Page 1
Past
, Pre
sent
, and
Fu
ture
Chal
leng
es &
Opp
ortu
nitie
s fo
r N
C Co
mm
unity
Col
lege
sAu
gust
17,
201
7
Rebe
cca
Tipp
ett
Dire
ctor
, Car
olin
a D
emog
raph
y
Pres
enta
tion
Top
ics
1.En
rollm
ent T
rend
s
2.At
tain
men
t Tre
nds
3.Ba
sic
Skill
s
4.Co
ntin
uing
Edu
catio
n &
Cur
ricul
um
5.Pr
ojec
tions
6.O
ppor
tuni
ties
& C
halle
nges
Enro
llmen
t Tr
ends
438,
000
0
200,
000
400,
000
600,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
NCC
C en
rollm
ent d
own
from
pea
k le
vels
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 fo
r all
NCC
C pr
ogra
m ty
pes,
200
1-15
Tota
l NCC
C Fa
ll En
rollm
ents Attachment PLAN 01
1 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 2
552,
000
in 2
009
438,
000
0
200,
000
400,
000
600,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
NCC
C en
rollm
ent d
own
from
pea
k le
vels
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 fo
r all
NCC
C pr
ogra
m ty
pes,
200
1-15
Tota
l NCC
C Fa
ll En
rollm
ents
552,
000
in 2
009
438,
000
0
200,
000
400,
000
600,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
-115
,000
or
-21%
sinc
e 20
09
NCC
C en
rollm
ent d
own
21%
from
pea
k le
vels
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 fo
r all
NCC
C pr
ogra
m ty
pes,
200
1-15
Tota
l NCC
C Fa
ll En
rollm
ents
267,
000
0
200,
000
400,
000
600,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
UN
C &
Pri
vate
En
rollm
ents
Fall
enro
llmen
t for
non
-NCC
C pr
ogra
ms
has
held
ste
ady
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 fo
r all
prog
ram
type
s, 2
001-
15
Tota
l NCC
C Fa
ll En
rollm
ents
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
All N
CCC
enro
llmen
t typ
es d
own
from
pea
k le
vels
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe, 2
001-
15
Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)
Basi
c Sk
ills
(BS)
Attachment PLAN 01
2 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 3
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
2015
hig
hest
yea
r of
UN
Cen
rollm
ents
sin
ce 2
001
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe, 2
001-
15
UN
C
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
Priv
ate
enro
llmen
ts d
own
slig
htly
from
201
1 pe
akFa
ll he
adco
unt o
f stu
dent
s ag
es 1
8-64
by
prog
ram
type
, 200
1-15
Priv
ates
0
50,0
00
100,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
Few
er fo
r-pr
ofit
enro
llmen
ts m
ain
driv
er o
f pri
vate
dec
line
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe, 2
001-
15
Non
-Pro
fitPr
ivat
e
For-
Prof
itPr
ivat
e
2015
fall
enro
llmen
ts b
elow
pea
k fo
r al
l exc
ept U
NC
Diff
eren
ce b
etw
een
2015
fall
head
coun
t (18
-64)
and
pea
k 20
01-1
5 en
rollm
ent b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe
-76,
800
-40,
500
-32,
300
0-8
00-2
,500
CC-C
ECC
-BS
CC-C
UU
NC
Priv
ate,
Non
-Pro
fitFo
r-Pr
ofit
Attachment PLAN 01
3 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 4
Cont
inui
ng e
duca
tion
pro
gram
s ha
d la
rges
t num
eric
dro
pD
iffer
ence
bet
wee
n 20
15 fa
ll he
adco
unt (
8-64
) and
pea
k 20
01-1
5 en
rollm
ent b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe
-76,
800
-40,
500
-32,
300
0-8
00-2
,500
CC-C
ECC
-BS
CC-C
UU
NC
Priv
ate,
Non
-Pro
fitFo
r-Pr
ofit
Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Basi
c sk
ills
had
larg
est p
erce
ntag
e de
crea
sePe
rcen
t diff
eren
ce b
etw
een
2015
fall
head
coun
t (18
-64)
and
pea
k 20
01-1
5 en
rollm
ent b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe
-28%
-50%
-14%
0%-1
%
-14%
CC-C
ECC
-BS
CC-C
UU
NC
Priv
ate,
Non
-Pro
fitFo
r-Pr
ofit
Basi
c Sk
ills
(BS)
Att
ainm
ent
Tren
ds76
6K1M
2.3M
2.2M
3.2M
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
PSD
Elig
ible
AA+
<HS
Stea
dy in
crea
ses
in n
umbe
r of
PSD
elig
ible
sin
ce 1
990
Adul
ts (1
8-64
) by
educ
atio
nal a
ttai
nmen
t, 19
90-2
015
Attachment PLAN 01
4 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 5
12%
20% 8%
41%
13%
61%
59%
49%
43%
33%
26%
21%
43%
16%
55%
Blac
k
Amer
ican
Indi
an
Whi
te
His
pani
c
Asia
n
<HS
PSDE
AA+
Shar
e of
BS&
PSD
elig
ible
adu
lts
vari
es b
y ra
ce/e
thni
city
Educ
atio
nal a
ttai
nmen
t of N
C ad
ults
(18-
64) b
y ra
ce/e
thni
city
, 201
5
16%
21% 12
%
25%
8%
77%
76%
70%
68%
68%
7%
4% 18%
7%
25%
Blac
k
Amer
Ind
Whi
te
His
pani
c
Asia
n
<HS
PSDE
AA+
Less
var
iati
on in
BS
& P
SD e
ligib
ility
am
ong
youn
g ad
ults
Educ
atio
nal a
ttai
nmen
t of N
C yo
ung
adul
ts (1
8-24
) by
race
/eth
nici
ty, 2
015
Basi
c Sk
ills
40,3
50
0
50,0
00
100,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
40.4
K st
uden
ts e
nrol
led
in B
asic
Ski
lls in
201
5Fa
ll he
adco
unt o
f stu
dent
s ag
es 1
8-64
enr
olle
d in
Bas
ic S
kills
, 200
1-15
BS F
all
Enro
llmen
ts
Attachment PLAN 01
5 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 6
80,8
50in
200
1
40,3
50
0
50,0
00
100,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
40.4
K st
uden
ts e
nrol
led
in B
asic
Ski
lls in
201
5, h
alf 2
001
peak
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 e
nrol
led
in B
asic
Ski
lls, 2
001-
15
BS F
all
Enro
llmen
ts76
6K
1M
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
BS e
ligib
le
(<H
S)
Stea
dy d
eclin
e in
num
ber
of B
S el
igib
le s
ince
199
0N
umbe
r of a
dults
(18-
64) w
ithou
t a H
S di
plom
a or
GED
, 199
0-20
15
23%
12%
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
% B
S el
igib
le
Popu
lati
on s
hare
BS
elig
ible
nea
rly
halv
ed s
ince
199
0Po
pula
tion
shar
e of
adu
lts (1
8-64
) with
out a
HS
dipl
oma
or G
ED, 1
990-
2015
8.8%
in 2
009
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
NCC
C en
rolli
ng fe
wer
elig
ible
adu
lts
in B
S pr
ogra
ms
Shar
e of
adu
lts (1
8-64
) with
out a
HS
dipl
oma
or G
ED e
nrol
led
in B
S pr
ogra
m, 2
001-
2015
% B
S el
igib
le
enro
lled
in
NCC
C
Attachment PLAN 01
6 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 7
Youn
g ad
ults
com
pris
e sm
alle
r sh
are
of B
S en
rollm
ents
Age
com
posi
tion
of C
C-BS
Fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2001
vs
2015
43%
31%
27%
31%
30%
38%
2001
2015
18-2
425
-34
35-6
4
42%
of b
asic
ski
lls
elig
ible
adu
lts w
ere
fem
ale
in 2
015
52%
of b
asic
ski
lls
enro
lled
adul
ts w
ere
fem
ale
in 2
015
67%
54%
44%
43%
29%
26%
25%
22%
15%
25%
29%
4%5%
5%
1990
2000
2010
2015
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cO
ther
In 1
990,
maj
orit
y of
BS
elig
ible
wer
e w
hite
or b
lack
Race
/eth
nic
com
posi
tion
of B
S el
igib
le a
dult
(18-
64) p
opul
atio
n in
NC,
sel
ect y
ears
, 199
0-20
15
Attachment PLAN 01
7 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 8
Toda
y, 3
in 1
0 BS
elig
ible
adu
lts
are
His
pani
cRa
ce/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
BS
elig
ible
adu
lt (1
8-64
) pop
ulat
ion
in N
C, s
elec
t yea
rs, 1
990-
2015
67%
54%
44%
43%
29%
26%
25%
22%
15%
25%
29%
4%5%
5%
1990
2000
2010
2015
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cO
ther
Elig
ible
bla
ck a
dult
s m
ore
likel
y to
enr
oll i
n CC
-BS
prog
ram
sRa
ce/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
BS
elig
ible
adu
lts (1
8-64
) vs.
CC-
BS F
all e
nrol
lmen
ts, 2
015
43%
22%
29%
5%
31%
32%
30%
6%
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cO
ther
BS E
ligib
leBS
Enr
ollm
ent*
*am
ong
thos
e re
port
ing
race
/eth
nici
ty
Cont
inui
ng E
duca
tion
&
Cur
ricu
lum
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
Cont
inui
ng E
duca
tion
enr
ollm
ents
at 1
5-ye
ar lo
wFa
ll he
adco
unt o
f stu
dent
s ag
es 1
8-64
enr
olle
d in
Con
tinui
ng E
duca
tion
prog
ram
s, 2
001-
2015
Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Attachment PLAN 01
8 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 9
236,
400
204,
100
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Rece
ssio
n
Curr
icul
umen
rollm
ents
dow
n -1
4% o
r -3
2K fr
om 2
010
peak
Fall
head
coun
t of s
tude
nts
ages
18-
64 e
nrol
led
in C
E or
CU
pro
gram
s, 2
001-
2015
Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)
2.2M
3.2M
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
PSD
Elig
ible
Stea
dy in
crea
ses
in n
umbe
r of
PSD
elig
ible
sin
ce 1
990
Popu
latio
n sh
are
of a
dults
(18-
64) w
ith H
S/G
ED b
ut n
o po
stse
cond
ary
degr
ee, 1
990-
2015
52%
51%
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
% P
SD
elig
ible
But l
ittl
e ch
ange
insh
are
PSD
elig
ible
sin
ce 1
990
Popu
latio
n sh
are
of a
dults
(18-
64) w
ith H
S/G
ED b
ut n
o po
stse
cond
ary
degr
ee, 1
990-
2015
52%
53%
51%
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
% P
SD
elig
ible
And
prop
orti
on P
SD e
ligib
le h
as d
eclin
ed s
ince
201
0 pe
akPo
pula
tion
shar
e of
adu
lts (1
8-64
) with
HS/
GED
but
no
post
seco
ndar
y de
gree
, 199
0-20
15
Attachment PLAN 01
9 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 10
7.4%
6.4%
10.6
%
6.1%
2000
2005
2010
2015
Year
NCC
C en
rolli
ng fe
wer
elig
ible
adu
lts
in C
U&
CE
prog
ram
sSh
are
of a
dults
(18-
64) w
ith H
S/G
ED b
ut n
o PS
D e
nrol
led
inCU
orCE
, 200
1-20
15
% P
SDE
enro
lled
in
CE
% in
CU
Maj
orit
y of
CU
enr
ollm
ents
in 2
015
wer
e yo
ung
adul
tsAg
e co
mpo
sitio
n of
CC-
CU F
all e
nrol
lmen
ts (1
8-64
), 20
01 v
s 20
15
47%56
%
26%
25%
27%20
%
2001
2015
18-2
425
-34
35-6
4
22%
17%
28%
27%
50%
55%
2001
2015
18-2
425
-34
35-6
4
Maj
orit
y of
CE
enro
llmen
ts a
re a
dult
s 35
-64
Age
com
posi
tion
of C
C-CE
Fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2001
vs
2015
49%
of p
osts
econ
dary
de
gree
elig
ible
adu
lts
wer
e fe
mal
ein
201
5
Attachment PLAN 01
10 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 11
50%
of C
U o
r CE
enro
llees
wer
e fe
mal
ein
20
15
60%
of C
urri
culu
men
rolle
es w
ere
fem
ale
in
2015
40%
of C
onti
nuin
g Ed
ucat
ion
enro
llees
w
ere
fem
ale
in 2
015
Blac
k&
His
pani
cad
ults
gro
win
g sh
are
of P
SD e
ligib
leRa
ce/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
PSD
elig
ible
adu
lt (1
8-64
) pop
ulat
ion
in N
C, s
elec
t yea
rs, 1
990-
2015
77%
71%
65%
61%
21%
23%
25%
26%
3%7%
7%
1990
2000
2010
2015
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cO
ther
Attachment PLAN 01
11 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 12
66%
23%
5%
1%2%
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cAm
eric
an In
dian
Asia
n
NCC
C CU
/CE
part
icip
ants
are
incr
easi
ngly
div
erse
Raci
al/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
CU
& C
E Fa
ll en
rollm
ents
(18-
64),
2001
58%
23%
9%
2%2%
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cAm
eric
an In
dian
Asia
n
NCC
C CU
/CE
part
icip
ants
are
incr
easi
ngly
div
erse
Raci
al/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
CU
& C
E Fa
ll en
rollm
ents
(18-
64),
2015
-8%
+4%
58%
23%
9%
2%2%
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cAm
eric
an In
dian
Asia
n
NCC
C CU
/CE
part
icip
ants
are
incr
easi
ngly
div
erse
Raci
al/e
thni
c co
mpo
sitio
n of
CU
& C
E Fa
ll en
rollm
ents
(18-
64),
2001
vs.
201
5El
igib
le H
ispa
nic
adul
ts m
ore
likel
y to
enr
oll i
n CU
/CE
Race
/eth
nic
com
posi
tion
of P
SD e
ligib
le a
dults
(18-
64) v
s. C
U/C
E Fa
ll en
rollm
ents
, 201
5
61%
26%
7%5%
62%
24%
10%
4%
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cO
ther
CU/C
E El
igib
leCU
/CE
Enro
llmen
t**a
mon
g th
ose
repo
rtin
g ra
ce/e
thni
city
Attachment PLAN 01
12 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 13
Proj
ecti
ons
Inte
nt to
att
end
com
mun
ity
colle
ge v
arie
s ac
ross
sta
teSh
are
of N
C H
S gr
adua
tes
inte
ndin
g to
att
end
com
mun
ity c
olle
ge o
r tec
hnic
al s
choo
l, 20
15
Dat
a So
urce
: U.S
. Cen
sus
Bure
au
CC in
tere
st h
ighe
st in
are
as w
ith
slow
gro
wth
or
decl
ines
Popu
latio
n gr
owth
, 201
0-20
15Cu
rric
ulum
enro
llmen
ts m
ay m
atch
201
0 pe
ak in
202
2O
bser
ved
and
proj
ecte
d fa
ll en
rollm
ents
(18-
64) b
y pr
ogra
m ty
pe, 2
001-
2036
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)
Attachment PLAN 01
13 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 14
Cont
inui
ng E
d. e
nrol
lmen
ts w
ill n
ever
mat
ch 2
001
peak
Obs
erve
d an
d pr
ojec
ted
fall
enro
llmen
ts (1
8-64
) by
prog
ram
type
, 200
1-20
36
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Basi
c Sk
ills
enro
llmen
ts w
on’t
exce
ed 6
0K in
com
ing
deca
des
Obs
erve
d an
d pr
ojec
ted
fall
enro
llmen
ts (1
8-64
) by
prog
ram
type
, 200
1-20
36
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Basi
c Sk
ills
(BS)
0
100,
000
200,
000
300,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
Number of Fall Enrollments
Year
2011
-15
ACS
And
thes
epr
ojec
tion
sm
ay b
e op
tim
isti
cFa
ll he
adco
unt o
f stu
dent
s ag
es 1
8-64
by
prog
ram
type
, 200
1-15
Cont
inui
ng
Educ
atio
n (C
E)
Curr
icul
um
(CU
)
Basi
c Sk
ills
(BS)
PSD
E, B
SE,a
nd N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts w
ill g
row
mor
e sl
owly
than
to
tal p
opul
atio
nPr
ojec
ted
perc
enta
ge c
hang
e in
sel
ecte
d po
pula
tions
(18-
64),
2016
-203
6
14%
12%
11%
9%
Tota
l Pop
ulat
ion
PSD
Elig
ible
BS E
ligib
leAn
y N
CCC
Enro
llmen
ts
Attachment PLAN 01
14 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 15
PSD
E, B
SE,a
nd N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts w
ill g
row
mor
e sl
owly
than
to
tal p
opul
atio
nPr
ojec
ted
num
eric
cha
nge
in s
elec
ted
popu
latio
ns (1
8-64
), 20
16-2
036
+867
K
+374
K
+84K
+46K
Tota
l Pop
ulat
ion
PSD
Elig
ible
BS E
ligib
leAn
y N
CCC
Enro
llmen
ts
Stat
ewid
e, N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts w
ill in
crea
se fr
om 2
016
leve
ls
Proj
ecte
d fa
ll N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts (1
8-64
) as
perc
enta
ge c
hang
e fr
om 2
016,
201
6-20
36
STAT
E+9
%
-8%0%8%16%
24%
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
% Change from 2016
Year
Butt
rend
s w
ill v
ary
by r
egio
nPr
ojec
ted
fall
NCC
C en
rollm
ents
(18-
64) a
s pe
rcen
tage
cha
nge
from
201
6, 2
016-
2036
-8%0%8%16%
24%
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
% Change from 2016
Year
STAT
E+9
%
Fast
-gro
win
g m
etro
are
as w
ill o
utpa
ce s
tate
gro
wth
Proj
ecte
d fa
ll N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts (1
8-64
) as
perc
enta
ge c
hang
e fr
om 2
016,
201
6-20
36
-8%0%8%16%
24%
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
% Change from 2016
Year
Sout
hwes
t+2
1%N
orth
Cent
ral
+19%
Sout
heas
t12
%
Attachment PLAN 01
15 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 16
Dec
lines
in a
reas
wit
hle
gacy
ofm
anuf
actu
ring
,agr
icul
ture
Proj
ecte
d fa
ll N
CCC
enro
llmen
ts (1
8-64
) as
perc
enta
ge c
hang
e fr
om 2
016,
201
6-20
36
-8%0%8%16%
24%
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
% Change from 2016
Year
Nor
thea
st-5
%
Sand
hills
-2%
Nor
thw
est
-6%
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
Rang
e of
exp
erie
nces
proj
ecte
dac
ross
58
syst
em s
choo
lsN
umbe
r of C
omm
unity
Col
lege
s by
pro
ject
ed c
hang
e in
tota
l fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2016
vs.
203
6
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
Maj
orit
y of
NCC
C sc
hool
s w
ill s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t dec
lines
Num
ber o
f Com
mun
ity C
olle
ges
by p
roje
cted
cha
nge
in to
tal f
all e
nrol
lmen
ts (1
8-64
), 20
16 v
s. 2
036
57%
of s
choo
ls w
illha
vefe
wer
18-6
4 ye
ar-o
lds
enro
lled
in 2
036
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
Maj
orit
y of
NCC
C sc
hool
s w
ill s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t dec
lines
Num
ber o
f Com
mun
ity C
olle
ges
by p
roje
cted
cha
nge
in to
tal f
all e
nrol
lmen
ts (1
8-64
), 20
16 v
s. 2
036
Larg
est p
erce
ntag
e de
clin
es:
-22%
Hal
ifax
CC-2
1% M
artin
CC
Larg
est n
umer
ic d
eclin
es:
-930
Sur
ry C
C-8
70H
alifa
xCC
-860
Nas
h CC
-850
Faye
ttev
ille
Tech
nica
lCC
Attachment PLAN 01
16 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 17
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
Maj
orit
y of
NCC
C sc
hool
s w
ill s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t dec
lines
Num
ber o
f Com
mun
ity C
olle
ges
by p
roje
cted
cha
nge
in to
tal f
all e
nrol
lmen
ts (1
8-64
), 20
16 v
s. 2
036
Larg
est p
erce
ntag
e de
clin
es:
-22%
Hal
ifax
CC-2
1% M
artin
CC
Larg
est n
umer
ic d
eclin
es:
-930
Sur
ry C
C-8
70H
alifa
xCC
-860
Nas
h CC
-850
Faye
ttev
ille
Tech
nica
lCC
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
17%
of s
choo
ls p
roje
cted
to s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t inc
reas
eby
>20
%N
umbe
r of C
omm
unity
Col
lege
s by
pro
ject
ed c
hang
e in
tota
l fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2016
vs.
203
6
43%
of s
choo
ls w
illha
vem
ore
18-6
4 ye
ar-o
lds
enro
lled
in 2
036
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
17%
of s
choo
ls p
roje
cted
to s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t inc
reas
eby
>20
%N
umbe
r of C
omm
unity
Col
lege
s by
pro
ject
ed c
hang
e in
tota
l fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2016
vs.
203
6
Larg
est p
erce
ntag
e in
crea
ses:
+43%
Bru
nsw
ick
CC+3
7% Jo
hnst
on C
C
Larg
est n
umer
ic in
crea
ses:
+11.
6K C
entr
al P
iedm
ont C
C+1
1.2K
Wak
e Te
ch C
C+3
.8K
John
ston
CC+3
.3K
Row
an-C
abar
rus
CC
10
13
10
78
10
>10%
5-10
%0-
5%0-
10%
10-2
0%>2
0%
Dec
line
Incr
ease
17%
of s
choo
ls p
roje
cted
to s
ee e
nrol
lmen
t inc
reas
eby
>20
%N
umbe
r of C
omm
unity
Col
lege
s by
pro
ject
ed c
hang
e in
tota
l fal
l enr
ollm
ents
(18-
64),
2016
vs.
203
6
Larg
est p
erce
ntag
e in
crea
ses:
+43%
Bru
nsw
ick
CC+3
7% Jo
hnst
on C
C
Larg
est n
umer
ic in
crea
ses:
+11.
6K C
entr
al P
iedm
ont C
C+1
1.2K
Wak
e Te
ch C
C+3
.8K
John
ston
CC+3
.3K
Row
an-C
abar
rus
CC
Attachment PLAN 01
17 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 18
Opp
ortu
niti
es &
Ch
alle
nges
0
250,
000 20
0120
0320
0520
0720
0920
1120
1320
15
For-
prof
its
have
att
ract
ed g
row
ing
shar
e of
deg
ree
seek
ers
Enro
llmen
ts in
CC
curr
icul
um a
nd fo
r-pr
ofit
prog
ram
s (4
-yea
r and
2-y
ear)
, 200
1-20
15
7%of
deg
ree-
seek
ing
adul
ts 3
5-64
w
ere
enro
lled
in a
for-
prof
it
Maj
orit
y of
hig
h sc
hool
gra
ds r
epor
t pos
tsec
onda
ry in
tent
Shar
e of
NC
high
sch
ool g
radu
ates
with
inte
nt to
att
end
post
seco
ndar
y by
LEA
, 201
5
Attachment PLAN 01
18 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 19
18%
of N
C hi
gh s
choo
l gr
adua
tes
met
all
4 AC
T co
llege
rea
dine
ss
benc
hmar
ksin
201
6
46%
of N
C hi
gh s
choo
l gr
adua
tes
met
zer
o AC
T co
llege
rea
dine
ss
benc
hmar
ks in
201
6
28%
20%
16%
33%
36%
63%
All C
hild
ren
Asia
nW
hite
Blac
kAm
eric
an In
dian
His
pani
c
No
Post
seco
ndar
yN
o PS
D
Man
y N
C ch
ildre
n liv
e in
hou
seho
lds
wit
h lim
ited
exp
osur
e to
po
stse
cond
ary
educ
atio
nPa
rent
al a
ttai
nmen
t for
NC
child
ren
in h
ouse
hold
s, 2
015
28%
20%
16%
33%
36%
63%
51%
36%
38%
64%
60%
79%
All C
hild
ren
Asia
nW
hite
Blac
kAm
eric
an In
dian
His
pani
c
No
Post
seco
ndar
yN
o PS
D
Man
y N
C ch
ildre
n liv
e in
hou
seho
lds
wit
h lim
ited
exp
osur
e to
po
stse
cond
ary
educ
atio
n, e
spec
ially
deg
ree
com
plet
ion
Pare
ntal
att
ainm
ent f
or N
C ch
ildre
n in
hou
seho
lds,
201
5
Attachment PLAN 01
19 SBCC 08/18/2017
Page 20
Ente
ring
stu
dent
s/w
orke
rs d
isti
nct f
rom
ret
iree
sRa
cial
/eth
nic
com
posi
tion
of N
C po
pula
tion
by s
elec
ted
age
grou
ps, 2
015
51%55
%
57%63
%72%
23%24
%24%22
%
21%
17%14
%11%10
%
3%
5%4%
Und
er 1
0
10 to
17
18 to
24
25 to
54
55 to
64
Whi
teBl
ack
His
pani
cAs
ian
Amer
ican
Indi
anO
ther
355,
000
His
pani
c ch
ildre
n in
NC
28%
20%
16%
33%
36%
63%
51%
36%
38%
64%
60%
79%
All C
hild
ren
Asia
nW
hite
Blac
kAm
eric
an In
dian
His
pani
c
No
Post
seco
ndar
yN
o PS
D
Man
y N
C ch
ildre
n liv
e in
hou
seho
lds
wit
h lim
ited
exp
osur
e to
po
stse
cond
ary
educ
atio
n, e
spec
ially
deg
ree
com
plet
ion
Pare
ntal
att
ainm
ent f
or N
C ch
ildre
n in
hou
seho
lds,
201
5
Cont
act
Rebe
cca
Tipp
ett
Dire
ctor
, Car
olin
a D
emog
raph
yrt
ippe
tt@
unc.
edu
| (9
19) 9
62-6
151
http
://de
mog
raph
y.cp
c.un
c.ed
u
Attachment PLAN 01
20 SBCC 08/18/2017
