www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
M&A MECHANICS
2017
1
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Mergers & Acquisitions
Distinction between Merger and Acquisitions
• A merger is a transaction to unite two existing companies into a new one
• An acquisition is a transaction whereby a company buys most – usually 50+% -of another firm's ownership stakes to assume control
• Differentiation between mergers and acquisitions has become increasingly difficult– Merger of equals: ArcelorMittal– Friendly acquisition: AB Inbev's acquisition of SAB Miller– Hostile acquisition: KKR / RJR Nabisco; Vodafone / Mannesmann; LVMH / Gucci
2
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Reasons for M&A
• Synergies– Value and performance of the
companies combined will be greater than the sum of the separate individual parts
– Growth, cost, financial, operational…• Economies
– Access to economies of scale or scope or provide greater market power because of lesser competition
• Asset Consolidation– Consolidating resources that could
be physical, patents, human resources or intellectual property
• Value Unrelated– Dominant logic of the management,
which could just be for diversificationor personal incentive
• Integration– Horizontal / lateral integration
• Same customer, same product• Geographic expansion
– Vertical integration• Acquisition of suppliers• Acquisition of customers
• Diversification– Product / technology expansion
• Different products / technology• Same customers
– Conglomerate• New products, new customers …
– Financial sponsors• Defensive
– Acquisition of direct competitors• Enlarge company size• Anticipate competitors´ move
3
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Available Process Typology – Driven by Seller
4
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Available Process Typology – Driven by Seller (cont´d)
5
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Available Process Typology – Driven by Buyer
6
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Principle Steps
• Identification of potential targets• Capability and Fit assessment• Valuation of the target• Arranging financing and Investment Bank Advisory• Making a formal approach• Due Diligence• Signing• Approvals• Closing• Post merger integration
7
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Target Availability
8
http://image-src.bcg.com/BCG-The-Art-of-Successful-Acquisition-Oct-2015_tcm9-18798.pdf
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Hostile vs Friendly Target Approach
9
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Buy Side
10
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Sell Side
11
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Legal Themes & Topics
• Indemnification • Anti-Sandbagging • Indemnification Procedures • Dispute Resolution • Fiduciary Duties
• Confidentiality Agreement• Letters of Intent• Exclusivity• Auction Process and Indications of
Interest• Due Diligence• Possible Transaction Structures• Acquisition Agreement• Commercial Terms / Economic
Provisions• Holdbacks, Escrow, Earnouts• Representations and Warranties • Pre-Closing Covenants • Post-Closing Covenants • Closing Conditions
12
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Legal Themes & Topics (cont´d)
Indemnity Escrow Amount: • Portion of the purchase price held
in escrow to serve as a fund to satisfy indemnification claims against the seller– Typically calculated as a percentage
of the purchase price– For technology companies this can
range from less than 5% to greater than 15%; current market conditions generally put this in the range of 10% to 15%.
Indemnity Escrow Period• Can be less than a year to greater
than two years, but currently runs between 12 and 18 months
Representations and Warranties: • Assertions made by the seller to the
buyer about what they are buying
• Seller makes specific promises, for example– Accuracy of financial statements – Any lingering environmental or legal
problems• The seller then “indemnifies” the
buyer– That means, the seller promises to
pay up if problems pop up
13
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Legal Themes & Topics (cont´d)
Indemnity Basket Type:• Indemnifiable losses a party must
incur before it can seek indemnification– True deductible basket means that
basket serves as a deductible, and the indemnifying party is responsible for all losses exceeding the basket amount
– Tipping basket means that the indemnifying party is responsible for all losses, once those losses reach the basket amount
Indemnity Basket Size:• Calculated as a percentage of the
purchase price– Can range anywhere from 0.025% to
greater than 1.5%
Reps & Warranties Survival Period:• Length of time after closing during
which a party may make claims for breaches of reps and warranties– Between 12 and 18 months– Also known as the “general survival
period.”
Carve Outs to General Survival Period:• Certain reps and warranties may be
carved out and be extended for a longer period of time– Broker’s fees, employee benefits,
intellectual property, taxes owed, capitalization, title to assets and due authority to make the sale in the first place
14
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Legal Themes & Topics (cont´d)
Stock Deal Structures:• Today’s market conditions generally
encourage a cash-free, debt-free transaction with working capital provisions to ensure that business is not disrupted
• Any excess cash on the balance sheet is typically either dividendedout to shareholders or left in the company and added to the purchase price
Earnouts:• Most often used to bridge the gap
between the buyer and seller’s enterprise valuation expectations, but they can also be used as a sweetener to retain key employees
Asset Deals & Assumption of Liabilities:• In a “vanilla” asset deal, all liabilities
are retained by the selling company, while all assets go to the acquirer
• However, there are typically specified liabilities and assets that the buyer will acquire; these are determined during negotiation
15
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
M&A Russki Stil
4 May 2017 - Sistema shares plunge after Rosneft files $1.9bn lawsuit
• Conglomerate accused of asset stripping at entity now owned by the oil group
• Shares in Russian conglomerate Sistema shed more than a third of their value on Wednesday after the state-controlled oil company Rosneft filed a $1.9bn lawsuit against the group, and investors balked at the prospect of a legal battle between two of the country’s biggest corporates– A Rosneft official said the lawsuit involved allegations of asset-stripping at oil company
Bashneft, a former Sistema asset now owned by the energy group– Rosneft spokesman Mikhail Leontyev told the Interfax press agency that the lawsuit
accuses Sistema of “withdrawing assets” from Bashneft as “a result of some administrative actions”
– Once one of the country’s largest privately owned energy companies, Bashneft was seized from Sistema by the Russian state in 2014 before being sold last year to Rosneftin a contentious deal that cemented Mr Sechin’s dominance over the oil industry
– Rosneft is seeking Rbs106.6bn ($1.9bn from Sistema, said the Moscow arbitrage court on its website, without providing details of the lawsuit
16
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals
• In public company deals, reps and warranties die at closing …– There is no mechanism to pursue
small shareholders after money has changed hands
• …. but in private deals the potential consequences can drag on for years– That means buyers and sellers often
spend as much time haggling over these issues and how they will be resolved as they do on price.
17
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals (cont´d)
In private company deals, closing is when the fun begins …
• Sales contracts often include an elaborate array of “post-closing adjustments” where either side could owe further money to the other– The idea is that if a business ends up being markedly different on the transaction
closing date from what the buyer and seller agreed to at deal signing, then the winner from those changes has to compensate the other side
• While public company deals get most of the media coverage, the dirty little secret among the elite lawyers who work on such transactions is that the contracts they write are not that complicated– Sell-side lawyers do have to ensure the buyer shows up with the purchase funds at
closing, but once the money changes hands, everyone moves on
18
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals (cont´d)
May 2017 - Legal fight between Westinghouse and Stone
• Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI) sells Stone & Webster in October 2015 to Westinghouse– Stone & Webster is an ailing nuclear power construction firm– Westinghouse, the US atomic reactor designer, is owned by Japan’s Toshiba– Westinghouse and Stone had partnered to develop two nuclear power plants in the
US, but delays and cost overruns had put the projects more than US$10bn over their original budgets
• CBI was receiving $0 upfront and recording a $1bn write-off– … but by dumping Stone on Westinghouse, all its liabilities went with it …
• Now, the two companies are locked in a legal fight over about much “net working capital” Stone had on its books when the transaction was completed– CBI, which has a market capitalisation of just $3bn, could be on the hook for a $2bn
payment to Westinghouse …
19
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals (cont´d)
The Dispute
• CB&I has calculated the net working capital to be $1.6bn– Suggesting it is owed $428m by
Toshiba• The Japanese calculated the
amount to be minus $976.5m– Different amounts stem from
Westinghouse:• Reducing by 30% receivables adjusted
to reflect the cost of design changes in projects
• Raising the estimates of the cost to complete the projects by 30 percent
• Adding back a $432m liability that CB&I had deducted
The Situation
• CB&I funneled close to $1bn to CB&I Stone & Webster between June 2015 and December 2015, when the deal closed
• The agreed target for the net working capital was $1.174bn– CB&I would be owed money by
Toshiba if CB&I Stone & Webster's net working capital was more than $1.174 billion at the time the deal closed …
– … or vice versa
May 2017 - Legal fight between Westinghouse and Stone
20
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals (cont´d)
May 2017 - Legal fight between Westinghouse and Stone
• Westinghouse argued that CB&I's methodology did not adhere sufficiently to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), while CB&I maintained that it has stuck to the accounting methodology it used before and Westinghouse previously accepted.
Pending Resolution• Contract for the sale calls for an independent auditor to resolve accounting
disagreements over the value of the net working capital– Expected to happen in 2017.
• CB&I has sued to prevent Westinghouse's interpretation of the liabilities to be included in the net working capital calculations from being put before the independent auditor– In Dec 2016, the Delaware Court of Chancery dismissed that lawsuit, and an appeal by
CB&I is pending
21
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Excursion: Risks posed by private company deals (cont´d)
ADDENDUM
April 2017 - Toshiba to restructure to protect core businesses
• Toshiba has outlined a shake-up of the industrial conglomerate’s sprawling organisation aimed at insulating core businesses from financial woes stemming from the crisis at Westinghouse, its US nuclear reactor business
• Last month Toshiba warned of “substantial doubt” about its ability to continue as a going concern after its finances deteriorated sharply because of the problems at Westinghouse, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the US last month
22
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Why M&A Frequently Fails
• Only 47 percent of all deals produce a positive relative total shareholder return one year after the transaction date
• The four most cited reasons for deal failure are:– poor integration, – higher than anticipated complexity, – difficult cultural fit, and – synergies that did not materialize
• Measurement of success (or lack thereof) may be a bigger culprit. Less than two-thirds of corporate leaders said they measure the success of every deal they do, and just over one-third said they only track the success of “important” deals.
23
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Most Companies´ Standardised Deal Processes Overlook Post Merger Integration
24
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Profitability Outranks Value Creation in Gauging M&A Success
25
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Post Merger Integration
The Decision Drumbeat in practice
Focus on the fundamentals. Coordinate decisions. Assign decision rights and roles. Stick to the timetable.
Successful M&A integration
1. Follow the money 2. Tailor your actions to the nature of the deal 3. Resolve the power and people issues quickly 4. Start integration when you announce the deal 5. Manage the integration through a "Decision Drumbeat" 6. Handpick the leaders of the integration team 7. Commit to one culture 8. Win hearts and minds 9. Maintain momentum in the base business of both companies-and monitor their performance closely 10. Invest to build a repeatable integration model
26
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Post Merger Integration
27
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Growing Through Deals: A Reality Check
The size and frequency of deals matter less than how companies execute them• It seems not to matter much
whether companies completed one large deal, many small deals, or few deals– In statistical parlance, the
distribution of samples reflecting different combinations of deal sizes and market caps was both widely distributed and overlapping
• From a value-creation perspective, this finding means that the size and number of deals matter less than the discipline with which they are identified, priced, integrated, and managed
28
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Growing Through Deals: A Reality Check (cont´d)
29
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
The Five Types of Successful Acquisitions
There is no magic formula to make acquisitions successful
• Like any other business process, they are not inherently good or bad, just as marketing and R&D aren’t– Each deal must have its own strategic logic– Acquirers in the most successful deals have specific, well-articulated value creation
ideas going in– For less successful deals, the strategic rationales—such as pursuing international scale,
filling portfolio gaps, or building a third leg of the portfolio—tend to be vague• Empirical analysis of specific acquisition strategies offers limited insight, largely
because of the wide variety of types and sizes of acquisitions and the lack of an objective way to classify them by strategy
• What’s more, the stated strategy may not even be the real one: companies typically talk up all kinds of strategic benefits from acquisitions that are really entirely about cost cutting …
30
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
The Five Types of Successful Acquisitions (cont´d)
Harder strategies• Roll-up strategy
– Consolidate highly fragmented markets where current competitors are too small to achieve scale economies
• Consolidate to improve competitivebehavior– Consolidation to lead competitors to
focus less on price competition• Transformational merger• Buy cheap
Five Archetypes• Improve the target company’s
performance• Consolidate to remove excess
capacity from industry• Accelerate market access for the
target’s (or buyer’s) products• Get skills or technologies faster or
at lower cost than they can be built• Pick winners early and help them
develop their businesses
There is no magic formula to make acquisitions successful• An acquisition’s strategic rationale should not be a vague concept like growth or
strategic positioning, but must be translated into something more tangible• Furthermore, even if your acquisition is based on one of the archetypes below,
it won’t create value if you overpay
31
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation
Companies that do many small deals can outperform their peers—if they have the right skills• But they need more than skill to
succeed in large deals
• Long-term returns vary significantly by deal pattern and by industry
• The implication is that across most industries, companies with the right capabilities can succeed with a pattern of smaller deals, …
• … but in large deals industry structure plays as much of a role in success as the capabilities of a company and its leadership
32
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
33
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
Long-term returns to M&A• The larger companies get, the more
they rely on M&A to grow– A majority of these companies
complete many smaller deals, with no large ones
– This finding makes sense, since large deals tend to be hit or miss
• The only companies that had, on average, negative excess returns were those that did large deals– The odds of positive excess returns
were slightly better for shorter time frames after specific deals, with about half generating positive excess returns within two to five years of the deal
34
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
35
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
36
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
The importance of industry specifics
Should an individual company in a specific industry at a given time should engage in M&A?
• Most relevant details seem to be industry structure, the match of an asset with a well-articulated strategy, and the execution capabilities required to realize value
37
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
38
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
Large deals• Companies are more successful with large acquisitions—those worth more than
30 percent of the acquirer’s market capitalization—in slower-growing, mature industries– Here, there is great value in reducing excess industry capacity and improving
performance, and a lengthy integration effort is less disruptive• In contrast, large deals in faster-growing sectors have been less successful
Programmatic deals• Companies across a variety of industries do well using the programmatic
approach• In addition, there is a volume effect: The more deals a company did, the higher
the probability it would earn excess returns• Evidence shows that executing a high-volume deal program requires certain
corporate capabilities but not necessarily a specific industry structure
39
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation (cont´d)
Tactical deals• Companies using a tactical approach to M&A also do numerous small deals, but
those deals do not, combined, make up a large portion of the acquirer’s market capitalization– Tech companies were significantly more successful with this approach than with the
others: they used M&A as part of an innovation and capability-building strategy, buying options and adding functions
– Industrial companies in this segment seem to use tactical M&A to fill gaps in products or channels
Selective deal making• Many companies do deals occasionally but don’t appear to have an M&A
capability or a proactive M&A strategy– Total shareholder returns are in all likelihood driven more by an organic-growth
tailwind than by M&A strategy
40
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Winning M&A Strategies Across Life Cycle Phases
41
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
A Deal-Making Strategy for New CEOs
42
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
A Deal-Making Strategy for New CEOs (cont´d)
43
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
The Value Premium of Organic Growth
44
www.christianschopper.com © Copyright – Christian Schopper
Contact
Christian SchopperPrivate: [email protected]: [email protected]
45