Education Development Charges Background Study...Education Development Charge Background Study –...

Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. 905-272-3600

May 7, 2019 [email protected]

Education Development Charges

Background Study

Peel District School Board

OFFICE CONSOLIDATION INCORPORATING

ADDENDUM OF MAY 7th, 2019

________________________

Education Development Charge Background Study – Peel District School Board

March 29, 2019

Table of Contents

Page

Executive Summary ....................................................................................................... i

1. Introduction ...................................................................................................... 1-1

1.1 Background ............................................................................................. 1-1

1.2 Existing By-Laws .................................................................................... 1-2

1.3 Area in Which By-law May Apply ............................................................ 1-3

1.4 EDC Review Areas ................................................................................. 1-4

2. The EDC By-law ............................................................................................... 2-1

2.1 Imposition of an EDC .............................................................................. 2-1

2.2 The Background Study ........................................................................... 2-2

2.3 Public Meetings ...................................................................................... 2-3

2.4 Exemptions, Expiration, Collection ......................................................... 2-6

2.5 Appeals and Amendments ...................................................................... 2-8

3. The Process and Methodology of Calculating an Education Development Charge ....................................................................................... 3-1

3.1 Eligibility .................................................................................................. 3-1

3.2 Demographic Projections ........................................................................ 3-5

3.3 Site Needs .............................................................................................. 3-7

3.4 Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs ............................................ 3-8

3.5 Determination of the Charge ................................................................... 3-9

4. Demographic Projections ............................................................................... 4-1

4.1 The Residential Growth Forecast ........................................................... 4-1

4.2 Enrolment Projections ............................................................................. 4-5

4.3 Summary of Projected Enrolment ......................................................... 4-18

5. Education Development Charge Calculation ................................................ 5-1

5.1 The Projections ....................................................................................... 5-1

Table of Contents (Cont’d)

Page


March 29, 2019

5.2 Net Education Land Costs ...................................................................... 5-4

5.3 Reconciliation of the EDC Reserve Fund ................................................ 5-8

5.4 The Education Development Charge .................................................... 5-10

Appendix A Education Development Charges Ministry of Education Forms Submission .......................................................................................................A1


March 29, 2019

Foreword and Acknowledgements

Section 257.61(1) of the Education Act states that, “Before passing an education

development charge by-law, the board shall complete an education development

charge background study.” Section 257.61(2) of the Act, as well as Section 9 of Ontario

Regulation 20/98, as amended, provide the information that must be contained in the

background study. This report contains the background study for the Peel District

School Board (PDSB).

The amended version of the EDC Background Study incorporates an addendum to the

original study. The revisions to the study occurred as part of the stakeholder and public

feedback process and have resulted in some changes to the original proposed EDC

rate.

The first change reflects moving an elementary school to its correct EDC review area.

This change had no impact on the EDC rate or any of the assumptions used to calculate

the rate. The second change reflects an elementary site requirement in the City of

Mississauga. The Board requires a total of two sites in review area ERA04B, however

one of the two sites is already owned and was incorrectly identified as needing to be

purchased. As such, any associated purchase expenditures have been removed

resulting in the proposed residential EDC rate decreasing to $3,476 from $3,734 and

the proposed non-residential EDC rate decreasing to $0.46 from $0.50 per square foot.

The consultant would like to acknowledge and thank the staff at the PDSB for their

work, time and effort over the past several months. Staff from the Board provided

invaluable input and assistance throughout the EDC process.


March 29, 2019

The consultant would also like to thank Keel Cottrelle LLP, legal counsel for the Board,

and Cushman & Wakefield, the appraisal firm responsible for the site valuations.

Executive Summary


March 29, 2019 PAGE i

Executive Summary

Education development charges (EDCs) are a revenue source, for school boards that

qualify, to purchase and develop land for new schools. EDCs are meant as a funding

mechanism for boards that are experiencing a growth-related accommodation need in

their jurisdiction. In order to enact their by-law, the Board must follow certain processes

and guidelines as required by provincial legislation. This background study fulfills certain

requirements while providing the background necessary to understand and determine

the education development charge.

The general authority for school boards to impose EDCs is provided by Division E of

Part IX of the Education Act. Ontario Regulation 20/98, as amended, provides the

requirements necessary to determine an EDC. In addition, the Ministry has published a

set of EDC Guidelines to assist boards with the EDC process.

The jurisdiction of the Board consists of the Region of Peel, including the City of

Mississauga, the City of Brampton and the Town of Caledon.

Before an EDC by-law can be passed, school boards must ensure they:

• Demonstrate that their elementary or secondary enrolment on a jurisdiction-wide

basis is greater than the elementary or secondary Ministry approved On-The-

Ground capacity or that their EDC reserve fund is in a deficit position;

• Prepare a background study meeting the requirements of the legislation;

• Hold required legislated public meetings; and

• Receive written Ministry approval of the projected number of students and school

sites.

PDSB is able to enact a new by-law on the basis of:

• Reserve Fund Qualification – The Board has a deficit in the EDC reserve fund

and outstanding financial obligations.

The Board intends to hold statutory public meetings to inform the public as to the new

proposed EDC by-law. The Board will hold such meetings on May 14, 2019 at the

Board’s main office as part of their regularly scheduled Board meetings and will

consider passage of the EDC bylaws at an additional Board meeting on May 28, 2019.

Further details are provided in the Board public meeting notice contained in this report.


March 29, 2019 PAGE ii

Demographic projections form an important component of the EDC analysis. The

residential dwelling unit forecast is used both to project pupils from new development as

well as determining the final quantum of the residential charge. The residential

forecasts used in this analysis are consistent with the most recent and available area

forecasts that were available at the time of study preparation. The number of net new

units projected in the jurisdiction for the 15 years in the EDC analysis totals 109,499 for

the Region of Peel.

The number of growth-related pupils is based on the aforementioned residential

forecast and pupil yields have been derived from Statistics Canada custom tabulated

data and historical board enrolment information. Pupil yields are mathematical

representations of the number of school-aged children that will be generated by

particular dwellings. The total growth-related pupils must be offset by any available

pupil places that are not required by existing pupils of the Board. These calculations

were done for the Board on a municipal basis to determine the total net growth-related

pupil places. The 15-year growth projection analysis projects a total of 18,555

elementary net growth-related pupils and 5,149 secondary net growth-related pupils for

the PDSB.

Once the net growth-related pupil place requirements have been determined, it is

necessary for the Board to decide the number of new schools that will be built to

accommodate that need. The EDC legislation provides a table which relates pupil place

requirements to school site sizes. The table, as well as a description and methodology,

are provided in the background study. The study also provides information on the

approximate timing, size and location of the proposed new schools/sites.

The EDC analysis projects that the PDSB will require 23 new elementary sites – 3 sites

are located in the City of Mississauga, 17 sites are located in the City of Brampton and

3 sites are located in the Town of Caledon. In addition, the Board will require 4 new

secondary sites – 2 of which are located in the City of Brampton and the remaining 2

sites are located in the Town of Caledon. A detailed summary of the site requirements

can be found in each region’s Form G in Appendix A.

One of the final steps of the EDC process involves translating the land requirements to

actual land costs. Estimated appraised values for new school sites are based on

appraisals completed by the firm of Cushman & Wakefield. The per acre appraised

values ranged from $1,415,000 to $3,090,000 for the elementary sites, and between


March 29, 2019 PAGE iii

$1,415,000 and $1,420,000 for the secondary sites. Similar to many areas in Ontario,

the cost to acquire land has been increasing in the region. Land acquisition costs are

escalated to the time of site purchase at a rate of 2.5% per year.

The costs to prepare and develop a school site for school construction are also EDC

eligible costs. The assumed site preparation costs are based on historical data

provided by the Board. A site preparation cost of $13,000 per acre has been assumed

for the PDSB in this study. Site preparation costs are escalated to the time of site

purchase at a rate of 1.6% per year.

The total land costs (acquisition and servicing costs) as well as study costs must be

included by the Board to determine the final net education land costs. The PDSB’s total

net education land costs are estimated to be $422,935,331.

On the basis of the aforementioned net education land costs and net new unit forecasts,

the analysis resulted in a proposed EDC rate of $3,476 per dwelling unit for the

PDSB’s residential charge in the Region of Peel. In addition, the analysis proposed an

EDC rate of $0.46 per square foot for the PDSB’s non-residential charge in the Region

of Peel. The charges contained herein are based on a uniform rate for all types of

development, with 90% residential allocation/10% non-residential allocation, and

applicable jurisdiction-wide for the Region of Peel.

Report


March 29, 2019

Chapter 1 Introduction


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-1

1. Introduction

1.1 Background

Education development charges (EDCs) are a revenue source, for school boards that

qualify, to purchase and develop land for new schools. EDCs are meant as a funding

mechanism for boards that are experiencing a growth-related accommodation need in

their jurisdiction. In order to qualify for education development charges, it is necessary

for school boards to meet certain “triggers.”

School boards no longer have the ability to implement property taxes to fund education

costs and now rely on a system of per pupil grants established by the Ministry of

Education. The grants are set out to cover expenses such as teacher salaries,

textbooks, heating of schools, renewing schools, building schools, etc. Education

development charges are meant to fund the acquisition and development of growth-

related school sites outside this grant envelope. Education development charges are

based on a formulaic approach which looks at three main areas – enrolment projections

to determine need, the number of school sites necessary to meet need and the costs

related to the purchase and development of those school sites.

The EDC may be levied by a school board on both residential and non-residential

developments, subject to certain exemptions which are outlined in the legislation.

Division E of Part IX of the Education Act is the legislation responsible for governing the

EDC. Ontario Regulation 20/98, as amended, provides guidelines and requirements on

the qualification process for a school board, as well as the specifics on calculating the

charge. The charges are collected at building permit issuance on behalf of the school

board by the local area municipality in the by-law’s area.

In order for a school board to qualify to implement EDCs, there are two triggers that can

be met. First, the Board’s total projected enrolment for the 5-year period following

expected by-law passage must exceed the Board’s Ministry rated On-The-Ground

capacity on either the elementary or the secondary panel.

The second qualification trigger deals with unmet financial obligations with regard to the

purchase and development of growth-related school sites. If the school board has an

existing EDC by-law in place and they can demonstrate that there are existing


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-2

outstanding financial obligations, the school board will automatically qualify for a

subsequent by-law. The Education Act, specifically Section 257.54, gives school

boards the ability to “pass by-laws for the imposition of education development charges”

if there is residential land in the jurisdiction of a board that would increase education

land costs.

School boards are responsible for providing school sites and can do so through such

limited revenue sources as selling surplus school sites, revenue from leasing sites,

entering into joint use agreements with other school boards or public/private

partnerships and the imposition of education development charges – thus making EDCs

an important revenue source.

1.2 Existing By-Laws

This EDC Background Study has been prepared on behalf of the Peel District School

Board (PDSB) in consideration of renewing their EDC by-law in the Region of Peel. The

Board’s current in-force by-laws came into effect on July 1 of 2014 and are based on

90% recovery of costs from residential development. The current EDC residential rate

is $3,224 per dwelling unit and the non-residential rate is $0.45 per square foot.

Current In-force EDC By-laws for the PDSB:

School Board

In-force Date

% Residential/ Non-residential

Area of By-law

Charge ($/Unit)

Charge ($/Sq.Ft.)

PDSB July 1 2014

90%(Res) - 10%(Non-Res)

Region of Peel

$3,224 $0.45

EDC Policy Review

It should be noted that all school boards with an existing EDC by-law in place must

conduct a review of the policies contained in their existing by-laws before passing a new

by-law. This process includes a policy review report as well as a public meeting to

review the policies in a public forum.

Section 257.60 sub-section (1) of the Education Act states that:


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-3

“Before passing an education development charge by-law, the board shall conduct a review of the education development charge policies of the board.”

Sub-section (2) goes on to state that:

“In conducting a review under subsection (1), the board shall ensure that adequate information is made available to the public, and for this purpose shall hold at least one public meeting, notice of which shall be given in at least one newspaper having general circulation in the area of jurisdiction of the board.”

1.3 Area in Which By-law May Apply

The legislation states that an education development charge by-law may apply to the

entire area of the jurisdiction of a board or only part of it. In addition, an education

development charge by-law of the board shall not apply with respect to land in more

than one “region” if the regulations divide the area of the jurisdiction of the board into

prescribed “regions.” For the purpose of this study, the Board only has one region, with

the by-law enforced in the Region of Peel.

Finally, “education development charges collected under an education development

charge by-law that applies to land in a District shall not, except with the prior written

approval of the Minister, be used in relation to land that is outside that District” and

“money from an EDC reserve fund established under section 16(1) of O.Reg. 20/98 may

be used only for growth-related net education land costs attributed to or resulting from

development in the area to which the EDC by-law applies.”

EDC background studies should clearly outline the areas that will be covered by EDC

by-laws. Two maps have been included on the following pages outlining the Board’s

jurisdiction, indicating the area to which the EDC by-law will apply (i.e. Region of Peel)

as well as the review areas for the Board by panel.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-4

1.4 EDC Review Areas

The EDC methodology allows school boards to examine growth-related needs on a

jurisdiction-wide basis – that is, treat the whole EDC area as one review area – or to

examine them on a sub-area basis or review areas. Review areas are artificial

constructs intended to divide the Board’s jurisdiction into sub-areas in order to more

accurately determine the location of new school sites. Board review areas are likely to

reflect attendance boundaries for families of schools, natural dividers such as rivers,

creeks, etc., or man-made barriers such as major thoroughfares. The Ministry of

Education’s EDC Guidelines recommend that review areas are consistent with school

board review areas used for capital planning purposes and that they also maintain

consistency with review areas of subsequent EDC by-laws.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-5

PDSB EDC (2019) – Elementary Review Areas


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-6

PDSB EDC (2019) – Secondary Review Areas


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-7

The PDSB’s review areas used in this background study are somewhat consistent with

the Board’s review areas used in their long-term accommodation studies. For the

purpose of calculating an EDC, the PDSB has used a total of 33 elementary review

areas and 10 secondary review areas.

Elementary Review Areas

ERA01 - SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF LAKE / EAST OF

PEEL BND

ERA02 - SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE /EAST OF

CREDIT RIVER

ERA03 - SOUTH OF 403 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW

ERA04a - SOUTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW / WEST OF

CAWTHRA RD – a

ERA04b - SOUTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW / WEST OF

CAWTHRA RD – b

ERA05 - SOUTH OF 401 /WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF QEW /EAST OF

CAWTHRA RD

ERA06 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH

OF 403/ EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA07 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER & RAILWAY /

NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL

ERA08 - SOUTH OF 401 / WEST OF HURONTARIO & MAVIS / NORTH OF 403 /

EAST OF CREDIT RIV & RAIL

ERA09 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA & 401 / WEST OF TOMKEN RD / NORTH OF 403 /

EAST OF MAVINS

ERA10 - SOUTH OF RAILWAY / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH OF

BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF PEEL BND


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-8

ERA11 - SOUTH OF RAIL & 401 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF

BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILLERA012

ERA12 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF 401

/ EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA13 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF EPPL BND / NORTH OF 401 /

EAST OF HURONTARIO

ERA14 - SOUTHEAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST

OF PEEL BND

ERA15 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTHWEST OF

CREDIT RIVER

ERA16 - SOUTH OF RAIL / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF STEELES / EAST

OF CHINGUACOUSY

ERA17 - SOUTH OF STEELES / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NBORTH OF B & M CITY

LIMITS / EAST OF RAIL

ERA18 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS /

EAST OF HURONTARIO

ERA19 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & W CITY

LIMITS / EAST OF 410

ERA20 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF B & M CITY

LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD

ERA21a - SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/

NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND – a

ERA21b - SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/

NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND – b

ERA22 - SOUTH OF WANLESS/MAYFIELD / WEST OF HURONTARIO/RAIL / NORTH

OF RAIL / WEST OF CREDITIVIEW


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-9

ERA23 - SOUTH OF B& C CITY LIMITS/WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST

OF HURONTARIO

ERA24a - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF

BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 – a

ERA24b - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF

BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 – b

ERA25a - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF

BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY – a

ERA25b - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF

BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY – b

ERA26a – MAYFIELD

ERA26b - SOUTH OF OLD BASE LINE RD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF

B&C CITY LIMITS/EAST OF PEEL BND – b

ERA27 - S OF CAL EAST BND/OLD BASELINE/CASTLEDERG/W OF PEEL BND/N

OF B&C CITY LIMITS/E OF AIRPORT

ERA28 - S OF PEEL BND / W OF PEEL BND / N OF OLD BASELINE / CAL EAST

BND / CASTLEDERG/ WEST OF PEEL BND

Secondary Review Areas

SRA01 - SOUTH OF 403 & 401 / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO /

EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA02 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF

PEEL BND

SRA03 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF 401 /

EAST OF 410


March 29, 2019 PAGE 1-10

SRA04 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD & RAIL / WEST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTH OF B

& M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA05 - SOUTH OF B & C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY

LIMITS / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY

SRA06 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & M CITY

LIMITS / EAST OF 410

SRA07 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD /CASTLEMORE / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF

B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD

SRA08 – SOUTH OF OLD BASELINE/ WEST OF AIRPORT/GOREWAY/ NOTH OF

BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 / NORTH OF MAYFIELD/EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA09 - SOUTH OF PEEL BND / WEST OF LINE BTWN ST ANDREWS &

MOUNTAINVIEW/ NORTH OF OLD BASELINE/ EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA10 - SOUTH OF PEEL BND / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF MAYFIELD /

EAST OF AIRPORT / ST ANDRES / MOUNTAINVIEW

The EDC calculation on a review area basis assumes that the total OTG capacity of all

existing permanent accommodation within the review area is considered to be the total

available capacity for instructional purposes and is required to meet the needs of the

existing community. Determining board needs on a review area basis is premised on:

Available space is determined by subtracting the Year 15 existing community

enrolment number from the current OTG capacity figure;

Pupils that are generated from new development must fill any available surplus

OTG capacity first; and

Pupils generated from new development, above and beyond those that fill any

available surplus space within the review area, are net growth-related pupil place

requirements and can potentially be funded through education development

charges.

The review area approach to calculating an EDC has been undertaken by the Board as

it is consistent with the way in which future capital construction needs will be assessed

over the long term.


March 29, 2019

Chapter 2 The EDC By-law


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-1

2. The EDC By-law

2.1 Imposition of an EDC

The passage of an education development charge by-law gives school boards the

authority to impose and collect EDCs for the purpose of acquiring and developing

growth-related school sites. Each by-law has a maximum term of 5 years and must be

passed within one year of EDC background study completion. Before a school board

can proceed with an EDC by-law, it must receive confirmation in writing from the

Ministry of Education acknowledging receipt of the background study and approving

estimates of enrolment projections and future site needs contained in the background

study.

Section 10 of Ontario Regulation 20/98 sets out the conditions that must be satisfied in

order for a board to pass an education development charge by-law:

The Minister has approved the board’s estimates of the total number of

elementary and secondary pupils over each of the fifteen years of the forecast

period;

The Minister has approved the board’s estimates of the number of elementary

and secondary school sites used by the board to determine the net education

land costs;

The board has demonstrated that the average elementary or secondary

enrolment within its jurisdiction exceeds the board’s elementary or secondary

capacity; or the board’s current EDC financial obligations exceed revenues

reported in the EDC reserve fund;

The board has prepared a background study and given a copy of the education

development charge background study relating to the by-law to the Minister and

each board having jurisdiction within the area to which the by-law would apply;

The area to which the board proposes the EDC by-law is enforced and charges

are imposed, is the same area that was subject to the EDC charge by-law in

force on August 31, 2018; and

The board provides any information regarding the calculation of the education

development charge if requested by the Minister upon the review of the

background study.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-2

2.2 The Background Study

An education development charge background study must be completed by a school

board that wishes to pass an EDC by-law. The intention of the background study is to

provide information on the process and methodology of calculating an EDC, as well as

the background and assumptions that make up the estimates of the enrolment

projections and site needs.

Section 257.61 (1) of the Act requires that “before passing an education development

charge by-law, the board shall complete an education development charge background

study.”

Section 257.61 (2) of the Act, as well as O.Reg. 20/98 section 9 (1) and (2) set out the

following information that must be included in an EDC background study:

Section 9 (1):

Estimates of the anticipated amount, type and location of new dwelling units for

each year of the fifteen-year forecast period in the area in which the charge is to

be imposed;

The number of projected new pupil places as a result of new growth and the

number of new school sites needed to provide accommodation for those

students;

The number of existing pupil places by school and the number of available

spaces to accommodate the projected number of new pupil places;

For every existing elementary and secondary pupil place in the board’s

jurisdiction that the board does not intend to use to accommodate pupils from

new growth, an explanation as to why the board does not intend to do so;

Section 9 (2):

For each elementary and secondary school site, estimates of the net education

land cost, the location of the site, the area of the site (including the area that

exceeds the maximum set out in section 2 of O.Reg. 20/98, and an explanation

of whether the costs of the excess land are education land costs and if so, why);


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-3

The number of pupil places the board estimates will be provided by the school to

be built on the site and the number of those pupil places that the board estimates

will be used to accommodate new pupil places;

The EDC Guidelines suggest that school boards are required to provide the Ministry

with a copy of the final background study at least 40 days prior to the anticipated by-law

passage date. In addition, the background study must be made available to the public

at least two weeks prior to the legislated public meeting.

2.3 Public Meetings

Before a school board can pass an EDC by-law, the legislation requires that the board

hold at least two public meetings. The purpose of the public meetings are to review the

existing EDC policies of the Board and to also advise any interested stakeholders and

the public at large of the board’s intentions and address the new proposed EDC by-law.

The public meeting also gives the community and stakeholders the opportunity to voice

any issues or concerns they have with regard to the proposed by-law. The Board is

holding an additional public meeting is to consider passage of the new by-law.

The board is required to provide at least 20 days’ notice of the meetings and must make

the background study, as well as the new proposed by-law, available to the public at

least two weeks in advance of the first public meeting. O.Reg. 20/98 states that notice

of a public meeting can be given in two ways:

To every owner of land in the area to which the proposed by-law would apply by

personal service, fax or mail; and

By publication in a newspaper that is, in the secretary of the school board’s

opinion, of sufficiently general circulation in the area to which the proposed by-

law would apply to give the public reasonable notice of the meeting.

If a school board already has an existing in-force EDC by-law in place, the board must

hold an additional meeting to review the existing policies of the current EDC by-law.

This part of the process is necessary in order to fulfil the requirements of the policy

review process. It should be noted that this policy review meeting can be addressed by

the board during its first EDC public meeting.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-4

The Board intends to hold public meetings to inform the public as to the new proposed

EDC by-law. The Board will hold such meetings on May 14, 2019. In addition, the

Board will consider passage of the bylaw at a meeting on May 28, 2019. All meetings

will take place at the Board’s main office prior to their regularly scheduled Board

meeting. Both meetings will start at 7:00PM. Detailed notices will be issued in advance

of the meetings as per legislative requirements. A copy of the notice has been included

on the following page.

NOTICE OF PUBLIC MEETINGS

PEEL DISTRICT SCHOOL BOARD

Board Room, HJA Brown Education Centre

5650 Hurontario Street, Mississauga, Ontario

EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT CHARGES

TAKE NOTICE that on Tuesday, May 14, 2019 at 7:00 p.m., the Peel District School Board (the "Board") will hold a public meeting pursuant to subsection

257.60(2) of the Education Act (the "Act") at the location shown above.

The Board has begun the process of preparing a successor education development charge by-law for the Region of Peel. The purpose of this policy

review meeting on May 14, 2019 will be to review the current education development charge policies of the Board and to solicit public input. All

interested persons are invited to attend. Any person who attends the meeting may make a representation to the Board in respect of the policies. The

Board will also consider any written submissions.

AND FURTHER TAKE NOTICE that, immediately following the policy review meeting referred to above, the Board will hold a second public meeting on

Tuesday, May 14, 2019 at the same location pursuant to section 257.63 of the Education Act to consider proposed education development charges

which may be imposed pursuant to an education development charge bylaw against land undergoing development in the Region of Peel.

The purpose of the second meeting on May 14, 2019 will be to inform the public generally about the education development charge proposal of the

Board for the Region of Peel and to permit any person who attends the meeting to make a representation to the Board relating to the proposed charges.

All interested persons are invited to attend. The Board will also consider any written submissions.

AND FURTHER TAKE NOTICE that the Board will consider enacting a successor by-law imposing education development charges in the Region of Peel at a

public meeting to be held on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 at 7:30 p.m. at the location shown above. All interested parties are invited to attend. Any person who

attends the meeting may make representations to the Board in respect of this matter. Written submissions, filed in advance of the meeting, will also be considered.

Should a successor by-law be passed on such date, collection of education development charges pursuant to such by-law may commence on June 2, 2019. All submissions received in writing and those opinions expressed at the public meetings will be considered prior to the Board's decision.

A copy of the proposed education development by-law for the Region of Peel and the education development charge background study (including the

Board’s policy review analysis) required pursuant to sections 257.60 and 257.61 of the Act in connection therewith will be available on request during regular business hours beginning on April 9, 2019 in the Planning and Accommodation Department at the Board's administrative offices, 5650

Hurontario Street, Mississauga, Ontario and will also be posted on the Board’s website (www.peelschools.org).

The Board would appreciate receiving written submissions one week prior to the public meetings referred to herein so that they may be distributed to trustees prior to the meetings. Submissions and requests to address the Board as delegations should be submitted to: Suzanne Blakeman, Peel District School Board, Tel: (905) 890-1010 ext. 2216.

Any comments or requests for further information regarding this matter may be directed to Suzanne Blakeman, Manager, Planning and Accommodation Support Services, Peel District School Board at (905) 890-1010 ext. 2216.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-6

Stakeholder Participation

In addition to the legislated public meetings, the Ministry encourages school boards to

include relevant stakeholders in the EDC process and discussions. Local developers or

development associations, as well as municipalities should be contacted in advance of

the public meetings to ensure they are aware of the proposed EDC and to bring to light

any potential issues, etc. It is essential that stakeholders are part of the process and

that the discussions remain transparent at all times to help ensure smooth passage of

the EDC by-law.

The Board will work closely with stakeholders and ensure they are provided with

appropriate materials and have opportunities to provide feedback. This ensures

consistency in the data and assumptions used in the calculation of the charges. Growth

forecasts used for the EDC analysis are consistent with the most recent and available

Regional forecasts. Stakeholders were made aware of the Board’s EDC process and

the Board will also hold a stakeholder information session on April 3, 2019.

2.4 Exemptions, Expiration, Collection

Exemptions

The EDC by-law is subject to certain statutory exemptions for both residential and non-

residential collection. The exemptions for residential development deal with residential

intensification and replacement of units. If a new unit is added to an existing dwelling

unit, for example, a single detached unit is converted to a duplex, the additional unit is

exempt from EDCs. Section 3 of O.Reg. 20/98 sets out the classes of residential

buildings and the maximum number of dwelling units that can be added under the

exemption.

The legislation also allows for exemptions dealing with the replacement of residential

units when the unit has been destroyed by fire, demolition or otherwise, or has been

rendered uninhabitable, subject to certain conditions prescribed under Section 4 of

O.Reg. 20/98.

Non-residential statutory exemptions deal similarly with additions/enlargements of

space and replacement of existing non-residential space which has been destroyed. A

non-residential development that includes the enlargement of existing industrial space,


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-7

up to 50% of the gross floor area of the existing development, is exempt from EDCs as

per section 257.55 of Division E of the Education Act. Replacement of non-residential

building space is exempt from EDCs if the existing space was destroyed by fire,

demolition or otherwise, or has been rendered uninhabitable, subject to certain

conditions in Section 5 of O.Reg. 20/98.

In addition to the exemptions mentioned, the legislation allows for a limited non-

residential exemption for certain institutional developments. Section 257.54 (5) of the

Education Act stipulates that, “No land, except land owned by and used for the

purposes of a board or municipality, is exempt from an EDC under a by-law passed

under subsection (1) by reason only that it is exempt from taxation under Section 3 of

the Assessment Act.”

School boards may also decide to impose their own non-statutory exemptions to certain

developments, both residentially and non-residentially. Non-statutory exemptions are

entirely at the discretion of the board and any EDC revenues lost as a result cannot be

recovered.

Expiration

A school board can specify any date as the expiration date of the EDC by-law as long

as the term of the by-law does not exceed 5 years. The exception to this rule is that the

EDC by-law of one school board automatically expires on the same date as an existing

by-law of a co-terminous school board if they are in force in any part of the same area.

Section 17 of O.Reg. 20/98 prescribes the conditions dealing with this special rule of

expiry of by-laws.

Collection

The EDC is collected by local municipalities on behalf of the school boards at the time a

building permit is issued. The funds are deposited into an EDC reserve fund by the

Board. The municipality, under the legislation, cannot issue a building permit if the

education development charge has not been paid. In addition to collecting the charge

and transferring the monies to the school boards, municipalities are also required to

provide the boards with detailed reports respecting all EDC transactions (Section 20 of

O.Reg. 20/98). At a minimum, each report should cover the total EDCs that have been

collected, the number of building permits issued (or GFA for non-residential), any

exemptions granted and any permits that were issued without an EDC being paid.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-8

The municipalities do not receive any remuneration for collecting EDCs on behalf of the

school boards; however, municipalities are allowed to retain any interest earned on the

monthly EDC balances.

2.5 Appeals and Amendments

Appeals

The education development charge by-law can be appealed by any individual or

organization in accordance with the provisions in the Education Act. Sections 257.64 to

257.69 of the Act outline the legislation dealing with an appeal of an EDC by-law. The

by-law is subject to appeal for a maximum of 40 days after the by-law has been passed.

The school boards must provide written notice that an EDC by-law has been passed

(within 20 days of passage) and this notice must include information on how to file an

appeal.

An appeal of an EDC by-law goes to the Local Planning Appeal Tribunal (LPAT)

formerly known as the Ontario Municipal Board (OMB), to be decided. All appeals must

be filed in writing with the secretary of the school board within the allotted time allowed.

The reasons for the appeal must be included in the notice. It is the responsibility of the

secretary of the school board to forward a copy of the Notice of Appeal to the LPAT

within 30 days after the last day of the appeal period. In addition to the Notice of

Appeal, the secretary must provide:

A copy of the by-law certified by the secretary;

A copy of the background study;

An affidavit or declaration certifying that notice of the passing of the by-law was

provided in accordance with the Education Act; and

The original or true copy of all written submissions and material relevant to the

by-law.

After hearing an appeal, the LPAT may decide to:

Dismiss the appeal in whole or in part;

Order the board to repeal or amend the by-law; or

Repeal or amend the by-law itself.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 2-9

If the by-law is repealed, the EDCs that have already been paid must be refunded. If

the by-law is amended and the amended charge is lower than the original charge, the

difference must be refunded. All refunds are due within 30 days of the by-law being

repealed or amended. While the LPAT does have the power to repeal or amend the by-

law, they are not able to increase the quantum of the charge, remove or reduce the

scope of discretionary exemptions or change the expiration date of the by-law.

Amendments

The EDC legislation gives school boards the authority to amend their by-laws. Section

257.70 (1) of the Act states, “Subject to subsection (2), a board may pass a by-law

amending an education development charge by-law.” There are certain limitations to an

EDC amendment, specifically laid out in s. 257.70 (2) of the Act,

A board may not amend an education development charge by-law so as to do any one of the following more than once in the one-year period immediately following the coming into force of the by-law or in any succeeding one-year period:

Increase the amount of an EDC.

Remove or reduce the scope of an exemption.

Extend the term of the by-law.

There are a variety of reasons why school boards may feel the need to amend their by-

law. School boards may be paying more for school sites than what was estimated in

the EDC and may need to increase their land cost assumptions or they may need to

change a discretionary exemption. The board does not need Ministry approval to pass

an amending by-law; however, boards are required to provide proper notice proposing

an amendment and of the amendment itself. Boards are also required to ensure that

the original EDC background study is available, as well as any additional information

that would explain the reason for the amendment. A public meeting is not required to

pass an amending by-law, but it is recommended.


March 29, 2019

Chapter 3 The Process and Methodology of Calculating an Education Development Charge


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-1

3. The Process and Methodology of Calculating an Education Development Charge

The following Chapter will outline the procedures and methodologies utilized to

calculate the EDC. As mentioned earlier in this report, the EDC calculation is formulaic

and technical in nature and encompasses three main components – demographic

projections, determination of need (new school sites) and the associated costs.

3.1 Eligibility

School boards must first qualify by meeting certain criteria in order to be eligible to

impose EDCs. The first criterion deals with the board’s average projected enrolment

compared to its OTG capacity. The second criterion, available only to school boards

who have an existing in-force by-law, deals with outstanding EDC financial obligations.

Capacity Trigger

If a school board’s average elementary or secondary enrolment on a jurisdiction-wide

basis over the 5 years following proposed by-law passage is greater than the board’s

elementary or secondary OTG capacity, then it is eligible to impose an EDC.

Qualification on either panel allows the board to impose EDCs throughout its jurisdiction

for both elementary and secondary new school sites. Form A of the EDC submission

sets out a board’s projected average daily enrolment over the proposed 5-year term of

the EDC by-law (2019 to 2024), as compared to its OTG capacity on both the

elementary and secondary panels.

The OTG capacity for the EDC is typically based on the Ministry-approved permanent

capacity according to the School Facilities Inventory System on the proposed date the

new by-law is to come into force. Additional adjustments may be made to the capacity

figure used in the study, in consultation with Ministry staff and for circumstances such

as:

OTG capacity of schools that are transferred from one panel to the other within

12 months of by-law passage may be attributed to the panel the school will be

used for after the transfer is complete. The boards must have a passed

resolution for this to take effect;


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-2

The capacity of all schools or additions under construction and that are planned

for opening within 12 months of the by-law coming into force are to be included in

the capacity determination;

Purpose-built space (i.e. special education, adult education, outdoor education

facilities) that cannot be reasonably used to accommodate pupils from new

growth may be excluded from the permanent capacity determination;

The capacity of a leased school must be included if the school has a “New Pupil

Place” capacity attributed to it; and

Any schools that have been closed (in accordance with the Boards’ school

closure policy) may be excluded from the permanent capacity. In addition, if a

school is scheduled to close during the tenure of the by-law (with Board passed

resolution) then the capacity may also be excluded.

The Board has determined a permanent capacity of 130,818 on the elementary panel

and 46,203 on the secondary panel.

PDSB does not meet the capacity trigger on the either panel. The average projected

enrolment from 2019/20 to 2023/24 is 117,330 on the elementary panel, compared with

a permanent capacity of 130,818 – resulting in 13,488 surplus spaces. On the

secondary panel, the average project enrolment is 43,379, compared with a permanent

capacity of 46,203 – resulting in 2,824 surplus spaces.

Form A from the EDC Ministry Submission for the Board can be found on the

following page.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-3

Peel District School Board– Form A


Education Development Charges Submission 2019

Form A - Eligibility to Impose an EDC

A.1.1: CAPACITY TRIGGER CALCULATION - ELEMENTARY PANEL

Elementary

Elementary Average Average

Panel Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Projected Projected

Board-Wide 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ Enrolment Enrolment

EDC Capacity 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Over Five less

Years Capacity

130,818.0 115,632 116,511 117,420 117,979 119,106 117,330 -13,488

A.1.2: CAPACITY TRIGGER CALCULATION - SECONDARY PANEL

Secondary Average Secondary




Years Capacity

46,203.0 41,682 42,650 43,247 44,454 44,864 43,379 -2,824

Projected Elementary Panel Enrolment

Projected Secondary Panel Enrolment


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-4

Financial Obligations

A school board that has an existing EDC by-law in place and has outstanding financial

obligations related to its existing by-law that exceed the balance of the EDC reserve

fund, is eligible to impose EDCs. It is possible for a board to have sufficient capacity to

accommodate projected enrolment, yet still be obligated to pay for sites that have been

purchased as a result of a growth-related need. Outstanding financial obligations can

result from a board not having collected enough revenue because of growth shortfalls or

an increase in land prices, or if a board has purchased school sites earlier than what

was projected in the background study.

This financial obligation eligibility trigger was added to the original capacity trigger

criteria with an amendment to O.Reg. 20/98 and came into force on March 12th, 2002.

For school boards to qualify under this trigger, an EDC financial obligation must be

demonstrated in the background study, including the following required information:

Have a previous by-law in effect after September 1, 1999;

Funds borrowed from the EDC reserve fund must be reconciled back;

Copies of Appendix D1 and D2 must be provided;

A transaction history of EDC financial activity must be provided from the last

Appendix D1 and D2 statements to proposed by-law implementation; and

A repayment schedule outlining the elimination of the EDC financial obligation.

An outstanding EDC financial obligation exists if the adjusted outstanding principal as

per Appendix D of the Board’s financial statements (plus any adjustments made), is

greater than the adjusted EDC reserve fund balance from Appendix D (including

adjustments).

The PDSB’s EDC reserve fund for the by-law is estimated to have outstanding EDC

Financial Obligation of $119,576,810 in the Region of Peel. This means that the

reserve fund is currently in a deficit position and qualifies the Board to pursue additional

by-law in the Region of Peel.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-5

3.2 Demographic Projections

The demographic projections respecting school enrolment and housing and population

growth form an important basis for the entire EDC analysis. These projections

ultimately determine eligibility, need and the final quantum of the charge. The housing

unit forecasts contained in this study are consistent with the most recent Regional

forecasts that were available at the time of study. Background, methodologies and

overviews of both the enrolment and housing forecasts can be found in Chapter 4 of this

report.

The demographic projection requirements of the EDC consist of three distinct

components: projecting the number of annual building permits that will be issued for

new dwelling units and new non-residential space; projecting enrolment of the existing

community; and projecting enrolment from new housing growth.

New Dwelling Units/Non-residential Space

The number of new dwelling units in the area of the EDC by-law must be estimated for

each of the next fifteen years. The forecast is set out by three types of development –

low density (single and semi-detached homes), medium density (townhouses) and high

density (apartments) – and is broken down by the Board review areas that were outlined

earlier in this report.

The forecast is set out by varying types/densities of development for two reasons. The

first is that different types of developments produce school-aged children in different

ways. Defining various types of developments allows for greater accuracy when

projecting the number of new pupils arising from new developments. The second

reason is to be able to calculate a differentiated charge should the Board choose to do

so. The Board has the ability to charge a uniform EDC rate across all types of

development – meaning that the EDC is one rate for a single-family home or an

apartment – or it can choose to charge separate rates depending on the type or density

of development.

There are situations, as defined by the legislation, where certain developments are

exempt from EDCs, such as housing intensification. A forecast of net new dwelling

units should ensure that these exempt units are factored into any forecast and

excluded.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-6

In addition to a housing forecast, projections of new non-residential space must also be

provided in the EDC study to allow for the calculation of the non-residential component

of the charge.

A forecast of new non-residential space estimated to be built in the by-law area must be

provided for each of the fifteen years following by-law inception. The non-residential

forecast can be estimated in two ways: by gross floor area of non-residential space; or

by the estimated declared value of future non-residential construction. As with the

residential component, there are certain statutory exemptions which must be factored

into the non-residential forecast to ensure that exempt space is excluded. These

exemptions are discussed earlier in the report.

Existing Community Projections and Projections of New Pupils

The enrolment projections required in order to calculate EDCs must be made up of two

distinct projections, one for the existing community and one for pupils from new housing

growth. This is done because ultimately the number of total growth-related pupils must

be offset by any available pupil places that are not required by pupils of the existing

community in Year 15 of the forecast. The existing community projection must

estimate, by school, the number of students for fifteen years based on the number of

existing students today and assuming no additional new housing growth. The Board’s

total OTG capacity of the review area (as of by-law inception) less the projected number

of existing community pupils in the review area in Year 15, is the Board’s total available

space.

The determination of pupils from new development is based on the aforementioned

housing forecast and the use of pupil yield factors. Pupil yields are mathematical

representations of the number of school-aged children that will be generated by a

particular dwelling over the planning forecast and that will attend a particular school

board. Pupil yields used in this analysis are based on Statistics Canada data and Board

historical enrolment information. Multiplying the pupil yield factors by the appropriate

type of developments in the net new dwelling forecast determines the projected pupils

from new development.

To determine the total net growth-related pupil place requirements, the available pupil

places (total available space referenced above) must be subtracted from the total pupils

projected from new development. Enrolment projections and the determination of net


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-7

growth-related pupil places can be done on a jurisdiction-wide basis or on a review area

basis. The EDC analysis in this study is based on a review area approach.

3.3 Site Needs

The final “planning” or “forecasting” step in the EDC process is determining the Board’s

site needs, specifically the number, location and size of sites for new growth-related

schools within the Board. The calculation of net growth-related pupil place

requirements ultimately determines the number of necessary sites and their size. The

regulation governing the EDC provides a table of maximum sizes depending on the

number of pupil places that will be constructed. These tables can be found below.

While the tables ultimately determine the amount/size of land that will be necessary for

new school sites, the legislation also recognizes that there may be situations in which

the necessary site for a new school may exceed the size specified in the table. For

example, a board may need a larger site to accommodate certain municipal

requirements or Ministry initiatives. Should a site exceed the legislative requirements,

justification must be included in the EDC background study.

Elementary Schools

Number of Pupils Maximum Area (acres)

1 to 400 4

401 to 500 5

501 to 600 6

601 to 700 7

701 or more 8


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-8

Secondary Schools

Number of Pupils Maximum Area (acres)

1 to 1000 12

1001 to 1100 13

1101 to 1200 14

1201 to 1300 15

1301 to 1400 16

1401 to 1500 17

1501 or more 18

Form G of the Ministry EDC Forms submission provides specific details on each site the

Board is proposing to acquire to construct new schools. On a site by site basis, Form G

provides information on the general location of the site (by review area or greater detail,

if available), the proposed size of the new school, the approximate timing of site

purchase, as well as the percentage of the site that is considered EDC eligible. The

Ministry also recommends that proposed site purchases for new schools are consistent

with the Board’s long-term accommodation plans.

3.4 Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

The planning or forecasting component of the EDC analysis is critical to determining the

overall EDC eligible needs of the Board. To finalize the calculation process of the EDC,

these accommodation needs must be translated into financial requirements. The

analysis in the previous section determined the total growth-related pupil needs as well

as the amount of land (in acres) that will be required to accommodate those pupils.

EDC eligible expenses are determined by attaching costs to acquire and service the

land needed.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-9

Appraised land values for new sites have been determined by qualified appraisers and

the methodologies used, as well as relevant data, can be found in Chapter 5 of this

report. Servicing costs are based on historical costs provided by the Board with respect

to sites that have been recently developed. Once costs for each site have been

finalized, the next step is to determine the percentage of each site that is EDC eligible.

This is based on the percentage of net growth-related students that make up the total

capacity of the proposed new school. For example, if the new proposed school had a

capacity of 450 and 400 of the spaces were accounted for by new growth-related pupils,

then the site would be 88.88% eligible for EDCs (400/450 = 88.88%).

In addition to site acquisition and servicing costs, there are other EDC eligible expenses

that can be included in the analysis. Examples of other EDC eligible costs are:

Interest and borrowing costs related to site acquisition;

Land escalation costs;

Costs related to the preparation and distribution of EDC background studies; and

Costs related to studies of land being considered for acquisition (environmental

assessments).

Outstanding Financial Obligations

In addition to the costs that have been outlined above, any outstanding financial

obligations from previous by-laws are also eligible education land costs. A negative

balance in a board’s EDC reserve fund, established for the area to which the proposed

by-law will apply, is considered as an outstanding financial obligation and can be added

to the total net education land costs. It should be noted that if a board has a positive

balance in the EDC reserve fund, these funds must be used to defray any EDC eligible

expenditures. The total eligible costs are referred to as the total growth-related net

education land costs.

3.5 Determination of the Charge

Once the total growth-related net education land costs have been determined, there are

certain prescribed steps that must be followed to determine the actual quantum of the

EDC. As discussed in Chapter 2, the legislation allows school boards to determine the

type of EDC it will impose. The Board can impose an EDC on residential or non-


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-10

residential developments and can also charge a uniform rate for all types of

developments or can differentiate the rate based on dwelling unit types.

Apportionment of Land Costs

The legislation allows school boards to allocate up to 40% of their education land costs

to non-residential development. If a school board had a non-residential component to

their EDCs then the land costs would be multiplied by whatever percentage the board

deemed to be apportioned to non-residential. For example, if the total land costs were

estimated to be $1 million and the non-residential allocation was 10%, then the non-

residential growth-related net education land costs would total $100,000. The

remaining balance would make up the residential growth-related net education land

costs.

To determine the residential charge (assuming a uniform charge), the total residential

growth-related net education land costs are divided over the projected number of net

new dwelling units assumed in the EDC forecast over the next fifteen years. The result

is the amount of the uniform residential EDC per dwelling unit. If charges are to be

imposed on non-residential development, there are two ways in which they can be

calculated. If the Board chooses to use a non-residential forecast of gross floor area,

then the total non-residential growth-related net education land costs are divided by the

estimated gross floor area of proposed non-residential developments. The Board can

also choose to use a non-residential forecast of estimated declared values where the

non-residential land costs are divided by the projected declared values and multiplied by

100 to get a non-residential charge.

Once the residential charge is determined, it can be charged uniformly across all types

of development or different rates can be charged depending on the types of units being

built. If the EDC is applied in a uniform manner, then the total residential land costs are

simply divided over the estimated net new dwelling units as described earlier. If the

Board chooses to impose a differentiated EDC, then the charges are apportioned on the

basis of different unit types producing different amounts of pupils. The Board may

choose to define developments as they wish (i.e. low density, high density, condos,

apartments, single family, etc.) but are encouraged to stay as consistent as possible

with categories used by the local municipalities impacted by the by-law.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-11

A distribution factor is determined by the distribution of growth-related pupils amongst

the various unit types defined by the Board. For example, if 100 students were from low

density developments, 50 from medium density and 10 from high density, the

distribution factors would be 62.5% for low (100/160), 31.25% for medium and 6.25%

for high. These distribution factors are then multiplied by the total residential land costs

to determine the apportioned residential land costs by development type. Each

separate amount is then divided by the number of net new units for the particular

development type to arrive at the differentiated residential EDC per unit by development

type.

A flow chart detailing the EDC process can be found on the following page. In

addition, the Ministry EDC Forms, which detail the calculations required to

determine the EDC, can be found in Appendix A at the end of this report.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 3-12

EDC Process and Methodology

DETERMINING

ELIGIBILITY

Enrolment To CapacityOutstanding Financial

Obligations

DEMOGRAPHIC

PROJECTIONS

SITE NEEDS

Total Net Growth-related

Pupils

Legislated Maximum Site

Area

Number, Location and

Size of New School Sites

NET EDUCATION

LAND COSTS

Land Acquisition CostsOutstanding Financial

ObligationsSite Preparation Costs Study Costs

DETERMINATION

OF CHARGE

Residential ForecastEnrolment Expected From

New DevelopmentNon-Residential Forecast

Existing Community

Projections

Total Net Education Land

Costs

Residential/Non-Residential

Allocation (if necessary)Differentiation of Charge

(if necessary)

BY-LAW

PASSAGE

EDC PoliciesPublic Process

By-law Implementation

And Passage


March 29, 2019

Chapter 4 Demographic Projections


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-1

4. Demographic Projections

As mentioned earlier in the report, the demographic projections form the backbone of

the EDC analysis, in that they are used to determine eligibility, need and ultimately the

quantum of the charge itself. The demographic projections for an EDC consist of both

forecasts of new housing development and projections of school enrolment. Projections

of both new housing and enrolment must be provided on an annual basis for a 15-year

period following by-law imposition. The following Chapter provides the methodology

and background to the demographic projections, as well as the results of those

projections.

4.1 The Residential Growth Forecast

Residential

The residential growth forecast for the EDC is critical to the analysis because of the

direct link between new homes and new pupils for the school board. In addition to

determining a board’s needs, the number of net new projected units in the forecast is

what the total net education land costs get divided by to determine the final quantum of

the residential charge. The dwelling unit forecast contained in this study provides a

projection of the number of units on an annual basis for the next 15 years by low

(single/semis), medium (townhouses) and high (apartments) density allocations as well

as seasonal dwellings. O.Reg. 20/98 s.7(1) states that a board must, “estimate the

number of new dwelling units in the area in which charges are to be imposed for each of

the 15 years immediately following the day the by-law comes into force.”

Housing development and occupancy patterns have changed significantly over the last

decade. Housing developments are offering more choice in terms of density, such as

singles, townhomes and apartments, as well as developments that cater to specific

lifestyles or age groups (retirement residences). The new Places to Grow initiative by

the provincial government mandates that future developments will have more units on

less land, increasing the likelihood of more urban-type developments and infilling

projects in the future. The combination of new initiatives, societal shifts in housing and

the recent downturn in the economy have posed a set of unique challenges for

municipalities in the area to develop long-term population and housing projections.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-2

The development projections contained in this study are mainly derived from the Official

Plan Review, Peel 2041: Growth Management Strategy. The GMS targets the new

regional forecast as established by the Growth Plan 2017. This ensures consistency

with local and upper tier governments and other agencies. In addition, the GMS

allocated growth on both a municipal and local planning community area basis, to

ensure that anticipated population, housing and employment growth is directed to areas

where infrastructure and service investment has already been made or is expected to

be in the future.

According to regional municipal building permit data, the Region of Peel have averaged

approximately 64,700 new permits for residential construction between 2010 and 2018.

Residential building activity in the Board’s jurisdiction have generally stayed consistent

over the last several years, with a few exceptions during 2012 and 2015 where it

reached over 8,000 new units in each year, 2,000 above the 9-year annual average of

6,078.

During 2016-2018, 50% of the total units issued with a building permit occurred within

the City of Brampton, 40% within the City of Mississauga and the remaining 10% within

the Town of Caledon. Over this time-period, the Town of Caledon accounted for 15%

for low density units while the City of Brampton accounted for 75% and the remaining

10% occurred within the City of Mississauga. In addition, 75% of all high-density

building permits were issued within the City of Mississauga (5,422) from 2016-2018,

with only 336 occurring within the Town of Caledon (5%) and the remaining 18% within

Brampton. The medium density units (rows and townhouses) saw 3,823 new units from

building permits over the 2016-2018 period, with 73% within Brampton, 13% and 14%

within Caledon and Mississauga, respectively.

Region of Peel Historical Building Permit Issuance Trends

Year Area Total

2010 Region of Peel 4,491








March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-3



Average 6,078

Region of Peel Building Permit Activity, 2010 - 2018

Share of total units from building permits issued between 2016-2018 by municipality within the Region of Peel

4,491

6,786

8,066

4,872

5,922

8,186

6,786

4,715 4,878

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

# o

f U

nit

s

Year

Low Density Medium Density High Density Historical Average

Source: Region of Peel building permit data, Open Data Catalogue 2019.

50%

10%

40%

City of Brampton Town of Caledon City of Mississauga

Source: Region of Peel building permit data, Open Data Catalogue 2019.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-4

The growth forecast is based on some changes in terms of how and where growth will

occur in the future. The Municipal/County forecasts project fairly sustained growth over

the next few decades with an average of approximately 7,411 new dwelling units per

year from 2019/20 to 2033/34 (15-year EDC forecast term).

REGION OF PEEL

2019/20 to 2033/34

Density Type # Of Units % By Density

Low (Single/Semi) 43,948 39.5%

Medium (Townhouses) 22,364 20.1%

High (Apartments) 44,854 40.4%

Total 111,166 100%

The final growth forecast for the Region of Peel by-law for PDSB is based on the

aforementioned data and totals 111,166 new units that are forecast to be built over the

next 15 years. Of these new units, 39.5% are estimated to be low density, 20.1%

medium density, and 40.4% high density. Comparatively, the historical building permit

data (Statistics Canada) from 2010 to 2018, indicates approximately 53% of all permits

were for low density type units (singles/semis), 19% for medium density and 29% for

high density. While the forecast averages 7,411 units for the 15-year EDC term, it is

expected that the first 5 years of the forecast will average 7,531 units per year.

Between Years 5 and 10, the forecast is expected to average 7,661 and between Years

10 and 15, the forecast is expected to average 7,041.

As mentioned previously, there is a residential statutory EDC exemption dealing with

intensification of residential units. In order to account for the intensification EDC

exemption, an adjustment to the projections was made to derive the “net” new units

housing forecast. This adjustment is intended to estimate the number of units in the

forecast that will be created by intensification – for example, transforming existing

single-family homes into duplex/apartment-type units. The overall forecast was reduced

by approximately 1.5% to estimate the number of exempt units and resulted in a

projection of 109,499 net new units. Approximately 36% of these units are expected to

be built in the City of Mississauga, 49% are expected to be built in the City of Brampton

and the remaining 15% are expected in to be built in the Town of Caledon.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-5

Non-residential

Over the next 15-year study period, the Region of Peel non-residential growth is also

expected to grow by approximately 101,695,000 sq.ft. by 2033. This accounts for a

growth of 68,515,500 sq.ft. of industrial (67%), 26,645,800 sq.ft. of commercial (26%)

and 6,533,700 sq.ft. of institutional (6%) growth, based on the Region of Peel Growth

Management Strategy background work, October 2017.

4.2 Enrolment Projections

Enrolment projections for the purposes of the EDC analysis are completed as two

separate components – enrolment of the existing community and enrolment expected

from new housing growth. The enrolment projections of the existing community are

based on a scenario of no new housing growth and examine projected enrolment of the

existing population. The projections of enrolment from new housing focus on pupils that

are generated from expected new housing developments. EDC eligible growth-related

pupils must be offset by any available space in the existing community and, thus, it is

necessary to examine enrolment projections utilizing the two separate components.

Enrolment projections have been prepared for each review area in the Board’s

jurisdiction. The existing community projections have been prepared for the Board’s

schools contained in the EDC analysis. The projections of enrolment from new housing

growth are provided on a review area basis. The enrolment projections also assume

that students are accommodated in their home attendance areas. This means that

students that are currently in a holding situation at a school outside their home school

boundary are returned to their home boundary. Holding situations typically arise when

students in a development area await new school construction and are “held” in nearby

schools until the new school is open. Situations where students are permanently

accommodated outside their home areas (i.e. program) are not affected.

Methodology

The prediction of school enrolment involves the consideration of a wide range of factors.

There are three common methods of enrolment projections: rate of growth; enrolment

ratios; and grade transition. The rate of growth method assumes that past rates of

enrolment growth or decline will carry forward. In today’s changing demographic and

economic landscape, this method of enrolment forecasting is suitable for short-term


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-6

projections but should be combined with other methodologies for longer term

projections. The enrolment ratio method looks at historical ratios of school enrolment

compared with the overall population and then carries forward these ratios or makes

assumptions about new ratios and applies them to a population forecast. The grade

transition method examines historical progression rates from grade to grade and makes

assumptions about the retention of grades from one year to the next.

Watson used a combination of the latter two methodologies – enrolment ratio and grade

transition – in conjunction with strong demographic background data and historical

Board enrolment to produce the enrolment forecasts for the EDC. The enrolment

projection methodology focuses on the relationships between demographic trends and

actual historical enrolment of the Board. The basis of the assumptions for future trends

comes from the analysis of these historical relationships.

Demographic Background

A demographic profile is compiled for each review area within the Board’s jurisdiction

using single year of age data from the 2001, 2006, 2011 and 2016 Census at the

Dissemination Area level. Trends in the demographic data are used to highlight

changes in population on both a review area and jurisdiction-wide basis. Examining

these historical trends assist in providing perspective and direction when determining

future assumptions for the projections.

The table below depicts the demographic trends for the Region of Peel for the 2006,

2011 and 2016 census periods. The total population in the jurisdiction increased by

12.0% between 2006 and 2011. In comparison, population counts grew 5.7% in Ontario

and 5.9% Canada-wide over that same time period, a difference of approximately 6%.

Between 2011 and 2016, the population in the Board’s jurisdiction continued to grow by

another 6.5%, which was still above the provincial and national rates for this same time

period, which were 4.6% and 5%, respectively. More importantly, from a school board

perspective, was the increase in the elementary school-aged (4-13 years) population

which grew by 3.9% from 2006 to 2011 and by an additional 1.1% between 2011 and

2016 – an absolute gain of 8,465 persons between 2006 and 2016. Comparably, the

secondary school-aged (14-18) population experienced greater increase, growing by

13.3% from 2006 to 2011 but was followed by a declining secondary population of

approximately 3% from 2011 to 2016. This resulted in an absolute gain of 8,510

persons aged 14-18 between 2006 and 2016.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-7

In addition to the elementary and secondary-aged population, the pre-school-aged

population and the population of females aged 25-44 were also examined for both the

2006/11 and 2011/16 time periods. These two groups are important because they are

excellent indicators of what is expected to happen in the school aged population in the

short to mid-term. The pre-school population is the cohort that will be entering the

school system in the next few years.

Females between 25 and 44 years of age are the group of women that are said to be in

their prime child-bearing years and examining this population can provide input to future

births/school-aged children. In the Board’s jurisdiction, the pre-school population and

population of females aged 25-44 both saw increased between 2006 and 2011 of 4.3%

(pre-school) and 3.0 (Females aged 25-44). Between 2011 and 2016 the female based

population continued to grow by another 1% while the pre-school aged population

decreased by 4.7%.

At the municipal level, in 2006, the City of Mississauga accounted for 58% of the

Region’s population, with Brampton making up 37% and Caledon the remaining 5%. By

2016, Mississauga’s share dropped to 52% while Brampton’s grew to 43% while

Caledon stayed consistent at 5% of the total share. This was a result of Brampton

receiving 72% of the growth from 2006 to 2016, Mississauga receiving 24% while

Caledon accounted for only 4% of the total growth. As Caledon only grew by 4% of the

total regional growth, the Town itself grew by 17% over this 10-year period from 57,000

in 2006 to 66,500 in 2016 according to Statistics Canada.

PDSB Total Jurisdiction - Demographic Trends 2006, 2011, 2016

Population Data 2006

Census Share of

Total 2011

Census Share of

Total 2016

Census Share of

Total

Total Population 1,158,085 1,296,814 1,381,145

Pre-School Population (0-3) 60,320 5.2% 62,910 4.9% 59,935 4.3%

Elementary School Population (4-13) 166,450 14.4% 173,008 13.3% 174,915 12.7%

Secondary School Population (14-18) 85,965 7.4% 97,410 7.5% 94,475 6.8%

Population Over 18 Years of Age 845,350 73.0% 963,486 74.3% 1,051,820 76.2%

Females Aged 25-44 187,420 16.2% 192,984 14.9% 194,825 14.1%


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-8

2006-2011 2011-2016

Population Data Absolute Change

% Change

Share Change

Absolute Change

% Change Share

Change

Total Population 138,729 12.0% 84,331 6.5%

Pre-School Population (0-3) 2,590 4.3% -0.4% -2,975 -4.7% -0.5%

Elementary School Population (4-13) 6,558 3.9% -1.0% 1,907 1.1% -0.7%

Secondary School Population (14-18) 11,445 13.3% 0.1% -2,935 -3.0% -0.7%

Population Over 18 Years of Age 118,136 14.0% 1.3% 88,334 9.2% 1.9%

Females Aged 25-44 5,564 3.0% -1.3% 1,841 1.0% -0.8%

A description of the relevant population age cohorts is as follows:

Pre-school aged (0-3) – used as a lead indicator of potential anticipated

enrolment in the short-term;

Elementary (4-13) – represents the predominant age structure of the students

that attend elementary schools;

Secondary (14-18) – represents the predominant age structure of the students

that attend secondary schools; and

Adult (18+) – reflects the segment of the population that does not attend

elementary or secondary school.

Females (25-44) – Group of women said to be in prime child bearing years. Can

be an indicator of future births.

The Enrolment Projection Process

Determining Entry Year Enrolment

One of the most important and most difficult components of the enrolment forecast is

predicting entry year enrolment (the Junior Kindergarten (JK) grade). Much of the

overall projection relies on the assumptions made with regard to pupils entering the

system. To develop forecasts for the JK grade, a review of historical births, pre-school

(0-3 years old) population and historical JK enrolment is undertaken. The participation

rates of the Board’s JK grade enrolment of the 4-year old population are examined from

one Census period to the next to determine future participation ratios.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-9

In addition, a population forecast of the pre-school and school aged population (0-18

years) by single year of age is prepared for the study area. This forecast is based on

the population trends of the 2001, 2006, 2011 and 2016 Census periods, as well as

other relevant demographic trends of the area. Recent fertility and death rates are

applied to the 2016 Census population and the population is aged to provide future

births and future school-aged population.

The challenge in this population forecast is to exclude growth/development in this phase

of the forecast. The total enrolment forecast is divided into two separate components –

existing enrolment and enrolment from future housing. To account for this, trends are

examined for 2001, 2006, 2011 and 2016 Census populations to estimate levels of

growth and migration that occurred between the Census periods. Assumptions arising

from this examination are used to “strip” growth/migration from the projected population

forecast to ensure that growth is not double counted.

Comparing historical JK enrolment to actual population provides ratios that are used to

determine future JK enrolment from the projected 4-year old population in the review

area. This determines the projected JK pupils for the review area for the forecast

period. These overall JK students then need to be allocated to their respective schools

in the review area. This allocation is based on historical shares combined with any

Board information on recent openings/closures or program changes that may affect

future share. Table 4.1 depicts an example of JK/Elementary participation rates

between 2006 and 2016 for one review area in the Board’s jurisdiction.

Table 4.1: An Example of Junior Kindergarten/Elementary Participation Rates (2006 – 2016)

Single Year of Age 2006 2011 2016

0 286 261 274

1 317 291 274

2 316 296 290

3 315 355 297

4 340 288 285

5 362 328 305

6 363 391 358

7 356 350 374

8 324 372 387

9 321 364 393

10 327 378 334

11 388 365 448

12 336 350 409

13 346 323 384


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-10

JK HEADCOUNT ENROLMENT 172 150 145

ELEMENTARY ENROLMENT 1,567 1,591 1,760

JK PARTICIPATION 51% 52% 51%

ELEMENTARY PARTICIPATION 45% 45% 48%

At this stage of the projections, each school in a review area will have a projected

number of JKs for the forecast period. The next step then involves using the grade

transition method to advance each grade from one year to the next. For every school in

the system, retention rates from grade to grade are calculated and applied to grade

enrolments as they are advanced through each projection year. Each school and

community can be unique when it comes to grade retention. For example, the ratio of

Kindergarten students to JK students is often higher in the more rural areas and an

indication that more students routinely enter the Senior Kindergarten (SK) grade than

would be expected, given the JK count from the previous year. Programs, such as

French Immersion, etc., can also have a significant impact on grade to grade retention.

Table 4.2 provides an example of retention rate calculations based on historical

enrolment.

Table 4.2: Retention Rate Example

Historical 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/

Years Grade 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

5 4 2 JK 1,484 1,562 1,539 1,559 1,605 1,730

111% 112% 110% SK 1,720 1,611 1,745 1,750 1,696 1,797

110% 111% 112% 1 1,613 1,859 1,787 1,919 1,929 1,915

104% 103% 102% 2 1,847 1,682 1,949 1,866 1,947 1,994

104% 104% 104% 3 1,982 1,911 1,765 2,016 1,934 2,047

103% 103% 103% 4 1,971 2,004 1,953 1,846 2,067 1,990

103% 103% 103% 5 2,119 2,058 2,082 2,011 1,895 2,128

102% 102% 103% 6 2,151 2,145 2,093 2,123 2,051 1,953

101% 101% 102% 7 2,184 2,144 2,174 2,114 2,148 2,093

101% 102% 102% 8 2,120 2,210 2,194 2,178 2,145 2,193

Historical enrolment trends, overall participation rates/enrolment share, as well as the

overall demographics of the area, are all examined in conjunction with the ratio of the

projected enrolment to the population. This examination looks at the reasonableness of

the projections and expected ratios and assumptions in light of recent historical trends.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-11

Secondary Enrolment Projections

The secondary enrolment projections are based largely on the elementary projections

and how the elementary students transition into the secondary panel. Each secondary

school of the Board is assigned feeder elementary schools which form a “family” of

schools based on Board data. As Grade 8 students graduate, they are assigned to their

respective secondary schools. If Grade 8 students can attend more than one

secondary school, they are then allocated based on recent trends.

The other factor involved in projecting the entry year or Grade 9 grade for the secondary

panel involves the concept of open access. In Ontario, students are permitted to attend

the secondary school of their choice, regardless of religious requirements, assuming

there is space and program availability. To account for this in the projections, the

predicted Grade 9 enrolment at a given secondary school based on its feeder schools

and historical retention rates is compared to the actual Grade 9 enrolment at the school.

This ratio provides an approximation of the net students lost or gained due to open

access.

The other important variable that is considered in the secondary enrolment projection

methodology is the impact of the fifth year of secondary school which was eliminated in

2003/04. The elimination of the fifth year of study does not mean that Grade 12

students are not allowed to come back for a fifth year of study. There are still instances

where Grade 12 students may come back to finish the 4-year program in 5 years or to

upgrade or retake certain courses. The percentage of students that are coming back for

a fifth year varies throughout the Province and even from school to school within a

Board. The projections in this analysis typically utilize a 3-year average of Grade 12

retention rates (putting greater emphasis on the last year or two), as well as input from

the Board on their experiences and expected future trends.

The remainder of the secondary projection follows the same methodology used in the

elementary projections. Grades are advanced by applying historical grade transition

rates for each school in the system. Assumptions are derived using historical ratios of

enrolment to population and are used to ensure that projected secondary enrolment

relates back to the projected secondary populations.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-12

Examining Historical Enrolment Trends

Historical enrolment provides trends that are used to help form assumptions for

projected enrolment and provides an important basis to determine relationships with

demographic data. The historical data can provide detail on things such as how the

change in enrolments compare with the changes in the school aged populations of the

same area, how different sized grade cohorts are moving through the system and how

enrolment has changed in light of new housing activity.

An important indicator when examining historical enrolment is the ratio of senior

elementary enrolment compared to junior elementary enrolment. This ratio provides a

quick “snapshot” of the current enrolment structure and can provide a short-term outlook

of expected enrolment.

The comparison is made between the senior elementary grades (6-8) and the junior

elementary grades (JK-1). Assuming full-day JK and SK, an equal number of pupils

entering JK-1 to those moving through the senior elementary grades would result in a

ratio of 1. If the ratio is higher than 1, it indicates that more pupils are leaving the

elementary system or school than are entering and could be an indicator of future

enrolment decline, at least in the short term and absent of mitigating factors. A ratio

lower than 1 indicates possible enrolment growth (at least in the short term) and is

typically found in growing areas where housing attracts young couples or young families

with children.

The ratio of senior to junior elementary enrolment for the PDSB’s total jurisdiction based

on 2016/17 enrolment is 1.08; in 2006/07, however, the ratio of senor to junior

elementary enrolment was 1.14. The decrease in this ratio between 2006/07 and

2016/17 is indicative of grade structures in the junior and senior grades starting to

equalize. The current grade structure ratio, however, has been on the rise since

2014/15 and is currently at 1.11 (2018/19). Table 4.3 outlines historical enrolment and

historical grade ratios for the Board.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-13

Table 4.3: PDSB TOTAL JURISDICTION

2006/ 2011/ 2016/ GRADES 2007 2012 2017

JK 8,600 9,790 10,448

SK 9,388 10,355 10,622

1 10,236 11,159 11,025

2 10,356 11,040 11,229

3 10,480 10,846 11,636

4 10,536 10,574 11,666

5 10,646 11,031 11,864

6 10,812 10,864 11,698

7 10,875 11,013 11,534

8 10,615 11,152 11,471

Special Education 0 0 0

Total Enrolment 102,544 107,824 113,193

Junior Elementary 28,224 31,304 32,095

Senior Elementary 32,302 33,029 34,703

GSR Ratio 1.14 1.06 1.08

The Impact of Enrolment Share

Board enrolment share refers to the share or percentage of total enrolment a board

receives between itself and its co-terminous English language board. Changes in

enrolment share can have significant impacts on board enrolment. For example,

increases in enrolment share can help mitigate declines or even increase enrolment in

areas where the total school-aged population is in decline.

The table on the following page measures the historical elementary enrolment of the

Peel District School Board(PDSB) and PDSB within the Region of Peel. PDSB has

increased its share of elementary enrolment between 2006/07 and 2016/16 – growing

approximately 4% from 66.1% in 2006/07 to 70.1% in 2016/17. Subsequently, the

DPCDSB has decreased its elementary enrolment share over the past decade,

dropping from 33.9% in in 2006/07 to 29.9% in 2016/17.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-14

ELEMENTARY PANEL

Board 2006/07 2015/16

PDSB TOTAL 107,824 113,193

DPCDSB TOTAL (Peel Region) 55,220 48,266

TOTAL OF BOTH BOARDS 163,044 161,459

PDSB SHARE 66.1% 70.1%

DPCDSB SHARE (Peel Region) 33.9% 29.9%

On the secondary panel, the PDSB has experienced a slight decrease in enrolment

share from 2006/07 to 2016/17 – from 57.1% to 55.8%. Comparably, the DPCDSB has

increased its secondary enrolment share by approximately than 1% for the same period

of time – growing from 42.9% to 44.2% in enrolment share from 2006/07 to 2016/17.

SECONDARY PANEL

Board 2006/07 2016/17

PDSB TOTAL 42,666 40,670

DPCDSB TOTAL (Peel Region) 32,095 32,215

TOTAL OF BOTH BOARDS 74,761 72,885

PDSB SHARE 57.1% 55.8%

DPCDSB SHARE (Peel Region) 42.9% 44.2%

Enrolment Expected from New Housing

The second phase of the enrolment projection methodology involves predicting housing

growth in the study area and its impact on school enrolment. Earlier in this Chapter, the

residential unit growth forecasts were explained in detail. The residential unit forecast is

used as the basis to predict future school enrolment from growth. Historical levels of

occupancy by school-aged children and by housing type provide us with factors and

trends that allow us to make assumptions about how new units might produce children

in the future. From an occupancy point of view, the number of people per housing unit

has been declining in practically every part of the Province over the last decade or

longer. In addition, the number of school-aged children per household has also been in

sharp decline. New units today are not producing the same number of people or the

same number of children as they have historically.

Each unit in the residential forecast is multiplied by a factor to predict the number of

school-aged children that will come from the projected number of units. To derive this


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-15

pupil generation factor, the methodology involves using custom Census data prepared

specifically for Watson by Statistics Canada. The Census data provides information

with respect to the number of pre-school and school-aged children that are currently

living in certain types and ages of dwelling units. For example, the data is able to

provide the number of children aged between 4-13 years that live in single-family homes

that are between 1-5 years old for any Census tract in the study area.

Pupil yields were derived for both the elementary and secondary panels for low-,

medium- and high-density housing types for each municipality/review area in the

Board’s jurisdiction. The pupil yields and trends can vary significantly from area to area

in the Board’s jurisdiction. In this way, factors are derived and applied to the

appropriate growth forecast to get a forecast of school-aged children from new

development. This new development forecast must then be adjusted to reflect only the

enrolment for the subject Board. Using historical apportionment and population

participation rates, the enrolment forecast is revised to capture the appropriate share for

the Board. For the PDSB, the total yields for the elementary panel range between 0.18

(City of Mississauga) and 0.40 (City of Brampton) (Table 4.4). On the secondary panel,

total yields for the secondary panel range from 0.04 (City of Mississauga) to 0.16 (Town

of Caledon).

Figure 1 depicts a flow chart outlining the process of projecting enrolment from

new development.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-16

Table 4.4 PDSB Education Development Charges Submission 2019

Form E Growth-Related Pupils – Elementary and Secondary Panel (Region of Peel)

Municipality Dwelling Unit Type

Elementary Pupil Yield


Secondary Pupil Yield

City of Mississauga

Low Density 0.39

City of Mississauga

Low Density 0.13

Medium Density 0.34 Medium Density 0.09

High Density 0.12 High Density 0.03

Total 0.18 Total 0.04

City of Brampton

Low Density 0.48

City of Brampton

Low Density 0.11




Town of Caledon

Low Density 0.23

Town of Caledon

Low Density 0.20





March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-17

Figure 1: Enrolment Expected from New Development

Council-Approved

Growth Forecast

School-Age Population

Generation Factors

Projected School-Age

Population

(elementary and

secondary)

Adjusted for Board

Share with

Coterminous Board

Adjusted for Population

Participation

(i.e. those not attending

Public Schools)

Board-Specific

Enrolment Expected

from New Development

Multiplied by


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-18

Is the EDC Forecast Reasonable in Comparison to Other School-Aged Forecasts?

The aforementioned methodology describes the process in which enrolment projections

are derived; however, before the projections can be finalized there is one final step.

The projections are compared with an accepted school-age forecast for the Board’s

jurisdiction to determine the reasonableness of the projections. The Board’s projections

are built back up to a total school-aged population forecast using assumptions on

apportionment and participation rates.

The projections are compared to the most recent available forecasts in the Board’s

jurisdiction. These can include Ministry of Finance Population projections, Statistics

Canada Population projections, Official Plan projections, etc. If the enrolment

projections and the population forecast have similar long-term trends, further adjustment

is unlikely. However, should there be significant differences between the two forecasts,

adjustments may be made to the enrolment projections to ensure consistency with the

population forecast.

This final adjustment ensures that the projected enrolment for the Board maintain

similar long-term trends and assumptions consistent with other

governments/agencies in the Board’s jurisdiction.

For the purposes of the EDC projections, various population forecasts were used to

cross-check the numbers including Ministry of Finance Population Projections and the

Region of Peel GMS (2017).

4.3 Summary of Projected Enrolment

The total EDC enrolment projections for the Region of Peel, indicate that by the end of

the forecast period (2033/34), the PDSB can expect total elementary enrolment of

137,643, compared to the 2019/20 enrolment of 115,630. This results in an increase of

22,013 elementary pupils or 19.04%. On the secondary panel, enrolment is expected to

increase over the projected term. Enrolment is expected to grow from 41,682 in

2019/20 to 46,455 at the end of the forecast term, for a total increase of 4,773 pupils or

11.5%. A summary of the projected enrolment for the Board, by review area and panel

can be found on the following page.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-19

Summary of Elementary Projected Enrolment:

PDSB Elementary Review Areas

Review Year 1 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Review Year 1 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15

Area 2019/20 2023/24 2028/29 2033/34 Area 2019/20 2023/24 2028/29 2033/34

ERA01 2,976 3,067 3,328 3,505 ERA17 2,725 2,705 2,724 2,851

ERA02 1,874 2,020 2,322 2,611 ERA18 7,128 7,020 7,106 7,454

ERA03 2,874 2,661 2,571 2,783 ERA19 7,890 7,689 7,632 7,733

ERA04a 4,760 4,756 4,899 5,282 ERA20 6,573 6,529 6,749 7,092

ERA04b 4,047 4,567 5,304 5,911 ERA21a 197 680 1,564 2,956

ERA05 4,030 3,981 3,990 4,209 ERA21b 3,796 5,047 6,383 6,839

ERA06 4,335 3,953 3,892 4,153 ERA22 6,344 6,286 6,248 6,287

ERA07 3,431 3,364 3,471 3,695 ERA23 2,516 2,535 2,576 2,778

ERA08 3,475 3,205 3,165 3,209 ERA24a 9,846 9,431 9,083 9,229

ERA09 3,926 4,135 4,329 4,569 ERA24b 683 1,379 2,224 2,776

ERA10 2,804 2,506 2,538 2,669 ERA25a 2,598 2,754 2,803 2,849

ERA11 3,296 3,166 3,165 3,422 ERA25b 0 704 1,672 2,068

ERA12 2,476 2,315 2,389 2,558 ERA26a 1,725 2,171 2,857 3,467

ERA13 3,581 3,373 3,300 3,332 ERA26b 1,521 1,507 1,540 1,628

ERA14 1,195 1,833 2,668 2,964 ERA27 1,888 1,914 2,235 2,742

ERA15 5,366 5,953 6,958 7,265 ERA28 1,044 1,117 1,211 1,303

ERA16 4,710 4,785 5,066 5,454 Total 115,630 119,108 127,962 137,643

*Note: May not add to jurisdiction total due to rounding.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 4-20

Summary of Secondary Projected Enrolment:

PDSB Secondary Review Areas

Review Year 1 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15

Area 2019/20 2023/24 2028/29 2033/34

SRA01 9,390 9,847 10,114 10,323

SRA02 8,571 8,565 7,562 7,375

SRA03 2,482 2,638 2,451 2,264

SRA04 3,170 4,053 4,985 5,681

SRA05 5,042 5,572 5,708 5,781

SRA06 2,739 2,714 2,612 2,529

SRA07 2,963 2,959 2,826 2,781

SRA08 3,854 4,504 4,799 4,396

SRA09 1,989 2,338 2,614 3,141

SRA10 1,482 1,674 1,795 2,184

Total 41,682 44,864 45,466 46,455

*Note: May not add to jurisdiction total due to rounding.

Education Development Charge Background Study – Peel District School Board March 29, 2019

Chapter 5 Education Development Charge Calculation


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-1

5. Education Development Charge Calculation

Once eligibility has been determined, the charge is calculated using the aforementioned

forecasts and methodologies. The calculation is dependent on the growth/enrolment

forecasts to project need, the valuation of land and services to assign a cost to that

need and the residential and non-residential forecast to provide a quotient to determine

the final quantum of the charge. O.Reg. 20/98 s.7 provides the basis under which the

EDC is determined. The following section will explain and highlight the specific

calculation components of the EDC.

5.1 The Projections

The residential dwelling unit forecasts, as well as the non-residential GFA forecasts that

were used in the EDC analysis, are explained in detail in Chapter 4 and outlined below.

Residential Unit Forecast

Region of Peel 2019/20-2033/34

TOTAL PROJECTED UNITS 111,166

TOTAL NET NEW UNITS 109,499

Non –Residential Forecast

Region of Peel 2019/20-2033/34

TOTAL PROJECTED GFA 101,695,000

TOTAL NET NEW GFA 91,735,525

Net Growth-related Pupil Places

The projected Board enrolments, as well as the residential forecasts, determine the net

growth-related pupil places which, in turn, determine the number of EDC eligible sites.

Form E of the EDC Ministry Submission for the Board and each panel is set out below.

This form highlights, by municipality, the net number of units, the Board pupil yields and

the growth-related pupils.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-2

Board-wide, the enrolment projections predict 18,555 net growth-related pupils on the

elementary panel and 5,149 on the secondary panel for PDSB.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-3

PDSB Education Development Charges Submission 2019 Form E Growth-Related Pupils – Elementary and Secondary Panels

Municipality Dwelling

Unit Type

Net New Units


Elementary Growth-Related Pupils


Net New Units


Elementary Growth-Related Pupils

City of Mississauga

Low 2,986 0.39 1,155

City of Mississauga

Low 2,986 0.13 381

Medium 6,373 0.34 2,156 Medium 6,373 0.09 549

High 30,024 0.12 3,693 High 30,024 0.03 814

Total 39,383 0.18 7,004 Total 39,383 0.04 1,744

City of Brampton

Low 29,818 0.48 14,377

City of Brampton

Low 29,818 0.11 3,260

Medium 10,591 0.45 4,740 Medium 10,591 0.09 901

High 12,932 0.15 1,966 High 12,932 0.03 426

Total 53,341 0.40 21,084 Total 53,341 0.09 4,587

City of Caledon

Low 11,144 0.23 2,574

City of Caledon

Low 11,144 0.20 2,275

Medium 3,733 0.17 631 Medium 3,733 0.11 395

High 1,898 0.06 120 High 1,898 0.03 49

Total 16,775 0.20 3,325 Total 16,775 0.16 2,719

SUBTOTAL: 31,413 SUBTOTAL: 9,050

LESS: Available Pupil Places: 12,858 LESS: Available Pupil Places: 3,901

NET GROWTH RELATED PUPILS: 18,555 NET GROWTH RELATED PUPILS: 5,149


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-4

5.2 Net Education Land Costs

The enrolment projections, the Board’s long-term accommodation plans and the EDC

analysis ultimately determine the number of EDC eligible sites which are needed for

new growth-related schools. Form F of the Ministry Submission outlines, by review

area, the 15-year enrolment projections as well as the net growth-related pupil places.

Form G of the Ministry Submission outlines the number of new sites that will be needed,

as well as the number of EDC eligible acres of land that are required for those sites.

O.Reg. 20/98 s.7, specifically paragraphs 4-7, deals with the steps involved in moving

from the site component of the calculation to the financial or costing component of the

calculation. A cost must be attached to the value of the land that needs to be

purchased, as well as the costs to provide services and prepare the land for

construction. In addition, the balance of the existing EDC reserve funds must be

calculated and incorporated into the analysis. Finally, the total eligible revenues,

expenditures and existing deficits or surpluses are cash-flowed over a 15-year period to

determine the final charge.

Section 257.53 (2) of the Act specifically describes what education land costs are:

1. Costs to acquire land or an interest in land, including a leasehold interest, to be

used by the board to provide pupil accommodation;

2. Costs to provide services to the land or otherwise prepare the site so that a

building or buildings may be built on the land to provide pupil accommodation;

3. Costs to prepare and distribute education development charge background

studies;

4. Interest on money borrowed to pay for costs described in paragraphs 1 and 2;

and

5. Costs to undertake studies in connection with an acquisition referred to in

paragraph 1. N.B. – Only the capital component of costs to lease land or to

acquire a leasehold interest is an education land cost.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-5

Site Valuation

Paragraph 4 of Section 7 of O.Reg. 20/98 states that, “The board shall estimate the net

education land cost for the school sites required to provide pupil places for the number

of new school pupils estimated under paragraph 3.”

To determine the costs of land acquisition, PDSB retained the appraisal firm of

Cushman & Wakefield. The appraisers were responsible for providing a per acre land

value for each EDC eligible site identified in the analysis. In addition, the appraisers

were asked to provide an annual land escalation factor (for 5 years) to apply to the

current land values.

The following approach to land valuation was undertaken by the appraisers:

In undertaking the appraisals, the two most common approaches to the valuation of development land were utilized and are summarized as follows:

a) the Direct Comparison Approach which involves comparing or contrasting the recent sale, listing or optioned prices of comparable properties to the subject and adjusting for any significant differences between them; and,

b) the Land Residual Approach (or Development Approach) which estimates land value based on determining selling prices of serviced lots and considers infrastructure costs and appropriate returns, rendering a ‘residual’ land value component.

The strengths underlying the Land Residual Approach are that it more accurately reflects the specific development parameters of a site, while its weaknesses relate to the preliminary nature of planning and engineering information available.

The strengths underlying the Direct Comparison Approach are that it more accurately reflects market attitudes to development land, while its weaknesses relate to the specifics of the subject properties, particularly those that are draft plan approved. For all the subject properties, except where noted, both approaches have been utilized (50:50 weighting) – with the exception of medium/high density sites in Mississauga, where the appraisers relied solely on the Direct Comparison Approach.

The effective date of the appraisals is April 2019.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-6

The table below sets out the estimated EDC eligible sites that the Board will require in

the 15-year analysis term, their locations and their appraised land value. These values

were calculated in 2019 and do not include escalation, site improvements, land transfer

taxes, HST (net of rebate) or other associated acquisition costs.

Review Area - Site Panel Cost Per Acre

ERA02 Elementary $3,090,000

ERA04B Elementary $3,090,000

ERA04B Elementary $3,090,000

ERA14 Elementary $0*


ERA15 (Site in ERA21A) Elementary $1,420,000

ERA21a Elementary $1,420,000




ERA21b Elementary $0*



ERA21b Elementary $1,420,000










SRA04 Secondary $0*

SRA04 Secondary $1,420,000

SRA09 Secondary $1,415,000

SRA10 Secondary $1,415,000 *Board-owned site


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-7

Land Escalation over the Forecast Period

As previously mentioned, the appraiser’s report estimates an annual land escalation

rate to be applied to the appraised acreage values in order to sustain the likely site

acquisition costs over the next 5 years. In arriving at an escalation factor, the

appraisers considered the recent historical general economic conditions at both the

micro- and macro-economic levels. The purchase of school sites by the Board takes

place on a very local level, with Board entering into negotiations with developers on a

site-specific basis.

Having regard for the above, the appraisers concluded an escalation factor of 2.5% for

the Region of Peel for the first year through to the final year are reasonable for the

purposes of projecting the land values over the 5-year by-law period.

Land Development and Servicing Costs

The Education Act includes the “costs to provide services to the land or otherwise

prepare the site so that a building or buildings may be built on the land to provide pupil

accommodation” as an EDC eligible education cost. These costs typically include

services to the lot line of the property, rough grading and compaction of the site and that

the site is cleared of debris. Costs related to studies of land being considered for

acquisition, such as environmental assessments or soil studies, are also considered to

be EDC eligible. In addition, there are certain costs that are typically associated with

the acquisition of sites that are also included in the site development costs analysis.

Costs such as land transfer taxes, and HST (net of rebate) are included in the site

development analysis because, as mentioned previously, the estimated appraised

values of land are exclusive of these costs.

Discussions with stakeholders and the Ministry of Education in past EDC by-law

processes has resulted in a list that includes some of the primary development and

servicing costs that are considered to be EDC eligible:

Agent/commission fees to acquire sites;

Municipal requirements to maintain sites prior to construction;

Appraisal studies, legal fees;

Expropriation costs;

Land transfer taxes/HST (net of rebate).


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-8

As mentioned previously, the costs in this analysis are based on historical school board

data from past EDC background studies. A cost of $13,000 per acre for the PDSB was

used in the study. Using a three-year average of the non-residential institutional

construction cost index from Statistics Canada, an escalation factor of 1.6% per annum

was applied to the assumed per acre site preparation costs. Site preparation costs are

escalated to the time of site purchase.

Total Land Costs

The total net education land costs, including the site acquisition costs, the escalation of

land over the term of the by-law (5 years), the site development/servicing costs, as well

as associated financing costs and study costs, are projected to be approximately $454.3

million for the Peel District School Board.

5.3 Reconciliation of the EDC Reserve Fund

For boards with prior or existing EDC by-laws – before the final growth-related net

education land costs can be determined, they must be adjusted by any deficit or surplus

in the existing EDC reserve fund. Any outstanding education development charge

financial obligations that have been incurred by the Board under previous by-laws are

added to the total land costs. If there is a positive balance in the EDC reserve fund this

amount is subtracted from the total land costs and used to defray EDC eligible

expenditures.

Section 7, paragraphs 5-7 of O.Reg. 20/98 describe the process of deriving the final net

education land costs.

“The board shall estimate the balance of the education development charge reserve fund, if any, relating to the area in which the charges are to be imposed. The estimate shall be an estimate of the balance immediately before the day the board intends to have the by-law come into force.”

“The board shall adjust the net education land costs with respect to any balance estimated under paragraph 5. If the balance is positive, the balance shall be subtracted from the cost. If the balance is negative, the balance shall be converted to a positive number and added to the cost.”

“The net education land cost as adjusted, if necessary, under paragraph 6, is the growth related net education land cost.”


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-9

The reserve fund analysis summarizes the EDC collections (both actual and estimated)

as well as the EDC costs that have been expended (both actual and estimated) and the

estimated EDC reserve fund balance. It is based on the Ministry of Education Appendix

D1 and D2 Forms that are prepared and submitted to the Ministry by all school boards

with EDC by-laws in place. The balance from the most recent Appendix D1/D2 is used

as the base point. The EDC reserve fund must also include certain estimates

respecting revenues and expenditures to account for the most recent actual balance

and the balance estimated to the new EDC by-law date.

The PDSB’s EDC reserve fund balance for the Region of Peel by-law is an estimated

deficit balance of -$119,576,810.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-10

5.4 The Education Development Charge

The total land costs, adjusted by any surplus or deficit in the EDC reserve fund,

determine the total net education land costs for which EDCs may be imposed. The final

steps in the process involve apportioning the land costs between residential and non-

residential, as well as differentiating the charge by development type, if necessary. The

proposed charge in this Background Study is based on a 90% residential charge, with

10% non-residential component; and the EDC is a uniform rate across all types of

development. A range of charges and residential and non-residential rates are

presented in the cashflow analysis later in this chapter. In addition, a differentiated

residential charge is also presented as part of the EDC Forms package contained in

Appendix A.

The final net education land costs that have been apportioned to residential (in this case

90%) are divided over the net new units from the dwelling forecast to determine a final

EDC rate per dwelling unit.

For the Region of Peel, the net education land costs for the residential portion of

PDSB’s by-law are estimated to be $380,641,798 and the number of net new units in

the EDC forecast is projected to be 109,499, resulting in a rate of $3,476 per dwelling

unit.

The net education land costs for the non-residential portion of PDSB’s by-law are

estimated to be $42,293,533 and the non-exempt Board-determined GFA is projected to

be 91,735,525, resulting in a rate of $0.46 per square foot of GFA.

Table outlining the proposed costs and charges are shown below.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-11

PDSB – Region of Peel 2019 EDC Calculation of Uniform 90% Residential/10% Non-Residential Charge

Residential Growth-related Net Education Land Costs $380,641,798

Net New Dwelling Units (Form C) 109,499

Uniform Residential EDC per Dwelling Unit $3,476

Non-Res. Growth-related Net Education Land Costs $42,293,533

Net New GFA (Form D) 91,735,525

Uniform Non-Residential EDC per Square Foot $0.46

The Cashflow Analysis

A cashflow analysis was completed, incorporating all eligible EDC expenditures, current

reserve fund balances and land escalation factors, to determine the necessary

revenues that will be collected through the imposition of EDCs. When revenue in any

given year is insufficient to cover the expenditures, interim financing (on a short- or

long-term basis) is assumed. The methodology used for the cashflow analysis is

consistent with accounting practices used by many school boards, municipalities and

financial lenders across the Province.

General Assumptions Used

The cashflow analysis must incorporate certain assumptions respecting interest rates,

terms, escalation, etc. The table below outlines the general assumptions that have

been used for the EDC analysis.

Site Acquisition Escalation Rate Yr.1, Yr.2, Yr.3, Yr.4, Yr.5 – 2.5%

Site Preparation Escalation Rate 1.6% per annum

EDC Reserve Fund Interest Earnings 1.5%

Short Term Debt (term/rate) 5 Years at 4.25%

Long-term Debt (term/rate) 10 Years at 4.25%


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-12

Description of Cashflow

The first section of the cashflow deals with revenue – there are two distinct components

to the revenue section of the cashflow:

1. The first component deals with any short- or long-term debt the boards incur.

The total debt issuance for any given year will be identified in Lines 1 or 2 of the

analysis.

2. The second component deals with the actual expected collections through the

imposition of the Education Development Charge incorporating the annual net

new dwelling unit forecast and non-residential forecast (if available). Projected

EDC collections by year can be found on Lines 4, 5 and 6 of the cashflow.

The second section of the cashflow deals with expenditures – the eligible EDC

expenditures incorporate the site acquisition and development costs, study costs and

financing costs for incurred debt.

Site acquisition costs are found on Line 8 of the analysis and are escalated for up

to a 5-year period (term of the by-law).

Site preparation/development costs are found on Line 9 of the cashflow and are

escalated up to the time of site purchase.

Study costs (Line 10) are based on actual and projected board data and are

included for each expected subsequent by-law renewal (every 5 years).

Long- and short-term financing costs (debt carrying costs) are found on Lines 11

and 12 of the cashflow analysis.

The final section of the cashflow provides the projected opening and closing balances of

the EDC reserve fund incorporating any existing deficit or surplus as well as annual

interest earnings on any balance in the account. Total borrowing, debt payments and

outstanding debt can be found in the bottom right portion of the cashflow analysis.

A cashflow for the Board is included as Table 5.1 on the following page.


March 29, 2019 PAGE 5-13

Table 5.1.A

Peel District School BoardEducation Development Charge 2018 Non-res Res Non-Res

15 Year Cash Flow Analysis Share Rate Rate

0% $3,862 $0.00

5% $3,669 $0.23

Cash Flow Assumptions 10% $3,476 $0.46

A. Reserve Fund Interest Rate 1.50% 15% $3,283 $0.69

B. Borrowing Rate 4.25% 20% $3,090 $0.92

C. Borrowing Term (Years) 10 25% $2,897 $1.15

C. Borrowing Term (Years) 10 40% $2,317 $1.84E. Short Term Debt Term (years) 5

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15

2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

Projected Revenues

1 Long Term Financing $93,000,000 $16,000,000 $8,500,000 $22,500,000 $21,600,000 $4,000,000 $55,000,000 $17,000,000 $14,000,000 $5,200,000 $2,900,000 $0 $0 $0 $0

2 Short Term Financing $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

3 Subtotal (1 +2) $93,000,000 $16,000,000 $8,500,000 $22,500,000 $21,600,000 $4,000,000 $55,000,000 $17,000,000 $14,000,000 $5,200,000 $2,900,000 $0 $0 $0 $0

4 Education Development Charge Revenue (Res) # 3,476 per unit $25,099,343 $25,099,343 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $26,259,702 $22,615,365 $22,615,365 $22,615,365

5 Education Development Charge Revenue (Non-Res) # 0.46 per sq.ft $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569 $2,819,569

6 Subtotal EDC Revenue (4 + 5) $27,918,912 $27,918,912 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $29,079,271 $25,434,933 $25,434,933 $25,434,933

7 Total Revenue (3 + 6) 3,862 34,238,285 $120,918,912 $43,918,912 $37,579,271 $51,579,271 $50,679,271 $33,079,271 $84,079,271 $46,079,271 $43,079,271 $34,279,271 $31,979,271 $29,079,271 $25,434,933 $25,434,933 $25,434,9330 33,005,084

Education Development Charge Expenditures

8 Site acquisition costs (Escalation Rates Included) ¹ $0 $32,314,289 $23,870,200 $36,558,018 $32,790,539 $12,852,797 $62,790,086 $18,411,553 $12,852,797 $3,260,869 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

9 Site preparation costs (Escalation Rates Included) ¹ $880,309 $293,610 $214,710 $326,713 $230,606 $112,591 $425,001 $166,487 $118,082 $30,438 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

10 Projected Future Study Costs $0 $125,000 $125,000 $125,000

11 Long Term Debt Costs $0 $11,609,201 $13,606,483 $14,667,539 $17,476,217 $20,172,548 $20,671,868 $27,537,525 $29,659,637 $31,407,259 $32,056,375 $20,809,181 $18,811,899 $17,750,843 $14,942,166

12 Short Term Debt Costs $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

13 Reserve Fund Deficit 119,576,810-

14 Total Expenditures (8 through 12) $880,309 $44,217,100 $37,691,393 $51,552,270 $50,622,362 $33,137,936 $83,886,955 $46,115,565 $42,630,516 $34,823,566 $32,056,375 $20,809,181 $18,811,899 $17,750,843 $15,067,166

Cashflow Analysis:

15 Revenues Minus Expenditures (7 - 14) $120,038,603 -$298,188 -$112,123 $27,000 $56,909 -$58,665 $192,316 -$36,294 $448,755 -$544,295 -$77,105 $8,270,089 $6,623,034 $7,684,090 $10,367,768

16 Opening Balance (previous year's closing balance) -$119,576,810 -$119,576,810 $461,793 $166,059 $54,745 $82,971 $141,978 $84,563 $281,032 $248,409 $707,621 $165,776 $90,001 $8,485,491 $15,335,153 $23,364,532

17 Sub total (15 + 16) 119,576,810- 461,793 163,605 53,936 81,745 139,880 83,313 276,879 244,738 697,164 163,326 88,671 8,360,090 15,108,525 23,019,243 33,732,300

18 Interest Earnings $0 $2,454 $809 $1,226 $2,098 $1,250 $4,153 $3,671 $10,457 $2,450 $1,330 $125,401 $226,628 $345,289 $505,985

19 Closing Balance (17 + 18) -$119,576,810 $461,793 $166,059 $54,745 $82,971 $141,978 $84,563 $281,032 $248,409 $707,621 $165,776 $90,001 $8,485,491 $15,335,153 $23,364,532 $34,238,285

1 Land acquisition costs have been escalated by 2.5% compounded for the term of the bylaw. Long Term Borrowing (Total of Line 3): $259,700,000

Escalation rates for site preparation costs are applied to the date of acquisition and are escalated by 1.6% compounded annually. Total Debt Payments: $324,183,826

05-Jan $127,603,994 Outstanding Debt At End Of Forecast(15 years): $33,005,084

10-Jun $111,145,701 Outstanding Debt Will Be Fully Funded In: 2039

Range of Residential and Non-Residential

Rates

Appendices


March 29, 2019 PAGE A-1

Appendix A Education Development Charges Ministry of Education Forms Submission



Appendix A: Education Development Charges Ministry of Education Forms Submission

The Ministry of Education has prepared a set of standard forms that are required to be

part of the EDC Background Study. The forms are used by the Ministry to review the

EDC analysis and are standardized so that information is presented in a consistent

manner for all school boards. The forms for the Board’s EDC analysis are found in this

Appendix. In addition, a description of each form and its purpose can be found below.

FORM A1 AND A2

This form is used to determine whether a school board is eligible to impose EDCs. The

A1 section of the form includes the Board’s approved OTG capacity for each panel, as

well as the projected 5-year enrolment. If the average 5-year projected enrolment is

greater than the Board’s OTG capacity (on either panel), the Board is eligible to impose

EDCs. The A2 section of the form deals with any outstanding EDC financial obligations.

The form highlights any outstanding principal less the existing reserve fund balance. A

positive financial obligation results in a board being eligible to impose future EDCs.

FORM B

Form B outlines the dwelling unit forecast that was used in the EDC analysis. The

forecast is provided by municipality and by year for low-, medium- and high-density

types of development.

FORM C

This form provides the net new dwelling units that are a requirement of the EDC

analysis. Due to certain statutory exemptions (intensification) that were discussed

earlier in this report, a certain percentage of units are removed from the forecast to

determine the “net new units.”

FORM D

This form provides the non-residential forecast of gross floor area in square feet over

the next 15 years. In addition to providing the total projected square footage, this form

also includes an estimate as to the amount of square footage that is exempt from the



forecast. Similar to the residential forecast, because of certain statutory exemptions, an

assumption must be made regarding square footage that is excluded from the final EDC

forecast.

FORM E

Form E provides the total number of growth-related pupils by municipality. The form

includes the net number of units, associated pupil yields and the number of pupils by

density type for both the elementary and secondary panels. The bottom of the form

provides the total number of growth-related pupils less any existing available space to

determine the total “net” growth-related pupils.

FORM F

These forms provide the total “net” growth-related pupil places on a review area basis.

Each form provides a projection of the existing community enrolment by school for each

of the 15 years in the EDC forecast as well as their current OTG capacities. In addition,

the total projected enrolment expected from new development is provided for the total

review area. The total requirements from new development less any available existing

space are the net growth-related pupil places for that review area.

FORM G

Form G highlights the EDC eligible sites that the Board is proposing to purchase. Each

site listing includes information on location, status, proposed school size and site size.

The form also provides information on what percentage of each site is EDC eligible

based on eligible pupil places as a percentage of the total proposed capacity of the

school. In addition to providing site and eligibility information, Form G is noteworthy

because it includes the translation from site requirements to site costs. On a site by site

basis, the form highlights the expected per acre acquisition costs, site development

costs as well as associated escalation and financing costs.

FORM H1 or H2

These forms outline the EDC calculation – Form H1 is used for a uniform EDC rate and

Form H2 is used if the board is proposing a differentiated EDC rate. This EDC analysis

assumes a uniform rate and includes Form H1. This form includes all relevant

information needed to calculate the final EDC. The total education land costs (derived



from Form G) are added to any existing EDC financial obligations (Form A2) and study

costs to determine the growth-related net education land costs for which EDCs may be

collected. These costs must then be allocated to the proposed residential and non-

residential splits. The amount determined to be borne by residential development

(between 60% and 100%) is divided by the total net new units to determine a residential

charge by unit.



PDSB EDC Forms



Form A - Eligibility to Impose an EDC

A.1.1: CAPACITY TRIGGER CALCULATION - ELEMENTARY PANEL

ElementaryElementary Average Average




Years Capacity

130,818.0 115,632 116,511 117,420 117,979 119,106 117,330 -13,488

A.1.2: CAPACITY TRIGGER CALCULATION - SECONDARY PANEL

Secondary Average Secondary




Years Capacity

46,203.0 41,682 42,650 43,247 44,454 44,864 43,379 -2,824

A.2: EDC FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS

Total Outstanding EDC Financial Obligations (Reserve Fund Balance): 119,576,810-$

Projected Elementary Panel Enrolment

Projected Secondary Panel Enrolment

Peel District School BoardEducation Development Charges Submission 2019Form B - Dwelling Unit Summary

PROJECTION OF GROSS NEW DWELLING UNITS BY MUNICIPALITY

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Total

2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/ All

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Units

City of Mississauga

Low Density 160 160 227 227 227 227 227 227 227 227 227 227 132 132 132 2,986

Medium Density 374 374 432 432 432 432 432 432 432 432 432 432 606 606 606 6,886

High Density 1,750 1,750 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,032 2,068 2,068 2,068 30,024

Total 2,284 2,284 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,691 2,806 2,806 2,806 39,896

City of Brampton

Low Density 2,550 2,550 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 1,026 1,026 1,026 29,818

Medium Density 988 988 768 768 768 768 768 768 768 768 768 768 596 596 596 11,444

High Density 798 798 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 872 12,932

Total 4,336 4,336 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 3,804 2,494 2,494 2,494 54,194

Town of Caledon

Low Density 454 454 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 652 652 652 11,144

Medium Density 190 190 234 234 234 234 234 234 234 234 234 234 438 438 438 4,034

High Density 72 72 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 238 238 238 1,898

Total 716 716 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,328 1,328 1,328 17,076

Total Jurisdiction

Low Density 3,164 3,164 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 3,219 1,810 1,810 1,810 43,948

Medium Density 1,552 1,552 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,434 1,640 1,640 1,640 22,364

High Density 2,620 2,620 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,008 3,178 3,178 3,178 44,854

Total 7,336 7,336 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 6,628 6,628 6,628 111,166



Form C - Net New Dwelling Units - By-Law Summary

Number of UnitsCity of Mississauga 39,896City of Brampton 54,194Town of Caledon 17,076

Grand Total Gross New Units In By-Law Area 111,166Less: Statutorily Exempt Units In By-Law Area 1,667 Total Net New Units In By-Law Area 109,499

Municipality



Form D - Non-Residential Development

D1 - Non-Residential Charge Based On Gross Floor Area (sq. ft.)

Total Estimated Non-Residential Board-Determined Gross Floor Area

to be Constructed Over 15 Years From Date of By-Law Passage: 101,695,000

Less: Board-Determined Gross Floor Area From Exempt Development: 9,959,475

Net Estimated Board-Determined Gross Floor Area: 91,735,525

Peel District School Board Peel District School Board

Education Development Charges Submission 2019 Education Development Charges Submission 2019

Form E - Growth Related Pupils - Elementary Panel Form E - Growth Related Pupils - Secondary Panel

Elementary Secondary

Growth- Growth-

Dwelling Net New Elementary Related Dwelling Net New Secondary RelatedUnit Type Units Pupil Yield Pupils Unit Type Units Pupil Yield Pupils

Low Density 2,986 0.39 1,155 Low Density 2,986 0.13 381

Medium Density 6,373 0.34 2,156 Medium Density 6,373 0.09 549

High Density 30,024 0.12 3,693 High Density 30,024 0.03 814 Total 39,383 0.18 7,004 Total 39,383 0.04 1,744

Low Density 29,818 0.48 14,377 Low Density 29,818 0.11 3,260

Medium Density 10,591 0.45 4,740 Medium Density 10,591 0.09 901

High Density 12,932 0.15 1,966 High Density 12,932 0.03 426 Total 53,341 0.40 21,084 Total 53,341 0.09 4,587

Low Density 11,144 0.23 2,574 Low Density 11,144 0.20 2,275

Medium Density 3,733 0.17 631 Medium Density 3,733 0.11 395

High Density 1,898 0.06 120 High Density 1,898 0.03 49 Total 16,775 0.20 3,325 Total 16,775 0.16 2,719

SUBTOTAL: 31,413 SUBTOTAL: 9,050

LESS: Available Pupil Places: 12,858 LESS: Available Pupil Places: 3,901

NET GROWTH RELATED PUPILS: 18,555 NET GROWTH RELATED PUPILS: 5,149

Town of Caledon

City of Mississauga

Secondary Planning AreaElementary Planning Area

City of Brampton

City of Mississauga

City of Brampton

Town of Caledon

Royal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤QEW

Lakeshore Rd

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Lakeshore Rd

Dixie

Rd

Dundas St

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Halton

ERA03ERA4a

ERA02

ERA4b

ERA01 - SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF LAKE / EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA01

±

0 1,500750 M

Lake Ontario



Form F - Growth Related Pupil Place Requirements

Panel: Elementary Panel

Review Area: ERA01 SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF LAKE / EAST OF PEEL BND

REQUIREMENTS OF EXISTING COMMUNITY

Current Number Current Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15

OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

Capacity Facilities 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

Clarkson PS 245 0 105 107 106 107 108 118 113 116 115 114 114 114 114 114 114 114

Green Glade Sr. 366 0 303 329 361 356 338 318 281 289 345 346 342 330 329 328 327 327

Hillcrest MS 516 0 346 389 391 375 331 349 353 363 386 386 386 386 386 386 386 386

Hillside PS 675 0 589 575 567 551 532 510 507 500 506 503 501 497 496 496 495 495

Lorne Park PS 303 0 214 213 203 191 194 187 191 190 184 181 180 180 180 180 180 180

Owenwood PS 130 0 111 109 107 108 105 107 108 105 104 103 103 103 103 103 103 103

Riverside PS 438 0 306 316 320 348 373 368 374 384 389 371 375 370 369 369 369 368

Tecumseh PS 392 0 369 358 358 345 329 320 297 298 289 301 299 292 289 288 288 288

Whiteoaks PS 668 0 555 542 560 562 572 587 587 587 587 587 587 587 587 587 587 587

TOTAL: 3,733.0 0 2,898 2,938 2,972 2,943 2,882 2,863 2,812 2,831 2,903 2,893 2,888 2,860 2,853 2,851 2,849 2,848

AVAILABLE PUPIL PLACES: 885

REQUIREMENTS OF NEW DEVELOPMENT (CUMULATIVE)


2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

38 77 110 143 204 265 308 352 396 440 485 530 572 615 657

CALCULATION OF GROWTH-RELATED PUPIL PLACE REQUIREMENTS

1 Requirements of New Development (Pupil Places) 657

2 Available Pupil Places in Existing Facilities 885

3 Net Growth-Related Pupil Place Requirements (1-2) 0

NOTES

15 Year Projections

Existing Schools and Projects

15 Year Projections

Royal Windsor Drive

£¤QEW

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

Dundas St

Dundas St

Huron

tario

StToronto

ERA4a

ERA05

ERA01

ERA4b

ERA03

ERA02 - SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE /EAST OF CREDIT RIVER

ERA02

±

0 1,500750 M





Review Area: ERA02 SOUTH OF QEW / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE /EAST OF CREDIT RIVER



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Allan A Martin Sr. 538 0 497 521 515 490 512 499 549 519 553 523 534 513 493 497 503 512

Forest Avenue PS 199 0 208 200 187 180 180 172 167 164 162 159 159 159 159 159 159 159

Janet I. McDougald PS 552 0 450 454 448 455 442 443 431 429 422 421 421 420 420 420 420 420

Kenollie PS 245 0 197 199 195 191 185 175 170 167 165 164 164 164 164 164 164 164

Mineola PS 429 0 365 360 369 372 371 372 371 370 364 364 364 364 364 364 364 364

Queen Elizabeth Sr. 262 0 336 305 313 344 314 321 322 288 306 324 317 306 306 306 308 310

Students Holding at Queen Elizabeth Sr. Returned To ERA4a 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202- 202-

TOTAL: 2,225.0 0 2,053 1,838 1,826 1,830 1,803 1,780 1,808 1,734 1,769 1,754 1,757 1,725 1,703 1,709 1,716 1,727




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

37 74 118 163 240 318 378 439 502 565 618 670 742 813 884





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Royal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤QEW

Lakeshore Rd

£¤403Er

in Mi

lls Pk

wy£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

Dundas St

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Halton

ERA01

ERA4a

ERA07

ERA4b

ERA06ERA08

ERA09ERA11

ERA02

ERA03 - SOUTH OF 403 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW

ERA03

±

0 1,500750 M

Peel District School BoardEducation Development Charges Submission 2019Form F - Growth Related Pupil Place Requirements


Review Area: ERA03 SOUTH OF 403 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Brookmede PS 436 0 365 343 335 331 330 322 319 320 325 330 335 341 348 355 362 369

Erin Mills Middle 522 0 440 482 499 502 473 469 483 489 464 434 416 409 410 416 422 427

Garthwood Park PS 473 0 371 360 349 331 318 304 295 290 289 292 298 303 309 315 321 328

Homelands Sr. 456 0 496 456 460 450 453 417 409 412 401 384 362 356 357 358 361 365

Oakridge PS 202 0 99 97 87 84 79 78 74 74 74 75 76 78 79 81 82 84

Sawmill Valley PS 436 0 406 405 387 391 396 388 374 368 363 364 366 367 368 368 368 368

Sheridan Park PS 593 0 453 464 463 446 442 437 438 426 427 428 432 436 442 450 459 468

Thorn Lodge PS 461 0 277 264 234 226 220 213 201 198 195 197 200 204 208 212 216 221

Elm Drive PS 412 0 196 224 273 275 275 283 287 289 294 294 304 296 298 298 299 299

Students Holding At Elm Drive Returned To ERA04B 224- 273- 275- 275- 283- 287- 289- 294- 294- 304- 296- 298- 298- 299- 299-

TOTAL: 3,991.0 0 3,103 2,871 2,814 2,761 2,711 2,628 2,595 2,577 2,538 2,505 2,486 2,494 2,521 2,555 2,591 2,630

AVAILABLE PUPIL PLACES: 1,361


Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 152019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

2 5 13 21 34 46 56 66 75 85 96 107 122 138 153





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Royal Windsor Drive

£¤QEW

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

Dundas St

Dundas St

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Derry Rd

ERA03

ERA05

ERA02

ERA4b

ERA01

ERA09

ERA07ERA08

ERA11

ERA04a - SOUTH OF 403 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW - a

ERA04a

±

0 1,500750 M





Review Area: ERA04a SOUTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW / WEST OF CAWTHRA RD - a



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Camilla Sr. 655 0 694 707 688 689 694 697 696 693 694 695 695 694 694 694 694 694

Cashmere Avenue PS 461 0 405 416 402 389 395 386 395 402 397 393 395 398 402 405 409 413

Clifton PS 468 0 341 345 353 357 346 342 345 343 342 344 346 349 352 356 359 363

Corsair PS 879 0 729 720 730 730 726 726 726 726 726 726 726 726 726 726 726 726

Ellengale PS 268 0 339 328 321 317 316 325 312 307 310 308 310 312 315 317 321 324

Floradale PS 711 0 667 676 673 668 674 667 674 678 681 682 686 691 697 703 710 717

Hawthorn PS 153 0 205 198 204 195 190 189 195 193 194 191 195 195 197 198 200 202

McBride Avenue PS 539 0 409 397 380 379 386 371 375 372 370 370 372 375 378 382 386 389

Munden Park PS 433 0 361 355 354 353 354 356 354 353 354 356 359 362 365 369 373 376

Queenston Drive PS 597 0 502 525 524 509 509 515 515 530 522 511 510 507 510 513 518 522

Springfield PS 409 0 435 434 438 419 411 410 407 420 412 410 412 415 419 423 427 431

The Woodlands 309 0 193 210 225 234 219 214 212 188 200 214 203 197 196 197 198 199

Holding Students In From ERA02 (Queen Elizabeth Sr.) 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202 202

Holding Students Returned To ERA4b (multiple schools) -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776 -776

TOTAL: 5,882.0 0 5,280 4,736 4,719 4,666 4,647 4,625 4,631 4,630 4,629 4,626 4,634 4,648 4,676 4,710 4,746 4,784




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

25 50 77 104 131 158 186 212 239 265 293 321 380 439 498



2 Available Pupil Places in Existing Facilities 1,098


NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤QEW

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

Dundas St

Dundas StHu

rontar

io St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Toronto

Toronto

Toronto

ERA05

ERA4a

ERA09

ERA03

ERA08

ERA02

ERA07ERA11

ERA13

ERA01

ERA04b - SOUTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW / WEST OF CAWTHRA RD - b

ERA04b

±

0 1,500750 M



Review Area: ERA04b SOUTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF QEW / WEST OF CAWTHRA RD - b



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Briarwood PS 522 0 491 473 464 454 446 439 431 438 438 438 437 436 437 437 437 437

Chris Hadfield PS 672 0 600 596 593 604 605 604 611 624 631 635 638 639 640 640 640 640

Fairview PS 605 0 562 569 583 570 595 595 605 596 596 592 595 596 597 597 597 597

Silver Creek PS 271 0 273 266 261 256 259 259 251 248 251 252 253 254 254 254 254 254

Thornwood PS 579 0 544 555 557 545 536 527 536 533 530 526 533 539 544 548 549 549

The Valleys Sr 536 0 490 479 496 501 497 488 475 467 458 458 452 447 437 441 445 452

Holding Students In From ERA4b (multiple schools) 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776 776

Holding Students In From ERA03 (Elm Drive) 224 273 275 275 283 287 289 294 294 304 296 298 298 299 299

TOTAL: 3,185.0 0 2,960 3,939 4,003 3,982 3,989 3,971 3,971 3,971 3,974 3,973 3,988 3,984 3,984 3,992 3,998 4,005

AVAILABLE PUPIL PLACES: -



108 217 320 424 597 770 907 1043 1179 1316 1466 1616 1712 1809 1906





NOTES


15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

Dundas St

Dundas StDix

ie Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Queen St

Derry Rd

Toronto

ERA09

ERA4a

ERA13

ERA4b

ERA02

ERA18

ERA08

ERA11

ERA12

ERA03

ERA01

ERA05 - SOUTH OF 401 /WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF QEW /EAST OF CAWTHRA RD

ERA05

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA05 SOUTH OF 401 /WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF QEW /EAST OF CAWTHRA RD



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Brian W. Fleming PS 813 0 500 478 462 444 432 412 405 403 405 405 405 405 404 404 404 404

Burnhamthorpe PS 504 0 628 616 598 602 609 591 591 590 590 590 590 590 590 590 590 590

Dixie PS 507 0 322 323 328 338 338 338 345 341 341 339 338 337 337 337 337 337

Forest Glen PS 539 0 500 485 485 469 473 473 475 471 470 467 465 464 464 464 464 464

Glenhaven Sr PS 559 0 481 470 462 473 475 474 471 471 473 473 472 472 472 472 472 472

Silverthorn PS 401 0 296 293 290 290 286 281 277 277 274 273 272 271 271 271 271 271

Tomken Road Middle 947 0 1,062 1,059 1,058 1,056 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057

Westacres PS 248 0 292 297 310 313 309 311 306 314 308 302 298 299 305 298 295 295

TOTAL: 4,518.0 0 4,081 4,021 3,992 3,984 3,978 3,937 3,927 3,924 3,917 3,905 3,898 3,896 3,900 3,893 3,890 3,890




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

8 16 26 35 44 54 63 72 82 91 103 114 182 251 319





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Royal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤QEW

Lakeshore Rd

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤401

£¤407

Dundas St

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Halton

ERA11

ERA03ERA4a

ERA08

ERA07

ERA10

ERA12

ERA09

ERA4b

ERA06 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH OF 403/ EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA06

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA06 SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH OF 403/ EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Artesian Drive PS 698 0 600 557 517 507 484 477 480 484 489 493 498 506 514 521 528 533

Churchill Meadows PS 651 0 626 601 565 565 541 551 554 559 562 568 576 586 596 604 611 616

Erin Centre Middle 766 0 831 846 860 836 777 718 657 639 642 659 643 630 628 629 634 643

McKinnon PS 672 0 563 538 503 478 464 465 463 463 466 471 478 486 494 501 506 510

Oscar Peterson PS 832 0 845 811 797 770 763 762 772 757 748 752 760 771 783 796 807 816

Ruth Thompson Middle 799 0 957 969 998 980 967 894 808 780 736 750 749 750 749 752 761 772

TOTAL: 4,418.0 0 4,422 4,321 4,239 4,135 3,995 3,867 3,734 3,681 3,642 3,691 3,704 3,728 3,764 3,804 3,847 3,890




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

14 29 48 67 86 106 127 147 167 188 208 227 239 251 263





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Royal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤QEW

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

Dundas St

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Halton

ERA11

ERA12

ERA03

ERA09

ERA4a

ERA08

ERA10

ERA06

ERA4b

ERA18

ERA07 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER & RAILWAY / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL

ERA07

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA07 SOUTH OF BRITANNIA RD / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER & RAILWAY / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Castlebridge PS 536 0 540 533 508 509 497 488 458 457 452 455 460 466 474 483 493 503

Credit Valley PS 655 0 638 628 602 578 541 512 494 485 472 478 483 490 499 508 519 529

Middlebury PS 557 0 573 588 588 600 615 635 643 640 635 629 623 616 610 610 610 610

Thomas Street Middle 755 0 940 913 944 930 917 879 899 871 877 837 827 801 803 798 794 794

Vista Heights PS 780 0 776 739 715 673 674 676 676 678 680 682 685 687 690 693 696 698

TOTAL: 3,283.0 0.0 3,467 3,400 3,357 3,290 3,243 3,189 3,170 3,131 3,115 3,081 3,078 3,061 3,076 3,092 3,111 3,134




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

31 63 93 123 174 225 266 308 350 393 437 480 507 534 561





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Royal Windsor Drive

£¤QEW

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

Dundas St

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Halton

ERA11

ERA09

ERA05

ERA03

ERA12

ERA18

ERA4a

ERA4b

ERA07

ERA10

ERA06

ERA13

ERA08 - SOUTH OF 401 / WEST OF HURONTARIO & MAVIS / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIV & RAIL

ERA08

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA08 SOUTH OF 401 / WEST OF HURONTARIO & MAVIS / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF CREDIT RIV & RAIL



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Edenrose PS 747 0 691 676 709 728 765 745 744 744 743 743 743 743 743 743 743 743

Fallingbrook Middle 273 0 547 561 561 537 460 458 454 469 457 454 462 466 467 466 466 465

Hazel McCallion Sr. 671 0 734 728 728 696 659 582 575 542 538 512 511 521 517 513 511 510

Sherwood Mills PS 675 0 612 558 518 497 487 497 493 501 506 507 506 505 504 504 504 504

Whitehorn PS 744 0 697 659 625 606 590 598 585 582 585 583 581 580 580 579 579 579

Willow Way PS 407 0 287 267 258 256 248 242 235 236 237 236 236 235 235 235 235 235

TOTAL: 3,517.0 0 3,568 3,450 3,397 3,319 3,209 3,123 3,087 3,073 3,068 3,035 3,039 3,051 3,047 3,042 3,039 3,038




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

25 49 60 71 82 89 97 107 117 127 137 148 156 163 171





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dundas StDix

ie Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

£¤407

Toronto

ERA05

ERA13ERA18

ERA12

ERA11

ERA08

ERA4a

ERA4b

ERA03

ERA07

ERA14

ERA09 - SOUTH OF BRITANNIA & 401 / WEST OF TOMKEN RD / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF MAVINS

ERA09

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA09 SOUTH OF BRITANNIA & 401 / WEST OF TOMKEN RD / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF MAVINS



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Barondale PS 444 0 527 513 527 526 521 513 503 502 497 497 499 502 506 511 516 521

Bristol Road Middle 601 0 632 667 641 657 681 717 743 745 767 756 744 734 727 726 727 731

Champlain Trail PS 709 0 650 664 661 672 677 682 656 657 655 656 658 662 668 674 681 688

Cooksville Creek PS 580 0 442 453 474 488 502 517 520 524 524 524 524 524 524 524 524 524

Fairwind Sr. 671 0 623 609 562 562 556 548 594 596 610 581 583 580 577 577 577 580

Huntington Ridge PS 624 0 496 474 461 454 441 433 419 417 417 418 420 423 426 430 435 439

Nahani Way PS 614 0 498 528 554 566 563 579 578 570 569 568 570 573 578 584 589 595

TOTAL: 4,243.0 0 3,868 3,908 3,880 3,925 3,940 3,989 4,013 4,010 4,039 4,000 3,998 3,998 4,006 4,025 4,049 4,078




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

18 36 73 110 146 184 221 258 295 331 369 406 434 463 491





NOTES


15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Halton

ERA11

ERA12

ERA08

ERA14

ERA07ERA06

ERA09

ERA17

ERA16

ERA4a ERA4b

ERA15

ERA10 - SOUTH OF RAILWAY / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH OF BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA10

±

0 2,0001,000 M





Review Area: ERA10 SOUTH OF RAILWAY / WEST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL / NORTH OF BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Kindree PS 641 0 448 429 417 398 372 361 356 350 345 345 345 345 345 345 345 345

Lisgar Middle 577 0 677 639 578 532 516 514 472 439 400 390 384 385 390 390 390 390

Miller's Grove PS 309 0 223 209 199 191 188 176 173 169 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167

Osprey Woods PS 540 0 513 476 454 427 412 392 400 401 405 411 411 411 411 411 411 411

Plum Tree Park PS 833 0 773 742 707 673 667 640 623 623 623 623 623 623 623 623 623 623

Trelawny PS 389 0 313 293 275 270 267 259 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253

TOTAL: 3,289.0 0 2,947 2,788 2,629 2,491 2,422 2,341 2,277 2,234 2,194 2,190 2,184 2,184 2,190 2,190 2,190 2,190




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

16 32 76 120 165 201 237 276 315 354 395 435 450 465 480





NOTES

38,647 38,209 37,828 37,326 36,819 36,313 36,024 35,796 35,790 35,653 35,654 35,628 35,721 35,862 36,027 36,213

323 646 1013 1380 1903 2417 2846 3281 3718 4156 4606 5055 5498 5941 6383

38,647 38,532 38,475 38,339 38,199 38,215 38,440 38,642 39,071 39,370 39,810 40,234 40,776 41,360 41,967 42,596

15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections


£¤403

Britannia Rd

Royal Windsor Drive

£¤QEW

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407Halton

ERA12

ERA09

ERA18

ERA08

ERA07

ERA10

ERA06

ERA4b

ERA03

ERA05

ERA4a

ERA14ERA17

ERA19

ERA11 - SOUTH OF RAIL & 401 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL

ERA11

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA11 SOUTH OF RAIL & 401 / WEST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF BRITANNIA RD / EAST OF WINSTON CHURCHILL



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Britannia PS 854 0 580 570 552 532 513 517 502 509 508 514 519 527 536 546 557 568

Dolphin Sr. 555 0 597 611 545 556 515 493 447 457 465 467 458 452 451 451 452 454

Edenwood Middle 504 0 511 519 562 580 544 520 524 504 493 489 478 469 471 471 472 476

Maple Wood PS 176 0 129 125 123 119 118 118 122 120 121 120 122 123 125 128 130 133

Plowman's Park PS 405 0 282 289 280 270 260 261 263 264 257 255 257 261 265 270 275 281

Ray Underhill PS 350 0 264 258 269 272 294 313 311 301 298 300 303 307 313 319 325 332

Settler's Green PS 501 0 489 490 474 471 461 452 442 433 443 447 455 461 468 477 486 496

Shelter Bay PS 484 0 410 422 417 408 417 428 434 436 432 431 435 441 448 456 464 474

TOTAL: 3,829.0 0 3,262 3,284 3,222 3,210 3,121 3,102 3,045 3,024 3,016 3,024 3,028 3,041 3,078 3,117 3,163 3,212




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

12 24 37 51 64 78 92 107 122 137 152 168 182 196 211





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

£¤QEW

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

HaltonERA18

ERA11

ERA09

ERA14

ERA10

ERA08ERA07

ERA16

ERA17

ERA06

ERA15

ERA19

ERA05

ERA12 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA12

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA12 SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


David Leeder Middle 896 0 910 937 911 908 828 788 780 782 763 752 748 750 751 754 759 765

Derry West Village PS 625 0 538 501 497 493 496 503 508 506 507 510 513 518 522 528 533 538

Levi Creek PS 611 0 565 568 564 551 552 546 544 541 542 545 549 554 559 564 570 576

Meadowvale Village PS 623 0 499 464 426 428 422 408 398 403 409 411 414 418 421 426 430 434

TOTAL: 2,755.0 0 2,512 2,469 2,398 2,379 2,298 2,245 2,230 2,233 2,221 2,219 2,224 2,239 2,254 2,271 2,291 2,313




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

6 13 32 51 70 89 108 127 146 165 183 202 216 231 245





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤427

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

RdHuron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Toronto

York

ERA18

ERA19

ERA20

ERA09

ERA05

ERA12

ERA16

ERA17

ERA11

ERA13 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF EPPL BND / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF HURONTARIO

ERA13

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA13 SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF EPPL BND / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF HURONTARIO



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Brandon Gate PS 540 0 385 380 380 374 369 369 372 366 362 360 359 359 358 358 358 358

Corliss PS 412 0 238 223 208 197 184 167 161 159 159 158 158 157 157 157 157 157

Darcel Avenue Sr. 550 0 513 520 498 476 474 466 464 451 442 428 421 418 415 412 411 410

Dunrankin PS 631 0 473 472 467 465 463 467 453 452 451 449 448 447 447 447 447 447

Lancaster PS 626 0 355 340 328 312 289 289 281 280 281 280 279 279 279 279 279 279

Marvin Heights PS 513 0 372 361 356 359 352 367 360 360 361 359 359 358 358 358 358 358

Morning Star Middle 699 0 599 596 576 588 571 538 528 501 510 499 499 502 500 499 498 498

Ridgewood PS 861 0 708 684 679 666 666 662 662 661 661 661 661 661 661 661 661 661

TOTAL: 4,832.0 0 3,643 3,576 3,493 3,438 3,369 3,325 3,280 3,230 3,227 3,195 3,185 3,182 3,175 3,171 3,168 3,167




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

6 11 24 36 48 61 75 88 102 116 128 140 149 157 165





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

Halton

ERA12

ERA18ERA16

ERA15

ERA21a

ERA17

ERA11

ERA10

ERA22ERA21b

ERA23

ERA14 - SOUTHEAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF PEEL BND

ERA14

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA14 SOUTHEAST OF CREDIT RIVER / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Eldorado PS 778 0 914 877 851 832 796 778 758 747 743 739 741 743 743 743 743 743

Huttonville PS 715 0 212 215 217 204 194 181 175 172 165 165 163 163 163 163 163 163

Whaley's Corners 648 0 281 294 301 311 308 317 328 331 338 335 332 334 333 333 333 333

Holding Students Returned To ERA15 & ERA21a 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448- 448-

TOTAL: 2,141.0 0 1,407 939 922 899 850 828 814 803 798 790 788 791 791 791 791 791




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

257 514 677 841 1005 1184 1362 1535 1708 1880 2004 2128 2143 2158 2173





NOTES

15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections


£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr Dixie

Rd

Airpo

rt RdHalton

Halton

ERA18

ERA14

ERA16

ERA21a

ERA12

ERA19

ERA22

ERA17

ERA23

ERA21b

ERA24a

ERA13

ERA10 ERA11

ERA15 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTHWEST OF CREDIT RIVER

ERA15

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA15 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTHWEST OF CREDIT RIVER



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Churchville PS 804 0 1,012 1,023 1,011 1,012 1,012 992 970 955 948 959 955 960 967 975 984 993

Ingleborough PS 764 0 810 792 753 741 723 695 692 678 672 671 671 674 679 684 690 696

James Potter PS 749 0 577 567 571 562 551 547 539 542 547 550 554 559 564 570 576 581

Lorenville PS 778 0 842 840 822 815 818 818 824 823 811 814 805 806 811 818 825 833

McClure PS 861 0 790 770 708 662 683 700 723 732 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742

Springbrook PS 790 0 790 801 797 800 790 787 790 797 807 810 802 796 802 808 815 823

Holding Students Returned From ERA14 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258 258

TOTAL: 4,746.0 0 4,821 5,052 4,920 4,850 4,834 4,798 4,796 4,785 4,779 4,799 4,782 4,790 4,819 4,852 4,888 4,926




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

314 627 803 979 1155 1370 1584 1781 1978 2176 2261 2346 2344 2341 2339





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Halton

Halton

ERA18

ERA19

ERA12

ERA14

ERA13

ERA15

ERA21a

ERA22

ERA17

ERA11

ERA23

ERA10

ERA21b

ERA24a

ERA16 - SOUTH OF RAIL / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF STEELES / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY

ERA16

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA16 SOUTH OF RAIL / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NORTH OF STEELES / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Beatty-Fleming Sr. 583 0 367 367 339 331 334 335 333 334 334 334 334 334 334 334 334 334

Centennial Sr PS 855 0 748 701 664 630 654 690 673 662 635 635 626 623 623 623 623 623

Copeland PS 631 0 469 459 476 457 459 452 452 452 452 452 452 452 452 452 452 452

McHugh PS 303 0 174 160 148 141 135 129 128 130 132 132 132 132 132 132 132 132

Morton Way PS 715 0 563 581 599 599 588 566 577 575 576 576 576 576 576 576 576 576

Northwood PS 614 0 574 569 554 533 530 517 522 514 511 511 511 511 511 511 511 511

Queen Street PS 596 0 477 456 441 433 417 402 402 395 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393

Ridgeview PS 784 0 677 678 670 676 665 665 655 644 636 636 636 636 636 636 636 636

Sir William Gage PS 689 0 659 650 641 649 646 645 647 646 646 646 646 646 646 646 646 646

TOTAL: 5,770.0 0 4,708 4,622 4,531 4,449 4,428 4,400 4,389 4,351 4,316 4,316 4,306 4,303 4,303 4,303 4,303 4,303




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

88 176 246 315 385 461 537 611 686 760 848 937 1008 1080 1151





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Britannia Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤403

£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Huron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Halton

ERA18

ERA19

ERA12

ERA14

ERA11

ERA13

ERA16

ERA15

ERA10

ERA21a

ERA09ERA08 ERA05ERA07

ERA22

ERA17 - SOUTH OF STEELES / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NBORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF RAIL

ERA17

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA17 SOUTH OF STEELES / WEST OF HURONTARIO / NBORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF RAIL



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Cherrytree PS 778 0 458 455 442 431 420 406 398 393 390 388 387 386 386 386 386 386

Fletcher's Creek Sr. 680 0 500 539 599 561 566 543 543 512 493 481 480 479 475 473 471 470

Hickory Wood PS 879 0 464 445 432 433 422 422 418 420 422 420 419 418 418 418 418 418

Ray Lawson PS 713 0 545 551 537 524 509 501 498 481 479 477 475 474 473 473 472 472

Roberta Bondar PS 769 0 712 701 687 683 679 680 678 681 675 670 668 667 667 666 666 666

TOTAL: 3,819.0 0 2,679 2,692 2,698 2,632 2,595 2,552 2,534 2,487 2,458 2,435 2,429 2,425 2,419 2,415 2,413 2,412




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

33 67 95 124 153 182 211 239 267 295 330 364 389 414 439





NOTES


15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd£¤403

£¤410£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas StDundas St

Dixie

RdHuron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Toronto

Halton

Halton

York

ERA13

ERA19

ERA20

ERA12

ERA14

ERA11

ERA16

ERA21a

ERA15

ERA09

ERA22

ERA10

ERA17

ERA05

ERA24aERA23

ERA08

ERA21b

ERA07

ERA25a

ERA06

ERA25b

ERA18 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF HURONTARIO

ERA18

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA18 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF HURONTARIO



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Agnes Taylor PS 617 0 618 599 591 556 559 562 562 562 562 562 562 562 562 562 562 562

Arnott Charlton PS 746 0 566 572 571 575 569 580 580 557 551 549 547 546 546 546 546 546

Glendale PS 369 0 314 307 288 286 274 271 266 265 265 264 264 263 263 263 263 263

Gordon Graydon Sr. 620 0 466 478 485 461 475 463 474 476 495 493 472 463 460 457 455 454

Harold F Loughlin PS 366 0 274 265 256 259 252 251 247 255 255 254 253 253 253 253 253 253

Helen Wilson PS 238 0 239 235 229 229 225 226 213 218 218 217 216 216 216 215 215 215

Homestead PS 1097 0 817 784 785 773 759 754 744 743 743 739 737 736 736 735 735 735

Kingswood Drive PS 816 0 592 578 561 538 544 526 502 516 516 513 512 511 511 511 511 511

Madoc Drive PS 306 0 291 301 304 305 299 297 294 286 282 281 280 279 279 279 279 279

Royal Orchard Middle 629 0 646 654 618 583 548 552 556 535 522 506 508 510 506 503 501 500

Sir John A Macdonald Sr. 646 0 477 463 474 558 532 522 482 487 468 442 459 460 459 457 456 456

Sir Wilfrid Laurier PS 309 0 187 184 183 178 170 178 177 177 177 176 176 175 175 175 175 175

Sir Winston Churchill PS 605 0 350 335 301 287 277 268 266 266 260 260 261 258 257 257 257 257

Westervelts Corners PS 416 0 356 337 333 332 329 323 314 314 314 313 312 311 311 311 311 311

Parkway PS 458 0 440 427 409 395 381 376 354 353 351 349 348 348 347 347 347 347

William G Davis Sr. 493 0 534 533 527 518 519 487 500 462 464 426 433 432 428 426 424 423

TOTAL: 8,731.0 0 7,167 7,051 6,916 6,832 6,712 6,636 6,531 6,472 6,442 6,344 6,339 6,324 6,307 6,296 6,289 6,286




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

77 153 230 307 384 459 534 612 690 767 860 953 1024 1096 1168





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤427

Burnhamthorpe Rd

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

RdHuron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

York

Toronto

ERA18

ERA13

ERA20

ERA25a

ERA22

ERA23ERA24a

ERA16

ERA12

ERA25b

ERA15

ERA17

ERA24b

ERA21b

ERA26a

ERA14

ERA26bERA26bERA26a

ERA27

ERA11

ERA19 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & W CITY LIMITS / EAST OF 410

ERA19

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA19 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & W CITY LIMITS / EAST OF 410



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Aloma Crescent PS 470 0 389 392 387 392 404 401 401 396 394 394 393 393 393 393 393 393

Balmoral Drive Sr. 693 0 612 662 641 617 569 588 636 660 653 619 613 606 604 602 601 600

Birchbank PS 413 0 364 354 348 352 343 326 307 303 301 300 300 300 300 300 300 300

Clark Boulevard PS 634 0 594 573 590 591 603 610 598 599 595 594 593 593 593 593 593 593

Dorset Drive PS 432 0 502 501 515 521 520 522 528 522 519 518 517 517 517 516 516 516

Earnscliffe Sr. 893 0 779 733 714 706 673 682 680 677 681 672 677 676 674 673 672 671

Eastbourne Drive PS 505 0 358 329 319 307 296 290 272 285 287 286 286 286 286 285 285 285

Fallingdale PS 283 0 209 205 199 192 193 195 196 193 191 191 191 191 190 190 190 190

Folkstone PS 433 0 384 398 409 417 429 434 434 434 433 433 433 433 433 433 433 433

Goldcrest PS 459 0 326 322 322 327 310 310 313 311 310 309 309 308 308 308 308 308

Greenbriar Sr. 482 0 512 529 505 525 504 496 472 473 469 472 462 456 454 453 452 451

Grenoble PS 389 0 353 344 337 330 328 328 334 326 320 319 319 319 318 318 318 318

Hanover PS 337 0 283 281 279 269 264 256 245 249 251 250 250 250 249 249 249 249

Hilldale PS 300 0 233 224 229 240 242 239 237 236 238 238 237 237 237 237 237 237

Jefferson PS 461 0 319 308 302 287 296 288 279 279 281 281 280 280 280 280 280 280

Massey Street PS 521 0 282 254 238 227 224 219 218 220 220 219 218 219 219 219 219 219

Russell D Barber PS 717 0 693 690 687 690 687 672 644 639 635 633 632 632 632 631 631 631

Williams Parkway Sr. 639 0 730 751 732 695 656 665 702 693 660 615 619 618 615 613 613 612

TOTAL: 9,061.0 0 7,922 7,852 7,753 7,685 7,543 7,521 7,494 7,495 7,440 7,343 7,329 7,312 7,301 7,294 7,290 7,288




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

38 75 106 137 168 194 220 247 275 302 333 364 391 418 445





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

Dixie

RdHuron

tario

St

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

York

Toronto

ERA19

ERA13

ERA18

ERA25a

ERA24aERA23

ERA25b

ERA26b

ERA24b

ERA27ERA26a

ERA20 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD

ERA20

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA20 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Beryl Ford PS 772 0 771 674 578 559 526 505 490 481 473 472 473 474 475 477 484 490

Calderstone Middle 629 0 573 564 557 565 561 561 562 561 561 562 561 561 562 561 561 561

Castle Oaks PS 804 0 789 859 925 943 967 984 1,005 1,041 1,047 1,049 1,050 1,052 1,053 1,055 1,056 1,058

Castlemore PS 678 0 625 612 595 568 541 532 515 507 496 503 504 505 506 507 515 521

Claireville PS 739 0 691 681 677 688 684 649 645 650 649 649 649 660 669 676 683 690

Red Willow PS 776 0 648 633 622 613 589 574 568 564 564 563 563 573 581 587 593 599

Sir Isaac Brock PS 850 0 860 831 821 799 788 775 772 771 774 769 777 779 781 784 795 805

Thorndale PS 769 0 577 637 699 679 657 643 635 615 607 606 610 611 613 615 624 632

Walnut Grove PS 861 0 1,013 972 938 942 914 891 878 882 863 847 855 861 862 864 878 889

TOTAL: 6,878.0 0 6,547 6,462 6,412 6,357 6,227 6,113 6,071 6,072 6,034 6,020 6,042 6,076 6,102 6,126 6,190 6,246




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

110 221 286 351 416 472 528 588 647 707 762 817 827 837 846





NOTES

15 Year Projection of Average Daily Enrolments



Britannia Rd

Mayfield Rd

£¤403

£¤410£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dixie

RdHuron

tario

St

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

King St

Halton

Halton

ERA19

ERA18

ERA14

ERA26b ERA26a

ERA22

ERA23

ERA16

ERA15

ERA24a

ERA26b

ERA21b

ERA13ERA17

ERA24b

ERA12

ERA21a - SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/ NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND - a

ERA21a

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA21a SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/ NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND - a



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Holding Students Returned From ERA14 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190

TOTAL: 0.0 0 0 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

7 14 173 331 490 649 808 997 1185 1374 1562 1750 2088 2427 2766





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

£¤407

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ch

ingua

cous

y Rd

Steeles Ave

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

King St

Halton

HaltonERA18

ERA21a

ERA22

ERA23

ERA26bERA26a

ERA15

ERA16

ERA19

ERA14

ERA24a

ERA26b

ERA24b

ERA21b - SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/ NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND - b

ERA21b

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA21b SOUTH OF MAYFIELD RD / WEST OF MCLAUGHLIN / CREDITVIEW/ NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF PEEL BND - b



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Dolson PS 862 0 929 949 959 987 1,001 1,013 1,015 1,007 993 993 980 973 981 982 979 979

Mount Pleasant Village PS 620 0 441 446 451 438 438 441 427 419 405 395 393 392 393 393 392 392

Tribune Drive P.S. 885 0 815 855 878 884 898 910 911 915 915 910 902 900 899 899 898 899

Aylesbury P.S. 873 0 704 724 762 789 825 846 852 874 883 904 926 922 917 917 921 919

Return Students Holding In ERA26B 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438 438

TOTAL: 3,240.0 0 2,889 3,413 3,489 3,536 3,600 3,649 3,643 3,653 3,633 3,640 3,638 3,625 3,629 3,629 3,629 3,627




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

383 766 977 1187 1398 1690 1983 2237 2491 2745 2908 3071 3118 3165 3212





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

£¤407

Huron

tario

St

Miss

issau

ga R

dWins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd Ch

ingua

cous

y Rd

Steeles Ave

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

King St

Halton

HaltonERA18

ERA21a

ERA23

ERA26bERA26a

ERA21b

ERA15

ERA19

ERA16

ERA24a

ERA14

ERA26b

ERA24b

ERA22 - SOUTH OF WANLESS/MAYFIELD / WEST OF HURONTARIO/RAIL / NORTH OF RAIL / WEST OF CREDITIVIEW

ERA22

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA22 SOUTH OF WANLESS/MAYFIELD / WEST OF HURONTARIO/RAIL / NORTH OF RAIL / WEST OF CREDITIVIEW



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Brisdale PS 1005 0 927 914 899 876 857 843 855 856 862 858 855 854 853 853 853 853

Burnt Elm PS 929 0 784 788 786 786 772 747 739 744 751 748 746 744 744 744 744 744

Cheyne Middle 877 0 843 803 746 748 747 778 778 767 742 739 746 759 753 748 745 744

Edenbrook Hill PS 789 0 708 699 721 716 731 734 721 723 729 726 724 722 722 722 722 722

McCrimmon Middle 891 0 807 829 814 835 844 864 837 795 742 753 770 781 775 770 767 766

Nelson Mandela PS 804 0 730 719 719 723 720 698 689 692 689 686 684 683 683 683 683 683

Rowntree PS 873 0 848 828 839 837 829 833 839 836 836 832 830 828 828 827 827 827

Worthington PS 1010 0 763 748 743 738 726 707 709 720 727 724 722 721 720 720 720 720

TOTAL: 7,178.0 0 6,410 6,329 6,266 6,259 6,226 6,204 6,167 6,132 6,077 6,066 6,077 6,093 6,077 6,066 6,060 6,057




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

15 31 48 65 82 99 115 134 153 171 188 206 214 221 229





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

£¤410

Huron

tario

St

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

ERA26b

ERA26a

ERA22

ERA24a

ERA19ERA18

ERA21b

ERA24b

ERA15

ERA16

ERA23 - SOUTH OF B& C CITY LIMITS/WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF HURONTARIO

ERA23

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA23 SOUTH OF B& C CITY LIMITS/WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF HURONTARIO



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Conestoga PS 509 0 436 420 395 374 363 350 348 344 343 347 350 354 357 361 364 368

Esker Lake PS 457 0 339 342 344 337 341 316 317 309 307 310 313 316 319 322 326 329

Robert H Lagerquist Sr. 637 0 645 663 675 680 676 676 679 677 658 631 616 610 617 623 629 635

Somerset Drive PS 557 0 434 433 429 434 435 446 431 437 439 444 448 453 457 462 467 471

Terry Fox PS 593 0 611 615 608 600 587 588 579 575 578 584 590 596 602 608 614 620

TOTAL: 2,753.0 0 2,465 2,472 2,450 2,426 2,402 2,376 2,353 2,342 2,325 2,315 2,317 2,329 2,352 2,376 2,400 2,424




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

44 88 111 135 160 178 197 217 238 259 288 317 329 342 354





NOTES

94,613 93,488 92,469 91,213 90,250 89,562 89,064 88,747 88,349 88,329 88,347 88,518 88,760 89,092 89,455

1712 3426 4858 6291 7880 9582 11201 12802 14405 16011 17414 18817 19920 21023 22126

96,325 96,914 97,327 97,504 98,130 99,145 100,264 101,549 102,754 104,339 105,761 107,335 108,680 110,115 111,581




Mayfield Rd

Countryside Dr

£¤410

£¤407

Huron

tario

St

Queen St

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

¬«50

ERA19

ERA25a

ERA23

ERA20

ERA26bERA26a

ERA18

ERA27

ERA24b

ERA22

ERA24a - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 - a

ERA24a

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA24a SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 - a



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Carberry PS 855 0 692 712 709 701 698 694 644 628 617 617 617 617 617 617 617 617

Eagle Plains PS 611 0 550 529 508 493 489 477 476 468 462 454 452 452 452 452 452 452

Fernforest PS 867 0 853 849 847 860 853 837 825 813 803 803 803 803 803 803 803 803

Great Lakes PS 919 0 868 834 824 789 771 767 753 740 720 696 695 696 696 696 696 696

Hewson PS 697 0 594 576 562 519 505 484 470 465 459 459 459 459 459 459 459 459

Larkspur PS 1112 0 865 848 836 820 800 810 791 791 792 792 792 792 792 792 792 792

Lougheed Middle 744 0 759 770 752 736 718 717 746 736 727 672 645 624 624 624 624 624

Mountain Ash PS 730 0 600 629 601 588 566 569 554 548 526 509 509 511 512 512 512 512

Robert J Lee PS 752 0 720 700 691 676 658 641 629 599 602 587 588 587 587 587 587 587

Ross Drive PS 804 0 861 885 914 908 903 889 877 866 850 823 816 811 817 817 817 817

Shaw PS 814 0 628 628 610 602 578 560 555 555 545 542 537 535 537 537 537 537

Springdale PS 867 0 610 570 539 501 462 444 435 428 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422

Stanley Mills PS 671 0 461 450 442 429 424 428 424 427 427 427 427 427 427 427 427 427

Sunny View Middle 792 0 791 784 790 817 813 786 755 717 715 679 676 672 672 672 672 672

TOTAL: 11,235.0 0 9,852 9,764 9,625 9,440 9,239 9,104 8,934 8,781 8,666 8,482 8,439 8,408 8,417 8,417 8,417 8,417




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

82 165 219 273 327 392 457 519 582 644 696 748 769 791 812





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Countryside Dr

£¤410

£¤407

Huron

tario

St

Queen St

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

ERA26b

ERA25a

ERA27

ERA23ERA24a

ERA26a

ERA19ERA20

ERA22

ERA18

ERA24b - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 - b

ERA24b

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA24b SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF GOREWAY / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 - b



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Countryside Village PS 885 0 460 483 505 522 537 542 548 555 558 540 535 533 533 533 533 533

TOTAL: 885.0 0 460 483 505 522 537 542 548 555 558 540 535 533 533 533 533 533




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

200 400 546 691 836 1012 1188 1355 1522 1689 1859 2029 2100 2171 2242





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Countryside Dr

£¤410

Queen St

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

York

ERA27ERA26b

ERA24a

ERA20

ERA25b

ERA19

ERA24b

ERA23

ERA26a

ERA25a - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY - a

ERA25a

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA25a SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY - a



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Fairlawn PS 885 0 814 783 775 768 754 731 716 710 698 696 696 696 696 696 696 696

Mount Royal PS 847 0 962 944 931 910 896 876 858 833 822 816 808 801 798 797 796 795

Treeline PS 923 0 755 732 697 684 651 622 611 579 550 527 525 521 519 518 517 517

Vales of Humber #1 658 0

TOTAL: 3,313.0 0 2,531 2,458 2,403 2,362 2,301 2,229 2,184 2,123 2,071 2,040 2,028 2,018 2,014 2,011 2,009 2,009




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

140 281 362 444 525 565 604 661 718 775 825 875 864 852 840





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Countryside DrTh

e Gore

Rd

Bovaird Dr

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

York

ERA27

ERA25a

ERA20

ERA26b

ERA19

ERA24a

ERA24b

ERA25b - SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY - b

ERA25b

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA25b SOUTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF GOREWAY - b



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


TOTAL: 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

0 0 235 469 704 939 1174 1340 1506 1672 1838 2004 2025 2046 2068





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Countryside Dr

£¤410

Huron

tario

St

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

ERA26b

ERA23

ERA24a

ERA22

ERA21b

ERA24b

ERA21a

ERA26a - MAYFIELD

ERA26a

±

0 21 Km





Review Area: ERA26a MAYFIELD



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


SouthFields Village PS 763 0 1,003 978 947 915 899 887 879 877 884 894 905 930 943 952 957 960

Tony Pontes P.S. 611 0 394 409 419 439 446 461 479 475 491 503 500 500 500 500 500 500

Holding Students Returned From ERA26b 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240

TOTAL: 1,374.0 0 1,397 1,627 1,606 1,594 1,585 1,588 1,598 1,592 1,615 1,637 1,645 1,670 1,683 1,692 1,697 1,700




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

98 201 323 450 583 703 828 952 1,080 1,213 1,331 1,449 1,555 1,661 1,767


1 Requirements of New Development (Pupil Places) 1,767

2 Available Pupil Places in Existing Facilities -

3 Net Growth-Related Pupil Place Requirements (1-2) 1,767

NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

Countryside Dr

The G

ore R

d

£¤410

£¤407

£¤407

Huron

tario

St

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

The G

ore R

d

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

Halton

Wellington

ERA28

ERA27

ERA28

ERA25a

ERA26a

ERA24aERA23

ERA22

ERA21b

ERA21a

ERA24b

ERA25b

ERA20

ERA26b - SOUTH OF OLD BASE LINE RD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS/ EAST OF PEEL BND - b

ERA26b

±

0 42 Km



Review Area: ERA26b SOUTH OF OLD BASE LINE RD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B&C CITY LIMITS/EAST OF PEEL BND - b



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


James Grieve PS 743 0 665 637 645 648 645 647 650 663 664 649 651 652 651 651 651 651

Herb Campbell PS 671 0 781 768 764 757 732 704 688 677 671 677 689 725 730 739 749 762

Alloa PS 625 0 788 794 802 802 808 818 830 856 861 845 842 843 843 843 843 843

Return Students Holding At Alloa To ERA21B and 26A 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678- 678-

TOTAL: 2,039.0 0 2,234 1,520 1,533 1,529 1,507 1,491 1,489 1,518 1,518 1,492 1,505 1,542 1,546 1,555 1,566 1,579




1 2 7 11 16 21 25 29 32 36 39 43 45 47 50




3 Net Growth-Related Pupil Place Requirements (1-2) -

NOTES




Countryside Dr

The G

ore R

d

Huron

tario

St

Queen St

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

The G

ore R

d

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

York

Simcoe

ERA28

ERA26b

ERA26a

ERA25a ERA25bERA24bERA23 ERA23

ERA27 - S OF CAL EAST BND/OLD BASELINE/CASTLEDERG/W OF PEEL BND/ N OF B&C CITY LIMITS/E OF AIRPORT

ERA27

±

0 42 Km





Review Area: ERA27 S OF CAL EAST BND/OLD BASELINE/CASTLEDERG/W OF PEEL BND/N OF B&C CITY LIMITS/E OF AIRPORT



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Allan Drive Middle 643 0 479 443 420 416 371 344 337 344 343 332 319 295 291 288 288 289

Caledon East PS 254 0 259 264 258 247 241 241 244 245 245 236 237 231 231 232 234 236

Ellwood Memorial PS 504 0 382 358 334 318 311 297 295 292 286 285 285 287 289 292 295 298

James Bolton PS 596 0 482 479 454 453 453 438 426 413 395 394 394 396 399 403 407 411

Macville PS 323 0 321 321 297 282 245 230 216 204 217 214 217 207 210 215 219 221

TOTAL: 2,320.0 0 1,923 1,865 1,764 1,716 1,620 1,551 1,518 1,499 1,485 1,461 1,453 1,416 1,420 1,430 1,442 1,454




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

23 46 152 257 363 463 563 636 709 782 862 943 1,058 1,173 1,288





NOTES




Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

Countryside Dr

The G

ore R

d

£¤410

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

The G

ore R

d

Miss

issau

ga R

d Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

Simcoe

Wellington

York

Halton

ERA27ERA26b

ERA28 - S OF PEEL BND / W OF PEEL BND / N OF OLD BASELINE / CAL EAST BND / CASTLEDERG/ WEST OF PEEL BND

ERA28

±

0 63 Km





Review Area: ERA28 S OF PEEL BND / W OF PEEL BND / N OF OLD BASELINE / CAL EAST BND / CASTLEDERG/ WEST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Alton PS 245 0 111 118 115 117 119 124 124 116 121 119 120 121 122 123 124 125

Caledon Central PS 521 0 364 353 361 373 358 354 357 377 369 366 362 357 359 361 364 368

Palgrave PS 670 0 396 386 377 360 348 341 334 331 328 323 329 331 333 335 338 341

Belfountain PS 199 0 161 169 176 180 187 198 209 218 216 226 228 230 234 238 243 248

TOTAL: 1,635.0 0 1,032 1,026 1,028 1,029 1,012 1,018 1,024 1,042 1,034 1,034 1,039 1,039 1,047 1,058 1,070 1,082




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

19 37 57 78 98 114 129 143 157 171 184 196 204 212 221





NOTES




£¤403

Britannia Rd

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

StRoyal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

£¤QEW

Lakeshore Rd

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

StLakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

HaltonToronto

SRA02

SRA03

SRA04SRA05

SRA01 - SOUTH OF 403 & 401 / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO / EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA01

±

0 42 Km

Lake Ontario

Review Area: SRA01 SOUTH OF 403 & 401 / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Applewood Heights SS 1,284.0 1,190 1,167 1,229 1,169 1,152 1,148 1,126 1,145 1,136 1,174 1,189 1,188 1,206 1,186 1,182 1,177

Cawthra Park SS 1,044.0 1,299 1,281 1,298 1,320 1,327 1,363 1,337 1,359 1,320 1,404 1,416 1,400 1,453 1,384 1,389 1,332

Clarkson SS 1,392.0 784 716 661 678 695 706 729 714 653 614 630 605 677 665 666 647

Erindale SS 1,353.0 806 901 919 880 914 943 920 905 911 872 866 860 825 790 761 750

Glenforest SS 1,023.0 1,176 1,211 1,266 1,272 1,272 1,254 1,237 1,257 1,258 1,259 1,255 1,253 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,255

Lorne Park SS 1,236.0 959 891 858 856 877 860 866 838 777 790 786 802 814 824 822 815

Port Credit SS 1,203.0 1,232 1,247 1,290 1,295 1,252 1,275 1,248 1,297 1,296 1,286 1,308 1,294 1,311 1,302 1,302 1,289

TL Kennedy SS 1,275.0 911 921 870 819 803 799 873 873 868 865 834 838 835 812 836 816

Woodlands SS 1,080.0 954 989 1,016 1,103 1,118 1,154 1,168 1,140 1,117 1,113 1,130 1,130 1,119 1,104 1,087 1,070

TOTAL: 10,890.0 0 9,311 9,323 9,407 9,392 9,411 9,502 9,503 9,528 9,335 9,377 9,413 9,371 9,497 9,325 9,299 9,150




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

67 133 204 275 345 416 487 558 629 700 784 868 970 1,071 1,173





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

Royal Windsor Drive

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd £¤QEW

Lakeshore Rd

£¤403

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407Halton

Toronto

SRA01

SRA03

SRA04

SRA05 SRA06

SRA02 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA02

±

0 42 Km

Review Area: SRA02 SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF 403 / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


John Fraser SS 1,236.0 0 1,656 1,705 1,701 1,668 1,704 1,680 1,673 1,683 1,644 1,609 1,606 1,581 1,560 1,503 1,494 1,454

Meadowvale SS 1,500.0 0 1,047 1,050 994 989 984 971 947 918 893 851 830 797 762 753 746 740

Mississauga SS 1,554.0 0 1,228 1,308 1,339 1,282 1,365 1,370 1,294 1,282 1,209 1,154 1,136 1,134 1,115 1,102 1,097 1,100

Rick Hansen SS 1,725.0 0 1,670 1,628 1,528 1,488 1,433 1,371 1,375 1,283 1,183 1,169 1,137 1,177 1,161 1,154 1,168 1,178

Stephen Lewis SS 1,530.0 0 1,564 1,579 1,529 1,580 1,613 1,614 1,633 1,596 1,523 1,409 1,311 1,272 1,225 1,251 1,239 1,229

Streetsville SS 1,008.0 0 885 881 948 910 882 876 836 803 744 711 677 659 664 651 646 647

West Credit SS 990.0 0 408 398 431 460 531 531 531 531 531 531 531 531 531 531 531 531

TOTAL: 9,543.0 0 8,458 8,548 8,471 8,377 8,513 8,413 8,289 8,096 7,726 7,434 7,229 7,153 7,019 6,947 6,920 6,878




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

23 46 81 116 151 188 224 260 297 334 373 411 440 468 497





NOTES

15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections


£¤403

Britannia Rd

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

Countryside Dr

£¤QEW

Huron

tario

St

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Toronto

York

SRA02

SRA05

SRA04

SRA07

SRA01

SRA06

SRA03 - SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF 410

SRA03

±

0 42 Km

Review Area: SRA03 SOUTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF 401 / EAST OF 410



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Lincoln M Alexander SS 1,470.0 867 865 918 930 942 931 904 902 858 854 833 796 805 784 778 778

Turner Fenton SS 2,040.0 1,636 1,612 1,570 1,618 1,623 1,683 1,716 1,684 1,642 1,615 1,567 1,489 1,479 1,411 1,415 1,412

TOTAL: 3,510.0 0 2,503 2,477 2,488 2,548 2,564 2,614 2,621 2,586 2,500 2,469 2,400 2,286 2,284 2,195 2,193 2,189




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

4 9 14 19 24 30 35 40 46 51 57 62 66 71 75





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

£¤403

Britannia Rd

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

Erin

Mills

Pkwy


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

£¤407

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

King St

Halton

SRA05

SRA03SRA02

SRA09

SRA06

SRA08

SRA07

SRA04 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD & RAIL / WEST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA04

±

0 21 Km

Review Area: SRA04 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD & RAIL / WEST OF CHINGUACOUSY / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Fletcher's Meadow SS 1,488.0 0 1,861 1,966 2,017 2,082 2,104 2,094 2,117 2,160 2,231 2,266 2,233 2,217 2,166 2,170 2,183 2,190

Jean Augustine SS 1,533.0 0 788 883 949 912 882 895 851 847 819 790 796 778 759 752 737 736

Parkholme School (Fletcher's Meadow) 108.0 0 163 123 144 142 194 193 187 180 179 187 185 184 183 183 184 184

TOTAL: 3,129.0 0 2,812 2,972 3,110 3,136 3,181 3,182 3,154 3,186 3,229 3,243 3,214 3,178 3,108 3,105 3,104 3,111




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

198 396 555 713 872 1,056 1,241 1,418 1,594 1,771 1,957 2,143 2,285 2,428 2,570





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

The G

ore R

d

Huron

tario

St

Cawt

hra R

d


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Erin

Mills

Pkwy

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

¬«50

Halton

Toronto

SRA04

SRA03

SRA09

SRA07

SRA08

SRA06

SRA02

SRA10

SRA05 - SOUTH OF B & C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY

SRA05

±

0 21 Km

Review Area: SRA05 SOUTH OF B & C CITY LIMITS / WEST OF 410 / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF CHINGUACOUSY



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Brampton Centennial SS 1,380.0 0 1,221 1,316 1,442 1,537 1,603 1,582 1,577 1,576 1,602 1,590 1,580 1,561 1,534 1,541 1,528 1,525

Central Peel SS 1,224.0 0 1,179 1,101 1,064 966 973 967 974 982 956 962 923 924 922 902 899 892

David Suzuki SS 1,554.0 0 1,616 1,480 1,482 1,482 1,479 1,428 1,332 1,264 1,236 1,256 1,268 1,271 1,273 1,260 1,252 1,245

Heart Lake SS 1,269.0 0 1,100 1,054 1,070 1,088 1,189 1,222 1,232 1,234 1,241 1,238 1,228 1,216 1,179 1,145 1,125 1,120

TOTAL: 5,427.0 0 5,116 4,952 5,057 5,073 5,244 5,198 5,115 5,056 5,035 5,046 4,999 4,972 4,907 4,847 4,805 4,782




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

90 180 245 309 374 443 511 577 643 709 785 862 908 953 999





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

The G

ore R

d

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd

£¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Olde Baseline Rd

¬«50

York

TorontoSRA03

SRA05

SRA04

SRA07

SRA02

SRA08SRA10

SRA09

SRA01

SRA06 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF 410

SRA06

±

0 21 Km

Review Area: SRA06 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD / WEST OF AIRPORT RD / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF 410



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Bramalea SS 1,278.0 0 1,070 1,025 1,060 1,008 1,026 981 971 946 915 952 948 964 963 936 935 930

North Park SS 1,308.0 0 1,272 1,216 1,151 1,152 1,178 1,175 1,134 1,087 1,076 1,105 1,082 1,074 1,042 986 988 988

Judith Nyman S.S. 903.0 0 502 492 513 525 533 529 528 529 529 530 529 529 529 529 529 529

TOTAL: 3,489.0 0 2,844 2,734 2,723 2,686 2,738 2,685 2,633 2,562 2,520 2,587 2,559 2,567 2,534 2,452 2,453 2,447




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

6 12 18 23 29 34 39 44 49 53 59 64 70 76 82





NOTES

15 Year Projections

15 Year Projections


Mayfield RdHu

rontar

io St

The G

ore R

d

£¤427

£¤410

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Ching

uaco

usy R

d

Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

King St

¬«50

York

TorontoSRA03

SRA05

SRA10

SRA08

SRA06

SRA09

SRA04

SRA02

SRA07 - SOUTH OF BOVAIRD /CASTLEMORE / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD

SRA07

±

0 21 Km

Review Area: SRA07 SOUTH OF BOVAIRD /CASTLEMORE / WEST OF PEEL BND / NORTH OF B & M CITY LIMITS / EAST OF AIRPORT RD



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Castlebrooke SS 1,533.0 0 1,844 1,844 1,858 1,816 1,838 1,813 1,803 1,760 1,744 1,730 1,700 1,698 1,677 1,671 1,660 1,648

Chinguacousy SS 1,020.0 0 1,151 1,096 1,121 1,065 1,059 1,061 1,031 1,044 1,010 980 966 958 944 949 932 923

TOTAL: 2,553.0 0 2,995 2,940 2,979 2,881 2,897 2,874 2,834 2,804 2,753 2,710 2,666 2,656 2,622 2,620 2,591 2,571




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

22 45 58 71 85 100 116 130 145 160 176 192 198 204 210





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Mayfield Rd

The G

ore R

d

£¤410

£¤407

Queen St

Bovaird Dr

Dixie

Rd

Bram

alea R

d

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

¬«50

SRA09

SRA05

SRA10

SRA07

SRA06

SRA08 - S OF OLD BASELINE/ W OF AIRPORT/GOREWAY/ N OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 / N OF MAYFIELD/ EAST OF PEEL BND

SRA08

±

0 10.5 Km

Review Area: SRA08 S OF OLD BASELINE/ W OF AIRPORT/GOREWAY/ N OF BOVAIRD / EAST OF 410 / N OF MAYFIELD/EAST OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Harold M Brathwaite SS 1,479.0 0 1,510 1,613 1,627 1,787 1,844 1,813 1,923 1,873 1,911 1,992 1,948 1,898 1,797 1,664 1,643 1,631

Louise Arbour SS 1,530.0 0 1,340 1,217 1,199 1,177 1,184 1,173 1,193 1,195 1,170 1,188 1,158 1,130 1,114 1,061 1,042 1,026

Sandalwood Heights SS 1,482.0 0 1,084 959 1,024 1,097 1,169 1,255 1,217 1,221 1,202 1,187 1,157 1,111 1,065 1,022 1,017 1,013

TOTAL: 4,491.0 0 3,934 3,788 3,850 4,061 4,197 4,240 4,333 4,289 4,283 4,367 4,263 4,139 3,976 3,746 3,702 3,671




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

65 131 175 220 264 321 377 430 483 536 593 650 675 700 725





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

The G

ore R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd £¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d Queen St

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

The G

ore R

d

Miss

issau

ga R

d Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

York

Simcoe

Wellington

Halton

SRA10

SRA08SRA04

SRA05

SRA07SRA06

SRA09 - SOUTH OF PEEL BND / WEST OF LINE BTWN ST ANDREWS & MOUNTAINVIEW/ N OF OLD BASELINE/ E OF PEEL BND

SRA09

±

0 42 Km

Review Area: SRA09 SOUTH OF PEEL BND / WEST OF LINE BTWN ST ANDREWS & MOUNTAINVIEW/ N OF OLD BASELINE/ E OF PEEL BND



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Mayfield SS 1,734.0 0 1,880 1,913 1,920 1,898 1,944 1,917 1,903 1,886 1,814 1,824 1,821 1,804 1,827 1,802 1,804 1,855

TOTAL: 1,734.0 0 1,880 1,913 1,920 1,898 1,944 1,917 1,903 1,886 1,814 1,824 1,821 1,804 1,827 1,802 1,804 1,855




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

76 152 241 331 421 498 575 648 720 793 895 998 1,094 1,190 1,286





NOTES

15 Year Projections


15 Year Projections

Mayfield Rd

Huron

tario

St

The G

ore R

d

Wins

ton C

hurch

ill Blvd

Castlemore Rd

Lakeshore Rd

Cawt

hra R

d

Dixie

Rd £¤427


£¤410

£¤401

£¤401

£¤407

£¤407

Dundas St

Dixie

Rd

Mavis

Rd

Miss

issau

ga R

d

Steeles Ave

Derry Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

Airpo

rt Rd

The G

ore R

d

Miss

issau

ga R

d Huron

tario

St

King St

Olde Baseline Rd

King St

¬«50

¬«50

York

Simcoe

Halton

Wellington

SRA09

SRA04 SRA05

SRA07

SRA08

SRA06

SRA10 - S OF PEEL BND / W OF PEEL BND / N OF MAYFIELD / E OF AIRPORT / ST ANDRES / MOUNTAINVIEW

SRA10

±

0 42 Km

Review Area: SRA10 S OF PEEL BND / W OF PEEL BND / N OF MAYFIELD / E OF AIRPORT / ST ANDRES / MOUNTAINVIEW



OTG of Temp 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/


Humberview SS 1,437.0 0 1,318 1,441 1,459 1,404 1,368 1,234 1,128 1,062 949 899 849 877 852 808 807 751

TOTAL: 1,437.0 0 1,318 1,441 1,459 1,404 1,368 1,234 1,128 1,062 949 899 849 877 852 808 807 751




2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/ 2031/ 2032/ 2033/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

41 82 201 320 439 550 661 756 851 946 1,055 1,163 1,253 1,343 1,433





NOTES




Peel District School BoardEducation Development Charges Submission 2019Form G - Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

ELEMENTARY PANEL

Net Growth- Percent of Capacity Total Number of

Proposed Related Pupil Proposed Attributed to Net Growth- Acres Required Acreage To Be Eligible Site Land Total

Review Year Of Site Location/ Place School Related Pupil Place (Footnote Funded in EDC Cost Per Education Preparation Escalation Financing Education

Area Site Status Acquisition Facility Type Requirements Capacity Requirements Oversized Sites) By-Law Period Acre Land Costs Costs Costs Costs Land Costs

ERA02 TBD 2023 New School 386 850 45.41% 8.00 3.63 3,090,000$ 11,225,788$ 50,324$ 1,165,382$ 3,363,841$ 15,805,335$

ERA04b Owned 2019 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 -$ -$ 104,000$ -$ 28,119$ 132,119$

ERA04b TBD 2025 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 3,090,000$ 24,720,000$ 114,392$ 3,248,411$ 7,592,826$ 35,675,629$

ERA04b Accommodated In Existing Schools Or Additions 206 -$

ERA07 Accommodated In Existing Schools Or Additions 412 -$


ERA14 Owned 2019 New School 823 850 96.80% 8.00 7.74 -$ -$ 100,676$ -$ 27,220$ 127,896$


ERA15 TBD 2021 New School (Site will be in 21A) 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 1,420,000$ 11,360,000$ 107,355$ 575,100$ 3,255,952$ 15,298,407$



ERA21a TBD 2025 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 1,420,000$ 11,360,000$ 114,392$ 1,492,797$ 3,505,975$ 16,473,164$



ERA21a TBD 2028 New School 216 850 25.37% 8.00 2.03 1,420,000$ 2,882,133$ 30,438$ 378,736$ 889,880$ 4,181,187$




ERA21b TBD 2020 New School 662 850 77.87% 8.00 6.23 1,420,000$ 8,846,136$ 82,282$ 221,153$ 2,473,795$ 11,623,366$




ERA24b TBD 2023 New School 191 850 22.41% 8.00 1.79 1,420,000$ 2,546,228$ 24,839$ 264,331$ 766,614$ 3,602,012$


ERA25b TBD 2024 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 1,420,000$ 11,360,000$ 112,591$ 1,492,797$ 3,505,488$ 16,470,876$



ERA26a TBD 2020 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 1,415,000$ 11,320,000$ 105,664$ 283,000$ 3,165,704$ 14,874,368$

ERA26a TBD 2022 New School 850 850 100.00% 8.00 8.00 1,415,000$ 11,320,000$ 109,072$ 870,402$ 3,325,443$ 15,624,917$

ERA26a Accommodated In Existing Schools Or Additions 67 -$


-

Total: 18,555 19,550 184.0 156.9 168,653,415$ 2,130,318$ 15,355,907$ 50,327,092$ 236,466,732$


SECONDARY PANEL

Site Status Net Growth- Percent of Capacity Total Number of

(Optioned, Proposed Related Pupil Proposed Attributed to Net Growth- Acres Required Acreage To Be Eligible Site Land Total

Review Purchased, Year Of Facility Place School Related Pupil Place (Footnote Funded in EDC Cost Per Education Preparation Escalation Financing Education

Area Reserved, Etc.) Acquisition Type Requirements Capacity Requirements Oversized Sites) By-Law Period Acre Land Costs Costs Costs Costs Land Costs

SRA04 Owned 2019 New School 1,500 1,500 100.00% 16.00 16.00 -$ -$ 208,000$ -$ 56,238$ 264,238$

SRA04 TBD 2023 New School 1,052 1,500 70.13% 16.00 11.22 1,420,000$ 15,934,594$ 155,443$ 1,654,216$ 4,797,563$ 22,541,816$

SRA05 Accommodated In Existing Schools Or Additions 354 -$

SRA07 Accommodated In Existing Schools Or Additions 210 -$

SRA09 TBD 2025 New School 1,286 1,500 85.77% 16.00 13.72 1,415,000$ 19,417,287$ 196,217$ 2,551,591$ 5,992,838$ 28,157,933$

SRA10 TBD 2022 New School 747 1,500 49.77% 16.00 7.96 1,415,000$ 11,267,753$ 108,569$ 866,385$ 3,310,095$ 15,552,802$

Total: 5,149 6,000 64.00 48.91 46,619,635$ 668,229$ 5,072,191$ 14,156,734$ 66,516,789$

Peel District School BoardEducation Development Charges Submission 2019Form H1 - EDC Calculation - Uniform Residential and Non-Residential

Determination of Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

Total: Education Land Costs (Form G) 302,983,521$ Add: EDC Financial Obligations (Form A2) 119,576,810$ Subtotal: Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs 422,560,331$ Add: EDC Study Costs 375,000$ Total: Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs 422,935,331$

Apportionment of Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

Calculation of Uniform Residential Charge

Calculation of Non-Residential Charge - Board Determined GFA

91,735,525

0.46$

42,293,533$

380,641,798$

Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs to be Attributed to Non-Residential Development (Maximum 40%)

Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs to be Attributed to Residential Development

10%

90%

Non-Residential Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs 42,293,533$

3,476$

Residential Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

Net New Dwelling Units (Form C)

Uniform Residential EDC per Dwelling Unit

380,641,798$

109,499

GFA Method:

Non-Exempt Board-Determined GFA (Form D)

Non-Residential EDC per Square Foot of GFA



Form H2 - EDC Calculation - Differentiated Residential and Non-Residential (Part 1 of 2)

Determination of Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

Total: Education Land Costs (Form G) 302,983,521$

Add: EDC Financial Obligations (Form A2) 119,576,810.00$

Subtotal: Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs 422,560,331$

Add: EDC Study Costs 375,000.00$

Total: Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs 422,935,331$

Apportionment of Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs

Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs to be Attributed to

Residential Development 90% 380,641,798$

Total Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs to be Attributed to

Non-Residential Development (Maximum 40%) 10% 42,293,533$



Form H2 - EDC Calculation - Differentiated Residential and Non-Residential (Part 2 of 2)

Residential Growth-Related Net Education Land Costs:

Determination of Distribution of New Development

Distribution of Distribution of

Elementary Elementary Secondary Secondary

15-Year Gross Gross 15-Year Gross Gross Total Gross

Elementary Requirements Requirements Secondary Requirements Requirements Requirements

Net New Units Pupil Yield of New of New Pupil Yield of New of New of New Distribution

Type of Development (Form B) (Form B & C) (Form E) Development Development (Form E) Development Development Development Factor

Low Density 43,948 0.412 18,106 57.6% 0.135 5,916 65% 24,022 59%

Medium Density 20,697 0.364 7,528 24.0% 0.089 1,845 20% 9,373 23%

High Density 44,854 0.129 5,779 18.4% 0.029 1,289 14% 7,069 17%

Total 109,499 0.287 31,413 100% 0.083 9,050 100% 40,463 100%

Calculation of Differentiated Charge:

Apportionment of Differentiated

Residential Net Residential

Education Land EDC per Unit

Cost By Net New Units by

Development (Carried over Development

Type of Development (Form B) Type from above) Type

Low Density 225,978,586$ 43,948 5,142$

Medium Density 88,168,458$ 20,697 4,260$

High Density 66,494,755$ 44,854 1,482$

380,641,798$

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