Expanded HTT Long Range Planning

UpdateMay 7, 2014

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Update on Future State and Long Range Planning

April 2

Council’s Spirit-lead consensus regarding LRP and renovation process and timeline

Month of April

Expanded HTT identifies PUMC FS themes based on previous PUMC survey and community data/ information

Meeting with Architect to discuss and confirm integration between PUMC FS activities and architect’s process

Beginning of May

PUMC FS themes shared with: • Leaders • Congregation• Architect

Ministry leaders equipped to consider FS needs in their areas

June 7

Leadership Retreat to discuss visioning from ministry LRP

June/July

Architect starts/ conducts leadership and congregational survey process:

• How can the building support our congregational and ministry needs? (“The renovation is done so that…”)

Month of May

Ministries meet to answer the following: • Given PUMC

FS themes, what are ministry needs in 5-10 years? (“Our ministry plans to ______ so that…”)

Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation processStorm the Gates of Heaven with Prayer (Congregation and Leadership)

July/August

Architect shares survey information/ results with Expanded HTT and ministries

Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation processMessaging and communication plan begins targeted to the congregation; Groundwork for stewardship strategy/activities

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Architect Proposed Timeline

June 2014

Survey Rollout to congregation

Optional-architect introduction

Groundwork for Stewardship Campaign Begins

July/August 2014

Congregation Survey results to renovation steering committee

Architect meets with individual stake holders (Pender Leadership

September 2014

Initial architect sketches are shared with congregation

Town hall meetings conducted to address any questions or input

December 2014

Initial cost proposal is submitted to Pender from Architect

Proposal of plan design and cost to District for approval

January 2015

Final cost and any design changes completed and signed off by Pender

November 2014

Proposal of plan design to Church Council

Spirit led consensus by Church Council

Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation processStorm the Gates of Heaven with Prayer (Congregation and Leadership)

July 2015

Construction Starts

Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation processMessaging and communication plan begins targeted to the congregation; Groundwork for stewardship strategy/activities

Renovation has given us an opportunity to think beyond an annual cycle and in a more "long range" way.◦ How will your ministry answer this call?

We have “mined data” using several sources to identify the Pender Demographic Community (our neighbors).◦ This data reminds us that we need to think not only

of our own congregation, but consider what God calls us to do beyond our walls and within our community.

Where are we?

Each ministry’s "So that...“ should be considered with regard to long range planning and Pender Demographic

Each cluster/committee should ask themselves a single question set:

• What would God call us to do in 5-10 years? • What is the dream of your ministry if you had the resources

(funds, servants, space/building)?  • What is the "so that" for each dream? (important to make sure

that the dreams stay linked to the "so that”)

This will be the basis for our discussion at the leadership retreat on June 7.

Long Range Ministry Visioning

1. Immediate next step is for leadership to meet with their cluster, ministry or committee to discuss long range visioning using visioning questions as means to start a conversation.

2. HTT is available to meet with leaders for one-on-ones or attend cluster/committee meetings as needed to help facilitate the conversation.

3. June 7th leadership retreat.  • The objective of the retreat will be to share across

clusters/committees the long range vision of ministry areas.

Next Steps

Pender Demographic Story

May 7,2014

Sources:Mission Insite Report – April 2014Pender Demographic Study – 2007Fairfax County Demographic Report 2013

The surveyed community has the following traits: In 10 years, area is expecting moderate growth Expecting a significant increase in the number of

school-aged children Expecting more families with children, compared to

the state Area significantly better educated than the rest of

the state (33% have Bach Deg, 25% have grad/prof degrees – vs 24% and 13% statewide)

Area is “very diverse” in terms of race/ethnicity Median income is significantly higher than the rest

of the state

Summary of Mission Insite Report

Fewer people living in poverty than other areas in the state (4.8% to 8.8% statewide)

“Very white collar” when it comes to jobs (80% have white collar jobs) Largest racial group is White “Level of religiosity” is “somewhat low” 23% say it’s important to

attend religious services while 15% say their faith is really important to them.

Population from 2000 to 2010 spiked at 18%. Now expected to level off to between 4 and 6 percent until 2023

More married-couple family households (83% vs 72%) than other areas in Virginia.

Numbers of single-mother households is significantly lower than other areas. We’re on par with single-father households statewide. Trend will remain stable in future.

Average age of population in 2010 was 33, in 2023 it will be 38. Numbers of children will increase too.

More “Insites”

Beliefs about God – Very Traditional Beliefs about Jesus – Somewhat non-Traditional Actively involved in church community – 46.5%,

8.2% decline over past 10 years Percent of people likely to become active – 7.2% Percent of people likely to cease activity – 15.5% Probable reasons for non-participation in

religious congregation◦ No time/less time available 43.5%◦ No good faith community in area 29.9%◦ Moved from community 28.8%◦ Demands of raising children 27.1%

Other “Insites”

Personal life◦ Weight loss◦ Personal health problems◦ Losing job◦ Depression

Home and Family◦ Stress/time to relax◦ Caring for aging parents◦ Health crisis/illness◦ Balancing work and family◦ Time for friends/family

Career and financial◦ Future/savings/retirement◦ Day-to-day financial matters

Future hopes and possibilities◦ Fear of the future/unknown◦ Finding personal direction/making right choices◦ Fulfilling marriage/romance/intimacy◦ Spiritual issues/religions (very low)

What keeps us up nights

Generally: Family-oriented activities (very

high) Opportunities for volunteering in

the community Holiday programs/activities Youth social activities Adult social activities Seniors/retirees activities Involvement in social causes Marriage enrichment Cultural programs Personal/family counseling Parenting development Crisis Support Groups Social justice advocacy work

What We’re Looking For: Religious:

Traditional worship services Bible or scripture studies Christian education for children Contemporary worship services Small groups

Projected growth of Asians and Hispanics – 30% Growth in those segments appears to have leveled and is not

expected to change significantly. Demographics have shifted away from children to singles and

seniors. Pender will need to support expanding number of young people

(6-25) as well as a continuing large population young adults and families (26-46).

Approximately 33% of households currently have no faith involvement and 27% only have a moderate faith involvement.

Need for increased evangelism activities and marketing. Our culture is continually buying bigger, more materialistically

impressive things. Presentation is an important factor in drawing people’s attention, whether it be for buying a house, a car, or grocery shopping. From this, we can surmise that Pender’s “presentation” to the public will be important for our future growth.

Pender Findings 2007

Also identified in 2007 Pender study: Primary community desire

for family oriented recreation: ◦ youth social programs◦ family activities and outings◦ cultural programs◦ sports or camping

Achieving Financial Security Better Quality Healthcare Achieving a Fulfilling

Marriage Developing Parenting skills Achieving Educational

Objectives Finding a Satisfying

Job/Career Finding time for recreation

and leisure Finding Retirement

Opportunities. Bible Study Discussion Prayer Groups Adult Theological Discussion

Groups Spiritual Retreats

Fairfax County Demographic Study 2013 Modest growth in next five years Over next 30 years +35,000 in closest 5 zip codes

(22033, 22030, 20151, 20171, 22124) + 14,000 new housing units in same 5 zips over next 30

years More attached homes (apartments, condos, townhomes)

than single family homes Most homes more than 30 years old, except in 20171,

20151 and 20120 which includes western suburbs, basically Centreville and Westfields areas (around Route 28 on either side)

Mobile: Approx 26% in 22033 of people moved into the zip code last year (high turnover)

Summary of Data Findings Across Reports Our Area is about 55% Anglo and that will

continue into future. Minority populations (Asians and Hispanics)

remain important part of the cultural fabric, but growth has leveled off.

Area will grey over the next ten years, but families with young adults and children will continue to flourish

In Summary Area is wealthier, better educated than most places Current trends in population/wealth likely to

continue Area will grey in coming years Families remain important Material things, appearances and status will remain

important Organized, denominational, faith communities may

struggle, but aren’t dead Connections to community/family are important, but

are elusive due to time/stress Health/financial worries mount as area ages