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15th INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE CONFERENCE IN THE ARAB COUNTRIES UNDER THE THEME: “SMART MAINTENANCE” CONICIDE WITH THE 15 TH ARAB MAINTENANCE EXHIBITION TOMÁŠ HLADÍK Logio EFFECTIVE SPARE PARTS MANAGEMENT
Transcript
  • 15th INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE CONFERENCE IN THE ARAB

    COUNTRIESUNDER THE THEME: “SMART MAINTENANCE” CONICIDE WITH THE 15TH ARAB MAINTENANCE

    EXHIBITION

    TOMÁŠ HLADÍK

    Logio

    EFFECTIVE SPARE PARTS

    MANAGEMENT

  • 2

    1) Go for preventive maintenance!

    2) Eliminate process problems

    3) Segment your spare parts portfolio

    4) Evaluate spare parts criticality

    5) Spare parts management starts with good forecasting

    6) Use special methods for intermittent demand items

    7) Consider the whole life cycle of your equipment

    8) Implement a good information system for spare parts and maintenance inventory management

    Eight rules for efficient SPM

  • 3

    Go for preventive maintenance

  • 4

    STANDARD

    PLANNED

    PLANNED

    MAINTENANCE

    CORRECTIVE

    (REPAIRS)

    UNPLANNED

    PREDICTIVE

    PROACTIVE

    DEFFERED

    CORRECTIVE

    PLANNED PROCUREMENTINVENTORY

    MANAGEMENT

    Go for preventive maintenance!

    80% 20%?

  • 5

    Preventive or corrrective?

    Number of preventive vs corrective tasks

    Donwtimes caused by failure maintenance

    Total maintenance cost

  • 6

    Eliminate process problems

  • 7

    SPARE PARTS PROCESS

  • 8

    Eliminate process problems

    SP NEED

    IDENTIFICATION

    No direct responsibility of maintenance engineers/technicians for

    “their” items and spare parts levels.

    REQUEST

    FOR ORDER

    RFO created by someone else, not the technician who requested part.

    The step of RFO may not be necessary in the process.

    APPROVAL

    How often are orders approved? Who approves?

    Approving in IS workflow or by signing a paper copy? Or both?

    Approving both RFO and then issued order again?

    Too many approvers, complicated procedure and hierarchy.

    Approving on high levels of management.

    PROCUREMENT

    Insufficient information available to procurement, poor spare parts

    identification – the buyer hardly knows what should be bought,

    additional communication with maintenance technician is needed.

    Missing or incomplete procurement specification in the IS.

  • 9

    Eliminate process problems

    CONSUMPTIONSlow spare part issues in case of sudden need.

    Issued spare parts are not consumed in fact. What happens then?

    Consumption of external material even in case the part is on stock.

    WAREHOUSE

    RETURNS AND

    REFURBISHED

    SPARE PARTS

    Refurbished parts return to warehouse while new are bought.

    Accounting price of refurbished items is much higher (or lower) than

    the non-realistic value of items on stock.

    Problematic or impossible returns of parts issued but not consumed.

    Insufficient control of parts dismantled from the maintained object

    (the information system has no information about these).

    RECEPTIONProblems with missing (undelivered) documentation for the received

    material (certificates, declarations).

    Lost spare parts documentation – only “paper-based” archiving.

    WAREHOUSING

    Insufficient identification of spare parts in the warehouse.

    Problems to find items stored.

    Inventory count discrepancies, physical stock different from

    information system data.

    Non-real value of stock in the information system.

    Out-of-system stocks.

  • Sklad NDHow do you store bearings?

  • Sklad NDHow do you store bearings?

  • 16

    Where are the spares? An example from a large carmaker

    0

    20,000,000

    40,000,000

    60,000,000

    80,000,000

    100,000,000

    120,000,000

    140,000,000

    160,000,000

    180,000,000

    200,000,000

    01

    17

    3

    01

    89

    4

    01

    89

    8

    02

    89

    4

    02

    89

    8

    04

    86

    3

    04

    89

    3

    04

    89

    7

    07

    49

    4

    07

    49

    8

    08

    18

    0

    08

    88

    1

    08

    93

    6

    08

    98

    4

    09

    89

    0

    09

    89

    6

    12

    88

    4

    12

    89

    6

    13

    49

    0

    13

    49

    4

    13

    49

    8

    13

    75

    8

    14

    86

    3

    14

    89

    4

    14

    89

    8

    1P

    49

    3

    1P

    49

    7

    1P

    89

    6

    1P

    94

    3

    1P

    99

    9

    21

    89

    4

    21

    89

    8

    22

    49

    8

    22

    89

    8

    23

    49

    9

    23

    89

    6

    24

    89

    3

    29

    99

    0

    30

    89

    2

    39

    89

    2

    39

    89

    7

    52

    99

    9

    Spare parts inventory value [?]Foundry

    Pressshop

    Machining, enginesCental warehouse

    Welding lines

    Warehouses A-Z

  • 17

    SPARE PARTS PROCESS

    Who is responsiblefor spares stock?

    Who/how oftenapproves?

    Procurementspecification missing

    Insufficient sparesidentification

    Are returns to warehouse allowed?

  • 18

    Spare parts process – benchmarking

    Internal best practice

  • 19

    Comparison of inventory turnover

    PLANT 1 PLANT 2 PLANT 3 PLANT 4

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    1 2 3 4

  • 20

    Segment your spare parts portfolio

  • 21

    Service level x locked-in capital

    Inventoryvalue

    90 % 95 % 98 % 99 % 100 %?

    Service level / availability

    What items are really important?

  • What items are really important?

    Dominant categories C and D are typical forspares

    On-hand inventory value

    Consumed quantity

    22

  • ABC analysis – on hand inventory value

    Value of available inventory

    23

  • ABC analysis – consumed quantity

    In spare parts, C and D categories typically prevail

    Quantity

    24

  • Spare parts inventories segmentation – consumption frequency(in quantity)

    25

  • Spare parts inventories segmentation – consumption frequency (in value)

    26

  • WHEN?

    HOW MANY?

    WHEN?

    HOW MANY?

    Strategic segmentation of spare parts

    CONSIDER CONSIGNATION

    CONSIDER CONSIGNATION

    CONSIDER CONSIGNATION

    CONSIDER CONSIGNATION

    BUY

    BUY

    BUY

    BUY

    CONSIDER CONSIGNATION

    CONSIGNATION

    BUY BACK

    BUY

    TYP

    E O

    F FO

    REC

    AST

    CONSUMPTION FREQUENCY

    27

  • Example of buyback application

    20 pieces were purchased for turnaround in 2010 for 41.2 M CZK, but these spare parts

    were not used during the turnaround and will be stored until the next turnaround in 2014.

    Buy-back in this case can save 9 M CZK (360k EUR) on storage and locked-in capital cost

    Between shutdowns

    28

  • FSN and VED classification

    V

    E

    D

    F

    S

    N

    Fast-moving

    Slow-moving

    Non-moving

    Vital

    Essential

    Desirable

    29

  • 30

    Evaluate spare parts criticality

  • Effects of failure

    Production losses

    Links to asset register, critical assets (RCM)

    Delivery time

    Repairability

    Number of items in use

    Maintenance planning

    Part lifespan

    Failure probability

    Failure characteristics

    Failure anticipation

    Price

    % cost of capital

    Cost ofinventory

    holdingFailureprobability

    Impacts ofspare part unavailability

    Leadtime andother

    parameters

    Evaluate spare parts criticality

    31

  • 𝐶𝑖𝑛𝑣 = 𝐶𝑢𝑛 ∗ 𝐿𝑇 ∗ 𝑓

    10 000 EUR x 10% 100 EUR / day 100 days 1 per 2 years

    1 000 EUR 5 000 EUR

    KEEP ON STOCK

    <

    Criticality calculation

    INVENTORY HOLDING UNAVAILABILITY LEAD TIME FAILURE RATE

    32

  • Criticality assessment phases

    Economicalassessment

    Technician

    Hold on stock

    Potentiallycritical part

    Do not stock

    Advanced methodsto set optimal levels

    Criticalityassessment

    Technician ConsumeSell orScrap

    Optimum SP stock

    33

  • Application for criticality assessment

    34

  • Login a heslo

    35

  • Postupné hodnocení kritičnosti

    36

  • 37

  • 38

  • 39

  • Spare parts criticality analysis result

    Criticality score

    Spare parts items

    40

  • 41

    Spare parts management starts with good forecasting

  • Quantitative methods x Common sense

    Quantitativemethods

    Commonsense

    MAKE EFFICIENT!MAXIMIZE!

    42

  • Quantitative methods x Common sense

    Quantitative methods

    Common sense

    Unexplained / Random

    Uncertaintyof future

    consumption

    Maximize

    Make efficient

    Minimize

    43

  • Forecasting step-by-step

    Visualisation of time seriesFor better understanding of the time series

    Calculation of accuracyAbsolute and relative errors, evaluation on testing season

    Calculation of forecasts using all available methods

    Selection of the best methodBest accuracy and reliability

    1

    3

    2

    4

    44

  • What forecasting method is best for spare parts?

    1% 1%2%

    3%5%

    9%

    79%

    Konstantní model

    Regresní model

    Holtovo exp. vyrovnání

    Jednoduché exp.vyrovnáníKlouzavý průměr

    Winters

    Forecasting není možný

    Constant model

    Regression model

    Holt’s exp. smoothing

    Simple exp. smoothing

    Moving average

    Winters

    Forecasting impossible?

    ???

    45

  • 46

    Use special forecasting methods for intermittent demand items

  • Týd

    enn

    í sp

    otř

    eby

    ND

    Historie týdenních spotřeb (týdny)

    4 13 17 300

    1

    2

    3

    4

    81 18 25 2726

    32

    Spare parts – intermittent demand

    Weekly consumption history (weeks)

    Wee

    kly

    spar

    e p

    art

    con

    sum

    pti

    on

    (p

    iece

    s)

    QUESTION: What reorder level should be set in order to ensure required availability of a spare part?

    47

  • Týd

    enn

    í sp

    otř

    eby

    ND

    Historie týdenních spotřeb (týdny)

    4 13 17 300

    1

    2

    3

    4

    81 18 25 2726

    32

    BootstrappingBootstrapping = random sampling from history of consumptions.

    SP consumption for lead-time period is sampled from history

    Sample 1: Consumption in6 weeks = 5 pcs

    Wee

    kly

    SP c

    on

    sum

    pti

    on

    Weekly consumption history (weeks)

    Example: SP lead time is

    6 weeks

    48

  • Bootstrapping

    Vzorek 2: Spotřeba za

    6 týdnů = 0 ks

    Týd

    enn

    í sp

    otř

    eby

    ND

    Historie týdenních spotřeb (týdny)

    4 13 17 300

    1

    2

    3

    4

    81 18 25 2726

    32

    Sample 2: Consumption in6 weeks = 0 pcs

    Weekly consumption history (weeks)

    Spar

    e p

    art

    con

    sum

    pti

    on

    (p

    iece

    s)

    49

  • Bootstrapping

    Vzorek 3: Spotřeba za

    6 týdnů = 12 ks

    Týd

    enn

    í sp

    otř

    eby

    ND

    Historie týdenních spotřeb (týdny)

    4 13 17 300

    1

    2

    3

    4

    81 18 25 2726

    32

    Sample 3: Consumption in6 weeks = 12 pcs

    Weekly consumption history (weeks)

    Wee

    kly

    SP c

    on

    sum

    pti

    on

    50

  • Bootstrapping

    Vzorek 4: Spotřeba za

    6 týdnů = 2 ks

    Týd

    enn

    í sp

    otř

    eby

    ND

    Historie týdenních spotřeb (týdny)

    4 13 17 300

    1

    2

    3

    4

    81 18 25 2726

    32

    Sample 4: Consumption in6 weeks = 2 pcs

    Weekly consumption history (weeks)

    Wee

    kly

    SP c

    on

    sum

    pit

    on

    51

  • Če

    tno

    sti s

    po

    tře

    b v

    jed

    no

    tliv

    ých

    inte

    rva

    lech

    (z

    e s

    imu

    lace

    )

    Spotřeba během LT – intervaly (ks)

    0 5 10 15

    60 000

    0

    30 000

    Ku

    mu

    lati

    vní p

    ravd

    ěp

    od

    ob

    no

    st s

    po

    tře

    by

    100 %

    Example of 100 000 simulations of SP consumption

    Target: SP availability (Service level) = 99%

    OPTIMUM INVENTORY = 9 PCS

    Consumption during leadtime (pcs)

    Cu

    mm

    ula

    tive

    pro

    bab

    ility

    of

    con

    sum

    pti

    on

    Freq

    uen

    cies

    of

    con

    sum

    pti

    on

    (fro

    m s

    imu

    lati

    on

    )

    52

  • Bootstrapping application – a case study

    99.9% availability

    Original inventory: 17 000 EUR(49 pcs)

    Spare part lead-time: 32 days

    Recommended inventory

    29 pcs

    10 000 EUR

    Savings

    7 000 EUR

    Intermittent demand

    53

  • Bootstrapping in spare parts management information system

    54

    Minimum level 2 pcs

  • 55

    Life cycle thinking:Consider the whole life cycle of your assets

  • PROCUREMENT

    MAINTENANCE

    RENOVATION

    COST

    PROFIT?PROFIT

    MAINTENANCE CREATES VALUE!

    ASSET LIFE CYCLE

    56

  • Asset life cycle (Kari Komonen, EFNMS EAMC)

    INVESTMENT UTILIZATION

    $$

    57

  • PROCUREMENT

    MAINTENANCE

    RENOVATION

    COST

    PROFIT?PROFIT

    MAINTENANCE CREATES VALUE!

    ASSET LIFE CYCLE

    PROFIT

    58

  • 59

    Efficient spare parts management Conclusions

  • Efficient spare parts management – 8 rules

    Preventive maintenance Smooth SP processes

    Segment your SP portfolio Assess criticality

    Good forecastingSpecial methods for

    intermittent demand items

    Life cycle thinking Good information system

    60

  • Good information system for spare parts management

    Quantitative methods

    Common sense

    Uncertainty

    Maximize!

    Make efficient!

    Minimize!

    ForecastingInventory levels

    Ordering

    Input of technicians and procurement

    Criticality analysis

    Forecast accuracyand reliability

    61

  • Efficient Spare Parts Management

    MAINTENANCE VOLUME

    SPARE PARTS INVENTORY

    MAINTENANCE VOLUME

    SPARE PARTS INVENTORY

    62

  • Thank you

    Tomas HladikLogio s.r.o.Prague, Czech [email protected]


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