Ensuring an American Rare Earth Value Chain:Molycorp’s Fully Integrated, Mine-To-Magnets
Manufacturing Supply ChainApril 2011 Update
Forward-Looking Statementsand Other Important Cautions
This presentation contains forward‐looking statements that represent Molycorp’s beliefs, projections and predictions about future events or Molycorp’s future performance. Forward‐looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “would,” “could,” “should,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions or phrases. These forward‐looking statements are necessarily subjective and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause Molycorp’s actual results, performance or achievements or industry results to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievement described in or implied by such statements.
Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from expected results described in forward‐looking statements include, but are not limited to: Molycorp’s ability to secure sufficient capital to implement its business plans; Molycorp’s ability to complete its modernization and expansion efforts and reach full planned production rates for rare earth oxides and other planned downstream products; uncertainties associated with Molycorp’s reserve estimates and non‐reserve deposit information; uncertainties regarding global supply and demand for rare earths materials; Molycorp’s ability to maintain appropriate relations with unions and employees; Molycorp’s ability to successfully implement its “mine‐to‐magnets” strategy; environmental laws, regulations and permits affecting Molycorp’s business, directly and indirectly, including, among others, those relating to mine reclamation and restoration, climate change, emissions to the air and water and human exposure to hazardous substances used, released or disposed of by Molycorp; and uncertainties associated with unanticipated geological conditions related to mining.
For more information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties that Molycorp may face, see the section entitled “Risk Factors” in Molycorp Quarterly Report on Form 10‐Q for the quarterly period ended December 31, 2010 filed with the SEC. Any forward‐looking statement contained in this presentation, or the Quarterly Report on Form 10‐Q , reflects Molycorp’s current views with respect to future events and Molycorp assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise these forward‐looking statements for any reason, or to update the reasons actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward‐looking statements, even if new information becomes available in the future, except as otherwise required by applicable law.
This presentation also contains statistical data and estimates obtained by Molycorp from industry publications and reports generated by third parties. Although Molycorp believes that the publications and reports are reliable, it has not independently verified such data.
THIS PRESENTATION USES THE TERM “RESOURCES” TO DESCRIBE THOSE QUANTITIES OF REE’S THAT ARE POTENTIALLY RECOVERABLE FROM ACCUMULATIONS YET TO BE DISCOVERED. BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF COMMERCIALITY AND LACK OF SUFFICIENT EXPLORATION DRILLING, THE RESOURCES CANNOT BE CLASSIFIED AS RESERVES. INVESTORS ARE ADVISED THAT THE SEC DOES NOT RECOGNIZE RESOURCES. ONLY PROBABLE AND POSSIBLE RESERVES MAY BE DISCLOSED TO INVESTORS IN AN SEC FILING. RESOURCES HAVE A GREAT AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THEIR EXISTENCE. THERE IS NO CERTAINTY THAT ANY PORTION OF THE RESOURCES WILL BE DISCOVERED AND, IF DISCOVERED, WHETHER THEY COULD BE DEVELOPED ECONOMICALLY. THEREFORE, INVESTORS ARE CAUTIONED NOT TO ASSUME THAT ALL OR ANY PART OF MOLYCORP’S RESOURCES EXIST, OR THAT THEY CAN BE DEVELOPED ECONOMICALLY. ACCORDINGLY, INFORMATION CONCERNING DESCRIPTIONS OF RESOURCES CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT COMPARABLE TO INFORMATIONINCLUDED IN SEC FILINGS.
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Lanthanum
Cerium
Praseodymium
Neodymium
Samarium
Dysprosium
Europium
Terbium
Gadolinium
Yttrium
Reduces- Weight- Emissions- Energy
consumption
Allows- Greater efficiency- Performance- Miniaturization- Speed- Durability- Thermal stability
Molycorp intends to produce all 10 of these rare earth elements commercially
Rare Earths: Key to Advanced Technologies, Properties That Are Driving Demand
Product applicationsPropertiesSignificant REEs
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Global Demand Growth Continuesto Justify Diversity of Supply
Global Rare Earths Supply and Demand (mt, REO ±20%)1
Source: IMCOA (January 2011)1 Does not reflect Molycorp’s potential to increase production to 40,000 mt of REO per year following completion of Phase 2 expansion plan, but instead reflects anticipated production of 19,050 mt of REO per year beginning in 2013
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
China Supply Molycorp Supply - Phase 1 Other Supply China Demand Adjusted Global Demand
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Chinese Exports Constraints Require a Western World Supply Response
Source: IMCOA1 Based on actual announced quotas through the first half of 2011 and IMCOA forecasts (35% reduction compared with the first half of 2010); Please refer to page 9 of the Form S-1 Registration Statement for information regarding Chinese quotas2 ROW quota deficit shows the supply deficit that would occur should no REE production outside of China comes online
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
Chinese Export Quota ROW Demand
Global Rare Earths Forecasted Deficit1
Additional demand drivers Government stockpiling Further adoption of wind turbine technology Potential for China to become a net RE importer
Global Surplus Forecast ROW Quota Deficit2
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Demand Growth: Next GenerationWind Turbines Use Rare Earths in Tons
Global commitment to increasing the presence of wind energy: U.S. EIA estimates >3x increase in installed wind
generation 2010-30 to 490GW China is estimated to have allocated >$150bn to become
the world’s wind leader Growing European use of offshore wind generation
Permanent rare earth magnets are used in generators of wind turbines Increased reliability and efficiency – reduces expensive
breakdowns and maintenance expenditures Critical element for 3MW+ and off-shore turbine segments
With the expected JV, Molycorp would have access to the raw materials, IP and technical expertise to be a world-class supplier of permanent magnets
Wind turbine demand drivers
Permanent rare earth magnet in generator
Each 3MW permanent magnet turbine requires approximately one metric ton of neodymium iron boron magnets1
61
159
249319
397
490
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2006 2010F 2015F 2020F 2025F 2030F
North America Europe Asia Other
26.346.0
8.0
26.3
54.0
2010f 2015f
Magnets Consumption Wind Turbine Impact
Source: IMCOANote: Both magnet consumption and wind turbine impact are middle of IMCOA range
Wind turbine production (GW) REO consumption for magnets (ktpa)
Source: Energy Information Administration1 IMCOA estimates each megawatt requires 0.4 tons of NdFeB magnets
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Hybrid and Electric Vehicles Demand Drivers:
Annual Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales (000’s)
Demand Growth: Rare Earths Critical For Hybrid and Electric Vehicles
Total Rare Earth Metal Alloys Consumption (ktpa)
22.3
52.0
2010f 2015fSource: IMCOA
9621,270
1,7752,247
2,5592,974
3,206
2010f 2011f 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f
Hybrid Vehicles Electric Vehicles
Intensive use of rare earths in hybrid and electric vehicles are compounding the traditional use of rare earths
Hybrid and electric vehicles contain 9-11 kgs of rare earths
Anticipated rare earth demand from hybrid and electric vehicles is estimated to grow significantly
Source: JD Power and Associates
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ObservationsOn China
1H 2011 Chinese export quotas continue 7-year downward trend; senior officials warn of declining quotas in the future.
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1
2
3
4
5
• coordinated pricing sought• environmental reforms• vertical industry consolidation being
forced.
59% of respondents think China will become a net importer of rare earths by 2015” in a Metal-Pages.com poll. Senior Chinese officials not ruling out this possibility.
Internal REE demand rising with GDP growth while Chinese production from 2005-2010 relatively stagnant
Multiple government initiatives will affect production and price levels: • hundreds of illegal mines closed• export licenses reduced• export taxes increased• VAT rebate on exports withdrawn
Implementation of strict environmental standards expected to “double production costs” (Wang Guozhen, the former VP of China Nonferrous Engineering and Research Institute)
Source: Metal-Pages.com
Market Dynamics Support Pricing
China continues to focus supply inward, despite growing ROW demand
Dramatic consolidation of Chinese rare earths industry
Existing rare earths production insufficient to meet expected market demand
National strategic stockpiling China, Japan, and S. Korea
currently stockpiling US and EU looking to
stockpile
Pricing ($/Kg) Pricing drivers
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$0.00/kg
$20.00/kg
$40.00/kg
$60.00/kg
$80.00/kg
$100.00/kg
$120.00/kg
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
200720082009 2010 2011
Weighted Avg. Oxide Price
Complex Industry with Steep Barriers to Entry
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RE projects are more complex chemical processing than mining Mining is a small, relatively straight‐forward part of process
Industry Based on Custom Products
Not commodities – REs made to individual customer specifications RE business model based on sales contracts directly to customers Require that producers have a plant producing high quality material
for use in the commercial market Without it, nearly impossible to get any form of financing
High CapitalIntensity
Molycorp project US$781MM; Lynas project capital cost US$533MM More than half of Molycorp’s total project cost is processing
Permitting and Environment
Must manage presence of uranium/thorium in ore Well‐known science but adds to cost Requires active, transparent dialogue with stakeholders
Economics of Ore Grade
Low ore grade magnifies the costs and minimizes the amount of usable end product making it uneconomical to process
Deposits with low ore grade unlikely to be economically viable
ProjectComplexity
World-Class Rare Earth Resourceat Mountain Pass, CA
58 years of operating history
Mine permit and EIR allow operations through 2040
Mining operations re-started in Dec. 2010
Construction of new processing facility underway
Plan provides for fully installed infrastructure
Water
Electricity
Natural gas pipeline
Easy access to Interstates, rail head, and California seaports
Facility is ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 certified
Estimated 30+ years mine life based on Phase 1 production plan (15+ years with Phase 2 expansion assuming no increase in recovery rates or additional exploration drilling)
198 Employees
Reserves & Resources
Source: SRK report dated April 2010Note: See disclaimer for information on reserves and resources
Category REO% k tons REO (Mlbs)
SEC Guide 7: Proven and Probable 8.24 13,588 2,210
NI 43-101: Measured & Indicated 6.68 24,341 3,251
NI 43-101: Inferred 6.32 10,446 1,320
NI 43-101 Totals 34,787 4,571
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The Roots of Molycorp’s Innovations
• Unocal and Chevron didn’t see how Mountain Pass could compete with the Chinese
• Unwilling to make the large capital investments needed upgrade Mountain Pass’s facilities
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Out of Operating permits
Low cost Chinese material
EnvironmentalIssues from
Late 90s
Challenges that Molycorp faced in 2000s:
The Roots of Molycorp’s Innovations
These objectives required that Molycorp develop and implement several new and innovative technologies at Mountain Pass.
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Be the Low Cost Producer
Create High Value use for
Cerium
Produce REs in Environmentally
Superior Manner
In 2004, Molycorp established a pathway to success in the rare earth marketplace by focusing on 3 core objectives:
INNOVATION
On‐Site Co‐Gen with Natural Gas
Near‐Zero Wastewater Discharge
EnvironmentalTechnology Breakthroughs
Large Reduction of Reagent Use
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Higher RE Recovery and Process Efficiency Breakthroughs
New Cerium‐based water filtration tech
IMPACT
Same amount of usable material from half the amount of ore
Eliminated need for wastewater ponds; recreate our own reagents
Reduced power costs, improved reliability, reduced GHG emissions
Major reduction in key variable cost
Key new market, spreads costs more effectively across portfolio of materials
1 Based on SRK production costs as of April 28, 20102 IMCOA3 Wang Guozhen, the former VP of China Nonferrous Engineering and Research Institute, indicated that China’s production costs may double as a result of
ongoing environmental reforms. Base cost numbers were not quantified. (Metal-Pages.com, Jan. 7, 2011)4 Current figure based on Lynas presentation as of 12/7/2010
China
Anticipated Cost Advantages vs. Key Competitors
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Current Average Rare Earth Oxide Production Cost (per kg)
2,3
Cost-advantaged processing drives significant commercial advantage:
High-power quality and efficient onsite natural gas co-generation
On-site reagent production and acid recycling
Process technology break-throughs
Infrastructure
$2.77
$5.58
$7.00
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
Competitors face increasing costs:
Chinese focus on reducing environmental degradation has increased cost structure
In December 2010, Lynas revised their estimated costs for the Mt. Weld project
Molycorp maintains its cost structure as the lowest in the world and may benefit from synergies in the Phase 2 expansion process
1
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$5.64(3/2010)
BreakthroughTechnologies
Water Treatment
• Lack of Clean drinking water is a global problem
• XSORBX® unique chemistry removes:
•Pathogens such as Protozoa, Fungi, Bacterial, Viruses
•Organic toxins such as Pesticides
•Heavy metals such as Arsenic, Selenium, and Chromium
• We’re developing man-portable filters togive our troops thecleanest drinking water available
Industrial Process Waste Streams
• XSORBX® ASP, Arsenic Sequestration Process employs the XSORBX®
technology in the mining and smelting industry
• Volumetric capacity for specific hazardous materials that exceeds any other commercially available product
• Studies show stable, concentrated waste could potentially be classified as non hazardous
Molycorp Deploys Incredibly Flexible Technology Focused on:
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Molycorp has Achieved Multiple Milestones Since IPO in July 2010
Fully permitted for construction (including Phase 2 expansion)
Recommenced mining operations
Started construction of Phase 1 project ahead of schedule
Commenced sales of XSORBX in 3Q 2010Access to IP to execute “mine-to-magnets” strategy Non-binding LOI with Hitachi Metals for magnets and alloys
Acquired AS Silmet, European producer of RE oxides and metals
Non-binding MOU with Sumitomo Corporation Expected to supply cerium and lanthanum-based products
at market-based prices2011 Production sold out (>4000 tons REO)Definitive agreement with W.R. Grace Supply of primarily lanthanum-oxide
Operational
Vertical Integration
Supply Agreements
Financing
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$130mm debt and equity investment in Molycorp through the Sumitomo non-binding MOUAdvanced to due diligence phase for DOE loan guarantee program ($280MM)Raised ~$200MM in mandatory convertible preferred stock offering
Near-Term Plans to Double Production Capacity
3,000
19,050
40,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Total REO Production Capacity(REO equivalent in metric tons / year)
Phase 1 Completion
Phase 2Completion
Expected production breakdown by REO
Lanthanum oxide28%Other
1%
NdPr 16%
Cerium non-metal
50%
Other Lanthanum
products (High purity
oxides and metals)
5%
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Current
3,000-5,000
Acquisitions, Proposed JVs Provide Technology, Experience Enabling
Mine-to-Magnets Supply Chain Strategy
Rare Earths Material
Processing
Global Supply Chain:
~97% Chinese Production
~100% Chinese Production
80% Chinese
20% Japanese(1)
80% Chinese
17% Japanese(1)
3% Europe(1)
Source: REITA report dated January 27, 20101 Dependent on Chinese rare earths feedstock2 Non-binding letter of intent
Molycorp Business Supply Chain
Rare Earths Mining and
Milling
~97% Chinese Production
Rare Earth Magnets
Rare Earth Metals
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Others Others
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Rare Earth Alloys
Continue construction of Mountain Pass modernization (Phase 1)
Finish capital raising efforts so that Phase 1 and Phase 2 are fully funded
Complete engineering around Phase 2 expansion for up to 40,000 mt
Convert 50% or more of the Phase 1 LOI product volume into final contracts
Be mechanically complete on Phase 1 by July 2012
Have 100% of Phase 1 planned production volume contracted
Start production and be running at full planned Phase 1 production rates by year-end 2012
Be mechanically complete on Phase 2 expansion by mid 2013
Start full run-rate Phase 2 production by late 2013
Sell production from Phase 2 based on customer demand
2011
2012
2013
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Key Project Milestones
Questions?