E T H O S C A P I TA L
A G M P R E S E N TAT I O N
November 2017
Peter Hayward-Butt , Ethos Capital CEO
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2
General market outlook
Ethos capital and market update
Outlook for Ethos Capital
40% of NAV invested on a proforma basis
Kevro, MTN closed in July and October, Primedia to close in November
Offers in on 3 other businesses with a total investment for EC of c.R250m
Strong opportunity pipeline for Fund VII
Mid Market Fund c.40% invested with good execution visibility on 2 new deals
Mezzanine Fund pipeline is strong, investment to commence in Q1 2018
Market conditions and business / consumer confidence likely to remain subdued
Seller’s pricing expectations are moderating
Asset selection and pricing is key
Cost management and strategic growth levers are key in these conditions
Outcome of December ANC conference will determine opportunity for Fund VI secondaries
Portfolio well placed to benefit from an improved macroeconomic outlook
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8.62
6.33
1.99
4.28
8.50
30 Sept 2017 Proforma Share price
Cash Invested Capital Share price
3
NAV performance
NAV analysis
Portfolio composition per share
R10.61
19% 40%
% of NAV% of NAV Discount to NAV
20%
9.78
0.75
0.17
0.04 0.03
0.14 0.02
10.61
NAV increase – R173m
Yield on Temporary Assets – c.8%
Gross IRR on Invested Capital – 14.7%
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0.6%
0.7%
0.9%
1.0%
2.0%
9.6%
10.6%
11.0%
27.4%
36.2%
BevCo
RTT
Neopak
Eaton Towers
Waco
Twinsaver
Autozone
Eazi Access
Kevro
Primedia1% 1%
14%
1%
1%
9%
9%
1%
27%
7%
29%
WACO RTT AutoZone Eaton Towers
Neopak Twinsaver Eazi Access BevCo
Primedia MTN Zakele Kevro
4
Proforma Invested NAV contribution Proforma EBITDA contribution (excluding MTN Zhakele Futhi)
Portfolio overview
R736m
R147m
Invested Capital
Attributable EBITDA
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20%
29%
Discount to NAV Discount to peer group
4.6x 4.2x4.8x
7.7x
10.1x
4.1x4.7x
6.6x
2.1x 2.8x 1.8x
3.6x
0.8x
4.7x4.4x
2.5x
-
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
Ethos Capital Fund VI EMMF Brait Zeder North America Western Europe RoW
Equity Debt
5
Ethos Capital valuation and portfolio companies’ discount to peer group
Weighted average EV / EBITDA – comparisons with SA investment companies and global funds
Portfolio valuation
Valuation highlights
6.7x
2.1x
EV / EBITDA Net debt / EBITDA
6.7x = value-weighted average portfolio EV / EBITDA
2.1x = value-weighted average portfolio net debt / EBITDA
20% = current Ethos Capital share price discount to NAV
29% = value-weighted average portfolio company discount
to peer group EV / EBITDA multiples
Note: Brait valuation multiple based on weighted average of Virgin Active, Premier, New Look and Iceland Foods; Zeder based on Pioneer Foods, Capespan, Zaad and Kaap Agri
6.7x 7.0x6.6x
11.3x10.9x
8.8x9.1x 9.1x9.4x
Peer group companies’ weighted average EV / EBITDA
A N A LT E R N AT I V E A D VA N TA G E
Stuart MacKenzie, Ethos CEO
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7
Performance of the Private Equity asset class
1
2
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
All Private Equity MSCI World PME
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
< 3 years 3-5 years > 5 years
3
Asset class Annual Return Volatility Sharpe Ratio
Private Equity 9.8% 14.4% 0.47
US Equities 6.9% 16.9% 0.23
High Yield Bonds 6.6% 11.5% 0.31
REITs 6.5% 25.5% 0.14
Investment Grade Bonds 6.4% 6.6% 0.52
Hedge Funds 3.4% 7.8% 0.05
Infrastructure 1.9% 17.5% <0
International Equities 1.8% 19.8% <0
Emerging Market Equities 0.6% 24.5% <0
10-year asset class risk adjusted returns
PE Net IRR (by vintage year) vs MSCI World PME Holding period of exited deals
Source: Hamilton Lane data
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8
Global trends in EV / EBITDA multiples paid and capital
structure dynamics
6.8 6.5 6.1 6.5 7.1 7.4 8.08.8 8.3
6.9 7.48.3 8.0
8.7 9.4 9.4 8.7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Equity Debt
7.0 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.18.2 8.5
10.69.0
6.68.4
7.3 7.9 8.4 9.0 8.6
11.5
6.5 5.84.8
5.8 6.6 7.38.4 9.1 8.3
7.0
10.89.0 8.2 8.0 8.6
11.5
RoW
Western
Europe
North
America
Source: Hamilton Lane data
nm
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9
Ethos has an unrivalled private equity platform
2 Ethos structure1
Mono-line private equity
business
Alternative asset
manage-ment
business
1984 Fund I
US$101m
1992 Fund II
US$34m
1996 Fund III
US$172m
1998 Fund IV
US$358m
2006 Fund V
US$747m
2017 AI Fund
US$75m
2017 Fund VII
US$800m
2017
Healthcare
US$150m
2016
Mezzanine
US$150m
2016 Mid Market
US$150m2012 Fund VI
US$805m
Ethos transformation
Ethos Private Equity
Non BEE
PartnersRMI
Investments
Fu
nd
VI
Fu
nd
VII
Mid
Ma
rke
t Fu
nd
Me
zza
nin
e F
un
d
AI F
un
d
Ethos Capital / Traditional LPs
BEE
Partners
54.7% 6.9% 20.0%
RIM
Investments
Ethos BEE
Staff
Educational
Trust
10.0% 3.9% 4.4%
25.0% BEE
RMIRoyal
Bafokeng
50%50%H
ea
lthc
are
Pla
tform
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10
Leveraging the Ethos track record
1
19.7%
16.1% 16.0%
13.0%
PE (10 year) ALSI (10year)
PE (5 year) ALSI (5 year)
3.6%
3.0%
SAVCA PE Net Returns vs ALSI 2
1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year 20-year
Ethos Pooled (All investments)1
nm 15.9% 17.4% 15.5% 17.7%
Ethos Pooled(Realised investments)2
36.2% 45.9% 33.3% 32.4% 21.3%
Inflation + 10% 14.8% 15.5% 15.5% 16.2% 16.0%
Listed equity BM1 4.4% 10.9% 12.7% 12.4% 15.6%
1. Net of management fees and carried interest, ALSI returns over the same period including dividends
2. Net of management fees and carried interest for Fund III and IV; fees in Fund V weighted according to invested capital of realised investments divided by total invested capital at each date that fees were drawn (Fund VI excluded as no realisations)
Source: Riscura
Ethos Net Returns versus the ALSI
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11
Leveraging the Ethos track record
4
0%
11%
12%
39%
28%
10%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Write-off <1x 1-2x 2-3x 3-4x >4x
(Proportion of capital invested)
# of investments: 1 5 22 29 21 17
47%
29%
17%
7%
Early return of capital
Multiple expansion
Gross IRR attribution
(since Fund III)
EBITDA growth
100%
Leverage impact
13.6%
18.9% 18.8%
25.2%
Ethosnet IRR(USD)
EthosgrossIRR
(USD)
Ethosnet IRR(ZAR)
EthosgrossIRR
(ZAR)
Realised returns
(since Fund III)
Note: Fund III (1996 vintage) was Ethos’ first international fundraise
Ethos track record (realised) Ethos’ de-aggregated return profile3
Source: Ethos
© Ethos | 12
12
Consistency of Ethos returns
5
Source: Ethos
Delivering consistent, market-leading returns through the cycle
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-600
-400
-200
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
Se
p-0
7
Nov-0
7
Jan
-08
Ma
r-08
Ma
y-0
8
Jul-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Nov-0
8
Jan
-09
Ma
r-09
Ma
y-0
9
Jul-0
9
Se
p-0
9
Nov-0
9
Jan
-10
Ma
r-10
Ma
y-1
0
Jul-1
0
Se
p-1
0
Nov-1
0
Jan
-11
Ma
r-11
Ma
y-1
1
Jul-1
1
Se
p-1
1
Nov-1
1
Jan
-12
Ma
r-12
Ma
y-1
2
Jul-1
2
Se
p-1
2
Nov-1
2
Jan
-13
Ma
r-13
Ma
y-1
3
Jul-1
3
Se
p-1
3
Nov-1
3
Jan
-14
Ma
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Jul-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Nov-1
4
Jan
-15
Ma
r-15
Ma
y-1
5
Jul-1
5
Se
p-1
5
Nov-1
5
Jan
-16
Ma
r-16
Ma
y-1
6
Jul-1
6
Se
p-1
6
Nov-1
6
Jan
-17
Ma
r-17
Ma
y-1
7
Jul-1
7
Se
p-1
7
NAV growth Ethos NAV Growth - ALSI Growth
© Ethos | 13
Life-cycle of Ethos Fund VI
Exit ready
Investment phase
Turnaround
New investments
Available for new
investments & follow-ons
• R1.3bn
• KEVRO
• WACO
• EATON
• AUTOZONE
• TWINSAVER
• EAZI ACCESS
• RTT
• NEOPAK
• BEVCO
• PRIMEDIA
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cu
rren
t T
MB
per
cate
go
ry
Average age in years
Fund Rand TMB 1.3x
Fund Average Age 2.5 Yrs
*Kevro was exited from Ethos Fund VI in October 2017 to a consortium comprising RMB Ventures, RMB Corvest and Ethos Mid Market Fund I
**Co-investment assets held in collaboration by Ethos Fund VI & Ethos Mid Market Fund I
© Ethos | 14
Superior performance across economic and
political cycles
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
South Africa real GDP growth (LHS)
South Africa real GDP growth (LHS)
(yoy %)
Fully realised Funds - actual returns
Live Funds - updated investment case returns
New Funds
Fund II 1992: 50.3% net IRR
Fund III 1996: 21.5% net IRR
Fund IV 1998: 22.1% net IRR
Fund V 2006: 9.0% net IRR
Fund VI 2011: 15.5% net IRR
Launched: Mid Market
Fund, Mezzanine Fund
Ethos Fund VII
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INVESTMENTS.
IN CONSIDERING ANY PERFORMANCE DATA CONTAINED HEREIN, YOU SHOULD BEAR IN MIND THAT PAST OR TARGETED PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS, AND THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCE THAT THE FUNDS WILL ACHIEVE
COMPARABLE RESULTS OR THAT TARGET RETURNS WILL BE MET. IN ADDITION, THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCE THAT UNREALISED INVESTMENTS WILL BE REALISED AT THE VALUATIONS SHOWN AS ACTUAL. REALISED RETURNS WILL DEPEND ON,
AMONG OTHER FACTORS, FUTURE OPERATING RESULTS, THE VALUE OF THE ASSETS AND MARKET CONDITIONS AT THE TIME OF DISPOSITION, ANY RELATED TRANSACTION COSTS, AND THE TIMING AND MANNER OF SALE, ALL OF WHICH MAY DIFFER
FROM THE ASSUMPTIONS ON WHICH THE VALUATIONS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE BASED. THE IRRS PRESENTED ON A “GROSS” BASIS DO NOT REFLECT ANY MANAGEMENT FEES, CARRIED INTEREST, TAXES AND ALLOCABLE EXPENSES BORNE BY
INVESTORS, WHICH IN THE AGGREGATE MAY BE SUBSTANTIAL. ALL IRRS PRESENTED ARE ANNUALISED AND CALCULATED ON THE BASIS OF MONTHLY INVESTMENT INFLOWS AND OUTFLOWS. NOTHING CONTAINED HEREIN SHOULD BE DEEMED TO BE
A PREDICTION OR PROJECTION OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE OF THE FUNDS.
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