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    ISSN 1597 - 8842 Vol. 1 No. 27

    The Monthly NCM Report for February 10

    Issued on February 28, 2010

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    Contents

    Executive Summary 3

    Introduction 5

    All-Share Index Movement 6

    Market Dynamics 7

    Comparison of 2009 and 2010 Market Performance 8

    Sectoral Index Movements 9

    NSE -30 Index, NSE -Food Index, NSE -Banking Index, NSE -Insurance Index & NSE -Oil Index

    Transactions Volume and Value Trend 15

    Top Ten Trades in the month 17

    Top Ten Traded Sectors in the month 18

    Top Ten Gainers in the month 19

    Top Ten Year to Date Appreciation 19

    Top Ten Decliners in the month 20

    Top Ten Year to Date Depreciation 20

    Gainers and Losers Compared 21

    Supplementary Listing in the Month 21

    Corporate Declarations in the Month 22

    Forecast Results in the Month 29

    Dividends Declared 29

    Sectoral Analysis 29

    Outlook/ Analyst Opinion 37

    Time Lines (February Market News/Information) 38

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    The Monthly NCM Report for February 2010

    ISSN 1597 - 8842 Vol. 1 No. 27

    Executive Summary

    Market rode on the back of blue chips to marginal gain of 1.79%

    The NSE index which began 2010 with very promising up trend appears to be turning

    into a whimper as activities in February 2010 indicates unless things change fast. From

    an impressive and optimistic 8.5% ASI gain by January month end, the NSE finished the

    month of February with a 1.79% gain suggesting that the index has gone into a holding

    pattern by trading in a very tight range.

    The review conducted revealed that the market outcome achieved in the month farremoved from the expectations at the beginning of the month from both ends of the

    investment market spectrum investors and operators. Indeed, while most stocks have

    picked up or either stopped their erosion, the rate of recovery has been hampered by

    new volatilities; perhaps a distortion of trends owing to the re-entry of speculators in the

    market.

    Although, the NSE ASI is not increasing by leap and bounds, it appears that some

    individual stocks within some sectors are being favoured by traders/investors as

    indicated by volume and price.

    February witnessed some activities which ought to have indicated a measure of

    improved liquidity situation and investors interest in the market, as measured by the

    rising profile of the volume and value of market transactions as seen in the upbeats

    recorded on some days in the month. The market however could not sustain the uptrend

    which appears to have been influenced by some investors selling into any uptrend to get

    out of their old losing positions. Reviewing the charts, the trading volume does not

    reflect convictions by traders. It seems that traders are unwilling to chase or buy stocks

    above certain price thresholds.

    This is becoming a market of selective performance rather than a broad base rally which

    meant that trading in the market was motivated by a keen watch for stocks experiencing

    increased volume and price with traders riding the trend.

    It would appear that despite the occasional positive signals seen, suggesting an

    imminent liquidity situation, the reality appears to be no more than an illusion at this

    time as the rallies could not be sustained over the month (indeed year-to-date).

    Investors, it would appear, are justifiably more careful with trusting the stock market

    with their investible funds which explains the downward trends in the midst of the

    upbeats.

    The unaddressed loss of confidence in the market, accentuated by the increased

    political, business and investment risk profile of the country has combined to impact the

    markets expected upswing.

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    Further, the unfulfilled promises of the regulators to improved the oversight and

    operating environment in the market is yet to be seen, or perhaps has faltered with a

    constant shifting of the goal post.

    The operating environment is unsettling and provides little direction as to economic

    policy, regulatory framework and financing of the productive sectors of the economy toprovide retail and institutional investors with the required liquidity.

    The NSE current bearish market trend will be two years old on March 5, 2010, and

    technically one would have expected that most of the aggressive sellers should have

    been washed out by now, but evidence abounds that some sellers are still hanging on to

    recoup some of their losses.

    For the Nigerian capital market to get back on the road to recovery (a subject of our yet

    to be released NCM 2010 report); we must have a situation where the buyers

    overwhelm the sellers. It does not appear that a lot of investors are willing to or have

    been sufficiently motivated to take a brave stand at this point.

    Technically, certain positive indicators are beginning to emerge the movement of the

    ASI is clearly indicative of a market that has bottomed out (though in danger of a major

    reversal if the protracted political crisis cum stagnation of the economy is left

    unaddressed), and the resurgence of the trading volumes.

    The market in Q1 end and Q2 2010 is thus expected to move above the current levels as

    we ensure a sustained oil production targets, take major structural changes that

    encourages integrity and transparency at the NSE and SEC, reduce the country political

    risk considerably and devote time to set a clear cut direction for the economy; any

    capital market performance benchmarks.

    Failure to develop a roadmap for achieving a market recovery and secure a buy-in of the

    stakeholders, it appears that the anticipated speedy recovery from Q3 2010 may be

    delayed or compromised.

    The long bearish trend has left most investors badly wounded and unwilling to invest in

    the capital markets.

    The market regulators appear not to get this point.

    We however remain hopeful and encourage investors to take the long view mindset in

    reviewing their portfolios and new engagements.

    This report allows you to appreciate the market in a more personal way; and empower

    you to engage in a much more intelligent manner.

    Thank you for reading and do take time to share with us your thoughts on the market,

    especially your personal realities as a guide in better appreciating how to relate with

    your professional financial advisers. E-mail our analyst at [email protected]

    We value your feedback and comments.

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    Introduction

    In February 2009, we made the call that the year would be devoted to reconciling

    ourselves with the obvious leadership meltdown plaguing our financial services

    sector. We opined that 2010 would be the year we identify and empower the market to

    embarkon the road to recoverywhich we forecasted to begin in Q2 2010. While weare yet to enter Q2 2010, we are concerned with the rate of recovery of the market

    based on our assessment that indicates that the market is operating on the premise that

    any road will lead us towards recovery; without a thought-led and economy-integrated

    roadmap.

    It appears that we have not fully resolved the leadership crisis that got us here in the

    first place. The leadership challenge we described relates to the accumulated evidence of

    failures in financial economy strategic planning, operational execution of plan and

    mobilisation of stakeholders towards a common goal, one devoid of grandstanding.

    These gaps still exist at all facets of our financial services sector, some worse off thanthe other and it seems that we are yet to deploy a plan that links the economic well

    being of the nation to activities in the financial markets the CBN has at least

    recognised its challenges and is dealing with them. Yet, this self reliant market continues

    to inch its way through; only to falter with the slightest stress placed on it.

    As we entered the second trading month in 2010 February, the performance showed a

    true reflection of the health status of the nations economy volatile and uncertain.

    The heightened political risk among the ruling class has created a stagnation of sorts for

    the nations economy; and this, to a very large extent, dictated the trend of the market

    for the month under review.

    The market this month recorded a total of 7.905 billion units valued at N54.045 billion

    exchanged in 145,887 deals compared with 8.63 billion units valued at N46.781 billion

    exchanged in 302,901 deals in the previous month. Comparing the volume and value

    traded in the month with the previous month showed -5.50% and +15.53% difference

    for the volume and value for the month respectively.

    In the course of the month, the All-Share index recorded a +1.79% performance

    compared with +8.5% growth recorded in the preceding month. Market capitalisation

    within the period appreciated by N105.723 billion compared with N452.202 billion

    recorded in January.

    This trend indicates a slow down in the rate of recovery; owning principally to the issues

    raised above and a few ancillary ones, viz:

    The re-entry of new speculators and holding out by old ones;

    The unclear status/direction in the banking sector (including year-end issues);

    The insufficient liquidity relative to market capacity (including the AMC issues);

    Dearth of impressive corporate declarations by the quoted companies; and

    Investors apathy and sustained negative news from regulators.

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    The NSE All-Share Index Movement

    The NSE index which began 2010 with very promising up trend appears to be turning

    into a whimper. Although the NSE all share index gained 1,713 or 8.2% in January 2010,

    approximately 1,233 or 72% of the gains were made in the first half of the month. Since

    then and up till the end of February 2010, the index has struggled to get a traction onthe upswing envisaged, closing the month on a gain of 1.79%. This suggests that the

    index has gone into a holding pattern by trading in a very tight range as highlighted in

    the graph below:

    Although, the NSE ASI showed intermittent signs of a breakout, it is having problems

    breaking above its 200 day moving average. Breaking above the 200 day SMA and

    sustaining it will demonstrate technically that the index is no longer in a bearish mode.

    Source: Proshare Research

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    From the Index moving averages graphically explained above, it is clear that the ASI at

    the moment is trading below its 20 days and 200 Days Moving Averages, but above its

    50 Days Moving Average.

    The 20 Days Moving Average further lends credence to the declined performance of the

    ASI in the month over the previous month trend. The 50 Days Moving Average trend isadduced to the recent upbeat (though not consistent) experienced in the market, mostly

    boosted by the more pronounced upbeat recorded in January.

    The fact that the Index is trading below its 200 Days Moving Average is an indication

    that the bearish trend is still relatively apparent and existent, for trading above 200

    Days Moving Average and maintaining the tempo would be suggesting a market

    recovering from bears grip.

    The index performance trend showed indications of decline in the market growth for the

    month; revealing that the investors enthusiasm and optimism of the first month of the

    year proved pyrrhic.

    The enthusiasm could only be sustained for the first four trading days in the month of

    February after which the bears-rule became the recurring pattern to everyones

    consternation.

    The appreciation recorded in the month was mainly facilitated by the trend in the blue

    chips stocks in the Banking, Building, Food and Beverages and Conglomerate sectors.

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    February 2010 Market Dynamics

    The market dynamics as graphically illustrated below showed the appreciation and

    depreciations on the daily basis. The palpable fears and cloudy investment climate that

    reigned in the month was responsible for the dynamics recorded.

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    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    MARKET DYNAMICS IN THE PRECEDING YEAR COMPARABLE PERIOD (FEB,2009)

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Comparison of 2009 and 2010 Market Performance

    The market performance in February 2010 when compared with 2009 comparable period

    showed a declining trend. In the period under review, ASI recorded +1.73%

    appreciation compared with +7.17% appreciations recorded in 2009 February. The

    scenario might be an attestation to the fact that the investment climate as at the

    preceding year comparable period was better given the present precarious situation in

    the financial system. More so, the political logjams and Banking sector shake up had not

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    been, meaning that the climate was relatively friendly. The wide gulf is apparent as

    shown in the graphs below.

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Dates NSE ASIMarket Capitalisation

    (trillion)Market Capitalisation

    ($ billions)

    Jan-02-09 31,357.24 6.93 46.25

    Feb-01-09 22,085.15 4.94 32.93

    Feb-27-09 23,377.14 5.23 34.88

    Year to Date Return -25.45% -24.53% -24.58%Monthly Return 5.85% 5.87% 5.92%

    2010 Figures

    Jan-02-10 20,838.90 4.99 33.28

    Feb-01-10 22,865.16 5.51 36.71

    Feb-25-10 23,033.02 5.55 35.98

    Year to Date Return 10.53% 11.22% 8.11%

    Monthly Return 1.79% 1.79% -1.99%

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    From the table above, the year to date performance of the year 2009 closing at -

    25.45% indicated a woeful performance when compared with the positive year to date

    performance for the year of+10.53% for the period under review. The negative trend

    of the previous years period when compared with +5.85% appreciations recorded in

    February showed that the 2009 January posted a serious negative trend. However, the

    positive year to date of the month under review when compared with +1.79% monthly

    returns indicated that the month recorded low growth.

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    Sectoral Index Movements

    DateNSE-30

    % ChangeNSE-Food% Change

    NSE-Banking

    % Change

    NSE-Insurance% Change

    NSE-Oil% Change

    01/02/2010 1.40 2.12 1.69 -0.22 0.0002/02/2010 1.31 0.70 1.32 -1.15 0.00

    03/02/2010 2.38 1.47 3.37 -0.06 -0.83

    04/02/2010 1.11 -0.39 1.79 0.80 0.23

    05/02/2010 -2.81 -3.29 -3.62 -1.65 0.86

    08/02/2010 -1.51 -2.12 -2.51 -1.10 0.00

    09/02/2010 0.83 0.07 0.81 -0.71 0.00

    10/02/2010 0.58 0.28 0.44 0.09 -0.61

    11/02/2010 -0.44 0.38 -1.10 1.13 -1.13

    12/02/2010 -0.18 0.51 -0.49 -1.31 -0.01

    15/02/2010 0.45 0.39 0.51 0.30 0.00

    16/02/2010 0.12 0.13 0.27 -1.30 0.03

    17/02/2010 0.01 1.59 -0.38 -1.03 0.00

    18/02/2010 0.44 0.13 0.94 -0.27 0.25

    19/02/2010 0.14 0.27 -0.21 -0.08 0.42

    22/02/2010 -0.65 1.03 -0.50 -1.21 0.69

    23/02/2010 -0.44 0.48 0.02 -2.51 1.41

    24/02/2010 0.64 0.25 0.18 -0.51 1.46

    25/02/2010 -0.12 -0.18 -0.61 0.31 1.00

    MonthyPerformance 3.20 3.75 1.76 -10.04 3.78

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    In the month under review, NSE-Oil and Gas index emerged the best performing sector

    with +3.78% appreciation, followed by Food &Beverages index which appreciated by

    +3.75% and Banking sector index followed with +1.76% appreciation. However, the

    declining trend recorded in Insurance sector is clear in the table above with -10.04%

    losses in the month.

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    When compared with January trend of sectoral indexes, the performance in the month of

    February was below the preceding month save only Insurance sector that recorded less

    negative performance and Oil and Gas sector that closed with higher performance in the

    month. The trend portrayed the true reflection of the entire market trend.

    NSE-30INDEX

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    The upbeat trend recorded in the blue chips stocks in the early part of the month could

    not be sustained as the growth waned and was on the waning trend in most of the

    trading days of the month. The combinations of profit takings and investors passive

    mood to the market contributed to the trend recorded. The sector Index eventually

    closed with +3.20% appreciation in the month. The sector still shows signs of potential

    ample returns to investors both in the short, medium and long term views.

    NSE-FOOD INDEX

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Food and Beverages stocks enjoyed strong investors patronage in the month. The sector

    index recorded appreciations for fifteen out of nineteen trading days of the month, with

    the aggregate index performance closing at +3.75%, though below the previous month

    performance of+13.20%. There was a level of resilience against bears demonstrated

    by the stocks in the sector during the month. Profit takings from the upbeat of the

    previous month coupled with the decline in the investors commitment to the market

    could be linked to the trend recorded in the month. The trend notwithstanding, the

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    sector shows potentials for delivering returns, and could be eyed by investors in the

    coming month.

    NSE-BANKING INDEX

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Profit taking and a level of confidence crisis and general market sentiment affected the

    performance of the stocks in the sector. Investors are yet to reasons or clear signals to

    the end of the policy direction of the Central Bank of Nigeria. This to a very large extent

    informed the high level of speculative trading in the sector as there are no reasons or

    rationale yet for holding the banking stocks for long term. Though the sector has

    undervalued stocks, the status quo may remain until the issue of policy direction for the

    sector is ascertained and some outstanding issues affecting the sector are resolved. The

    sector recorded +1.76% appreciation in the month, lower of+10.30% recorded in the

    preceding month.

    NSE-INSURANCE INDEX

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Despite the fact that over 55% of the stocks in the sector are either at or close to their

    nominal value, the investors sentiment for the stocks still seems to be in the negative.

    Also, that the sector is not known for delivering good returns to investors coupled with

    the fact that the shares in issue of some companies in the sector seem overblown may

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    inform the investors mood. The sector repeated negative trend of -10.04% in the

    month compared with -10.30% of the previous month.

    NSE-OIL INDEX

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Oil and Gas sector of the capital market looks good for consideration as the performance

    trend remains northward at the close of the month. The performance growth at the end

    of February closed at +3.78%, higher than +3.56% growth recorded in the preceding

    month. The sectors trend in the last six trading days of the month boosted the

    performance recorded. The sector looks like a safe haven for investors, most especially

    those with long term view.

    LAST TRADING DAY -SNAPSHOT

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    SECTORAL ANALYSIS

    SECTOR PERFORMANCE

    Symbol YTD %Change

    HOTEL & TOURISM 29%

    REAL ESTATE 5.00%

    AGRICULTURE 4.80%

    PETROLEUM(MARKETING) 3.60%

    THE FOREIGN LISTINGS 3.40%

    CONGLOMERATES 3.10%

    PACKAGING 2.18%

    BUILDING MATERIALS 1.50%

    COMMERCIAL/SERVICES 1.40%

    PRINTING & PUBLISHING 1.36%

    FOOD/BEVERAGES & TOBACCO 0.00%

    LEASING 0.00%

    CONSTRUCTION -0.60%

    BREWERIES -0.70%

    HEALTHCARE -0.80%

    SECOND-TIER SECURITIES -1.30%

    INFORMATION & COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY -1.50%

    MEDIA -1.86%

    OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS -2.58%

    BANKING -3.30%

    MARITIME -3.88%

    INSURANCE -4.05%

    CHEMICAL & PAINTS -4.30%

    MORTGAGE COMPANIES -4.91%

    ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGY -5.90%

    COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT -6.10%

    AIRLINE SERVICES -8.50%

    INDUSTRIAL/DOMESTIC PRODUCTS -8.71%

    AUTOMOBILE & TYRE -16.00%

    ROAD TRANSPORTATION -21.82%Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Transactions Volume and Value Trend

    Market Jan-10 Feb-10

    %

    ChangeAverage Daily Volume of stocks inMillions 418.264 416.05 -0.53Average Daily Value of stocks in N'Millions 2,339.05 2,844.46 21.61Average Daily Value of stocks in $'Millions 15.59 18.96 21.61

    Total Volume of stocks traded in Million 8,365.28 7,904.94 -5.50

    Total Value of stocks traded in N' Million 46,781.02 54,044.74 15.53

    Total Value of stocks traded in $' Million 311.873 360.298 15.53Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    New Listing and Delisting Jan-10 Feb-10%

    Change

    Number of Equities Delisted 0 1

    Number of New Listings 0 0

    Supplementary Listing 1 2Market Capitalisation of New Listings at

    Listing Price(N million) 0 0

    Market Capitalisation of New Listings atListing Price($ millions) 0.00 0.00

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    The transaction volume in the month of February when compared with the preceding

    month closed lower marginally by -5.50% to close at 7.905 billion units compared

    with 8.365 billion units traded in the preceding month. This couldbe an indication thatthe investors patronage of the market in the month under review was not significantly

    different. But for the bid trend that reigned in the preceding month, the volume margin

    would probably have been higher.

    However, the transaction value in the month under review closed higher by +15.50% at

    N54.045 billion ($360.298 million) compared with N46.781 billion ($311.873

    million) of the preceding month. The reason that could be adduced to the upward trend

    in transaction value was the fact that the blue chips stocks dominated the market

    appreciation for the month.

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    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Top Ten Trades for the Month of February

    First Inland Bank Plc topped the transaction volume for the month and as well for the

    preceding month. Banking stocks generally dominated the charts for both months. The

    price movement of these stocks does not suggest a commitment on the part of the

    investors, but rather indications of speculative trading on most of these stocks.

    With the exceptions of IHS and Skye bank (February), BAGCo and CapOil (January)

    were the only stocks that made the top 10 trades in the year-to-date.

    Company Total Trades Total Volume Total Value

    FIRSTINLND 2569 551,775,485.00 429,007,344.89

    IHS 40 488,698,625.00 1,969,443,956.75

    ZENITHBANK 4878 468,812,491.00 7,380,615,475.04

    FIRSTBANK 16214 340,771,006.00 5,117,075,253.83

    ACCESS 4113 292,172,797.00 2,657,484,093.72

    DIAMONDBNK 2243 258,602,667.00 2,360,976,418.64

    GUARANTY 8085 251,929,949.00 4,581,704,224.72

    UBA 5069 251,145,746.00 3,360,695,616.11

    SKYEBANK 3551 224,831,699.00 1,693,515,809.98

    FIDELITYBK 3111 202,874,338.00 540,592,033.78

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    RECALL TOP TEN TRADES FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY

    Company Total Trades Total Volume Total Value

    FIRSTINLND 2545 816,820,770.00 524,161,024.60

    ZENITHBANK 5606 606,957,367.00 9,258,388,760.02

    FIRSTBANK 17050 485,226,109.00 7,074,917,737.98

    CAPOIL 138 393,614,166.00 201,494,963.64

    FIDELITYBK 3083 309,830,185.00 781,113,307.59

    ACCESS 3565 233,430,135.00 1,890,839,585.51

    GUARANTY 7613 227,019,282.00 3,768,237,736.64

    BAGCO 176051 222,523,637.00 365,614,961.49UBA 4394 209,800,647.00 2,402,014,918.94

    DIAMONDBNK 1605 209,795,442.00 1,628,529,084.56

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Top Ten Traded Sectors for the Month of February

    Banking sector traded more than half of the total volume transactions for the month,

    followed by Insurance sector. The volume traded in the banking sector closed at 4.032

    billion units valued at N32.853 billion ($219.020 million) exchanged in 70,301 deals,

    the volume traded in the sector represented 51% of the entire market volumetransactions for the month. The volume traded in Insurance sector closed at 1.179

    billion units valued at N1.185 billion($7.904 million), and the volume accounted

    for 15% of the market volume exchanged in the month. This shows that the volume

    transactions in the financial sectors combined together accounted for 65% of the market

    transaction.

    SectorTotal

    TradesTotal Volume Total Value

    BANKING 70301 4,032,381,421.00 32,853,008,942.78

    INSURANCE 10069 1,179,356,236.00 1,185,619,424.02

    INFORMATION &

    COMMUNICATION

    TECHNOLOGY

    1197 735,152,033.00 2,433,233,661.74

    FOOD/BEVERAGES &

    TOBACCO12425 290,822,691.00 4,811,401,907.48

    MORTGAGE COMPANIES 1413 236,988,125.00 159,180,924.50

    CONGLOMERATES 4603 208,629,936.00 2,542,200,012.64

    BUILDING MATERIALS 4482 135,353,273.00 3,189,465,230.21

    CHEMICAL & PAINTS 321 121,829,081.00 579,520,089.75

    OTHER FINANCIALINSTITUTIONS 563 117,067,823.00 108,335,842.03

    MARITIME 2348 100,574,642.00 124,215,058.58

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Top Ten Gainers in the month

    COMPANY 29-Jan-10 25-Feb-10N

    Change%

    ChangeYear to Date( App/Dep)

    IKEJAHOTEL 0.99 1.54 0.55 55.56% 77.01%

    CAPHOTEL 1.98 2.75 0.77 38.89% 99.28%

    AP 36.4 47.46 11.06 30.38% 41.63%

    BAGCO 1.9 2.34 0.44 23.16% 53.95%

    PRESCO 4.37 5.32 0.95 21.74% -5.00%

    FTNCOCOA 0.72 0.87 0.15 20.83% 61.11%

    FLOURMILL 38.85 45.1 6.25 16.09% 24.59%

    DAARCOMM 0.58 0.67 0.09 15.52% 15.52%

    UNITYBNK 1 1.15 0.15 15.00% 32.18%

    FIDSON 2.09 2.4 0.31 14.83% 29.03%

    Top Ten Year to Date Appreciation

    COMPANY 04-Jan-10 25-Feb-10 Change % ChangeCAPHOTEL 1.38 2.75 1.37 99.28%

    IKEJAHOTEL 0.87 1.54 0.67 77.01%

    FTNCOCOA 0.54 0.87 0.33 61.11%

    BAGCO 1.52 2.34 0.82 53.95%

    CADBURY 10.49 15.8 5.31 50.62%

    ASHAKACEM 11.39 16.2 4.81 42.23%

    AP 33.51 47.46 13.95 41.63%

    PLATINUM 1.38 1.91 0.53 38.41%

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    STERLNBANK 1.26 1.73 0.47 37.30%

    NASCON 4.56 6.2 1.64 35.96%

    The top ten appreciations for the month and for the year to date further explain the

    dominance of blue chips stocks in the gainers list for the month. The same trend wasindicated in the year to date appreciation, as only two banking stocks emerged in the

    class. This shows that investors enthusiasm and sentiments did not swing more

    favourably towards the sector in the light of the sustained cycle of negative news from

    the sector and the number of unresolved issues therefrom. Blue chips stocks in the non-

    financial sectors may most likely enjoy more rally in the coming month.

    Top Ten Decliners in the month

    COMPANY 29-Jan-10 25-Feb-10 NChange

    % Change Year to Date( App/Dep)

    DNMEYER 5.13 3.1 -2.03 -39.57% -42.49%

    UNITYKAP 1.7 1.1 -0.6 -35.29% -53.78%

    AFRINSURE 0.7 0.5 -0.2 -28.57% -42.53%

    ECOBANK 8.24 5.99 -2.25 -27.31% -40.69%

    RTBRISCOE 6.23 4.54 -1.69 -27.13% -26.18%

    ALUMACO 21.47 15.8 -5.67 -26.41% -42.98%

    STDINSURE 0.67 0.5 -0.17 -25.37% -12.28%

    BOCGAS 13.48 10.39 -3.09 -22.92% -22.92%

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Top Ten Year to Date Depreciation

    COMPANY 04-Jan-10 25-Feb-10 Change % ChangeUNITYKAP 2.38 1.1 -1.28 -53.78%

    INCAR 4.12 1.97 -2.15 -52.18%

    GOLDINSURE 0.91 0.51 -0.4 -43.96%

    ALUMACO27.71 15.8 -11.91 -42.98%AFRINSURE 0.87 0.5 -0.37 -42.53%

    DNMEYER 5.39 3.1 -2.29 -42.49%

    ECOBANK 10.1 5.99 -4.11 -40.69%

    CRUSADER 1.5 0.95 -0.55 -36.67%

    STACO 1.19 0.79 -0.4 -33.61%

    AFROMEDIA 0.8 0.55 -0.25 -31.25%Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Gainers and Losers Compared

    The gainers and losers trend in the year compared with the previous year (comparable

    period) did not show much disparity.

    Source: Proshare Research

    Supplementary Listing in the Month

    Supplemetary Listing in the Month Units Listed

    African Paints Plc 130,000,000

    CI Leasing Plc(Redeemable Convertible Loan Stock) 471,580,000

    Source: NSE, Proshare Research

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    Corporate Declarations in the Month

    CHELLARAMS PLC

    SECOND QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 9,060.00 7,742.00 17.02

    Profit Before Tax 268.45 222.70 20.54

    Profit After Tax 247.79 199.72 24.07

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 2,794.00 2,814.00 -0.71

    Cash and Bank Balances 44.50 80.57 -44.77

    Other Debit Balances 932.82 760.22 22.70

    Trade Credit 993.70 858.63 15.73

    Other Credit Balances 3,375.00 4,244.00 -20.48

    Working Capital (316.31) (589.67) -46.36

    Net Assets 2,592.00 2,200.00 17.82

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=CHELLARAMS

    VITAFOAM NIGERIA PLC

    AUDITED RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 9,758.00 8,172.00 19.41

    Profit before tax& After Exep. Items 780.92 1,013.00 (22.91)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 510.78 698.30 (26.85)

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 1,615.00 1,345.00 20.07

    Cash and Bank Balances 174.04 410.08 -57.56

    Other Debit Balances 995.40 433.44 129.65

    Trade Credits 808.83 583.69 38.57

    Other Credit Balances 1,460.00 1,600.00 -8.75

    Working Capital 2,160.00 1,895.00 13.98

    Net Assets 2,161.00 1,895.00 14.04

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=VITAFOAM

    NORTHER NIGERIA FLOURMILL PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 7,920.00 6,589.00 20.20

    Profit Before Tax 522.71 107.42 386.59

    Profit/Loss After Tax 388.31 99.41 290.63

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 371.65 352.43 5.45

    Cash and Bank Balances 1,157.00 1,120.00 3.30

    Other Debit Balances 379.13 294.71 28.64

    Trade Credits 422.96 502.69 -15.86

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    Other Credit Balances 993.66 1,256.00 -20.89

    Working Capital 1,605.00 888.45 80.65

    Net Assets 1,490.00 865.17 72.22

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=NNFM

    RESORT SAVING AND LOANS PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 854.72 423.23 101.95

    Profit Before Tax 330.51 114.13 189.59

    Profit/Loss After Tax 231.36 79.89 189.59

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 245.56 161.61 51.94

    Cash and Bank Balances 802.36 647.61 23.90

    Other Debit Balances 7,107.00 7,124.00 -0.24

    Other Credit Balances 1,048.00 1,461.00 -28.27

    Net Assets 7,016.00 6,722.00 4.37

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=RESORTSAL

    ASO SAVINGS AND LOANS PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 %

    Gross Earnings 7,906.00 8,021.00 (1.43)

    Profit before tax and excpt. items 788.52 1,734.00 (54.53)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 551.96 1,214.00 (54.53)

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 1,722.00 1,272.00 35.38

    Cash and Bank Balances 15.64 8,107.00 -99.81

    Other Debit Balances 49.65 53.25 -6.75

    Other Credit Balances 61.58 57.31 7.45

    Net Assets 5,595.00 5,477.00 2.15

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=ASOSAVINGS

    NIGERIAN BAG MANUFACTURING PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 7,553.00 7,391.00 2.19

    Profit Before Tax 545.88 116.49 368.60

    Profit/Loss After Tax 371.20 79.22 368.60

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 6,664.00 7,170.00 -7.06

    Cash and Bank Balances 229.08 176.57 29.74

    Other Debit Balances 5,676.00 4,575.00 24.07

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    Trade Credits 287.25 963.22 -70.18

    Other Credit Balances 3,947.00 4,525.00 -12.77

    Working Capital 5,978.00 5,830.00 2.54

    Net Assets 9,331.00 9,239.00 1.00

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=BAGCO

    JULIUS BERGER NIGERIA PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 97,500.00 84,350.00 15.59

    Profit Before Tax 3,900.00 3,370.00 15.73

    Profit/Loss After Tax 2,300.00 1,970.00 16.75

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 46,179.00 28,381.00 62.71

    Cash and Bank Balances 86,943.00 109,384.00 -20.52

    Other Debit Balances 46,447.00 52,462.00 -11.47

    Trade Credits 5,318.00 5,293.00 0.47

    Other Credit Balances 111,493.00 121,812.00 -8.47

    Working Capital (35,797.00) (16,597.00) 115.68

    Net Assets 6,416.00 6,563.00 -2.24

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=JBERGER

    ROYAL EXCHANGE PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 2,822.00 2,935.00 (3.85)

    Profit Before Tax 383.62 (202.79) (289.17)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 602.41 132.75 353.78

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 5,281.00 3,949.00 33.73

    Cash and Bank Balances 1,084.00 1,632.00 -33.58

    Other Debit Balances 4,567.00 3,108.00 46.94

    Other Credit Balances 4,879.00 5,382.00 -9.35

    Working Capital 1,086.00 399.39 171.91Net Assets 8,116.00 11,706.00 -30.67

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=ROYALEXCHANGE

    ADSWITCH PLC

    SECOND QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-OCT-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 100.52 22.21 352.59

    Profit Before Tax 10.87 (1.50) 824.67

    Profit After Tax 7.61 (1.50) 607.33

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=ADSWITCH

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    Other Credit Balances 5,730.00 8,382.00 -31.64

    Working Capital 3,351.00 1,094.00 206.31

    Net Assets 11,023.00 6,084.00 81.18

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=ROYALEXCHANGE

    SOVEREIGN TRUS PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-SEP-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 3,806.00 3,037.00 25.32

    Profit before tax 126.26 617.09 (79.54)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 107.33 529.73 (79.74)

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 561.47 530.19 5.90

    Cash and Bank Balances 97.68 44.49 119.56

    Other Debit Balances 4,251.00 4,203.00 1.14

    Other Credit Balances 792.50 714.05 10.99Working Capital 2,874.00 2,783.00 3.27

    Net Assets 3,730.00 3,619.00 3.07

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=SOVEREIGNTRUST

    THOMAS WYATT NIGERIA PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 30-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 114.31 150.00 (23.80)

    Profit before tax 1.37 2.52 (45.60)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 0.52 1,786.00 (99.97)

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 415.19 416.35 -0.28

    Cash and Bank Balances 793.85 449.00 76.80

    Other Debit Balances 69.66 89.72 -22.36

    Trade Credits 22.92 6.05 279.14

    Other Credit Balances 347.78 385.42 -9.77

    Working Capital (221.16) (225.84) 2.07

    Net Assets 194.60 191.07 1.84

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=THOMASWYATT

    RED STAR EXPRESS PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 3,148.00 3,036.00 3.69

    Profit before tax 359.80 367.14 (2.00)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 251.86 257.00 (2.00)

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 754.79 680.64 10.89

    Cash and Bank Balances 333.25 365.88 -8.92

    Other Debit Balances 273.54 238.54 14.67

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    Trade Creditors 226.65 104.50 116.89

    Other Credit Balances 705.67 811.22 -13.01

    Working Capital 793.04 743.42 6.67

    Net Assets 1,353.00 1,278.00 5.87

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=REDSTAREX

    C &I LEASING PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-OCT-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 5,771.00 4,767.00 21.06

    Profit before tax 284.45 304.87 (6.70)

    Profit/Loss After Tax 236.09 230.52 2.42

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 2,174.00 2,187.00 -0.59

    Cash and Bank Balances 402.71 383.29 5.07

    Other Debit Balances 8,499.00 7,871.00 7.98

    Other Credit Balances 1,099.00 1,911.00 -42.49

    Working Capital (7,653.00) (7,566.00) -1.15

    Net Assets 2,626.00 2,152.00 22.03

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=CILEASING

    ACADEMY PRESS PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 1,390.00 1,106.00 25.68

    Profit before tax 106.68 73.88 44.41

    Profit/Loss After Tax 74.68 51.71 44.41

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 961.85 526.54 82.68

    Cash and Bank Balances 2.31 28.34 -91.84

    Other Debit Balances 410.97 478.28 -14.07

    Other Credit Balances 146.36 131.30 11.47

    Working Capital 274.74 139.53 -1.15

    Net Assets 597.93 463.15 29.10

    http://www.proshareng.com/investors/company.php?ref=ACADEMY

    NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL PLC

    THIRD QUARTER RESULT FOR THE PERIOD ENDING 31-DEC-09

    2009 Nm 2008 Nm % Change

    Gross Earnings 1,352.00 1,228.00 10.10

    Profit before tax 54.17 (123.76) 143.77

    Profit/Loss After Tax 36.84 (123.76) 129.77

    Balance Sheet Information

    Fixed Assets 225.85 189.90 18.93

    Cash and Bank Balances 19.93 14.34 38.93

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    Forecast Results in the Month

    Company Year End PeriodGross Earnings

    in N' billionPAT in N'

    billion

    Nigerian Breweries Plc December Q1 2010 40.841 7.967

    Gold Link Insurance Plc December Q2 2010 1.968 0.495Skye Bank Plc December Q2 2010 27.189 3.457

    Capital Hotel Plc December Q1 2010 1.257 0.944

    Nampak Plc September Q2 2010 1.062 0.549

    Nampak Plc September Q3 2010 1.278 0.636

    National Sport Lottery December Q1 2010 2.128 0.263

    Tantalizer Plc December Q1 2010 1.355 0.278

    Tantalizer Plc December Q4 2010 6.198 0.421

    Cornerstone Insurance Plc December Q1 2010 1.980 0.297

    Sovereign Insurance Plc December Q1 2010 1.458 0.342

    Neimeth Plc December Q1 2010 1.905 0.655

    Livestock Plc December Q1 2010 0.802 0.324Bagco Plc December Q1 2010 10.452 0.557

    Julius Berger Plc December Q1 2010 36.400 0.920

    Presco Plc December Q1 2010 0.900 0.125

    Aso Savings Plc December Q1 2010 3.882 0.506Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Dividends Declared

    CompanyDividendDeclared AGM Date

    Price AdjustmentDate

    Nestle Plc N10.60 April 27th, 2010 April 16th, 2010

    Nigerian Breweris Plc N0.89k May 19th, 2010 March 12th, 2010

    Vitafoam Plc N0.25k March 4th, 2010 March 15th, 2010

    Afromedia Plc N0.05k March 3rd, 2010 February 5th, 2010Source: NSE, Proshare Research

    Sectoral Analysis

    SECTOR ANALYSIS

    Symbol 25-Feb 1-Feb YTD YTD %

    Price Price Change ChangeAGRICULTURE

    AFPRINT 0.86 0.86 0 0.00%

    ELLAHLAKES 4.26 4.26 0 0.00%

    FTNCOCOA 0.87 0.75 0.12 16.00%

    LIVESTOCK 0.69 0.73 -0.04 -5.50%

    OKITIPUPA 6.53 6.53 0 0.00%

    OKOMUOIL 21.62 22.75 -1.13 -5.00%

    PRESCO 5.32 4.16 1.16 27.90%

    Average 4.80%

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    CONGLOMERATES

    AGLEVENT 2.99 2.81 0.18 6%

    CHELLARAM 14.13 14.13 0 0%

    JOHNHOLT 9.28 9.28 0 0%

    PZ 26 26 0 0%

    SCOA 8.71 8.71 0 0%

    TRANSCORP 0.54 0.5 0.04 8%

    UACN 43.29 41.5 1.79 4%

    UNILEVER 25 23.56 1.44 6%

    Average 3.10%

    CONSTRUCTION

    ARBICO 26 26 0 0%

    CAPALBETO 95.49 95.49 0 0%

    COSTAIN 5 5.12 -0.12 -2%

    GCAPPA 14.46 14.46 0 0%

    JBERGER 28 28.5 -0.5 -2%

    MULTIVERSE 0.5 0.5 0 0%

    ROADS 3.46 3.46 0 0%

    Average -0.60%

    ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGY

    CUTIX 2.89 3.28 -0.39 -12%

    INTERLINK 5.15 5.15 0 0%

    NIWICABLE 0.9 0.94 -0.04 -4%

    Average -5.90%

    FOOD/BEVERAGES & TOBACCO

    7UP 30.6 30.6 0 0%

    BIGTREAT 0.81 0.78 0.03 4%

    CADBURY 15.8 15.58 0.22 1%

    DANGFLOUR 12.7 13 -0.3 -2%

    DANGSUGAR 16 15.75 0.25 2%

    FLOURMILL 45.1 40.78 4.32 11%

    HONYFLOUR 7.4 7.77 -0.37 -5%

    FOREMOST 0.51 0.51 0 0%

    MANDRID 5.95 5.95 0 0%

    NNFM 23 21.8 1.2 6%

    NASCON 6.2 6.66 -0.46 -7%

    NESTLE 270 260 10 4%

    NBC 27 28 -1 -4%

    TANTALIZER 0.99 0.95 0.04 4%

    UTC 0.78 0.9 -0.12 -13%

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    UNIONDICON 5.71 5.71 0 0%

    Average 0.00%

    FOOTWEAR

    LENNARDS 3.85 3.85 0 0%

    Average 0.00%

    HEALTHCARE

    ABOSELAB 4.92 4.92 0 0%

    EKOCORP 5.58 5.58 0 0%

    EVANSMED 1.07 1.1 -0.03 -3%

    FIDSON 2.4 2.09 0.31 15%

    GLAXOSMITH 27.3 26 1.3 5%

    MAYBAKER 5.04 5.23 -0.19 -4%

    MORISON 11.67 12.28 -0.61 -5%

    NEIMETH 1.47 1.7 -0.23 -14%

    PHARMDEKO 4.97 4.97 0 0%

    UNIONDAC 0.63 0.65 -0.02 -3%

    Average -0.80%

    HOTEL & TOURISM

    CAPHOTEL 2.75 2.07 0.68 33%

    IKEJAHOTEL 1.54 0.99 0.55 56%

    TOURIST 5.28 5.28 0 0%

    Average 29%

    INDUSTRIAL/DOMESTIC PRODUCTS

    ALUMACO 15.8 20.4 -4.6 -22.55%

    ALEX 13.04 13.04 0 0.00%

    BOCGAS 10.39 13.48 -3.09 -22.92%

    ENAMELWA 52.85 52.85 0 0.00%

    FIRSTALUM 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    VITAFOAM 4.72 5.3 -0.58 -10.94%

    VONO 0.63 0.66 -0.03 -4.55%

    Average -8.71%

    INFORMATION & COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY

    CHAMS 0.71 0.74 -0.03 -4.05%

    ETRANZACT 5.23 5.23 0 0.00%

    IHS 4.03 4.24 -0.21 -4.95%

    MTECH 0.91 0.91 0 0.00%

    MTI 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    STARCOMMS 1.95 1.95 0 0.00%

    Average -1.50%

    INSURANCE

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    AFRINSURE 0.5 0.7 -0.2 -28.57%

    AIICO 1.03 0.98 0.05 5.10%

    CONFDINS 0.64 0.64 0 0.00%

    CONTINSURE 0.95 0.91 0.04 4.40%

    CORNERST 0.5 0.55 -0.05 -9.09%

    CUSTODYINS 2.95 2.8 0.15 5.36%

    EQUITYASUR 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    GOLDINSURE 0.51 0.52 -0.01 -1.92%

    GNI 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    GUINEAINS 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    HMARKINS 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    WAPIC 0.99 1 -0.01 -1.00%

    INTENEGINS 0.57 0.61 -0.04 -6.56%

    IAINSURE 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    LASACO 0.51 0.55 -0.04 -7.27%

    LAWUNION 0.55 0.53 0.02 3.77%

    LINKASSURE 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    MBENEFIT 0.64 0.64 0 0.00%

    NEM 0.51 0.53 -0.02 -3.77%

    NIGERINS 0.74 0.88 -0.14 -15.91%

    OASISINS 1.23 1.49 -0.26 -17.45%

    PRESTIGE 3.61 3.8 -0.19 -5.00%

    REGALINS 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    SOVRENINS 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    STACO 0.79 0.99 -0.2 -20.20%

    STDINSURE 0.5 0.64 -0.14 -21.88%

    UNIC 0.82 0.77 0.05 6.49%

    UNIVINSURE 0.5 0.5 0 0.00%

    Average -4.05%

    LEASING

    CILEASING 2.7 2.7 0 0.00%

    Average 0.00%

    MARITIME

    JAPAULOIL 1.24 1.29 -0.05 -3.88%

    Average -3.88%

    MEDIA

    AFROMEDIA 0.55 0.65 -0.1 -15.38%

    DAARCOMM 0.67 0.6 0.07 11.67%

    Average -1.86%

    MORTGAGE COMPANIES

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    ABBEYBDS 1.61 1.61 0 0.00%

    ASOSAVINGS 0.65 0.68 -0.03 -4.41%

    UNHOMES 0.87 0.97 -0.1 -10.31%

    Average -4.91%

    OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS

    CRUSADER 0.95 1.07 -0.12 -11.21%

    DEAPCAP 2.02 2.02 0 0.00%

    FIRSTCAP 0.45 0.45 0 0.00%

    NESF 552.2 552.2 0 0.00%

    ROYALEX 0.59 0.6 -0.01 -1.67%

    Average -2.58%

    PACKAGING

    ABPLAST 3.98 3.98 0 0.00%

    AVONCROWN 7.65 7.65 0 0.00%

    BETAGLAS 12.88 14.26 -1.38 -9.68%

    NAMPAK 6.99 6.99 0 0.00%

    POLYPROD 4.23 4.23 0 0.00%

    BAGCO 2.34 1.81 0.53 29.28%

    STUDPRESS 2.92 2.92 0 0.00%

    VANLEER 15.03 15.03 0 0.00%

    WAGLASS 0.63 0.63 0 0.00%

    Average 2.18%

    PETROLEUM(MARKETING)

    AP 47.46 36.4 11.06 30.38%

    AFROIL 20.71 20.71 0 0.00%

    BECOPETRO 2.24 2.08 0.16 7.69%

    CHEVRON 69.79 69.79 0 0.00%

    CONOIL 34.17 33.57 0.6 1.79%

    ETERNAOIL 6 6 0 0.00%

    MOBIL 97.51 99.95 -2.44 -2.44%

    OANDO 93.99 93.99 0 0.00%

    TOTAL 142.5 150 -7.5 -5.00%

    Average 3.60%

    PRINTING & PUBLISHING

    ACADEMY 6.85 7.21 -0.36 -4.99%

    DTIMES 0.69 0.69 0 0.00%

    LONGMAN 9.76 8.58 1.18 13.75%

    UPL 5.5 5.69 -0.19 -3.34%

    Average 1.36%

    REAL ESTATE

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    Outlook /Analyst Opinion

    Based on the market intelligence available as at the time of concluding this report, we

    expect for there to be a means-enabled resolution of the political impasse within the

    leadership in the nation; a conscious attempt to address the economic issues through a

    work-out arrangement between the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Nigeriathat should help improve the operating environment.

    While this may take time to reflect upon the market, the clarity and sense of direction it

    would provide should trigger an interest in the market prior to the announcement of the

    election timetables for the 2011 elections in Q2 2010.

    Combined, we expect that announcement of the long awaited fourth quarter 2009 results

    of the banks will likely push the market in either direction, but definitely there will be a

    reaction. We expect for the Lamido 8 banks to present only marginal variations to the

    huge loss positions given that most of the provisioning were made as at the 11 month

    (November 2009 when the status of the debts remained at the same levels in theirbooks) and the recovery efforts in December would not have been that significant to

    warrant a rapid turn-around (unless write-backs representing post balance sheet

    adjustments take place).

    Any positive news is welcome at this stage, having exhausted all the negativity

    imaginable for a financial institution. The key areas of impact should see the other banks

    that gained from increased deposit intakes (flight to safety) and smart lending show an

    improvement in earnings which should be welcome news. Information from the market

    concerning the bonds that have been offered as well as rights issue suggests that the

    market did not warm up to them indicating resistance yet to be breached.

    As the market awaits the enough stimulus for its full recovery, we are of the opinion that

    that recovery is hinged on basic fundamentals, which appear not to be in place at the

    moment. Opportunities however abound for investing cautiously and long term we

    have a market of selective performance rather than a broad base rally which means that

    trading in the market would be driven by stocks of firms in less uncertain sectors.

    Yet, the good money remains on some of the stocks shown above that have shown

    resilience in the face of market difficulties all through 2009 and the last two months.

    Clearly, the market can achieve some quick wins by quickly gaining a resolution of the

    following issues; to signal a new era of lessons learnt, viz:

    The AMC issue and Sale of banks to new owners and the unaddressed huge

    debt overhang of stock brokers.

    The many unresolved market transactions and service issues untimely

    resolution of infractions, underwriting issues, private placements and non-

    payment of dividends issues pending at the SEC, NSE and EFCC.

    Clarity on the governance and succession concerns affecting the leadership of the

    SEC and NSE.

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    Investments in telecoms sector now $18bnFrom $50m in 2001-

    Investments in Nigerias telecommunications sector have reached $18 billion

    since 2001,a figure that represents a massive growth from $50 million in

    2001.Also,the growth recorded has leap-frogged the country to the enviable

    position of Africas largest telecoms market. In the same vein, the countrys

    subscriber base has now reached 75 million active connected lines.Senate panel petitions minister on Udoma's chairmanship of SEC-The

    Senate Committee on Capital Market has forwarded a petition to the Minister

    of State for Finance, Mr. Remi Babalola, seeking the removal of the

    Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Senator Udoma

    Udo Udoma. According to the petition, Udoma, who, recently, emerged

    Chairman of UAC of Nigeria Plc and Vice Chairman of Linkage Assurance Plc,

    should resign his chairmanship of the commission if he wants to continue to

    occupy his position in the two quoted companies.

    Cadbury Pays N15bn Debt-Cadbury Nigeria Plc announced it had paid off

    all the outstanding N15.2b bank debts that weighed on its bottom line in

    recent years. The company said in a statement that the repayment followed

    the successful conclusion of its Rights Issue and the listing of its new shares

    by the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

    Banking crisis: Sanusi blames Soludo for CBNs failings-Central Bank

    of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Mallam Lamido Sanusi, has come down hard on

    his predecessor, Professor Chukwuma Soludo, blaming the former CBN

    helmsman for most of the perceived failings of the apex financial institution

    which resulted in it being unable to prevent the ongoing crisis in the

    industry.

    CBNs second phase reform to focus on bank categorisation- The

    evolution of a healthy financial sector with varying niches and capital

    requirements would be the plank of the second phase of the sector reforms,

    according to Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) governor.

    Searchlight will also be beamed on the desirability of the current universal

    banking model which he regarded as an obsession with rapid growth but

    without the right frameworks to manage risks. There will also be inquiry into

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    the use of depositors funds for margin trading in a bid to shield the funds

    and avoid a repeat of the crisis that nearly brought the industry to its knees.

    Global economic growth to rise by 3.1 per cent in 2010-The

    International Monetary Fund (IMF) has estimated a 3.1 per cent increase in

    global growth in 2010, following the recent data improvement in the global

    economy, which was led by Asia and supported by vigorous and coordinatedfiscal and monetary policy stimulus including a wide range of measures to

    enhance credit flow.

    CBN targets April for sale of rescued banks-The 10 troubled banks

    recently rescued with a N620 billion bailout fund may be sold by April to new

    investors, going by a hint from the Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria

    (CBN), Lamido Sanusi. Sanusi, said necessary preparations had been

    concluded to ensure transparent ownership switch of the banks.

    FG Demands CBNs Blueprint on Bank Reforms-The Federal Government

    has asked the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to furnish it with the blueprint

    on the banking reforms to allow assessment of the direction of its policies

    and also ensure that they are in line with governments long-term economic

    programmes.

    Week 3 Feb15-19

    Custodian announces Nigerias first share buy-back-Custodian and

    Allied Insurance Plc announced the nations first share buy-back , a move

    expected to be followed by other companies with depressed share prices and

    flush with cash.

    NSE urges quoted companies to embrace share buy-back-The Nigerian

    Stock Exchange urged quoted companies to engage in the buy-back of their

    shares to create more market for the stocks.

    Oil price rises sharply on weak dollar-The price of oil has risen sharply

    as the dollar, the currency in which the commodity is priced, weakened

    against the pound and the euro.US light crude rose $3.06 to $77.19 a barrel

    at one point on Tuesday, its biggest daily rise in more than four months. It

    finished the day at $77.01.Meanwhile, London Brent settled up $3.17 at

    $75.68 a barrel.

    Nigerias domestic debt hits N3.228trn, foreign debt $3.95bn-Four

    47

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    years after exiting the infamous $30 billion Paris and London Clubs debts,

    Nigerias external debt profile stands at $3.947 billion, the Minister of

    Finance, Alhaji Mansur Muhtar said .The Minister who made this known at a

    public hearing organized by the House of Representatives ad-hoc Committee

    on Foreign Loans, also affirmed that Nigeria would borrow more this year,

    but in a sustainable wayNigeria spent N1.8 trn on petroleum subsidies in four years-Nigeria

    has spent a total of N 1.8 trillion to subsidised petroleum products in the last

    four years which the federal government has said is not sustainable said Mr

    Remi Babalola.

    Oteh resumes as IOSCO's chairman -The Director-General, Securities

    and Exchange Commission (SEC), Ms Arunma Oteh, has resumed duties as

    the Chairman of Africa and Middle East Regional Committee (AMERC) of the

    International Organisation of Securities Commissions (IOSCO).

    Inflation Increases 12.3% in January; Trend uncertain in 2010

    Citigroup Nigeria's inflation rate (year on year) rose to 12.3 per cent in

    January from 12 per cent the previous month. According to the datareleased yesterday by the National Bureau for Statistics (NBS), growth in

    food prices, which form the bulk of the inflation index basket rose to 14 per

    cent year-on-year from 13.6 per cent in December.

    CBN issues fresh guidelines on margin lending-The Central Bank of

    Nigeria (CBN) said it would soon issue guidelines on margin lending to avert

    future crisis in the banking sector, in which reckless lending by banks to

    stockbrokers, subsidiaries and individuals for stock purchase contributed

    immensely to banking crises. The CBN Governor, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi has

    said.

    World Bank rates Nigeria low in trade logistics index-Nigerias capacity

    to move and connect manufacturers with international markets around the

    world was still low, the World Bank has said. In its 2010 Logistics

    Performance Index (LPI) released in Abuja, recently, Nigeria is ranked 100th

    among 155 countries in the bank in a survey on trade logistics, despite

    various reforms in the countrys economy.

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    restructuring in the operations of registrars in the market as part of efforts

    to make the market more attractive to investors.

    Inflation: CBN May Reduce Support to Banks-There are indications that

    the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) may in the course of this year move

    monetary policy away from addressing problems in the banking sector to

    other macro-economic challenges, especially fighting inflation.Court Endorses Afprint De-listing Plans-The Federal High Court Lagos

    has approved the scheme of arrangement of Afprint Nigeria Plc earlier

    passed by the shareholders at a Court Ordered Meeting preparatory to

    delisting of the company from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE).

    Anti-Sanusi group seek suspension of banking reforms- There are

    intense and sustained pressures on the CBN to modify or outrightly dump

    the current reforms in the banking sector.

    Oil prices inch near $80 as traders eye low interest rates-Oil prices

    rose to just below $80 a barrel after a three-week rally, as investors expect

    the Federal Reserve of the United States of America (U.S.) to keep interest

    rates near zero to help fuel economic growth, which would boost crude

    consumption.

    Market loss: SEC boss blames regulators-The new Director-General of

    the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Ms. Arunma Oteh, said all

    regulators in the equities market were responsible for the monumental loss

    in the market.

    CBN asks troubled banks to repay N620bn loan May-The Central Bank

    Governor, Mr. Lamido Sanusi, has said that the apex bank expects the N620

    billion it injected into the eight troubled banks to be repaid. Sanusi, who

    spoke in Pretoria, South Africa, said: We expect that by April, May, the

    exposure with the banks should have been paid back by the banks.The CBN

    boss said the repayment was envisaged on the passage of the Asset

    Management Company, AMC, bill by the legislature, by March.

    Banks jostle for Q4 good outing as investors expectations rise-The

    leadership of the countrys banks are scratching their heads to come up with

    new and legitimate devices to achieve impressive fourth quarter results for

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