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Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor [email protected] u 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor [email protected] u 515-294-7801
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Page 1: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

ECON 339X:Agricultural Marketing

Chad HartAssistant [email protected]

John [email protected]

Page 2: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Options What are options?

An option is the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an item at a predetermined price within a specific time period.

Options on futures are the right to buy or sell a specific futures contract.

Option buyers pay a price (premium) for the rights contained in the option.

Page 3: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Option Types Two types of options: Puts and Calls

A put option contains the right to sell a futures contract.

A call option contains the right to buy a futures contract.

Puts and calls are not opposite positions in the same market. They do not offset each other. They are different markets.

Page 4: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Put Option

The Buyer pays the premium and has the right, but not the obligation, to sell a futures contract at the strike price.

The Seller receives the premium and is obligated to buy a futures contract at the strike price if the Buyer uses their right.

Page 5: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Call OptionThe Buyer pays a premium and has the

right, but not the obligation, to buy a futures contract at the strike price.

The Seller receives the premium but is obligated to sell a futures contract at the strike price if the Buyer uses their right.

Page 6: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Options as Price InsuranceThe person wanting price protection (the

buyer) pays the option premium.

If damage occurs (price moves in the wrong direction), the buyer is reimbursed for damages.

The seller keeps the premium, but must pay for damages.

Page 7: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Options as Price InsuranceThe option buyer has unlimited upside

and limited downside risk.If prices moves in their favor, the option

buyer can take full advantage.If prices moves against them, the option

seller compensates them.

The option seller has limited upside and unlimited downside risk.The seller gets the option premium.

Page 8: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Option Issues and ChoicesThe option may or may not have value at

the endThe right to buy at $4.00 has no value if the

market is below $4.00.

The buyer can choose to offset, exercise, or let the option expire.

The seller can only offset the option or wait for the buyer to choose.

Page 9: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Strike PricesThe predetermined prices for the trade of

the futures in the options

They set the level of price insurance

Range of strike prices determined by the futures exchange

Page 10: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Options Premiums Determined by trading in the marketplace Different premiums

For puts and calls For each contract monthFor each strike price

Depends on five variablesStrike pricePrice of underlying futures contractVolatility of underlying futuresTime to maturity Interest rate

Page 11: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Option References In-the-money

If the option expired today, it would have valuePut: futures price below strike priceCall: futures price above strike price

At-the-moneyOptions with strike prices nearest the futures price

Out-of-the-money If the option expired today, it would have no valuePut: futures price above strike priceCall: futures price below strike price

Page 12: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Options PremiumsDec. 2011Corn Futures$5.76 per bushel

Source: CBOT, 3/20/09

In-the-money

Out-of-the-money

Page 13: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Setting a Floor Price Short hedger Buy put option

Floor Price = Strike Price + Basis – Premium –

Commission

At maturity If futures < strike, then Net Price = Floor Price If futures > strike,

then Net Price = Cash – Premium – Commission

Page 14: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

-4

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Futures Return Net

Short Hedge GraphSold Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.76

Net = Cash Price + Futures Return

Page 15: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Put Option Return Net

Put Option GraphPut Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.80Premium = $0.77

Net = Cash Price + Put Option Return

Page 16: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Put Option Return Net Hedge

Put Option GraphPut Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.80Premium = $0.77

Page 17: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Put Option Return Net

Out-of-the-Money PutPut Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $4.50Premium = $0.18

Page 18: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Put Option Return Net

In-the-Money PutPut Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $7.00Premium = $1.61

Page 19: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Setting a Ceiling Price Long hedger Buy call option

Ceiling Price = Strike Price + Basis + Premium +

Commission

At maturity If futures < strike,

then Net Price = Cash + Premium + Commission If futures > strike, then Net Price = Ceiling Price

Page 20: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Futures Return Net

Long Hedge GraphBought Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.76

Net = Cash Price – Futures Return

Page 21: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Call Option Return Net

Call Option GraphCall Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.80Premium = $0.73

Net = Cash Price – Call Option Return

Page 22: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Call Option Return Net Hedge

Call Option GraphCall Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.80Premium = $0.73

Page 23: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Combination Strategies Option fence

Buy put and sell callHigher floor, but you now have a ceiling

Put spreadBuy At-the-money put and sell Out-of-the-money putBetter net price at middle and higher prices, but no

floor below Out-of-the-money strike price

Page 24: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

2

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Net w/ Fence

FenceBuy Put Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.50Premium = $0.59

Sell Call Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $6.50Premium = $0.50

Page 25: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

2

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Futures Price ($ per bushel)

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Cash Price Net w/ Spread

SpreadBuy Put Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $6.50Premium = $1.23

Sell Put Option Dec. 2011 Corn @ $5.00Premium = $0.35

Page 26: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Combination StrategiesButterfly

Condor

Straddle

Strangle

These positions can be flipped

Page 27: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Summary on OptionsBuyer

Pays premium, has limited risk and unlimited potential

Seller Receives premium, has limited potential and

unlimited riskBuying puts

Establish minimum pricesBuying calls

Establish maximum prices

Page 28: Econ 339X, Spring 2011 ECON 339X: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Assistant Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 John Lawrence Professor jdlaw@iastate.edu.

Econ 339X, Spring 2011

Class web site:http://www.econ.iastate.edu/~chart/Classes/econ339/Spring2011/


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