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Evolution of GSM in India- Smart Card Expo

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    Evolution of GSM in IndiaEvolution of GSM in India

    T V Ramachandran, Director GeneralT V Ramachandran, Director General

    September 13, 2005September 13, 2005

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    Status of GSM IndustryStatus of GSM Industry

    Cellular services started in India in 1995; GSM was the mandated

    standard.

    Above Government decision proved to be beneficial for India as

    GSM has been established as the dominant standard.

    As of August 2005, there were nearly 50 million GSM subscribers

    which constitutes 80% of the total cellular subs.

    The month of July and August witnessed record growth in GSM

    subscriber addition of about 2 million.

    75% of the new mobile subscribers in India choose GSM.

    There are 83 state-of-the art Networks of GSM.

    Roll out of services in more than 4,000 town & cities and morethan 60,000 villages.

    Total Private GSM Investments are over Rs 50,000 crores.

    GSMGSM--Fixed Crossover achieved in April 2005.Fixed Crossover achieved in April 2005.

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    GSM Growth Through the YearsGSM Growth Through the Years

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Year ended April

    Several points of inflexion in the past, have givenSeveral points of inflexion in the past, have given

    kickkick--start to improved cellular growthstart to improved cellular growth

    NTP99

    3rd

    & 4th

    Cellular

    CPP

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    Steeply falling tariffs have ensured affordableSteeply falling tariffs have ensured affordable

    services to a large subs baseservices to a large subs base

    6

    0.41.6

    0.44

    2

    3.58

    14 14

    13

    51.53

    6.5

    3.581.881.2

    0.88

    33.31

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Effectivechar

    ge(in

    sper

    in)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    obilesubscriberbase(in

    illion)

    Eff ective charge (in Rs. Per min) Subscriber Base (in mn)

    rd th ellular

    Operator

    ntroduced

    Lo ering of fro

    to of sector

    revenue

    '

    ates per inute have fallen by over in the lastseven years

    Source: TRAI Study paper No 2/2005

    Introduction

    of CDMA

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    GSMGSM -- the dominant standard in Indiathe dominant standard in India

    GSM constitutes around 80% of the cellular marketin India.

    Market share of GSM continues to rise steadilyMarket share of GSM continues to rise steadily

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Su

    sinmn

    GSM CDMA

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    GSM Increasing its Market Share GloballyGSM Increasing its Market Share Globally

    Indian GSM industry is in sync with the worldwidestandards; worldwide GSM constitutes 75% of the

    subs base and 80% of the monthly additions.

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    199

    2

    199

    4

    199

    6

    199

    8

    200

    0

    200

    2

    200

    4

    Sub

    sinm

    GSM CDMA

    GSM

    aunch

    CDMA

    aunch

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    GSM AdvantagesGSM Advantages

    GSM advantages over other cellular technologies are:GSM advantages over other cellular technologies are:

    Dominant global market share of GSM gives benefits:

    arge number of infrastructure and handset vendors givingadvantage in terms of price and other commercial terms.

    Innovations ahead of CDMA e.g. single chip handsets.

    Widest choice of handsets with widespread sales and servicedistribution network.

    Handset availability in all price segments and ongoingintroduction of wide variety to meet customer requirements.

    asy subscription process SIM based

    Widespread prepaid solutions

    Seamless interoperability between networks and handsets.

    Global footprint for international roaming including SMS, dataand other value added services.

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    GSM verall fficiencyGSM verall fficiency

    For peratorsFor perators

    conomies of scale due to

    dominant market share:

    worldwide and India Choice of multiple

    vendors

    Capex optimisation

    ower subscriberacquisition cost

    Seamless interoperability

    For SubscribersFor Subscribers

    ow cost entry handsets

    Wide choice and

    availability of handsets

    International roaming

    asy subscription

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    Affordable Services for Common ManAffordable Services for Common Man

    Mobile has fast moved from a class service to a mass

    service for the common man fuelled by continuously

    falling tariffs and increased coverage.

    Connectivity

    for the

    farmers

    Better pricesfor the

    produce

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    Affordable Services for Common ManAffordable Services for Common Man

    Affordability has made mobile services the keyplank for economic development.

    Mandi Prices

    on the Move KeralaFishermenCall in their

    Catch

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    N W R V NU PP RTUNITI SN W R V NU PP RTUNITI S VASVAS

    Airtel

    ive portal with games, music, cricket, stock,news, easy charge facility, logos, range ofvoice activated services, games, missed callalerts, Airtel ive, Hello Tunes etc.

    Hutch

    nline Yahoo & MSN Messenger, Java basedgames, missed call alerts, logos, games,

    news, stock, range of voice activatedservices, Caller Tunes, etc.

    Idea

    Daily horoscopes, cellular jockey to sendmusical greeting cards, voice activatedservices, music, logos, news, stock, movies,cricket, games, jokes, Dialer Tones, etc.

    BPRingtones, logos, picture messages, send-a-song, mobile gaming, etc.

    Spice

    Ringtones, logos, picture messages,SMSChat, mobile gaming, etc.

    Aircel

    Ringtones, logos, picture messages, games,music, etc.

    healthtips

    ringtones

    mobile gaming

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    Revenues Form Value Added ServicesRevenues Form Value Added Services

    Postpaid Prepaid Total

    VAS Revenue as to Net

    Service Revenue

    VAS Revenue composition for

    in

    VAS shows promising trends, share in total net service

    revenue increasing continuously

    Source: PWC Indian GSM Cellular Benchmarking Study 2004

    S M S Cl ip Ot her s

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    Potential of the SectorPotential of the Sector

    Private GSM subscriber base has the potential toreach 103 million subscribers by Dec07 from the

    present level of 36 million in August05.

    Projected growth of private GSM sector is as

    given below:

    Year ending Dec. 2004

    Actual

    August 2005

    Actual

    Dec 2005

    Projected

    Dec. 2006

    Projected

    Dec. 2007

    Projected

    Private GSM 28 36 42 65 103

    In Million

    This will contribute in a substantial manner to overallThis will contribute in a substantial manner to overall

    target of 250 mn telephone subs fixed+mobile bytarget of 250 mn telephone subs fixed+mobile by

    2007 set by the Government2007 set by the Government

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    Push Towards Next GenerationPush Towards Next Generation

    India represents one of the most exciting

    opportunities for mobile services in the coming

    decade.

    We are already providing 2G and 2.75G services.

    The next big push would be the introduction of

    3G services.

    arly and expeditious introduction of 3G services inarly and expeditious introduction of 3G services in

    India will hold the key to Indias mobile successIndia will hold the key to Indias mobile success

    and its future dominance in mobile telephonyand its future dominance in mobile telephony

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    3G in India3G in India

    3G will be introduced in India by 2006.

    3G upgradation for GSM is 3GSM WCDMA .

    In India GSM constitutes 80% of the total cellular

    market; this will form a ripe base for 3GSMWCDMA .

    Worldwide also 3GSM WCDMA drives the 3G

    growth.

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    GSMGSM -- Predominant Global Mobile StandardPredominant Global Mobile Standard

    for 3Gfor 3G

    3

    3

    r

    Ma

    n l

    Se

    to e a

    neb

    Mar r

    Ma

    n l

    3GSM (WCDMA)

    CDMA 2000 1xEVDO

    s of date,s of date, 3GSM s bs ribers ha e rossed 3 million3GSM s bs ribers ha e rossed 3 million,,

    a o ntin for aro nda o ntin for aro nd 7 % of the 3G market7 % of the 3G market.. GSM shareGSM share

    ontin es to riseontin es to rise month after monthmonth after month

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    Benefits of 3G for IndiaBenefits of 3G for India

    3G has a 4-5 times higher voice capacity than present 2Gservices.

    An ideal platform to deliver low cost voice telephonyto Indian consumers.

    3G has hi-speed data capabilities

    It will fulfill the content rich mobility experience forurban Indians.

    3G will help in enhancing Indias competitiveness in theIT S / BP segment.

    xtremely effective tool in driving penetration of the huge

    addressable market in the rural areas.

    3G will also enable achieving the broadband objectives ofthe Government.

    33GG willwill integrateintegrate IndiaIndia andand IndianIndian consumerconsumer withwith thethe farfar

    reachingreaching developmentsdevelopments takingtaking placeplace acrossacross thethe worldworld..

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    Mobile BroadbandMobile Broadband The Next FrontierThe Next Frontier

    Mobile phone is fast becoming the dominant technologyfor voice communications.

    Mobile phone is becoming less & less of a narrowband

    device as it evolves through 2G to 2.5G to 2.75G to 3G.

    the mobile phone has moved beyond being a mere

    device to become a key social object present in every

    aspect of our daily lives.

    ara Srivastava, ITU

    33GG probablyprobably providesprovides thethe bestbest ubiquityubiquity inin broadbandbroadband

    connectivityconnectivity alwaysalways on,on, fastfast enoughenough..

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    Indias Path to Mobile BroadbandIndias Path to Mobile Broadband

    Indias path to Mobile Broadband must be through 3G in theWARC-92 identified Core Band of 1920-1980 MHz p/w 2110-2170MHz because :

    nly band globally harmonized for interference free co-existence of both GSM & CDMA

    quipment available for both technologies in this band

    Majority of countries have opted for 3G in the Core Band Japan & Korea live examples where GSM & CDMA are co-

    existing in the Core Band

    India by choosing this globally adopted spectrum band will be ableto avail of

    conomies of scale lower tariffs

    Seamless roaming

    Inter-operability

    Interference free operations

    India being a country where both GSM & CDMA co-exist mustchoose a 3G path which allows for the co-existence as well as

    future growth & development of both technologies

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    GSM has been the prime growth driverGSM has been the prime growth driver

    of Telecom services in India and wouldof Telecom services in India and would

    continue to be the same for newcontinue to be the same for new

    evolving technologies and willevolving technologies and will

    contribute to the growth and prosperitycontribute to the growth and prosperity

    of the industry.of the industry.

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    THANK Y UTHANK Y [email protected]@coai.in


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