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Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making Vimla L. Patel, PhD, DSc, FRSC Laboratory of Decision Making and Cognition Department of Biomedical Informatics Columbia University New York, NY Workshop on Medical Thinking: What We Know University College, London June 22-23, 2006
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Page 1: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Emerging Paradigms of Cognition inMedical Decision-Making

Vimla L. Patel, PhD, DSc, FRSCLaboratory of Decision Making and Cognition

Department of Biomedical InformaticsColumbia University

New York, NY

Workshop onMedical Thinking: What We Know

University College, LondonJune 22-23, 2006

Page 2: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

• CPOE system facilitated 22types of medication errors

• Fragmented displays preventcoherent medications view

• Pharmacy inventory mistakenfor dosage guidelines

• Separation of functions thatfacilitate double dosing andincompatible orders

• Inflexible ordering formatsgenerating wrong orders

• Three quarters of the housestaff reported observing eachof these error risks, indicatingthat they occur weekly or moreoften

Koppel R, Metlay JP,Cohen A, Abaluck B,Localio AR, Kimmel SE,et al.

Role of ComputerizedPhysician Order EntrySystems in FacilitatingMedication Errors

JAMA 2005;293:1197-203.

Page 3: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Another Case• Potassium chloride (KCl) ordered as IV

injection and as IV fluid additive usingEclipsys CPOE system

• 85-year-old patient, admitted to the medicalICU with septic shock and respiratory failure

• Patient received 316 mEq KCl over 42 hrs insetting of acute and chronic kidney failure

• High dose delivered due to errors andmisperceptions by several care providers

• Compounded errors propagated through thesystem over three days

Horsky J, Kuperman GJ, Patel VL. Comprehensive analysis of a medicationdosing error related to CPOE: A case report. J Am Med Inform Assoc2005;12:377-382.

Page 4: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Analysis of Failure• Misconceptions about the relation

between IV volume (humans) and timeduration (system)

• Misconception of latest and “dated”laboratory results

• Lack of Alerts when potassium valuereached a dangerous level

• Inadequate clinical user trainingregarding safe and efficient orderingpractices

Page 5: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Why should we be concerned aboutcognitive and social sciences?

• Human behavior is influenced by ourthoughts and our social values

• Cognitive / Social sciences providetheoretical & methodologicalfoundations for the study of humanbehavior

• Problems of changing behavior hasalways been an issue, but now we havebetter methods for investigation

• It isn’t sufficient to use the methodswithout understanding the rationale

Page 6: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

What is Cognitive Science?

Multidisciplinary field incorporatingtheories and methods frompsychology, linguistics, philosophy,anthropology, and computer sciencein the investigation of cognitiveprocesses in humans and machines

Patel, V.L., Arocha, J.F. & Kaufman, D.R (2001) A Primer on Aspects of Cognition for Medical Informatics.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association. 8; 324-343.

Page 7: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Cognitive Research

• Investigates psychological processesunderlying performance via an in-depthanalysis of cognitive steps that lead toobservable behavior

• Methodology: focus on understandingknowledge structures and mentalprocesses in cognitive activity

Page 8: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Typical Methods

• Naturalistic Field Studies: Ethnography• Participant Observation• Use of think aloud protocols• Study of Naturally Occurring Discourse:

Discourse analyses• Interviews: semi-structured

questionnaires• Case Studies• Video recordings

Page 9: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Methods of Analysis• Task and activity analysis• Representations of ideas and concepts

(Propositional)• Meaningful relations between ideas and

concepts (Semantic), higher levelunderstanding (conceptual), and contextsensitive (pragmatic) representations

• Dialogue analysis for team communication• Protocol analysis• Usability analyses

Page 10: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

From Cognitive Scienceto Medical Cognition

Cognitive ScienceTheory

• Memory• Knowledge

Organization• Problem Solving• Heuristics/Strategies• Computational

Theory of Mind

Medical CognitionConceptual Frameworks

• Medical Problem Solving• Organization of Clinical

and Basic-ScienceKnowledge

• Diagnostic ReasoningStrategies

• Medical Decision Making

Page 11: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

From Medical Cognition toBiomedical Informatics

Medical Cognition• Medical Problem Solving• Organization of

Knowledge• Diagnostic Reasoning

Strategies• Medical Decision Making• Text Comprehension and

Problem Representation• Development of Medical

Expertise• Medical Discourse

Biomedical Informatics• Knowledge and Data

Representation• Management of Medical

Information• Human-Computer

Interaction• Cognitive Models for

Enhancing DecisionSupport

• Cognitive Assessment ofUsability and Interfaces

• Targeted Training

Page 12: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Clinical Applications and Cognition

• Nature of Expertise andHeuristic Reasoning

• Effects of technology onReasoning

• Clinical decision making andmedical errors

Page 13: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Reference

• Patel, V.L., Arocha, J.F. & Kaufman, D.R. (1994)Diagnostic Reasoning and Expertise. The Psychologyof Learning and Motivation: Advances in Researchand Theory, 31, 137-252.

Page 14: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Forward-Directed Reasoning:An Example

Unemployed young male presents with fever, rigor,and chills. A puncture wound is observed on his arm.

UnemployedYoung Male

PunctureWound

IntravenousDrug User

ContaminatedNeedle Infection

Data Hypothesis

Page 15: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Backward-Directed Reasoning:An Example

Elderly woman presents with signs of myxedema. She alsopresents with respiratory failure, which is unexplained for bymyxedema.

Data Hypothesis

RespiratoryFailure Hypoventilation Hypometabolic

State

Myxedema

Page 16: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Case Interpretation by a Novice45 yr.-old

male

MyocardialInfarction

4-hour hx of chest pain

central, crushing chest pain

faintness

sweating

mild cough

OtherDiagnosis

Page 17: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Case Interpretation by an Intermediate45 yr.-old

male

MyocardialInfarction

4-hour hx of chest pain

central, crushing chest painfaintness

sweating

mild cough

OtherDiagnoses

Page 18: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Case Interpretation by an Advanced Subject

45 yr.-old male

MyocardialInfarction

4-hour hx of chest pain

central, crushing chest painfaintness

sweating

mild cough

OtherDiagnoses

AorticDissection asymmetric BP

Page 19: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Constraints on Decision Making• Cognitive

– Memory– Knowledge– Inferences– Strategies

• Socio-Cultural– Group norms– Policies and Practices

• Organizational/Situational– Environmental– Team and Resources

Page 20: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Clinical Applications and Cognition

• Nature of Expertise andHeuristic Reasoning

• Effects of technology onReasoning

• Clinical decision making andmedical errors

Page 21: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Effect of an EMR System onHuman Cognition

• Transition from paper records to EMRand back to paper record

• Impact on knowledge organization,reasoning

• Information and other technologiesare not merely tools to expedite,facilitate and enable the execution oftask

Patel V, Kushniruk A,Yang S,Yale J-F, Impact of a computer-based patient record system on data collection,knowledgeorganization and reasoning. JAMIA,7(6)569-85,2001

Page 22: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Category of Information Hand-WrittenPatient Record

Computer-BasedPatient Record

1. Chief Complaint 10 282. Past Medical History 13 133. Life Style 33 194. Psychological Profile 10 115. Family History 7 146. History of Present Illness 55 277. Review of Systems 52 88. Physical Examination 60 559. Diagnosis 14 910. Investigation 29 1711. Treatment 21 24

TOTAL ENTRIES 304 225

Information in EMR and Hand-WrittenRecords

Page 23: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

First section from paper-based record (Pre-EMR)

74 year old woman, whose diagnosis was made inFebruary, as she complained of polyuria/nocturiaand fatigue for a few years. She was told hersugar was very high and she was sent to Dr. K.,who started her on Diabeta 5 mg/d and sent her toDr. S. in ophthalmology who reported normalretina. She lost weight, her polyuria improved, herbladder urgency got better, and her glucosevalues improved dramatically. She does nomonitoring at home. She had to be hospitalizedfor an ankle fracture after falling on ice, for 3months. At follow-up, Dr. K. seemed pleased withthe results.

Page 24: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

First Section from Electronic Medical Record(EMR)

CHIEF COMPLAINT: Type II diabetes mellitus

PERSONAL HISTORYSURGICAL: cholecystectomy: Age 60 years old

MEDICAL: hypothyroidism: asymptomatic since 25 years

LIFE STYLEMEDICATION

DIABETA (Tab 2.5 MG)Sig: 1 tab(s) Oral before breakfast

SYNTHROID (Tab 0.125 MG)Sig: 1 tab(s) Oral before breakfast

HABITS: smoking: 0 alcohol: 0

Page 25: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

First Section from Paper-Based Record(Post-EMR)

Diabetes type I X age 4Currently on N54 - N28

R6 - R2 Measure with OT IIGlucose levels: <130 130-180 >180

AM IIIIIII IIIIIIIIIIIIIII Lunch Supper IIIIIIIIII Bedtime IIIIIIIII IIIIIIIIIIII

Last HbA1C since April 96: 7.4/7.2/6.7/6.6/8.9 - highervalues in log book

Retinopathy: NIL March 97Nephropathy: NIL Oct. 96

Page 26: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Electronic Medical Record Return to Paper Record

Same as EMR!

Multiple Hypotheses

HypothesesPatient Data

Diagnostic Reasoning

Patient Data

Paper Record

Page 27: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

SYSTEMSLEVEL

DIAGNOSTICLEVEL

INTERMEDIATECONSTRUCT

FINDINGLEVEL

OBSERVATIONLEVEL

C1 C2

D1 D2 D3

FA1 FA2 FA3 FA4 FA5

F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F6 F7 F8 F9

O7

O8

O9

O10

O11

O12

O1

O2

O3

O4

O5

O6

+ + +

Structure ofMedical

Knowledge inProblemSolving

Page 28: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Influence of Technology onHuman Cognition

• Information and other technologies are notmerely tools to expedite, facilitate and enablethe execution of tasks They have profound and enduring

consequences• Optimal design requires sensitivity to internal

organization of concepts by human beings Utility and acceptance depend on

designer’s recognition that the system is amediator of cognition (re-organizescognition)

Page 29: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Clinical Applications and Cognition

• Nature of Expertise andHeuristic Reasoning

• Effects of technology onReasoning

• Clinical decision making andmedical errors

Page 30: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Some References

• Patel, V.L., Kaufman, D.A., Arocha, J.F. (2002)Emerging Paradigms of Cognition and MedicalDecision Making, Journal of Biomedical Informatics,35, 52-75.

• Patel, V.L., Arocha, J.F., & Zhang, J. (2005). Thinkingand reasoning in medicine. In K.J. Holyoak & R.G.Morrison (Eds.), Handbook of thinking and reasoning(pp. 2298-2538). Cambridge: Cambridge UniversityPress.

Page 31: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Studying Decision MakingClassical Approach:• Adopts normative or rational

decision models• Models tend to be

prescriptive• Any systematic deviations

from normative standardsare seen as decision biases

Page 32: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

New Framework: Expanding theScope of Decision Making

• More descriptively adequateaccount of decision making

• Explain adaptive as well assuboptimal characteristics ofdecision makers

• Decisions embedded in abroader social andtechnological context

Page 33: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Progress and Occurrence of Medical Error

Near Miss

Boundary

Normal Routine

Adverse EventReport

Death

Boundary

Page 34: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

• Need a better understanding ofcognitive and situational demands oncompetent performance of clinicians inteam work

• Must recognize that acquiringexpertise implies developing an abilityto adapt flexibly to ever changingcomplex situations

• Need baseline information on howclinicians make decisions in theireveryday tasks

Clinical Cognition:Implications for Informatics

Page 35: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Cognition in the Wild

• Distributed cognition• External and Internal resourses

Cohen, T., Blatter, B., Almeida, C., Shortliffe, E., &Patel, V. (in press). Distributed cognition in thePsychiatric Emergency Department: A cognitiveblueprint of a collaboration in context. ArtificialIntelligence in Medicine.

Page 36: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Shadowing of medicalteam personnel during‘Crucial Periods’ pertinentto the individual.

Mapping the activities to theICU/ER layout and time-stamping each interaction orevent.

Conducting brief interviews to gaininsight on infrastructure, roles,shifts, timings.

Obtaining log files of the clinicalinformation systems andattempting correlation withobservational data.

Specific Methods

Page 37: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Distributed Cognition

• Cockpits, navigation• Shift in focus

A solitary individual

Groups of individuals in context

Page 38: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Collaborative Cognition1. Team members2. RepresentationDATA

DATADATA

3. Data sourcesMultiple

Page 39: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Intellectual Partnership

• Distributed cognition– Human-computer interaction analysis paradigm

PDA• Knowledge residespartly in theenvironment

Page 40: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Intellectual Partnership

Coordinating Coordinating internalinternal (user (user’’s mind) ands mind) andexternalexternal (interface, environment) resources (interface, environment) resources

PDA

Page 41: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Resident 1

Attending 1

Social worker

Cognition Distributed Across Time

Nurse

Attending 2

Resident 2

Attending 1

Resident 4

Nurse

Social worker

DURATION OF STAY

Night Resident

Night Nurse

Page 42: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Mobile Crisis

“Area B”core ‘mini-team’

Cognition Distributed Across Teams

Family

Managed Care Liaison

Security

Inpatient Admission

OPD

PatientNurse

Resident

Attending

SW/PSAC

Homeless Outreach

NYPD

Page 43: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Night NurseNurseNurse

DURATION OF STAY

Resident 1

Attending 1

Social worker

Bridging by External Representation

Attending 2

Night Resident

Resident 3

Attending 1

chart chart chart

Page 44: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Limitations ofNaturalistic Decision Making

• Massive amount of data• Labor intensive analysis• No specific standard to evaluate

against• Limited generalizability• Bench to Bedside needs also to

include Bedside to Bench

Page 45: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Conclusions

• Normative models, despite grandcontributions, cannot accuratelydescribe the complexity of real-lifedecision making.

• A more descriptive naturalisticapproaches contribute significantlyto overcome this limitation

• A broader framework to include boththe approaches is proposed

Page 46: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Some Lessons• It is human to make errors, but we also learn

from errors• Challenge is to reduce errors while improving

our ability to recognize and correct errorsbefore they do irreparable harm

• Technology can help but also introduce newopportunities for errors

• We need a better understanding of cognitiveand situational demands on competentperformance

• We must recognize that acquiring expertiseimplies developing an ability to adapt flexiblyto ever changing situations

Page 47: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

BiomedicalInformaticsTextbook

(3rd edition)Springer Verlag - 2006

BioChapter 4:

Cognitive Science inBiomedical Informatics

—VL Patel and DR Kaufman—

Page 48: Emerging Paradigms of Cognition in Medical Decision-Making › ... › medicalthinking2006 › patel.pdf · What is Cognitive Science? Multidisciplinary field incorporating theories

Thank You

[email protected]://www.dbmi.columbia.edu/patel/


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