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Establishing a Market Leadership Position in Cambodia 13 December 2012
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Page 1: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

Establishing a Market Leadership Position in Cambodia13 December 2012

Page 2: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

2

Strategic Combination —Overview

Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”) is establishing a market leadership position in the Cambodian mobile telecommunications market through a strategic combination of Hello Axiata Company Limited (“Hello”) and Latelz Company Limited (“Latelz”)

Axiata’s market position significantly strengthens from a current #4 to a market leadership position(1)

Axiata’s 100% owned subsidiary  Axiata Investments (Cambodia) Limited will acquire Glasswool Holdings Limited (“Glasswool”) from Timeturns Holdings Limited (“Timeturns”) which will be the sole owner of Latelz upon transaction completion

Subsequently, Axiata intends to merge the operations of Hello and Latelz subject to regulatory approvals which will be a condition precedent to transaction completion

The acquisition will be settled to Timeturns via a cash consideration of approximately US$155 million(2) and a 10% stake in the combined entity, the 10% stake will be held by the remaining partner

Axiata will have a 90% controlling stake in the combined Hello + Latelz entity from the day of completion

_________________(1) Based on number of subscribers as of June 2012 from third‐party research(2) Subject to adjustment for the level of net debt and working capital as of the date of completion

Axiata is now well positioned for value creation in CambodiaEstablishing a market leadership position by consolidating a strong competitor at the right time

Page 3: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

3

35%

19%

7%

2% 2% 1%

21%

13%

34%

Metfone Mobitel Beeline Mfone QB Excell

Cambodia continues to be an attractive market for investments– Key growth market in South East Asia– Attractive economy with strong fundamentals– Subscriber growth momentum with 2007‐2011 CAGR of 52.9% and 2012E‐2015E CAGR of 11.0%(1)

– 2012 unique SIM penetration estimated at under 40%(1)

Axiata establishes a strong market leadership position in           Cambodia            – Combination of the strongest performing operators in the market, currently at #2 and #4 positions based on subscriber market share(2) 

– Significantly strengthens Axiata’s market position in Cambodia, from #4 to a market leadership position(2) 

– Axiata will control the combined enlarged entity

Subscriber Market Share(2)

Strategic Combination — Transaction Rationale

1

2

_________________(1) Based on Axiata estimates(2) Based on number of subscribers as of June 2012 from third‐party research(3) “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz

% Change in Market Share (June 2010 to June 2012)

-44%

104%139%

9%

-69%

3%

-38%-17%

Metfone Beeline Excell QB Mobitel Mfone

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8Ranking

1. Compelling combination securing a strong leadership position

2. 25%+ real market share3. Tangible scale benefits +

synergies

(3)

(3)

25%

Page 4: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Drive scale benefits and tangible synergies– Significant scale enhancement – across subscribers, revenue, network /sales reach– Tangible synergies by reducing duplicative costs across network coverage, marketing and human resources and by enhanced revenue potential

– Benefit from complementary Latelz asset base and spectrum– Axiata acquires highly regarded Latelz management team

Axiata led in‐market consolidation improves overall market fundamentals– Axiata believes this is the right timing for Cambodian market consolidation– Axiata benefits from improving industry fundamentals and reduced competitive intensity– Further consolidation anticipated in the near/medium term Will likely evolve into a 3‐5 player market

In‐line with Axiata’s long term strategy and financial objectives– Establishes a strong beachhead in Indochina – a focus region for Axiata– Meets Axiata’s financial criteria reinforcing Axiata’s M&A/Financial discipline– Strategic combination expected to be EPS accretive from the first year onwards

Strategic Combination — Transaction Rationale (cont’d)

3

4

_________________(1) Based on Axiata estimates(2) Based on number of subscribers as of June 2012 from third‐party research(3) “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz

5

Page 5: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

5

Cambodia Continues to be an Attractive Country for Investment

Economy Back on High Growth Track Inflation Subdued

2,2162,0651,9462,361

1,956

6.1%7.3% 6.5%

7.3%

(0.5%)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E

GDP per capita (US$, PPP) y-o-y change

12.5%

3.1%4.9% 3.9%

5.3%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E

Indochina is a key growth market in S.E. Asia

Cambodia is an attractive economy with strong fundamentals in Indochina

Stable political environment provides comfort to international investors

Satisfactory currency risk as local currency pegged to US$

Strong and growing tourism sector

_________________Sources: Third‐party research

Attractive Regional Market

2,866

3,550

1,388

1,790

3,944

2,361

India

Vietnam

Laos

Cambodia

Bangladesh

Nepal

2012E GDP per capita (US$, PPP)

Cambodia Highlights

4.5%

4.0%

2.2%

6.2%

6.8%

5.7%

5.7%

7.8%

6.5%

Laos

India

Cambodia

Thailand

Bangladesh

Vietnam

Nepal

Malaysia

Singapore

2012E GDP per capita y-o-y change

Vietnam

Thailand

Laos

Cambodia

Myanmar

Malaysia

89m

6m

15m

29m

64m

62m

= Population

1a

Page 6: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Axiata has a long term view on its core markets

Cambodia meets Axiata’s criteria for an attractive, growth market in a preferred geographical location

Axiata has extensive experience in the market since its investment in 1998

Strong tourism sector driving roaming and data revenues

Young population drives wireless data take‐up

Recent establishment of telecom regulatory authority is a positive development

3.97.0

9.6

2.5

13.616.7

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H12

Subscribers (mm)

_________________Sources: Third‐party research(1) Based on Axiata estimates(2) Number inclusive of Applifone in both June 2010 and June 2012. “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz(3) 2009 data (latest available)

2007 – 2011 Subscribers CAGR = 52.9%

2012E – 2015E Subscribers CAGR = 11.0%(1)

# of Players 4 6 9 9 8 8

(3)

4.54.0

2.4

5.0

3.43.0

3.5

Vietnam Laos Bangladesh Cambodia Sri Lanka Pakistan India

ARPU, 2011 (US$)

2012 unique SIM penetrationestimated at under 40%(1)

(1)

Attractive Telecom Market with Continuing Healthy Growth1b

27%

47%65%

17%

90%111%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H12

Penetration (%)

Subscriber Growth Momentum Axiata’s Cambodia Focus

Regional ARPU Comparison

Page 7: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

7

Latelz and Hello are currently at #2 and #4 positions based on subscriber market share

Latelz and Hello have more than doubled their market shares since June 2010

Latelz has strong momentum and extensive network and sales reach

_________________Sources: Third‐party research(1) Number inclusive of Applifone in both June 2010 and June 2012. “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz

Market Position

Highly competitive market with 8 operators – Only Latelz, Hello and Metfone increased their market share over the past 2 years  

% Change in Market Share (June 2010 to June 2012)

-44%

104%139%

9%

-69%

3%

-38%-17%

Metfone Beeline Excell QB Mobitel Mfone

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8Ranking

(1)

Hello and Smart are the Top Performers in the Market2a

June 2012June 2010

35%

2%7%

2% 1%

19%13%

21%

Metfone Mobitel Hello Beeline Mfone QB Excell

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8

(1)

33%

8% 7%4%

1%

33%

6%9%

Mobitel Metfone Mfone Beeline Hello QB Excell

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8

(1)

Market Position

Page 8: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

8

35%

19%

7%

2% 2%1%

21%

13%

34%

Metfone Mobitel Beeline Mfone QB Excell

Combination of the strongest performing operators in the market, currently at #2 and #4 positions based on subscriber market share(1) 

Significantly strengthens Axiata’s market position in Cambodia, from #4 to a market leadership position(1) 

Market structure now clearly defined as Top 3 vs. the rest

Axiata will control the combined enlarged entity

Subscriber Market Share(1)

_________________(1) Based on number of subscribers as of June 2012 from third‐party research(2) “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz

(2)

1. Compelling combination securing a strong leadership position

2. [25%]+ real market share3. Tangible scale benefits +

synergies

Axiata Establishes a Strong Market Leadership Position in Cambodia2b

1

2

3

4

25%

Page 9: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

9

Overview of Combined BusinessPro-forma Consolidation for Hello / Smart for FY11 & 12

Key Operating Metrics Key Financial Metrics

Subs

Total Outgoing MOUs (mm)

Blended ARPU(U$)

BTS (2G)

Revenue(US$mm)(1)

EBITDA(US$mm)(1)

Capex(US$mm)(1)

PAT(US$mm)(1)

3,706,800

5,610,000

2011

1H12

305

387

2011

1H12

4.45

3.74

2011

1H12

1261

1388

2011

1H12

68.3

45.1

2011

1H12

1.4

7.3

2011

1H12

20.0

11.8

2011

1H12

(32.0)

(4.0)

2011

1H12

(1) Latelz 2011 numbers based on audited financials; 1H2012 numbers based on unaudited Latelz management reports; Hello numbers based on Company financials

Page 10: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Latelz has operated under its main “Smart Mobile” brand name since 2004– Acquired Applifone (“StarCell” brand) in December 2010 

from TeliaSonera with integration completed in approximately 6 months More than doubled its subscriber market share since January 2011 Latelz’ key operating model features:

– Low cost model with stringent capex management– High impact brand, reach and network– Aggressive in targeted markets and tariffs

Latelz’ superior license conditions:– 25 year period vs. Hello’s BTO status; more favourable license fee structure

Latelz currently owns:– GSM license with 15MHz (GSM1800) and 3.6MHz (GSM900)– 3G license with 10MHz (UMTS2100), ISP license with 70MHz (WiMAX)

Approximately 350 employees with an industry leading revenue/employee

– Close competitor for #1 position in terms of subscriber market share(1)

– More than 2x network coverage

– More than 2x MOUs

– More than 2x revenues

– Strong and complementary spectrum position

– Enhanced nationwide points of sales

– Brand complementarity

Latelz Highlights Significant Positive Impact on Axiata’s Position

Tangible Synergies Rationale for Synergies

Remove Duplication Marketing, sales, service points, human resources, general & administrative – rationalize to achieve target cost ratios

Network Optimization Cost reduction based on best practices from both companies

Enhanced Revenue Potential Improved pricing power, lower competitive intensity, higher on‐net traffic, optimized tariff plans for increased scale

_________________(1)  Based on number of subscribers as of June 2012 from third‐party research

Drive Scale Benefits and Tangible Synergies3

Page 11: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Potential Cost Synergies

Service points costs

Employee related costs

Subscriber acquisition costs

Marketing costs

Network operations costs

Management Fees

Office Rentals and Administration costs

One off Integration Costs

VRS Costs

Network integration costs (Billing, Cors, VAS platforms, Site rationalization)

Page 12: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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33%

6%9%

33%

8% 7%4%

1%

Mobitel Metfone Latelz Mfone Beeline Hello QB Excell

Cambodia Market: 2010 Perspective Market Share Evolution(1)

Cambodia Market: 2012 Perspective

9 operators, both established and greenfield

High competitive intensity, irrational landgrab, uncertain return on investment 

Given this market environment, Axiata scaled back on its investment– Questionable returns on incremental investment– Market clearly needed to consolidate – timing and 

consolidators unclear– Lack of visibility on future market structure

Axiata strategically embarked on a disruptive strategy– Enhanced competitive dynamics and triggered 

industry realignment

Market structure clearly defined – Top 3 vs. the rest

2010 leadership positions significantly eroded while new leaders emerge

Latelz has emerged as the strongest and most resilient operator through a tough period of industry disruption,competition and realignment

_________________(1) Based on number of subscribers as of June 2010 and June 2012 from third‐party research(2) Number inclusive of Applifone in both June 2010 and June 2012. “Smart Mobile” is the brand name of Latelz

June 2010 June 2012

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8Market Position

(2)

% Change in Market Share (June 2010 to June 2012)

19%

13%

21%

35%

2%7%

2% 1%

Metfone Mobitel Hello Beeline Mfone QB Excell

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8

-44%

104%

139%

9%

-69%

3%

-38%-17%

Latelz Hello Metfone Beeline Excell QB Mobitel Mfone

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8Ranking

(2)

Latelz has demonstrated the

strongest performance in the market

Axiata Led In‐market Consolidation Improves Overall Market Fundamentals

4

Page 13: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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_________________Sources: Third‐party research(1) 2009 data (latest available)

Axiata has a long term commitment to its core markets

Prudent investment philosophy across market cycles based on its significant experience in multiple markets

Axiata is a believer in the rationale and benefits of in‐market consolidation, executed at the right time

Axiata made a strategic decision to hold back on further investment in Cambodia with a view to CONSOLIDATE NOT EXIT

Axiata embarked on a well planned market disruptive strategy

Latelz emerged as the most aggressive and successful operator across network, capex spend, brand and reach

Axiata is acquiring the strongest operator in the market

Axiata has established a strong beachhead in a focus region – Indochina

Combination meets Axiata’s M&A/Financial criteria

– Acquisition expected to be EPS accretive from first year onwards

– Investment IRR above Axiata Board required benchmark

– Axiata controls the enlarged entity

– Acquire the strongest competitor and management team at a reasonable valuation

In‐line With Axiata’s Long Term Strategy and Financial Objectives5

Page 14: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Criteria Metric Pro-Forma for MergeCo

x

Impact to Axiata Group

Revenue and EBITDA Growth

Immediate Accretive Transaction

Axiata Group Debt/EBITDA < 3.0x

IRR

2013 Group ROIC

No change

Marginally Negative

2013 Group Debt/EBITDA

2012-2015 EBITDA CAGR

2012 - 2015 Revenue CAGR

2013 EPS Accretion Positive ~1% to 2%

IRR Significantly above WACC

Financial Impact to Axiata

Annual ROIC Impact

On Dividend Policy and Guidance 2012-2015 PATCAGR

Capex 2013 Capex

Marginally Positive

Marginally Positive

Marginally Positive

Not Material

Page 15: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Axiata is now well positioned for value creation in CambodiaEstablishing a market leadership position by consolidating a strong competitor at the right time

Cambodia continues to be an attractive market to invest in

Attractive telecom market with continued healthy growth

Axiata is establishing a strong market leadership position in the Cambodian market 

Transaction drives scale benefits and tangible synergies

Axiata led in‐market consolidation improves overall market fundamentals 

In‐line with Axiata’s long term strategy and financial objectives 

Axiata’s Cambodia strategy over the past three years has proven to be effective

Conclusion

Page 16: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

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Cautionary Note on Forward‐Looking Statements All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this document are or may be forward‐looking statements. Forward‐looking statements include but are not limited to those using words such as “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend”, “project”, “plan”, “strategy”, “forecast” and similar expressions or future or conditional verbs such as forecast “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “may” and “might”. These statements reflect Axiata’s current expectations, beliefs, hopes, intentions or strategies regarding the future and assumptions in light of currently available information. Such forward‐looking statements are not guarantees of future performance or events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, actual results or outcomes may differ materially from those described in such forward‐looking statements. Shareholders and investors should not place undue reliance on such forward‐looking statements, and Axiata does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward‐looking statements, subject to compliance with all applicable laws and regulations and/or any other regulatory or supervisory body or agency.

Important Notice

Page 17: Establishing a Market Leadership Position Cambodiaaxiata.listedcompany.com/misc/axiata_presentation_13122012.pdf · 2 Strategic Combination —Overview Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”)

17

Thank You

www.axiata.com

Axiata Group Berhad

17


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