Enhancing Freight Mobility?
1
José Holguín-Veras,
William H. Hart Professor
Director of the VREF Center of Excellence
for Sustainable Urban Freight Systems
Enhancing Freight Mobility? Correction: No, We Need to
Enhance the Economy…
The CoE-SUFS
2
New York City,
Albany, USA
Santo Domingo,
Dominican
Republic
Barranquilla,
Bogotá,
Medellín,
Colombia
Osaka,
Japan
Chennai,
India
Mumbai,
India
Beijing,
China
Shanghai,
Nanjing,
China
Rotterdam, Netherlands
Abu Dhabi, United
Arab Emirates
Melbourne,
Australia
London, UK
Singapore,
Singapore
Santander, Spain
Sao Paulo and
Belo Horizonte,
Brazil
Pretoria,
South Africa
Toronto, CA
Gothenburg, Sweden
Rome,
Bologna,
Italy
Delhi,
India
México City,
México
“It ain't what you don't know that gets you in trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.”
Mark Twain
Freight …. The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly
(and the Key)
A complex system, complex impacts…
The Good Freight activity is the key physical
expression of the economy
Impeding freight activity Impeding the economy…
New York City, US 45 kg/person-day
Beijing, China 35 kg/person-day
Medellin, Colombia 25 kg/person-day
Port-au-Prince, Haiti 8 kg/person-day
The Bad Freight activity produces externalities
Pollution, Congestion, Pavement damage, etc.
The Ugly See JHV Principle
The key: Maximize benefits, minimize negatives
6
The JHV Principle: In complex problems,
obvious solutions are always wrong…
Industry Sectors 8
NA
ICS
Freight-intensive Sectors
(FIS)
NA
ICS
Non-freight-intensive
Sectors (non-FIS)
11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting 51 Information
21 Mining, Quarrying, Oil / Gas… 52 Finance and Insurance
22 Utilities 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
23 Construction 54 Professional,Scientific,Tech. Services
31-33 Manufacturing 55 Management of Companies /
42 Wholesale Trade 56 Administrative,Support,Waste Manag.
44-45 Retail Trade 61 Educational Services
48-49 Transportation and Warehousing 62 Health Care and Social Assistance
72 Accommodation and Food Services 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
81 Other Services
92 Public Administration
Totals for ALL MSAs: Freight Intensive Sectors 9
Number % Number %
11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing … 15,614 0.22% 142,779 0.12%
21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas 21,929 0.31% 543,042 0.46%
22 Utilities 14,643 0.21% 616,818 0.52%
23 Construction 613,873 8.72% 6,240,668 5.25%
31-33 Manufacturing 271,633 3.86% 10,606,778 8.93%
42 Wholesale Trade 397,026 5.64% 6,301,619 5.31%
44-45 Retail Trade 990,533 14.07% 16,475,243 13.87%
48-49 Transport and Warehousing 195,853 2.78% 4,276,935 3.60%
72 Accommodation and Food Services 633,191 9.00% 13,494,478 11.36%
Sub-Total 3,154,295 44.81% 58,698,360 49.42%
Establishments Employment
Freight Intensive Sectors (FIS)
NAICS Description
45% of commercial establishments are in FIS…
About half the employment depends on freight deliveries and
services…
Large Traffic Generators… 10
In Manhattan:
- 80 buildings and large traffic generators produce
4-8% of the total freight traffic…
- Restaurants and drinking places (10,000) produce four times the
freight traffic produced by the port…
FTG at Metro/Micro-politan Areas 11
0
500
1000
1500
0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 15 17.5 20
Th
ou
san
ds
Population (Millions)
Total FTG
Total of establishments
Total employment
FTG = 0.065 * Population
FTG = 2.517 * Establishments
FTG = 0.154 * Employment
The Severity of the Problem in Developing Countries
Funded by the Inter-American Development Bank:
“Methodology to Analyze and Quantify the Impacts of
Congestion on Supply Chains in Latin-American Cities”
Santiago, Chile – Typical Congestion 13
0.00
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
800,000.00
0.0
06
.59
9.5
71
1.0
71
1.2
11
4.8
11
7.9
71
8.6
81
8.7
82
1.3
62
2.5
32
4.0
62
5.1
92
6.6
83
0.4
63
4.0
13
8.1
34
5.0
05
1.8
8
CO
ST
($
)
DISTANCE (km)
Additional Time Additional Cost
This Route 0.91 hours (34%) 57%
City Min 0.02 (3%) 2%
City Max 5.23 (69%) 167%
City Average 1.12 (38%) 43%
Santiago, Chile – Typical Congestion 14
Sao Paulo, Brazil – Typical Congestion 15
Additional Time Additional Cost
This Route 3.59 hours (50%) 89%
City Min 0.09 (2%) 11%
City Max 4.72 (65%) 210%
City Average 2.82 (39%) 93%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Cost
Distance (km)
Sao Paulo, Brazil – Typical Congestion Costs 16
What Could Be Done To Foster Sustainable Urban Freight Systems in
Developing Countries?
17
From NCFRP Report 33
“Improving Freight System Performance in Metropolitan Areas”
A lot, many initiatives underused, many actors… 18
Fed
eral govern
men
t C
ity g
overn
men
t
Ship
per
s
State g
overn
men
t C
arri
ers:
Air
,
truck
ing, ra
il
Rec
eiver
s
Oth
er u
sers
: ca
rs,
buse
s, b
ikes
…
Com
mu
nit
ies
Enviro
nm
ental
agen
cies P
orts,
airports…
Planning Guide: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/ncfrp/ncfrp_rpt_033.pdf
Interactive version: http://coe-sufs.org/wordpress/ncfrp33/
Initiative Selector: http://coe-sufs.org/wordpress/InitiativeSelector/
FTG Estimator: https://coe-sufs.org/wordpress/ncfrp33/appendix/ftg/
NCFRP 33: Improving Freight Systems… 14
Thanks!