TheEconomicsofeHealth
JulianSchweitzer
ChristinaSynowiec
ResultsforDevelopmentInstitute
INTRODUCTION
Thevalueofresearch
Informationandcommunicationtechnologies(ICTs)arepotentiallypowerfulinstrumentstostrengthenhealthsystems,withinnovationsrangingfromelectronichealthrecordstotransmissionofclinicaldata.These technologies show great promise in low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs) whose health
systemsfaceseverefinancial,infrastructural,technicalandhumanresourceconstraints.Thisisevidentinthegrowingnumberofhealthserviceprovidersbeginningtofocusonmobiletechnologiestoimproveaccessandqualityofhealthservices1.
At the same time, there is a growing debate aboutwhether the toutedpotential of ICT benefits and
savingscanbeactualizedonalargescale,bothinOECDcountriesandLMICs2.OveradecadeofeffortstoimplementICTsinhealthcaredemonstratenotablesuccesses,butalsocostlyfailures2.Furthermore,despitea growingglobal interest ine‐ andmHealth, relatively little is knownabout theeconomicsof
eHealth.Infact,arecentpapernotesthatthefailuretodemonstratethevalueofeHealthisoneoftheprincipalchallengestoachievingwidespreadadoptionofhigh‐performingICTinitiatives2.However,the
lack of hard evidence to support eHealth investments should be seen in the context of a rapidlydevelopingfield;othermajoreconomicsectorshaveembracedmodernITtoimproveproductivityandeffectiveness,and it is likely that thehealthsectorcanalsoshare inmanyof thesebenefits.There is,
however,arealneedforeconomicanalysisthatcanguidepublicandprivateinvestmentdecisions.
Given the increasing number of mHealth trials and level of interest in e‐ and mHealth, this is anopportunetimetoreviewtheavailabledataonthecostsandbenefitsofe‐andmHealthandsuggestaroadmapforfutureresearch.Thispaperisintendedtoprovideanoutlineofkeyeconomicandfinancial
questions to pursue in the development of scenarios for in‐country eHealth policy and strategyinvestments.
1ThispaperreviewstheeconomicsofeHealth(ofwhichmHealthisapart),thoughasapracticalmattermHealthhasthepotentialtopredominateinLMICsduetothegrowingubiquityofwireless,therelativeabsenceofwiredinfrastructure,andtheimportanceofdeliveringcaretopeoplewithlimitedaccesstoclinicsandskilledhealthworkers.2OECD.“ImprovingHealthSectorEfficiency:TheRoleofInformationandCommunicationTechnologies.”Paris:OECD,2010.
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The term mHealth is defined in this paper as the provision of health‐related services using mobiletelecommunication andmultimedia technologies3, 4.Mobile technology, general e‐infrastructure, and
eHealth infrastructure are interrelated entities, with mobile technologies serving as a key accesstechnologyinLMICs.WithinICTs,portabletechnologythroughtheuseofmobiledevices(mHealth)isbyfar the fastest growing segment¹. Examples ofmobile devices commonly utilized in healthcare today
include(butarenotlimitedto):
• Mobilephonesandsmartphones• Laptopcomputersandnetbooks• GlobalPositioningSystem(GPS)devices
• Mobiletelemedicine/telecaredevices• Mobilepatientmonitoringdevices
Thispaperfocusesontechnologiesthatarelikelytohavehighpotentialtoenhancehealthcaredeliveryin LMICs. These include technologies that increase patient access to health services and information,
and improve thewayhealthprofessionalsdeliverhealthservices. Inmostcases,mHealthexistsasanextensionandaugmentationofexistingIT‐basedhealthcapability(eHealth),howeverlimitedthatmaybe. Indeed, it isthiscombinationthat is likelytoproducethegreatestsystemicbenefits,thoughthere
areemerging solutions in theareasofpatientaccess to information (e.g.peer‐to‐peer forumson theweb),andinsupplychainefficiencies(preventingcounterfeiting,stock‐outs),thatarenotdependentonthenationalhealthcaresystems,publicandprivate.
ThepromiseofeandmHealthinLMICs
ThepotentialofmHealthandeHealth for resource‐constrainedenvironmentsbecomesobviouswhen
considering the following facts. 1) TheglobaleHealthmarket is estimatedat$96billionandgrowing,withmanyinnovationscomingfromLMICs5,6.2)70%ofallmobilephoneusersareinemergingmarkets,whicharealso the fastest growingmarkets7, 8. 3)Almost90%of theworld’spopulation lives in areas
withmobilephonecoverage,providingatechnologyplatformformHealthapplications7, 9.4)By2012,half of all individuals in remote areas of the world will have mobile phones10. 5) Smartphones
3Istepanian,R.andJ.Lacal(2003).“EmergingMobileCommunicationTechnologiesforHealth:SomeImperativenotesonm‐Health.”Paperpresentedatthe25thInternationalConferenceoftheIEEEEngineeringinMedicineandBiologySociety,Cancun,Mexico.4Mechael,PatriciaN.“TheCaseformHealthinDevelopingCountries.”Innovations.Cambridge,MA:MITPress,2009.5BostonConsultingGroup.UnderstandingtheeHealthmarket.Presentedat“MakingtheeHealthConnection:GlobalPartners,LocalSolutions”.Bellagio,Italy:2008.6Gerber,Ticia,VeronicaOlazabal,KarlBrown,andArielPablos‐Mendez.“AnAgendaforActiononGlobalE‐Health.”HealthAffairs29:2(2010):235‐238.7InternationalTelecommunicationsUnionStatistics,2010.8Lambert,OlivierandElizabethLittlefield.“DialGrowth.”Finance&Development46:3(2009).9VitalWaveConsulting.“mHealthintheGlobalSouth:LandscapeAnalysis.”Washington,D.C.:UnitedNationsFoundationandVodafoneFoundation,2008.10VitalWaveConsulting.“mHealthforDevelopment:TheOpportunityofMobileTechnologyforHealthcareintheDevelopingWorld.”Washington,D.C.:UnitedNationsFoundationandVodafoneFoundation,2009.
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constituted14%ofallhandsetsalesin2009,werebyfarthefastestgrowingsegment(up24%),andarepredicted to reachparitywithglobal featurephonesalesby2012,enablinga slewofmoreadvanced
mHealthapplications.Therapidlyincreasingubiquity,capabilityandinnovationofmobiletechnologiesstandsinstarkcontrasttothoseofmoreconventionalhealthtechnologiesandhealthinfrastructuresinmany LMICs, demonstrating the potential of mobile technologies to help a rapid scale up and
improvementofhealthservicestounderservedpopulations.
ThehealthcaresectorinmanyLMICsisconstrainedbythehighfinancialandhumanresourcecosts,aswellas lengthy implementation times,ofexpandinghealth facilitiesand trainingworkforcesbasedonacceptedWHOstandards.ArecentreportfromUNICEF11arguesforanequity‐basedapproachtochild
survivalasthemostpracticalandcost‐effectivewayofmeetingthehealthMillenniumGoals,and it islikelythatmHealthwillbeakeytool inthearsenalofpoliciesandprogramstoreachpoorandunder‐served populations. Many policymakers are therefore exploring the extent to which ICT, especially
mobiletechnologies,canaugmentorsubstituteexistinghealthcaremodelsbyfocusingondistributedprimary care and centralized administration. This approach leverages the limited ICT administrativecapacityofthehealthcaresystem,whileextendinghealthknowledgedirectlytovillagesandcommunity
health workers, using mobile solutions that include data collection, remote diagnostics, treatmentchecklists,decisionsupport,andpatientreminders.
More than 100 countries are now exploring the use of mobile phones to achieve better health. InGhana,forinstance,nursemidwivesusemobilephonestodiscusscomplexcaseswiththeircolleagues
andsupervisors.InIndia,mDhil12sendstextmessagesgivinginformationaboutvariousrarelydiscussedhealthtopicsandsupportingpreventionandpatientself‐managementefforts.Rwandausesasystemofrapid SMS alerts, through which community health workers inform health centers about emergency
obstetricandinfantcases,enablingthecenterstoofferadviceorcallforanambulanceifneeded13.
mHealth and eHealth have the potential to overcome many traditional obstacles to the delivery ofhealth services to the poor in LMICs, especially those of access, quality, time, and resources4. In
particular, one obstaclemany LMICs face in the delivery of health services is the shortage of healthworkers andpoordistributionofexistingproviders.Atpresent, 57 countries face critical shortagesofhealthworkers, with estimates ranging from a global deficit of 2.4million to over 4million doctors,
nurses, andmidwives14, 15. These problems are exacerbated by deficiencies in the skills, training, anddistributionoftheexistingworkforce,withthemajorityofhighlyskilledhealthworkerslocatedinurbancenters10.
11UNICEF.“NarrowingtheGapstoMeettheGoals.”NewYork:UNICEF,2010.http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Narrowing_the_Gaps_to_Meet_the_Goals_090310_2a.pdf.12mDhilisanmHealthproductthatprovidesbasichealthcareinformationtotheIndianconsumerviatextmessaging,mobilewebbrowser,andinteractivedigitalcontent.Seehttp://www.mdhil.com/aboutus13UN,GlobalStrategyforWomenandChildren’sHealth,2010.14WorldHealthOrganization.TheWorldHealthReport2006:WorkingTogetherforHealth.Geneva:WHO,2006.15WorldHealthOrganizationandGlobalHealthWorkforceAlliance.TheKampalaDeclarationandAgendaforGlobalAction.Geneva:WHO,2008.
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Low‐cost mobile technologies can overcome some of these barriers through the remote delivery ofhealth services and information, thus leveraging existing health service delivery platforms. Low‐cost
mobile technologiescanalsoplayan important role inenhancingtheeffectivenessofhealthworkers,while giving rural and periurban populations access to health resourceswhere skilled healthworkersand conventional infrastructure are limited. For example, the government of Rwanda recently
announced a $32m eHealth plan to coordinate and promote the use of technology to supporthealthcaredeliverynationwide,withtheultimategoalof leveraging ICTmechanisms, includingmobiletechnologies,toachieveuniversalhealthcoverage16.
Perhaps nowhere is there greater potential for mHealth than in accelerating progress towards the
MaternalandChildMillenniumDevelopmentGoals(MDGs)17.Poorwomenandchildrenoftenhaveverylowaccess toqualityhealth servicesdue topoverty, lackofphysicalaccess tohealth facilities,poorlytrainedhealthproviders, and cultural factors that limit health care accessibility18.Many countries are
successfully employing community health workers to provide a first line service to these neglectedgroups. e‐ andmHealthhave thepotential to enhance these servicesbyproviding first‐lineproviderswithinformation,low‐costandeasy‐to‐usediagnosticanddecisionsupporttools,andaccesstoremote
diagnosticcenters,whilegivingsystemsadministratorsrealtime,actionableinformationontheirstaff,supplychains,andemergingpatterns.Insummary,thee‐andmHealthcombinationhasthepotentialtoincreaseprogresstowardglobalhealthgoals,rangingfromimproveddisease‐specificoutcomessuchas
HIV/AIDSandmalaria,tostrengthenedhealthsystems.
TheeconomicevidencebaseforeandmHealth
Althoughthereisagrowingrecognitionofthepotentialbenefitsofe‐andmHealth,theliteratureshowslittleresearchtodateintotheeconomicimpactofsuchinvestmentsinLMICs.First,whilemanypapersnotethepotentialbenefitsofeHealth9,10,3,4,fewtakethisbeyondspeculation,bymeasuringoutcomes
directly linked to e‐ andmHealth solutions. Second,muchof the literature takes amicro‐viewof thefield,restrictedtoacase‐specificevaluationofexistingtechnologies10,19,20.Third,asfurtherdiscussedinthe section “LMIC‐specific cost analysis”, the limited range of studies on the economics of eHealth is
mainlyconfinedtoOECDcountries21, 22, 23,withperhapsrather limitedrelevancefortheverydifferent
16TheNewTimes.“$32MHealthInitiativeUnveiled.”www.newtimes.co.rw/pdf.php?issue=14315&article=19469.1September2009.17MDG4:Reducechildmortality;MDG5:Improvematernalhealth.18WorldHealthOrganization.Countdownto2015:TrackingProgressinMaternal,NewbornandChildSurvival.The2008Report.Geneva:WHO,2008.19WorldBank.eCapacityEnhancementProjectfortheHealthSectorinSriLanka.Geneva:WorldBank,2005.20eHealthCaseStudies.http://www.ehealth‐impact.org/case_studies/index_en.htm.21OECD.ImprovingHealthSectorEfficiency:TheRoleofInformationandCommunicationTechnologies.Paris:OECD,2010.22RANDEuropeandCapgeminiConsulting.BusinessModelsforeHealth.Cambridge,UnitedKingdom:EuropeanCommission,2009.23Dobrev,Alexander,TomJones,KarlStroetmann,YvonneVatter,andKaiPeng.StudyontheEconomicImpactofInteroperableElectronicHealthRecordsandePrescriptioninEurope.Germany:EuropeanCommission,2009.
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problems that LMICs face (including the continuing brain drain of ICT and healthcareworkers to thedevelopedworld).
Withthisinmind,thispaperaimstoencouragefurtherdiscussionandresearcharoundtheeconomics
of eHealth in LMICs. Some important questions for consideration include: 1) the costs of eHealthinfrastructure;2)regulatorystructureswhichprovideincentivesatdifferentlevelsofthehealthdeliverysystemtoencourageinvestmentin,anduseof,eHealth;and3)measuringtheoutcomesofsuccessful
eHealthutilization,includinganticipatedreturnoninvestment(ROI).TheneedisnotjusttoaddupthecostsofICTs,buttocomparethecostsofadistributedapproachtothecurrenthealthservicedeliverycost structure. It should also be noted that eHealth andmHealth deployments to date have almost
invariably been one‐off solutions for specific problems, rather than standardized, integrated systemsconnectingandsharinginformationalongthefullcontinuumofcare.Asiloedapproachcanresultin1)interoperabilityconcerns,and2)the inabilitytopromotescale.Andfinally, it is importanttoevaluate
howeHealthisapplied,asthatwillalsodetermineitseffectiveness.
In recognition thateHealth isalreadya rapidlyprogressing field,answers to thesequestions canhelpidentify:1)howtobest leveragethesetechnologiesat lowestcost,and2)howtoprioritize initiativesbasedonneed,availabilityof resources,andanticipatedoutcomes.Toward thisaim,wehavedivided
the paper into two main sections focused on the costs and benefits of eHealth. Each section willhighlightspecificquestionsforfurtherresearch,settingtheroadmapforongoingresearchandanalysis.Withineachquestion,wereviewtheavailableliterature,proposepromisingareasofinquiry,andoffer
methodstogenerateeconomicmodelsforplanningandanalysis.
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ANEXAMINATIONOFEHEALTHCOSTS
LMICspecificcostanalysis
TheliteratureonthecostofICTsinhealthislargelylimitedtoOECDcountries,withafocusontheroleof information and communication technologies in improving health sector efficiency, deriving value
fromeHealthsystems,andassessingtheeconomic impactofeHealth investments.mHealth isnottheexplicitfocusoftheresearch.Furthermore,whilethisanalysisisusefulasastartingpoint,itmaynotbeentirely relevant for LMICs. First,mostOECDcountriesareheavilyurbanized,withgenerallyuniversal
accesstohealthcare.Muchoftheinvestmenthasthereforegoneintohealthmanagementinformationsystemsandhospitaladministration,ratherthantheuseofmHealthtoincreaseaccessforunderservedpopulations. Second, the level of training of health workers, the public‐private mix of healthcare
financingandproviders, thehealthand ITregulatorysystems,andthecapacityofthepublicsectortointroducenewtechnologiesmaybeverydifferentinpoorercountries.
ItisthereforeimportantthatseparatestudiesarecarriedoutinLMICs.Thesebroad‐basedstudiesneedto focuson LMIC‐specific issues, including1) the introductionofmobile technologies in remote, rural
areas; and2) the trainingof communityhealthworkers tousemHealth technologies.Outlinedbelowarepotentialapproachestoassessinge‐andmHealthcosts, includinganexaminationoftheimpactofmHealthonoverallhealthcarecosts,thedriversofcostwithinmHealthitself,andincentivestructuresto
drivedowncostsofmHealth.Thiscanincludecost‐effectiveness,cost‐benefit,andcost‐utilityanalysesas economic evaluations. Regardless of approach, it is important to maintain an LMIC‐specific lenswithineachapproachinordertoaddressthedeficitofresearchonmHealthcostswithinLMICs.
ImpactofeHealthonhealthcosts
Historically, inrichcountries,technological innovationhastendedtodrivehealthcarecostsupwards24.
Overall costs rise as new, expensive products are diffused to increasingly broader segments of thepatientpopulation.Ithasproveddifficulttocontroldemand,eveniftheefficacyofthenewproductisnotyetwelldemonstrated.Forexample,withintheUnitedStatestherearemanymarketincentivesfor
consumerstooverusenewproducts, inturndrivingoverallcostsup. Informationtechnologymayalsofail todecrease thecostsofhealthadministration.Contrary to theoverallexperienceofbusinessandgovernmententerprisesoutsideofhealth,whereICThasincreasedproductivity,arecentHIMSSsurvey
showedthatwhileU.S.hospitalshaveincreasedtheiruseofIT,therewasnoindicationthatitloweredcostsorstreamlinedadministration25.
It is a reasonablehypothesis, however, that the introductionof low‐costmobile technologieshas thepotential to reverse this trend, at least as far as delivering health services to poor, underserved
populations in both rural and urban areas. The cost ofmobile phones, other hand‐held devices, and
24Beever,CharlesandMelanieKarbe.TheCostofMedicalTechnologies:MaximizingtheValueofInnovation.McLean,Virginia:BoozAllenHamilton,2003.25HealthcareITNews.“HealthITsavingsestimatesare‘wishfulthinking,’sayHarvardresearchers.”
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computershasdeclineddramaticallyoverthelastdecadeevenascapabilitieshaveincreased.Similarly,mobile bandwidth capacity is increasing as costs decline26. Remote collection and transmission of
diagnostic data by community healthworkers to centers with a criticalmass of computer programs,skilledtechniciansanddoctors(andcomputers)tointerpretthedatashouldbemorecost‐effectivethanoften unsuccessful efforts to train and deploy an adequately skilled workforce in rural areas (and
developtherequisiterural infrastructure).eHealthcanprovidetransformativealternativesto increasetheproductivityofhealthcare.However,sincee‐andmHealtharestillintheirrelativeinfancyinLMICs,thereislittleconcretedataandresearchtotesthypothesesofthiskind.
Potentialmethodsforevaluatingsuchtrendsinclude:
• Analysis of relevant technology cost trends outside of healthcare. This would allow for the
extrapolationoftrendsingeneralICTcoststopotentialcostshiftsinhealthICTs.Whilethereislittle direct evidence on the impact of ICTs on the cost of healthcare in LMICs, it is wellestablished that ICTunit costs aredeclining rapidly. Forexample, according toU.S.Bureauof
LaborStatisticsconsumerpricedataforcomputerequipmentandmobilephones27,thepriceofcomputershasdroppeddrastically,witha20%annualdecreasefrom1999to2003andan11‐12%annualdeclineforthelastthreeyears.Theevaluationofnon‐healthcaretechnologycosts
overtimeisappealingasanimmediateproxyforthelackofreadilyavailabledataoneHealth‐specificcostsglobally.
• Analysisofcostof increasedconsumptionofhealthservicesasaresultofmHealth.mHealth is
largelyintendedtoprovideincreasedhealthaccesstopeoplethataretypicallyexcludedorhardtoreach.StudiesofmHealth’s impactontotalhealthexpenditureswouldcomparethecostofthis increasedusewiththecost if thesameserviceshadbeendeliveredandconsumed in the
traditionalmanner.• Country‐specificcasestudy. Aspreviouslynoted,availableresearchoncostsrelatedtoe‐and
mHealtharetypicallyrestrictedtoOECDandEUcountries21,22,23,andmayhavelimitedvalueforpolicymakers in LMICs (althoughprovidingauseful startingpoint in studydesign,monitoring,and evaluation). Further, most trials of mHealth in LMICs are of single source solutions. To
betterunderstandcosttrendsinLMICs,itwillbenecessarytocarryoutaseriesofcasestudiesincountrieswithadiverserangeofdevelopmentandhealthchallenges.PotentialcountriesforresearchincludeIndia,China,Nigeria,Ghana,Rwanda,andSouthAfrica.Thesestudiesneedto
bebroadanddeepenough to reflectacompletesystemor subsystem,suchasmaternal carewithinadistrict.Thiswillallowthefullrangeofcostsandbenefitstobeaddressed.
• Segmentation of the eHealth LMIC market. Understanding segmentation of the consumer
market is important in understanding product and service functionality, and the potentialimpactonprices.eHealthhasyettobesubjectedtothisdisciplineasitisstillinitsearlystagesof development and largely driven by government grants and research donations. The
26Toputthisincontext,inruralIndia,mobilephonecoverageis25per100population,withhighercostsinruralthaninurbanareasduetopowershortages.Only50mpeople,largelyinurbanareas,havebroadbandaccessandthereareseriouscapacityconstraints(evidenceprovidedtoauthor).However,scaleupislikelytoberapid.27U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics:ConsumerPriceIndex.http://www.bls.gov/cpi/
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Rockefeller Foundation‐funded Center for Health Market Innovations database28, housed byResultsforDevelopmentInstitute,mayrevealusefulinformationthatcanhelpidentifythelevel
of adoption of mobile technologies by market demographics. For example, it appears fromstudiesbytheDevelopmentFundoftheGlobalSystemsforMobileCommunicationsAssociation(GSMA) that 24x7 health information call centers are a valued and profitable service in a
numberofLMICcountries29.Thisinformationcanhelporganizationsdevelopingmobiledevicesto focuson thesubsetof thepopulationmost likely toadopt the technology,basedonneed,interest, and rate of return. It can also help organizations identify differences in product
considerationswhendefiningmarketsegments.
DriversofcostwithineHealth
In order for eHealth to fulfill its potential, the likely drivers of costwithin the eHealth infrastructure
should be assessed and, in turn, successful methods to contain costs identified. Such analysis firstrequires the identification and assessment of the individual drivers of costwithin e‐ andmHealth, asoutlined below. In recognition that an assessment of cost drivers should not be the sole focus of a
financialanalysisofeHealth,thecostdriversoutlinedbelowserveasastartingpointforfutureresearch.
Potentialmethodsforevaluatingkeycostdriversinclude:
Productionprocess
• UpfrontinvestmentinplanningtheeHealthinfrastructure.Thiscanstandasafixedorvariable
cost,butisaninherentpartofeHealthinfrastructuredevelopment.Thiscanincludethehumanresources,technologydevelopment,andinitialtrainingcosts,aswellasthecostsofdevelopingmetricstomeasureeHealthperformanceovertime.
• Assessmentof integrated, interoperable systems (platforms) vs. aone‐offapproach. ICTshaveproliferated globally because standardization and competition have driven down costs andaddressed consumer needs very effectively. Thus far, eHealth andmHealth investments have
oftenbeentheopposite:primarilyone‐offprojectstosolvespecificproblems.Amoreefficientapproachistoseektoreplicatethescopeandscaleoftheglobalwirelessindustrythroughthestandardizationofthearchitectureandinterfacesofunderlyinghardwareandsoftware.Thiswill
allow the technology tobe interoperable and support the full continuumof care through thesharing of platforms and common utilities. While there are certainly country differences inpolicy, content and infrastructure development, there are many similarities that can be
leveragedtopromotescaleandreducecosts.AnotherexampleofdeploymentefficiencyistheabilitytohostmHealthapplicationsinlarge,securedatacenters;thiscanhelpmitigatetheneedfor IT infrastructure and expertise at the local level. It can also promote the sharing and
implementationofbestpracticesmorequickly(duetofewernodestoupgrade).
28CenterforHealthMarketInnovations.http://healthmarketinnovations.org29Ivatury,Gautam,JesseMoore,andAlisonBloch.ADoctorinYourPocket:HealthHotlinesinDevelopingCountries.London:GSMADevelopmentFund,2009.
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• eHealth’simpactonhumanresources.TheimpactofICTsonthedeploymentofhealthworkers,such as physicians, is critical to evaluate in determining overall costs.While distributed care
obviously cannot always substitute for actual practitioner‐to‐patient care (for example, ifsurgeryisrequired),itcanenhancethequalityofdiagnosticandtreatmentservicesandgreatlyincrease patient access, especially to initial primary care. For example, a telemedicine link
betweenaspecialistlocatedinanurbansettingandapatientinaruralsettingpromotesaccess,butmaynotchangethecoststructure.However,adistributedhealthsystemwhere functionscurrentlydesignedtobeperformedbydoctorsornursesinaclinicsettingaretransferredtoless
expensivehealthworkersinthefield(ortocomputers),enabledandmonitoredwithICT,savingonlythecriticalcasesforthedoctorstoreview,maysignificantlyimpactthecoststructure.
• Costsavingsasaresultoftheexistingwirelessmarketinfrastructure.AkeyissueformHealthis
thecostandcapabilitiesofwirelesshardwareandservices.Thesearegenerallyalreadysharedwithnon‐healthservices,resultingincostsavings.Furthermore,privateentitieshavedevelopedsuch infrastructures with private investment, taking advantage of global economies of scale.
Thereisaclearupwardtrendincapabilities(asevidencedbytheintroductionofhighercapacitynetworksandsmartphones),andacleardownwardtrendincostsofhandsetsandservice.Thelatterisstillrelativelyhighinanumberofdevelopingmarkets.Theprimarydeterminantofcost
of telecommunications to healthcare users will be some combination of competition in theoverallmarketandanyspecialarrangementsmadeforhealth,eitherbyacarrierformarketingreasons,orarrangementswiththegovernment.
• Assessmentof thecost‐impactof sharingservicesbetweenmHealthandothermServices.Thegrowingubiquityofmobile technologies is resulting in thedevelopmentofmServices,suchas
mobile banking,with an increasing emphasis on location‐based services enabled byGPS. Thecross‐impactsofmPaymentsandmInsurancewithmHealth isparticularly interesting,withthepotentialtoleveragecommonidentificationandregistrydatabases.Giventheoverlapbetween
mHealthandmServices, itwouldbeuseful toanalyze the cost savingopportunitiesof shareddevices,servicesandinformationplatforms(e.g.sharedpromotionandeducationcoststothesameusers,commonsupportandbilling,etc.)
• Anexaminationoftherelationshipbetweencostandmassproduction. Increasedunitdemandleads to volume production that pushes down unit costs in electronics. The GSMA led aninitiative to reduce the cost of mobile handsets, by aggregating demand from a number of
developing countries, and then developing a handset contract with an assured volume of 40millionphones30.IftheforcesoftheglobalmarketcanbebroughttobearonmHealth,similareconomiesofscalearelikelytoprovetrueformHealthtechnologies,and,potentially,mHealth
services. Increased demand for mHealth technologies (resulting in part from the benefits ofstandardization)wouldallowvendorstoreducepricesandincreasemarketshareandsize.Forexample, a developer of a wireless ultrasound product currently prices an individual unit at
US$5,000.However,thepricewoulddropbelowUS$1,000perunit if therewereamarketfor100,000 units31. Standardization has other benefits. The mobile industry recently agreed to
30GSMAEmbeddedMobileinitiative.Seewww.gsmworld.com/our‐work31Anecdotalevidenceprovidedtoauthors.
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movetoauniversalpowersupplydesign,which,inadditiontocostbenefits,meansanyphonecanuseanycharger.Furtherinvestigation,includingdiscussionswithtechnologymanufacturers
andsupplierswillhelpdeterminewhethersucheconomiesofscaleinmHealthdevicesarelikelyto be thenorm, orwhether amarket intervention is needed to aggregatedemand (incentivestructuresforeconomiesofscalearediscussedbelow).
• Impact of competition on product cost. Competition has the potential to increase efficienciesand drive down costs amongst competing vendors. As such, it is important to survey thelandscapeofexistingandpotentialcompetitionforthespecificeHealthproduct, inadditionto
opportunitiesforpartnershipsandeconomiesofscale.
Publicprivatepartnerships
• Cost‐impactofpublic‐privatepartnerships(countrycasestudy).ItismostlikelythateHealthand
mHealthwillbeofferedinLMICsbyacombinationofpublicandprivateentities,withpotentialimplicationsforcosts.Forexample,wirelesscarriersmaychoosetohostapplicationsorservicesforfreeorreducedcostsinordertostimulateoverallwirelessdemand.Giventhatanumberof
thesepartnershipsarealreadyindevelopmentincountrieslikeBrazil32andSouthAfrica33,theyprovide a real‐time opportunity to collect and assess data on the cost impact of suchrelationships10.However,theyarecurrentlylimitedinscope.Asthehealthvaluechainandthe
paralleleconomicvaluechainforintegratedsystemsalongthecontinuumofcarearedevelopedandunderstood,partiescandevelopsustainablepartnershipswherepublicandprivateinterestsare both served. In essence, how can each sector best direct the financial, technical, and
operationalresponsibilitiesofdevelopinganmHealthinfrastructureinacost‐effectivefashion?This isa criticalarea forpublicandprivate leaders toadvance, creatingexamples thatcanbestudied.
• Casestudiesonend‐to‐endservicealongthecontinuumofcare.Recentreportshavehighlightedtheneedfordynamicpublic‐privatepartnershipstohelpachieveMDGS4and510,34,35,36.Trialsof end‐to‐end systems to test the public‐privatemodelwill provide opportunities to evaluate
the impact of public‐private partnerships on costs. One example is the recently announcedMaternal mHealth Initiative37. One of its goals is to develop country trials of integrated ICTsystemsinmaternalandchildhealththroughpublic‐privatepartnerships.
• Impact of donors on eHealth costs.A key to driving down costs is standardization. Currently,donors are funding a wide range of individual, but siloed e‐ and mHealth initiatives; thisapproachmay inadvertently hinder interoperability and standardization. Agreement between
32NokiaDataGatheringsystemthroughapartnershipbetweenNokiaandtheAmazonasStateHealthMinistry.33TheDokozaSystemthroughapartnershipbetweenDokoza,StateInformationTechnologyAgency,CentreforPublicServiceInnovation,CentreforScientificandIndustrialResearchandtheMerakaInstitute,SouthAfrica’sNationalDepartmentofHealth.34Khan,M.Adil.AchievingtheMillenniumDevelopmentGoals:ThePublic/PrivateMix.UN‐DESA.35Feezel,CharlieandVirginiaSopyla.AchievingMillenniumDevelopmentGoalsthroughPublic‐PrivatePartnerships.Boston:HarvardUniversity.36TaskforceonInnovativeFinancingforHealthSystems,2009.37Seewww.mHealthAlliance.org
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donors, LMIC policymakers and industry on architecture, standards and best practices shouldspeeddeployment, improveinteroperabilityanddrivedowncosts(ashasbeenexperiencedin
thecomputerandwirelessindustriesoverthelast25years.)• Theroleofthepublicsector.Itisreasonabletoassumethattheprivatesectorandcivilsociety
will continue to be important drivers ofmHealth adoption, withmany of the newestmobile
technologies emerging from medical device and mobile technology companies. The publicsector inLMICswillplayan importantroleaspurchaserandregulator,providing incentivesordisincentives to increase uptake of mHealth and to reduce cost. It is likely that the overall
healthcare and telecommunications regulatory structures will heavily influence the costs andspeed of scale‐up of mHealth. An analysis of the regulatory environment will therefore benecessaryindeterminingtheinvestmentcaseforeHealthandmHealth.Itwouldneedtoinclude
the following: competition and price regulation; authorization of telecommunication/ICTservices; universal access and service; radio spectrum management; legal and institutionalframework;newtechnologiesand impacton regulation38.Other factors, suchas the relatively
highercostsofprovisionofmobilephoneaccessinruralareasneedstobeconsidered39.
Asanexampleoftheinfluenceofregulatorysystems,theglobalwirelessexplosionisgenerallycreditedto the decision bymost countries (a) to license severalwireless competitors, not just the incumbentwirelinemonopoly, and (b) tonot regulatepricesor services. In countries thathave liberalized their
infrastructuremarkets,somewholesalenetworkshaveemergedthroughtheimpactofmarketforces.Inother countries,mobile operators are required by law to use the incumbent’s network for backboneservices,whichmaydriveupthecostand/orreduceoptionsforITusers40.Ethiopiastillhasamonopoly
serviceprovidersoitswirelesscoveragelagsfarbehindmostothercountries.Thisservesasavaluablecasestudyofthedownstreamcosts(andsavings)forgettingregulationcorrect.
In summary, itwill be important to carry out case studies of different country regulatory systems to
determine the healthcare and telecommunications regulatory structures that provide the bestopportunitiesforlowcosteHealthprovision.
Potentialquestionsforconsiderationinclude:41
• What are the reforms (e.g. in regulatory and licensing systems) needed to incentivizeinvestmentin,andutilizationof,e‐andmHealthservicesanddevices?
• Whatincentivescanthepublicsectorputinplacetodrivedowncosts?• Whataretheincentivesforthepublicsectortosupportthedevelopmentofastandards‐based
system,perhapsincludingabaselineinformationsystemplatform?
38WorldBank,infoDevandInternationalTelecommunicationsUnion,ICTRegulationToolkit,2010.39Forexample,mobileoperatorsmayneedtoprovideback‐uppowergeneratorsinareaswithunreliablepowersupplies,thusincreasingoperatingcosts.40BroadbandforAfrica,DevelopingBackboneCommunicationsNetworks,WilliamsD,WorldBank2010.41PotentialcountriesforevaluationagainstthesequestionsincludeSouthAfrica,Bangladesh,IndiaandBrazil.
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ANEXAMINATIONOFEHEALTHBENEFITS
Analysis of downstream savings from investments in standardizedmHealthplatforms
Interoperability,definedastheabilitytoexchangeanduseinformationfromanothersystemordevice,has proved to be challenging to implement. As systems move to machine‐to‐machine mode, simple
connectivityisnolongeradequate42.Furthermore,theadditionofmobilecommunicationdevicesaddscompletely new communication systems and rules. Interoperability is key to the scaling upofmobilehealthservicesinLMICmarkets,andtoensuringenduserconvenienceandflexibilityintheutilizationof
mHealthdevicesandprograms.
Assuch, it is importanttobuildabasichealth informationplatformtocoordinate,guide,andsupportresultant individual mHealth initiatives. This will ensure interoperability among individual mobiletechnologies at thedata communications layer,while addressing the challengeof scalingupmHealth
programs.Furthermore,upfrontinvestmenthasthepotentialtoyielddownstreamsavings,asindividualmHealthdeviceswill have the capacity from theoutset to interface, sharedata, and leapfrogoffoneanother’sservices.Throughthedevelopmentofaframeworkarchitecture,onecanthencreatespecific
web,software,ormobileservicesforlarge‐scaledeploymentinalignmentwiththeexistingarchitecture.
Potentialmethodsforevaluatingsuchtrendsinclude:
• Case study of an end‐to‐end, integrated system, such as the Maternal mHealth Initiative ofPMNCH,themHealthAllianceandotherorganizations.Theinitiativepresentsanopportunityto
develop,measure,andanalyzedataondownstreamsavingsasaresultofthedevelopmentofastandardized information system platform. This would also take an area‐specific case studyapproach, focused on the use of a common information systems platform and offer the
opportunitytoevaluatetheimpactsofsuchaplatformoncosts.• Analysisofdownstreamsavings from investments in information technologyplatformsoutside
of healthcare. In particular, the development of the mobile phone infrastructure provides
opportunitiestostudythebenefitsoftheuseofstandards. ThesingleGSMwirelessstandardused by most of the world and the global market buying and deploying it have been majordriversofinnovationandcostreductions.
DeterminingthebenefitsofmHealth
Aspreviouslynoted,thereislittleresearchonthebenefitsaccruingfromeHealth.Measuringthevalue‐addedofeHealthtoglobalhealthoutputsandoutcomeswillrequirecost‐effectivenessanalysisofsuch
investments.SuchanalysiswillhelpdeterminetheobjectivevalueofeHealthinvestments,ascomparedwithotherinvestmentsthatcanimprovepatienthealth.Furthermore,itisimportanttorecognizethat
42Waegemann,C.Peter.“mHealth:TheNextGenerationofTelemedicine?”Telemedicineande‐Health16.1(Jan/Feb2010):23‐25.Print.
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whileeHealthmaynotdecreaseoverallcosts(evenifunitcostsdecline,overallcostsmayriseasusageincreases), itcanstillresult indecreasedunitcostsfordeliveringspecificservices. Anditcanresult in
increasedbenefits,suchasimprovedpatientaccesstoqualityhealthcareandpatientsatisfaction.
MeasurementofmHealthcostsandbenefitscanthereforehelpgeneratethedatanecessarytotargetand attract investments in mobile technologies, and prioritize these investments in the face ofcompeting demands and resource constraints; in essence, developing an infrastructure that enables,
first,greaterhealthoutcomes,andsecond,potentiallylowercosts.Themeasuresdescribedbelowpushbeyondcommonlycitedhealthoutcomes, suchasmorbidityandmortality,andexploreothermetricsforevaluatingprogramsuccess.
Potentialmethodsforevaluatingsuchtrendsinclude:
• Analysisofpotentialareas for cost savingsand increasedefficiency. Inevaluating thevalueof
eHealth, it is essential to take into consideration the potential benefits to the overall healthsystem, as captured below. The table outlines eHealth’s opportunities for reducing costs andincreasingefficiencyasrelatedtothepatientandadministration,andhelpshoneinonbenefits
thatfalloutsideofoutcomestiedtoqualityofcare(eHealth’spotentialbenefittoqualityofcareis discussed below). Further analysis should also take into consideration the extent oftransformationalchangetobusinessoperations.Implementersmustthinkthroughthelayersof
potentialsavingsandefficiencygains,outlinedinthetablebelow,weighedagainstthelevelofchangerequiredforworkflowandoperations.
HealthSystems:ExamplesofPotentialAreasforSavingCostsandIncreasingEfficiencyPatientIssues OpportunitiesforReducingCostsandIncreasingEfficiencyPatientregistration • One‐timeregistration
• Informationavailableonsubsequentvisits• Servesmultiplepurposes(e.g.vitalstatisticsregistriesin
additiontocare)Creationofpersistentrecord • Improvedspeedandefficiencyofcaredelivered
• Informationbasedevelopedforwidevarietyofdirectcareandadministrativeuses
• DataisenteredoncePaymentforservices • Streamlinedautomaticbilling,paymentsystem
• Documentationofbilling,paymentactionsRemotediagnostics • Reductionofclinicvisits
• Savestimeforpatient• Improvedpatienttriage• Moreefficientuseoftimeofskilledhealthworkers
Referrals • EfficientaccesstoclosestavailableresourcesSchedulingfollow‐ups • AutomaticmessagingtopublicandprovidersDiseasesurveillance • Enablesreal‐timesurveillance,resourceallocationPublicinformation • Moretargeteddistributionofinformation24x7callcenters • Decreasedneedforin‐personclinicvisitsAdministrationIssues
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Performancereview • Easierandmoretimelyaggregationofdatabyfactorsincludingdistrict,region,provider,anddisease
Staffcommunications • VoiceanddatacommunicationsincreaseefficiencyStaffmanagement • Abilitytominedatatomonitorstaffperformancethrough
variousfilters,includingattheindividualoraggregatelevel• Abilitytosupervisestaffinreal‐time
Stafftraining • CombinationofphysicalandeTrainingmayprovideefficienciesovertraditionalmodel,particularlyfor“just‐in‐time”training
Payments • Operationsandrecordkeepingefficiency• Fraudprotection
Supplychainmanagement • Avoidingstockouts• Fraudprotection,e.g.fakemedicines
Research • Developmentofdatamartsthatcanbeleveragedforresearch
• Reducerepetitiveandcostlyprimaryresearchanddatacollectionefforts.
• Cost‐effectivenessanalysisofeHealthtechnology investments.AnevaluationofthebenefitsofeHealth programs should focus on clinical and social outcomes using reliable conversionfactors43.Theoutcomesarefocusedonbenefitstothepatientandtheprovider,thetwotargets
ofeHealthtechnologiesasdiscussedinthesectionon“ThepromiseofeHealth.”Itisimportant,however,totranslatethemetricstotheenduserofthespecifictechnology.Forexample,smart
phonescouldbeusedtohelptraincommunityhealthworkersinaspectsofmaternalandchildhealthand themetrics should framespecifiedoutcomes formothers,newborns,andchildrenresultingfromthetraining.FurtherresearchshouldfocusontheabilityofeHealthto improve
healthsystemsoutcomesaswell,includingbutnotlimitedtoefficiencygainsandstrengthenedserviceprograms.Thetablebelow,derivedfromDávalosetal43,mayserveasastartingpointformeasuringthevalueofclinicalandsocialoutcomesresultingfrommHealth.
RepresentativeMonetaryConversionFactorsformHealthOutcomesClient/PatientPerspectiveOutcomeMeasure Unit MonetaryConversionFactorMedicalEffectivenessReducedmorbidity44 Change in quality‐adjusted life‐
years(QALYs)Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfromthevalueofastatisticallife
Avoidedmortality44 Avoidedyearsoflifelost Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfromthevalueofastatisticallife
HealthcareservicesandothersIncreasedaccesstohealthcare Indirecteffect:ChangeinQALYs Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfrom
43Dávalos,MaríaE.,MichaelT.French,AnneE.Burdick,andScottC.Simmons.“EconomicEvaluationofTelemedicine:ReviewoftheLiteratureandResearchGuidelinesforBenefit‐CostAnalysis.”Telemedicineande‐Health15.10(2009):933‐949.Print.44Potentialopportunitytohighlightoutcomesspecifictomaternal,newborn,andchildhealth.
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thevalueofastatisticallifeIncreased health knowledge/abilityforself‐care
Indirecteffect:ChangeinQALYs Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfromthevalueofastatisticallife
Faster/accurate diagnosis andtreatment
Indirecteffect:ChangeinQALYs Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfromthevalueofastatisticallife
Reduced waiting and/orconsultationtime
Missed hours/days ofemployment, classroomor leisuretime
Average of minimum context‐specificwagerate(hourlyordaily)
Increased adherence to medicalregimen
Indirecteffect:ChangeinQALYs Valueofastatisticallife‐yearfromthevalueofastatisticallife
OccupationContinuityofincome Missed hours/ days of
employmentavoidedAverage of minimum context‐specificwagerate(hourlyordaily)
Increased employment/leisure/classroomtime
Misseddaysorhoursofclassroomtime or work absences avoided;increasedavailableleisuretime
Average or minimum context‐specificwagerate(hourlyordaily)
TravelMoney spent on travel:transportation
Distance Mileage allowance rate or airfarecosttonearestreferralfacility
Money spent on travel:accommodation
Averagecost foraccommodationsinreferrallocation
1.00
Money spent on travel: otherexpenses
Money spent on localtransportationandmeals
1.00
ProviderPerspectiveOutcomeMeasure Unit MonetaryConversionFactorHealthcareservicesandothersReduced length of stay atmedicalfacility
Days Context‐specific charges perinpatientdayinfacility
Avoidedmedicalreadmissions Count Context‐specific charges perinpatient day in facilitymultipliedby the average duration ofreadmissions
Avoidedinpatientvisits Count Context‐specific charges perinpatient day in facilitymultipliedby the average duration ofinpatientvisits
Avoidedlaboratorytests Count Average context‐specific chargesperemergencyroomvisit
Avoidedpatient’s transportationtohealthcarefacilities
Count Average context‐specific chargesperlaboratorytest
Reducedlengthofconsultations Minutesorhours Averagecontext‐specificphysicianorspecialists’fee(hourly)
OtheroutcomesIncreasedmedicationadherence Indirect effect: avoided use of
healthcare utilization: number ofinpatientvisits,referrals,etc.
Average context‐specific chargesforspecifichealthcareservices
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Increased knowledge transferamongpractitioners
Avoidedreferrals fromknowledgetransferorhours/daysoftrainingrequired to obtain sameknowledgepluswork time lost (inhoursordays)fortraining
Average context‐specific specialistfee (patient avoided costs shouldbeincludedaswellorcostperdayof training plus work loss ataverage context‐specificphysician’shourlyordailyfee)
Increased accuracy and fasterdiagnosisandtreatment
Indirect effect: avoided use ofhealthcare utilization: number ofinpatientvisits,referrals,etc.
Average context‐specific chargesforspecifichealthcareservices
Increasedpatientsatisfaction .. 1.00 (willingness to pay formHealthprogram)
Decreasedtraveland/orhomevisitsforstaffIncreased employment time(productivity)
Daysorhours Average context‐specific wagerate for nurses, physicians orotherspecialists(hourlyordaily)
Money spent on travel:transportation
Distanceinkilometersormiles Costtotravel
Money spent on travel:accommodation
Averagecostforovernightstay 1.00
OtherStakeholdersPerspectiveOutcomeMeasure Unit MonetaryConversionFactorHealthcareservicesandothersIncreased productivity ofworkers(lesstravel,lessillness)
Avoided missed days/hours ofemploymenttime
Average or minimum context‐specificwagerate(hourlyordaily)
More efficient access to healthfor special groups (informalsector, etc.): transportationcosts,staffcosts
Distance to referral facility anddays/hoursofworkforstaff
Mileage allowance rate fortransportation and average dailyorhourlywagerateforstaff
Avoided cases of communicablediseases
Cases Average medical costs (healthresourcesutilizationandstaff)percase, average avoided loss ofwages and productivity fromillnesspercase
• Cost‐benefit comparison of mHealth technologies and alternative methods of health servicedelivery.Oneofthekeyquestionsindeterminingcostisthestandardagainstwhichtocomparethe value. There is nowwidespread agreement on the interventions, including healthworker
trainingandhealthsystems infrastructureneededto reach theMDGsandthese interventionshavebeen costed36. Buildingon themetrics tomeasuremHealthbenefits, as outlined above,furtherresearchcouldinvestigatemHealthoutcomesascomparedtotraditionalservicedelivery
methods.Forexample,whatisthedifferenceintimelinessoftreatmentforapatientutilizinganmHealthdevicevs.apatienttravelinginpersontoamedicalfacility?Whatisthedifferenceinlevels of patient satisfaction? This approach would not only provide a baseline point of
comparison for program benefits and patient satisfaction, but also explore the potential for
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cost‐minimizationasa resultofmHealth technologies.Additionally, itwouldhighlightareas inwhichmHealthmaynotprovidecost‐effectiveoutcomesforhealthaccessandservicedelivery,
thusprovidingthefactorswhichdeterminewhenmHealthisbestleveraged.• Maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH)‐specific outcomes analysis.Mobile technologies
are recognized to havemuch to offer in improvingMNCH,with significant efforts underway
now through the mHealth Alliance and other public‐private partnerships to harness theirpotential. In the utilization ofmHealth programswith theMDGs, however, it is important todirecteffortstowardsareasofgreatestneed.Fig1belowidentifiesthegapsinthecoverageof
procedureswithinthecontinuumofcarerelatedtomaternal,newborn,andchildhealth,whichifmet,wouldsignificantlyimpactontheMDGs45.FuturemHealthinitiativesaddressingMDGS4and 5 should target mHealth technology investments to these areas of greatest need. For
example, couldmHealth investments be used to improve coverage of post‐natal visitswithintwodays,bydevelopinganSMSreminderserviceforpendingappointments?
Fig 1. Coverage estimates for interventions across the continuum of care in the 68 prioritycountries(2000‐2006).
45Source:Countdownto2015:TrackingProgressinMaternal,NewbornandChildSurvival.The2008report.
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APRACTICALAPPLICATION
eHealthandMaternalandChildHealth
ThispaperproposestwobasiclinesofenquiryintotheeconomicsofeHealth:1)anexaminationofthe
driversofeHealthcosts,and2)ananalysisofthebenefits–topatientsandhealthworkers–whichcanaccruefromtheintroductionofeHealthsystems.ThepapersetsoutabasicroadmapforinvestigationwhichcansupportsoundinvestmentdecisionsforeHealthinLMICs.Thecentralpremiseofthispaperis
that systemic investments in m‐ and eHealth can rapidly expand cost‐effective quality health caredistributiontounder‐servedgroups–thisisessentialiftheglobalcommunityistoreachtheMDGs.Anend‐to‐endsystemsapproachisnecessarytoavoidcostlyandpotentiallymutuallyincompatibleone‐off
solutions.
In developing a policy and research program to test this premise, it is essential to avoid one of thecentral problems identified in the literature review: individual studies of independent components.Theseareunlikelytoprovidethekindofinformationwhichpolicymakerswillneedtomakelarge‐scale
investmentdecisions.Assuch,theproposednextstepwouldbetoidentifyadiversegroupofthreetofour leading LMICs in the eHealth arena which could provide the platform for this research, to helpguidepolicymakerdecisionsoneHealthinvestments.Withinthosecountries,theproposalwouldbeto
createlargescaletrialsofintegratedsystems(i.e.supportingthefullcontinuumofcareinanarea,suchasmaternalcare),asopposedtopointsolutions.Thesewouldbedesignedtoproduceanswerstothekey financial issues which policymakers face. The areas outlined suggest a framework for further
researchthatcanbeappliedthroughcasestudiesinavarietyofsettingsandforarangeofaudiences.Further,giventhecriticalimportanceofwomenandchildren’shealth,theresearchshouldbefocusedinthisarea.
Thepreviouslycited2010UNICEFstudyNarrowingtheGapstoMeettheGoals,notesthatmillionsoflivescanbesavedbyinvestingfirstinthemostdisadvantagedchildrenandcommunities46.Themostimpoverishedchildpopulationsarefacedwiththegreatestnationalburdensofdisease,illhealth,and
illiteracy;assuch,focusingonthesechildrenwiththegreatestneedcangreatlyaccelerateprogresstowardstheMDGsandreducedisparities47.Using,forexample,the“marginalbudgetingforbottlenecks”(MMB)approach48,eHealthplannersandenduserscanestimatethecostsofleveraging
technologytoleapfrogexistingbottleneckswithinhealthcaredelivery,andmorespecifically,withinMNCH.eHealth’sgreatestpromiseforLMICsliesinitspotentialtoleapfrogtraditionalobstaclestohealthcaredeliveryinresource‐constrainedareas;andtheMBBapproachcanserveasastartingpoint
46UNICEF.“NarrowingtheGapstoMeettheGoals.”NewYork:UNICEF,2010.http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Narrowing_the_Gaps_to_Meet_the_Goals_090310_2a.pdf.47UNICEF.“NewUNICEFstudyshowsMDGsforchildrencanbereachedfasterwithfocusonmostdisadvantaged.”www.unicef.com.7Sept2010.48Aresults‐basedplanningandbudgetingtooldevelopedbyUNICEF,UNFPAandtheWorldBankthatidentifiessystem‐widesupplyanddemandbottleneckstoadequateandeffectivecoverageofessentialhealthservices.
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forplanningandevaluatinge‐andmHealthinvestments.TheUNICEFresearchneedstobesupportedwithamoredetailedstudyofhowmHealthandeHealthcanhelpachieveitstacticalgoals.
CasestudiesfortheapplicationofeHealthtoMNCHinsystemicinnovationtrialsneedtobedeveloped.
Inthesecases,theinvestigationoftheproposedresearchareascanhelptoguideanalysisanddecision‐makingfromtheoutset,andinturndevelopaframeworkforassessingROIscenarios5‐10yearsintothefuture.
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CONCLUSION
Lookingforward
Withtherapidincreaseinthenumberofe‐andmHealthprojects,severaltrendsindicatethepotentialfor such technologies to overcome some core health obstacles in LMICs, particularly in resource‐
constrainedareas.Inparticular,mHealthhasthepotentialtocontributetotheachievementofMDGs4and5,providingmothersandchildrenwithincreasedaccesstohealthresourcesandservices.However,it is essential to consider and quantify the full range of financial costs and benefits through rigorous
economicevaluation. Theneed isnot just toaddupthecostsof ICTs,but tocompare, to theextentfeasible,thecostsofadistributedapproachenabledbymHealthtothecurrenthealthservicedeliverycoststructure.Thepreviouslycited“NarrowingtheGap”UNICEFreportpointstheway.
Atpresent,thereislittleeconomicevaluationofeHealth,withexistingresearchattoosmallascaleto
reachgeneralizableconclusionsforinvestmentdecisions.ForeHealthprogramstosucceed,publicandprivate health and IT stakeholders need to develop an investment case to drive scale up andsustainabilityofeHealthinfrastructures.Theeconomicmodelsandscenariosprovidedinthispaperwill
helpmeasure,direct,andevaluateeHealthprogramperformanceandbetter targetandattractpublicand private investment. Failure to do so could result in missed opportunities to harness thetransformationalpowerofeHealthnetworksanddevices.
Thispaperfocusesonpromisingareasforresearchtobuildsuchanevidence‐base,throughreal‐world
case studiesandeconomicmodels, andattempts toprovideapreliminary frameworkofquestions topursueintheevaluationoftheeconomicsofeHealth.AlthougheHealthprojectsarealreadyoperatingin a wide variety of countries around the world, and thus may provide useful data to generate a
platformfor informeddecisionmakingon investments ineHealth,wearenotawareofany thathavebeen designed as integrated systems (i.e. supporting the full continuum of care in an area, such as
maternalcare),asopposedtopointsolutions.TheresearchandanalysisoutlinedinthispapercanhelpmaximizethevalueaddedoffutureeHealthinvestments.Thenextstepshouldbeacarefullytargetedresearchprogramacrossadiversegroupoflowandmiddleincomecountriesusingintegratedsystems
asthesubject.
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Acknowledgements
TheauthorsacknowledgewiththankssupportfromthemHealthAlliancewhichfundedthepreparationofthispaper.Wealsoacknowledgethemanyhelpfulsuggestionsandcommentsonearlierdraftsofthepaper,andinparticulartheadvicefromparticipantsattheexpertmeetingorganizedbythemHealth
AllianceandWorldHealthOrganizationinGenevaonSeptember6thand7th,2010.
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BIOGRAPHIES
JulianSchweitzer
Julian Schweitzer is Principal at theResults forDevelopment Institute (R4D), a nonprofit organizationdedicated to accelerating social and economic progress in low andmiddle income countries. Prior tojoiningR4D,JulianhadadistinguishedcareerattheWorldBank,withrecentpositionsasDirectoroftheHealth,NutritionandPopulationDepartmentandActingVicePresident,HumanDevelopmentNetwork.Hehasover thirtyyearsofdevelopmentexperiencewitha focusonhumandevelopment.HeholdsaPh.D.fromtheUniversityofLondonandhasauthorednumerousarticlesandessaysoneconomicandhumandevelopment.
ChristinaSynowiec
ChristinaSynowiecisaProgramAssociateattheResultsforDevelopmentInstitute(R4D),focusingonhealthsystemsdevelopmentandthepromotionofuniversalhealthcoverage,inadditiontomHealth.PriortojoiningR4D,Ms.SynowiecwasaSeniorResearchAnalystattheAdvisoryBoardCompany,whereshedesignedandexecutedbestpracticeresearchstudiesanalyzingkeyeconomicandpoliticaltrendsaffectingU.S.hospitals.Ms.SynowiecholdsaBachelorsofPhilosophyinInterdisciplinaryStudies(MagnaCumLaude)specializingininternationalhumanrightsfromMiamiUniversityinOxford,Ohio.