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Why prosperity matters...
There is a correlation between incomes and:
productive attitudes toward authority ,
tolerance of others and support of civil liberties, openness toward foreigners ,
positive relationships with subordinates, self-esteem ,
sense of personal competence, satisfactions with one’s own life ,
the disposition to participate in community and national affairs,
and interpersonal trust,…
Alex Inkeles, Stanford University
3 Copyright © OTF Group, Inc. .3Confidential
Seven Forms of Capital
Part of the World Bank’s Comprehensive Development Framework
Soc
ial
Phy
sica
l
Cultural
Human
Knowledge
Institutional
Financial
Man-Made
Natural Endowments
• Tangible Articulations• Norms• Mental Models
• Environmental Issues• Raw Materials• Climate and Location
• Transportation, Communication• Power• Water and Sewerage
• Financial Systems• Private Wealth• Public Wealth
• “Good, Clean Governance”• Justice System• Connective Organizations
• Qualitative, Quantitative Data• Frameworks and Concepts• Knowledge Generation
• Health and Population• Education and Training• Attitudes and Motivation
• Architecture, Music, Language• Range of Acceptable Behaviors• Trust, Wealth Creation Attitudes, Long-Term Thinking
• Conservation, Restoration • Agricultural, Mineral, Petroleum• Proximity to Markets
• Roads, Ports, Telephone Systems• Electric Grids, Generation Capacity• Pipelines, Pumping Stations
• Transparency, No Hidden Costs• Property Protection, Predictable Regulations• Chambers of Commerce, Unions
• Statistics, Opinions, Records• Theories, Processes, Procedures• Universities, R&D, Market Learning
• Nutrition, Medical & Mental Health• Primary & Secondary, Technical• Self-responsibility, action-orientation
Representative Elements Representative Examples
• Banks, Stock Markets• Bank Deposits• Bank Reserves, Taxes, Duties, Macroeconomic Stability
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Competitiveness Theory
What is Competitiveness?
Competitiveness has emerged as the preeminent issue in every nation – for companies and governments
Upgrading a nation’s export competitiveness requires a shared understanding of competitiveness within the nation
Competitiveness is not simply:– A favorable exchange rate– Positive balance of trade– Industrial subsidies– Low inflation rate
Rather, competitiveness is the productivity with which resources are deployed– Human resources– Capital– Physical assets
Since competitiveness relies on productive deployment of resources, industry sectors and their firms compete, not nations
– Government has a partial but significant role in creating the platform from which firms compete
– Clusters of related and supporting firms are the building blocks of a competitive economy
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USAUSA
AdvertisingAdvertisingAircraftAircraft
Construction EquipmentConstruction Equipment
GermanyGermany
Printing PressesPrinting PressesChemicalsChemicals
AutomobilesAutomobilesJapanJapan
RoboticsRoboticsAutomobilesAutomobiles
FacsimileFacsimile
EcuadorEcuador
BananasBananasSouth Africa South Africa
DiamondsDiamonds
ItalyItaly
Ceramic TilesCeramic TilesFootwearFootwear
AppliancesAppliances
Competitiveness Theory
Competitive Cluster Examples
• Nations have very different natural resources, macroeconomics and management cultures
• Learning and innovation at the level of the cluster and firm drive competitiveness
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Two Paradigms
Thinking in the “Era of Total Competition”
Protected markets Competition and globalization
Macroeconomics Microeconomics
Influence leaders Firm-level Productivity
Natural Capital Human capital and knowledge
Hierarchy Meritocratic
Economies of scale Agility and Focus
Event driven Anticipation and shaping
Government as master strategist Shared vision and collaboration
Redistribution of wealth Wealth creation
Paternalism Innovation
Fatalistic Introspective
Marketplace Marketspace
Comparative Advantage Competitive Advantage
10
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ConfidentialNote: 1) Basic products include raw materials and processed products based on natural resources and labor. 2) The coefficent of correlation was .77. Source: IITC - International Trade
Center, CIA World Factbook 1999, OTF Group Analysis. Macedonia 2001 data from OTF Group trade statistics analysis and CIA World Factbook 2002
Countries Unable to Reduce Natural Resource Dependency Have Lower Standards Of Living
Patterns of Anti-competitive Behavior
Relationship Between Natural Resource Exports and Wealth
Percentage of Exports that are Natural Resources
Percentage of Exports that are Basic Products versus Purchasing Power Parity, 1998
PPP per capita
(1998 US$)
U.S.
GERMANY
SWITZERLAND
FRANCEJAPAN
SWEDENU.K.
CANADA
SINGAPORE
KOREA MALAYSIA
BRAZIL
MEXICO
INDIA
PAKISTAN
COLOMBIA
CHILE
COSTA RICA
ARGENTINA
VENEZUELA
BOLIVIA
ECUADORTURKEY
LITHUANIA
RUSSIA
IRELAND
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
11
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Confidential
7%4%
9% 7%
25%
6%3%
9% 8%
26%
7%3%
9% 8%
27%
6%3%
8% 8%
25%
6%3%
9% 10%
28%
5%2%
8% 10%
26%
10%
27%
3% 4% 2% 1%
47%
10%
26%
3% 4% 3% 1%
46%
10%
24%
3% 4% 3% 1%
45%
10%
28%
3% 4% 3% 1%
49%
11%
25%
4% 4% 3%1%
48%
11%
26%
3% 4% 3% 1%
48%
12%
3% 4% 3% 3% 4%
28%
11%
3% 4% 3% 2% 4%
28%
12%
3% 4% 3% 2% 4%
28%
10%
3% 4% 3% 2% 3%
26%
8%3% 4% 4% 2% 3%
24%
9%3% 4% 5% 3% 3%
27%
Upstream IndustriesUpstream IndustriesMaterials / MetalsForest
ProductsPetroleum / Chemicals
Semiconductors / Computers
Food / Beverages Housing / Household Textiles / ApparelHealthCare
PersonalEntertainment /
LeisureFinal Consumption Final Consumption Goods and ServicesGoods and Services
Multiple Business TransportationPower Generationand Distribution
Office Telecommunications DefenseIndustrial and Industrial and
Supporting FunctionsSupporting Functions
Distribution of United States Exports
Trade Statistics by Category
Note: Totals may not add to 100% due to roundingSource: OTF Group; COMTRADE / UN Trade Statistics (Rev. 2)
1992
1994
1996
1998 2000 2002
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Confidential
Competitiveness Theory
Seven Patterns of Uncompetitive Behavior
We have identified seven patterns of behavior that inhibit the development of competitive firms and cluster. By using these patterns as a lens, we can see problems in new ways.
1. Overreliance on Basic Factors
2. Lack of Customer Focus
3. Poor Understanding of Relative Position
4. Lack of Forward Integration
5. Poor Interfirm Cooperation
6. Defensiveness
7. Paternalism
26
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Confidential
1. Define and make explicit our moral purpose: a high and rising standard of living for the average Qatari.
2. Acknowledge that we are over-dependent on the basic advantage of natural resources.
3. Understand that wealth in the future is based on insight, sophisticated human capital, cultural attitudes focused on embracing competition, learning, trust, cooperation and investing in complex advantages.
4. Understand that competitiveness is productivity; and productivity is where we choose to compete and how we choose to compete.
5. Acknowledge that the government must do everything it can to assist the private sector, except to impede competition; invest in people, infrastructure, learning organizations and a non-defensive dialogue between the public and the private sectors.
6. Understand that the private sector needs to invest in more learning: customer preferences, knowledge of position relative to competition, possibilities of changing the distribution channels, and investing in the upgrade of its products.
Qatar’s needs
Six Imperatives
This is a vision of knowledge intensive industries, and a Qatar differentiated from regional competitors by specialized innovation. This is a vision of creating new wealth versus
uncovering found wealth.