Founding partners

Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development-opportunities and our personal leadership

- Presentation in Draft-

Adriaan Kamp

Energy For One World

MiniMBA New Energy Realities 2018

Adriaan Kamp 2012 - Energy For One WorldA practice on Global Change, Energy

Architecture, UN SDG’s and Leadership.

Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education

20 years Industry/Shell International : Upstream ( 5 Countries and HQ).

Contents of Session

1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energy Realities, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030

2. Organising ourselves

3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership

The World in Year 2015

4

Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development

1/9/2018

Clickable Video Presentation

Clickable Presentation

2015 Year of Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable Development 2030 Agenda

UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement

Pope Francis and his Encyclical Laudato Si! – on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation

Transbiblica

11

Living Planet Reports

G7 and the next 100 years

Club Of Rome- Graham MaxtonAge of Discovery- Navigating the Risk and Rewards of our New Age Renaissance.

Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School

14

Year 2017 – A new styled President Trump with Executive Orders

17

COP23 in Bonn: Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement

COP23 in Bonn: Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair”

19

UNFCCC report on Climate Risks

21

IEA’s year 2017 analysis of how renewables are growing

Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals

IEA WEO2017

(and international Oil & Gas community)

80 : 20

UN FCCC

(& Science Community)

20 : 80

24

The State of our UN SDGs (2017)

2017 IMF Economic Global Growth Forecast: “All Time High”

Year 2017 in 12 Charts (World Bank)

28

Technology Revolution vs Jobs and Social justice

4th Industrial Revolution ILO 2017: World Jobless

Ocean Plastic Clean-Up

30

Founding partners

09.01.2018

Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments

• Economic and finance system change and fundamentals

• A new technological era: 4th Industrial Revolution.

• Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations

• Social Changes (network economies), and the quest for social wealth & justice

• Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities

• Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets

Global Change

32

2014 2030-2050

7 Billion People

9 BillionPeople

90 trillion USD

economy

180-210 trillion USD

225 million oil eq/day(15 TW)

500- 750 millionoil eq/day

(55 TW)

400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century

??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects

BRIC:It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of

our peopleYou’ll fix whatever you want to

fix!

The West:“If you do as I have done

it will be a mess.”

Let us all change- rapidlyLet’s secure our nation,

people and planet

Emerging:Will there be enough for

us?Can i afford it?

Who will deliver it to me?

The poor:When will we see electricity and get

mobility?

Opec and GasPec:You need us!

We can deliver your needs!What is all that fuzz about

Availability and climate change?

2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved

BP Energy Outlook - 2017

2017- BP Energy Outlook

36

BP Energy Outlook 2035

1/9/2018

BP Energy Statistics 2016

Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World

39

Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World”

• The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging political, economic and social consequences.

• “Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously. Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum.

40

www.energyandstuff.org

41

Clickable Go to Website

2017 Edelman Trust Barometer

42

Contents of Session

1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energies Realities,Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030

2. Organising ourselves

3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership

UNRegional Blocks

CountriesCities

CommunitiesCompanies and InstitutesCo-alitions of the Willing

Sustainable Community Building

The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCitiesand more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada

The top 10 cities by population:

1. Tokyo, (34 million)

2. Seoul (24.4 million)

3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)

4. Mexico City (23.4 million)

5. Delhi (23.2 million)

6. Mumbai (22.8 million)

7. New York (22.2 million)

8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)

9. Manila (19.6 million)

10. Shanghai (19.4 million)

All above fit comfortably into the list

Of Top-50 nations by population

Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions

Mainstream

• UN Re-organisation (0)

• Governments (1)

• Corporates and Global Compact (2a)

• Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b)

• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3)

• Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)

1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system

Bottoms-up

• Community, Start-up Community (5)

Some Regional Development Examples(as it is today)

A New Green Plan- NW Europe

New Start-up valleys focussing on “Doing Good”, whilst earning “Good”

Education – Community Development (Bottoms-Up)

59

Better Business- Better World

60

BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs

61

BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (2)

62

BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (3)

63

BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (4)

64

UNRegional Blocks

CountriesCities

CommunitiesCompanies and InstitutesCo-alitions of the Willing

Some Examples- from our Energy Sector(as it is today)

Focus Areas (Energy Sector)(Year 2018 and beyond- example only)

Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon

in the Atmosphere

Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and Mobility- Energy Architectures

Energy Architecture Developments, Economies and UN SDGs

GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to All” or

“Energy-Economies Free of Concerns”

Change & Transformation

Old and New Clickable Presentations

Vs 250 Bn USD investment

Click to Go To Website

Germany: An example how it works- in real

Example Shell: “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”

Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by 2050.

• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations.

• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a start and that the company supported the goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures

70

It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017

New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation

New Possibility Thinking (3)- Largest Solar Farm (First Solar)

2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024

2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr

5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr

3500 hectares160,000 homes1,5 Bn USD550 MW8 million panels

New Possibility Thinking (4)- Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s

4

2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024

2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr

5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr

An offshore area of 100km2175 wind turbinesTwo offshore substationsNearly 450km of offshore cablingOne onshore substation630MW of electricityEnough power for nearly half a million homes

New Possibility Thinking (5): New distributed utility

New Possibility Thinking (6)- Solar City- A New Value Proposition

New Possibility Thinking (7)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn

Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation.

It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future.

(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self-driving and navigating new car concepts)

Uber Google

Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility

78

TaaS= Transport as a Service

New Possibility Thinking(8)Smart Cities

The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000

Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India• King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia• e.g. China Tianjin Development•PM Modi’s 100 smart cities

•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia

New Possibility Thinking (9) Better Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more

1/9/2018

New Possibility Thinking (10)RE-100 Group

New Possibility Thinking (11)Energy Project Finance

New Possibility Thinking (12)Finance, Banks and Insurers

We are here- so mind the gap !

IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics

85

20081 TW

20162 TW

Roughly Equals

Present

Oil & Gas Company

Jobs

Clean-Tech/ Renewables

Oil & Gas

The Present Big Elephant in the Room:

“The Prize of Oil”

The Context We see Ourselves in

A little conceptual..(adding it all together)

93

From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors

shaped by government, industry and civil society.

The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political, economic, ecological and business philosophies,

leadership and interests exercised on location.

The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic

interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the future.

94

Energy Architecture

Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition and Transformation”

Renewables

Energy Efficiency

Product Re-designs

Energy Architectures

Re-designs

Fossil

1 2

3

4

5

Levels of Change

• Level 1

• Level 2

• Level 3

• Level 4

• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying

• Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures

• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade

• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness

The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1)

• OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia

• (Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec

• China Inc., India Inc.

• Developing (without Resources)

• Developing (with Resources)

• Least developed. Poor.

The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade

Mainstream

• Governments (1)

• Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2)

• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3)

• Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)

1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up

• Community, Start-up Community (5)

The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations

The way it works (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination “Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works

101

e.g.Country Catogories,Geographies &Markets

Business Formula-andCross-Sectors

Forms of Collaboration

The way it works (4): Prof. Kotter: Organize to Change

Clickable Access to Report

BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs

105

197 countries need to change

A New Business Worthiness Pledge

The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals provide

a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to end poverty, combat

climate change and fight injustice and inequality. By

applying innovation, resources and expertise, I will pursue

the business opportunities inherent in building greener,

more equitable and inclusive societies

I am a business leader who knows that business cannot

succeed in societies that fail. I will do my utmost to be

business worthy in all my efforts, and true to my business to

support the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.

I call on my peers to do the same.

“Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability,

affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- AdriaanKamp, -2015

Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic

and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015

109

Building New Bridges

Contents of Session

1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energies RealitiesClimate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030

2. Organising ourselves

3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Leadership

One World. Many Needs. Many Views

Founding partners

“In Leadership- we are all students for life”

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Leadership Levels

• Managing Yourself

• Managing Others

• Managing complex change &

• Managing multi-stakeholders

Managing yourself

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Founding partners

“Only good can come from good”

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

How much do you know about (your) self?

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

What happy people know

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Conquering the self

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

121

Managing others

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Founding partners

“Manage others as you would like to be managed yourself”

(golden rule)

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Organizing people

1/9/2018

Leadership and Vision: Opportunity Framing and Decision Based Delivery

•The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity

How good is your

Opportunity

Framing ?

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Ram Charan- Execute

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Rex Tillerson (“Hi- I am the New Guy”)Plain Leadership talk – at US State Department

Accountability

Honesty

Respect

One TEAM, One Mission

Rex Tillerson Plain Leadership talk – at US State Department (part 2)

129

System Rethink

World View

Re-Organisation Approach

Unconstrained Re-think

Respect to Staff

Good is the enemy of Great

From Good to Great

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Servant Leadership

• Compassionate love

• Authenticity

• Humbleness

• Empowerment

• Provide direction

• Stewardship

Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple and deeply profound

Pope Francis and Laudato Si!

Managing complex change/ multi-stakeholders

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

“Resistance to change falls when the benefits are clear”

Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change

Can We Listen before Change?

Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and Relationships. The way it works

Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved

Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The way it works

139

The Way it Works for a System Rethink

World View

Cultures

Institutions

Our Leadership Ways

CoreValues

Cultural Dimensions

Global People Skills

CONSCIOUS

UNCONSCIOUS

031-6-20227364

www.energyforoneworld.com

Attachments

143

Eco-

Conscious

Moderated Consumerism

Limits to Growth

Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry

Zero emissions

Nature First

Networked

Society

Away with traditional country and/or

corporate borders : City-Hubs.

Horizontal, cross-border

collaborations

Cultural awareness and tolerance

A new world of sharing and

Power to the People

Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth

Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.

Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience

A world of larger inequalities and divisions:

Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s

Money First

Shared

Capitalis

m

A world of Power , Principles and

Politics

Polarisation between Beliefs and/or

Power Blocks

The Geo-politics of Emotions

Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest

Power to the Strongest,

First

Darwin

Techno

Modernity

The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and

Kurz Weill Singularity

Game-changers and Disruptive

Innovations

A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,

Exponential Growth and Abundance

The Rule of Science &

Technology

Conscious Capitalism

The rise of new (global and business)

leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s

Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality

Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.

Transformative

leadership

Conscious

Humanity

159

Roadmap UN SDG7 - Energy To All

161

No Jobs Plans

Dubai Understanding our Ways