ensuring the sustainability of conjunctive water use of surface and

groundwater is an irrigated area, there is a need to understand the economics

of different promising conjunctive water management opportunities.

1.1.3 Conjunctive water management in a Pakistani context

Pakistan is fortunate enough because its soils, topography and climate are

generally suitable for farming but its agriculture sector faces the problem of

scarcity of the irrigation water. The designed cropping intensity of the

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irrigation system was pitched low, in the order of 60-70 percent at the start,

but now the cropping intensity is more than 120 percent, indicating the

increased water demand (Jehangir et al. 2003). This paucity of irrigation

supplies has forced the farmers to use the groundwater to augment their

surface supplies. In most cases, farmers are using groundwater in

conjunction with limited surface water supplies on their farms.

In Pakistan, the literature review shows that all of the previous studies

conducted in the arena of water management reported the management

problems leading to the inefficiencies in irrigation application and reduction

in crop productivity, (Kijne and Velde 1991,2006; Mustafa 1991; Siddiq

1994 and Prathaper et al., 1994). Few of the studies took into consideration

the impact of waterlogging and salinity on productivity at farm level

(Prathaper et al., 1997; Traintafilis et al., 2004; Pannell and Ewing, 2006;

Steppuhn et al., 2005; Hajkowicz et al., 2002, 2005a, 2005b; and Young

Meyer et al., 1996; Sakkhati and Chawala 2002; Feng et al., 2005; John,

2005). None of these studies have taken into consideration the alternate

modes of irrigation and farmer returns under conjunctive water

management.

1.2 Problem statement

The negative effect associated with soil salinisation has been an issue of

irrigated agriculture for centuries. The soil salinity problem exists when the

build up of salts in a crops root zone is significant enough that a loss in crop

yield results. Although, waterlogged and saline soils are found naturally,

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irrigated areas these salts typically originate from either a saline high

watertable or from salts in the applied water. The agricultural impacts

associated with excess soil salinity levels will be derived from the

corresponding decrease in crop yield. Additional plant symptoms associated

with high salinity levels are similar in appearance to those of drought, such

as wilting (Ayers and Westcot 1985; Brumbelow and Georgakakos 2007).

Conjunctive water use may help to improve water security, sustain

agricultural growth, and achieve higher economic returns; but due to the

increased salinity of irrigation water, long-term environmental sustainability

of irrigated agriculture may prove too questionable if conjunctive water use

is not managed appropriately. Proper accounting of crop salinity tolerance

constraints can help maximise benefits with lower environmental footprints

of agriculture from conjunctive water management under limited water

supplies both at the farm and irrigation system levels.

1.2.1 Research question

The main research question to be answered though this research is:

What is the role of crop salinity tolerance constraints to determine the

promising options of conjunctive water management practices for

irrigation purposes which would result in maximum gross margin

while meeting environmental requirements?

1.2.2 Research objectives

The objectives of this research are to:

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o Determine the possibilities of increasing gross margins by taking

optimal mix of crops under crop salinity tolerance constraints,

o Develop a hydrologic economic model and employ different

mathematical optimisation techniques using the GAMS

environment to determine the ways of best use of conjunctive

water for irrigation,

o Estimate and compare the cost of irrigation and the resulting gross

margins from using surface water, groundwater and conjunctive

water use with respect to optimal crop mix under crop salinity

tolerance constraints, and

o Propose different policy interventions to maximise the socio-

economic and environmental benefits from conjunctive water

management.

1.3 Structure of the thesis

Chapter 1 introduces the conjunctive water management issues at global

level as well as in the context of irrigated agriculture situations in Australia

and Pakistan. Keeping in view the conjunctive water management issues

both at the farm and irrigation system levels, research question and

objectives are also outlined in this chapter. Chapter 2 outlines the lesson

learned from the literature reviewed related to hydrologic-economic

modeling of conjunctive water management in irrigated agricultural areas.

Chapter 3 describes different components of the conjunctive water

management model developed in this research. Modeling testing results are

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also presented in this chapter. Chapter 4 and 5 present the modeling results

regarding the economics of conjunctive water management under crop

salinity tolerance constraints at the farm level, respectively. Separate case

studies are presented in this chapter for the selected irrigated agricultural

areas from Australia and Pakistan. Chapter 6 introduces the case study of

conjunctive water management at irrigation system level in Coleambally

Irrigation Area, Australia. However, this chapter also presents the cost of

conjunctive water management for a range of water use scenarios for the

case study areas in Australia and Pakistan. Chapter 7 presents conclusions

from this research and a possible way forward to improve the conjunctive

water management understanding and how to further adopt the modeling

tool developed under this research for the benefit of wider farming

community dependent on conjunctive water use in Australia, Pakistan and

elsewhere around the world.

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CHAPTER TWO

2 Literature Review

This chapter reviews the practices, problems and prospects of conjunctive

water management at both the farm and irrigation system levels in various

irrigated agricultural areas around the world. However, main emphasis is

given to present an overview of the studies presenting hydrologic-economic

modeling of conjunctive water management in irrigated agricultural areas.

2.1 Introduction

Surface water is an increasingly scarce commodity, particularly in arid and

semi-arid regions of the world that cover about one-third of the total globe

land mass. In these regions, groundwater has become an unprecedented

reality, in these regions, to fill the gap between demand and supply of

consumptive and environmental users. Over the years, conjunctive use of

surface water and groundwater has emerged as a common wisdom for

ensuring plausible consumptive and environmental gains in irrigated

agricultural areas; particularly across parts of Central America, South

America, North America, the Middle East, South Asia, Central Asia and

Australia (O’Mara, 1988; Shah et al., 2003).

In practice, the conjunctive water use can be envisioned at farm level where

individuals make decisions of using groundwater to supplement limited

surface water supplies (Qureshi et al., 2004), and at irrigation system level

where water users take collective actions to replenish aquifer storage during

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high rainfall periods for aquifer recovery to use groundwater during low

rainfall periods (Pulido-Velazquez et al., 2007). Although the scope and

scale differ in these two levels, but both are using surface water and

groundwater together to improve the overall availability and reliability of

water.

Usually, the surface water use has a benefit on the groundwater resource

through recharge (which can replenish aquifer storage, and in most cases

improve groundwater quality), or an adverse effect through contamination

(if the surface water is of poor quality). The groundwater use usually has a

benefit on the surface water resource through baseflow (which sustains

stream flows in low rainfall years, and in some cases improve stream flows

quality), or an adverse effect through stream flows depletion (if the

groundwater pumping induce the increase in seepage from the stream).

More often than not, the bulk of the groundwater use was developed after

most of the surface water use had been established, and if there is an

imbalance between benefits and adverse effects, it tends to favour the

groundwater users at the expense of the surface water supply. It is often the

case that users of one resource are not fully aware of the costs and benefits

of users of other water resource.

Surface water and groundwater typically have a natural hydrologic

connection, and conjunctive water use tries to utilize this connection to use

the already existing water resources more efficiently but with convenience

(Dudley and Fulton, 2006). In irrigated agricultural areas when quantity or

quality of the primary source of water is of concern; conjunctive water use

allows an individual (at farm level) or a group of water users (at irrigation

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system level) to sustain (or increase) crop production or productivity by

being able to substitute or supplement the primary source of water (i.e.,

surface water) with groundwater. While conjunctive water use may prove

successful for an individual or a group of water users to cope with

immediate changes and shortages, it is also possible for conjunctive water

users to deplete and/or deteriorate the groundwater aquifer, and to harm

other groundwater users who are not involve in conjunctive water use but

are reliant on the same groundwater aquifer.

Conjunctive water management, on the other hand, is the management of

different water resources to create conducive environment for conjunctive

water use by an individual and a group of water users simultaneously, so

that wider ranging goals of equity, production and protection of different

water resources can be accomplished (Murray-Rust, 2002; Marrett, 2005). It

engages the principles of conjunctive water use, where surface water and

groundwater are used in combination to improve water availability,

reliability and convenience at farm level or irrigation system level; and can

be done with and without interventions from some external organisation(s).

Institutional constraints, environmental concerns, economic considerations,

and the socio-political climate are also important when implementing

conjunctive water management policies at both the farm and irrigation

system levels.

There clearly is no “one-size-fits-all” approach to conjunctive water

management, but it should include components like monitoring the status of

underlying aquifer at both the farm and irrigation system levels, evaluation

of the monitoring data to develop (or verify) management objectives, and

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use of monitoring data to establish and enforce the management policies

(Lecina et al., 2005; Theodossiou and Latinopoulos, 2006). Primarily,

conjunctive water management should occur at farm levels where the unique

set of conditions is well understood and where interested water users can

participate and remain informed (Bredehoeft and Young, 1983). Monitoring,

the status of underlying aquifer at both the farm and irrigation system levels,

can help validating the conjunctive water management practices and policies

that are being implemented at these two levels (Shah et al., 2003). An

integrated approach can address these issues by considering these varied

dimensions of conjunctive water management to enhance overall

production, environmental achievements and social benefits for all (Khan et

al., 2007; Khan and Tariq, 2005; Fraiture, 2006).

2.2 Conjunctive water management

Conjunctive water management is often suggested as a means of taking

short-term actions that may come at some cost, in order that the water

supply will be more sustainable and/or more reliable in the long-term. Just

as surface reservoirs were built at some cost in order to improve the

availability of surface water supplies; conjunctive water management

usually includes some use of aquifer storage as a key in the long-term

management of water supplies. The most common objectives are to

physically increase water supplies, to increase supply reliability, or to

improve the flexibility in supply allocation.

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For conjunctive water management, the cyclic nature of aquifer storage and

recovery is a critical operational consideration. Depending upon the water

cycle processes, three modes of operations can be categorised: short cycle1

annual cycle2 and long cycle3. Usually, long cycle approach is more efficient

and productive when the underlying aquifer is highly permeable, and is

practiced at the irrigation system level. Short cycle and possibly annual

cycle approaches are more appropriate when underlying aquifer is less

permeable, and are practiced at the farm level.

2.2.1 At the irrigation system level

There is no one standard set of issues or needs that motivates conjunctive

water management; this concept can take many forms and have many

objectives at the irrigation system level.

First, a large irrigation system exists where the surface water and

groundwater resources are jointly managed and/or regulated at the irrigation

system level by the public or private institution. In this case, conjunctive

water management typically involve: (i) the recharge of surface water into

the underlying groundwater aquifer and resulting in increase of aquifer

storage, (ii) the groundwater pumping as a supplement to surface water

1 Short cycle may spread over a course of days, weeks or perhaps months. This approach has been used to service peak daily and maximum monthly water demands in some areas. 2 In an annual cyclic approach, surface water is stored during the months when surface water supplies become available, and then recovered during periods of peak demand. In this approach, the aquifer storage and recovery are typically done with the same year to sustain a balance. The approach may or may not be coupled with the operation of surface water resources. 3 In a long cycle approach, the aquifer system is typically recharged during years of abundant surface water availability and recovery is done is a year or consecutive years of drought when there is a surface water shortage.

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supply or to augment stream flow, and/or (iii) the substitution of one type of

water supply for another to make use of additional water in the future (e.g.,

surplus surface water may be supplied to a user who then foregoes the use

of groundwater in effect the groundwater is left in the underlying aquifer for

future use).

Second, a large irrigation system exists, which is managed and/or regulated

by the public or private institutions; however, there is no legal system in

place for conjunctive water management, and/or there is no public or private

institution with such responsibility. In this case, the aquifer storage is a

coincidental outcome of a surface water irrigation system. An example of

such irrigation systems is Indus Basin Plains in Pakistan.

Third, a large irrigation system exists, which is managed and/or regulated by

the public or private institution; but the management of groundwater is less

extensive and/or engaged in by a different institution. In this case, the

aquifer storage is also a coincidental outcome of a surface water irrigation

system. Examples of such irrigation systems are Coleambally, Murray and

Murrumbidgee irrigation areas in Australia.

2.2.2 At the farm level

Similar to the irrigation system level, there is also no one standard set of

issues or needs that motivates conjunctive water management; this concept

can take many forms and have many objectives at the farm level.

Firstly, a large irrigation system exists, which is managed and/or regulated

by the public or private institution. There are risks associated with uncertain

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surface water supplies and their fluctuations, especially during low rainfall

years. The underlying aquifer has potential for pumping of groundwater that

is suitable for irrigation purposes. Surface water users, at the farm level,

look for conjunctive water use to increase the reliability of their supplies for

irrigation purposes. The groundwater resource is free (except for physical

supply costs) and is subjected to minimal or no regulations, especially that

limit pumping quantity. Users of groundwater may see no individual

benefits from any efforts to manage the aquifer, unless there are obvious

problems from watertable drawdown. Their motivation for participating for

conjunctive water management often comes from some external regulatory

pressure.

Secondly, a large irrigation system exists, which is managed and/or

regulated by the public or private institution. However, the underlying

aquifer has potential for groundwater pumping but its quality is marginally

suitable for irrigation. Not only, there are risks associated with uncertain

surface water supplies and their fluctuations, but groundwater quality is also

an issue. Surface water users, at the farm level, look for conjunctive water

use to increase the reliability of their supplies, as well as, to make the

quality of water suitable for irrigation purposes. The groundwater resource

is free (except for physical supply costs) and is subjected to minimal or no

regulations, especially that limit pumping quantity and quality. Users of

groundwater may see no individual benefits from any efforts to manage the

aquifer, unless there are obvious problems from watertable drawdown and

groundwater quality impacts. Their motivation for participating for

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conjunctive water management also comes from some external regulatory

pressure.

2.2.3 Key messages

The key messages from the literature on conjunctive water management at

both the farm and irrigation systems levels, include, but may not be limited

to:

o Primarily, conjunctive water management should occur at farm

levels where the unique set of conditions is well understood and

where interested water users can participate and remain informed,

o Monitoring the status of underlying aquifer at both the farm and

irrigation system levels can help validate the conjunctive water

management practices and policies that are being implemented at

these two levels, and

o There is a need for analytical tools to: (i) quantify the impacts of

conjunctive water management at both the farm and irrigation

system levels, (ii) identify the consequences, particularly

pertaining to the hydrologic-economic aspects, of the specific

practices and policies that are proposed (or being implemented),

and (iii) compare these to the consequences of a future in which

there is no conjunctive water management.

2.3 Hydrologic-economic models for water management

In the past, decision-makers generally ignored the economic considerations

involved in water allocation, water use and water management (Krawczyk

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and Tidball, 2006; Peterson et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2007). As water

scarcity increases and new sources of supply (e.g. groundwater) become

increasingly costly, decision-makers (including individuals at the farm level

as well as the managers at the irrigation system level) are beginning to

incorporate economic consideration into their decision making process.

Often, the balance between irrigation profitability and water resource

management has been stated as a policy goal but not defined in any

quantitative way (Acreman, 2005; Hellegers, 2006; Holmes et al., 2005;

Janssen and van Ittersum, 2007). This section presents an overview of the

hydrologic-economic modeling studies aimed at conjunctive water

management at the farm and irrigation system levels in various irrigated

agricultural areas around the world.

2.3.1 At the irrigation system level

Conjunctive water use plays an important hydrologic-economic role at

irrigation system level, as it reduces risks associated with uncertain surface

water supplies and their fluctuations. In other words, groundwater brings

stability in water supplies to meet the demands of consumptive and

environmental users. The economic value of the stabilisation role of

groundwater has significant implications for employing, managing and

promoting conjunctive water use, both in developing and developed

countries (Burt, 1964; Dains and Pawar, 1987; Tsur, 1993; FAO, 1994;

Meinzen-Dick, 1996; Hernandez-Mora, et al., 2001). During the drought

years, economic impacts can be minimal on irrigated agriculture if farmers

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are able to switch from unreliable surface supplies to conjunctive water use

(Gleick and Nash, 1991). In fact, the stabilisation role, associated with the

flexibility of groundwater supplies, can boost agricultural productivity as it

will allow intensification and diversification of agricultural production in

otherwise inflexible surface-irrigation schemes. The stabilisation role of

groundwater is even important, through higher yields, in normal water years

(Tsur, 1990).

Lefkoff (1990) constructed a model of an irrigated, saline stream aquifer

system to simulate economic, agronomic, and hydrologic process. The

model is used to examine the effect of crop-mixing strategies on long term

profits. The hydrologic component of the model, which uses regression

equations to simulate salt transport, was verified with a method-of-

characteristics solution. The model was built on assumptions that simplify

the complex interactions between physical processes and human activity

which occur in the Arkansas Valley.

Different approaches have been used to understand hydrologic-economic

role of conjunctive water use at irrigation system level. (Provencher and

Burt, 1994) used the stochastic approaches while evaluating conjunctive

water management for three interrelated aquifers in California. The

conventional stochastic approach becomes infeasible when dealing with

large spatial dimension; however, this was not the case with the use of

Monte Carlo and Taylor series approximations. Results indicated that both

approaches perform well, providing almost identical estimates of the

optimal pumping policy for maximising hydrologic-economic benefits from

the three interrelated aquifers in California. The Taylor series approximation

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was found to be particularly promising to decision-makers, because it is

user-friendly and is much less computer-intensive as compared to Monto

Carlo approach; all that is required is a software package (like GAMS)

capable of solving a set of nonlinear equations.

Belaineh et al. (1999) presented a linear programming-based

simulation/optimisation model, which integrates linear reservoir operation

rules along with the detailed stream aquifer system flows, conjunctive use of

surface and groundwater and delivery to water users via branching canals.

Groundwater flow was simulated using the MODFLOW program, which

solves the quasi three-dimensional groundwater flow equations.

Cai (2003) developed an integrated hydrologic-agronomic-economic model

in the context of a river basin in which irrigation is the dominant water use

and irrigation-induced salinity presents a major environmental problem. The

model is applied to problems of water management in the Syr Darya River

basin in Central Asia, providing environmental and economic information

regarding reservoir operations, infrastructure improvements, economic

incentives, and economic evaluation of irrigation water use.

Mohan and Jothiprakash (2003) used a combined optimisation and hydraulic

simulation modeling approach to estimate the optimal pumping policy for

maximising hydrologic-economic benefits from an irrigation area in India.

A linear programming model was used for optimisation of cropping

patterns, surface water releases and groundwater pumping schedules. A

hydraulic simulation model was used to evaluate the optimisation results

using long-term stream flows under periods of deficit, surplus and average

surface water deliveries from the reservoir. The results of the combined

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optimisation and hydraulic simulation modeling were used to define the

alternate priority-based policies with respect to the cropping pattern,

irrigation intensity, net economic benefits, and area of rice crop. From

various alternative priority policies considered in the study, it was found

that the rice crop area and groundwater availability determines the irrigation

intensity and net economic benefits from the conjunctive water use (Bechini

et al., 2007; deVoil et al., 2006; Buysse et al., 2007; Humphreys et al.,

2006).

Balancing hydrologic, economic, environmental, and socio-political aspects

in conjunctive water management involves complex issues; tradeoffs

between economic and environmental dimensions are particularly complex.

For instance, an individual farmer optimising economic efficiency may

impact groundwater aquifer through changes in salinity and thereby impose

costs on other users who have no way of impacting individual farmer’s

behaviour or production practices impacted by his actions and management

decisions on groundwater uses (Triantafilis et al. 2004; Weersink and

Wossink, 2005). An integrated approach can address these issues by

considering these varied dimensions of conjunctive water use and

management of groundwater to enhance overall production and social

benefits for all (Khan, 2007; Xevi and Khan, 2005; Ball et al., 2005; David

et al., 2005; Krol et al., 2006; Ringler and Cai, 2006).

2.3.2 At the farm level

In 1996, the United States Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) began requiring

irrigation districts in the Central Valley Project of California to adopt

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volumetric pricing for irrigation water as a Best Management Practice

(USBR, 1998). However, conjunctive water use systems, where surface

water supplies are managed jointly with groundwater resources, present a

unique challenge for adopting volumetric pricing for irrigation water since

the water pricing structure must accommodate the different attributes of

each water source, like their availability and end-use value. In the study by

(Schuck and Green 2002; Hardisty and Ozdemiroglu, 2005), water price

reflects the scarcity value of water during drought periods and the value of

aquifer recharge in wet periods; water pricing that linked to these two

important features were missing from earlier studies (Brown and McGuire,

1967; Martin and Kulakowski, 1991; Hewitt and Hanemann, 1995; Knapp

and Olson, 1995; Brill et al., 1997; Merritt, 2005).

While examining volumetric pricing for irrigation water as the primary

allocation tool for a conjunctive water use in an irrigation district in Kern

County, California, (Schuck and Green, 2002) employed Dynamic

Stochastic Programming under General Algebraic Modeling System

(GAMS) environment to determine the optimal water usage for different

levels of surface water supplies, aquifer levels and financial reserves.

Results suggest that moderate inter-seasonal variations in volumetric pricing

for irrigation water can conserve both water and energy. Additionally,

conjunctive water use reduces price variability and limits the impacts of

groundwater overdraft.

Each day, in India hundreds of thousands of farmers in canal, tank, and

other surface irrigation systems combine surface water with groundwater to

meet crop demand. They do so in an individual manner, uncontrolled by any

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scheme or basin-level entity. Overexploitation of groundwater and intensive

irrigation in major canal commands has posed serious problems for

groundwater managers in India. It has been reported by Singh and Singh

(2002) that in many parts of the country the watertable is declining at the

rate of 1-2 m/year. At the same time in some canal commands, the

watertable rise is as high as 1 m/year. Deterioration in groundwater quality

by various causes is another serious issue. Summed together, all these issues

are expected to reduce the fresh water availability for irrigation, domestic

and industrial uses. If this trend continues unchecked, India is going to face

a major water crisis in the near future. Realizing this, the Government of

India has initiated several protective and legislative measures to overcome

the groundwater management-related problems but, due to the lack of

awareness and political and administrative will, none of the measures has

made any significant impact (Brown et al., 2006a).

In western and southern India, where rainfall is the main source of water,

tanks are the preferred water storage structures as they are simple to make

and easy to maintain. The tank system comprises: the small earthen dam, a

water spread area, sluice gates, surplus weirs and, most importantly, the

catchments and command areas. Often, these tanks are interlinked in chains

along a watershed making the whole system an ecologically sustainable way

for the effective utilisation of rainfall. The linked tanks in a watershed are

called tank cascades. Tanks are usually of two types: first are small dugout

tanks mainly used for providing drinking water and hence the sanitation of

these bodies is immaculately maintained. Second are the larger water tanks

maintained for multiple uses such as irrigation, provision of water for

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livestock, washing of clothes, cleaning of utensils and for taking baths. In

addition, all tanks play an important role in maintaining the rural ecosystem

and for providing a haven for birds, animal and plants. However, these tank

systems are now in a state of decline, groundwater wells are widely thought

of as enemies of these tanks systems (Shah et al., 2003; Brown, et al.,

2006b).

In southern India, where tank irrigation system accounts for about one-third

of the area irrigated for rice cropping, (Palanisami and Easter, 1991)

investigated the hydro-economic interaction between tank and groundwater

being extracted from the neighbouring well. Rice yield from farms with

supplemental groundwater irrigation has been observed to be high. Timely

availability of supplemental irrigation when tank irrigation system is

exhausted has resulted in higher marginal returns to groundwater well

irrigation. However, these marginal returns vary from irrigation to irrigation

and from year to year; as the amount of groundwater pumping for

supplemental irrigation is dependent upon the storage in the tanks from

irrigation to irrigation and from year to year. (Ranganathan and Palanisami,

2004) investigated the value of groundwater that would stabilize rice

production under conjunctive management of groundwater resource and

tank irrigation system. It was suggested that the inclusion of stabilisation

value of the groundwater in hydrological economic analysis would help to

more accurately indicating benefits due to supplemental groundwater

irrigation in the tank irrigation system command area.

In regions with primary salinity, conjunctive use of surface and groundwater

presents unique challenges and opportunities. In such places, the objective

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28

of conjunctive management is to maintain both water and salt balances. In

this situation, system managers require great control and precision in canal

water deliveries to different parts of the command to maintain an optimal

ratio of fresh and saline water for irrigation (Murray-Rust and Vander Velde

1992; Ahmed et al., 2007; Dehghanisanij et al., 2006; Dagar et al., 2006;

Flowers et al., 2005; Su et al., 2005). In many systems, it makes sense to

divide the command areas into surface water irrigation zones and

groundwater irrigation zones, depending on the aquifer characteristics and

water quality parameters. In others, providing recharge structures within a

surface system is often a useful component of a rehabilitation and

modernisation package. It is a risky business and requires a sound

conceptual model of the fate of the salts mobilised, if it is not to cause more

problems than it solves.

2.3.3 Observations on the hydrologic-economic models

A number of hydrologic-economic models are now available to: (i) quantify

the impacts of conjunctive water management at both the farm and irrigation

system levels, (ii) identify the consequences, particularly pertaining to the

hydrologic-economic aspects, of the specific practices and policies that are

proposed (or being implemented), and (iii) compare these to the

consequences of a future in which there is no conjunctive water

management. There are three broad categories of the hydrologic-economic

models exist that deal with conjunctive water management: (i) quantitative

models, (ii) decision-support models and (iii) scenario analysis models.

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29

Quantitative models help examine the conjunctive water management

practices and policies that aim to increase water use efficiency and achieve

water resource and economic sustainability at both the farm and irrigation

system levels. Mostly, the relationships analysed may be within the

groundwater system (e.g., drawdown and/or aquifer quality deterioration

from pumping), within the surface water system (e.g., changes in surface

water delivery efficiencies), or the inter-connections between the two water

systems (e.g., effects on the aquifer storage and baseflow). Typically,

quantitative modeling means some type of hydrologic modeling; however,

some studies extend the quantification to relationships between the

economic outputs and the conjunctive water management practices and

policies.

Decision-support models are used to help identify the consequences,

particularly pertaining to the hydrologic-economic aspects, of the specific

practices and policies that are proposed (or being implemented), and

compare these to the consequences of a future in which there is no

conjunctive water management. Typically, decision-support modeling

means some type of optimisation modeling (Bazzani et al., 2005a; GoMez-

LimoN and MartiNez, 2006). Thus, some objective or set of objectives are

established (e.g., a goal of minimizing water shortages or of maximizing

farm profit), and the conditions that impact the objective(s) are specified in

accordance with the alternatives being assessed. Algorithms are then

developed that can test various combinations of conditions and compare

them as to how they perform in achieving the objective(s).

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Scenario analysis models, which combine quantitative and decision-support

models, have some type of quantitative model embedded inside a platform

that allows varied combinations of input assumptions to be simulated. The

outcomes of these models help display the quantitative outcomes as affected

by the various conjunctive water management practices and policies. Thus,

these outcomes provide a foundation for discussions among the

stakeholders, involved in the conjunctive water management, so that

decisions regarding the selection of a specific practice and/or policy are

based on judgment, not merely based on the quantitative (or decision-

support) modeling results (Bazzani et al 2005b; Bartolini et al., 2007).

In the context of conjunctive water management in irrigated agricultural

areas, there is a need to identify a kind of scenario analysis model that can

be used to: (i) provide farmers with a tool to simulate and assess various

farm cropping scenarios in terms of economic return and environmental

effects, (ii) determine environmentally optimal irrigation intensity and

encourage water use efficiency through water and salinity auditing in an

integrated manner, and (iii) assist irrigation authorities (public and private)

for developing policies to achieve improved economic and natural resource

sustainability.

2.4 Irrigation water and soil salinisation

The negative impacts associated with soil salinisation have been an issue of

irrigated agriculture for centuries. A soil salinity problem exists when the

build up of salts in a crops root zone is significant enough that a loss in crop

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yield results (Ayers and Westcot, 1985; Ashraf et al., 2006; Corwin et al.,

2007; Darwish et al., 2005; Houk et al., 2006; Lehtonen et al., 2007; Jalota

et al., 2007). Although, waterlogged and saline soils are found naturally,

irrigated areas these salts typically originate from either a saline high

watertable or from salts in the applied water.

The four primary reasons that irrigation causes salinisation include seepage

from poorly lined canals and reservoirs, excessive water application,

inadequate provision of drainage, and inadequate application of water to

leach away salts (Nordblom et al., 2006; Barrow, 1991; Ayars et al., 2006;

Schwabe et al., 2006; Saeed and Ashraf, 2005). As a result of excessive

seepage and deep percolation from over irrigation, water enters the aquifer,

typically saline, and decreases the watertable depth.

In general, when the watertable is within approximately 2 meters of the soil

surface, salts can rise to the surface through capillary action and render the

land unsuitable for agricultural production (Wichelns, 1999; Janmaat, 2005).

In 1999, the study area had an average watertable depth of only 2.1 meters

below the surface, with approximately 25% of the region’s watertable depth

to be less than 1.5 meters (Gates et al., 2002). These shallow watertable

depths are likely to be the significant cause of high soil salinity levels in the

study area.

Sharma, (2005a, 2005b) conducted field experiments on a sand loam soil to

evaluate the effects of conjunctive use of saline drainage water (7.2 – 9.8

dS/m; SAR = 8.4 – 13.5) and non-saline canal water (0.3 – 0.4 dS/m; SAR =

0.6 – 0.8) in different models on soil salinity build-up, growth and yield of

sunflower and succeeding sorghum. It showed that with the use of high

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salinity drainage water in conjunction with non-saline canal water for post-

plant irrigations, good yields of sunflower could be obtained without any

serious soil degradation.

Several studies have been published within the crop sciences literature

examining the effects of either waterlogging or soil salinity on crop growth,

however there is little research available describing the combined effects. In

addition, few studies are available concerning the specific methods and

techniques for quantifying the overall economic costs of salinity and

waterlogging on agricultural production.

2.4.1 Economic loss due to soil salinity

Ghassemi et al. (1995) estimated the worldwide loss to farm income due to

soil salinisation in irrigated areas to exceed $11 billion a year. This figure

was found by multiplying the estimated worldwide quantity of salt-affected

land within irrigated agriculture of 112 million acres by a constant estimate

of income loss of $101/acre, as identified by (Dregne et al., 1991). Although

this figure is often referenced, it does little more than indicate that

significant losses are occurring. Additional research estimating the losses

within specific regions of the world is limited, no other study identified has

captured the total costs of both salinity and waterlogging in as much detail

as this study.

Miles (1977) estimated the total losses associated with 200,000 acres of

cropland within the Arkansas Basin that was being irrigated with highly

saline water. These lands were identified as croplands being irrigated with

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33

Class C4 water, the U.S. Salinity Laboratory’s highest classification for

salinity hazard. The study identified a different crop distribution to occur

within these highly saline areas.

Grieve et al. (1986) estimated the total economic losses resulting from

waterlogging and soil salinisation of lands used for dairying and winter

cereal production within two irrigated areas of New South Wales, Australia.

They found the total losses on approximately 161,000 acres of land used for

winter cereals and dairy pasture to be approximately $9.2 million dollars, or

approximately $57/acre. This study simply accounted for the estimated area

of each district that was classified as waterlogged and applied a constant

yield deficit to these areas to estimate the losses. One of the main limitations

of this approach was that it failed to account for the degree of waterlogging

on crop yield. The total quantity of land affected by soil salinity was

estimated by extrapolation of survey data collected from the study area.

Production loss coefficients were calculated by summing the various crop

yield functions over the respective soil salinity frequency distributions. The

study then utilised an additive relationship between the waterlogging and

soil salinity impacts. They found that the losses from waterlogging

significantly outweighed the losses from soil salinity. This research did not

attempt to estimate the total agricultural impacts, instead it only focused

upon the dairying and winter cereal industries. An additional limitation of

the study is the disregard of how these losses would change from year to

year.

Jones and Marshall (1992) expanded upon the work of Grieve et al. (1986)

by including all of the primary crops produced, analysed the problem over

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34

time, and allowed crop mixes to vary over time. They modelled the impacts

over a thirty-year time period assuming that soil salinity levels would

continue to increase at an average annual rate of .05 dS/m. This assumption

oversimplifies the soil salinisation process, ignoring distributional changes

and other annual fluctuations The study concluded that the annual reduction

in net farm income associated with waterlogging and soil salinity across the

region of approximately 84,720 acres to be $1 7 million (approx $200/acre)

Along with Grieve et al. (1986), both studies showed the losses from

waterlogging to be significantly higher than those from soil salinity.

2.4.2 Crop salinity tolerance constraints

One of the most important relationships that must be understood to estimate

the economic cost of salinity is the relationship between soil salinity levels

and crop yield. The agricultural impacts associated with excess soil salinity

levels will be derived from the corresponding decrease in crop yield.

Additional plant symptoms associated with high salinity levels are similar in

appearance to those of drought, such as wilting (Ayers and Westcot, 1985).

Many studies have been conducted to estimate the relationship between soil

salinity levels and crop yield.

Maas and Hoffman (1977) published an extensive review of the research

examining these relationships (Figure 2.1). They concluded that in general

crops will be unaffected by salinity up to a threshold at which time yield

will begin to decrease linearly as soil salinity levels increase. Soil salinity is

measured using the electrical conductivity of the soil extract (ECe) and is

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reported in decisiemens per meter (dS/m). (Mass, 1996) presents a list of 84

crops identified into our qualitative group according to their sensitive to

salinity.

This type of two-piece relationship between relative crop yield (Yr) and

ECe has provided reasonable good fits for crop yield (Tanji, 1990; Mehari et

al., 2006). The estimated percentage of potential yield under soil salinities

exceeding the threshold for each crop can be described mathematically as

follows:

( )aECeb100Yr −−=

where, b is the slope of the yield salinity curve, ECe is the electrical

conductivity of the soil extract at root depth, and a is the salinity threshold

level at which crop yields begins to be effected.

Figure 2.1 Relationship between relative plant yield and soil root zone salinity (Mass and Hoffman, 1977).

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Table 2.1 Salt tolerance levels of grains (ANZECC AND ARMCANZ, 2000).

Crops Salinity threshold, a Slope, b

Rice 3 12.2

Soybean 5 20

Maize 1.7 12

Sunflower 5.5 25

Fababean 1.55 9.6

Wheat 6 7.1

Barley 8 5

Lucerne 2.5 4

Annual pasture 2 12

The thresholds and slope parameters presented by (Maas and Grattan, 1999)

are used in this study to reflect the responsiveness of the relevant crops to

salinity stressing (Table 2.1). In this table, the response of different crops to

soil salinity varies greatly. The most salinity sensitive crop in the study area

is fababean production, which is consistent with information collected from

area producers who referred to fababean as being the “indicator crop” for

soil salinity.

2.4.3 Understanding the impacts of irrigation water salinity

Sahoo et al. (2006) developed a linear programming and fuzzy optimisation

models for planning and management of available land-water-crop system

of Mahandi-Kathajodi delta in eastern India. The models were used to

optimise the economic return, production and labour utilisation, and to

search the related cropping pattern constraints. The study shows that the

linear programming based management models the capability for optimal

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37

land-water-crop system planning in case of single criteria decision systems,

while the fuzzy rule based management models can still be used to deal with

multiple criteria management decisions systems.

Khare et al. (2006) developed a simple economic-engineering optimisation

model to explore the possibilities of conjunctive use of surface and

groundwater using linear programming with various hydrological and

management constraints, and to arrive at an optimal cropping pattern for

optimal use of water resources for maximisation of net benefit. It was

indicated that conjunctive use options are feasible and can be easily

implemented in the area, which would enhance the overall benefits from

cropping activities.

Yadav (2007) conducted a field study on a loam-sand saline soil during

1999-2001. This involved assessment of effects of conjunctive use of saline

water with good quality water on five fodder crop rotations: oat-sorghum,

rye grass-sorghum, Egyptian clover-sorghum, Persian clover-sorghum and

Indian clover-sorghum and certain soil properties associated with it. Rye

grass, oat, sorghum and Persian clover were comparatively more tolerant to

saline conditions the Egyptian/Indian clover. The slight adverse effect on

infiltration rate and water dispersible clay with continuous use of increasing

quantities of marginal quality water warrants for continuous monitoring of

these parameters. However, such adverse impacts on production and soil

health could be minimised by using saline and good water in cyclic mode of

conjunctive use.

Kaur (2007) demonstrated the application of a decision-support system for

recommending best conjunctive water use plans for a, rice-wheat growing,

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salt effected farmer’s field in Gurgaon district of Haryan (India).Cyclic

application of canal water (CW) and tube well (TW) and blending of 50%

CW with 50% TW emerged as the most suitable conjunctive water use

strategies for growing rice crop on the test salt-affected farm.

2.4.4 Lesson learned

The yield reduction function as affect by the average root zone salinity of

(Mass and Hoffman, 1977) is useful to include the role of crop salinity

tolerance constraints to determine promising options for conjunctive water

management for irrigation purposes which would result in maximum

economic return while meeting soil salinity and irrigation efficiency

constraints.

2.5 Summary

Based on the literature reviewed regarding: (i) the practices, problems and

prospects of conjunctive water management, (ii) hydrologic-economic

modeling of conjunctive water management, and (iii) linkages between

irrigation water and soil salinisation at both the farm and irrigation system

levels in various irrigated agricultural areas around the world, the key

messages include, but may not be limited to:

o Primarily, conjunctive water management should occur at farm

levels where the unique set of conditions is well understood and

where interested water users can participate and remain informed,

o Monitoring the status of underlying aquifer at both the farm and

irrigation system levels can help validate the conjunctive water

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management practices and policies that are being implemented at

these two levels, and

o There is a need for analytical tools to: (i) quantify the impacts of

conjunctive water management at both the farm and irrigation

system levels, (ii) identify the consequences, particularly

pertaining to the hydrologic-economic aspects, of the specific

practices and policies that are proposed (or being implemented),

and (iii) compare these to the consequences of a future in which

there is no conjunctive water management.

o The yield reduction function as affected by the average root zone

salinity (Mass and Hoffman, 1977) is useful to include as a

constraint while determine options for conjunctive water

management at the farm and irrigation system levels.

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CHAPTER THREE

3 Methodology

This chapter introduces the standard version of SWAGMAN Farm model,

which has been written in GAMS and utilizes Mixed Integer Non Linear

Programming solvers such as DICOPT (Discrete and Continuous

OPTimser), to find optimum cropping patterns for given soils, climatic,

irrigation and hydrological conditions. This study extends previous work of

SWAGMAN series models, and develops a customised version of the

SWAGMAN Farm model, which integrates the Mass and Hoffmann

equation in the standard SWAGMAN version and includes the modeling

constraints on area, water allocation, root zone, watertable and net recharge.

3.1 SWAGMAN Farm model

Modeling dynamic salt-water interactions at farm level is a complex task

due to conceptual and analytical issues as well as the lack of reliable and

accurate scientific data required to calibrate the model. Over the past

decades, new software tools have been developed to help promote rational

land and water management options and provide a means to monitor change

in water use efficiency and enhance environmental quality by maintaining

salt and groundwater at natural levels. One of the innovative tools is a state

of the art farm level hydrological economic model called SWAGMAN

Farm-Salt Water And Groundwater MANagement.

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SWAGMAN Farm can capture economic and environmental tradeoffs in

adopting different land and water management options and help to decide

sustainable irrigation intensities. Regional groundwater investigations,

surface-groundwater interaction models of the irrigation regions and the

SWAGMAN Farm model, developed by CSIRO Land and Water (Khan et

al., 2008), are strategic developments in natural resource management which

are serving as the backbone for strategies such as improving water use

efficiency, reducing net recharge to groundwater and monitoring changes in

environmental conditions on a spatial basis.

Some leading irrigation areas in Australia have structured their farm

production and environmental management plan around on-farm net

recharge management using SWAGMAN Farm. The model accounts for

spatial dynamics in groundwater management zones, to help balance water

and salt loadings closer to the natural equilibria, while enhancing farm

profits. Farmers gain through sustained profits; environment and third

parties gain through better environmental quality and averted damages to the

natural systems and built infrastructure.

SWAGMAN Farm can be applied at the farm level, or alternatively

upscaled to system level, to calibrate salt and water balance under

alternative land and water management systems. SWAGMAN Farm is

lumped water and salt balance model which integrates agronomic, climatic,

irrigation, hydrogeological and economic aspects of irrigated agriculture

under shallow watertable conditions at a farm scale. The model has a PC

based and web based user-interface to help input data and visualise results.

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This model has been used to develop management options such as the net

recharge management to control shallow watertable condition which focuses

on managing the net recharge beneath the root zone in relation to the

vertical and lateral regional groundwater flow. In SWAGMAN Farm model,

the lumped estimates of the water and salt balance components for the

cropping and fallow periods are computed for a range of irrigated crops such

as rice, soybean, maize, sunflower, fababean, canola, wheat, barley, hay

lucerne, grazed lucerne, annual pasture, perennial pasture as well as dryland

wheat and uncropped areas, for different irrigation, soil, climatic and

hydrogeological conditions. The water and salt balance computations for

each of the crops are derived using the results of detailed monitoring by a

number of researcher (Humphreys et al., 2006). The total gross margin for a

given farm area in a subdivision is optimised by using the SWAGMAN

Farm model.

The SWAGMAN Farm model has been written in GAMS -General

Algebraic Modeling Systems (GAMS Corporation, 1999) and utilizes

Mixed Integer Non Linear Programming solvers such as DICOPT (DIscrete

and Continuous OPTimser) to find optimum cropping patterns for given

soil, climatic, irrigation and hydrogeological conditions. The convergence

and appropriateness of optimisation routines is checked using the sensitivity

analysis techniques for a range of shallow watertable situations.

This study uses a customised version of the SWAGMAN Farm model,

which integrates the Mass and Hoffmann Model into the standard

SWAGMAN Farm version (Khan et al., 2008). This is the key conceptual

contribution of this study and an advance into the existing SWAGMAN

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43

Farm model. It involved mixed integer programming to account for

associated with non-linearitreis of the Mass and Hoffmann equation. This

advance enables a more scientific and accurate assessment of the impact of

salinity on crop yield via-a-vis land and water management strategies to

enhance productivity and environmental sustainability.

3.2 Modeling objective function

The objective function of the model is to maximise total gross margin of the

farm using conjunctive water management practices while meeting

environmental requirements:

( )( )

∑⎥⎥⎥

⎢⎢⎢

⎭⎬⎫

⎩⎨⎧ +

=s,c

S,C

S,C

C

s,c

GWPRICE*GWIRRNSWPRICE*SWIRRN

GMLW

XTGM

(1)

Note: In this model, pumping costs is not included.

Where,

TGM Total gross margin ($)

C Landuses considered in a farm (Table 3.1)

S Soil types considered in a farm (Table 3.2)

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

GMLWC Gross margin of a landuse C either given or calculated

($/ha)

In case of conjunctive use of surface water and

groundwater, this parameter is calculated using yield

reduction function of Mass and Hoffman (1977), as given

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below:

GMLWC = PRICEC * YACTUALC – VCOSTSC

Where,

PRICEC Crop price ($/t)

YIELDC Crop yield when root zone salinity is

below crop salinity threshold level (t/ha)

VCOSTSC Variable costs for a crop C ($/ha)

YACTUALC Crop yield as affected by the changes in

root zone salinity (t/ha)

( ){ }100/b*aNSALT1*YIELDYACTUAL CC −−=

Where,

NSALT New average root zone salinity (dS/m)

b Slope of the yield salinity curve for a crop

C

a Average root zone salinity threshold level

of a crop C (dS/m)

SWIRRNC,S Irrigation with surface water of a landuse C on soil type S

(ML/ha)

SWPRICE Price of surface water ($/ML)

GWIRRNC,S Irrigation with groundwater pumped from shallow

watertable aquifer of a landuse C on soil type S (ML/ha)

GWPRICE Price of groundwater ($/ML)

The objective function is solved using an integer programming solver,

GAMS-OSL (Brooke et al., 1988), subject to the following constraints:

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o Area of a landuse

o Water allocation

o Root zone salinity

o Pumping from shallow watertable aquifer

o Net recharge

Table 3.1 Landuses considered in the model for a farm. (Madden and Prathapar, 1999; Jehangir and Khan, 2003)

For Australian Conditions For Pakistani Conditions Model code Description Model code Description RICE Rice RICE Rice MAIZE Maize MAIZE Maize FABABEAN Fababean SUGARCANE Sugarcane WHEAT Wheat WHEAT Wheat DWHEAT Dryland Wheat COTTON Cotton LUCERNE Lucerne KFODDER Kharif Fodder PPASTURE Perennial Pasture RFODDER Rabi Fodder FALLOW Fallow FALLOW Fallow SOYBEAN Soybeans SUNFLOWER Sunflower CANOLA Canola BARLEY Barley HLUCERNE Lucerne for Hay APASTURE Annual Pasture DAPASTURE Dryland Annual

Pasture

Table 3.2 Soil types considered in the model for a farm. (Madden and Prathapar, 1999; Jehangir and Khan, 2003)

For Australian Conditions For Pakistani Conditions

Model code Description Model code

Description

SMC Self Mulching Clay SCY Silt, Silt Loam, Silty Clay and Silty Clay

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For Australian Conditions For Pakistani Conditions

Model code Description Model code

Description

Loam NSMC Non Self Mulching

Clay CLM Clay and Clay Loam

TRBE Transitional Red Brown Earth

SLM Silt Loam

RBE Red Brown Earth LM Loam and Loamy Sand

SANDS Other Sandier Soils SDLM Fine Sandy Loam, Sandy Loam, Sandy Clay and Loam

3.3 Modeling constraints

3.3.1 Constraints on area of a landuse

The following constraints, on area of a landuse, are considered:

o Total area of all landuses (C) on all soil types (S) must match the

total area of the farm (AREA).

o Landuses on a soil type cannot exceed total area of the soil type.

o Area of a landuse (XCC) cannot exceed maximum allowable area

(PMXA). This constraint on maximum allowable area (PMXA) is

set to reflect real world considerations, such as enterprise

diversification, crop rotations, market demand and restrictions set

by the natural resource managers.

o Similarly, area of a landuse (XCC) must be greater than minimum

required area (PMNA). This constraint on minimum required area

(PMNA) is used to force landuses into the solution set so that

simulation can be performed.

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o RICE is not to be grown on sandier soils (SANDS and RBE for

Australian conditions, and LM and SDLM for Pakistani

conditions).

Area of a landuse (XCC) in the optimal solution cannot be less than a

minimum required area (PMNA). The following two auxiliary binary

functions ensure that any landuse area in the solution set is viable (defined

as more than 20 ha for Australian conditions and 0.25 ha for Pakistani

conditions):

CC Y*AREA20XC ≤+− (2)

( )CC Y1*AREAXC −≤ (3)

Where,

XCC Area of a landuse (ha)

AREA Area of the farm (ha)

YC Binary variable (0,1)

As an illustration of how the above two equations work, suppose XCC for a

landuse enters the solution vector. XCC is constrained to be positive and

since YC can take on values of either zero or one, Equation 3 above has no

choice but to put YC equal to zero. Then, if YC is zero, Equation 2 will have

no choice other than to make XCC at least equal to 20. On the other hand, if

XCC is not in the solution vector, the above two equations are automatically

satisfied, and the rest of the solution proceeds as normal.

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3.3.2 Constraints on water allocation

The irrigation applied to crops in a given year cannot be more than the water

allocation that is assigned to a farm:

∑=S,C

S,CS,C IRRN*XWALL

(4)

Where,

WALL Water allocation for a farm (ML)

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

IRRNC,S Total irrigation water (ML/ha)

In case of surface water use only, IRRNC,S = SWIRRNC,S

In case of conjunctive use of surface water and

groundwater,

IRRNC,S = SWIRRNC,S + GWIRRNC,S

3.3.3 Constraints on root zone salinity

The model allows the user to specify the maximum allowable annual rise in

root zone salinity (ASRISE) because of annual change in root zone salinity

(DELSALT) under conjunctive water management practices while meeting

environmental requirements:

ASRISEDELSALT ≤

Where,

DELSALT Change in root zone salinity (dS/m)

ASRISE Maximum allowable annual rise in root zone salinity

(dS/m)

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Change in root zone salinity

The annual change in root zone salinity is estimated as under:

( )( ) 640/SOILWATER

*10000*AREA*DWT/1000*TSIN

DELSALT⎟⎟⎟

⎜⎜⎜

⎛=

(5)

Where,

DELSALT Change in root zone salinity (dS/m)

TSIN Net salt movement into the root zone (t)

DWT Depth to the watertable on a farm (m)

AREA Area of the farm (ha)

SOILWATER Average volumetric soil water content of the farm (-)

Net salt movement into the root zone

The annual net salt movement into the root zone is estimated as under:

( )( ) ⎥

⎤⎢⎣

⎡++

−+++=

SDSALT2DDSALT1DDSALTSRAINSCUFLOWCSALTSIRRN

TSIN

(6)

Where,

TSIN Net salt movement into the root zone (t)

SIRRN Salt brought into root zone by irrigation water (t)

CSALT Salt brought into root zone during cropping (t)

SCUFLOW Salt brought into root zone by capillary upflow during

fallow (t)

SRAIN Salt brought onto the farm by rain water (t)

DDSALT1 Salt removed with leaching water during cropping (t)

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50

DDSALT2 Salt removed with leaching water during fallow (t)

SDSALT Salt removed by surface drainage during cropping (t)

SIRRN -salt brought into root zone by irrigation water, is estimated as

under:

( )( )∑

⎭⎬⎫

⎩⎨⎧ +

=S,C S,C

S,CS,C GWIRRN*GWIRRN

SWIRRN*SWIRRNX*SFACTSIRRN

(7)

Where,

SIRRN Salt brought into root zone by irrigation water (t)

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from dS/m

to t/ML

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

SWIRRNC,S Irrigation with surface water of a landuse C on soil type S

(ML/ha)

SWIRRN Salt concentration of surface water (dS/m)

GWIRRNC,S Irrigation with groundwater pumped from shallow

watertable aquifer of a landuse C on soil type S (ML/ha)

GWIRRN Salt concentration of groundwater pumped from shallow

watertable aquifer (dS/m)

CSALT -salt brought into root zone during cropping, is estimated as under:

( )∑ −=S,C

S.CS,CS,C DIFR1*CGWATER*CUCB*X*SFACTCSALT (8)

Where,

CSALT Salt brought into root zone during cropping (t)

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51

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from dS/m to

t/ML

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

CUCBC,S Capillary up`flow for a landuse C on soil type S during cropping

(ML/ha)

This parameter is estimated as under:

SCS,C CFLOW*GPDCUCB =

Where,

GPD Growing period for each crop (d)

CFLOWS Capillary upflow corresponding to soil

type S and depth to the watertable on a

farm during cropping (ML/ha/d)

CGWATER Salt concentration of capillary upflow from shallow groundwater

aquifer at the farm (dS/m)

DIFRC,S Factor which allows for salt leaching during cropping due to

excess irrigation water and rain water for a landuse C on soil type

S.

If CUBCC,S ≤ 0, then DIFRC,S = 0

If CUBCC,S > 0, then

( )( ) S,CS,CS,CS,CS,C CUCB/WAVAIL*LFRACWEXCESSDIFR −=

If DIFRC,S ≤ 0, DIFRC,S = 0, and if DIFRC,S ≥ 1, DIFRC,S = 1

Where,

WEXCESSC,S Water in excess of actual

evapotranspiration (ML/ha)

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52

LFRACC,S Leaching fraction for a landuse C on

soil type S during cropping (-)

WAVAILC,S Total water available for a landuse C on

soil type S during cropping (ML/ha)

Note: In this model, groundwater pumping is considered from shallow

watertable aquifer; therefore, GWIRRN is set equal to CGWATER.

SCUFLOW -salt brought into root zone by capillary upflow during fallow,

is estimated as under:

∑=S,C

S,CS,C CGWATER*BUCB*X*SFACTSCUFLOW

(9)

Where,

SCUFLOW Salt brought into root zone by capillary upflow during

fallow (t)

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from dS/m

to t/ML

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

BUCBC,S Capillary upflow for a landuse C on soil type S during

fallow (ML/ha)

This parameter is estimated as under:

SCS,C BFLOW*BPERIODBUCB =

Where,

BPERIODC Fallow period after each crop (d)

BFLOWS Capillary upflow corresponding to soil

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53

type S and depth to the watertable on a

farm during fallow (ML/ha/d)

CGWATER Salt concentration of capillary upflow from shallow

groundwater aquifer at the farm (dS/m)

SRAIN -salt brought onto the farm by rain water, is estimated as under:

( )SFACT*CRAIN*AREA*RAINSRAIN = (10)

Where,

SRAIN Salt brought onto the farm by rain water (t)

RAIN Annual amount of rain water (ML)

AREA Area of the farm (ha)

CRAIN Concentration of rain water (dS/m)

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from dS/m

to t/ML

DDSALT1 and DDSALT2 -salt removed with leaching water during

cropping and fallow, respectively, are estimated as under:

∑=S,C

S,CS,CS,C CDWATER*VOLLF*X*SFACT1DDSALT

∑=S,C

S,CS,CS,C CDWATER*BRAIN*X*SFACT2DDSALT

(11)

Where,

DDSALT1 Salt removed with leaching water during cropping (t)

DDSALT2 Salt removed with leaching water during fallow (t)

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from dS/m

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54

to t/ML

VOLLFC,S Water available for leaching of salt for a landuse C on soil

type S during cropping (ML/ha)

This parameter is estimated as under:

S,CS,CS,C AVAILLF*WAVAILVOLLF =

Where,

WAVAILC,S Total water available for a landuse C on

soil type S during cropping (ML/ha)

AVAILLFC,S Excess water fraction (water in excess

of actual evapotranspiration divided by

total water available for a landuse C on

soil type S during cropping (-)

BRAINC,S Rainfall for a landuse C on soil type S during fallow

(ML/ha)

CDWATERC,S Salt concentration of leaching water to shallow

groundwater aquifer for a landuse C on soil type S (dS/m)

SDSALT -salt removed by surface drainage during cropping, are estimated

as under:

∑ ⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛=

S,C S,CS,C

S,CS,C

DSALINITY*PERDRAIN*IRRN*X

*SFACTSDSALT (12)

Where,

SDSALT Salt removed by surface drainage during cropping (t)

SFACT 0.64 – a factor for converting salt concentration from

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55

dS/m to t/ML

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

IRRNC,S Total irrigation water (ML/ha)

PERDRAINC,S Fraction of total irrigation water that is surface drained for

a landuse C on soil type S during cropping (-)

DSALINITYC,S Salt concentration of surface drainage for a landuse C on

soil type S during cropping (dS/m)

Note: If a farm has a recycling system, SDSALT can be set as zero.

Salinity of leaching water

The salt concentration of leaching water to shallow groundwater aquifer is

estimated under the following conditions:

If water in excess of actual evapotranspiration (WEXCESS) is greater than

or equal to leaching fraction for a landuse C on soil type S during cropping

(LFRAC), then

S,CS,CS,C LFRAC/CWAVAILCDWATER = (13a)

Where,

CDWATERC,S Salt concentration of leaching water to shallow

groundwater aquifer for a landuse C on soil type S during

cropping (dS/m)

CWAVAILC,S Salt concentration of total water available for a landuse C

on soil type S during cropping (dS/m)

LFRACC,S Leaching fraction for a landuse C on soil type S during

cropping (-)

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56

If water in excess of actual evapotranspiration is less than leaching fraction

for a landuse C on soil type S during cropping, then the salinity of leaching

water is adjusted in proportion to leaching fraction and amount of total

water available for a landuse C on soil type S. This condition allows salt

build up in the root zone due to inadequate amount of leaching water; and

the resulting equation is given as under:

S,CS,CS,C AVAILLF*CWAVAILCDWATER = (13b)

Where,

CDWATERC,S Salt concentration of leaching water to shallow

groundwater aquifer for a landuse C on soil type S during

cropping (dS/m)

CWAVAILC,S Salt concentration of total water available for a landuse C

on soil type S during cropping (dS/m)

AVAILLFC,S Excess water fraction (water in excess of actual

evapotranspiration divided by total water available for a

landuse C on soil type S during cropping (-)

3.3.4 Constraints on pumping from shallow watertable aquifer

Pumping from shallow watertable aquifer is an option in the model;

however, the model can be run in two modes: pumping or no pumping.

Using pumping constraints, the model calculates the new depth to

watertable. However, in case of no pumping, the model calculates the

volume of groundwater that is required to be pumped to maintain initial

depth to watertable (i.e., to obtain zero net recharge).

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57

Under both the modelling mode: pumping or no pumping, the new depth to

water is estimated as under:

WTDWTNDWT ∆−= (14)

Where,

NDWT New depth to watertable (m)

DWT Initial depth to watertable (m)

∆WT Change in depth to watertable (m)

This parameter is estimated as under:

( )( )( ) 10/

AREA*SOILWATERTHETAS/PUMPNRECH

WT⎭⎬⎫

⎩⎨⎧

+−−

=∆

Where,

NRECH Net recharge at the farm (ML)

PUMP In pumping mode, it represents the volume of

pumped groundwater from shallow watertable

aquifer (ML), and

In no pumping mode, it represents the volume

of groundwater that is required to be pumped

(ML) to maintain initial depth to watertable

(i.e., to obtain zero net recharge)

THETAS Weighted average of saturated volumetric soil

water content of the farm (-)

SOILWATER Average volumetric soil water content of the

farm (-)

AREA Total area of the farm (ha)

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58

Net recharge at the farm

The amount of net recharge to shallow groundwater aquifer is estimated as

under:

( )AREA*LEAKAGERECHBRECHGNRECH −+= (15)

Where,

NRECH Net recharge at the farm (ML)

RECHG Recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during cropping

(ML)

RECHB Recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during fallow

(ML)

LEAKAGE Amount of groundwater moved to deeper aquifer layers

(ML/ha)

AREA Total area of the farm (ha)

RECHG – recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during cropping is

estimated as under:

∑=S,C

S,CS,C WEXCESS*XRECHG

if WEXCESS ≥ 0 (16a)

∑=S,C

S,CS,C CUCB*XRECHG

if WEXCESS < 0 (16b)

Where,

RECHG Recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during cropping

(ML)

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

CUCBC,S Capillary upflow for a landuse C on soil type S during

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59

cropping (ML/ha)

WEXCESSC,S Water in excess of actual evapotranspiration (ML/ha)

RECHB – recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during fallow is

estimated as under:

∑ −=S,C

2RECHF1RECHFRECHB

(17)

Where,

RECHB Recharge under a landuse C on soil type S during fallow

(ML)

RECHF1 Rain water during fallow (ML)

This parameter is estimated as under:

( )∑=S,C

S,C BFRAIN*BRAIN*X1RECHF

Where,

RECHF1 Rain water during fallow (ML)

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

BRAIN Rain water at the farm during fallow

(ML/ha)

BFRAIN 0.4 – a factor for adjusting rain water at

the farm during fallow (-)

RECHF2 Capillary upflow during fallow (ML)

This parameter is estimated as under:

∑=S,C

S,CS,C BUCB*X2RECHF

Where,

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RECHF2 Capillary upflow during fallow (ML)

XC,S Area of a landuse C on soil type S (ha)

BUCBC,S Capillary upflow for a landuse C on soil

type S during fallow (ML/ha)

3.3.5 Constraints on net recharge

The amount of net recharge to shallow groundwater aquifer is constrained

by the maximum allowable annual change in depth to watertable, which is

set by the user:

ADWTWT ≤∆

Where,

∆WT Change in depth to watertable (m)

ADWT Maximum allowable annual rise in depth to watertable (m)

3.4 Summary

This study extends previous work of SWAGMAN series models, and

develops a customised version of the SWAGMAN Farm model, which

integrates the Mass and Hoffmann equation in the standard SWAGMAN

version and includes the modeling constraints on area of a landuse, water

allocation, root zone salinity, watertable changes, pumping from shallow

watertable aquifer, and net recharge. This customised version of the

SWAGMAN Farm model enables a more scientific and accurate assessment

of the impact of salinity on crop yield via-a-vis land and water management

strategies to enhance productivity and environmental sustainability.

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It can be used to: (i) provide farmers with a tool to simulate and assess

various farm cropping scenarios in terms of economic return and

environmental effects, (ii) determine environmentally optimal irrigation

intensity and encourage water use efficiency through water and salinity

auditing in an integrated manner, and (iii) assist irrigation authorities (public

and private) for developing policies to achieve improved economic and

natural resource sustainability.

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CHAPTER FOUR

4 Conjunctive Water Management at the Farm Level: Case

Studies in Australia

This chapter captures the heterogeneity in the basic resource characteristics

across farms, and modeling its impact on crop mix, yield, and gross returns

from conjunctive water management at farm level for the selected irrigated

agricultural areas from Australia. Depending upon the quality and aquifer

yields, the decision of installing deeper or shallower groundwater bore is

made. For instance, if deep aquifers have better quality (less saline) water

than the shallow aquifers and are high yielding, a deep bore becomes an

attractive option for farmers who want to supplement their existing

irrigation allocation, even though the capital cost is high. The chapter

presents the comparison of crop gross margins at the same farm under

various simulation scenarios to capture the impact of change in water

allocation and related salinity levels on the gross margin.

4.1 Description of the study area

The Coleambally Irrigation area was selected for this research study in

Australia (Figure 4.1). This irrigation area is located in western New South

Wales. It covers about 80,000 ha of irrigated land, practicing conjunctive

use of surface and groundwater for broadacre agriculture. Rice is the

principal crop. Other crops include winter cereals, wheat, maize, soybean,

hay lucerne, canola and barley etc. Irrigation farms within this irrigation

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63

area are not identical. They vary in basic resource characteristics such as

size of landholding, mix of soil types, depth to watertable (that is current

impact of salinity and waterlogging), rice quota held (related to property

size and soil type). There will also be variation between farms based on

individual landholder preferences, farming technologies and other factors.

The focus, in these sections, is therefore on capturing the heterogeneity in

the basic resource characteristics across farms, and modeling its impact on

crop mix, yield, and gross returns. In order to capture the impacts of

variation in resource characteristics a pragmatic trade-off was made between

the complexity and difficulty in assembling information across more than

300 farm units in the Coleambally Irrigation area and adequately estimating

the scale impacts on productivity and gross margin.

Figure 4.1 The Coleambally Irrigation Area.

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64

In Coleambally Irrigation Area, total average rainfall lies between 400 – 450

mm/year, which can generally be described as a semi-arid climate. Total

rainfall for 2006/07 was 239.5 mm. This figure is 156.9 mm or 40 percent

less than the long term average of 396.4 mm. As displayed in Figure 4.2, in

9 out of 12 months the rainfall was lower than the long term average. Only

in the months of July 2006, February and April 2007 the monthly rainfall

was greater than the long term average. Monthly evapotranspiration figures

for 2006/07 are represented in Figure 4.3. Based on data from CSIRO

Griffith, the total evapotranspiration of 2182 mm is 341mm higher or 18.5

percent higher than the long term average of 1841 mm. Almost every month

of the year, the monthly evapotranspiration exceeded the long term average.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Jul-0

6

Aug

-06

Sep-

06

Oct

-06

Nov-

06

Dec-

06

Jan-

07

Feb-

07

Mar

-07

Apr

-07

May

-07

Jun-

07

Rain

fall

(mm

)

2006/07 rainfall Long Term Average

Figure 4.2 Monthly rainfall figures during 2006-07 (AER 2007).

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65

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Jul-0

5

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb-

06

Mar

-06

Apr

-06

May

-06

Jun-

06

Evap

otra

nspi

ratio

n (m

m)

2006/07 Long-term average

Figure 4.3 Monthly evapotranspiration figures during 2006-07 (AER 2007).

Table 4.1 and Table 4.2 outline the different types of land uses and their

respective areas in the CIA over the period of the research.

Table 4.1 Areas (ha) of each crop type irrigated in CIA, and the Kerarbury Channel and Outfall District, and each crop’s relative percentage to total irrigated area 2004 (Coleambally Irrigation Co-Operative Limited 2005).

Crop CIA Proportion CIA Proportion Crop (ha) of CIA (ML) of Delivery Water Crop Area (%) Use (%) (ML) Wheat 18451 29.60% 44519 19.43% 2.2 Rice 6985 11.88% 104195 45.46% 12.9 Pasture 8871 18.77% 25046 11.16% 2.0 Barley 5281 8.51% 6916 2.99% 1.2 Oats 2638 4.63% 3899 1.69% 1.2 Canola 2441 3.91% 2929 1.31% 1.1 Triticale 1992 2.98% 3338 1.44% 1.6 Corn 1965 5.36% 13009 7.43% 4.7 Fallow 1891 2.82% 1957 0.85% 1.0 Summer pasture 1566 2.29% 3260 1.44% 2.1 Soybean 1285 2.18% 5357 2.32% 3.6 Sorghum 988 1.46% 1516 0.67% 1.5 Winter pasture 592 1.16% 1331 0.59% 1.7 Lucerne 557 0.90% 1430 0.62% 2.3 Sunflower 295 0.68% 970 0.42% 2.1 Millet 272 0.58% 333 0.14% 0.8

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66

Maize 153 0.22% 1421 0.61% 9.3 Forest 137 0.20% 490 0.21% 3.6 Fababeans 98 0.40% 200 0.19% 1.6 Grapes 78 0.17% 238 0.12% 2.3 Lupins 64 0.09% 0 0.00% 0.0 Other 61 0.09% 0 0.00% 0.0 Prunes 58 0.20% 66 0.03% 0.5 Olives 49 0.07% 83 0.04% 1.7 Stock - dams 39 0.09% 186 0.48% 18.9 Potatoes 28 0.04% 233 0.10% 8.2 Peas 25 0.04% 0 0.00% 0.0 Azuki beans 22 0.03% 40 0.02% 1.8 Fodder 12 0.16% 0 0.00% 0.0 Onions 11 0.02% 34 0.01% 3.1 Pumpkins 11 0.02% 90 0.04% 8.5 Clover 7 0.26% 15 0.01% 0.1 Green manure 3 0.00% 29 0.01% 8.5 Tomatoes 3 0.17% 0 0.18% 3.8 Total 56934 100.00% 223129 100.00% 3.92

Table 4.2 Areas (ha) of each crop type irrigated in CIA, and the Kerarbury Channel and Outfall District, and each crop’s relative percentage to total irrigated area 2005 (Coleambally Irrigation Co-Operative Limited 2006).

Crop CIA Proportion CIA Proportion Crop (ha) of CIA (ML) of Delivery Water Crop Area (%) Use (%) (ML) Rice 16,831 25.54% 215853 62.80% 12.2 Pasture 13,403 21.88% 28192 8.69% 2.0 Wheat 12,850 19.28% 27629 8.36% 2.2 Barley 6,864 10.25% 7081 2.20% 1.1 Corn/Maize 2,026 4.68% 16460 6.96% 7.4 Oats 2,298 3.30% 2688 0.77% 1.2 Soybeans 1,946 2.98% 9453 2.91% 4.8 Canola 1,482 2.48% 1303 0.89% 1.8 Triticale 1,350 1.91% 1638 0.47% 1.2 Sorghum 1,003 1.47% 2940 0.88% 3.0 Miscellaneous 705 1.14% 1236 0.35% 1.5 Fababeans 465 0.94% 522 0.33% 1.8 Other 332 0.81% 200 0.06% 0.3 Lucerne 459 0.75% 2135 0.82% 5.4 Fallow 474 0.67% 655 0.19% 1.4 Sunflower 381 0.54% 1363 0.39% 3.6 Grapes 83 0.23% 71 0.05% 1.1 Winter pasture 40 0.20% 96 0.11% 2.7 Azuki beans 20 0.17% 107 0.03% 0.9 Prunes 15 0.16% 83 0.02% 0.7

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Forest 114 0.16% 497 0.14% 4.4 Stock - dams 35 0.15% 323 1.35% 44.8 Peas 96 0.14% 10 0.00% 0.1 Potatoes 54 0.08% 312 0.09% 5.8 Olives 25 0.04% 43 0.01% 1.7 Green manure 15 0.02% 0 0.00% 0.0 Onions 13 0.02% 31 0.01% 2.4 Vegetables 5 0.01% 0 0.00% 0.0 Garlic 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.0 Not defined 0 0.00% 1192 0.96% 0.0 Citrus 1 0.00% 23 0.01% 0.0 Clover 45 0.00% 143 0.04% 0.0 Millet 148 0.00% 112 0.03% 0.0 Summer pasture 60 0.00% 316 0.09% 0.0 Total 63,638 100% 322703 100% 5.07

Over the research period wheat was the most dominant land use with more

than 20287 ha sown each year (30 percent and 19 percent of the total

irrigated landscape in years 2005 and 2006 respectively). In the 2004/2005

irrigation season, rice was the dominant summer crop with a total area of

8142 ha. Rice grown during the 2005/2006 irrigation season increased to

18025 ha. For the entire growing area, wheat accounted for 20287 ha during

2004/2005 and 13610 ha during 2005/2006. For both irrigation seasons, rice

remained the main water user, with total deliveries equaling 45.46% and

62.80% in the 2004/2005 and 2005/2006 seasons respectively.

4.2 Case studies in conjunctive water management

Earlier studies (Khan et al., 2007) show that groundwater characteristics

vary across the five zones shown in (Figure 4.4). Therefore, this study

selected one representative farm from each zone. Farm 1 was selected from

zone 1. It is likely that zones 2 and 3 will be combined in the initial

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68

assessment; therefore from these two zones a single Farm 6 was selected.

Farm 9 and farm 11 were selected from for zone 4 and 5 respectively.

To evaluate the impacts of allowable rise in salt concentration, leakage rate,

groundwater depth and salinity concentration in groundwater comparison

were made at each farm level for (a) surface water only, (b) groundwater

only and (c) conjunctive use of surface and groundwater (Appendix I). For

this purpose only one parameter was allowed to change for various model

runs for each system of water management. For each case the base model

was run followed by ten runs. For each run on the same farm the level of

groundwater was allowed to vary which has impact on composite salinity

level and therefore the gross margin. The total gross margin per hectare was

calculated for the base run and the ten runs.

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69

Figure 4.4 CIA groundwater management zones (Khan et al., 2008).

Comparison was made for gross margin at the same farm under various runs

to capture the impact of change in water allocation and related salinity level

on the gross margin. The same method was used for comparisons across the

farms. Table 4.3 gives a comparative view of the basic characteristics and

parameters across the farms modeled. The selected farm differ in size but

per hectare water allocation is the same all other parameter the same except

the initial depth of watertable and concentration of salinity in the

groundwater. This variation does allow us to evaluate the impact of changes

in watertable and salinity on crop yield, crop choices and overall gross

margin.

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Table 4.3 A comparative overview of the modelled farms.

Description Farm 1 Farm 6 Farm 9 Farm 11

Rainfall (mm) 346 346 346 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS/m) 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

Price of surface water ($/ML) 14.97 14.97 14.97 14.97

Price of ground water ($/ML) 40 40 40 40

Area of farm (ha) 267 225 221 339

Leakage (mm/year) 20 0.2 20 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.0 0.6 3.5 1.0

Initial average root zone salinity (dS/m) 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS/m) 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS/m) 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS/m) 2.8 4 1.3 2.2

Concentration of rain water (dS/m) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes yes yes yes

Pumping from shallow watertable aquifer yes yes yes yes

4.3 Modeling results and discussion

4.3.1 CIA Groundwater management zone 1

The modelling result for various water allocation levels for farm 1, located

in CIA groundwater management zone 1, are given in Figure 4.5. The

highest total gross margin is achieved for the base run in case of surface

water use only ($ 745/ha). The total gross margin for all other on farm 1 are

lower for lower water allocation level and reach lowest value ($ 227/ha)

when water allocation level is 10%. For groundwater use only per hectare

gross margin is $ 464 for full allocation level of 100% and it falls to $ 210

for 10% allocation level. For conjunctive use of surface and groundwater,

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71

the base run gives total gross margin of $ 604/ha. This value falls in

between the surface water only and groundwater only base runs. Likewise

total gross margin per hectare for each run in the case of conjunctive water

use are lower than the canal water use only but higher than groundwater use

only. This is an expected outcome as discuss earlier.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Total water allocation (ML)

Tota

l gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 4.5 Farm 1 - Total gross margin for various water allocation levels and water management systems

Overall results in figure above show that:

o Total gross margin increases as total water allocation increases

o The increase in total gross margin is higher at lower allocation

levels

o The increase in total gross margin is relatively lower at higher

allocation levels

o Surface water offers the highest gross margin followed by the

conjunctive use of surface and groundwater

o The groundwater only offers the lowest gross margin per ha.

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The analysis at farm 1 suggests that conjunctive use of surface water and

groundwater offers higher total gross margin than groundwater alone.

However, I cannot generalise this result based on analysis from only one

farm. Therefore the analysis is also done for farm 6.

4.3.2 CIA Groundwater management zone 2 & 3

The modelling result for various water allocation levels for farm 6, located

in CIA groundwater management zone 2 & 3, are given in Figure 4.6. Farm

6 differs from farm 1 in three key respects: area of the farm is lower;

leakage rate is far lower, initial depth watertable is lower; concentration of

salts in watertable is higher. A higher concentration and shallower

watertable means that yield should be lower and total gross margin may fall.

In terms of total gross margin surface water use only should have highest

gross margin than groundwater use only while conjunctive use should have

higher gross margin than groundwater use only. Likewise for lower water

allocation the total gross margin should be lower for lower water allocation

levels and the same should hold for each system of water management on

farm 6. My modelling result supports these expectations (Figure 4.6).

The result show that total gross margin are highest for the base case ($

716/ha). The total gross margin falls as surface water allocation level falls.

For groundwater use only the total gross margin per ha is highest for the

base case and it does not change until the allocation level falls to 50%

beyond that level the total gross margin per ha begins to fall and reaches

lowest amount $223 per ha for lowest allocation level of 10%. For

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conjunctive use only on farm 6 the base case run gives the highest gross

margin per ha of $519. For lower levels of total water allocation even with

conjunctive use the gross margins are lower than full allocation level. These

results are as expected by the theory therefore show that my model is robust.

The result for farm 6 shows that:

o total gross margin is highest for surface water use only and it

continues to rise for higher allocation level

o the total gross margin is lowest for groundwater use only and it

increases more slowly for higher allocation levels

o the total gross margin for conjunctive use of surface water falls in

middle but is higher for higher level of total water allocation.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Total water allocation (ML)

Tota

l gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 4.6 Farm 6 - Total gross margin for various water allocation levels and water management systems

In terms of comparisons across farm1 and farm 6 the results show that:

o total gross margin for surface water only are higher at farm 1 than

farm 6 and this also true for each of the model run on two farms.

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o for groundwater use only the total gross margin is high on farm

than farm 6 and same is true for each scenario

o for conjunctive use of surface and groundwater the total gross

margin is higher at farm 1 than farm 6 and this is also the case for

each model run.

The above result are quite likely because farm 1 has relatively deeper

watertable and lower groundwater salinity than farm 6, such that crop yield

and gross margin should be lower at farm 6. What is more important is that

this is true for all three water management system on two farms and each

scenario run across the farms. Again the soundness and consistency of the

model is confirmed from these farm level analyses. As noted earlier the

depth of watertable is greater on farm 9 than farm 6 but concentration of

salinity in the watertable is lower. This suggest that watertable level and

salinity environment are better in the root zone on farm 9 than farm 6 thus

farm 9 has better crop growing environment which means that it should

have higher gross margin per ha than farm 6.

4.3.3 CIA Groundwater management zone 4

The modelling result for various water allocation levels for farm 9, located

in CIA groundwater management zone 4, are given in Figure 4.7. The

analysis of total gross margin for farm 9 shows that per ha gross margin is

higher for surface water use only, for groundwater use only and for

conjunctive use of surface and groundwater this shows that the model can

successfully pick the difference in watertable and groundwater salinity and

shows its effect on total gross margin.

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The overall results in terms of total gross margin for the base case and

various model runs for each system of water management show the same

pattern on farm 9 as on farm 6 but have lower values. The full explanation

of these result is thus not required here. The result for farm 9 shows that:

o Total gross margin is highest for surface water use and it continues

to rise for higher allocation level

o The total gross margin is lowest for groundwater use only and it

also continues to rise for higher allocation levels

o the total gross margin for conjunctive use of surface water falls in

middle but is higher for higher level of total water allocation and

continues as well.

The continuous rise in total gross margin for higher water allocation level

means that when watertable is deeper and shallow groundwater salinity is

lower the total gross margin continues to rise with higher water allocation

levels. This means that when growing condition are more suitable the

availability of more water can generate higher gross margin through higher

yield and possibly through higher return crops.

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Total water allocation (ML)

Tota

l gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 4.7 Farm 9 - Total gross margin for various water allocation levels and water management systems.

4.3.4 CIA Groundwater management zone 5

The modelling result for various water allocation levels for farm 11, located

in CIA groundwater management zone 5, are given in Figure 4.8. As

mention earlier farm 11 has same level of initial watertable level depth as

farm 1. All other factors and parameters are the same; the only difference is

that the concentration of salinity and watertable is higher in farm 11 than

farm 6. This means that crop yield should be lower on farm 11 than farm 1

such that total gross margin per ha must be lower. The modelling result in

farm 11 supports this. This suggests that the model is able to pick the impact

of higher shallow groundwater salinity on yield and gross returns. The

modelling results in terms of gross margin are similar to the one on farm 1

and therefore there is no need to explain them in full here.

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Total water allocation (ML)

Tota

l gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 4.8 Farm 11 - Total gross margin for various water allocation levels and water management systems

The result shows that:

o groundwater use only has lowest gross margin per ha

o conjunctive use of surface and groundwater has highest gross

margin than groundwater only

o canal water use have the highest gross margin per ha, and

o gross margin per ha increases with increase in water allocation

level for all three water management systems.

The result suggest that conjunctive use of surface and groundwater offers

higher return per ha than groundwater alone, but higher groundwater

allocation are desirable only when surface water is available for conjunctive

use the overall total gross margin.

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4.4 Groundwater salinity impacts

Preliminary data analysis from the CIA show that in areas with shallow

watertable < 2m the salinity of groundwater should be < 5 dS/m (5000 EC).

These results are based on potential shallow groundwater pumping of 1

ML/ha /year, surface water irrigation salinity of 0.2 dS/m (2000 EC), target/

composite salinity for conjunctive use at 0.8 dS/m (8000 EC) and total

irrigation application of 8 ML/ha/year. However, if 0.5 dS/m (500 EC) is

taken as the combined salinity then groundwater up to 3.5 dS/m (3500 EC)

may only be used. I tested this finding further by using three composite

salinity levels which are 0.42 dS/m, 0.72 dS/m and 0.92 dS/m. In addition I

also assess the trends in watertable and salinity over time to evaluate

suitability of the current groundwater use for shallow groundwater pumping

and conjunctive use.

This hypothesis was tested using data for farm 1. For this purpose three

scenarios were estimated. In the first scenario (Table 4.4), groundwater EC

was 2.66 dS/m and surface water EC was 0.14 dS/m. The total water

allocation was 1400 ML. The composite EC was 0.42 dS/m. Various model

runs for this scenario were generated by adjusting proportion of canal water

and groundwater use such that the same target salinity level was achieved

and the combine water used from both sources were equal to total water

allocation 1400 ML. The scenario 2 (Table 4.5) differs from scenario 1 in

that the groundwater EC 5.3 dS/m and target salinity was 0.72 dS/m, other

thing being equal as in scenario 1. The scenario 3 (Table 4.6) has even

higher level of groundwater salinity and target EC level of 7.1 dS/m and

0.92 dS/m, with other things remaining the same. For each scenario, the

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mixing ratios of canal water : groundwater was changed from 1:8 to 8:1 to

help understand the impact of changes in conjunctive water quality on the

gross margin.

Table 4.4 Scenario 1 Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

8:1 0.14 2.66 1244 156 1400 0.42 655

7:1 0.14 2.38 1225 175 1400 0.42 653

6:1 0.14 2.10 1200 200 1400 0.42 651

5:1 0.14 1.82 1167 233 1400 0.42 648

4:1 0.14 1.54 1120 280 1400 0.42 644

3:1 0.14 1.26 1050 350 1400 0.42 637

2:1 0.14 0.98 933 467 1400 0.42 626

1:1 0.14 0.70 700 700 1400 0.42 604

1:2 0.14 0.56 467 933 1400 0.42 582

1:3 0.14 0.51 350 1050 1400 0.42 572

1:4 0.14 0.49 280 1120 1400 0.42 565

1:5 0.14 0.48 233 1167 1400 0.42 559

1:6 0.14 0.47 200 1200 1400 0.42 557

1:7 0.14 0.46 175 1225 1400 0.42 555

1:8 0.14 0.46 156 1244 1400 0.42 552

Table 4.5 Scenario 2 Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

8:1 0.14 5.36 1244 156 1400 0.72 574

7:1 0.14 4.78 1225 175 1400 0.72 573

6:1 0.14 4.20 1200 200 1400 0.72 571

5:1 0.14 3.62 1167 233 1400 0.72 568

4:1 0.14 3.04 1120 280 1400 0.72 563

3:1 0.14 2.46 1050 350 1400 0.72 557

2:1 0.14 1.88 933 467 1400 0.72 544

1:1 0.14 1.30 700 700 1400 0.72 524

1:2 0.14 1.01 467 933 1400 0.72 502

1:3 0.14 0.91 350 1050 1400 0.72 492

1:4 0.14 0.87 280 1120 1400 0.72 483

1:5 0.14 0.84 233 1167 1400 0.72 479

1:6 0.14 0.82 200 1200 1400 0.72 476

1:7 0.14 0.80 175 1225 1400 0.72 475

1:8 0.14 0.79 156 1244 1400 0.72 474

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Table 4.6 Scenario 3 Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

8:1 0.14 7.16 1244 156 1400 0.92 522

7:1 0.14 6.38 1225 175 1400 0.92 503

6:1 0.14 5.60 1200 200 1400 0.92 519

5:1 0.14 4.82 1167 233 1400 0.92 516

4:1 0.14 4.04 1120 280 1400 0.92 511

3:1 0.14 3.26 1050 350 1400 0.92 505

2:1 0.14 2.48 933 467 1400 0.92 491

1:1 0.14 1.70 700 700 1400 0.92 472

1:2 0.14 1.31 467 933 1400 0.92 450

1:3 0.14 1.18 350 1050 1400 0.92 439

1:4 0.14 1.12 280 1120 1400 0.92 432

1:5 0.14 1.08 233 1167 1400 0.92 427

1:6 0.14 1.05 200 1200 1400 0.92 425

1:7 0.14 1.03 175 1225 1400 0.92 424

1:8 0.14 1.02 156 1244 1400 0.92 422

The result show that for the first scenario the per ha gross margin increases

continuously as the canal water ratio increases from 1:1 to 8:1, where as

gross margin falls as the mixing ratio of groundwater increases from 1:1 to

1:8. This suggest that even for the same composite salinity levels the higher

gross margins are achievable by mixing higher salinity groundwater with

increasing amount canal water (reading from right to left from 1:1 ratio ). If

more canal water is not available for mixing, higher groundwater EC levels

would reduce gross margin. It also shows that even when groundwater EC

falls, a higher ratio of groundwater would reduce gross margin (reading

from left to right from 1:1 ratio).

This result suggests that with rising groundwater salinity level the mixing of

canal water in appropriate proportion to keep the target salinity with

desirable range can help increase gross margin. Alternatively even if better

quality groundwater become available such that groundwater salinity

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continues to fall, the higher use of groundwater reduce gross margin even if

composite EC is the same. This suggest that the availability of canal water

in term of mixing ratios the salinity level of groundwater have key

significance for conjunctive management of surface and groundwater

resources.

For the second scenario which has higher groundwater EC and target EC the

gross margin are lower than scenario one and this is true for each mixing

ratio as well as all the ratios. For scenario three which has even high level of

groundwater EC and target salinity, the total gross margin are further lower

and this is true for all the mixing ratios. This suggests that:

o as groundwater EC increases lower gross margin are achieved.

o as target EC increases lower gross margin are achieved

The overall results for various composite salinity levels and groundwater

mixing ratios are given in Figure 4.9. These results show that:

o total gross margin per ha is higher for lower composite salinity

level of 0.42 dS/m

o total gross margin per ha is lower for higher composite salinity

level of 0.72 dS/m

o total gross margin per ha is lowest for highest composite salinity

level of 0.92 dS/m

And

o higher is the mixing ratio of surface water, higher is the gross

margin

o higher is the mixing of groundwater lower is the gross margin

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o the gross margin begins to fall sharply once the canal water ratio is

below 2:1

Total Water Allocation 1400 ML

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

8:1 7:1 6:1 5:1 4:1 3:1 2:1 1:1 1:2 1:3 1:4 1:5 1:6 1:7 1:8

Conjunctive use ratio (Surface water : Ground water)

Tota

l gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Composite salinity 0.42 dS/m Composite salinity 0.72 dS/m Composite salinity 0.92 dS/m

Figure 4.9 Composite salinity of conjunctive use

This result suggests that the canal water mixing ratio of at least 2:1 is highly

desirable for higher gross margin. The lower canal water mixing ratios

reduces gross margin. In terms of conjunctive use of surface and

groundwater these result suggest that in areas with poor quality groundwater

the gross margin would be lower if the farmer use more groundwater and

practice irrigated agriculture under condition of surface water scarcity.

Reliable supply of surface water and support measures for appropriate

utilisation of groundwater are therefore essential for a profitable agriculture

and improved salinity management.

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4.5 Summary

Total gross margin per ha increases as total water allocation increases. The

increase in total gross margin is higher at lower allocation levels. The

increase in total gross margin is relatively lower at higher allocation levels.

Surface water offers the highest gross margin followed by the conjunctive

use of surface and groundwater. The groundwater only offers the lowest

gross margin per ha. The analyses at the farm level suggest that conjunctive

use of surface water and groundwater offers higher total gross margin than

groundwater alone, but higher groundwater allocation are desirable only

when surface water is available for conjunctive use.

The overall modelling results for the CIA show that groundwater depth

poses a significant constraint to crop yield and profits. The most profitable

crops can not profitably be grown under shallow groundwater tables,

particularly where groundwater salinity is also high. Shallow watertable and

high groundwater salinity are the least helpful combination of biophysical

conditions for profitable agriculture.

On the other hand deep watertable and low salinity offer the best production

environment for a profitable agriculture. Well drained soils with appropriate

groundwater depth can still be suitable for crop agriculture despite high

salinity levels. The availability of surface water can help in making use of

the saline groundwater through mixing to achieve suitable target salinity

level which may otherwise not be possible with groundwater use only.

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CHAPTER FIVE

5 Conjunctive Water Management at the Farm Level: Case

Studies in Pakistan

This chapter captures the heterogeneity in the basic resource characteristics

across farms, and modeling its impact on crop mix, yield, and gross returns

from conjunctive water management at farm level for the selected irrigated

agricultural areas from Pakistan. The chapter presents the comparison of

crop gross margins at the same farm under various simulation scenarios to

capture the impact of change in water allocation and related salinity levels

on the gross margin.

5.1 Description of the study area

These farm level case studies were conducted in: (i) Sheikhupura sub-

division of the Upper Rechna Doab Irrigation System (URDIS), (ii)

Buchiana sub-division of the Middle Rechna Doab Irrigation system

(MRDIS), and (iii) Bhagat sub-division of the Lower Rechna Doab

Irrigation System (LRDIS). These parts are quite different to each other in

terms of cropping pattern, groundwater quality, soil texture, climatic

conditions, etc. The Rechna Doab is located between River Ravi and River

Chenab in the Upper Indus Basin of Pakistan (Figure 5.1).

The Rechna Doab has a gross command area of 2.98 million hectare (Mha)

of which 2.39 Mha is irrigated. It is served by three separate irrigation

systems, which are all linked to a common groundwater resource. The Doab

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offers a good opportunity to look at the impact of salinity on crop

productivity and farm profits at scales ranging from field, to farm, to

irrigation system, to the unit of the Doab itself. The integrating factor is the

groundwater system, due to the great extent of groundwater extraction by

tubewells, recharge from irrigation and the bounding rivers, and the effects

on natural and induced salinity.

Figure 5.1 Location map of Rechna Doab Irrigation System

In Rechna Doab, cropping system was seasonal instead of annual. Crops

area sown in Rabi (Winter) and Kharif (Summer) seasons. Major crops in

Rechna Doab during Kharif season were rice, cotton, maize and fodder

while in Rabi season major crops were wheat and Rabi fodder. Sugarcane

was annual crop so it was used as such in Model. To convert seasonal crops

to annual cropping system, all possible combinations of crops were made by

taking each crop from Rabi and Kharif. Cropping systems used in this

model were classified as Rice-Wheat, Sugarcane, Maize-Wheat, Cotton-

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Wheat, Kharif Fodder-Wheat, Cotton-Rabi Fodder, Rice-Rabi Fodder and

Fallow. The total area under major crops on farms in the sub-divisions

across Rechna Doab is given in (Table 5.1)

Table 5.1 Area under major crops grown on farms across irrigation sub-divisions (ha)

Subdivision Rice-wheat

Cotton-Wheat

Sugar-cane

Maize-Wheat

Kharif Fodder-Wheat

Rabi Fodder-Cotton

Rabi Fodder-Rice

Fallow

Malhi 6492 0 0 8470 0 4992 0 13741 Sadhoke 22596 170 0 15400 0 3596 75 26168 Shahdara 9148 192 0 15148 0 4548 2295 10948 Muridke 25546 0 0 6970 0 9546 0 30677 Gujranwala 35518 286 0 17776 0 20418 1108 17117 Nokhar 28463 1389 0 8104 0 8463 0 34329 Naushera 12875 0 0 13863 0 10875 0 29806 Sheikhupura 9039 409 0 15070 0 6039 0 15894 Sikhanwala 10500 0 0 5903 0 8500 0 8352 Chuharkana 19214 1807 0 8863 0 19214 0 20318 Sagar 29010 0 0 25365 0 10835 5075 26663 Sangla 4936 7049 0 7798 0 4736 0 15084 Mohlan 25097 4369 0 17646 0 18097 2238 21317 Mangtanwal 25685 6670 0 13540 0 4665 2535 9816 Paccadala 20610 6804 0 13261 0 7610 0 22136 Buchiana 4813 11154 0 13098 0 14813 1046 19232 Uqbana 324 16695 4788 29004 4788 324 13479 28836 Kotkhudayar 5690 3715 495 17820 3650 14600 0 4756 Aminpur 0 13301 12059 12496 12059 0 18698 8660 Tandlianwala 9568 19857 7398 25213 7398 9568 3262 1947 Kanya 11596 11868 0 10953 0 9596 0 12101 Tarkhani 0 12528 0 21086 0 0 15728 17726 Veryam 0 25675 17019 19433 9019 0 3746 19836 Wer 0 23248 0 19975 0 0 0 20453 Sultanpur 14579 9692 5720 3530 6720 1579 0 2635 Bhagat 7854 6870 20603 9140 5603 7854 2969 14274 Dhaular 12731 3839 9199 9551 7199 12731 0 10710 Haveli 10774 11370 29910 18540 10775 5385 0 4475

There were some exceptions about the area where vegetables, oil seed and

millets were grown. Some of the above combinations are effected by soil

type because some Kharif crops were sensitive to soil like rice show good

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growth in finer soils while light soils are good for cotton. Rabi crops like

wheat and barseem (Rabi Fodder) can survive on wide range of soils. The

model uses the growth period of crops. Regarding the growing period of

crops, (Table 5.2) provides a summary of number of growing days for

specific cropping patterns.

Table 5.2 Number of growing days for particular land uses. Land use Growing Season Growing

period (Days) Bare season Bare periods

(days) Wheat-Rice Jun-Mid May 359 May 15 Sugarcane Annual 365 None None Wheat-Maize Nov-Sept 319 Oct 46 Wheat-Cotton Full Year 365 None None Wheat-Kharif Fodder Nov-Sept 319 Oct 46 Rabi Fodder-Cotton Nov-May 212 Jun-Oct 153 Rabi Fodder-Rice Full Year 365 None None Wheat Nov – Mid May 192 June – Oct 173 Fallow Seasonal 365 None None

Figure 5.2 presents groundwater salinity in Rechna Doab. There are two

distinct zones in the Rechna Doab: (i) the Upper zone with low salinity and

underlain with good quality groundwater; and (ii) the Lower zone with

higher salinity and poor quality groundwater.

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3150000 3200000 3250000 3300000 3350000 3400000

750000

800000

850000

900000

950000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

15000

16000

Figure 5.2 Groundwater salinity in Rechna Doab (µS/cm)

5.2 Case studies in conjunctive water management

In the Rechna Doab, surface water allocation is done by weekly rotational

system called Warabandi (Chaudhry and Shah, 2003). The canal water is

normally delivered by turns which start from head of water course and end

at tail. Water supply is thus rotational and proportional but not volumetric.

The way system operates the maximum amount water delivered is about 2/3

of the water allowance. This means that farmer operate under condition of

deficit irrigation. This is why conjunctive use of groundwater is so

important in the system.

Groundwater is widely used in the Doab particularly in the upper and the

middle reaches where groundwater is of good quality. Conjunctive use of

surface water and groundwater is common on medium and large farmers;

small farmers may practice conjunctive use but to a lower extent because of

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their smaller farm size, high cost of groundwater and infrastructure

constraint as water courses are basically designed for canal water delivery.

Farmers lift groundwater generally using shallow bores or skimming well

technologies. (Qureshi et al., 2004; Kahlown et al., 2005, 2007; Kirsch and

Characklis, 2006). Diesel pump electric engine or tractor may be use for

lifting water.

In order to capture variation in resource allocation across the Rechna Doab,

three representative farms were selected from a data set of actual farms

within the system. One farm each from Upper, Middle and Lower Rechna

Doab was selected (Appendix II). The three representative farms reflect the

variation in soil types and cropping pattern across the system. Small

adjustments were made to individual farms in order to reflect the mix of

different soils and variability in groundwater salinity. This was required for

extrapolation purposes as soil type and salinity plays a significant role on

crop mix and recharge amounts. The physical characteristics for each

representative farm and modelling parameters for salinity sensitivity

analysis are given in (Table 5.3).

Table 5.3 A comparative overview of the modelled farms in Pakistan.

Upper Middle Lower Rainfall (mm) 600 360 211 Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1 0.1 0.1 Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS/m) 2.25 2.25 2.25 Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.46 0.24 0.3 Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.32 3.42 3.3 Area of farm (ha) 10 10 10 Leakage (mm/year) 20 20 20 Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.5 1.65 1.75 Initial average root zone salinity (dS/m) 1.5 1.5 1.5 Concentration of surface water (dS/m) 0.14 0.45 0.75

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Concentration of groundwater (dS/m) 0.7 2.5 2 Concentration of watertable in (dS/m) 1.5 5.5 7.5 Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 70 70 70 Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0 0 0 Concentration of rain water (dS/m) 0.01 0.01 0.01 Rainfall recycling yes yes yes Pumping from shallow watertable aquifer yes yes yes

The three farms represent the variation in groundwater depth, salinity

concentration of groundwater and concentration of soils in watertable and

concentration of soils in the Upper, Middle and Lower reaches of the

system. For instance, initial watertable depth is 1.5, 1.65, and 1.75 meter in

upper, middle and lower system respectively the concentration of salts in

surface water is 0.14, 0.45 and 0.75 dS/m reflecting that the salt

concentration rises as water moves down the system. The concentration of

salt in groundwater is 0.7, 2.5, and 2 dS/m in the three farm respectively.

The concentration of salts in watertable is 1.5, 5.5 and 7.5 dS/m

respectively.

For Upper Rechna Doab the selected representative farm has a shallower

initial watertable depth and lower concentration of salts surface and

groundwater than the farm selected from the middle and lower part of the

system. For the selected from the middle of the system the values of these

parameters are in the middle ranges compared to farm 1 and farm 3. The

representative farm selected from middle Rechna Doab has high level of

groundwater salinity and surface water salinity and higher concentration of

salt in watertable and a bit more depth of watertable. For the lower Rechna

Doab all salinity related parameter are worse than the representative farm as

explain earlier.

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5.3 Modeling results and discussion

5.3.1 Upper Rechna Doab

The modelling result for various water allocation levels and water

management system in Upper Rechna Doab is given in Figure 5.3. It shows

that:

o surface water has the highest gross margin per ha

o groundwater has lowest gross margin per ha

o the total gross margin per ha for conjunctive use is in middle

And

o the total gross margin rises as total water allocation increases

o rise in total gross margin slows down for allocation level beyond

60 ML.

These result suggest that farmer with good access to surface water can take

advantage of the groundwater for conjunctive use to earn highest gross

margin.

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0 20 40 60 80Total water allocation (ML)

Gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 5.3 Total gross margin for various water allocation levels and water management system in upper Rechna Doab

5.3.2 Middle Rechna Doab

The modelling result for various water allocation levels and water

management system in Middle Rechna Doab is given in Figure 5.4. It shows

that:

o surface water has highest gross margin per ha

o groundwater has lowest gross margin per ha

o the total gross margin per ha for conjunctive use is in middle

And

o the total gross margin rises as total water allocation increases

o rise in total gross margin begins to fall for allocation level beyond

60 ML.

These result suggest that farmer with good access to surface water can take

advantage of the groundwater for conjunctive use to earn highest gross

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93

margin. For water allocation levels beyond 60% the use of groundwater or

conjunctive use does not increase gross margin. This means that their upper

limit for groundwater use is reached.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0 20 40 60 80Total water allocation (ML)

Gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 5.4 Total gross margin for various water allocation level and water management systems in the middle Rechna Doab

5.3.3 Lower Rechna Doab

The modelling result for various water allocation levels and water

management system in Middle Rechna Doab is given in Figure 5.5. For the

lower Rechna Doab all salinity related parameter are worse than the

representative farms the upper Rechna Doab areas as explain earlier.

Therefore, the expected gross margin per ha for same allocation level will

be lower. This study result confirms this expectation. Further the result

show that total gross margin per ha is lower for groundwater use only than

surface water use only where as conjunctive use gives a gross margin higher

than groundwater use only.

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94

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 20 40 60 80Total water allocation (ML)

Gro

ss m

argi

n ($

/ha)

Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive

Figure 5.5 Total gross margin for various water allocation level and water management systems in the lower Rechna Doab.

5.4 Groundwater salinity impacts

For upper Rechna Doab, farmer can practice conjunctive use to mix canal

water with groundwater in different mixing ratios (Table 5.4). If the farmer

is able to achieve the same composite groundwater salinity, would gross

margin per ha be the same for different mixing ratio? This study result

shows this is not the case (Figure 5.6). Appropriate mixing ratio is required

for good conjunctive use management. When irrigation water is available,

groundwater with high salinity could be used. As irrigation water available

becomes lower such that one moves from left to right on the curve only

lower salinity groundwater could be used. The mixing ratio 1:1 gives a total

gross margin $ 252 /ha. As mixing ratio increases to 2:1 and 3:1 total gross

margin per ha increases due to more use of canal water. As mixing ration

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95

changes 1:2 to 1:3 the total gross margin falls because of higher used of

groundwater, even if the target salinity is the same.

This suggests that the gross margin would increase due the dilution effect

and would decrease due to the concentration effect. This is a very strong

conclusion. We suggest that farmer with lowest supply of canal water will

achieve a lower gross margin than may be possible when more canal water

is available and appropriate mixing ratio could achieve. It also means that

where canal water supply is short such as at tail ends and groundwater is a

poor quality the return from conjunctive use will be lower.

Table 5.4 Composite EC of conjunctive water management. Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

3:1 0.14 1.26 53 18 70 0.420 257

2:1 0.14 0.98 47 23 70 0.420 255

1:1 0.14 0.70 35 35 70 0.420 252

1:2 0.14 0.56 23 47 70 0.420 248

1:3 0.14 0.51 18 53 70 0.420 236

Conjunctive w ater -Electric

225

230

235

240

245

250

255

260

3:1 2:1 1:1 1:2 1:3

Mixing ratio (SW:GW)

Gro

ss M

argi

n ($

/ha)

Figure 5.6 Effect of mixing ratio of surface water and groundwater on the gross margins in upper Rechna Doab.

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For middle Rechna Doab, farmer can practice conjunctive use to mix canal

water with groundwater in different mixing ratios (Table 5.5). The upper

limit to groundwater use is also clear from the analysis of composite salinity

level and associated gross margin per ha as shown below.

Table 5.5 Composite EC of conjunctive water management. Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

3:1 0.45 4.55 53 18 70 1.475 225

2:1 0.45 3.53 47 23 70 1.475 223

1:1 0.45 2.50 35 35 70 1.475 220

1:2 0.45 1.99 23 47 70 1.475 216

1:3 0.45 1.82 18 53 70 1.475 214

My result show that when the mixing ratio 1:1 gives a total gross margin of

$ 220 /ha. As mixing ratio increases to 2:1 and 3:1 total gross margin per ha

increases due to more use of canal water. As mixing ration changes 1:2 to

1:3 the total gross margin falls because of higher use of groundwater, even

if the target salinity is the same.

The analysis of irrigation water available and groundwater salinity shown

below suggest that when water supplies are lower only low salinity

groundwater could be used (Figure 5.7). The optimum level of groundwater

salinity for this farm is 2.50 dS/m. For salinity higher than this more canal

water is required for conjunctive use. For highest level canal water

availability it may be possible to use groundwater with salinity level up to 5

dS/m.

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Conjunctive water -Diesel

208210212214216218220222224226

3:1 2:1 1:1 1:2 1:3

Mixing ratio (SW:GW)

Gro

ss M

argi

n ($

/ha)

Figure 5.7 Effect of mixing ratio of surface water and groundwater on the gross margins in middle Rechna Doab

For lower Rechna Doab, farmer can practice conjunctive use to mix canal

water with groundwater in different mixing ratios (Table 5.6). The results

for the mixing ratios shown below are similar to the previous two farms

although gross margin are lower. This study result show that the mixing

ratio 1:1 gives a total gross margin $ 201 /ha. As mixing ratios increases to

2:1 and 3:1 total gross margin per ha increases due to more use of canal

water. As mixing ratio changes from 1:2 to 1:3 the total gross margin falls

because of higher used of groundwater, even if the target salinity is the

same.

Table 5.6 Composite EC of conjunctive water management. Ratio Surface water Groundwater) Surface water Groundwater Conjunctive Composite TGM

EC EC EC

(dS/m) (dS/m (ML) (ML) (ML) (dS/m) ($/ha)

3:1 0.75 3.25 53 18 70 1.375 206

2:1 0.75 2.63 47 23 70 1.375 204

1:1 0.75 2.00 35 35 70 1.375 201

1:2 0.75 1.69 23 47 70 1.375 197

1:3 0.75 1.58 18 53 70 1.375 196

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This study results again show that when irrigation water availability is low

only low salinity groundwater could be use for conjunctive use. For

instance, for lower farm the desirable salinity limit is to 2 dS/m, as shown in

Figure 5.8. Beyond this level the gross margin would fall sharply. If more

irrigation become available it may be possible to use this saline groundwater

to achieve same target salinity. This may expand production but will reduce

per ha gross margin.

Conjunctive water -Diesel

190192194196198200202204206208

3:1 2:1 1:1 1:2 1:3

Mixing ratio (SW:GW)

Gro

ss M

argi

n ($

/ha)

Figure 5.8 Effect of mixing ratio of surface water and groundwater on the gross margins in Lower Rechna Doab.

5.5 Summary

In order to capture variation in resource allocation across the Rechna Doab,

three representative farms were selected from a data set of actual farms

within the system. One farm was selected from Upper, Middle and Lower

reaches of the Rechna Doab. These three representative farms reflect the

variation in soil types and cropping pattern across the system. Small

adjustments were made to individual farms in order to reflect the mix of

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99

different soils and variability in groundwater salinity. This was required for

extrapolation purposes as soil type and salinity plays a significant role on

crop mix and recharge amounts.

For Upper Rechna Doab the selected representative farm has a shallower

initial watertable depth and lower concentration of salts surface and

groundwater than the farm selected from the middle and lower part of the

system. The representative farm selected from middle Rechna Doab has

high level of groundwater salinity and surface water salinity and higher

concentration of salt in watertable and a bit more depth of watertable. This

suggests that the gross margin per ha would be lower than the previous farm

from the upper Rechna Doab. The comparison of total gross margin across

the upper and lower Rechna Doab shows total gross margin are in fact lower

in the middle Rechna Doab farm and this is the case for all levels of surface

water supply as estimated by the model runs. A comparison of surface water

only and groundwater only shows that total gross margin per ha is lower for

groundwater only case.

For the lower Rechna Doab all salinity related parameter are worse than the

representative farm as explain earlier. Therefore, the expected gross margin

per ha for same allocation level will be lower. My result confirms this

expectation. Further the result show that total gross margin per ha is lower

for groundwater use only than surface water use only where as conjunctive

use gives a gross margin higher than groundwater use only.

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CHAPTER SIX

6 Conjunctive Water Management at the Irrigation System

Level

This chapter first introduces the case study of conjunctive water

management at irrigation system level in Coleambally Irrigation Area using

a ColBore (community bore) and other deep groundwater bores (farmers’

bores). To help select the type of pumping, the cost of pumping is described

for electric and diesel pumps by using a procedure of discounting all the

costs (capital and variable) over the life of tubewell, taking into account the

opportunity cost of investment. This chapter concludes with the cost of

conjunctive water management for a range of water use scenarios for the

case study areas in Australia and Pakistan.

6.1 Case study in Australia

This section presents an overview of the surface water and groundwater

resources in Coleambally Irrigation Area.

6.1.1 Surface water resources

Maximum annual general security allocations since 1982-83 are shown in

Figure 6.1. Since 1994/95 there has been a continual downward trend in

allocations. Reduced allocations over the past ten years have adversely

affected landholders’ capabilities to invest in LMWP options. In 2006/07

214,113.3ML was diverted by CICL. This was 60 percent less than the

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benchmarked average of 551,477 ML. Annual diversions, shown in Figure

6.2, continued to show a declining trend.

Figure 6.1 Annual general security allocations since 1982/83 (AER 2007).

Figure 6.2 Annual diversion and licensed entitlement (AER 2007).

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6.1.2 Groundwater resources

During the 1990s, the Murray Darling Basin (MDB) Governments,

including NSW, were encouraging the development and use of groundwater

in the southern MDB on the understanding that it was an underutilised

resource (MDBC, 1998). In the Murrumbidgee Valley, this was evident by

State groundwater allocation announcements between 1991 and 1996 of

150% of annual entitlement (Lawson, 1996). During this time, the NSW

Government was also issuing conjunctive conditions on groundwater

licences as a default (Fullagar et al., 2006, 2007)

The existence of good quality deep groundwater under the CIA had already

been established, not least as the basis of town water supply. It was

proposed the pumping deep aquifers would induce downward leakage. The

associated potential to reduce the shallow groundwater mound in the CIA

that had been created by rice flooding was attractive to both the NSW

Government of the time, and the CIA community.

To test this proposition, a deep bore was constructed in 1988 in the centre of

the CIA, on the intersection of Channels 9 and 9b (Lawson and van der

Lelij, 1992). The location of the ColBore is indicated by a black star in

Figure 6.3. In terms of salt mobilisation, the groundwater from the bore of

about 650 µS/cm is shandied into channel water typically 100-200 µS/cm

(Table 6.1). Table 6.2 presents the monthly groundwater extractions from

ColBore 1994/95 to 2006/07. ColBore originally augmented only Channel

9b flows, with downstream farms subsequently incurring the salt cost of an

activity undertaken for public good.

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Figure 6.3 Location map of groundwater bores in Coleambally Irrigation Area (CICL, 2006).

Table 6.1 Salinity of groundwater extracted from ColBore- 2004/07 (CICL, 2005-2007)

2006/07 2005/06 2004/05

Average Average Average

Salinity Salinity Salinity

(µS/cm) (µS/cm) (µS/cm)

August 420

September 670

October 612 671

November 574 452

December 578 609 698

January 562 631 698

February 515 669 615

March 507 484

April 551 631

May 579

Average 554.3 606.4 617.5

Pumping tests conducted between 1990 and 1992 showed her drawdown in

the Calivil was evident within a 12 km radius of the bore, and a decline in

watertables was also evident (Lawson and van der Lelij, 1992). However,

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dry climatic conditions of this period saw watertables decline in control

areas also, and it was not possible to distinguish whether the additional

decline of 0.4-0.5m around ColBore to the bore was appropriately attributed

to the bore or to changes in surrounding land management practices.

Table 6.2 Monthly groundwater extractions from ColBore 1994/95 to 2006/07.

06/07 05/06 04/05 02/03 01/02 00/01 99/00 98/99 97/98

(ML) (ML) (ML) (ML) (ML) (ML) (ML) (ML) (ML)

August 300 0 0 445 0 0 0 0 0

September 161 0 311 608 0 0 94 525 0

October 522 320 0 563 252 217 771 628 0

November 392 392 41 559 686 722 683 609 0

December 562 633 435 603 739 596 681 612 0

January 527 473 451 533 696 722 694 595 147

February 469 502 255 87 475 691 156 538 419

March 393 0 545 263 541 772 688 572 578

April 290 0 362 584 0 742 342 476 539

May 0 0 198 259 0 644 197 653 660

Transfers 0 2500 4417 0 0 0 0 0 500

Total 3616 4820 7015 4504 3389 5106 4306 5208 2843

At the time ColBore was installed, it was recognised as a necessary but only

short term measure to address the watertable issue. Concerns were that if

downward leakage was induced, it would ultimately reduce the quality of

the deep aquifer due to the higher salinity of shallow aquifers. The actual

impact of the bore on the watertables remains unclear. Enever (1999)

concluded there was no shallow watertable response that could be attributed

to Calivil drawdown. However, subsequent modelling has suggested the

response may not be evident until 15 or more years have passed (Prasad et

al., 2001). More recently, the NSW Government has interpreted Calivil

recovery from seasonal fluctuations in head as indicative of connectivity

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with the shallow aquifers (Kumar, 2002; Akbar, et al., 2004; Jackson, et al.,

2006; Khan et al., 2005.; SKM, 2006).

Clear interpretation of connectivity is made difficult by the fluctuation of

shallow watertables in response to climate and land management. (Khan et

al. 2000) observed that higher rice production to the north of the CIA

corresponded with lower watertables and higher groundwater pumping.

Their studies suggested connectivity between the Shepparton and Calivil

was greater in this area, and around prior streams. Lawson (1996; and van

der Lelij, 1992; Evans, 2007) suggests this facilitated a downward flow

from the Shepparton to the Calivil. The impact on the Shepparton of

pumping from the Calivil appears to be spatially variable.

The shallow Shepparton sediments were deposited by a series of prior

streams over several million years. Below the Shepparton formation (20 to

60 meters thick), the Calivil aquifer systems often extends to depths greater

than 150 meters. Water movement through the deep aquifers is generally

from east to west except in the area with major groundwater pumping

around Darlington Point. Recharge to the deep aquifers is mainly from the

Murrumbidgee River downstream of Narrandera and from the irrigation

areas. The salinity increases from east to west, but is generally low. Deep

groundwater with low salinity levels (<0.005 µS/cm) occurs over a large

area extending between Narrandera and Hay. The shallow Shepparton

aquifer is often very saline especially under the irrigation areas where

salinity levels can be high e.g. 0.02-0.12 µS/cm. Deep bore yields may

exceed 400 L/s from depths of 90 to 250 meters.

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The total metered groundwater usage for the past seven seasons is presented

in Figure 6.4. For the 2006/07 season, total groundwater usage for CICL’s

operational area was 103,015 ML. This has been the highest recorded

groundwater usage within CICL’s area. The groundwater usage mainly

depends on availability and cost of surface water (in the temporary water

trade market) and diesel prices. During 2006/07 diesel price remained high

but water prices were much higher making pumping groundwater a better

economic option. In 2006/07 the surface water supplied by the CICL was

lowest and groundwater pumped was highest, therefore this year

groundwater as a proportion of surface water increased to 57 percent.

Figure 6.4 Groundwater usage in Coleambally Irrigation Area (AER 2007).

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6.2 Cost of pumping in Australia

There are two types of groundwater pumping systems, bores and spearpoint.

Bores are used to pump groundwater from aquifers to supplement surface

water supplies whereas spearpoint systems pump groundwater from shallow

watertables and are mainly used for salinity and waterlogging control but

can also supplement irrigation supply depending on the quality of the

groundwater. The selection of appropriate groundwater pumping system

depends on it capital cost and variable cost or financial viability. The cost of

setting up a pumping system can vary significantly between farms

depending on the pumping system's intended purpose, hydrological

conditions, groundwater quality, location to electrical power and disposal

options. The siting, design, materials and construction method used in

installing a bore are other factors that also influence cost but also have an

impact on the quantity and quality of water obtained (Robinson, 2002).

Different types of groundwater pumps consist of specific configurations,

some of which limit their use in certain situations. In saline areas shallow

groundwater pumping using spearpoint system is on-farm subsurface

drainage option to reclaim salt effected soil. The system is used to pump

shallow groundwater from subsurface formations within upper Shapperton

layer. The depth of pumping generally varies between 5-10 m and pumping

volume varies 0.5 to 4 ML/day.

Groundwater pumping is done during the irrigation season to lower the

shallow watertable. Due to the improved drainage and leaching,

waterlogging and soil salinity may decline and crop yields improve. Where

the groundwater is of good quality, the potential exist for mixing this water

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with surface water to use for irrigation. The level of conjunctive use of

groundwater each will depend on the salinity of groundwater, surface water

allocation and rainfall.

Shallow bores are used for pumping from shallow watertables for salinity

control and irrigation depending on the salinity of the groundwater whereas

deep bores are mainly installed for irrigation supply. A shallow bore is used

for pumping groundwater within Shepparton formation (10-30 m). Shallow

bore are low yielding bores (1.25 ML/day) compare to deep bore up to (10

ML/day).

A deep bore is used to pump groundwater from deep aquifers within the

Calivil and Renmark layers (approximately 150 to 300 metres). Most deep

bore are equipped with turbine pumps. The pumping of deep bore is

generally higher. For example, within the CIA, the Calivil layer consists of

50 to 70% sands, with an average hydraulic conductivity of 12 m/day and

the Renmark layer consists of 30 to 50% sands, with an average hydraulic

conductivity of 7 m/day (Khan et al, 2000).

As these deep aquifers generally have better quality (less saline) water than

the shallow aquifers and are high yielding, a deep bore becomes an

attractive option for farmers who want to supplement their existing

irrigation allocation, even though the capital cost is high. The typical costs

for a groundwater bore are given in Table 6.3. Total capital cost of electric

tubewell is higher than diesel. The total variable costs of electric tubewells

are lower than diesel engine.

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6.2.1 Input data for calculating the cost of pumping

Table 6.3 presents the detail of input data used for calculating capital and

operating costs in an Australian context (after Robinson, 2002).

Characteristics of a groundwater bore, capital cost and variable costs for

both the electric and diesel pumps is presented to calculate the cost of

pumping in Australia.

Table 6.3 Input data used for calculating capital and operating costs in an Australian context (after Robinson, 2002).

Characteristics of a groundwater bore

Bore Type 20" x 16" bore 20" x 16" bore 12" x 9" bore 12" x 9" bore

Bore Depth (m) 220 220 140 140

Pumping Head (m) 45 45 30 30

Bore Yield (ML/day) 25 25 10 10

Pumping Days 70 70 70 70

Engine Type Electric - 185kw

Diesel - Mitsibishi 190kw

Electric - 75 Diesel - Perkins 70kw

Pump Type Everflow Vertical Turbine Pump 350 FHH - 3 stage

Everflow Vertical Turbine Pump 350 FHH - 3 stage

Everflow Vertical Turbine Pump 250 FHH - 3 stage

Everflow Vertical Turbine Pump 250 FHH - 3 stage

CAPITAL COSTS

Pump (gear box, fittings, meter, installation) 49664 57432 24276 28684

Motor (protection and fittings) 15227 31646 11350 21452

Electricity Connection (1km line + sub-station) 40000 28000

Fuel tank (10000 litres) 2500 2500

Bore drilling 51170 51170 22398 22398

Bore casing (steel) and development 80096 80096 31697 31697

TOTAL $236,157 $222,844 $117,721 $106,731

VARIABLE COSTS

Diesel Engine ($/hr) litre/hr $/litre ($/hr) ($/hr) ($/hr)

*Diesel: 25 Ml/day bore 57.63 0.682 39.30

*Diesel: 10 Ml/day bore 15.4 0.682

Major overhaul (% motor value / 15 years) 20% 0.17

Minor overhaul (% motor value / 5 years) 5% 0.13

Oil (litres/year) 119 3 0.21

Filters (no./year) 14 10 0.08

Pump maintenance (% pump value / 30 years) 5% 0.04

Total Variable costs for Diesel Engine 39.94

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110

Electric Engine ($/hr) kWh c/kWh^

**Electricity: 25 Ml/day bore 216.12 13.3 28.74

**Electricity: 10 Ml/day bore 57.63 13.3 7.66

Maintenance - switchgear and bearing ($/yr) 300 0.18 0.18

Maintenance - rewind allowance ($/yr) 200 0.12 0.12

Pump maintenance (% pump value / 30 years) 5% 0.04 0.02

Total Variable costs for electric engine 29.08 7.96

* Pump efficiency = 74%, Derating = 80%

** Pump efficiency = 74%, Derating = 80% (electric), Derating = 75% (diesel)

^ 38% peak rate and 62% off-peak rate

6.2.2 Net present values for diesel and electric pumps

It is difficult to determine which pump set should be use for conjunctive

water management. Net present value criteria were used to solve the issue.

This is overcome by doing a cost analysis. This is a process of discounting

all the costs (capital and variable) over the life of tubewell, taking into

account the opportunity cost of investment.

Table 6.4 presents the net present values for diesel and electric pumps

calculated by using the data provided in Table 6.3. The lower the NPV; the

better the groundwater pumping systems would be. The annuity value of

electric pumps is lower than the diesel ones, which means that electric

pumpsets are cheaper option for conjunctive use management. The costs of

diesel pumps will increase further once the subsidy on diesel is fully

accounted into the net present value of future costs.

Table 6.4 Net Present Values of deep groundwater bores.

DR 10% Electric Diesel 1 0.9091 264111 240101 261777 237979 2 0.8264 27951 23100 38928 32172 3 0.7513 27951 21000 38928 29247 4 0.6830 27951 19091 38928 26589 5 0.6209 27951 17355 40010 24843 6 0.5645 27951 15778 38928 21974 7 0.5132 27951 14343 38928 19976 8 0.4665 27951 13039 38928 18160 9 0.4241 27951 11854 40010 16968 10 0.3855 27951 10776 38928 15009 11 0.3505 27951 9797 38928 13644

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111

12 0.3186 27951 8906 38928 12404 13 0.2897 27951 8096 40010 11590 14 0.2633 27951 7360 38928 10251 15 0.2394 27951 6691 43256 10355 16 0.2176 27951 6083 17 0.1978 27951 5530 18 0.1799 27951 5027 19 0.1635 27951 4570 20 0.1486 27951 4155 21 0.1351 27951 3777 22 0.1228 27951 3434 23 0.1117 27951 3122 24 0.1015 27951 2838 25 0.0923 27951 2580 NPV $468,404 $501,161 Annuity $51,603 $65,890

6.3 Cost of pumping in Pakistan

The cost of conjunctive use management varies for mixing ratio to achieve

the same target salinity. The higher groundwater mixing ratio in general

means higher cost. However, the total annual cost of groundwater pumping

depends on a range of factors including annual operational cost, capital cost,

replacement and repair cost, groundwater pumpage ( in ML per year).

The cost also depends on hours of operation, generally the cost being lower

the long the hours for the operation and higher for lower hours of operation.

Likewise the cost will vary by source of energy in terms of electric diesel or

tractor driven pumps.

The typical pumping cost for electric, diesel and tractor driven tubewells for

various hours of operation and annual groundwater pumping rate are given

in Figure 6.5, Figure 6.6 and Figure 6.7, respectively. A comparison of

figures shows that:

o the annual cost of electric pumping is lower than diesel, while

tractor pumping is the most expensive.

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o annual cost increases with the increase in annual groundwater

pumping rate (ML/year).

o the annual cost is highest when daily hours of operation are lowest

(4 hours/day) where as the annual cost is lowest when the daily

operation are highest (12 hours/day).

These results suggest that the choice of pumping technology in term of

electric or diesel and the hours of operation and annual groundwater

withdrawal influence total annual cost of pumping. Use of electric pump

and longest hours of operation are lower cost option for the same annual

pumping.

This also implies that where groundwater is of good quality and electricity

is subsidised the farmer has incentive to extract more groundwater to reduce

average annual total cost. This may lead to over abstraction of groundwater

with adverse impacts on groundwater quality.

Electric

0200400600800

1000120014001600

0 50 100 150 200

Annual Groundwater pumping (ML)

Ann

ual C

ost (

$)

12 hours 8 hours 4 hours of operation per day

Figure 6.5 Annual Cost off pumping Electric.

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113

Diesel

0200400600800

1000120014001600

0 50 100 150 200

Annual Groundwater pumping (ML)

Ann

ual C

ost (

$)

12 hours 8 hours 4 hours of operation per day

Figure 6.6 Annual cost of pumping Diesel.

Tractor

0200400600800

100012001400160018002000

0 50 100 150 200

Annual Groundwater pumping (ML)

Ann

ual C

ost (

$)

12 hours 8 hours 4 hours of operation per day

Figure 6.7 Annual cost of pumping Tractor.

6.4 Cost of conjunctive water management for a range of

water use scenarios

This section evaluated the costs of conjunctive water use for a range of

water use scenarios. Each scenario is represented by a mixing ratio such that

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various scenarios represent various mixing ratios with each mixing ratio

giving the same level of target salinity.

6.4.1 Case study in Australia

The analysis is done for each selected farm in the CIA to help assess the

impact of changes in groundwater salinity and groundwater depth on the

costs of conjunctive management. For each scenario the same combinations

of canal water and groundwater were used to generate various model runs to

help understand the impact on cost of conjunctive water use, and the impact

of changes in groundwater EC on the costs. The mixing ratios of canal

water:groundwater was changed from 1:1 to 1:8 to 8:1 as shown in (Figure

6.8). The mixing ratio of 1:1 was used as the base case scenario for each

farm for comparing the cost of conjunctive use for various mixing ratios,

each achieving the same level of target salinity.

The result show that compared to the base case scenario the cost decreases

continuously as the canal water ratio increases from 1:1 to 8:1, where as cost

increases as the mixing ratio of groundwater increases from 1:1 to 1:8. This

suggest that even for the same target salinity levels the lower cost

conjunctive use is achievable by mixing higher salinity groundwater with

increasing amount of canal water (reading from right to left from 1:1 ratio ).

If more canal water is not available for mixing with higher EC groundwater,

it would increase the cost of conjunctive use. It also shows that even when

groundwater EC falls a higher ratio of groundwater would increase the cost

of conjunctive use (reading from left to right from 1:1 ratio). This is true for

all three crops shown. In terms of individual crops the costs are not the

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same. Soybean has the lowest cost, sunflower has the highest, where as

barley is in the middle.

This result suggests that with rising groundwater salinity level the mixing of

canal water in appropriate proportion to keep the target salinity with

desirable range can help decrease the cost of conjunctive use. Alternatively

even if better groundwater quality water become available such that

groundwater salinity continues to fall, the higher use of groundwater

increase the cost of conjunctive use even if composite EC is the same. This

suggest that the availability of canal water in term of mixing ratio, and the

salinity level of groundwater have key significance for costs of conjunctive

management of surface and groundwater resources.

In aggregate terms for all crops (marked as Farm 1) the cost of conjunctive

use decreases with higher mixing ratios of canal water (moving from right

to left from 1:1 ratio). For higher mixing ratios of groundwater the reverse is

true. It must be noticed that for higher mixing ratios of groundwater the

gross margin per hectare are also lower. Higher cost and lower margin

therefore suggest that farmer have lower incentive to use groundwater

beyond a certain level. This suggests that:

o as groundwater use increases the cost of conjunctive use increases.

o the cost of conjunctive use is lower for higher canal water use .

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0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

8:1

7:1

6:1

5:1

4:1

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

1:4

1:5

1:6

1:7

1:8

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

SoybeanSunflowerBarleyFarm 1

Figure 6.8 Mixing ratio of Surface water and groundwater for the Farm 1.

The crops and land use shown was chosen by the model run for each

scenario. For example, sunflower crop has highest area of the crop and uses

highest water so that sunflower become the one who has the highest cost of

conjunctive water use of surface and groundwater, while soybean has the

lowest cost of water use as shown in (Figure 6.9).

52.67

110104.33

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

SOYBEAN SUNFLOWER BARLEY

Are

a ( h

a)

Figure 6.9 Land use in Farm 1

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The costs of conjunctive use are not the same for Farm 6, as excepted, rather

they are higher. However the costs have the same general trend for the

higher mixing ratio of canal water as well as the higher mixing ratio of

groundwater. The cost falls with increase in canal water use. The cost

increases with increase in the mixing ration of groundwater. That is, as the

mixing ratio of surface and groundwater increases from left to right the cost

of conjunctive increases while from right to left the cost of conjunctive

water use decreases as more canal water is used. In terms of individual crops

the costs are not the same. Soybean has the lowest cost, sunflower has the

highest, where as barley is in the middle.

In aggregate terms for all crops (marked as Farm 6, Farm 9 and Farm 11)

the cost of conjunctive use decreases with higher mixing ratio of canal water

(moving from right to left from 1:1 ratio) while it increases for higher

mixing ratios of groundwater (Figure 6.10, Figure 6.11 and Figure 6.12).

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

8:1

7:1

6:1

5:1

4:1

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1:1

1:2

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1:4

1:5

1:6

1:7

1:8

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cost

of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

SOYBEANSuflowerBarleyFarm 6

Figure 6.10 Mixing ratio of Surface water and groundwater for the Farm 6

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0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

8:1

7:1

6:1

5:1

4:1

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

1:4

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1:7

1:8

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cost

of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

SoybeanSunflowerBarleyFarm 9

Figure 6.11 Mixing ratio of Surface water and groundwater for the Farm 9.

For Farm 9, the trends in costs for various mixing ratios as well as total cost

are the same. Full explanation is thus not needed. Again soybean has the

lowest cost, sunflower has the highest, where as barley is in the middle. The

attributes of farm 11 in terms of groundwater salinity, surface water salinity,

composite salinity are the same; the only difference is shallower

groundwater depth (2.8 vs 2.4 m) such that trend and the cost of conjunctive

water management would be similar to farm 1. The analysis showed this

was the case. Therefore, the analysis of farm 11 is not reported here. A

comparison of results for all three farms in the CIA shows that:

o The costs decrease as the mixing ratio of canal water increases

o The costs increase as the mixing ratio of groundwater increases

o Farm 1 has the highest cost, Farm 9 has the lowest and Farm 6 is in

the middle.

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The ranking of the farms in terms of costs of conjunctive use are as

expected. The overall results show that by mixing canal water and surface in

appropriate combination farmer can reduce the cost of conjunctive

management and increase total return per ha. If mixing ratios are not

appropriate either the cost will be higher or total gross margin from crop

will be lower (Figure 6.12).

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

55000

8:1

7:1

6:1

5:1

4:1

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

1:4

1:5

1:6

1:7

1:8

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

Farm 1Farm 6Farm 9

Figure 6.12 Mixing ratio of surface water and groundwater to individual farm.

6.4.2 Case study in Pakistan

This case study evaluated the costs of conjunctive water use for a range of

water use scenarios. Each scenario is represented by a mixing ratio such that

various scenarios represent various mixing ratios. The analysis is done for

each selected farm in the Upper, Middle and Lower parts of the sub-basin,

to help assess the impact of changes in salinity and groundwater depth on

the costs of conjunctive management.

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For each scenario different combinations of canal water and groundwater

were used to achieve the same target salinity level so as to help understand

the impact of changes in mixing ratios on the cost of conjunctive water use.

The mixing ratios of canal water:groundwater was changed from 1:1 to 1:8

to 8:1 as shown. Farmer can practice conjunctive use to mix canal water

with groundwater in different mixing ratios, achieving the same level of

target salinity but paying different cost for conjunctive use.

If the farmer is able to achieve the same composite salinity, would cost of

conjunctive use per ha be the same for different mixing ratio? This study

result show this is not the case. The mixing ratio 1:1 gives a cost of

conjunctive use at $132/ha. As mixing ratio increases to 1:2 and 1:3, the

cost of conjunctive use per farm increases due to more use of groundwater.

As mixing ratio changes from 2:1 to 3:1 the cost falls because of higher use

of surface water, even if the target salinity is the same.

The farm selected from the upper, middle and lower reaches of the system

differ in several key details in terms of conjunctive use. First electric

tubewell is used for Upper farm, where as diesel tubewells are used for

Middle and Lower farm which have higher cost due to the expensive fuel.

The target salinity level is the lower in Upper farm and some what higher in

Middle farm and highest in the Lower farm. Surface water salinity is lower

for the Upper farm, higher for the Middle farm but highest for the Lower

farm. Groundwater salinity level have a similar ranking. Watertable depth

differ widely and is quite shallow in the Upper farm (1.5 m) than Middle

(5.5 m) and Lower farm (7.5 m). This means that Upper farm has better

characteristics than Middle and Lower farm which would help to reduce the

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cost. The expected cost should be lowest for the Upper farm especially for

higher mixing of canal water. The expected cost should be higher for

Middle farm because poorer quality groundwater allows more use of

groundwater which adds the cost. For the Lower farm all attributes are

worse such that there only be limited use of groundwater which would help

to reduce the cost. The expected cost of conjunctive management should be

lowest for the Lower farm. To achieve same target salinity level higher

canal mixing ratio would be needed for the Lower and Middle farms

reducing the cost of conjunctive use.

This suggests that the cost would decrease due to the increase of surface

water effect and would increase due to the high groundwater use. The

modelling results support this expectation. For Upper farm rice ranks

highest in terms of the cost followed by sugarcane and wheat in declining

order (Figure 6.13). For the Middle farm rice is not grown such that

sugarcane ranks at top follow by maize, cotton and wheat; fodder ranks at

the bottom (Figure 6.14). The same is true for the Lower farm, both in terms

of crops and their rankings (Figure 6.15). In terms of total cost of

conjunctive use the ranking show that Upper farm has the highest cost for

1:1 base case ratio.

The Middle farm has the lowest total cost where as the Lower farm ranks in

the middle (Figure 6.16). For higher mixing ratios of canal water total cost

of conjunctive use falls for the Lower farm but increase for the Upper farm

such that their relative ranking changes. For higher mixing ratio of

groundwater the reverse is true: the total cost is lower for the Lower farm

but higher for the Upper farm. This is expected as explained before. Higher

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mixing ratio of groundwater for the Upper farm results in higher cost such

that the relative ranking of the upper and lower farm change. The middle on

the other hand stays in middle in term of ranking. These results strongly

support priori expectation and thus show this study the model is

theoretically and conceptually robust.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

RICE

SUGARCANE

MAIZE

WHEAT

KFODDER

RFODDER

compinate

Figure 6.13 Mixing ratio of surface and groundwater for the Upper Rechna Doab

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

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3:1

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1:2

1:3

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

SUGARCANE

MAIZE

COTTON

WHEAT

KFODDER

RFODDER

compinate

Figure 6.14 Mixing ratio of surface and groundwater for the Middle Rechna Doab

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

SUGARCANE

MAIZE

COTTON

WHEAT

KFODDER

RFODDER

compinate

Figure 6.15 Mixing ratio of surface and groundwater for the Lower Rechna Doab

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60

80

100

120

140

160

180

3:1

2:1

1:1

1:2

1:3

Mixing Ratio of SW and GW

Cos

t of C

onju

nctiv

e W

ater

Man

agem

ent (

$)

Lower Rechna DoabMiddle Rechna DoabUpper Rechna Doab

Figure 6.16 Mixing ratio of surface water and groundwater to individual farm area.

Generally, the cost of conjunctive use falls when canal water mixing ratio

increase. The cost of conjunctive use increases with increase in groundwater

mixing ratio. This is a very strong conclusion which suggests that farmer

with lowest supply of canal water will have a higher cost of conjunctive use

than may be possible when appropriate mixing ratio is achieved and more

canal water is available. It also means that where canal water supply is short

such as at tail ends and groundwater has a poor quality the cost from

conjunctive use will be higher. High water requiring crops rank towards the

top in terms of the costs. Whereas crops such as winter and summer fodder

have the lowest costs both because they required less water and are irrigated

only when necessary. When rainfall occurs the fodder can grow almost

without any irrigation and this is the obvious reason for the lowest cost in

the case of fodder.

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6.5 Summary

This chapter evaluated the feasibility of using groundwater of varying

quality by mixing it with canal water in different ratios and assessed its

impact on gross margin per ha and the cost of conjunctive use of surface

water and groundwater when mixed in different ratios to achieve the same

target salinity levels. The salinity of groundwater and its depth impact crop

yield and gross margin. Conjunctive use is feasible over a range of mixing

ratios particularly with increasing use of canal water. With decreasing use of

canal water conjunctive use is possible but increasingly costly.

The crop choices under conjunctive are influenced by the target salinity

level as well salinity and depth of groundwater. The crops requiring more

water rank higher in terms of the total cost of conjunctive use than crops

requiring less water or infrequent irrigation. The total annual cost of

conjunctive use especially pumpsets varies by type of technology, annual

water use and daily hours of operation of the pumpsets. Generally costs are

higher for diesel than electric pump. Total annual cost increases with

increase in annual volume water pump. The unit cost is higher for fewer

pumping hours but lower for longer pumping hours.

The conjunctive use of surface and groundwater is an economically

attractive and financially feasible option. Conjunctive use should be

practiced with the knowledge of quality of groundwater and its depth and

the quality of the surface water and volume of surface water available;

without such knowledge inappropriate conjunctive use management can

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result in lost productivity and increase operating costs, reducing profits from

farming.

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CHAPTER SEVEN

7 Summary and Conclusions

This chapter discusses different aspects of the proposed policy interventions

to maximise the socio-economic and environmental benefits from

conjunctive water management.

7.1 Overview of the key issues

Irrigation has supported civilisations since millennia. The negative effect

associated with soil salinisation has been an issue of irrigated agriculture for

centuries. A soil salinity problem exists when the build up of salts in the

crops root zone is significant enough that a loss in crop yield results.

Although, waterlogged and saline soils are found naturally, in irrigated areas

these salts typically originate from either a saline high watertable or from

salts in the applied water. The agricultural impacts associated with excess

soil salinity levels cause decrease in crop yield. Higher salinity level also

cause indirect off farm impacts such as damages to infrastructure and build

environment etc.

Conjunctive water use helps to improve water security, sustain agricultural

growth, and achieve higher economic returns; but due to the increased

salinity of irrigation water, long-term environmental sustainability of

irrigated agriculture may prove questionable if conjunctive water use is not

managed appropriately. Proper accounting of crop salinity tolerance

constraints can help maximise benefits with lower environmental impact of

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agriculture from conjunctive water management under limited water

supplies both at the farm and irrigation system levels.

7.2 Summary of the research objectives and methodology

The main goal of this dissertation was to study the economics of conjunctive

water management under crop salinity tolerance constraints, using following

objectives.

o Determine the possibilities of increasing profitability by taking

optimal mix of crops under crop salinity tolerance constraints

o Develop a hydrologic economic model and employ different

mathematical optimisation techniques using GAMS environment

to determine the ways of best use of conjunctive water for

irrigation

o Estimate and compare the cost of irrigation and the resulting gross

margins from using surface water, groundwater and conjunctive

water use with respect to optimal crop mix under crop salinity

tolerance constraints and

o Propose different policy interventions to maximise the socio-

economic and environmental benefits from conjunctive water

management.

Different approaches have been used to understand hydrologic-economic

role of conjunctive water use at farm level and irrigation system level. These

include the stochastic approach. The conventional stochastic approach

becomes infeasible when dealing with large spatial dimension; however,

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this was not the case with the use of Monte Carlo and Taylor series

approximations. The Taylor series approximation is found to be particularly

promising to decision-makers, because it is user-friendly and is much less

computer-intensive as compared to Monto Carlo approach; all that is

required is a software package (like GAMS) capable of solving a set of

nonlinear equations.

This study extends previous work of SWAGMAN series models, which are

lumped models of salt and water balance at the farm and catchment scale.

However, this study uses a customised version of the SWAGMAN Farm

model, which integrates the Mass and Hoffmann equation in the standard

version of the SWAGMAN Farm model. This is the key conceptual

contribution of this study and an advance into the SWAGMAN Farm model.

It involved mixed integer programming to model the nonlinearities in the

Mass and Hoffmann equation. This advance enables a more scientific and

accurate assessment of the impact of salinity on crop yield via-a-vis land

and water management strategies to enhance productivity and environmental

sustainability. The optimisation and integrated hydrologic–agronomic-

economic modeling approach employ mixed integer nonlinear programming

under General Algebraic Modeling System environment. The nonlinearities

and crop yield response to salinity as defined by Mass and Hoffman cannot

be capture by conventional modelling techniques due to complex

relationship.

The model was developed and successfully validated in selected farms in

two mature irrigation areas in Pakistan and Australia. The overall model

result show that the yield response to salinity and groundwater depth varies

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across farms within the same irrigation system. The result support the

conceptual framework used by the model and shows that the model is

theoretically consistent and robust under a range of conjunctive use

situation.

7.3 Australian prospective on conjunctive water

management

For the Coleambally irrigation area the selected farms differed basically in

terms of initial depth of watertable and salinity concentration; all other

parameters and variables were the same such that the model run for each

farm capture the effect of changes in watertable depth and salinity on crop

choices and yield and hence gross margin per ha.

The modeling result showed that for a given level of water allocation the

gross margin per ha is lowest with the groundwater use only, and highest for

the canal water use only. The lowest gross margin for groundwater use only

means that crop yield is adversely impacted due to higher salinity of

groundwater lowering gross margin. The mixing of canal water with

groundwater enables the farmer to achieve higher gross margin per ha and

thus further increase total return from farming. Put alternatively this means

that higher salinity of groundwater constraint crop production. However,

this constraint can be overcome by mixing saline groundwater with good

quality surface water to achieve a certain target salinity level.

Various mixing ratios of groundwater and surface water would thus mean a

specific target salinity level. Other things remaining the same the gross

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margin per ha would be lower for the higher target salinity level. This study

result show that compared to the base case where canal water and

groundwater mix into 1:1 ratio, per ha gross margin increase as the

proportion of canal water in conjunctive use increases. The gross margin per

ha decrease as the proportion of groundwater conjunctive increase. This lead

the conclusion that conjunctive use of surface and groundwater increase

gross margin by keeping target salinity in desirable range.

In terms of conjunctive use of surface and groundwater these result suggest

that in areas with poor quality groundwater the gross margin would be lower

if the farmer use more groundwater and practice irrigated agriculture under

condition of surface water scarcity. Reliable supply of surface water and

support measure for appropriate utilisation of groundwater are therefore

essential for a profitable agriculture and improved salinity management.

The overall modelling results for CIA show that groundwater depth poses a

significant constraint to crop yield and profits. The most profitable crops

can not profitably be grown under shallow groundwater tables, particularly

where groundwater salinity is also high. Shallow watertable and high

groundwater salinity are the least helpful combination of biophysical

conditions for profitable agriculture. On the other hand deep watertable and

low salinity offer the best production environment for a profitable

agriculture. Well drained soils with appropriate groundwater depth can still

be suitable for crop agriculture despite high salinity levels. The availability

of surface water can help in making use of the saline groundwater through

mixing to achieve suitable target salinity level which may otherwise not be

possible with groundwater use only.

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7.4 Pakistani prospective on conjunctive water management

For validating the model in Rechna Doab, three representative farms were

selected; one farm each from Upper, Middle and Lower Rechna Doab. The

three farms differed in terms of the variation in groundwater depth, salinity

concentration of groundwater and concentration of salts in the watertable,

surface water and target salinity. The overall modelling results for Rechna

Doab show that:

o surface water offers the highest gross margin

o poor quality groundwater limits production and reduced gross

margin

o watertable depth is important for determining gross margin both in

case of irrigation with surface or groundwater or conjunctive use

o appropriate mixing ratios of surface water: groundwater can be

used but higher groundwater share in the mixing ratio almost

always gives lower gross margin

o when canal water supplies are in short supply only low salinity

groundwater can be used

o when canal water supplies are beyond medium levels it is possible

to use slightly higher salinity groundwater although it often leads

to lower gross margin per ha.

The overall result suggest that information on volume and quality of surface

water, watertable depth, groundwater salinity and responsiveness of crops to

root zone salinity and watertable depth is critical for optimising profits; and

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the over use of poor quality groundwater will not only reduce profit but may

also have cost for the environment which is not evaluated here.

The overall modelling results for selected farms in both systems in Australia

and Pakistan show that groundwater salinity and depth poses a significant

constraint to crop yield and profits. Even the most profitable crops can not

profitably be grown under shallow groundwater tables, particularly where

groundwater salinity is also high. Shallow watertable and high groundwater

salinity are the least helpful combination of biophysical conditions for

profitable agriculture. On the other hand deep watertable and low salinity

offer the best production environment for a profitable agriculture. Well

drained soils with appropriate groundwater depth can still be suitable for

crop agriculture despite high salinity levels. The availability of surface

water can help in making use of the saline groundwater through mixing to

achieve suitable target salinity level which may otherwise not be possible

with groundwater use only.

The policy implications of these results are clear: by mixing canal water and

surface in appropriate combination farmer can reduce the cost of

conjunctive management and increase total return per ha. If mixing ratios

are inappropriate either the irrigation cost will be higher or total gross

margin from crop will be lower or the damage to the environment will

presumably increase, although the latter is not directly estimated by the

model.

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7.5 Combined prospective on conjunctive water

management

The case study irrigation system in Australia and Pakistan present two

contrasting groundwater governance systems although conjunctive use is

practiced in both. Australia has a sound water policy and institutional

system to achieve the conjunctive use of surface and groundwater by

defining and implementing conjunctive water allocation rules. For instance,

total seasonal water allocation comprise of surface water allocation plus

groundwater pumping limits. Similarly area limits on certain crop are

applied for restricting maximum area of the crop for particular farm to help

minimise the damage to the environment. Such restrictions are generally

based on the depth and salinity of the groundwater. The trade in seasonal

water allocation is allowed subject to certain condition on fulfilling

environmental regulation such that large transfers out of irrigation district

do not cause significant change in salinity.

In the Rechna Doab by contrast the use of groundwater is unregulated.

There are no limits on the amount of groundwater that could be extracted.

Water rights in groundwater are not defined and there is no institutional

mechanism to limit over extraction of groundwater. The allocation of

groundwater to is to everyone according to his power and in particular the

abstraction is by everyone according to the power of extraction devices and

the ability to pay for the fixed and variable cost.

Private markets in groundwater work without any regard to the environment

or changes in salinity dynamics. Overextraction often leads to falling

groundwater level and impaired drainage. Over irrigation particularly with

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135

poor groundwater often cause salinisation and alkalinisation of soil,

reducing productivity. The two cases therefore represent two constructing

water governance regime. The model works in both and provides consistent

estimates of the return and cost of conjunctive water management.

7.6 A possible way forward

The model can be helpful for making farm level decision and salinity and

crop choice as well as system level decision on allowable groundwater

discharges and zoning of groundwater for irrigation. The model can also

guide governance and management of poor and good quality management

zones. It can also aid in reallocating more surface water from the good

quality groundwater management zones to poor quality water zones such as

the tail ends. Two extensions of model are possible, first to estimate the

marginal productivity of water and its marginal value and second to assess

the environmental management costs and benefits of sustainable

groundwater management. It is recommended to take these aspects in future

studies both in Australia and Pakistan.

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Appendix I

Modeling set up for Farm 1 in CIA: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 267

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.0

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.8

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 1400 1260 1120 980 840 700 560 420 280 140 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0.0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 1 in CIA: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 267

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.8

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 1400 1260 1120 980 840 700 560 420 280 140 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 1 in CIA: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 267

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.8

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 700 630 560 490 420 350 280 210 140 70 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 700 630 560 490 420 350 280 210 140 70 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 6 in CIA: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm)r 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 225

Leakage (mm year-1) 0.2

Initial depth to watertable (m) 0.6

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 4

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 1180 1062 944 826 708 590 472 354 236 118 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 6 in CIA: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Weather medium

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 225

Leakage (mm year-1) 0.2

Initial depth to watertable (m) 0.6

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 4

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 1180 1062 944 826 708 590 472 354 236 118 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 6 in CIA: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 225

Leakage (mm year-1) 0.2

Initial depth to watertable (m) 0.6

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 4

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 590 531 472 413 354 295 236 177 118 59 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 590 531 472 413 354 295 236 177 118 59 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 9 in CIA: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm)r 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 221

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 3.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.3

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 1159 1043 927 811 695 580 464 348 232 116 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 9 in CIA: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm)r 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 221

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 3.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.3

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 1159 1043 927 811 695 580 464 348 232 116 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 9 in CIA: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 221

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 3.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.3

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 580 522 464 406 348 290 232 174 116 58 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 580 522 464 406 348 290 232 174 116 58 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 11 in CIA: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 339

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.2

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 1778 1600 1422 1244 1067 889 711 533 356 178 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 11 in CIA: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 339

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.2

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 1778 1600 1422 1244 1067 889 711 533 356 178 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Farm 11 in CIA: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 346

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 14.97

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 40

Area of farm (ha) 339

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.0

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 2.2

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 889 800 711 622 533 444 356 267 178 89 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 889 800 711 622 533 444 356 267 178 89 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Appendix II

Modeling set up for Upper Rechna Doab: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 600

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.46

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.32

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Upper Rechna Doab: Groundwater only - Electric

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 600

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.46

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.32

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Upper Rechna Doab: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 600

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.46

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.32

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.5

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.14

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 0.7

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 1.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.5 28 24.5 21 17.5 14 10.5 7 3.5 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.5 28 24.5 21 17.5 14 10.5 7 3.5 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Middle Rechna Doab: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 360

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.24

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.42

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.65

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.45

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2.5

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 5.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Middle Rechna Doab: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 360

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.24

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.42

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.65

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.45

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2.5

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 5.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Middle Rechna Doab: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 360

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.24

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.42

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.65

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.45

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2.5

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 5.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.50 28.00 24.50 21.00 17.50 14.00 10.50 7.00 3.50 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.50 28.00 24.50 21.00 17.50 14.00 10.50 7.00 3.50 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Lower Rechna Doab: Surface water only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 211

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.30

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.30

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.75

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.75

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 7.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling yes

Pumping yes

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Modeling set up for Lower Rechna Doab: Groundwater only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Raifall (mm) 211

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.30

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.30

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.75

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.75

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 7.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 70 63 56 49 42 35 28 21 14 7 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling 1

Pumping 2

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Modeling set up for Lower Rechna Doab: Conjunctive use only

Base Run Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5 Run 6 Run 7 Run 8 Run 9 Run 10

Rainfall (mm) 211

Allowable rise in groundwater level (m) 0.1

Allowable rise in salt concentration. (dS m-1) 2.25

Price of surface water ($ ML-1) 0.30

Price of groundwater ($ ML-1) 3.30

Area of farm (ha) 10

Leakage (mm year-1) 20

Initial depth to watertable (m) 1.75

Initial average root zone salinity (dS m-1) 1.5

Concentration of surface water (dS m-1) 0.75

Concentration of groundwater (dS m-1) 2

Concentration of watertable in (dS m-1) 7.5

Surface water allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.50 28.00 24.50 21.00 17.50 14.00 10.50 7.00 3.50 0

Groundwater allocation per farm (ML) 35 31.50 28.00 24.50 21.00 17.50 14.00 10.50 7.00 3.50 0

Concentration of rain water (dS m-1) 0.01

Rainfall recycling 1

Pumping 2

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