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Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric...

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Eugene Water & Electric Board
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Page 1: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Eugene Water & Electric Board

Page 2: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Dave ChurchmanManager, Power Operations

Eugene Water & Electric Board

Page 3: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

EWEB Power Supply Mix Including BPA Source Resources

89,000 customersPeak Load: 479 mw (Jan 2012)Average Load: 280 mw

74% power purchased from BPA22 % owned generation4% power contracts

Self scheduler embedded within BPA’s Balancing Area

Page 4: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

EWEB’s Resource Portfolio

EWEB HydroSlice HydroNukeWindCogen/Bio

Page 5: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

BPA Slice Product

BPA Slice Hydro Simulator

Page 6: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

EWEB Environment & Issues

1. Decline in Load

2. Decline in Wholesale Prices

3. Hydro Licensing / Aging Infrastructure Costs

4. Firm Transmission Access

Page 7: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Flat or Declining Loads

• Peak Load in December, 1998: 627 MW

• Peak Load in January 2012: 479 MW

Page 8: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Declining Wholesale Prices

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Forward Price Curves Over Time

12/24/2007

1/2/2009

1/4/2010

1/3/2011

1/3/2012

1/2/2013

1/2/2014

1/2/2015

9/7/2015

Annual Average of Price Forwards

$/ m

Wh

Page 9: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Wholesale Prices and BPA Rates

Page 10: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Changing Risk Profile

43%

10%

48%

2008

1 mw of lost hydro generation1 mw of decreased load$1 drop in price

Load

Hydro16%

32%53%

2015

1 mw of lost hydro generation1 mw of decreased load$1 drop in price

HydroPrice

Load

Price

Page 11: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Changing Risk Profile for EWEB with 100 MW surplus

2008 2015

Retail Price $ 70.00 $ 90.00

Wholesale Price $ 60.00 $ 30.00

Annual Lost Revenue 100 mw surplus

1 mw of lost hydro generation $ (525,600) $ (262,800)

1 mw of reduced load $ (87,600) $ (525,600)

$1 drop in price $ (876,000) $ (876,000)

Page 12: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Hydro Relicensing & Aging Infrastructure Costs

EWEB recently asked FERC for a stay of license issuance for its Carmen Smith hydro facility due to a concern that under current conditions that the project is no longer economically viable.

Page 13: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

EWEB October Board Meeting

Making decisions about how we are going to power our future require strategy.

Whether EWEB should remain in the generation and trading business is not a simple topic. EWEB has been in the generation business for decades.

Most of that history has been tremendously positive for EWEB customers in terms of economic benefit, diversity of supply and local control.

Page 14: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

NW Market Redesign - CCED

Maximizing the value of surplus energy and capacity value.

Page 15: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

Firm Transmission Access

EWEB HydroSlice HydroNuclearWindCogen/Bio

Page 16: Eugene Water & Electric Board. Dave Churchman Manager, Power Operations Eugene Water & Electric Board.

What does the future hold?


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