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Evolution of GSM in IndiaEvolution of GSM in India
T V Ramachandran, Director GeneralT V Ramachandran, Director General
September 13, 2005September 13, 2005
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Status of GSM IndustryStatus of GSM Industry
Cellular services started in India in 1995; GSM was the mandated
standard.
Above Government decision proved to be beneficial for India as
GSM has been established as the dominant standard.
As of August 2005, there were nearly 50 million GSM subscribers
which constitutes 80% of the total cellular subs.
The month of July and August witnessed record growth in GSM
subscriber addition of about 2 million.
75% of the new mobile subscribers in India choose GSM.
There are 83 state-of-the art Networks of GSM.
Roll out of services in more than 4,000 town & cities and morethan 60,000 villages.
Total Private GSM Investments are over Rs 50,000 crores.
GSMGSM--Fixed Crossover achieved in April 2005.Fixed Crossover achieved in April 2005.
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GSM Growth Through the YearsGSM Growth Through the Years
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year ended April
Several points of inflexion in the past, have givenSeveral points of inflexion in the past, have given
kickkick--start to improved cellular growthstart to improved cellular growth
NTP99
3rd
& 4th
Cellular
CPP
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Steeply falling tariffs have ensured affordableSteeply falling tariffs have ensured affordable
services to a large subs baseservices to a large subs base
6
0.41.6
0.44
2
3.58
14 14
13
51.53
6.5
3.581.881.2
0.88
33.31
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Effectivechar
ge(in
sper
in)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
obilesubscriberbase(in
illion)
Eff ective charge (in Rs. Per min) Subscriber Base (in mn)
rd th ellular
Operator
ntroduced
Lo ering of fro
to of sector
revenue
'
ates per inute have fallen by over in the lastseven years
Source: TRAI Study paper No 2/2005
Introduction
of CDMA
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GSMGSM -- the dominant standard in Indiathe dominant standard in India
GSM constitutes around 80% of the cellular marketin India.
Market share of GSM continues to rise steadilyMarket share of GSM continues to rise steadily
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Su
sinmn
GSM CDMA
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GSM Increasing its Market Share GloballyGSM Increasing its Market Share Globally
Indian GSM industry is in sync with the worldwidestandards; worldwide GSM constitutes 75% of the
subs base and 80% of the monthly additions.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
199
2
199
4
199
6
199
8
200
0
200
2
200
4
Sub
sinm
GSM CDMA
GSM
aunch
CDMA
aunch
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GSM AdvantagesGSM Advantages
GSM advantages over other cellular technologies are:GSM advantages over other cellular technologies are:
Dominant global market share of GSM gives benefits:
arge number of infrastructure and handset vendors givingadvantage in terms of price and other commercial terms.
Innovations ahead of CDMA e.g. single chip handsets.
Widest choice of handsets with widespread sales and servicedistribution network.
Handset availability in all price segments and ongoingintroduction of wide variety to meet customer requirements.
asy subscription process SIM based
Widespread prepaid solutions
Seamless interoperability between networks and handsets.
Global footprint for international roaming including SMS, dataand other value added services.
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GSM verall fficiencyGSM verall fficiency
For peratorsFor perators
conomies of scale due to
dominant market share:
worldwide and India Choice of multiple
vendors
Capex optimisation
ower subscriberacquisition cost
Seamless interoperability
For SubscribersFor Subscribers
ow cost entry handsets
Wide choice and
availability of handsets
International roaming
asy subscription
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Affordable Services for Common ManAffordable Services for Common Man
Mobile has fast moved from a class service to a mass
service for the common man fuelled by continuously
falling tariffs and increased coverage.
Connectivity
for the
farmers
Better pricesfor the
produce
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Affordable Services for Common ManAffordable Services for Common Man
Affordability has made mobile services the keyplank for economic development.
Mandi Prices
on the Move KeralaFishermenCall in their
Catch
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N W R V NU PP RTUNITI SN W R V NU PP RTUNITI S VASVAS
Airtel
ive portal with games, music, cricket, stock,news, easy charge facility, logos, range ofvoice activated services, games, missed callalerts, Airtel ive, Hello Tunes etc.
Hutch
nline Yahoo & MSN Messenger, Java basedgames, missed call alerts, logos, games,
news, stock, range of voice activatedservices, Caller Tunes, etc.
Idea
Daily horoscopes, cellular jockey to sendmusical greeting cards, voice activatedservices, music, logos, news, stock, movies,cricket, games, jokes, Dialer Tones, etc.
BPRingtones, logos, picture messages, send-a-song, mobile gaming, etc.
Spice
Ringtones, logos, picture messages,SMSChat, mobile gaming, etc.
Aircel
Ringtones, logos, picture messages, games,music, etc.
healthtips
ringtones
mobile gaming
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Revenues Form Value Added ServicesRevenues Form Value Added Services
Postpaid Prepaid Total
VAS Revenue as to Net
Service Revenue
VAS Revenue composition for
in
VAS shows promising trends, share in total net service
revenue increasing continuously
Source: PWC Indian GSM Cellular Benchmarking Study 2004
S M S Cl ip Ot her s
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Potential of the SectorPotential of the Sector
Private GSM subscriber base has the potential toreach 103 million subscribers by Dec07 from the
present level of 36 million in August05.
Projected growth of private GSM sector is as
given below:
Year ending Dec. 2004
Actual
August 2005
Actual
Dec 2005
Projected
Dec. 2006
Projected
Dec. 2007
Projected
Private GSM 28 36 42 65 103
In Million
This will contribute in a substantial manner to overallThis will contribute in a substantial manner to overall
target of 250 mn telephone subs fixed+mobile bytarget of 250 mn telephone subs fixed+mobile by
2007 set by the Government2007 set by the Government
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Push Towards Next GenerationPush Towards Next Generation
India represents one of the most exciting
opportunities for mobile services in the coming
decade.
We are already providing 2G and 2.75G services.
The next big push would be the introduction of
3G services.
arly and expeditious introduction of 3G services inarly and expeditious introduction of 3G services in
India will hold the key to Indias mobile successIndia will hold the key to Indias mobile success
and its future dominance in mobile telephonyand its future dominance in mobile telephony
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3G in India3G in India
3G will be introduced in India by 2006.
3G upgradation for GSM is 3GSM WCDMA .
In India GSM constitutes 80% of the total cellular
market; this will form a ripe base for 3GSMWCDMA .
Worldwide also 3GSM WCDMA drives the 3G
growth.
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GSMGSM -- Predominant Global Mobile StandardPredominant Global Mobile Standard
for 3Gfor 3G
3
3
r
Ma
n l
Se
to e a
neb
Mar r
Ma
n l
3GSM (WCDMA)
CDMA 2000 1xEVDO
s of date,s of date, 3GSM s bs ribers ha e rossed 3 million3GSM s bs ribers ha e rossed 3 million,,
a o ntin for aro nda o ntin for aro nd 7 % of the 3G market7 % of the 3G market.. GSM shareGSM share
ontin es to riseontin es to rise month after monthmonth after month
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Benefits of 3G for IndiaBenefits of 3G for India
3G has a 4-5 times higher voice capacity than present 2Gservices.
An ideal platform to deliver low cost voice telephonyto Indian consumers.
3G has hi-speed data capabilities
It will fulfill the content rich mobility experience forurban Indians.
3G will help in enhancing Indias competitiveness in theIT S / BP segment.
xtremely effective tool in driving penetration of the huge
addressable market in the rural areas.
3G will also enable achieving the broadband objectives ofthe Government.
33GG willwill integrateintegrate IndiaIndia andand IndianIndian consumerconsumer withwith thethe farfar
reachingreaching developmentsdevelopments takingtaking placeplace acrossacross thethe worldworld..
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Mobile BroadbandMobile Broadband The Next FrontierThe Next Frontier
Mobile phone is fast becoming the dominant technologyfor voice communications.
Mobile phone is becoming less & less of a narrowband
device as it evolves through 2G to 2.5G to 2.75G to 3G.
the mobile phone has moved beyond being a mere
device to become a key social object present in every
aspect of our daily lives.
ara Srivastava, ITU
33GG probablyprobably providesprovides thethe bestbest ubiquityubiquity inin broadbandbroadband
connectivityconnectivity alwaysalways on,on, fastfast enoughenough..
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Indias Path to Mobile BroadbandIndias Path to Mobile Broadband
Indias path to Mobile Broadband must be through 3G in theWARC-92 identified Core Band of 1920-1980 MHz p/w 2110-2170MHz because :
nly band globally harmonized for interference free co-existence of both GSM & CDMA
quipment available for both technologies in this band
Majority of countries have opted for 3G in the Core Band Japan & Korea live examples where GSM & CDMA are co-
existing in the Core Band
India by choosing this globally adopted spectrum band will be ableto avail of
conomies of scale lower tariffs
Seamless roaming
Inter-operability
Interference free operations
India being a country where both GSM & CDMA co-exist mustchoose a 3G path which allows for the co-existence as well as
future growth & development of both technologies
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GSM has been the prime growth driverGSM has been the prime growth driver
of Telecom services in India and wouldof Telecom services in India and would
continue to be the same for newcontinue to be the same for new
evolving technologies and willevolving technologies and will
contribute to the growth and prosperitycontribute to the growth and prosperity
of the industry.of the industry.
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THANK Y UTHANK Y [email protected]@coai.in