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RESEARCH EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET Property Report Q4 2015 Real Estate for a changing world
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Page 1: EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - re.bnpparibas.frre.bnpparibas.fr/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/propreport_logistics... · LOGISTICS MARKET. Property Report Q4 2015. Real Estate ... particularly

R E S E A R C H

EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKETProperty Report Q4 2015

Real Estatefor a changing world

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PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

EXECUTIVE SUMMARYEuropean logistics gained momentum in 2015 and a number of markets are close to their record levels for transaction volumes. Low interest rates and favourable financing conditions have also stimulated investment. Prime yields contracted significantly reflecting stronger demand in letting & sales and limited prime availability.

The logistics occupier market is picking-up• Take-up increased by 28% in Europe (22 cities) but the lack of

prime supply is still affecting the market.• Germany reached its highest volume of transactions in 2015

at 5.2 million sqm followed by France (3.1m sqm) and the UK (3m sqm).

• E-commerce remains a significant market driver.• Design and build prevails as a strong alternative to limited

speculative developments.• Prime rents evolved only marginally despite market growth.

Strong investors’ demand and yield contraction• The investment market for logistics and industrial premises

reached €26.7bn in 2015 • The UK dropped 33% to €9.7bn in industrial and logistics

investment in 2015. The market represents more than one third of the European volumes.

• Germany broke yet again another record and prime yields dropped by 100bp in the 6 major regional markets.

• Spain and the Netherlands have been catching-up thanks to strong economic improvement, thus stimulating investors’ interest.

• Prime yields contracted between 50 and 100 bp in most European markets.

Vincent Robion – February 2016

CONTACTS

EUROPEAN LOGISTICS COVERAGE

Logan SMITH Head of Logistics [email protected]

FRANCEChristophe Prioux [email protected]

GERMANYOliver Wissel [email protected]

UNITED KINGDOMJonjo [email protected]

SPAINThierry Bougeard [email protected]

Jean-Bernard [email protected]

NETHERLANDSThomas [email protected]

POLAND / CEEKatarzyna Pyś-Fabiań[email protected]

IRELANDBrian [email protected]

OTHER LOCATIONS

Austria Baltic countriesGreece FinlandHungary NorwayRussiaSerbiaSweden SwitzerlandTurkey USA

Please contact Florence [email protected]

RESEARCH

Christophe PineauGlobal Head of Research [email protected]

Vincent RobionHead of European Logistics Research [email protected]

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00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

Imports(year-on-year change)

%

Source: Oxford Economics, BNP Paribas

-32

-24

-16

-8

0

8

16

24

FranceGermanyUK Spain Netherlands

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 15*16*17*14

1.5%1.8%

13

GDP and employment growth in the EU 15

%

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

GDP

* ForecastSource: Oxford Economics, BNP Paribas

Employment

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

Exports (year-on-year change)

%

Source: Oxford Economics, BNP Paribas

FranceGermany NetherlandsSpainUK

-24

-16

-8

0

8

16

24

32

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 16* 17*15*14

Distributive trade and manufacturing outputin the EU 15

%

-16

-12

-8

-4

0

4

8

12

* ForecastSource: Oxford Economics, BNP Paribas

Manufacturing Wholesale and Retail TradeTransportation & Storage

PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

The Eurozone has remained remarkably resilient to the slowdown in the emerging markets, the fall in global trade and the ongoing tensions in the financial markets. This resilience is down to a number of beneficial factors including continued fall in energy costs, particularly oil prices, and weaker EUR driven by a prolonged accommodative monetary policy stance by the ECB.

These tailwinds are mainly supporting growth in the non-core part of the region’s economy. Although the full figures for 2015 were yet to be released at the time of writing, we believe that growth has been polarised. Strong performance in the UK (+2.9%) has given impetus to the European economic performance. In the Eurozone (+1.5%) growth has been driven by the recovering economies of Spain (+3.1%), Ireland (+6.1%), Netherlands (+2.1%) and Portugal (+1.5%), where consumer spending holds a greater weight in economic activity. Continued weakness in emerging markets and now the intensified financial uncertainty in these regions, means that growth in the export oriented economies of Germany (+1.4%), France (+1.2%) and Italy (0.8%) remained soft; that weighs on growth in Europe.

In 2016, the effect of these tailwinds will fade somewhat, while the slowdown in global growth is likely to weigh on the bloc’s export performance. However both monetary and fiscal conditions will remain conducive to growth. The aggregate inflation rate will remain non-threatening and with the fall in energy cost, suggests that it is unlikely to return to the 2.0% target over the next two years. Monetary policy is likely to remain characterised by no movement in the main refinancing operations rate (the core lending rate) currently at 0.05% by the European Central Bank. There is further potential for a decline in the deposit rate (-0.3%) to encourage lending and hence business activity. On balance we expect Eurozone growth to remain broadly stable around its current pace of 1.6% in 2016, with a slight improvement in 2017 to 1.8%. We believe the risk to this view is finely balanced, with the potential for external demand from emerging markets, particularly China, to be weaker than we assume.

RESILIENT ALBEIT LOW ENERGY GROWTH

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2016

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- F

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2016

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Parib

as R

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e -

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000 sqm

Take-up - Warehouses over 5,000 sqm2014 2015

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Grea

ter P

aris

Birm

ingh

amM

anch

este

rLo

ndon

& S

outh

Eas

t

Barc

elon

a

Fran

kfur

t

Mad

rid

Lyon

Leed

s

Ham

burg

Lille

Berl

in

Mar

seill

e

Rott

erda

m

Düss

eldo

rf

Leip

zig

Mun

ich

Bris

tol

Colo

gne

New

cast

le

Lisb

onAm

ster

dam

PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

Take-up increased by 28% in the panel of 22 European cities regularly recorded from 2014 to 2015. Indeed, the gradual economic improvement has had positive impact on consumption and domestic demand, which in turn stimulated the market for distribution warehouses.

E-commerce continues to increase in Europe (+15% a year since 2010). Activities that were normally done in shops are now undertaken in logistics warehouses. As a consequence E-commerce businesses need more space than traditional retailers and demand for warehouses from the retail and distribution sector has become predominant in the largest markets. It accounted for more than half of the total volume of transactions signed over the past twelve months in France (61%) and the UK (57%). In Germany, it accounted 28%, superseded by the industrial sector, a traditionally strong demand source.

Supply dried out during the crisis and despite an economic revival, high grade supply declined to its lowest level during 2015. While some speculative developments have taken place in countries including the UK, Poland, the Netherlands and Spain, demand for new high grade warehouses remained stronger than availability in most markets. As a result, design and build solutions continued to be a strong alternative, particularly for large units.

Prime rents only evolved marginally in the main European markets despite the chronic lack of prime new warehouses. One of the main reasons lies in the low margins achieved in the logistics industry, which in turn constrain tenants who can’t afford higher rents.

Germany remains the largest single occupier market in Europe. The volume of transactions reached its highest level ever recorded in 2015 at 5.2 million sqm. Take-up was boosted by strong manufacturer demand, especially in the automotive industry. As the market continues to thrive, built to suit solutions are increasingly popular to meet end user requirements for higher quality warehouses. This trend largely results from the limited supply of large-unit premises, most sought out by German end users.

The UK volume of transactions increased to nearly 3 million sqm in 2015, up 5% on 2014. The lack of new supply is still affecting the market, stimulating design and build solutions: 61% of deals over 25,000 sqm were designed and built. Speculative developments are underway and are expected to ease the market to some extent, but not sufficiently to keep pace with tenant demand. In this context, prime rents are settled at €95 per sqm (£6.5 per sqft) in the Midlands and are seeing upwards pressure in the other regions.

The French market recorded its highest level since 2008. The volume of transactions increased by 17% in 2015 to 3.1 million sqm, whilst the availability of new grade A warehouses dropped to a 10-year low. Retailers accounted for more than half of the demand taken up in 2015, in response to the recovery in consumption and encouraging prospects in 2017. Greater Paris is confirming its leading position in the European occupier market, just in front of Birmingham in the UK.

Following several years of poor activity, Spain returned to growth recording 995,000 sqm in 2015. In the Netherlands the volume of transactions reached 1.6 million sqm, twice the volumes recorded in 2014. Both countries came out of recession at the end of 2014 and were left with rock bottom levels of new grade A supply. With the return of business confidence and strong GDP growth in 2015, speculative developments are underway.

In Poland, the warehousing market gained momentum in 2015 with strong demand in a healthy economic environment. The vacancy rate fell to 5.7% but developers have a strong pipeline of projects under construction. As a result of substantial increase in supply due for delivery by the end of 2016 some regions such as upper and lower Silesia as well as Szczecin may record a downward pressure on rents.

THE OCCUPIER MARKET GAINED MOMENTUM IN 2015

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200220

240

260

€/sqm/year

Prime rents - Warehouses over 5,000 sqmPrime Rent Secondary Rent

Lond

on &

Sou

th E

ast

Oslo

Hels

inki

Birm

ingh

amSt

ockh

olm

Man

ches

ter

Amst

erda

m

Bris

tol

Mun

ich

New

cast

leLe

eds

Fran

kfur

tVi

enna

Barc

elon

aHa

mbu

rgIs

tanb

ulM

adrid

Düss

eldo

rfCo

logn

eW

arsa

wRo

tter

dam

Talli

nnBe

rlin

Grea

ter P

aris

Buda

pest

Leip

zig

Rom

eVi

lniu

sPr

ague

Mila

n

Riga

85

69

5695

46

46

84

55

45

54

60

65

76

55

68

108

67

46 48

45

81

52

46

45

40

235

46

66

85

44

50

81

43

81

128

41

51

48

52

58

81

95

58

45

72

52

60

48

54

Edinburgh

DublinManchester

Birmingham

Lille

Paris

Lyon

Marseille

Barcelona

Madrid

Lisbon

Milan

Warsaw

Berlin

Hamburg

Cologne

Düsseldorf

FrankfurtMunich

EdinburghGlasgow

Bristol

Newcastle

Amsterdam(Schiphol)Amsterdam(Schiphol)

Glasgow

DublinManchester

Birmingham

LondonHeathrowLondon

HeathrowBristol

Newcastle

Lille

GreaterParis

Lyon

Marseille Rome

Barcelona

Madrid

Lisbon

Milan

Warsaw

KatowiceKatowice

Lodz

Krakow

Poznan

Berlin

Hamburg

RotterdamRotterdam

Cologne

Düsseldorf

Frankfurt

Leipzig

Munich

IstanbulIstanbul

Helsinki

OsloStockholm

Vienna

Tallinn

Vilnius

Riga

Bordeaux

Toulouse

Nantes

Budapest

LeedsLeeds

Prague

Le HavreLe Havre

Gdansk

Bucharest

BrusselsAirport

BrusselsAirport

AntwerpAntwerp

BratislavaBratislavaBratislava

Athens

250 km0 125

©BN

PPR

E R

esea

rch

2016

Rents in €/sqm/year

≥ 70

50 - 69

<50

PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

BNP

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Rese

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NET PRIME RENTS IN Q4 2015 - WAREHOUSES OVER 5,000 SQM

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United Kingdom

German

yFra

nce

Norway

Sweden

Industrial* investment volume Western Europe

€ bn

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

* Industrial premises and warehouses

2015 2010-2015 average

20082007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014 20152013

Industrial* investment volume in Europe

€ bn

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

*Industrial premises and warehouses

Average 2007-2015

Belgium

Finlan

dSpain

Netherl

ands

Portuga

lIta

ly

DenmarkIre

land

Austria

Industrial* investment volume Western Europe

€ bn

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

* Industrial premises and warehouses

2015 2010-2015 average

Commercial real estate investment volume in 2015 Western Europe*

Of�ces

Retail

Industrial

Hotels

Other

11%

44%10%

25%

8%

* Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Netherlands, UK

PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

Industrial and logistics investment in Europe remained buoyant amounting €26.7bn during 2015. Despite a 13% decrease compared to 2014, some of the largest markets have been nearing their best volumes ever. With low interest rates and still favourable financing conditions, the environment remains attractive. Five markets including the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and France represented together three quarters of the total European industrial investment. The UK alone accounted for some 36% of industrial and logistics investments in Europe with €9.7bn achieved in 2015. Despite a significant drop over 2014, it is still the second best volume ever recorded. Strong competition among investors and little availability on prime products led to a decline in prime yields.Germany achieved yet again another record year (€4.65bn), increasing by a further 10% in 2015. The strong interest in logistics complexes shown by investors was reflected by an across-the-board fall in prime yields in all the major markets. Yields in the seven locations fell by an average of 100 basis points compared with the end of 2014. Munich remains the most expensive market, with a net prime yield of 5.20 %.In France, the volume of industrial and logistics investments reached €2.2bn thanks to a strong fourth quarter. Portfolio transfers accounted for more than 60% of total industrial and logistics investments. The market

was somewhat hampered by a lack of prime assets. Combined with strong demand and still low cost of borrowing, prime yields fell below the threshold of 6% in 2015.After a buoyant year in 2014, industrial investment in the Nordic countries stabilized in 2015 to €5.5bn. Norway led the way with nearly €2.5bn invested in 2015 (+38% on 2014).In the CEE markets, the volume of industrial investment declined by 37% to just €1bn in 2015. This fall is attributable to the fact that the majority of portfolios changed hands in 2013 and 2014. Poland accounted for nearly half of the CEE total (€457m), enjoying healthy occupier market conditions and improved economic situation. The upturn in investment recorded at the end of 2014 was confirmed during 2015 in Spain (€466m) and the Netherlands (€1.5bn), releasing opportunities in both countries after several years at standstill. Prime yields contracted in all the main European markets reflecting stronger demand in the letting markets and limited prime availability. Apart from Portugal and Spain, prime yields are nearing new lows in most European countries losing between 50 and 100 bp since 2014. They dropped, well below 5% in the UK and in the main German hubs (5.2% in Munich). They reached 5.8% in Amsterdam, 5.8% in Paris and 5.5% in Poland.

YIELD DROPPED BETWEEN 50 TO 100 BP IN MOST EUROPEAN MARKETS DURING 2015

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3

5

7

9

11

%

Net prime yields - warehouses over 5,000 sqmQ4 2014Q4 2015

UK

Germ

any

Nor

way

Pola

nd

Fran

ce

Net

herl

ands

Swed

en

Italy

Irela

nd

Belg

ium

Czec

h Re

publ

ic

Aust

ria

Finl

and

Spai

n

Port

ugal

Turk

ey

Slov

akia

Rom

ania

Range since 2007

Yields

< 6%

6% - 7%

7% - 8%

> 8%

6.50%

5.80%

7.25%

5.40%4.75%

7.00%

7.50%

4.75%

6.75%

8.75%

9.00%

5.25%

6.50%

5.25%

5.25%

5.80%

5.25%

7.00%

7.50%

6.00% 7.50%

7.75%

5.75%

5.90%

6.35%

7.25%

7.00%

4.75%

6.85%

7.00%

5.00%

6.35%

6.50%

5.20%

7.50%

5.85%

5.25%

6.50%

8.75%

6.50%

6.50%

6.00%

5.90%

8.50%

7.30%

6.80%

8.50%

6.00%

6.50%London

Heathrow

Edinburgh

DublinManchester

Birmingham

Lille

Paris

Lyon

Marseille

Barcelona

Madrid

Lisbon

Milan

Warsaw

Berlin

Hamburg

Amsterdam

Cologne

Düsseldorf

FrankfurtMunich

Edinburgh

Newcastle

Glasgow

Bristol

Newcastle

DublinManchester

Glasgow

Birmingham

Lille

GreaterParis

Lyon

Marseille Rome

Barcelona

Madrid

Lisbon

Milan

Bucharest

Warsaw

Berlin

Leipzig

Hamburg

Amsterdam

Cologne

Düsseldorf

FrankfurtMunich

RotterdamRotterdam

Bristol

Helsinki

IstanbulIstanbul

StockholmOslo

Vienna

Tallinn

Vilnius

Riga

KatowiceKatowiceKrakow

Lodz

Poznan

LondonHeathrow

Toulouse

Nantes

Budapest

Bordeaux

LeedsLeeds

Le HavreLe HavreLe HavreLe Havre BrusselsAirport

BrusselsAirport

AntwerpAntwerp

BratislavaBratislavaBratislava

250 km0 125

©BN

PPR

E R

esea

rch

2016

PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

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NET PRIME YIELDS IN Q4 2015 - WAREHOUSES OVER 5,000 SQM

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PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

OCCUPIER LOGISTICS MARKET - WAREHOUSES OVER 5,000 SQM

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT MARKET IN EUROPE

BNP

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City

Take-up (000 m²)Rents (€/sqm/year)

Prime Secondary

2015 2014 Variation y-o-y (%) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2015

Greater Paris 1,097 889 23% 55 55 48

Birmingham 969 1,057 -8% 95 95 70

Manchester 617 438 41% 85 84 66

London & South East 571 512 11% 235 235 117

Barcelona 504 321 57% 69 65 na

Frankfurt 464 308 51% 76 76 64

Madrid 420 291 44% 66 72 na

Lyon 399 366 9% 46 46 42

Leeds 396 256 55% 81 77 59

Hamburg 371 252 47% 68 68 55

Lille 367 210 75% 46 44 42

Berlin 350 172 103% 56 56 50

Marseille 309 154 100% 44 44 41

Rotterdam 257 51 403% 58 57 43

Düsseldorf 253 218 16% 65 65 59

Leipzig 191 174 10% 52 52 43

Munich 143 163 -12% 81 78 70

Bristol 136 115 18% 84 84 62

Cologne 91 225 -60% 60 60 54

Newcastle 82 91 -10% 81 77 51

Lisbon 72 24 199% 45 45 na

Amsterdam 69 82 -16% 85 85 74

Country

Commercial real estate investment (€ million) Industrial & logistics investment (€ million)

2015 2014 Variation y-o-y (%) 2015 2014 Variation

y-o-y (%)

UK 86,648 82,669 5% 9,692 14,374 -33%

Germany 56,264 40,154 40% 4,649 4,233 10%

France 29,011 28,015 4% 2,536 1,668 52%

Sweden 11,142 12,349 -10% 1,944 1,936 0%

Spain 10,537 6,975 51% 466 576 -19%

Norway 10,413 7,289 43% 2,494 1,809 38%

Netherlands 8,364 6,930 21% 1,486 804 85%

Italy 8,179 5,221 57% 339 428 -21%

CEE countries* 8,139 6,492 25% 1,003 1,600 -37%

Finland 5,460 4,079 34% 865 1,588 -46%

Belgium 3,877 3,087 26% 186 271 -31%

Ireland 3,612 4,597 -21% 64 232 -73%

Austria 3,575 2,930 22% 45 60 -25%

Portugal 3,270 774 322% 248 120 106%

Poland 4,009 3,017 33% 457 699 -35%

*Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia

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PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

NET PRIME YIELDS - WAREHOUSES OVER 5,000 SQM

BNP

Parib

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2016

CityNet prime yields

Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Bp variation

Amsterdam 5.90% 6.20% -30

Barcelona 7.25% 7.80% -55

Berlin 5.40% 6.40% -100

Birmingham 4.75% 5.00% -25

Bordeaux 7.00% 7.10% -10

Bratislava 7.50% 8.50% -100

Bristol 4.75% 6.00% -125

Brussels 6.75% 7.25% -50

Bucharest 8.75% 10.00% -125

Budapest 9.00% 9.00% 0

Cologne 5.25% 6.40% -115

Dublin 6.50% 7.00% -50

Düsseldorf 5.25% 6.40% -115

Frankfurt 5.25% 6.30% -105

Greater Paris 5.80% 6.85% -105

Hamburg 5.25% 6.30% -105

Helsinki 7.00% 7.10% -10

Istanbul 7.50% 7.25% 25

Katowice 6.00% 7.25% -125

Krakow 7.50% 7.50% 0

Leeds 5.75% 6.00% -25

Leipzig 5.90% 6.70% -80

Lille 6.35% 6.85% -50

Lisbon 7.25% 7.50% -25

Lodz 7.00% 7.25% -25

London & South East 4.75% 4.75% 0

Lyon 6.85% 6.85% 0

Madrid 7.00% 7.80% -80

Manchester 5.00% 5.25% -25

Marseille 6.40% 6.85% -45

Milan 6.50% 8.00% -150

Munich 5.20% 6.20% -100

Newcastle 5.85% 6.25% -40

Oslo 5.25% 6.25% -100

Poznan 6.50% 7.25% -75

Prague 6.75% 7.00% -25

Riga 8.75% 8.75% 0

Rome 6.50% 8.00% -150

Rotterdam 6.50% 6.70% -20

Stockholm 5.90% 6.25% -35

Tallinn 8.50% 8.50% 0

Vienna 6.80% 7.15% -35

Vilnius 8.50% 8.75% -25

Warsaw 6.00% 7.15% -115

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PROPERTY REPORT - EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - FEBRUARY 2016

GLOSSARY

Design & Build: construction of a bespoke building for an occupier.• Owner-occupier development: construction of a building for an occupier

who has signed a bill of sale on a property still to be built. • Lease turnkey: construction of a building for an occupier who has signed a

lease on a property still to be built.

Distributive trade: it is measuring the volume of material goods to consumers distributed through retailing and wholesale trade.

Light industrial buildings: individual buildings intended for production or small-scale distribution and able to accommodate all the company departments under one roof.

Logistics: the process of planning, implementing, and controlling procedures for the efficient and effective transportation and storage of goods, and related information from the point of origin to the point of consumption. Includes inbound, outbound, internal, and external movements.

New supply: all building restructuring that adds to the existing stock. These are analysed according to progress. • Completed new supply: buildings on which construction work is finished. • Under construction: buildings on which construction has effectively begun.

Prior demolition work is not taken into account. • Planning permission granted: authorisation to build obtained, generally

booked after settlement of third party claims. • Planning permission submitted: planning permission requested, being

processed. • Projects: identified intention of a building operation for which no request

has been filed.

Portfolio: group of several assets located in different places.

Rent: common annual headline rent, expressed per square metre per year, and excluding taxes and charges. Prime rent: represents the top open-market rent at the survey date for a real estate unit: • Over 5,000 m² suitable for logistics uses• Of the highest quality and specification • In the best location in a market Secondary rent: represents a market rent at the survey date for a real estate unit: • Over 5,000 m² suitable for logistics uses • Of good quality and specification • In a good location in a market

Second hand premises: premises that have been previously occupied by an occupier or vacant for more than five years.

Speculative / Non speculative operation: • Speculative: construction launched without prior rental or sale to the

occupier. • Non-speculative: construction launched after partial or complete sale or

rental to an occupier.

Supply chain: all the elements in the process of supplying a product to a customer. The chain begins with the sourcing of raw materials and ends with the delivery of finished merchandise to the end-user. It embraces vendors, manufacturing facilities, logistics service providers, distribution centres, distributors, wholesalers, other intermediaries, etc.

Supply chain management: Encompasses the planning and management of all activities involved in sourcing and procurement, conversion, and all logistics management activities.

Transaction (Take-up): rental or sale to an occupier of a real estate asset, sealed by the signature of a lease or deed, including turnkey and owner-occupier operations. The transaction is only taken into account once any existing conditional clauses have been lifted. • Pre-let refers to take-up that was either in the planning or construction

stage • All deals (including pre-lets) are recorded in the period in which they are

signed • Contract renewals are not included • Sales and leasebacks are not included as there had been no change in

occupation

Vacant Space: all completed buildings actively seeking rental or sale to occupiers.

Warehouses: buildings intended for storage, distribution or packaging.

Yield: • Net yield: ratio between net income (excl. operating costs) and the

acquisition price including all acquisition costs. • Initial yield: ratio between the net rent before taxes and charges on the date

of sale and the selling price (all costs included). • Prime yield: net lowest yield obtained for the acquisition of a unit:

- of standard size, - of the highest quality and specification, - in the best location in each market.

BNP Paribas Real Estate Disclaimer clause

BNP Paribas Real Estate cannot be held responsible if, despite its best efforts, the information contained in the present report turns out to be inaccurate or incomplete. This report is released by BNP Paribas Real Estate and the information in it is dedicated to the exclusive use of its clients. The report and the information contained in it may not be copied or reproduced without prior permission from BNP Paribas Real Estate. Should you no longer wish to receive this report, or wish to modify the conditions of reception of this report, please send an e-mail to: [email protected]

Definitions from A to Z…

The numerical data used by BNP Paribas Real Estate for its statistics feature all the information at the group’s disposal when compiling them. These statistics may change according to new information brought to our knowledge that is often confidential to begin with.

Page 11: EUROPEAN LOGISTICS MARKET - re.bnpparibas.frre.bnpparibas.fr/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/propreport_logistics... · LOGISTICS MARKET. Property Report Q4 2015. Real Estate ... particularly

Non contractual document - Research department – February 2016BNP Paribas Real Estate: Simplified joint stock company with capital of € 383.071.696 - 692 012 180 RCS Nanterre - Code NAF 7010 Z - CE identification number FR 666 920 121 80

Headquarters: 167, Quai de la Bataille de Stalingrad - 92867 Issy Les Moulineaux Cedex - BNP Paribas Real Estate is part of the BNP Paribas Banking Group

EUROPE

FRANCE92867 Issy-les-Moulineaux Tel.: +33 1 55 65 20 04

GERMANY60311 Frankfurt Tel.: +49 69 2 98 99 0

BELGIUM 1040 BrusselsTel.: +32 2 290 59 59

SPAIN 28004 Madrid Tel.: +34 91 454 96 00

HUNGARYH-1123 Budapest Tel.: +36 1 487 5501

IRELANDDublin 4 Tel.: +353 1 66 11 233

ITALY20143 Milan Tel.: +39 02 58 33 141

JERSEYSt Helier, Jersey JE4 8RD Tel.: +44 (0)1 534 629 001

LUXEMBOURG1855 Luxembourg Tél.: +352 34 94 84 Investment Management Tel.: +352 26 26 06 06

NETHERLANDS 1071 JP - Amsterdam Tel.: +31 20 305 97 20

POLAND00-854 Warsaw Tel.: +48 22 653 44 00

CZECH REPUBLIC 186 00 Prague 8 Tel.: +420 224 835 000

ROMANIABucharest 010031 Tel.: +40 21 312 7000

UNITED KINGDOM London EC2V 8HR Tel.: +44 20 7338 4000

MIDDLE EAST / ASIA

ABOU DHABIP.O. Box 2742 Abu DhabiTel.: +971 44 248 277

DUBAIP.O. Box 7233 Dubaï Tel.: +971 44 248 277

HONG KONGCenter - 8 Finance StreetHong Kong Tel.: +852 2909 2806

ALGERIA *

AUSTRIA

CYPRUS

IVORY COAST *

ESTONIA

USA

FINLAND

GREECE

HUNGARY ***

LATVIA

LITHUANIA

MOROCCO

NORWAY

RUSSIA

SERBIA

SLOVAKIA **

SWEDEN

SWITZERLAND

TUNISIA *

TURKEY

UKRAINE

www.realestate.bnpparibas.com

ContactsAlliancesFlorence HesseTel.: +33 (0)1 47 59 17 38 [email protected]

ResearchChristophe Pineau Tel.: +33 (0)1 47 59 24 77 [email protected]

@BNPPRE

* Coverage via our alliance in Morocco ** Covering Transaction, Valuation & Consulting*** In Transaction, Consulting & Valuation

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