Date post: | 23-Aug-2014 |
Category: |
Internet |
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Internet Prospects
Vint Cerf
July 2014
HAPPY BASTILLE DAY!!
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Internet - Global Statistics 2014
Approx. 6.9 B mobiles and ~1.5 Billion smartphones) (http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats)
1.01Billion Hosts (ftp.isc.org/www/survey/reports/current/)
2.484 Billion Users (International Telecommunication Union)
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Internet Technical Evolution
• IPv6 - in parallel with IPv4 – about 3.x% access Google
• Internationalized Domain Names - operational
• New gTLDs (2000 applications) – 300 are delegated – http://newgtlds.icann.org/en/
• Domain Name System Security (DNSSEC) – in deployment
• Digitally-Signed Address Registration (RPKI) – Controversial in some quarters, but beta implementations exist
• Internet of Things – an emerging phenomenon
• Mobile applications – in the hundreds of thousands
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An Internet of Things
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Internet and its Implications in 2014
• World Wide Web – Massive information sharing and discovery
• Mobile technology - access anywhere, anytime • Image capture and sharing
• Augmented Reality (e.g. Google Glass)
• Location tracking (Emergency services)
• Remote Control (Internet of Things)
• Standards encourage application development
• Mutual reinforcement of Internet and Mobiles
• Social Networking • Privacy impact
• Common interest discovery
• Coordinated, real time activities
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Internet and its Implications 2014
• Political challenges • Civil unrest, information and misinformation
• Activism – good and bad societal consequences (extremism)
• Transparency and Accountability
• Malware, Cyber-safety and National Security
• 3D Printing • New import/export paradigms (export designs not finished products)
• Transport of raw materials vs manufactured parts
• Intellectual Property • Protection; new modes of sharing (e.g. creative commons)
• Preservation of Digital Content (Bitrot and the Digital Desert)
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Example Internet Policy Challenges
• Internet Governance • Internet Governance Forum, NETmundial, ICANN, ISOC, RIRs • Internet Standards (IETF, IAB, IEEE, ITU-T, ANSI, ISO, Industry Fora) • Critical Role of Multi-Stakeholder processes
• Role of the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) • Communication Standards, Radio Assignments, Development
• The legal meaning/weight of digital signatures
• Bridging the Broadband Digital Divide- infrastructure
• Economics of Access to and Use of the Internet
• Avoiding the Politicization of Internet Governance Policy
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The Potential Role of the World Bank
• Unique opportunity to engage in support for Internet infrastructure development
• Advice to Governments on Internet policy development
• Analysis of Economic Factors in the growth of the Internet
• Explication of the Role of Risk Capital in Internet-based companies and their products and services
• Facilitation of International and Multi-stakeholder agreements
• Convening Power to Promote Constructive Internet Use
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DISCUSSION?
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