Electric Vehicle Conversion Donor Car Analysis

Chris Jones, Electric Auto Association

www.nbeaa.org

October 17, 2009

This presentation is posted at http://www.nbeaa.org/presentations/donor_cars.pdf.

See http://www.nbeaa.org/osev/sota/AAA-SRJC-EAA_donor_car_analysis.doc for report with text.

All data sources from www.autotrader.com and www.kbb.com except as noted.

NBEAA 2009 Technical Series

1. EV Drive Systems

2. EV Batteries

3. EV Charging Systems

TODAY >> 4. EV Donor Vehicles

Agenda

Distance to DealerAge of VehicleBody StyleTransmissionCurb WeightSafetyColorTire Rolling ResistanceModel SelectionBlue Book ValuesDealer Asking PricesPictures

Distance to Dealer

Used and Certified Preowned Cars for Sale vs. Distance from 95404 on www.autotrader.com

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

miles from zip code 95404

nu

mb

er

of

us

ed

ca

rs f

or

sa

le

Age of Vehicle

Used Cars for Sale Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

model year

ca

rs f

or

sa

le

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

cu

mu

lati

ve

pe

rce

nt

per model year

cumulative

Body Style

Used Car Body Styles and Transmissions Since 2000 Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autrader.com

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

sedan SUV truck coupe hatchback convertible van wagon

body style

nu

mb

er f

or

sale

automatic

manual

Transmission

Average new MPG change in 2007 sedans going from manual to automatic transmissions

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

curb weight, lb

ave

rag

e M

PG

ch

ang

e

Curb Weight

Curb Weight vs. Model Year

2200

2300

2400

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

model year

curb

wei

gh

t o

f b

ase

mo

del

sed

an,

lb

Ford Focus

Nissan Sentra

Toyota Corolla

Honda Civic

Mitsubishi Lancer

Mazda 3

Curb Weight

Average MPG vs. Curb Weight for 2007 sedans with manual transmissions

10

15

20

25

30

35

2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

curb weight, lb

ave

rag

e M

PG

Used Manual Transmission Sedan Curb Weight vs. MakeCars less than 3000 lb with enough tail for rear battery box that are still in production highlighted in green

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

make

curb

wei

gh

t, p

ou

nd

s

BMW

Chrysler

Ford

GM

Honda

Hyundai

Kia

Mazda

Mercedes Benz

Mitsubishi

Nissan

Saab

Subaru

Toyota

Volkswagen

M5

5

3 Series

PT Cruiser

Caliber

X-

S40

Fusion

Focus

CTS

Cobalt

Ion

TL

G35

TS

Accord

Civic

Sonata

Elantr

Rio

6

3

C230

Lancer

Maxima

Altima

Sentra

Vers

9-3

Impreza

Corolla

Yaris

GS450h

S4

IS250

A4

Passat

Jetta

Curb Weight

Curb Weight

Weight vs. Quantity for Sale for Manual Transmission Sedans within 50 miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

curb weight, pounds

qu

an

tity

fo

r s

ale

/ c

um

ula

tiv

e p

erc

en

t

models

cumulative

Source: An Analysis of Traffic Deaths by Vehicle Type and Model, www.aceee.org.

Safety

Color

Sedan Exterior Colors43% are light

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

silve

r

black

white

gray

blue

red

tan

othe

r

gree

ngo

ld

burg

undy

off w

hite

brow

n

char

coal

beige

oran

ge

purp

le

turq

uoise

yello

wpin

k

color

qu

anti

ty

light

dark

Source: http://www.greenseal.org/resources/reports/CGR_tire_rollingresistance.pdf.

Tire Rolling Resistance

Model Selection

number for sale make model

2007 base model curb weight

start date

end date

big enough?

26 Volkswagen Jetta 3230      

17 BMW 3 series 3340      

14 Toyota Corolla 2530 1966 n/a  

13 Subaru Impreza 3016      

11 Honda Civic 2628 1972 n/a  

11 Mazda 3 2780 2004 n/a  

10 Mitsubishi Lancer 2745 1973 n/a  

8 BMW 5 series 3428      

7 Mazda 6 3166      

6 Ford Focus 2621 2000 n/a  

6 Nissan Sentra 2853 1982 n/a  

5 BMW M5 4012      

5 Nissan Altima 3055      

5 Saab 9-3 3230      

4 Honda Accord 3188      

4 Saturn Ion 2752 2003 2007  

3 Audi S4 3990      

3 Cadillac CTS 3509      

3Mercedes Benz C230 3405      

3 Toyota Yaris 2293     No

Manual Transmission Sedans

Model Selection

number for sale make model

2007 base model curb weight

start date

end date

big enough?

2 Acura TSX 3345      

2 Dodge Caliber 2966 2007 n/a  

2 Infiniti G35 3497      

2 Lexus IS 250 3435      

2 Nissan Maxima 3591      

1 Acura TL 3623      

1 Audi A4 3428      

1 Chevrolet Cobalt 3216      

1 ChryslerPT Cruiser 3072      

1 Ford Fusion 3151      

1 Hyundai Elantra 2747      

1 Hyundai Sonata 3266      

1 Jaguar X-Type 3516      

1 Kia Rio 2365     No

1 Lexus GS450h 4134      

1 Nissan Versa 2749     No

1 Volkswagen Passat 3344      

1 Volvo S40 3234      

187 Total

Make and Model Lowest Price Quantity for sale within 50 miles

Ford Focus $4,688 4

Nissan Sentra $5,995 3

Toyota Corolla $4,995 12

Honda Civic $5,995 8

Mitsubishi Lancer $6,500 9

Mazda 3 $7,995 4

Total 40

Model Selection

Blue Book Values

Kelley Blue Book Private Party Value for Base Model Compact Manual Transmission Sedans

$0.00

$2,000.00

$4,000.00

$6,000.00

$8,000.00

$10,000.00

$12,000.00

$14,000.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

model year

pri

ce

Corolla

Lancer

Civic

Focus

Mazda 3

Sentra

Asking Prices for Dealer Ads within 50 miles of 95404

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

model year

pri

ce

Corolla

Lancer

Civic

Focus

Mazda 3

Sentra

Dealer Asking Prices

Pictures

Ford Focus

Generation 1, 2000-2007

Generation 2, 2008-present

Toyota Corolla

Generation 8, 1998-2002

Generation 9, 2003-2008

Pictures

Honda Civic

Generation 6, 1996-2000 Generation 7, 2001-2005

Generation 8, 2006-present

Mazda 3

Generation 1, 2004-2008

Pictures

Nissan Sentra

Generation 6, 2007-present

Generation 5, 2000-2006 Generation 7, 2002-2006

Mitsubishi Lancer

Generation 8, 2007-present