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Economic prospects and trends for the staffing sector in 2014
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Economic prospects and
trends for the staffing sector
in 2014
A guide for staffing agencies on the factors shaping the opportunities for growth and business development in 2014
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Staffing sector ahead of the recovery curve
2012: IMF suggests no
recovery to 2007 levels of
economic growth until 2018
Staffing industry
well ahead of
the curve and
an early
beneficiary of
recovery
Future for staffing
looks bright well
before 2018; how
bright is 2014 going
to be?
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Where are we now?
Slowing growth in the global economy
Growth decelerating in emerging markets
Only moderate recovery in mature economies
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Confidence Seems to be Returning
The Eurozone crisis has receded along with fears of an EU
meltdown
The FTSE 100 is flying in the
mid to high 6,000s
Dow Jones at record highs and
204,000 US jobs created in
October 2013
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Geographical Trends
The UK
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Geographical Trends - UK
Agency rates are
increasing
There is a rise in permanent
hiring
Permanent staff salaries are inflating
Shortage of Temporary and Contract Staff
Faster Private Sector Growth in Permanent
Sectors
Stronger Public Sector Demand
for Temp/Contract
Continuing Controversy
over Zero Hours
Contracts
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UK Analysis
UK Confidence Rising Strongly
2.4% GDP Growth Expected
to be 0.9% Above Germany Optimistic CIPD Labour Market
Increased Prospects for
Private Investment
Question Mark over Zero Hours Contract Despite Enabling
Workforce Flexibility
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Geographical Trends EU
• Migration: The free movement of labour will continue
• North v South divide in EU employment rates
• Eastern Europe projected to grow output by 1.2%
• Improving confidence and private investment
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EU Analysis
• Reduced anxiety about disintegration of Eurozone and social unrest across the EU
• Italy and Spain expected to return to growth
• Increase in confidence likely to attract private investment
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Australia staffing
demand driven by
mining and construction
Geographical Trends - Asia Pacific, the Americas & Africa
Africa projected to
create 54 million jobs in the next 10 years Latin
America growing at a steady
rate
Growth in Asia Pacific slowing
North American
economies will grow in
2014
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Geographical Trends - Asia Pacific, the Americas & Africa
Africa the biggest
opportunity for
international business Respectable
growth in Latin America of
2.5% to 2.9% appears to be
healthy
Asia Pacific cooling but China still
outstanding at 7.5% for 2014
North American pivotal to
global recovery and US
expected to grow at 2.7%
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Agencies likely to invest in
efficiency enabling
technology
Industry Trends - Technology
The Back Office is Converging with the Front
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Industry Trends - Technology
Need to maximise profitability from rising labour demand and
increased hiring
Technology is the great
enabler of efficiency
Automating and integrating front and back office a major
opportunity
Requirement to invest, especially if deferred during
recession
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Industry Trends - Compliance & Regulation
Compliance and Regulation Remain Highly Influential "Need to satisfy demands for governance and Corporate and Social Responsibility."
www.123rf.com/photo_23197036
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Increasing awareness of
migrant worker pay
and conditions
Differences between
developed and
developing nations, but
gap to narrow
Technology has important role to play in
removing manual
overhead
Industry Trends - Compliance & Regulation
Reduces risk of compliance
failure
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Summary
• A global return to economic growth at 2007 levels may be four years away
• Gradual and steady improvement
• Encouraging signals for the global staffing industry in 2014
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References
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