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Economics Monetary Systems and Its Evolution Final

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  • 7/30/2019 Economics Monetary Systems and Its Evolution Final

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    Monitory Systems and its Evolution

    Wednesday, 01 May 2013

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    Agenda

    Slide 2

    3.Evolution Summary

    4. Gold Standard

    2. Monitory System Evolution Era

    1. Evolution of Money

    4. BW System

    4. Managed Floating Exchange Rate

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    Evolution of Money & Monitory System

    Slide 3 ITM XMBA 23

    Barter Commo

    dity

    Metal Money

    in formofObjects

    Ancient

    Coin

    Gold

    Sliver &CopperCoins

    Paper

    Money

    Monetary

    System

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    Overview: Modern Monitory System Evolution

    Electrum Coins, Lydia, 575 BC Silver Coins, Lycia, 500 BC Silver Coins, Athens, 450 BC Silver Coins, Greek city of Thurium, South Italy, 380 BC

    Before the GoldStandard (550 BC -1870 AD)

    The pre WWI financial order Known as the First age of Globalisation

    Transactions were facilitated by widespreadparticipation in the gold standard

    Gold Standard (1870

    1945)

    Bretton Woods System(1945- 1971)

    An alternative name is Washington Consensus Generally seen as spanning 19802009 (the latter half

    of the 1970s being a transitional period). The "Revived Bretton Woods system" identified in 2003

    The post BrettonWoods system: 1971

    present

    Slide 4 ITM XMBA 23

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    Evolution Summary

    Date System Reserve assets Leaders

    18031873 Bimetallism Gold, silver France, UK

    18731914 Gold standard Gold, pound UK

    19141924Anchored dollarstandard

    Gold, dollar US, UK, France

    19241933 Gold standard Gold, dollar, pound US, UK, France

    19331971Anchored dollarstandard

    Gold, dollar US, G-10

    19711973 Dollar standard Dollar US

    19731985Flexible exchange

    rates

    Dollar, mark, poundUS, Germany,

    Japan

    19851999Managed exchangerates

    Dollar, mark, yen US, G7, IMF

    1999- Dollar, euro Dollar, euro, yen US, Eurozone, IMF

    Slide 5 ITM XMBA 23

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bimetallismhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silverhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_standardhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_standardhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsche_Markhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germanyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsche_Markhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_yenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G8http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fundhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_yenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurozonehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fundhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fundhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurozonehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_yenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fundhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G8http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_yenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsche_Markhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germanyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsche_Markhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate_regimehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_standardhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollarhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_sterlinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_standardhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdomhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silverhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bimetallism
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    Gold Standard

    Slide 6 ITM XMBA 23

    The pre WWI financial order: 1870

    1914 Great Britain adopted the gold standard in 1821

    Australia in 1852

    Canada in 1853

    France in 1878

    Germany in 1871 US in 1879

    Process of Adjustment

    US - One dollar was defined to be equal to the value of 23.22 grains ofpure gold (1 troy ounce = 480 grains of gold). [Gold Standard Act, 1900]

    UK - The gold content of pound sterling was fixed by Coinage Act of 1816at 113 grains of pure gold.

    Exchange rate between the dollar and the pound was

    p = 113/23.22 = $4.866

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    Gold Standard

    Slide 7 ITM XMBA 23

    Gold Export Point

    Cost of shipping gold fromLondon to New York was$0.026 per pound

    Exchange rate was able tofluctuate between limit of$4.866 0.026

    $4.892 = gold import point for

    UK

    $4.840 = gold export pointfor UK

    Spot Price

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    Gold Standard

    Slide 8 ITM XMBA 23

    Between the World Wars: 1919

    1939 During World War I the international gold standard ceased to function.

    By the end of war in June 1918, inflation rates varied greatly, because nationsprinted more money to finance war.

    Russian revolution occurred in 1917.

    Adjust Gold Parity

    After the war in 1918, US announced that it would maintain the dollar price of gold atits prewar level. That is, it is willing to export gold at $20.67 per ounce.

    Gold Standard Act 1925

    Gold Standard Restored: 1925-1931

    Under this system, each country holds gold or dollar or pound as reserve asset.

    The United States and Great Britain were to hold only gold as reserve asset. Key reserve currencies, dollar and pound.

    Dollar and pound were freely convertible into gold between central banks, but not forthe general public.

    Most countries that were on the silver standard also pegged silver to the dollar,except China and Hong Kong.

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    Gold Standard

    Slide 9 ITM XMBA 23

    Problems

    BP deficits. Adopted deflationary policy In the decade that followed (1930s), these countries had 3 options to

    prevent gold outflow:(a) countries tried to manage or stabilize the flexible exchange rates - byraising interest rate, but it did not prevent capital outflow.(b) Some countries devalued their currencies(c) others imposed exchange control when faced with capital flight.

    Gold Standard Amendment Act -1931 - Britain suspended gold payments

    Devaluation of Dollar - Gold Reserve Act of 1934

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    Bretton Woods System

    730 delegates from all 44 Allied nationsgathered at the Mount Washington Hotel in

    Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, United States

    A desire to reform the intl monetary system toone based on mutual cooperation and freely

    convertible currencies.

    Fixed ex rate system imposes restriction onmonetary policy of countries. Floating ex rates

    were regarded as a cause of speculativeinstability.

    Slide 10 ITM XMBA 23

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    Bretton Woods Agreement

    Slide 11 ITM XMBA 23

    International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    Purpose: To lend FX to any member whose supply of FX had become scarce. (To helpthe countries facing difficulty: CA deficit tight monetary policy employment).Lending would be conditional on the members pursuit of economic policies that IMFwould think appropriate (IMF Conditionality).

    Reserve currency

    The US dollar would be designed as a reserve currency, and other nations wouldmaintain their FX reserves in the form of dollars.

    Gold Exchange Standard

    Each country fixed its ex rate against the dollarand the value of dollar is defined by theofficial gold price $35 per ounce (Gold Exchange Standard).

    Fundamental disequilibrium

    A Fund member could change its par value only with Fund approval and only if thecountrys BOP was in fundamental disequilibrium.

    Subscription

    Countries would have to make a payment (subscription) of gold and currency to theIMF in order to become a member.

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    Decline and Fall of the BW System

    1958-65: Private capital outflows from US1965-68: Johnson Administration

    The bad US macroeconomic policy packagecaused considerable damage to the US economyand the intl monetary system.

    Involvement in the Vietnam conflict

    Great Society program

    G Deficit MS P & CA (stagflation)

    Slide 12 ITM XMBA 23

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    Decline and Fall of the BW System

    1971: US CA deficit massive private purchaseof DM Bundesbank intervened in FX market by buyinghuge amount of dollars, then it gave up and allowed theDM to float.

    August 1, 1971: Nixons announcement Stop to sell gold for dollars to foreign central banks

    10% tax on all imports until revaluation of eachcountrys currency against the dollars

    Freeze on prices and wages

    Slide 13 ITM XMBA 23

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    Managed Floating Exchange

    1971 - Smithsonian Agreement - Stableexchange rates with wider bands

    1972 Snake in the Tunnel Europe.

    1976 Jamaica Agreement Floating exchangerates

    Managed Floating exchange rates

    Slide 14 ITM XMBA 23

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    References

    Sr. No Reference

    1 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_monetary_systems

    2 http://www.bcb.gov.br/?originmoney

    3 E book (Bretton Woods System)

    4 International Economics by M L Jhingan

    Slide 15 ITM XMBA 23


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