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Established IN
PL is one of the oldest and leading financial services providers in India
1944–1970
1944
= Team Strength
= New Service Vertical
= Achievement
2001 - 2017
10+
Equi�es Arbitrage Business
Equity Stock Broking
Registered as a partnership stock broking firm in 1944.
1971–1980
25+
IPO Distribu�on
Underwri�ng
First branch in Pune
First to offer doorstep service
1981–1990
60+
Ins�tu�onal Equi�es
Domes�c Ins�tu�onal Investor (DII)
Domes�c Funds
Badla Finance
First in India to computerize back office opera�ons
One of the leaders in Badla Finance for the retail segment
First to become a BSE member
1991–2000
120+
Foreign Ins�tu�onal Investor (FII)
Arbitrage between NSE and BSE
Franchisee setup
Empanelled with a number of FIIS & DIIS
Established a strong sub-broker network
275+ Corporate Advisory
Investment Banking
Margin Funding through NBFC
Por�olio Management Services (PMS)
Online Trading
Currency
Commodi�es
Corporate Advisory business grew manifold within 3 years
PMS - Corpus size grew mul�fold
Rated amongst the best by Ins�tu�onal investors for our research.
Consistently rated amongst the best brokerage houses for its research by Asiamoney Brokers Poll
7+Decades of POWERING FINANCIAL GROWTHFinancial expertise & Best-in-class research
RETAIL BUSINESSINSTITUTIONAL BUSINESS
NBFC
Along with a strong adherence to our founding principles of integrity, transparency and accountability.
Institutional Equities
Investment Banking
Corporate Advisory
Broking (Equity, Derivatives,
Commodities, Currency)
Wealth Management,
PMS
Bonds & Fixed Deposits
Loan against shares & securities
Margin Funding
Corporate STRUCTURE
Mutual Fund
IPO Distribution
Insurance
Real Estate Advisory.
PRABHUDAS LILLADHER ADVISORY SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITED
Centres
410+
Cities
120+
Foreign & Domestic Institutional Clients
150+
Retail Clients
75,000
Team Strength
275+
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd.
PL Capital Markets Pvt Ltd
Prabhudas Lilladher Financial Services Pvt Ltd
PL Distribution Company Pvt Ltd
PL Commodity Markets Pvt Ltd
PL Fund Advisors Pvt Ltd
Broking, Depository, PMS NBFC–Loan against Shares and securities
Investment Banking Commodity Trading Debt Syndication Third party financial products & Real Estate broking
PMS PRESENTATION 4
INDEX
DISCLAIMER:The presentation given by Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd is only by way of information on a no-liability, no-guarantee and no-obligation basis. The information provided is based on past performance and these returns cannot be guaranteed in future. Any decision, action or omission thereon shall be entirely at the risk of the person and should be based solely on their own verification of all relevant facts, financial and other circumstances, by making a proper evaluation thereof in consonance with their investment objectives. Such persons should be aware of the risks involved while investing and trading in securities and will be solely liable for their decisions. Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd shall not be responsible for any loss that such person may incur by relying on the information contained herein, whether used for investment decisions or otherwise. Investment in Equity, Currency, Futures and Options is subject to risk. Please read the risk disclosure document before investing.
BEST SCENARIO FOR EQUITY 5WEALTH CREATION BY INDIAN EQUITIES 6SOME OF THE PROMINENT MULTI-BAGGER IDEAS BY PL RESEARCH 7INDIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GROW ATLEAST @ 7-8% OVER THE NEXT DECADE 8
INDIA: ROBUST MACRO-ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS 9GOVT’S COMMITMENT TO MAMMOTH INFRA SPENDING OVER THE NEXT 3-5 YEARS 10
LEVERS FOR EARNINGS GROWTH IN PLACE 11STRONG INSTITUTIONAL FLOWS UNDERPIN INDIAN EQUITY MARKET’S RESILIENCE 12
1314 -151617181920
MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 2018
PL PMS: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY
FOCUS THEMES & KEY SECTORS
PL PMS: EDGE
PL PMS STRATEGY
CORE MEMBERS OF OUR TEAM
CONTACT DETAILS
PMS PRESENTATION 5
Best scenario for Equity Shift from physical to financial assetsReal Estate prices are under pressure, Gains have been limited for 3 years in a row
Gold prices have been benign, investment demand remains soft
This makes a unique opportunity to channelize savings into Equity markets
Indians have resorted to MF investing through SIP route – Rs. 70 bn / month inflows observed
Inflow in domestic funds cushions significant downsides on FIIs Sell-offs due to global risk-off events
GOLD AS AN INVESTMENT LOSES SHINE
REAL ESTATE SOFT, EXPERTS SAYING PRICE / TIME CORRECTION
No returns = few takers
Most tier 2 cities have seen 25% fall in prices
and few buyers
Supply side looking up due to low cost housing
Illiquid market for exits
DOMESTIC SAVINGS TO BE CHANNELIZED INTO EQUITY FUNDS
FIRST TIME IN 3 DECADES, DOMESTIC INVESTORS ARE EAGER TO BUY IF FIIS WERE TO SELL
3105029600
28007
26344
28624
2900030000
Avg 28946
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
PMS PRESENTATION 6
Wealth creation by Indian Equities
BSE Sensex has delivered 15.8% CAGR from 1981 to June 2018
35423
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Dec-
80De
c-81
Dec-
82De
c-83
Dec-
84De
c-85
Dec-
86De
c-87
Dec-
88De
c-89
Dec-
90De
c-91
Dec-
92De
c-93
Dec-
94De
c-95
Dec-
96De
c-97
Dec-
98De
c-99
Dec-
00De
c-01
Dec-
02De
c-03
Dec-
04De
c-05
Dec-
06De
c-07
Dec-
08De
c-09
Dec-
10De
c-11
Dec-
12De
c-13
Dec-
14De
c-15
Dec-
16De
c-17
Dec-
18De
c-19
Dec-
20
1981-1990
Growth of 7 times
1991-2000
Growth of 3.8 times
2001-2010
Growth of 5.2 times
1481048
3972
16358
PMS PRESENTATION 7
PL RESEARCH AMONGST THE INITIAL FEW TO CATCH THE EMERGING TRENDS EARLY
PI Industries
Wabco India
Britannia JSPL
UPL
L&T Finance
Yes Bank
Indraprastha Gas
Indusind Bank
DMART
Maruti Suzuki
Jubilant LifeOUR RESEARCH HAS INITIATED TIMELY COVERAGE ON UPCOMING AND EMERGING STOCKS OVER THE PAST DECADE. SOME OF THE WEALTH CREATORS ARE NICHE PLAYERS AND MANY BEING LEADERS IN WHAT THEY DO.
SOME OF THE PROMINENT Multi-bagger ideas by PL Research
PMS PRESENTATION 8
India has the potential to grow atleast @ 7-8% over the next decade
Source: IMF Note: GDP for 2017
India’s GDP will grow at the fastest rate among all the major economies and India will continue to attract a torrent of capital flows
World UnitedStates Euro area China Japan India Brazil Russian
Federation Mexico Indonesia Turkey Argentina Nigeria Thailand SouthAfrica
2016 3.2 1.5 1.8 6.7 0.9 7.1 (3.5) (0.2) 2.3 5.0 3.2 (2.2) (1.6) 3.2 0.32017 3.7 2.3 2.4 6.8 1.8 6.7 1.1 1.8 2.1 5.2 5.1 2.5 0.8 3.7 0.92018 3.9 2.7 2.2 6.6 1.2 7.4 1.9 1.7 1.9 5.3 3.5 2.5 2.1 3.5 0.92019 3.9 2.5 2.0 6.4 0.9 7.8 2.1 1.5 2.3 5.5 3.5 2.7 1.9 3.4 0.9GDP (US $ trillion) 78.0 19.4 12.4 11.9 4.9 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3
(6.0)
(4.0)
(2.0)
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Real
GD
P G
row
th (%
)
2016 2017 2018 2019
PMS PRESENTATION 9
India: ROBUSt MACRO-economic FundamentalsAMONG THE FASTEST GROWING MAJOR ECONOMIES IN THE WORLD
GOVERNMENT COMMITTED TO MEDIUM-TERM FISCAL CONSOLIDATION PLAN
CONSUMER INFLATION UNDER FIRM CONTROL
SPECTACULAR IMPROVEMENT IN CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT AFTER FY13
Source: World Bank
Source: Bloomberg, CSO
Source: CSO
Source: Bloomberg, World Bank
9.4
6.9
8.6 8.9
6.7
5.5
6.4
7.5 8.0
7.1 6.7
7.4 7.8
4.4
5.2
6.0
6.8
7.6
8.4
9.2
10.0
FY08 FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18E FY20E
YoY Real GDP Growth (%)
6.5
5.4 5.76.2 5.9
4.54.0 4.1
3.32.5
6.06.5
4.95.8
4.8 4.64.1 3.9
3.5 3.3
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
FY99
FY00
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
E
Fiscal Deficit as a % of GDP
-1.0-0.9-0.6
0.71.2
2.2
-0.3
-1.2-1.1-1.4
-1.9-2.8-2.8
-4.4-4.8
-1.7 -1.3
-1.1
-0.7
-1.5
-6.0-5.0-4.0-3.0-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.0
FY99
FY00
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
E
CAD as a % of GDP
3.4
2.2
3.3 3.5
5.1
4.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Feb-
17
Mar
-17
Apr-
17
May
-17
Jun-
17
Jul-1
7
Aug-
17
Sep-
17
Oct
-17
Nov
-17
Dec-
17
Jan-
18
Feb-
18
Mar
-18
Apr-
18
May
-18
CPI (%)
9
PMS PRESENTATION 10
Govt’s Commitment to Mammoth Infra Spending over the next 3-5 years
roads HOUSING RAILWAY83,677 kms of roads to be built
Rs. 6.92 Lakh Cr to be invested
14.2 Cr mandays of jobs to be generated
Universal affordable housing for 2.2 Cr families
PMAY- Urban-1.2cr units with outlay of Rs1,85,069 Cr
PMAY - Gramin-1.02cr units with an outlay of Rs 1,26,795 Cr
Create a 3x bigger Railway which is economically viable
Leverage Rs. 8,56,000 Cr of capex to expand the Rail infrastructure
Focus on network decongestion through DFC and better signalling
PMS PRESENTATION 11
Levers for Earnings Growth in place
Capacity utilization of–70% is at multi-year low.
Pickup in utilization could kick-start operating leverage
GST & demonetisation could improve compliance by unorganized players
Price gaps to narrow, giving impetus to organized sales
Organized players better placed as brand consciousness improves
Corporate profitability boosted by higher liquidity and lower borrowing costs
Increase money multiplier to boost credit and trade
Operating Leverage Organized players to gain market share
COST OF CAPITAL STILL LOW
PMS PRESENTATION 12
Strong Institutional flows underpin Indian equity market’s resilience
Source: Bloomberg
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-
13
Nov
-13
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-
14
Nov
-14
Jan-
15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-1
5
Sep-
15
Nov
-15
Jan-
16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Jul-1
6
Sep-
16
Nov
-16
Jan-
17
Mar
-17
May
-17
Jul-1
7
Sep-
17
Nov
-17
Jan-
18
Mar
-18
May
-18
(Rs b
n)
DII Equity FII Equity FII DebtCY13 DII Equity: -734.64FII Equity: 1,112.77FII Debt: -536.66
CY14DII Equity: -303.21FII Equity: 973.50FII Debt: 1,592.20
CY15DII Equity: 675.56FII Equity : 183.55FII Debt: 469.21
CY16DII Equity: 371.12FII Equity : 187.83FII Debt: -442.97
CY17DII Equity: 908.35FII Equity : 517.49FII Debt: 1,485.93
CY18DII Equity: 626.18FII Equity : -48.40FII Debt: -413.35
PMS PRESENTATION 13
Market Outlook for 2018
Earnings growth pick-up
Crude Rise
Buoyant tax collections leading to higher
govt spending
Geopolitical Tensions
Good Monsoon
Govt resorting to populist measures
FED Shrinking Balance Sheet
TRIGGERS FOR 2018
RISKS FOR 2018
PMS PRESENTATION 14
PL PMS: Investment Philosophy
Industry
Business ROI
Management
Great Business Undervalued Stock Price Performance
P/E vs Growth
Sector / Market P/E
DCF vs. Enterprise Value
Economic Value Add
Free Float
Institutional Interest
Research Coverage
BVM MATRIXIDEA GENERATION
MACRO THEMES STOCK FILTERS
BUSINESS VALUATION MARKET INTEREST
RISK CONTROL & PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
PMS PRESENTATION 15
PL PMS: Investment Philosophy
Concentration Risk: Sector & Stock
Liquidity Risk
Investment cycle revival
Beneficiaries of accommodative monetary policy
Domestic consumption
Beneficiaries of revival in external trade / services
Strong corporate governance
Addressable market opportunity
Medium term growth prospects
Strong earnings growth
Efficient capital utilization
Rising RoE & free cash flow
1 2 3MACRO THEMES
STOCKFILTERS
RISK CONTROL & CONSTRUCTION
PMS PRESENTATION 16
Consumption
Unorganized to organized
Attractive Opportunities
IncreaseD government spending
Low interest rates
FMCG, Auto, Financials, Pharma, OMCs, Agri-inputs, NBFCs
Home Improvement, Consumer Durables, Retails, Auto Components
Turn-around Companies, Bad year in a good business, MNCs Etc.
Housing, Finance, Capital Goods, Cement, Farm Equipment
Infrastructure, Asset Owners, Construction, Metals, Utilities
Focus Themes & Key Sectors
PMS PRESENTATION 17
senior research team
experienced fund manager
Dedicated PMS SET-up
BEST corporate access
identification of themes
Senior Analyst Team rated across multiple sectors
More than 10 years of market experience
Mr. Ajay Bodke–Experienced Fund Manager for almost 2 decades
Mr. Nishna Biyani–Rated Midcap Analyst and experience of a decade
Dedicated PMS set-up with customer centric approach
PL has one of the best Corporate Access in the industry
Excellent connects with thought leaders / sector experts
Early identification of Themes
Focus on catching turn-around sectors
PL PMS: Edge
PMS PRESENTATION 18
PL PMS STRATEGIESPL PMS provides 3 unique strategies for your wealth growth:
MULTI-STRATEGY- Generate optimum returns by
investing in growth oriented stocks with a large-cap bias
- Help outperform the markets in the long run & provide capital appreciation
- Top 5 sectors: BFSI, FMCG & Retail, Auto, Hotel, Steel
EQUIGROW- Generate optimum returns by
investing in growth oriented stocks with a mid-cap bias
- Help outperform the markets in the long run
- Top 5 sectors: BFSI, FMCG & Retail, Hotel, Auto, Chemicals
FORTUNE- Invest in mid-size business that depict
leadership
- Open to all-caps but focus on bottoms up fundamental research
- Number of stocks capped at 20-25
- Top 5 sectors: BFSI, Ent & Media, Hotel, Agro-chemicals, Publication
PMS PRESENTATION 19
DILIP BHATT Nishna Biyani Nupur Patel
With more than 28 years of experience in the financial world, he is a Chartered Accountant of immaculate repute and is amongst the top ranked Equity experts in India.
Over 20 years of experience as Senior Portfolio Manager with India’s leading Mutual Funds like IDFC MF, Standard Chartered MF & SBI MF.
Over 11 years of experience split equally in the buy and sell side. Has managed a Corpus of Rs500m for ICICI Securities Primary Dealership (Absolute return oriented)
Over 16+ years of senior management experience in financial markets with renowned companies in the industry.
DIRECTOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER
HEAD SALES & MARKETING
AJAY BODKECEO & CHIEF PORTFOLIO MANAGER
CORE MEMBERS OF OUR TEAM
PMS PRESENTATION 20
CORPORATE OFFICE
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd.3rd Floor, Sadhana House,570, P. B. Marg, Behind Mahindra Tower,Worli, Mumbai - 400018. India.
M: 91.9821097856O: +91.22.66322350B: +91.22.66322222
www.plindia.com
CONTACT US
/PLIndiaOnline
/Prabhudas-Lilladher