5th edition of the EU-India STI Cooperation Days, 12-13 November 2014, Chennai, India
EU-India: Cooperation Opportunities in the field of Energy Reserach
Girish Sethi
TERI, New Delhi
Content
• India: Energy Snapshot and Projections
• Industry sector and energy consumption
• Energy Research and Technology Cooperation
Opportunities
• Energy Efficiency in SME sector
• Smart Grids
• Conclusions
2
3
India’s Energy Snapshot
Low per capita energy
consumption: 596 kgoe (2011/12)
(World average 1802 kgoe per
capita)
Per capita consumption of
electricity 884 kWh/annum
(2011/12) (World average: 3044
kWh/annum)
80% of rural India dependent on
traditional fuels for cooking
Fossil fuels account for about 70%
of the primary energy supply
Global
Local
Sustained economic growth and social development
require increasing energy use 3
2nd largest Population
3rd largest coal producer and
consumer
4th largest energy
consumer
31.4% of the population relies on kerosene for lighting
(Census, 2011)
71.5% rely on traditional biomass for cooking (Census,
2011)
High oil imports (76% in 2011)
Increasing coal imports (23% in
2011)
Energy demand has doubled in the last
10 years
3
Energy and Related Challenges
Large under-served, yet aspiring, population
Energy demand drivers accelerating rapidly
• Income levels
• Urbanisation
• Access to markets
Financial
Consumer goods
• High levels of mobility
• Digitally connected world
Stagnating, if not declining, conventional energy
resources
Abundant, under-developed, renewable energy sources
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5
Energy Access Lighting
It has been estimated that the annual expenditure
on kerosene for lighting by off-grid and under-
electrified households is around USD 2.2 billion.
Out of this, around USD 1.8 billion is spent by
rural households
Cooking
Inefficient burning of biomass in traditional
cookstoves requiring higher quantities and
leading to pollution
Indoor air pollution from burning of solid fuels
increases health risks
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
IND
IA
Aru
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Ass
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No lighting
Any other
Other oil
Solar energy
Kerosene
Electricity0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
IND
IA
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Ass
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No cooking
Any other
Biogas
Electricity
LPG
Kerosene
Coal, Lignite,Charcoal
Cowdung cake
Crop residue
Firewood
Source: Census 2011 5
• Primary energy supply increases from 717 (2011/12) mtoe to 1950 mtoe (2031/32);
coal followed by oil remain the two dominant energy sources
• Final energy demand rises from 549 mtoe (2011/12) to 1460 mtoe (2031/32), an
increase of about 2.7 times in 20 years
• Industry sector continues to remain the major energy consumer ( 40%- 48%), and
the share of transport sector rises from 16% (2011/12) to 25% ( 2031/32)
Primary Energy Requirement Final Energy Demand
Source: TERI’s MARKAL Model Results 6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2011/12 2016/17 2021/22 2026/27 2031/32
Mto
e
Agriculture
Commercial
Residential
Transport
Industry
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2011/12 2016/17 2021/22 2026/27 2031/32
Mto
e
Traditional Biomass
Liquid Biofuel
Tidal
Geothermal
Waste to Energy
Biomass based Power
Wind
Solar
Hydro
Nuclear
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
An Unambitious, Unsustainable Future
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7
Primary Energy Growth – Alternate scenarios
• The ESM reflects a saving
of 18% while the ESA
reflects a saving of 26% in
2031/32 when compared
to the RES levels
• The share of new
renewable energy
increases to 3% in ESM
and 7% in ESA compared
to 2% in RES in 2031/32
• The share of fossil fuels in
the RES stands at 82%,
while in the ESM it drops
to 79% and in the ESA to
75% by 2031/32
Source: TERI’s MARKAL Model Results 7
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
RES ESM ESA RES ESM ESA RES ESM ESA
2011/12 2021/22 2031/32
Mto
e
Traditional Biomass
Liquid Biofuel
Tidal
Geothermal
Waste to Energy
Biomass based Power
Wind
Solar
Hydro
Nuclear
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
8
Electricity Sector: Projections
Share of RE in the generation capacity mix rises from 9% (2011/12) to 23% in ESM
and to 31% in ESA as compared to 17% in RES (2031/32)
Share of coal based generation capacity reduces from 52% (2011/12) to 50% in ESM,
32% in ESA, as compared to an increase to 62% in RES (2031/32)
Source: TERI’s MARKAL Model Results 8
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
RES ESM ESA
2031/32
GW
Tidal
Geothermal
Waste
Biomass
Solar thermal
Solar PV
Wind Offshore
Wind Onshore
Nuclear
Hydro
Diesel
Gas
Coal
Industry Sector: Present Situation
Indian industry sector comprises of large and MSME (micro, small and medium enterprises)
units
Industry sector accounts for about 50% of total commercial energy consumption in India
(2010/11)
Large Industry sector
New plants: Mostly adopt energy efficient/state of the art technological options as per the global standard
on their own. e.g. cement, fertilizer, etc.
Existing/old plants: Options exist for energy efficiency improvements
PAT scheme (market based mechanism) focuses on 335 Designated Consumers covering 7
sub-sectors to improve their energy efficiency levels
Target reduction - 5.7%
MSME sector
29 million enterprises
Existence of many energy intensive industrial clusters
Majority of units use obsolete technologies and unskilled manpower
9 9
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Industry Sector: Projections
Energy demand in the sector rises from 221 mtoe ( 2011/12) to
697 mtoe (2031/32), with around 60% share of coal in the RES
The ESM reflects a saving of 12% (2031/32) and the ESA that
of 17% (2031/32) in comparison to the RES
The ESA sees a drop in the usage of coal and petroleum fuels
with gas being used as a bridge fuel
Source: TERI’s MARKAL Model Results 10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
RES ESM ESA
2031/32
Mto
e
Biomass
Grid Electrcitiy
Petroleum Products
Natural Gas
Coal
Industry: Key future actions for reducing energy usage
Accelerated adoption of Energy Efficient Technologies and Practices
‘Deepening’ and ‘Widening’ of PAT scheme to cover maximum number of large industrial units (also include other sectors covered under the EC Act)
Large scale expansion of Demand Side Management (DSM) based programs for lighting and other appliances (involving Power Distribution Companies and Regulatory Commissions)
Promote manufacture of energy efficient products/appliances (e.g. efficient ceiling
fans, agricultural pump-sets, LED lighting, ACs, building materials, etc)
Developing long term “sector and cluster specific” programs focusing on technology
development, demonstration and adoption in MSME sector
Structured / Need based training to enhance the skills at different levels (workers,
supervisors, entrepreneurs )
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Energy Cooperation opportunities – Examples from two key areas
Energy Efficiency in SMEs Smart grids
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SMEs: Dominating the EU and Indian Industry Landscape
Constitute 95% of world’s total enterprises, 60% of total private sector employment
Over 99% of total enterprises in Japan are SMEs
In EU-27, 99% of all enterprises are SMEs, contributing 58% to value added
In India, 29 million units employing 100 million people
Accounts for 45% of manufacturing output and 40% of India’s total exports
Manufacture over 6000 products
Many energy intensive sectors such as foundry and forgings, glass and ceramics,
brick, textiles, dairy and food processing and so on
Clustering of industry: over 200 energy intensive manufacturing clusters exist
Deploy obsolete technologies and unskilled manpower
Scope to save energy by adoption of Energy Efficient Technologies (EETs),
Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs) and Best Operating Practices (BOPs)
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Indo – Swiss Technology Cooperation: Joint RDD&D Program in SMEs: Case study #1
Conventional coal fired
pot furnace
Recuperative natural gas fired
pot furnace
GLASS SECTOR
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Conventional Cupola Divided Blast Cupola (DBC)
FOUNDRY SECTOR
Indo–Swiss Technology Cooperation: Joint RDD&D Program in SMEs: Case study # 2
15 15
Promoting Smart Grid initiatives in India:
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Relevance
• Fourth largest power generation economy
• ‘No access’ to electricity to around 35% of population
• High energy and peak deficit
• Increasing share of RE, an increased share of RE requires smarter systems to manage it efficiently and ensure its stability & reliability
• Need for improvement in quality and reliability of supply
• National Mission on Electric Mobility: target of 6 Million EVs by 2020
Key smart grid Functionalities
• Remote connection/disconnections
• Changing consumer behavior through differential pricing, e.g. Demand Response
• Outage management through smart infrastructure
• Integration of renewable energy sources
• Distributed generation
• Consumer protection
Indo-Dutch Cooperative project – a proposal
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Focus state:
Karnataka ; Preliminary interactions with a state
DISCOM and state electricity regulatory commissions
carried out
Objective of the study is to assess the
existing priorities of the utility and Smart Grid
functionalities that will improve the
performance of the distribution system.
E.g. Automated metering infrastructure
(AMI), outage management system,
empowering consumer for load
management, etc.
The study would lead to development of a
guiding document for the utility for
implementation of Smart Grid solutions
in a phased manner
EcoGrid EU – Large Scale Demo
Large-scale Smart Grid Demo in Denmark
Goal: integrate demand-side flexibility into the Electricity Markets.
2000 Customers (Residential and Industrial) involved.
PowerMatcher is one of the response technologies demonstrated.
TNO is a key partner
Full-scale demo in the complete Bornholm distribution system, owned
and operated by the local DSO, Østkraft.
Many areas for technology cooperation between India and EU in
the energy field
Need to focus on specific topics in different sectors (e.g. energy
efficiency, RETs , product development, etc.)
For long term sustainability, promote joint programs for Research,
Development, Demonstration and Deployment (RDD&D) in
identified fields
R&D (innovation) of EE/RE technologies are often happening in
developed countries (e.g. EU) while D&D (adoption/customization) is
needed in developing countries (e.g. India).
Collaboration between EU and India through various stages of
innovation process will be pivotal to building of technological
capacities in India
To summarize ….
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Other key points ..
Technology Cooperation projects to be collaborative and can be based on local needs and involve local actors (including academic and research institutes)
Sharing of knowledge and expertise by foreign experts in such projects vital for their success
Ensure longer term projects with emphasis on customization and dissemination
Bilateral and multilateral funding mechanisms can play an important role in promoting cleaner technologies
EU, WB, bilateral development programs of different countries, etc
Other mechanisms like GEF and newly established CTCN
Such projects should be focused on specific applications/sectors
Pre-feasibility and detailed studies to precede demonstration projects
Include other supportive actions in such programs (awareness, webinars, workshops etc.)
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5th edition of the EU-India STI Cooperation Days, 12-13 November 2014, Chennai, India
Email: [email protected]