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CBP Climate Resiliency Workgroup EPA/GIT Funded Projects 2015: CLIMATE RESILIENCY MATRIX AND ANALYSIS PROJECT 2016: CLIMATE CHANGE INDICATORS AND METRICS FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM November 3, 2016
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Page 1: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

CBP Climate Resiliency WorkgroupEPA/GIT Funded Projects

2015: CLIMATE RESILIENCY MATRIX AND ANALYSIS PROJECT2016: CLIMATE CHANGE INDICATORS AND METRICS FOR THE

CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM

November 3, 2016

Page 2: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project

Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement

Use a regionally developed framework/methods to integrate climate change into CBP management strategies and actions

Engage with selected GITs/workgroups as case studies

Working toward development of a matrix methodology that will work across the GITs/workgroups

Page 3: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

Climate-Smart Cycle withAdaptation Design Framework

Stein et al. (2014)http://www.nwf.org/ClimateSmartGuide

1. Define planning purpose & objectives

2. Assess climate impacts &

vulnerabilities

3. Review & revise goals & objectives

4. Identify adaptation

options

5. Evaluate & select adaption

actions

6. Implement priority adaptation

actions

7. Track & evaluate

adaptation actions

General Adaptation Strategies

Specific Adaptation

Options

Climate-Smart Design

Considerations

Page 4: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

CCAP Adaptation Design Tool

Activity 1 Examine Climate-

Smart Design Considerations

Activity 2 Expand the list of

Adaptation Options

Worksheet 1A Apply Category 1

design considerations: impacts of climate change effects on target stressor(s)

Worksheet 1B Apply Category 2 design considerations: impacts

of climate change effects on management action(s)

Worksheet 2 Identify additional

site-specific adaptation actions

Supplementary Output 2: Sequencing requirements and

interactions among actions

OUTPUT: CLIMATE-SMART

MANAGEMENT

ACTIONS Iterate to Activity 1

Input: Ideas from CCAP Compendium

Input: Vulnerability & resilience potential

information

Supplementary Output 1: Data and information gaps

and research needs

Input: Existing management actions

Input: Vulnerability & resilience potential

information

Page 5: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

Climate Smart Habitat Restoration WorkshopBlack Duck and SAV

November 15-16, 2016, Sherperdstown, WV

Apply the Adaptation Design Tool to CBP restoration targets

Use Black Ducks/Wetlands & SAV groups as case studies

Run a set of management actions as examples through the Adaptation Design Tool

Begin the process of refining the Tool for the CBP context

Page 6: EPA/GIT Funded Projects - Chesapeake Bay Program · Climate Resiliency Matrix & Analysis Project Advance climate resilience objectives for Chesapeake Bay Agreement Use a regionally

Climate Change Indicators and Metrics for the CBP (March 2017 – February 2019)

Objective: Develop a suite of indicators, which can be implemented over time, to: Measure and assess trends or “factors influencing” (i.e., physical climate drivers);

Ecological and societal response (i.e. impacts); and,

Programmatic progress toward building an effective response (i.e., adaptation).

Deliverables: 1) Recommended suite of climate change indicators for CBP implementation;

2) Suggested schedule, including expected implementation timetable, cost estimates, and data and monitoring needs and gaps, for CBP implementation;

3) Methods and analysis documentation for a sub-set of indicators (1-2 for each indicator type); and

4) Final Synthesis and Results Report.


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