Evolving Generation
Wayne Toms
General Manager Fossil / Hydro Operations Florida
DUKE ENERGY is:
2
28,000 employees
25 million customers
(7.3M meters)
6 states
50+ GW generation
The Road Ahead: Shaping the future
3
4
Duke Energy Generation Portfolio Today – Approx. 50GW
NC
SC
FL
OH
KY
IN
Midwest
Florida
Carolinas
Generation Capacity
Generation Capacity
Generation Capacity
Coal Nuclear Natural Gas/Oil Hydro & Solar
5
FHO Florida Plant Sites
15 Sites in Florida
10,000 MW’s
650 Florida based employees work at or support the sites.
We have a portfolio of Combustion Turbine, Combined Cycle and Coal plants
FHO FLORIDA is:
6
2006 Forecast: Future of U.S. Natural Gas Supply Shifting Overseas
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
2005 2010 2020 2030
Alaskan Production
LNG Imports
Net Pipeline Imports
Base Domestic Production
Unconventional Production
An
nu
al U
.S. D
om
esti
c S
up
ply
(Tri
llio
n c
ub
ic f
eet)
Current Forecast: U.S. Natural Gas ProductionA
nn
ual
U.S
. Do
mes
tic
Su
pp
ly
(Tri
llio
n c
ub
ic f
eet)
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Net Pipeline Imports
Shale Gas
Natural Gas from Shale Basins
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
July 2008
Na
tura
l G
as P
rice
($/M
MB
tu)
July 2008
Long Term Forward Natural Gas Price
Trends by Month/Year
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
July 2008 January 2009
January 2009
Na
tura
l G
as P
rice
($/M
MB
tu)
Long Term Forward Natural Gas Price
Trends by Month/Year
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
July 2008 January 2009 January 2010
Na
tura
l G
as P
rice
($/M
MB
tu)
January 2010
Long Term Forward Natural Gas Price
Trends by Month/Year
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
July 2008 January 2009 January 2010 January 2011
Na
tura
l G
as P
rice
($/M
MB
tu)
January 2011
Long Term Forward Natural Gas Price
Trends by Month/Year
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
July 2008 January 2009 January 2010 January 2011 December 2011
Na
tura
l G
as P
rice
($/M
MB
tu)
December 2011
Long Term Forward Natural Gas Price
Trends by Month/Year
Current Wave of Gas Build
Linville DamLee CC
Asheville CC - Fall 2019
Lincoln CT – 2020
WS Lee CC - Spring 2018
Citrus County CC – Fall 2018
16
Dual Fuel Conversions
Benefits
Coal or Gas
Displaces startup oil
Greater turndown and ramp rates
Firm gas not required
CO2 reduction
Site Overview
Citrus County Combined Cycle
21
Citrus Combined Cycle
22
Florida Speakers Bureau Training 24
Energy Reality
25
Growing Industry Challenges
Aging infrastructure and aging workforce
Tightening environmental
regulations
Lack of comprehensive energy policy
Significant dependence on
natural gas
Solar Development
Slide Source: SNL Energy, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence As of May 26, 2016
Carolina Duck Curve - Projected Spring Day in 2022
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Nuclear Purchase CC Coal Hydro
Transfer PEC SOLAR Load Load Net Solar
Solar Perry Solar Facility | Taylor County• 22 acres• 5 MW – approximately 22,000 panels• Online September, 2016
Osceola Solar Facility | Osceola County• 25 acres• 3.8 MW – approximately 15,000 installed panels• Online April, 2016
Suwannee Solar Facility | Suwannee County• 70 acres• 8.8 MW – approximately 35,000 installed panels• Expected Online the end of 2017
28
Perry Solar Facility
Osceola Solar Facility
Solar
• Increasing our capacity with 2 sites operational and 1 under construction in Florida
• Recently partnered with Disney World to complete a solar facility in the shape of Mickey Mouse’s ears
• Approximately 35 solar facilities in North Carolina
• Duke Energy’s growing portfolio of renewable energy assets includes 20 wind projects and 60 solar facilities in operation in more than a dozen states, totaling more than 3,000 MW of generating capacity, enough to power more than a half-million homes.
Energy Storage Projects
Hines CC Chillers200MW for 12 hours
Bad Creek Pumped Storage Upgrade 340MW for 6 hours
Questions