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© Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Ethernet Business Services Opportunity is No Joke
The Evolution of Ethernet Business Services
in Service Provider Networks
2 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Today’s Speakers
Barry Zipp
Director, Industry Marketing
Ciena
Alan Breznick
Senior Analyst
Heavy Reading
Scott Cassell
Senior Director, Ethernet Product Management
Comcast Business
4 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
The traffic-revenue growth conundrum Network expansion expenses squeezing profitability
Traffic growth is accelerating while revenue growth is
slowing…
Operating expenses are outpacing
revenue growth and squeezing SP profitability.
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Traf
fic
(Pb
/Mo
nth
)
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Rev
enu
e G
row
th (
%)
Internet Traffic SP Revenue Growth (%)
Annual global IP traffic will surpass the zettabyte threshold by the end of 2016
5 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Service Providers turning to Carrier Ethernet Higher revenue, new services
• Robust revenue growth
• Demand for high bandwidth services
(>1Gbps) growing faster than market
• Price/bit is compressing, but still high-
value premium services
• Increasingly popular choice for cloud
access
• IT spend gradually shifting to cloud
service providers
• Appealing service attributes including
highly scalable bandwidth, service
differentiation, and resiliency
• MEF defining Dynamic Responsive
Ethernet (DRE)
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Eth
ern
et
Rev
($M
)
10G 1G 100M 10M Sub 10M
Private Cloud
Carrier Ethernet
Branch office Reg. HQ
Public Cloud
6 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
N.A. enterprise Ethernet services market projected to
reach $15B by 2016
Market trends contributing to growth:
Integration between cloud services and Ethernet infrastructure
Broader adoption of higher capacity services (10GE+)
Expansion of 3G/4G mobile networks
The Benefits of Ethernet Business Services for Cable Operators
Alan Breznick
Senior Analyst, Heavy Reading
Cable’s Business Services Opportunity
• U.S. has more than 27 million companies of all shapes and sizes, the vast majority of them SMBs and SOHOs
• U.S. businesses now spend an estimated $130 billion to $140 billion on telecom services annually
• SMBs alone spend an estimated $50 billion to $70 billion annually on data, voice, and video services
• Cable industry’s HFC lines already pass more than three quarters of SMBs in U.S.
• Yet cable companies still take home only $6 billion or so of the overall haul, no more than 5 percent of total
• Comcast, the MSO leader, reaped nearly $1.8 billion from commercial services in 2011, followed by Time Warner Cable and Cox Communications
MSO Commercial Market Opportunity
MSO Number of Firms in Region Market Opportunity
Comcast 5.2M – very small (<20 workers)
5.6M – total
$11.5B – very small
$49.8B – total
Time Warner
Cable
2.3M-2.7M – very small
2.5M-3.0M – all SMBs
3.0M – total
$6.3B – very small
$17B-$21B – all SMBs
$21B-$25B – total
Cox
Communications
820,000 – very small
1.3M – total
$6.2B – wireline
$4B – wireless
Charter
Communications
1M – total $5.5B -- total
Cablevision
Systems
685,000 -- very small & small
(< 100 workers)
50,000-60,000 -- midsized &
larger firms
$3.0B – very small &
small firms
$3.0B-$3.5B – midsized
& larger firms
*Heavy Reading estimate
MSO Business Services Revenues 2007-2011
MSO 2007 2008 2009
2010 2011
Comcast $394 million $558 million $828 million $1.3 billion $1.8 billion
Time Warner
Cable
$660 million $775
million*
$915 million $1.1 billion $1.5 billion
Cox
Communications
$740 million $853 million $985 million $1.1 billion $1.3 billion
Cablevision
Systems
(Optimum
Lightpath)
$215
million+
$249
million+
$256
million+
$284
million+
$311
million+
Charter
Communications
$341 million $392 million $446 million $494 million $583 million
Top U.S. Business Ethernet Services Players
Rank Ethernet Provider
1 AT&T
2 Verizon
3 tw telecom
4 Cox
5 XO
6 CenturyLink
7 Time Warner Cable
8 Level 3
9 Cogent
Source: Vertical Systems Group
U.S. MSO Ethernet Services Activity
Cable Operator Ethernet Service Deployments
Cox Communications Offers P2P E-line, EVPL & multipoint E-LAN services at speeds
from under 1 Mbit/s to 10 Gbit/s
Cablevision Systems
(Optimum Lightpath)
Offers P2P EPL, EVPL, multipoint E-LAN, DIA & OTS services at
speeds from under 50 Mbit/s to 10 Gbit/s
Time Warner Cable Offers EPL, EVPL, multipoint E-LAN & DIA services at speeds
from 2 Mbit/s to 10 Gbit/s
Comcast Launched Metro Ethernet service in 20+ markets in spring 2011;
Offers EPL, EVPL, ENS/E-LAN & DIA services at speeds from 1
Mbit/s to 10 Gbit/s
Charter Communications Offers P2P EPL, EVPL & multipoint E-LAN services at speeds
from 10 Mbit/s to 10 Gbit/s, plus Ethernet-based Internet access
Bright House Networks Offers P2P EPL, EVPL & multipoint E-LAN services at speeds
from 2 to 10 Gbit/s
SureWest Offers P2P, E-LAN & DIA services at speeds from 1 Mbit/s to 10
Gbit/s
Source: Heavy Reading’s Cable Industry Insider, 2011
U.S. MSO Ethernet Services Revenue
Cable Operator Ethernet Service Revenues 2011
Cox Communications $250 million
Cablevision Systems
(Optimum Lightpath)
$225 million
Time Warner Cable $150 million+
Comcast $75 million+
Charter Communications $75 million
Bright House Networks $50-$75 million
SureWest
Communications
$25 million
TOTAL $850-$875 million
Source: Heavy Reading’s Cable Industry Insider, 2011
U.S. MSO Mobile Backhaul Activity MSO Number of Cell Towers Annual Revenues 2011
Cox Communications Serves over 2,000 towers $50 million*
Cablevision Systems
(Optimum Lightpath)
Serves up to 1,000 towers $20 million*
Time Warner Cable Wired over 7,600 towers
$154 million
Comcast Serves up to 6,000 towers $120 million*
Charter Communications Serves 1,400 towers; another
300+ under contract
$30 million*
Bright House Networks Serves 600 towers $10 million*
TOTAL. 20,000 towers $400 million*
Source: Heavy Reading’s Cable Industry Insider, MSO earnings reports, & Heavy Reading estimates*
17 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Poll Question #1:
Which factor will be most critical to the growth of EBS over the
next five years?
a) Increasing sophistication of the services – OAM tools, technical
specifications, client devices, etc.
b) Greater reach – more locations of a business can be connected.
c) Growing demand for high-bandwidth applications (cloud services,
multimedia collaboration, data center connectivity, etc.)
d) The influence of the Metro Ethernet Forum in promoting EBS adoption
e) Promise of cost reduction relative to legacy services
19 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
MEF Carrier Ethernet Service Types Construct for standardized business services
E-Line Service Type for
• Ethernet Private Lines (EPL)
• Virtual Private Lines (EVPL)
• Dedicated Internet Access (DIA)
E-LAN Service Type for
• Multi-point L2 VPN
• Transparent LAN Service
• Multicast Networks
E-Tree Service Type for
• Rooted Multi-point L2 VPNs
• Broadcast Networks
• Telemetry Networks
E-Access Service Type for
• Wholesale Access Services
• Access EPL
• Access EVPL
20 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Which companies use Ethernet Business Services? The financial services industry leads the way
Top verticals share key
characteristics
Locations concentrated in
major metros (fiber available)
Bandwidth heavy apps (data
center backup, multimedia
collaboration, etc.)
Industry/government regulation
with specific security
requirements
Vertical Most Used
Finance 33%
Medical 15%
Education 6%
Data Center / Storage/ IT 9%
Real Estate 9%
Legal 6%
Retail 9%
Wholesale Telecom 9%
Media 6%
Source: Metro Ethernet Forum (based on actual case studies)
21 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
One-third of Ethernet connections come from IP-VPN Coupled with steady transition from narrowband private lines
Why Ethernet rather than IP-VPN?
Simplicity/Familiarity
Service Flexibility and Control
Cost Reduction
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Global Wholesale/Retail Business Services Revenue ($B)
Narrowband (ATM/FR/T1/OC3/12/48)
IP VPN
HiCap PL (λ, OC192)
Ethernet PL
Ethernet (EVPL & EVPLAN) Source: Ciena
22 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
What factors do enterprises most value? Top decision factors (excluding price)
% OF ENTERPRISE CUSTOMERS
Source: Vertical Systems Group - ENS
• Velocity/Automation
• Predictable Service Delivery
• Service Assurance
• Resiliency
23 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
EBS offers a host of attributes that enable service
providers to meet the needs of enterprises
AUTOMATED, ENHANCED
SERVICE DIAGNOSTICS
• Point-to-point, multipoint-to-multipoint, and rooted multipoint service types
• 1 Mbps-10Gbps; bandwidth requirements specified for CIR and EIR
• Controlled and measurable for predictable QoS
• Point-to-point or ring configurations for sub-50 ms protection (e.g., link aggregation, G.8032 ring protection switching)
• Plug-and-play automation yielding 75% shorter installation and configuration times
• Ability to prioritize enterprise traffic (e.g., real-time/premium, business/priority, basic/best effort)
• Based on Ethernet OAM, including IETF RFC 2544, ITU-T Y.1731, IEEE 802.1ag
• Proactive SLA monitoring and reporting to deliver advanced levels of service guarantees
SERVICE ATTRIBUTES SP BENEFITS
24 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
These benefits extend to the enterprise
Users get the same kind of plug-and-play simplicity as in
the LAN.
Network security and control over routing information and security
and encryption techniques are determined by the enterprise.
Superior scalability with lowest cost-per-bit and pay-as-you-use
model; enterprise only pays for bandwidth required.
Ideally suited for mission-critical applications involving
streaming video, data center connectivity, BC/DR, etc.
Rapid industry innovation and standardization in network
management and visibility; greater levels of service turn-up &
change automation.
25 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Use Case #1 for Banking: Video Conferencing
Market research points to growing demand
53% of U.S. Gen Y consumers use desktop video, and
41% use mobile video
44% of U.S. private-banking clients said they were
“interested” or “very interested” in using HD video in
banking offices to meet with multiple experts located
elsewhere
63% of private-banking clients under age 50 said they
were “interested” or “very interested” in using HD video
in banking offices to meet with multiple experts
Possible Video Applications:
Remote Advisors: offer high-end services to more
clients; improve advisor productivity
Remote Private Banking: connect clients to
specialists and advisors in other offices
Virtual Concierge: interact with bank tellers or
contact center agents for simple inquiries
B2B Meetings: conduct video conferences with
other company locations, partners, etc.
Enterprise Value
Eliminate multiple networks to transport data
Increase application performance without significant cost increase
Generate immediate, measurable cost benefits
1GbE Service Remote office Main bank office
*Source: Cisco IBSG, 2011
26 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Use Case #2 for Banking: Connectivity to Cloud Services
Bandwidth flexibility: use only what you
need, when you need it
Scalability: 1 Mbps to 10 Gbps (evolving to
100 Gbps)
QoS performance: low latency (<15ms), packet
loss (<0.001%)
Multiple connectivity options: point-to-point,
point to multipoint, etc.
Advantages of Ethernet for Cloud Connectivity
Private Cloud Data flow
Carrier Ethernet
Branch office
Reg. HQ Public Cloud
Using cloud services, banks can provide a variety of
innovative services ranging from mobile device support,
online credit services, and the ability to provide
streamlined business processes as a service.
27 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Ethernet Business Services Market Typical Metro Example
SMBs make up the majority of the EBS market.
Source: Ciena
28 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Extending EBS with Geo-Analytics
Geo-analytics Go-to-Market Model
Demand
Supply
Competition
Geo-Analytics can help build profitable GTM plans, validate market demand
29 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
The Key Issue:
How to profitably target & reach businesses?
Opportunity for Growth of EBS in Northern VA
32 Comcast Internal Confidential
Agenda
• Comcast Business Evolution & The Rise of Ethernet
Services
• Applications Enablement and the Proliferation of
Bandwidth Consumption
• Ethernet and the Cloud
• Ethernet Footprint Considerations
33 Comcast Internal Confidential
41.4%
$1.8B
in
2011
• Market Leadership in SMB Marketplace
‒ The Fastest Internet
‒ Full Featured Voice Services
‒ Public & Private View Television Services
• Technology Leadership
‒ Industry Leading IP Backbone
‒ Rich Networking Experience • Robust Fiber & Hybrid Fiber Networks
• Extensive Cell Back Haul Delivery
• Massive Ethernet Market Growth
• Comcast Launches Metro Ethernet Services
Comcast Business Evolution & The Rise of Ethernet Services
34 Comcast Internal Confidential
ETHERNET VIRTUAL PRIVATE LINE EVPL
ETHERNET PRIVATE LINE EPL
ETHERNET NETWORK SERVICE ENS / ELAN
ETHERNET DEDICATED INTERNET
Comcast Business Class Ethernet Services
35 Comcast Internal Confidential
Applications Enablement and the Proliferation of Bandwidth Consumption
Budgets are not increasing at the same speed
Distance Learning, Video to
the Classroom
Public Safety, Disaster
Recovery, Improved Services
Cloud Based and High
Bandwidth Applications
Medical Image File Transfer,
Telemedicine
36 Comcast Internal Confidential
Network choice is critically important in cloud environments
Key decision criteria:
Network reliability
Traffic separation / security
Absolute speed
Scalability (efficiently add applications, sites, users)
Application-specific bandwidth control
Customer-centric experience
Exploiting the Cloud requires you select:
1) The Right Network Technology
2) The Right Network Provider
37 Comcast Internal Confidential
Ethernet Footprint Considerations
Demand
• Customers ready to replace
legacy networks
Upgrade from local DS1 and
DS3 private line services
Migrate from legacy ATM/frame
relay networks
• Customers require higher
bandwidth connections for both
host and remote locations
• The market has chosen
Ethernet
Supply
• Fiber network penetration
remains below 50% for US
businesses
• Construction economics
challenging for sub-10Mb
market
• Resellers/CLEC’s looking for
cost-effective way to compete
against large facilities-based
providers
38 Comcast Internal Confidential
Unsurpassed Reach Within Markets
• Fiber deep and fiber rich
• Physically diverse path
• High-bandwidth hybrid fiber/coax access
network to serve millions of businesses
Service in 20 of Top 25 Metro Areas
• 39 States & Washington, DC
• 600,000+ plant route miles
• 147,000 fiber route miles
• 122,000 Optical nodes
The Largest Facilities-based Alternative to the
Phone Companies for First & Last Mile Connectivity
40 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Poll Question #2:
Excluding price, which is the most important factor in an
enterprise’s decision to deploy Ethernet Business Services?
a) Speed of service turn-up
b) Service performance visibility
c) Customer portals to modify service parameters
d) Service resiliency characteristics and options
e) Fit with cloud service delivery
42 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Ciena’s True Carrier Ethernet™ • MEF Carrier Ethernet
with Value-Added
Enhancements
• Best in breed
scalability, resilience,
QoS enforcement and
service management
• Deterministic traffic
routing with connection
oriented technologies
• Interoperable with a
variety of MPLS/VPLS
architectures
MEF Carrier
Ethernet
LAN Ethernet
Ciena’s True Carrier Ethernet™ Building on the MEF Foundation
43 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
1G
Access Aggregation/Metro
28G
60G
88G
240G
4T
12T
10G
100G
1T
10T
Core
Fu
ll D
up
lex C
ap
acit
y
Max Port Speed
10G 100G
48G
1T
Software
Ciena CES Portfolio Evolution
44 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Service Differentiation enabled by Ciena
Velocity
Fit-to-purpose access and aggregation devices (MBH, EBS, etc) with common service-aware
software architecture
Multiple configurations for enhanced resilience, service
flexibility
Extensive bandwidth granularity, scalability
Automated service creation, activation, and management
Scripted customizations for ease of deployment and changes
Deterministic traffic routing with connection-oriented
technologies
Premium service offerings w/ features above and beyond MEF
Best in breed scalability, resilience, QoS enforcement,
and service management
Service benchmarking for SLA guarantees
Efficiency Performance
45 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Comcast Business Metro Ethernet Network Powered by Ciena True Carrier Ethernet® service delivery switches
10GE
1GE
v
Ethernet
Aggregation
Ciena Attribute Customer Advantage
Standards-based, interoperable Ethernet solutions Delivers service differentiation, creates competitive barriers
High-velocity and automated service creation, activation, mgmt Faster time-to-market, revenue, and profitability
Integrates Carrier Ethernet Quality-of-Service (QoS) Predictable service delivery, assurance, and resilience
Common service-oriented architecture (SAOS) Consistency across all Ethernet access and aggregation apps
46 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Summary
Explosive growth in offered data-rates, with flat per-bit revenues
Cost-effective, flexible, reliable, deterministic
Business services, mobile backhaul, cloud/data center connectivity
Deployments with the largest global carriers, 4G operators, MSOs; 55
patents and patents pending; standards-based solutions and interoperability
© Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
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