EUROPE FEBRUARY 2015 For detailed maps see pages 2-9
Often Snow-blizzards / thundersnow at times, in NW parts inc W Norway. E+NE parts mostly dry & cold / v cold. Iberia, S France and Italy somewhat mild with Spring-like bursts at times. SE - Greece+Turkey - cold & unsttled, some heavy snow, thunder & floods. Most unsettled / stormy spells FEB 4-8 (R5R3), 9-12 (R3), 13-14 (R3), 17-19 (R5), 27-28 (R3) Significant aurora, geomagnetic activity and earthquake risk ~4-8th & 17-19th
This Feb sees a very significant Wild-Jet-Stream - Mini-Ice-Age circulation in the world with huge meanders, arcs and long N-S fetches. The ‘displaced polar vortex over North Atlantic / Ireland-Britain and N/W Europe (at times) is bounded by frequent High pressure blocks from NW Africa/Iberia to NE USA/ Newfoundland and in East Europe/ Scandinavia. Greenland High pressure is present at times. The changes in circulation giving these often extreme weather patterns will be driven by changes in the Solar-Lunar factors which govern the behaviour of the Jet stream and are predictable by WeatherAction’s revolutionary Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT11) months ahead and nothing to do with CO2 changes under the failed ‘CO2-Climate Change’ ‘theory’. The wild extremes are consequences of the Wild Jet Stream / ‘Mini Ice Age (ie on average significantly colder) Climate decades the world has entered. Standard Meteorology will run into serious problems this month in SLAT main Red (R4 & R5) periods during which short range standard Meteorology forecasts for precipitation will generally need to be doubled and strong wind / tornado / thunder / hail risk enhanced.
EUROPE Regional Weathermaps Forecast FEBRUARY 2015 Produced 29 Jan from SLAT11 www.weatheraction.com
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The Blizzards & cruel Arctic blasts end Jan & likely into Feb, USA & Br+Ir-Eu, were forecast Long-Range by WeatherAction • They were preceded by extra Solar Activity & ‘Sudden Warming’ events in the upper & lower stratosphere – all predicted Long Range by WeatherAction.
See Jan 2015 WeatherAction News No 05 Arctic blasts & Blizzards USA,BI,Eu confirmed. Link
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 1-3rd FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: NSF 1-3 Thunder Risk: Low Jet Stream: Huge N-S stretches Key Development: Deepening low pressure Scandinavia extending into Scotland/England. High (blocking) centred Baltic-Baltic States/Belarus. Low South Greece/ Italy. Azores High extends to Portugal and Newfoundland and towards Greenland. N’ly plunge of cold air NW Europe. Main Uncertainties: Extent South of cold blast NW Europe.
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
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Sleet + snow showers
Mostly dry, clear skies,
mildish days, very cold nights
Mostly dry, broken skies, cold nights
Mild days, cold nights,
dry Rain showers
Snow showers,
some heavy, cold + cold wind
Cold + snow showers
Mostly dry, cold, cloudy
Mostly dry, bright + cold
cc
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
Key Weather Development Notes: 4-8th FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: R5 4-6; R3 7-8 Thunder Risk: Very high Jet Stream: Large meanders Key Development: Low pressure Iceland moves to N Scot/Norway Sea becoming very active. High block Spain to Newfoundland. Greenland high strengthens.
High West Siberia, High N Africa/South Italy + Greece.
Main Uncertainties: Extent of cold SW Eu
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
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Mostly dry, mild, variable sky, high cloud
A few showers sleet/rain; cloudy
Snow showers,
cold + cloudy
Bright, dry, variable sky, cold nights
Snow/sleet showers; cold
Heavy snow, blizzards + thundersnow + hail.
Major drifting + travel disruption. V cold + very
nasty biting wind; cloudy. Snow
showers, very cold, cloudy
Major thunderstorms,
heavy rain, local floods,
large hail, tornadoes
likely Thundery showers
Rain/sleet showers; cold
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
Key Weather Development Notes: 9-12th FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: R3 9-12 Thunder Risk: Mod Jet Stream: Huge N/S swings, largely blocked.
Key Development: Extreme meanders in Jet Stream. A ridge develops Atlantic – Iceland connected to Greenland. Active cyclonic conditions over Britain/Ireland with active Low becoming centered over Ireland/central England/Wales. High block from Libya to Russia - White Sea/North Siberia. High Greece + N Africa. Main Uncertainties: Motion of cyclonic low England
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
Comments Blog
Turning milder, variable sky, mostly dry Thundery
showers, hail
Dry, very cold, sharp frosts
Rain + sleet, snow on
high ground (Pyrenees etc), cold
Snowy (poss sleet) + cold
Heavy snow showers, cloudy,
cold
Snow showers,
cloudy
Thunderstorms, hail + local
floods
Snow/sleet showers,
milder/less cold than before
Dry, warm, mostly fine, often sunny
Dry, cold
cloudy
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 11 FEBRUARY 2015 for: 13th – 16th February Confidence: BC = 70% Prod 29th January from SLAT11. Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Key Weather Development Notes: 13–16th FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: R3 13-14, R2 15-16 Thunder Risk: Mod Jet Stream: Blocked Key Development: Atlantic ridge collapses as large low (“displaced polar vortex”) dominates Atlantic. Euro High advances West to Scandinavia (+ Germany/Low controls briefly). High block N Atlantic to Quebec. Low West Med. High Greece linked to Scand High. Main Uncertainties: West-East position of Displaced polar-vortex.
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
Comments Blog
Snow/sleet turning to
rain, milder Variable sky,
dry, becoming milder
Dry, variable sky, turning
milder
Dry, bright, warm days
Dry, cloudy, cool
Snow/sleet later
Dry, often clear, cold
Mostly dry, cloudy, mild
Heavy thunderstorms, hail, thick cloud,
waterspouts likely
Mostly dry, humid +
becoming very mild
Turning mild,
showery rain (less later)
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 11 FEBRUARY 2015 for: 17th –19th February Confidence: AB = 80% Prod 29th January from SLAT11. Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Key Weather Development Notes: 17-19 FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: R5 17-19 Thunder Risk: Top Jet Stream: Large structure, blocked Key Development: N Africa to NE USA High block. Displaced Polar Vortex centred Iceland/Greenland. Very deep “dartboard” Low centred Atlantic - South of Iceland, blocked by High extending from Baltic/Baltic States to Greece/Italy. Azores High pushed South extends Spain to NE USA. High Greenland. Low East Med. Main Uncertainties: Penetration of active Atlantic fronts into Europe.
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
Comments Blog
Showery, cool
Dry, extremely cold, variable
sky, high cloud
Snow showers, cloudy
Mostly dry, cloudy, cool
Sleet, cloudy thunderstorms,
hail
Major blizzards +
thundersnow, travel
disruption
Heavy snow, thundersnow very cold
Thundery showers,
mild
Heavy snow, thundersnow
cold
Snow showers, variable sky, cold
Heavy thundery rain/sleet
(high ground) , floods.
Very heavy rain/sleet prob
turning to disruptive snow
in most parts
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
Key Weather Development Notes: 20-22nd FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: NSF 20-22 Thunder Risk: Low Jet Stream: Blocked Key Development: The huge Atlantic cold low (“Displaced Polar Vortex”) extends southwards in Mid-Atlantic as High builds Greenland. High Russia – Belarus. High block N Africa to NE USA. Low Aegean Sea/East Med. Main Uncertainties: Position of displaced Polar Vortex
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 11 FEBRUARY 2015 for: 23rd – 24th February Confidence: BC = 70% Prod 29th January from SLAT11. Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Key Weather Development Notes: 23-24th FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: NSF 23-24 Thunder Risk: Low Jet Stream: Huge arc – blocked to South Key Development: Becoming generally slack. High block Spain/N Africa to Newfoundland (Azores high pushed South). Huge area of partly filling low pressure (lows + sublows) from South Greenland to mid North Atlantic. High West Russia/Ukraine. Lows West, Centre + East Med. Main Uncertainties: NW Europe strength of S’ly flow
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
WeatherAction welcomes Feedback on Euro Forecasts
and Their Application: www.WeatherAction.com
Comments Blog
Thundery showers, cold
Dry, fine, warmish
afternoons, very cold nights
A few snow/sleet
showers, bec milder
Dry, fine, warm days,
“spring”
Dry, mostly sunny, bec warm
A few sleet/rain showers
bec milder
Dry, cold/very cold
Drizzle, humid, very mild,
variable sky
Thundery showers, mild
2015 FEBRUARY (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT11 produced 29th January.
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 11 FEBRUARY 2015 for: 25– 28th February Confidence: BC = 70% Prod 29th January from SLAT11. Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Key Weather Development Notes: 25–28th FEBRUARY 2015 Solar-Lunar Factors: R2 25-26, R3 27-28 Thunder Risk: Low/mod Jet Stream: Blocked and re-organising. Key Development: Cold Arctic Displaced Polar vortex retreats North so extremely cold air probably South Greenland. Azores High builds towards Ireland + France. High Finland strengthening. Greenland LOW pressure. Lowish pressure England/ France linked to Med Low. Main Uncertainties: Behaviour of England/France likely low.
