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Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

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Antonello Di Pardo Monitoring, studies and statistics unit [email protected] Energy in motion toward 2030 GSE WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY. WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.
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Page 1: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

Antonello Di Pardo Monitoring, studies and statistics unit [email protected]

Energy in motion toward 2030

GSE WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY. WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.

Page 2: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

2

• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING

• RES results and evolution

• RES in electricity sector: main statistics

• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES

• Support schemes timeline

• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017

• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030

• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”

Overview of the Italian renewable energy market

AGENDA

Page 3: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

EUROPEAN TARGETS FOR CLIMATE AND ENERGY

3

Page 4: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES TARGET MONITORING: WHERE WE ARE

Observed Renewable share

Renewable National Plan

17,7%

GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum 4

17,4 16,5 19,6 20,7 20,2 21,3 21,1 21,7

133,3 128,2 127,1 123,9 118,5 121,5 121,1 123,0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

RES Transport RES Heating

RES Electricity Total gross final consumptions

Page 5: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

EVOLUTION OF RES: STATISTICS

(*) preliminary data

* *

*

GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum 5

*

Page 6: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES DISTRIBUTION: PV

GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum 6

Page 7: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES DISTRIBUTION: WIND

GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum 7

Page 8: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES DISTRIBUTION: HYDROELECTRIC

GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum 8

Page 9: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES DISTRIBUTION: BIOENERGIES

9 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

Page 10: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

RES DISTRIBUTION: GEOTHERMAL

10 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

Page 11: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

11

• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING

• RES results and evolution

• RES in electricity sector: main statistics

• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES

• Support schemes timeline

• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017

• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030

• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”

Overview of the Italian renewable energy market

AGENDA

Page 12: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

HOW DID WE GET HERE? SUPPORT SCHEMES TIMELINE

CIP 6/92 (Feed in tariff)

Certificati Verdi (Green Certificates)

Conto Energia FTV (Feed in premium)

Tariffe Onnicomprensive (Feed in tariff)

Conto Energia CSP (Feed in premium)

Decreto 6 luglio 2012 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)

Decreto 23 giugno 2016 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

12 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

Page 13: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

EVOLUTION OF RES: DRIVERS

Meccanismo Incentivo medio

Conto Energia FTV 290 €/MWh

TO 210 €/MWh

INCENTIVO EX-CV 104 €/MWh

DM 6/7/2012 74 €/MWh

DM 23/6/2016 49 €/MWh

13 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

Page 14: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

14 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

EVOLUTION OF RES: IMPACTS ON INVESTMENTS AND JOBS

58

0

78

2

30

9

12

3

11

1

1.9

06

81

5

28

8

90

4

52

4

67

3

67

9

54

3.9

37

-

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

Mln

Investments

O&M costs

3.9

79

6.1

41

2.9

84

1.1

58

1.1

24

15

.39

5

9.6

77

3.7

19

11

.50

2

6.4

54

3.6

21

1.9

90

68

9

37

.65

2

-

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

40.000

JOB

S

Temporary jobs

Permanent jobs

Page 15: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

15

• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING

• RES results and evolution

• RES in electricity sector: main statistics

• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES

• Support schemes timeline

• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017

• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030

• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”

Overview of the Italian renewable energy market

AGENDA

Page 16: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

SEN

GW

Hydro Wind

Solar Geothermal

Bioenergy

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

SEN

TWh Hydro Wind

Solar Geothermal

Bioenergy

16 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

Page 17: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

EVOLUTION OF RES: THE M.D. “FER1” DRAFT

17 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

A (Wind, PV)

A-2 (PV substitution

of asbesto)

B (hydro,

sewage gas)

C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas)

770 800 80 80

A (Wind, PV)

B (hydro,

sewage gas)

C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas)

5.600 110 500

Group

Capacity (MW)

Page 18: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

FOCUS ON PAST AND FUTURE WIND AUCTIONS

18 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

?

89 89 89

66

21

127 127 127

110

70

124 115

93

66

96 103

89

75

63 52

43

72

124 124 124

108

69

2012 session 2013 session 2014 session 2016 session 2019 session

€/M

Wh

Possible range Base tariff Min admitted reduction Max admitted reduction Energy price

Page 20: Energy in motion toward 2030 - GSE

THANK YOU

MOVING ENERGIES


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