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Earnings Management

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    (EM)

    Earnings ManagementJune 28, 2006

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    Group Members

    Alfred DSouza

    Aman Gill

    Eric LindsaMar Guo

    Mic!ael "laman

    #an$ir %!angura&amm '!eung

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    (!at moti*ates Earnings Management)

    'ommon A++roac!es

    Eam+le - %ris+ %reme

    'onse.uences

    Agenda

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    /eal and (a!len, 111

    Earnings management occurs 3!en managersuse 4udgment in financial re+orting and instructuring transactions to alter financial re+ortsto eit!er mislead some sta5e!olders a$out t!e

    underling economic +erformance of t!ecom+an or to influence contractual outcomest!at de+end on re+orted accounting num$ers7

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    Sc!i++er 1819

    : a +ur+oseful inter*ention in t!eeternal financial re+orting +rocess, 3it!t!e intent of o$taining some +ri*ate gain

    as o++osed to merel facilitating t!eneutral o+eration of t!e +rocess7

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    ; Worldcom 111 -20029- < 1 $illion o*erstatement t!roug! release of im+ro+er reser*es

    ; Xerox11= -20009

    - < > $illion accelerated re*enue recognition- < ?00 million t!oug! @cus!ion reser*es- SE' le*ied < 0 mm in fines- o admission of guilt

    ; Lucent Technologies, Cendant, MicroStrateg (20009- Stoc5 mar5et lost >B $illion in t!ree das

    EM - #ecent Eam+les

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    Conservative

    Accounting

    Aggressive

    Accounting

    Fraudulent

    Accounting

    Aggressive recognition of provisions and

    reserves

    Overvaluation of R&D purchase acquisitions

    Overstate asset write-offs

    Understate provision for bad debts

    Drawing down provisions/reserves in an overl

    aggressive !anner

    Recording sales before reali"able# recording

    fictitious sales

    $ac%dating sales invoices

    Overstating inventor

    Within GAAP

    Violates GAAP

    EarningsManagement

    "raud *s Earnings

    Management

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    Determined by motive

    (!en is EM "raudulent)

    EM and accrual met!ods are fraudulent undert!e follo3ing circumstancesC- (!en t!e are used to satisf analsts e+ectations

    - 2 (!en t!e are used to realize $onuses

    - > (!en transactions are structured or carried out to alterfinancial re+orts

    - B (!ene*er t!e are used for reasons ot!er t!an to +ro*ideaccurate financial information to in*estors and sta5e!olders

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    anipulate the co!pan's earnings so the

    figures !atch a pre-deter!ined target

    s Accrual Accounting a form of EM)

    ; Accrual accounting uses accrual, deferral, and allocationto reflect an entits +erformance during a +eriod

    ; Managers use GAA to ma5e re+orting decisions

    ; Ena$les its in*estors to assess t!e entits economic+erformance more accuratel t!an from 4ust cas! flo3s

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    Fualitati*e *s Fuantitati*e Earnings

    ; Size matters Most in*estors loo5 atcents +er s!are 3!en analzing earnings

    ; Fualit earnings !a*e > $asic .ualitiesC

    - #e+eata$le

    -'ontrolla$le- an5a$le

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    #e+eata$le

    n t!e >rd .uarter of 200, Motorola+osted earnings +er s!are of B cents,$eating analsts e+ectations, $ut t!e

    stoc5 fell ?H soon after

    - &!e reason) Sales !ad s!run5, and t!e

    econom 3as soft Most of t!e earningsgro3t! came $ 3a of 4o$ cuts and t!e saleof in*estments

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    'ontrolla$le

    Some IS com+anies 3it! Euro+eansu$sidiaries are re+orting earnings t!atare $etter t!an e+ected

    - &!e #eason) &!e falling IS dollar !asim+ro*ed earnings *ia t!e ec!ange rate

    nflation can also affect earnings t!roug! t!e+rices of in+uts and out+uts

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    an5a$le

    n 2002, 'ircuit 'its stoc5 +rice fell o*erB0H e*en t!oug! $ot! sales and earningss!o3ed siza$le increases

    - &!e #eason) &!e size of t!e com+ansAccounts #ecei*a$le !ad more t!an dou$led

    creating concerns around t!eir collecti$ilit

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    (! is EM not acce+ta$le)

    ; Misallocation of n*estment #esources

    ; Indue im+ro*ement in management

    credi$ilit

    ; MDA +ro*ides room to e+lain *ariance

    in +erformance

    ; Sign of 'om+romised 'ollusi*e Auditing

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    (!at moti*ates Earnings Management)

    'ommon A++roac!es

    Eam+le - %ris+ %reme

    'onse.uences

    Agenda

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    (! does EM occur)

    Three main reasons!

    ; 'a+ital Mar5et E+ectations andKaluation Earnings S!oc59

    ; 'ontracting Moti*es

    ; Antitrust and Go*ernment #egulations

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    'a+ital Mar5et Moti*ations

    ; Sample moti"es!

    ; S!ort term stoc5 +rice +erformance

    ; Kaluation +rior to management $uouts

    ; EM to meet t!e e+ectations of financialanalsts

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    $ut( studies show investors see through)

    such *++ and instead rel on long ter!

    strateg when allocating resources

    'a+ital Mar5et Moti*ations

    Sample methods!

    ; ncome increasing de+reciation met!odsand allo3ances in ear +rior to

    ; ncome smoot!ing

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    Earnings S!oc5

    ; ositi*e earnings sur+rises usuall arentsignificantl re3arded $ t!e mar5et

    ; egati*e earnings sur+rises are +enalized

    !ars!l

    The #eason

    ; Earnings targets are usuall conser*ati*e; E*er su$se.uent +ositi*e s!oc5 !as less of an

    im+act

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    Earnings S!oc5 contd:

    ; ositi*e earnings sur+rises tend to $emore fre.uent t!an negati*e earningssur+rises as com+anies tr to @$eat do3n

    e+ectations

    ; nterim #e+orts are not audited, t!uscreating more o++ortunit to manageearnings

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    $ut( ,tud showed onl of .. fir!s

    delaed default through *++

    'ontracting Moti*ations

    ; Lending Contracts

    ; Managers manage earnings to ensurecom+liance 3it! eisting lendingco*enants ie de$t ser*ice co*erage orde$t e.uit ratios9

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    $ut( stud shows personall !otivated

    *++ has little effect on asset allocation

    'ontracting Moti*ations

    $% Management Compensation Contracts

    ; Managers use 4udgment to increase earnings

    $ased $onus a3ards

    ; Managers manage earnings 3!en 4o$ securitis t!reatened

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    ,trong evidence that *+ occurs when

    co!panies are on verge of violating

    regulator provisions+

    #egulator Moti*ations

    &ndustr #egulations

    ; an5s re.uired to satisf ca+ital ade.uacre.uirements

    ; nsurance com+anies must meet conditions forminimum financial !ealt!

    ; Itilities com+anies !a*e $een !istoricall +ermitted

    to earn normal return on in*ested assets

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    ,tud 0o!panies being investigated for anti-trust violations report inco!e decreasing

    accruals

    #egulator Moti*ations

    'ntiTrust #egulations

    'om+anies on *erge of in*estigation mamanage earnings to a++ear less +rofita$le

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    (!at moti*ates Earnings Management)'ommon A++roac!es

    Eam+le - %ris+ %reme

    'onse.uences

    Agenda

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    /o3 are Earnings Managed)

    ; @ig at! #estructuring

    ; 'oo5ie Jar #eser*e Accounting

    ; remature #e*enue #ecognition- 'amouflage of @/old and Sale transactions- &rans+orter +ic5s u+ ris5 of loss- Incertaint at cut off date- nflating standard orders

    ; E+ected li*es of long term assets

    ; $ligations for +ension $enefits

    ; Deferred &aes

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    $) Tuc a*acreate the

    Cooie +ar

    ) -ip into the

    Cooie +ar .re"ersal o/

    accruals

    0) Can1t manage

    gro*ing maretexpectation

    2) 3o real cash

    /lo* Scraping

    the bottom

    &+ical Stages of EM

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    /o3 are Earnings Managed)

    'ont; Deference of Asset m+airment

    ; "" *s L" met!ods of accounting eg!+er

    inflationar countries9

    ; Accelerated Declining met!od of Amortization

    ; (or5ing 'a+ital Management - delaed s!i+ments

    ; &iming of ca+ital gains

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    t!er So+!isticated met!ods

    ; ff alance S!eet re+orting insu$sidiaries

    ; Snt!etic Leases

    ; roforma Estimates

    ; ntercom+an transactions

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    Some S+ecial 'ases

    ; an5s - Loan Loss #eser*es

    ; nsurance 'om+anies - 'laim ro*isions

    ; Large etrol '!emical ro4ects - Deferred &aAllo3ances

    ; usiness 'om$os - creati*e ac.uisition accounting

    ; E.uit structuring to a*oid N re.uire consolidation

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    /o3 auditors detect EM

    ; 'as! flo3s t!at are not correlated 3it! earnings

    ; #ecei*a$les t!at are not correlated 3it! re*enues

    ; Allo3ances for uncollecti$le accounts t!at are not correlated 3it!recei*a$les

    ; #eser*es t!at are not correlated 3it! re*enue gro3t! or $alances!eet items

    ; Fuestiona$le ac.uisition reser*es- restructuring c!arges or reser*es set aside for dis+osals

    ; Earnings t!at consistentl and +recisel meet analsts e+ectations

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    Ss 'ore Earnings Metric

    ; Attem+ts to +ro*ide consistenc andtrans+arenc related to earnings

    ; 'reated 3it! t!e in+ut of t!e in*estmentcommunit

    ; 'learl defines 3!at can and cannot $e includedas #e*enues and E+enses

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    What1s &n

    Em+loee stoc5 o+tione+enses

    #estructuring c!arges

    ension fund costs

    urc!ased #De+enses

    (ritedo3ns andde+recia$le o+eratingassets

    What1s 4ut Good3ill im+airment GainsNlosses from asset

    sales

    ension gains Litigation costsN+roceeds Inrealized gains from

    !edging acti*ities

    S 'ore Earnings

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    'riti.ue - Ss 'ore Earnings

    ; 'an o+tion e+enses $e fairl +riced)

    - lac5Sc!oles +roduces !ig!l su$4ecti*eresultsO es+eciall 3it! *olatile stoc5s

    ; ension +lan gains are ecluded, $utlosses are included

    - f returns are do3n in a gi*en ear, earnings3ill $e +enalized e*en if t!e +lan is flus!

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    (!at moti*ates Earnings Management)'ommon A++roac!es

    Eam+le - %ris+ %reme

    'onse.uences

    Agenda

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    !ris"y !reme # What Went Wrong$

    http://www.krispykreme.com/http://www.krispykreme.com.au/espresso.html
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    ac5ground nformation

    ; %%D $egan in 1>= in t!e sout!east IS

    ; egan going national in 116, o+ening stores inMan!attan, LA, Los Kegas

    ; Declared /ottest rand in t!e Land7 $ "ortuneMagazine

    ; too5 +lace in 2000

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    %%DC nitial u$lic ffering

    ; in 2000, 4ust after t!e tec! $u$$le $urst

    ; n*estors 3ere eager for a $usiness t!e couldunderstand

    ; 'onsidered one of t!e $est s of t!at ear

    ; +riceC C

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    %%DC 'anadian #ig!ts

    ; 3ned $ %reme%o nc under eclusi*efranc!ising and licensing arrangement20009

    ; %reme%o re.uired to o+en >2 stores3it!in = ears

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    (!at !a++ened)

    ; Ma 200BC "irst e*er missed .uarter and first loss as a +u$liccom+an 'E $lames lo3 car$ diets9

    ; Jul 200BC SE' ma5es an informal in.uir into %%D $u$ac5s ofse*eral franc!ises

    ; Stoc5 +rice +lunges, s!are!olders file suit

    ; ct 200BC SE' in.uir u+graded to formal7

    ; %%D continued to add stores, t!oug! sales 3ere falling

    ; Jan200?C %%D decides to restate financialsO 'E re+laced $Ste+!en 'oo+er, 3!o 5e+t !is ot!er 4o$ as interim 'E of Enron

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    anage!ent's decision to include ingredient

    and equip!ent sales does not accuratel reflect

    overall health of co!pan 1 *++

    /o3 %%D Managed Earnings)

    ; Getting Greed; %%D re.uired franc!isees to $u e.ui+ment and

    ingredients at mar5ed u+ +rices

    ; >H of 200> came from selling ingredients ande.ui+ment

    ; %%D concentrated on gro3ing +arent com+an sales

    instead of franc!isee +rofits

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    /o3 %%D Managed Earnings)

    Snthetic Lease

    ; %%D financed a ? MM miing +lant 3it! an off$alances!eet synthetic lease

    ; ermissi$le onl 3!en lessee !as no intention ofac.uiring leased +ro+ert at term end

    ; Miing lant7 s!ould $e tec!nicall an asset to t!ecom+an and s!ould $e recorded on $alance s!eet

    ; %%D scuttled t!is +lan in "e$2002 after Enron

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    /o3 %%D Managed Earnings)

    5udging the 3umbers

    ; ct 200>C 'om+an ac.uired se*en Mic!igan $asedfranc!ises for 2 MM

    ; urc!ase +rice recorded as intangi$le asset #eac.uired"ranc!ise #ig!ts9, 3!ic! it did not amortize

    ; urc!ase +rice 3as inflated so seller could ma5e interest+aments so *endor could +a interest for +ast dueloans

    ; nterest 3as recorded as income

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    /o3 %%D Managed Earnings)

    'dditional &tems

    ; %%D rolled store closing costs, consulting fees intointangi$le ca+ital asset account

    ; %%D $oug!t 'alifornia $ased franc!ises at inflated +rices3!ic! 3ere o3ned $ 'Es e3ife

    ; %%D $oug!t Dallas $ased stores at inflated +rices t!at3ere +artl o3ned $ former director and $oard mem$er

    ; %%D em+loed > different '"s from 2000200B

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    %%Ds Moti*es

    ; Etreme +ressure to satisf e+ectations of+u$lic mar5et

    ; ersonal $enefit $ +aing ecess amounts forfranc!ises

    ; 'om+an faced SE' in.uiries

    ; '"s 4o$s 3ere not secure

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    (!at is Earnings Management)

    (!at moti*ates Earnings Management)

    'ommon A++roac!es

    Eam+le - %ris+ %reme

    'onse.uences

    Agenda

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    #eaction from Sta5e /oldersEtreme Distrust

    ; Dum+ stoc5 on ne3s of Managed Earnings

    ; ncreased reliance on non financial information

    - n*estment $an5ers- "inancial analsts

    - ond #ating Agencies

    - "inancial ress

    ; 'lass action suits - ortel

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    De$ata$le *er #eactions

    ; Sto+ earnings guidance

    - 'oca'ola

    ; #e3ard s!are!olders 3it! trust3ort!$oo55ee+ing not earnings

    ; 'lass action suits against auditors

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    #ealit

    ; &!e mar5ets are still more reliant onearnings re+orts t!an on cas! flo3s

    ; Management 4udgment $etter indicator offuture earnings t!an fluctuating cas! flo3s

    ; Almost e*er one does it in some 3a

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    THANK YOU


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