University of Nebraska - Lincoln University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension Extension 2000 EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in Nebraska Nebraska Lynn Lutgen University of Nebraska - Lincoln Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/extensionhist Part of the Agriculture Commons, and the Curriculum and Instruction Commons Lutgen, Lynn, "EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in Nebraska" (2000). Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension. 1533. https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/extensionhist/1533 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Extension at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln.
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University of Nebraska - Lincoln University of Nebraska - Lincoln
DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln
Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension Extension
2000
EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in
Nebraska Nebraska
Lynn Lutgen University of Nebraska - Lincoln
Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/extensionhist
Part of the Agriculture Commons, and the Curriculum and Instruction Commons
Lutgen, Lynn, "EC00-899 Sorghum Basis Patterns from Selected Sites in Nebraska" (2000). Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension. 1533. https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/extensionhist/1533
This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Extension at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in Historical Materials from University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln.
lss*ed i:: fqnher€nce of Cocp*ra*ive Exte*sion r'**i" Acts of hky I and June ]0. lll4, in coaperatir:n w.ith tlrs?-i.5, l)*partr**xr of AEgicuit*re. EtbsrtC. Sickey,Inrerin:l Di:ectorci*C*opcruiiv*Ext*:sicn. Universlry*f li*.br*rka.
The following publication contains the sorghum basispafterns for several towns in Nebraska. Price information wascollected through surveys, newspapers, electronic media, etc.The listing includes towns representative of different geographiclocations in Nebraska. The amount of data varies amonglocations. This publication will be updated each year by addinga yea/s data to each location: This allows the user to observethe changing of basis patterns over time.
Why is Basis lmportant?
The understanding of basis is extremely important tothe producer who wishes to forward price sorghum production.Basis is important in the evaluation of Hedging, Cash Contracts,Basis Contracts, and Hedge to Arrive Contracts. An example issorghum held in storage in November which the producer plansto sell in May. This is formally known as a selling storage hedge.In hedging, the producer is establishing in advance the price tobe received when the grain is sold and the hedge is lifted. Theprice received when the commodity is sold on the futures marketis not the actual price the producer will ultimately receive. Thefutures price is the Chicago price for grain, not the Nebraskaprice, therefore, an adjustment will be made from the Chicagoprice. This adjustment is the basis. The basis can cause theproducer to either gain an additional profit or receive a lowerprice for the product than anticipated when the hedge wasplaced. An understanding of the basis enables the producer toevaluate forward cash contract offers and hedge to arrivecontracts in addition to hedging opportunities.
What is Basis?
Basis is the difference between the futures price andthe cash price at a specific locale at a particular time. By nowyou are asking yourself how you determine basis for sorghumsince there is no futures price traded for sorghum.
To figure sorghum basis we must use the Chicago cornfutures and your local cash sorghum price. Cash sorghum andcash corn prices should follow each other quite closely becausethe uses for both grains are very similar and can be substitutedfor the other. This would seem logical, but when studying basispattems the producer will discover that during certain times ofthe year basis does vary significantly.
Cash sorghum price generally runs about 90 to 95percent of cash corn. Since most fonrard pricing methods forsorghum are based on the Chicago com futures, the producermust understand basis in order to estimate what the final pricereceived will be. The basis is for the specific location where theproducer will market his product. For an individual producer to
determine the relevant basis, he must determine the futures pricefor com and obtain a spot cash price for sorghum from the localmarket. He must then subtract this spot cash sorghum price fromthe futures corn price. The result is the sorghum basis, or thelocalized futures price in the area.
The formula used for this is corn futures orice - localcash sorghum price = local sorghum basis. The producer shouldbe aware that the narrower or smaller the basis is at the time thehedge is liquidated, the higher the price received will be.
A negative basis would add an additional unexpectedprofit over the price position estiablished by the producer. Forexample, in the example below, the basis in Aurora on March 5,1992 was 39 cents and on July 2, 1992 nanowed to 23 cents.The basis was the widest on March 5th at 39 cents. For furtherexplanation of basis, see NebGuide G78416, The lmportance ofthe "Basis" in Trading on the Futures Market.
The study of past basis movements and their patternscan be useful in understianding future market opportunities. Forexample, a producer who hedges sorghum in June on theDecember corn futures must be able to estimate what theDecember basis will be when he lifts his hedge and sells thegrain on the cash market. This is the reason for compiling thisinformation. Hopefully it will be of use to the producer whoforward prices sorghum. When evaluating the following basisinformation, keep in mind how each basis was formulated. Thecash prices are the Thursday closing sorghum prices at the localelevator. Futures prices are the near-by corn contract month'sclosing price. The near-by contract months are December,March, May, July and September. To calculate the basis, eachThursday's local cash sorghum price is subtracted from thenear-by contract month's corn futures price.
Towns included in this publication are:BeatriceGenevaHoldregeMurdockTarnov
ColumbusGrand lslandManleySilver CreekWaverly
DuncanGreenwoodMeadSuperior
It is the intention of the author to update this reportannually. Appropriate additions, revision, or deletions will bemade at those times. Request for the updated reports should besent to the Department of Agricultural Economics, Institute ofAgricufture and Natural Resources, 217 H. C. Filley Hall,University of Nebraska-Lincoln, East Campus, Lincoln, NE68582-0922.
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