Experimental and Numerical Study to Improve Damage and Loss … · 2018. 9. 21. · CRC 3nd Annual...

CRC3ndAnnualMeetingFeb27– Mar1,2018

CRC3nd AnnualMeeting:Feb28- Mar1,2018,UNCChapelHill,NC

ExperimentalandNumericalStudytoImproveDamageandLossEstimationduetoOverlandWaveandSurgeHazardsonNear-CoastStructures

JohnvandeLindtColoradoStateUniversity

DanielCoxOregonStateUniversity


ProjectOverview

Objective1: Quantifysurge/waveforcesonnear-coaststructuresanddevelopnewpredictiveequations.

Objective2: Developtheconditionalprobabilities(fragilities)forbuildingdamage.

Objective3: Illustratenext-generationrisk-informeddesign.


TechnicalApproach

Task1: HydraulicmodeltestprogramatOSU(Yr1)anddataanalysis(Yr1,2).

Task2: NumericalmodelprogramatCSU.Verification(Yr1)andfragilitydevelopment(Yr1,2).

Task3: Developperformancebaseddesignexamplestoillustratemethodologyforengineeringpractice(Yr2).

[EndUserEngagement]


2016 2017 201920182015Task

1.Physicalmodeltesting

2.Numericalmodelingprogram

3.Applicationstorisk-baseddecision-making

4.Milestones


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K =Kickoffmeeting7/15,WashingtonDC• StartofEndUserengagement• RefineprojectscopeincontextofDHSmission,otheragencies(eg.USACE)• IntroductiontootherprojectswithintheCRC• WorkforcedevelopmentaspectsoftheCRC


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K

projectstartupphase

• Projectstaffing• ToriJohnson(OSUpostdoc)• Trung Do(CSUpostdoc)• BillShort,BenHunter(USNavy,MSstudentsatOSU)• Hyoungsu Park(OSU,finishingPhD)

• Physicalmodeldesign• Specimendesignfabrication• Instrumentationpurchase,calibration

• Numericalmodelsetup(FLUENT,ANSYS,IHFOAM)• Constructionofnumericalwavetanks

• Protocolsfordatasharing,dataarchiving


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 =FirstCRCmeetingatUNC,2/16• Continueofenduserengagement• DetailunderstandingofotherprojectswithintheCRC• InitiateplanstoincorporateSUMEXstudents

projectstartupphase


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V =DHSsitevisittoOSU,4/16

projectstartupphase

• Meetingw/E.Haijan atOSU,HWRL• Facilitytour,LargeWaveFlume,DirectionalWaveBasin• CapabilitiesofHWRLforDHSproject,SUMEXinternships• OngoingworkwithNSF/NHERIprogram,DOEwaveenergy


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

• DiegoDelgado,UPRM• KevinCueto,UPRM


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

• DataQA/QC• FinaldatasetonDesignSafe.org

• DataAnalysis• 1MS,F=f(h,a,H,T,etc)• 1MS,P(F>Fcrit)

• Publications

• Model/datacomparisons,validation.• Publication,presentations

• Numericalsimulationsandfragilitycurvedevelopment


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

Communityscalepilotstudy

(Galveston)


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2 =secondCRCmeetingatUNC,2/17


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1 =symposiumatSanJuan,PR,3/17


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1 =EndUsermeetingFEMAVIII,Denver4/17


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2 =EndUsermeetingFEMAHQ,DC5/17


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

MeetingOutcomes• ResilienceeffortsatUSACE

• HAZUS-MH,utilityofnewfragilitycurves• Needforpossibletestbed/hindcast

study(eg.HurricaneSandy,NJcoast)• Twobranches

Ø Buildingscaleà communityscaleØ Buildingscaleà subassemblyscale

• Overall,positivefeedback.


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX• PeterRivera,UPRM• HectorColon,UPRM


2016 2017 201920182015Task




4.Milestones K C1 V

projectstartupphase

SUMEX

Model/data

analysis

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

Yr 2-3FragilityDevelopment

Yr 2-3DebrisExperiment


NumericalModelingforPhysicsBasedFragilitiestoEstimateDamageProbability

USACE


Slab-on-gradebuildings 3m-elevatedbuildings ANSYS-Fluentbuildingdiscretization

- Buildingarchetypesfor“slab-on-grade”and“3m-elevated”- Analysisatfull-scaleunderpossiblecombinationsofwaves

andsurge/floodlevel- Twostatesofanalysis:beforeandafterwindow/door

breakage


Determinewaveandsurgeloadingoneachbuildingcomponents


Damagestatedefinitionbasedonprobabilityoffailure

Component Distribution Parameters

Window Normal Mean=70psf,COV=0.2

Entrydoor Normal Mean=100psf,COV=0.2

Wallsheathing Normal Mean=126psf,COV=0.4

Floorsheathing Lognormal Mean=223psf,COV=0.184

Buildingcomponentcapacities

Mean of 3-hour maximum pressures on building components

(before window/door broken)

Damage

State

Window/

DoorFailures

Wallfailure

Floorfailure

(Elevatedfoundationonly)

1 >=1(5%) No No2 >=4(25%) No No3 >=8(50%) No No4 >=8(50%) Yes Yes


Fragilitysurfacesfor“slab-on–grade”buildings Fragilitysurfacesfor“3m-elevated”building

Fragilitysurfacesforpossiblecombinationofwavesandsurge/floodlevels


ComparisonoftotallosstoFEMAdamagecostsforasinglefamilydwellingatcoastalV-zone,noobstruction

Componentlossfortheone-storyresidentialwoodbuildingwithwaveeffects

LossanalysiscomparedtoFEMA


DebrisExperimentstoUnderstandDebrisImpactandDebrisDamming

FEMA,CCMP-55


AndreBarbosaShafiq Alam

OSUMikeMotleyPedroArduino

UWashingtonMarcEberhard+3students


DebrisOrientationVariationinorientation(Longitudinal,Transverse,Random).Variationinnumber(n=1,2,4,8,16)


FI,3 FI,1 FI,2

FD

TransverseN =8, Trial -1

FI,4


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3 =thirdCRCmeetingatUNC,2/18


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

Proposed:(Yr 3-4)Destructivetesting,1:4scale

• Validationofdamagelevels• Buildingopenings• Foundationtypes• Re-entrantcorners• (combinedwithwindloading)


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

SUMEX


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

SUMEX

Proposed:(Yr 3-4)HAZUS-MHHindcastforHurricaneSandyatNJShoreline


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

SUMEX


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

SUMEX

EU3 =EndUsermeeting,CoEsummit,DC5/18


2016 2017 20192018Task




4.Milestones C1 V

SUMEX

C2

Sy1

EU1

EU2

SUMEX

C3

SUMEX

EU3

EU4 =EndUsermeetingFEMAHAZUSstakeholdersWashDC,(TBD)


Summary

Objective1: Quantifysurge/waveforcesonnear-coaststructuresanddevelopnewpredictiveequations.

Objective2: Developtheconditionalprobabilities(fragilities)forbuildingdamage

Objective3: Illustratenext-generationrisk-informeddesign.

• Createdandvalidatednumericaltoolsforsurge/waveforces

• Extendedphysicalmodeltestingtoincludedebris

• Createdphysics-basedfragilitiesforseveralbuildingarchetypes

• Directcomparisontoexisting(FEMA)fragilitiestoquantifyeffectofincludingsurge+waves

• Completedpilotstudy(Galveston)toshowapplicabilityofdamagefragility

• HeldseveralFEMAHAZUS-MHstakeholdermeetings

Futurework:

• Buildingscale:improvefragilitiesacrossawiderrangeofbuildingtypesconsistentwithHAZUSclassifications

LongitudeLa

titud

e

Prob

abili

ty o

f DS4

(b) 3 mLHSME =

Longitude

Latit

ude

Prob

abili

ty o

f DS4

(a) 0 mLHSME =

• Communityscale:hindcast studyfordamageandloss(e.g,NJcoast;Sandy)


References

1. Do,T.,vandeLindt,J.W.,Cox,D.T.“HurricaneSurge-WaveBuildingFragilityMethodologyforUsewithHAZUS-MH,”JStructuralEngineering(submitted2/2018)

2. Park,H.,Do,T.,Tomiczek,T.,Cox,D.T.,vandeLindt,J.W.“NumericalModelingofNon-breaking,ImpulsiveBreaking,andBrokenWaveInteractionwithElevatedCoastalStructures:LaboratoryValidationandInter-ModelComparisons,”OceanEngineering (submitted1/2018)

3. Tomiczek,T.,Wyman,A.,Park,H.,Cox,D.T.“ApplicationandModificationofGoda’s FormulaetoEstimateHorizontalandVerticalForcesonElevatedCoastalStructures.Part1:NonbreakingWaves,”CoastalEngineering (submitted8/2017)

4. Tomiczek,T.,Park,H.,Cox,D.T.,vandeLindt,J.W.,Lomonaco,P.(2017)“ExperimentalModelingofHorizontalandVerticalWaveForcesonanElevatedCoastalStructure,”CoastalEngineering,128,58-74.

5. Do,Trung,vandeLindt,J.,Cox,D.T.(2016)“Performance-BasedDesignMethodologyforInundatedElevatedCoastalStructuresSubjectedtoWaveLoadEngineeringStructures,”EngineeringStructures,117,250– 262.

ConferenceProceedings6. Do,T.,vandeLindt,J.W.,Cox,D.T.(2018)“Physic-BasedComponentFragilityModelforNear-CoastResidentialWoodBuildingSubjectedto

HurricaneWaveandSurge”EngineeringMechanicsInstituteConference2018,CambridgeMA (abstractsubmitted).7. Park,H.,Do,T.,Tomiczek,T.,Cox,D.,vandeLindt,J.W.(2018)“LaboratoryValidationandInter-ModelComparisonsofNon-breaking,

ImpulsiveBreaking,andBrokenWaveInteractionwithElevatedCoastalStructuresusingIHFOAMandFLUENT,”InternationalConferenceonCoastalEngineering,ASCE.(abstractaccepted).

8. Tomiczek,T.,Wyman,A.,Park,H.,Cox,D.T.(2018)“ApplicationandmodificationofGoda FormulaeforNon-impulsiveWaveForcesonElevatedCoastalStructures,”InternationalConferenceonCoastalEngineering,ASCE.(abstractaccepted).

Peerreviewedpapers

Date post:	30-Jan-2021
Category:	Documents
Upload:	others
View:	1 times
Download:	0 times

Experimental and Numerical Study to Improve Damage and Loss … · 2018. 9. 21. · CRC 3nd Annual...

Documents