Education for all

Presentation in relation with the development of a National Education Plan 13 October 2006

Developments of influence on the Educational System

Labor Force in 2005 48.300

Shortage near future: 12.000-17.000 persons

Elderly persons with pension

Out-migration: 553 Drop-outsDuration of study

Natural growth

Volume education

Number of dropouts/repeaters: 1.400

Immigration: 1.035

Births: 1.232

Education: 22.917

Labor productivityPension age

Volume Labor Force

Economic GrowthGDP 3.4 billion in 2002 to 9.2 B. in 2023

Tertiary

secondary

Primary

Pre-primary

Type of economy: tourism oriented,

Financial; Knowledge,…tourism expenditures;

Investment- climate; stability

Immigration: 2.723Participation-rates

Study abroad: 495 Enrollment-rates

Internal efficiency

Labor outflow migration: 1.096

Challenge

New Entrance

Educational system

Back to schedule

Population till 19 years of age, 1960-2023

Back to schedule

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

1960 1972 1981 1991 2000 2005 2013 2018 2023

15-19

10-14

5-9

0-4

Dejuvenation en ageing

Back to schedule

6000 4000 2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-94

95+

Female 1960 Male 1960 Male 2023

Male 2005 Female 2005 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Male 2023)

2 per. Mov. Avg. (Female 2023)

Births by age of the mother, ’92–‘05

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

< 15 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-3435-39 40-44 45-49 50+

Back to schedule

Emigration of young persons to other countries, 1992 – 2004

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19

Back to schedule

Emigration to other countries, persons of age 20+, 1992-2004

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-5455-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89

Back to schedule

Immigration of young persons to Aruba, 1992 – 2005

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19

Back to schedule

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-5960-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+

Immigration of persons of age 20+ to other Aruba, 1992 – 2005

Back to schedule

Labor Shortage (High Scenario)

Male Female Total Male Female TotalEstimated Labor Force 27,783 25,238 53,021 32,287 30,528 62,816Local Labor Force 15,285 12,035 27,320 14,702 11,791 26,493Foreign Labor Force 9,261 9,577 18,839 11,541 11,652 23,193Total Labor Force 24,547 21,612 46,159 26,243 23,443 49,686Shortage on the Labor Force 3,236 3,626 6,863 6,044 7,086 13,130Total foreigners (dependants included) 4,314 4,834 9,148 8,057 9,445 17,502

Male Female Total Male Female TotalEstimated Labor Force 37,507 36,912 74,419 43554 44612 88166Local Labor Force 14,062 11,347 25,409 14,072 11,421 25,493Foreign Labor Force 15,806 15,671 31,477 22,352 22,670 45,022Total Labor Force 29,868 27,018 56,886 36,424 34,091 70,515Shortage on the Labor Force 7,640 9,894 17,533 7,130 10,521 17,651Total foreigners (dependants included) 10,184 13,188 23,372 9,504 14,024 23,529

2008

2018

2013

2023

Back to schedule

Labor Shortage pyramid (High Scenario)

Population and Labor Projections 2023

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

0-45-910-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495+

Thousands

Female Labor AvailableMale Labor availableFemale Labor ShortageMale Labor ShortageMale PopulationFemale Population

Back to schedule

Labor developments by industrial branch

Arbeidsmarktontwikkelingen per sector '91 - '00

-15

1

294

47

-607

658

-326

466

273

1317

898

84

317

613

-18

-119

-1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Agriculture, hunting and forestry, fishing

Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

Electricity, gas and water supply

Construction

Wholesale and retail trade, repair

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

Real estate, renting and business activities

Public administration and defence; social security

Education

Health and social work

Other community, social and personal services

Private households with employed persons

Extra territorial organizations and bodies

Aruba Developed country Developing country

Back to schedule

Labor Developments by industrial branch, 1997-2002

Arbeidsmarktontwikkelingen per sector, 1997 - 2002

-

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Agriculture, hunting andforestry, fishing

Manufacturing

Construction

Wholesale and retail trade,repair

Hotels and restaurants

Real estate, renting andbusiness activities

Public administration anddefence; social security

Health and social work

Other community, social andpersonal services

Back to schedule

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

Agriculture, hunting and forestry

Fishing

Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

Electricity, gas and water supply

Construction

Wholesale and retail trade, repair

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

Real estate, renting and business activities

Public administration and defence; social security

Education

Health and social work

Other community, social and personal services

Private households with employed persons

Extra territorial organizations and bodies

14-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70+

Local labor force by age category and economic branch

Back to schedule

Foreign labor force by age category and economic branch

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

Agriculture, hunting and forestry

Fishing

Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

Electricity, gas and water supply

Construction

Wholesale and retail trade, repair

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

Real estate, renting and business activitiesPublic administration and defence; social

securityEducation

Health and social work

Other community, social and personal services

Private households with employed persons

Extra territorial organizations and bodies

14-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70+

Back to schedule

Growth of occupational groups

Major Occupational group Abs. Growth % Abs. Growth % Abs. Growth %

Armed forces 10 8.4 0 0.0 10 8.4Legislators,senior officials, and managers 776 47.4 675 100.2 1451 62.8Professionals 594 70.1 625 130.1 1218 91.8Technicians and associate professionals 982 63.1 935 79.9 1917 70.3Clerks 295 14.3 1523 40.0 1819 30.9Service workers and shop and market sales workers 986 38.1 1562 51.8 2548 45.5Skilled agricultural and fishery workers 63 27.5 15 85.3 77 31.5Craft and related trades workers 1004 26.4 132 70.7 1136 28.5Plant and machines operators and assemblers 489 32.9 85 212.4 574 37.6Elementary occupations 494 20.7 1473 50.1 1968 36.9Unknown -28 -25.2 9 18.4 -19 -11.9Total 5665 33.7 7034 56.8 12699 43.5

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Census 2000

Male Female Total

Back to schedule

Working population by age-group and profession

Major Occupational group 15-24 25-64 65+ 15-24 25-64 65+0 Armed forces 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.01 Legislators,senior officials, and managers 2.6 11.3 19.0 2.7 7.3 14.82 Professionals 1.5 6.9 6.7 2.2 6.0 7.03 Technicians and associate professionals 7.6 11.7 9.3 9.1 11.0 10.64 Clerks 14.9 10.1 8.3 40.3 26.3 15.55 Service workers and shop and market sales workers 22.5 15.2 15.0 33.4 22.6 22.56 Skilled agricultural and fishery workers 1.4 1.3 1.7 0.1 0.2 0.07 Craft and related trades workers 19.8 21.7 13.8 1.2 1.7 1.48 Plant and machines operators and assemblers 7.5 8.7 16.9 0.3 0.7 0.09 Elementary occupations 21.0 12.1 9.0 10.4 23.9 27.5

99 Unknown 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.710 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Census 2000

Male Female

Back to schedule

Working population, born on Aruba, with tourism oriented education, by industrial branch

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Agriculture, hunting and forestryFishing

Mining and quarryingManufacturing

Electricity, gas and water supplyConstruction

Wholesale and retail trade, repairHotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communicationsFinancial intermediation

Real estate, renting and business activitiesPublic administration and defence; social

EducationHealth and social work

Other community, social and personal servicesPrivate households with employed persons

Extra territorial organizations and bodies

Man (Arubaan) Vrouw (Arubaan)

Back to schedule

Single parents by sex, age group and nationality of parents, 1991 and 2000

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

14-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+

Aruban-91 Aruban-00Developed country-91 Developed country-00

Developing country-91 Developing country-00

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

14-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+

Aruban-91 Aruban-00Developed country-91 Developed country-00Developing country-91 Developing country-00

Back to schedule

Distribution of occupation by sex, 1991-2000

6 4 2 0 2 4 6

Elementary occupations

Plant and machine operators and assemblers

Craft and related trades workers

Skilled agricultural and fishery workers

Service workers and shop and market sales workers

Clerks

Technicians and associate professionals

Professionals

Legislators, senior officials, and managers

Armed forces

Thousands

1991 2000 1991 2000

Back to schedule

Employed female population by ISCO and country of birth

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Legislators, senior officials, and managers

Professionals

Technicians and associate professionals

Clerks

Service workers and shop and market salesworkers

Skilled agricultural and fishery workers

Craft and related trades workers

Plant and machine operators and assemblers

Elementary occupations

Local Foreign-born

Column percentage

Participation rates, women and men, ’72-’00

Back to schedule

Participation rates men by age-group (1972-2000)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Age

%

2000 1991 1981 1972

Participation rates women by age-group (1972-2000)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Age

%

2000 1991 1981 1972

Age Specific Enrollment Rates

Age Specific Enrollment Rates (ASER) for 2004

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25

age (years)

enro

llm

ent

(%)

Back to schedule

Age specific Enrollment Rates, by age category

ASER development (1995-2004) for pre-primary (4-5 years), primary (6-11 years) and

secondary education (12-16 years)

60

70

80

90

100

110

95 96 98 99 00 01 02 03 04

year

ASE

R (%

) 4-5

6-11

12-16

Back to schedule

Number of females per 100 males with a particular educational attainment by age

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59

Age-group

ISCED-2 ISCED-3 ISCED-5 ISCED-6 ISCED-7

Back to schedule

Sex ratio of school attending population by ISCED category

ISCED 2 MAVO, HAVO 1-3, VWO 1-3

78.9 boys per 100 girls EPB

167.1 boys per 100 girls ISCED 3

HAVO 4-5, VWO 4-663.4 boys per 100 girls

ISCED 5 EPI

90.8 boys per 100 girls ISCED 6

IPA, University of Aruba (candidate law)28.7 boys per 100 girls

ISCED 7 University of Aruba (doctoral law)

36.0 boys per 100 girls

Back to schedule

Development in repetition Rate, 1985 - 2002

Development in Repetition Rate for MAVO Students

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

85 86 86 86 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

year

%

males

females

Back to schedule

Granted loans for study, by year and country of study

128194 232 257 284

388 358286

197

61

8690 106

95

130125 236

184

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

The Neth. USA / Can. Other Aruba

Gra

nted

loan

s

Back to schedule

Internal Efficiency

Taalbeleid Volwassen-educatie Tertiair onderwijs ICT-infrastructuur Nationaal onderwijscampagne

Motivation di docentnan y studentnan via methodologia innovativo

Democratische wijze waarop beslissingen worden genomen (incorpora docent y student)

Desaroya fuentenan di informacion tocante desarollonan pafo di sector di enseñanza

Back to schedule

Challenges

E curriculum di Enseñanza ta depende entre otro di desarollo economica cu Aruba ta scohe (knowledge…or more of the same,…?)

Futuro dynamico den nos economia ta evita cu nos por students cu ta voldoet na profiek specifico. Nos mester sina nos students universal skills (manera analysa, interpreta, pensa den systema holistisch, anticipa riba sierto desarollo, tuma responsabilidad, skills pa debating and presentations,…

Nos mester ricibi regularmente feedback di employers, tocante aspectonan cu nan ta aprecia di new labor, y skills cu ta falta.

Bo no por mihora internal efficiency di e systema di education, si bo no ta ehecuta un nul-meeting y si bo no ta midi si bo ta yega e doelstelling (effectiviteit y resultaat) . P.e. via toetsing manera PiSA.