Economic governance and management

1Preferred supplier of quality statistics EconGovMgt

Economic governance and management

Presentation to the ad hoc committee on economic governance and management

Pali LehohlaStatistician General

1 November 2005


Structure of presentation• To supply quality statistics

• Purpose of Stats SA• Statistics Act• Statistics and governance• Available statistics

• Price statistics• Labour statistics• Industry statistics• Government statistics• National accounts• Socio-economic statistics


ELEMENTS OF THE SYSTEM

Personnel

RegulatoryFramework

Organisation

PolicyEnvironment

Council

Subject matterorganisation

Statistical Units Act

Minister

Facilities

Users

FunctionalSpecialisation

CommunicationCoordination

Geographicorganisation

Classifications

Data Items

Standards Producers

Suppliers


Purpose of Stats SAProvide a relevant and accurate body of statistics to inform users on the dynamics in the economy and society through theapplication of internationally acclaimed practices.

Benchmarks

• Statistics Act (Act 6 of 1999)• UN Fundamental Principles of official statistics• IMF Special Data Dissemination Standards

(SDDS) • Report on standards and Codes (ROSC)• System of National Accounts (SNA 93)• ILO labour markets definitions


Linking statistics and governance

• Criteria in data quality assessment framework

• Integrity• Methodological soundness• Accuracy and reliability• Serviceability• Acccessability

Statistics and governance


Priority area Relevant statistics

National priorities

Impact Africa and the world Contribution to statistical development

Grow the Economy

Create jobs

Deliver services

Eradicate poverty

Improve health

GDP and set of economic surveys, CPI, PPI etc

LFS and QES

GHS, Census, Community survey,Municipal Census

GHS, Census, Community survey

Mortality statistics


95/96 00/01 05/06 10/11

Fragmentedstatistics

TransformationStabilise &standardise

Coherentnational statistics

Evolution of statistics in Stats SA

1 black manager

No social statistics

Poor qualityEconomicstatistics

First inclusive Census

Set of social and employment stats

Start business register improvement

Second census based on geographic frame

6 (of 19) black SMS members

Stabilised social stats

Stabilised economic stats

Community survey


Improved living conditions information

Expanded coverage of economy

Census 2011



Linking statistics and governance

• Statistics measure previous economic governance and management• Various instruments are used• Vary according to method, frequency etc

• Statistics inform future economic management, development and policies

• Statistics itself are governed by international standards, methodologies and practices• SNA93, ILO, UN, SDDS, IMF, World Bank

Statistics and governance


Suite of economic statistics

• Price statistics• Monthly CPI(X), PPI

• Labour statistics• Quarterly formal employment, average monthly

earnings

• Industry statistics• Monthly, quarterly, annual, periodic variables on

economic performance of selected industries

Available economic statistics


Suite of economic statistics

• Government statistics• Quarterly and annual financial statistics for 3 levels of

government• The non-financials for service delivery

• National Accounts• Quarterly and annual measurement of national and

regional performance of economy

• Socio-economic statistics• Bi-annual employment and unemployment• Periodic measurement of informal economy• General Household Surveys

Available economic statistics


Economic statistics in Stats SA

Economic Statistics

- Consumer Price Statistics- Rural consumer Price Index- Production Price Statistics- Price Index for Services- JBCC (user paid) - (not N/A)- Mining Production & sales- Manufacturing Product' & sales- Manufacturing Utilisation of productioncapacity- Generation and consumptionof electricity- Tourism accommodation survey- Restaurant, fastfood outlets, bars &canteens- Trading statistics of Hotels- Land Freight Transport- Wholesale Trade sales- Retail Trade Sales- Retail Trade in Motor vehicles andAccessories- Liquidations and Insolvencies- Building Statistics

Monthly series Quarterly series Annual series

Economic Statistics

- Financial Statistics onMunicipalities- Survey on Levies- Financial Statistics (QFS) - privatesector

Employment Statistics- QES- LFS (6 monthly)

Economic Statistics

- Consolidated General GovernmentInstitutions- National Govern' expenditure- Provincial Govern' expenditure- Extra-budgetary Accounts and Funds- Universities and Technikons- Financial Statistics on Municipalities- Building Statistics- Economic Activity Survey- Actual and Expected CapitalExpenditure of Government- Municipalities: Non-financial data (notN/A)

Social and Population- General Household Survey- Causes of Death (not N/A)- Recorded Live Births (not N/A)- Mid-year population estimates (not N/A)- Marriages and divorces (not N/A)

3 Yearly series

Economic Statistics

- Business services (LSS)- Mining (LSS)- Manufacturing (LSS)- Wholesale and Retail trade (LSS)- Motor trade (LSS)- Post and Telecommunication (LSS)- Transport (LSS)

Social and Population

- Census replacement survey

5 /10 Yearly orOccasional series

Economic Statistics

- Income and Expenditure (5 yr)- Agriculture Census (periodic)

Social and Population

- Population Census (10 yr)

National Accounts- Quarterly GDP - Annual GDP - Tourism Satellite Accounts

- GDP per region - Social Accounting Matrix- Supply and use tables - Natural Resource Accounts

System of Statistics in Stats SA

Business Address Register

Spatial frame/Physical Address Register


Stakeholder satisfaction

De

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Price IndicesIncome & expenditure Poverty informationResearch and analysis

GDPSectoral economic statisticsBusiness RegisterQuality and MethodologyFinancial dataEmployment (SEE and LFS)General household surveyCensus 2006

GeographyMISDatawarehouse

Parallel samples

Prioritisation of challenges in 2003Attend to urgently Maintain and Improve

Drop Innovate


Price IndicesIncome & expenditure Poverty informationResearch and analysis

andCRSSecond EconomyConstructionService sector

GeographyMISDatawarehouse

Parallel samplesCensus 2006

And how it has changed in 2004

Attend to urgently Maintain and Improve

Drop Innovate

GDPSectoral economic statisticsBusiness RegisterQuality and MethodologyFinancial dataEmployment (SEE and LFS)General household survey

Stakeholder satisfaction

De

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External stakeholders

•Branding Stats SA•Census replacement survey•Matching of LFS questionnaires for panel analysis•Census 2011•ISI/ Commonwealth

Key projects as in 2004

Statistical process

•Benchmarking/re-basing GDP•CPI direct price collection•IES diary method•Quality improvement survey

and BR improvements•PPI updating of sample•Technology improvements –

collection and processing•Statistical data management

and warehousing•Regional offices•Geo-referenced dwelling unit frame

Governance

•Risk management •Asset management•Business process management•Assessment of IT infrastructure

Investment in the future

•Internship project•Human capacity development

Urgency

De

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Short-termLong-term

Hig

h Urgent to attend Quality control and management Recruitment CPI direct price collection methodology Income and Expenditure Survey Community Survey 2007 - geo-referenced dwelling frame - setting-up regional offices Re-engineering the Labour Force Survey (methodology) PPI re-weighting Providing Second economy information Statistical capacity development/Training and development strategy DMID Providing Poverty information Economic statistics strategy Managing risks effectively; Internship programme Improving procurement processes and systems; Improving critical stakeholder relations Managing the performance of the organisation Improving support to projects.

Long-term initiativesCensus 2011 Implementing the NSSEstablishing a permanent fieldwork force to collect information on a regional level; Improving the business register Technology for data collection and processing Strategy for vital statistics which includes the population registerRole of provinces which will include the decentralization of functions to the provincial officesImproving the legal capacity which includes legal policiesICT strategyCareer pathing Succession planning Employment Equity New Building

Maintain & Improve Longitudinal analysis of LFS Causes of death ISI 2009 Gross domestic productTourism Satellite accounts Maintenance of the master sample

Innovative Construction and Tourism statisticsMeasures for organisational performance Space/office accommodationPoliciesGeographic spread of economic activityBusiness process improvement projectDocument and records management systemsManagement Information System Research and developmentDesignation of official statisticsBranding Common Wealth ConferenceEffective cash flow management systemAsset managementTransformation (OD and change management)


Recent improvement in economic statistics

• Access to taxation data, improved coverage and scope

• Labour stats improved since 2002 STEE/AME - SEE - QES

• Economic activity survey: 2002 onwards• Short-term series: Level increases 2004• GDP revisions: November 2004• CPI – price colletors• IES – diary method



Future improvement in economic statistics

• Increased scope of short-term indicators, focusing on tertiary sector

• Improved detail of current short term indicators

• Maintaining the rotation of the LSS

• Increase the scope of the EAS

• Improved IES and price statistics

• Frequent measurement of informal sector



Economic governance and management

Presentation to the ad hoc committee on economic governance and management

Pali LehohlaStatistician General

1 November 2005

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Economic governance and management

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