Early Warning Systems: a Early Warning Systems: a Fundamental Component of Fundamental Component of Disaster Risk ManagementDisaster Risk Management

ByByMaryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.

Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction ProgrammeChief of Disaster Risk Reduction ProgrammeWorld Meteorological OrganizationWorld Meteorological Organization

December 9, 2008December 9, 2008

Risk TransferRisk Identification

Historical hazard data, analysis and changing hazard trends

Exposed assets & vulnerability

Risk quantification

PREPAREDNESS: early warning systems, emergency planning and response capacities

MITIGATION AND PREVENTION: Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. building resilient infrastructure)

CAT insurance

CAT bonds

Alternative Risk Transfer mechanisms

Other emerging products

Risk Reduction

Information and Knowledge SharingEducation and training

Governance and Organizational Coordination and

Cooperation

Disaster Risk Management Framework Derived from Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015

Global Coordination in Hazard Detection and Forecasting to Support Multi-Hazard EWS

Global Telecommunication System

Global Observing System

Coordinated Satellite System

Global Data Processing and Forecasting System

Communication and Dissemination

National Meteorological and Hydrological Services

Government and civil defence

authorities

Media Generalpublic

Privatesector

Meteorological

Hydrological

Geological

Marine

Health (etc.)

COORDINATION AMONGNATIONAL SERVICES

feedback

feedback

Community Preparedness

warnings

National to local governments

supported by DRR plans, legislation

and coordination mechanisms

warnings

feedback

What is an Effective EWS?

warnings

preventiveactions

1

2

3

4

5

5

33

5

Effective Early Warning SystemsNational to local disaster risk reduction plans, legislation and coordination mechanisms

are critical to ensure emergency planning and response involving 4 technical components

National Example: Cyclone Preparedness Programme in Bangladesh

Analysis of NMHSs’ Capacities, Gaps and Needs related to DRR and EWS

139 National Meteorological and Hydrological Services participated:

1. Assessment of role of NMHSs as reflected in planning, legislation and national DRR coordination mechanisms;

2. Assessment of NMHS' capacities in observing, data management, forecasting and warning services;

3. Capacities to deliver products and services and warnings;

4. Assessment of NMHSs’ cooperation and coordination with other agencies and ministries.

Responses to the WMO Country-Level Survey

139 out of 187 Members (74 %) responded

24/5254 %

25/3474 %

10/1283 %

18/2282 %

14/1974 %

44/4892 %

Developing countries:

85/13754 %

Least developed countries:

25/5050 %

Status of EWS Projects with Multi-Hazard Approach

Central America

South-EasternAfrica

South-EasternEurope, East AsiaCaucasus

China(Shanghai)

South-EasternAsia

SouthAsia

For more information please contact:Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction ProgrammeWorld Meteorological OrganizationTel. 41.22.730.8006Fax. 41.22.730.8023Email. MGolnaraghi@WMO.int

http://www.wmo.int/disasters

Thank You

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