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EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION Corporate Overview March 2014 EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
Transcript
Page 1: Feb 2014 roadshow presentation vFINAL - Trinity … presentation may include certain "forward looking" statements which are based on expectations, projections and forecastsrelating

E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N

Corporate Overview

March 2014E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N

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Disclaimer

This presentation is not and is not intended to be a prospectus and does not or is not intended to constitute or form part of any offer for sale or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities in Trinity Exploration & Production plc (the "Company") in any jurisdiction. It shall not form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as invitation or inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. No offer of securities is being or will be made in circumstances which would require a prospectus or similar document to be approved.

While the information contained in this presentation, which does not purport to be comprehensive, is believed to be accurate, neither the Company nor any other person has conducted any investigation into or verified such information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be given by the Company or its directors, officers, employees or advisers or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of this presentation and, so far as permitted by law and except in the case of fraud, no responsibility or liability whatsoever is accepted for the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information contained in this presentation or for any errors, opinions, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise relating to this presentation. Each recipient must conduct its own independent investigation and analysis of the Company and of the information contained in this presentation and bear all the costs of doing so.

This presentation may include certain "forward looking" statements which are based on expectations, projections and forecasts relating to the future performance of the Company.  Such statements, projections and forecasts, which are intended as a guide only, represent the Company's own assessment and interpretation of information available to it at the date of this presentation and reflect significant assumptions and subjective judgements by the Company. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the potential results discussed in such forward looking statements, estimates and forecasts, including (but not limited to) changes in general economic and market conditions and all other risk factors (whether political, regulatory or otherwise) associated with offshore exploration, development and production. In all cases, recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the information contained in this presentation. No representation or warranty is made or assurance given that the statements, projections and forecasts contained in this presentation will be borne out in practice or that the Company will perform as projected and the Company does not assume responsibility for verifying any of such statements, projections or forecasts. Neither the Company nor any persons shall be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of relying on any statement in or omission from this presentation.

This presentation has been made available to recipients for information only. The Company gives no undertaking to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies in it which may become apparent.

No person has approved (for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (the “FSMA”)) the contents of, or any part of, this presentation. This presentation is only directed at persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments and who: a) in relation to persons resident in the UK, fall within the exemptions contained in Articles 19 or 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (including certain investment professionals, high net worth companies, unincorporated associations or partnerships and the trustees of high value trusts); or b) in relation to U.S. Persons (as defined in Rule 902 of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”)), are an “accredited investor” within the meaning of Rule 501 of Regulation D under the Securities Act; or c) in relation to persons resident in Trinidad or Tobago, are accredited investors as defined in and in accordance with the securities act 2012 of the laws of Trinidad and Tobago and are permitted to receive them or d) are otherwise permitted by the laws of the jurisdiction in which they are resident to receive them; and e) in relation to persons in member states of the European Economic Area (“EEA”), are a “professional client” or an "eligible counterparty" within the meaning of Article 4 (1)(II) and 24(2), (3) and (4), respectively, of MiFID as MiFID is implemented into national law of the relevant EEA state. 

Persons falling within one of the categories of persons described above must comply with the terms of this disclaimer and they will conduct their own analyses or other verification of the data set out in this presentation and bear the responsibility for all or any costs incurred in doing so. Persons who do not fall within one of the categories of persons described above should not rely on this presentation nor take any action upon it 

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America or its territories or possessions (the "United States"), or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States, or to any U.S. Person as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act, including U.S. resident corporations, or other entities organized under the laws of the United States or any state thereof or non‐U.S. branches or agencies of such corporations or entities or into Canada, Australia, Japan the Republic of Ireland, or the Republic of South Africa, except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United States or other national securities laws.

.

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Introduction

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Trinity Strategy

Repeatable strategy that will deliver shareholder value

Focus on Trinidad, a prolific but under‐exploited mature hydrocarbon basin

Create shareholder value through reserves and production growth

Maintain a strong cash flow base from operated assets

Apply technical and commercial skills to unlock value

Capitalise on “first‐mover” advantage as leading Trinidadian independent

Grow portfolio through selective M&A and licensing rounds

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Key Achievements Since IPO

Grown Production • Production increased 23% since IPO

Grown Reserves • Reserves increased 56% since IPO

Delivered Exploration Success

• TGAL‐1 discovery contains estimated OOIP of 50‐115 mmbbl

Integrated Merger • Successfully integrated two businesses and delivered all operations safely

Demonstrated Commercial Leadership

• Led fiscal lobbying to secure increased capital allowances• Converted Petrotrin interest at Trintes to ORR in order to 

increase financial and operating flexibility 

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Portfolio Value Drivers

Trinity is a full‐cycle E&P company with growth opportunities across the value chain

Value

Time

Exploration Commercialisation Development Production• Galeota Ridge• PGB• South Africa

• TGAL‐1• Brighton infill 

programme

• Trintes infill• Onshore new wells

• Onshore base• West coast base• Trintes base

M&A Opportunities?

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Trinidad Production Trends

Source: Woodmac, Ministry of Energy

Trinidad remains a prolific basin, but significant investment is required in both oil and gas production to arrest declines

Oil production (historical) Gas production (forecast)

70

80

90

100

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150

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

kbop

d

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

mmcf/d

Trinidad gas production Current gas demand

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Significant Remaining Opportunity

Trinidad is a mature basin but has been under‐exploited and offers significant remaining opportunity for a smaller independent like Trinity

• Independents can drive late growth in a mature basin, but Trinidad has not yet opened up in the same way other jurisdictions have

• Remaining exploration potential is for more modest field sizes (20‐50mmbbl oil,  250‐500Bcf gas) which is below materiality thresholds for larger players

• Further co‐operation between operators needed in sharing infrastructure to drive down costs of new smaller developments

• Government recognises the role independents can play and a number of structural reforms are ongoing to encourage new entrants to unlock Trinidad’s “stranded reserves”

Government providing fiscal stimulus to encourage investment

New acreage being made available with regular licencing rounds  (3 rounds announced during 2012‐2013)

Basin under-exploited by independents

Source: Woodmac

# independents in 2003

27 82 60

# independentsin 2013

27 151 139

% reserves discovered by independents

Independents5%

Other95%

Independents14%

Other86%

Independents11%

Other89%

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Portfolio review

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Base Production: Q4 2013 Review

Trinity’s active drilling and RCP programme grew production by 23% since IPO

• Q4 production 4,210 boepd

• West coast

Brighton recompletion project concluded

RCP wells have declined more than expected

Important ABM‐151 well experienced waxing issues in December

• Onshore

One onshore well drilled in the quarter (stabilised production c. 60 bopd)

• East coast

B11 well completed at Trintes with IP rate of 265 bopd

Trintes rig and other upgrades completed to improve operating efficiency

2013 West coast net production

2013 onshore net production

2013 East coast net production

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

bopd

0

200

400

600

800

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

bopd

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

bopd

MP8 RCP’s

ORR conversion

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Base Production: 2014 Outlook

Continued production growth through onshore and Trintes drilling

• West coast

Workovers and remedial work to address current production issues

• Onshore

Drilling currently suspended

Ongoing discussions with Ministry and Petrotrin to high grade licenses and remove drilling inefficiencies following which drilling will recommence

• East coast

5 infill targets identified in the M‐sand from Bravo and Delta platforms

Initial B9 well also testing deeper O, OO & P sands (success would open up 3‐5 additional new drilling locations)

New “J” well design could greatly increase IP rates and recoverable resources per well

M-Sand map and 2014 drilling locations

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New well design could drive significant improvement in IP rates and reserves per well

• New well design for Galeota to target shallow horizons and intersect significantly more reservoir section

• Pilot well will be drilled in Trintes field during 2014 to test well design, sand control, rig etc.

“J” Type Well Design

Indicative well design

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Successful TGAL‐1 exploration well demonstrates remaining potential of the Galeota license

• Successful exploration well announced in December 2013

Five targets penetrated all with high quality oil bearing reservoir sands

Total net oil column of 547ft

OOIP estimated to be in range of 50‐115mmbbl across Areas A & B

• Development planning commenced with various options under consideration

Moving project to FDP is a key priority

Update on timing to be provided in Q2 2014

• De‐risks broader opportunities on Galeota Ridge anticline

Other discoveries on the block are part of same structural trend

Source: Management estimates

TGAL‐1 Discovery

Rowan Gorilla drilling TGAL-1

Top H Structure

TGAL1

Area A

Area B

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East Coast: Exploration Potential

Significant inventory of leads and prospects on same structural trend as Trintes field and TGAL discovery

MG

Gross Resources

2P reserves 37 mmbbl

Contingent resources 45 mmbbl

Prospective resources 144 mmbbl

Source: Gaffney Cline as of June 30, 2012

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West Coast: El Dorado

El Dorado well encountered significant reservoir quality sand packages, however trapping failed and so oil has migrated through this area

-67 5

0

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-7000-7250-7500-7750

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-8000-825

F1

E_3B

E_1B

C_4C_3

C_1A_S_4

G-8

G-10G-9

ABM-151

ABM-144

ABM-142

ABM-139

ABM-136

ABM-134

ABM-133

ABM-132

ABM-91

ABM-753882

3752

38123852

3682

4308

4044

38983949

4304

3974

38403955

5158

4842

3726

36983845

41034150

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640800 641600 642400 643200 644000 644800 645600 646400 647200

640800 641600 642400 643200 644000 644800 645600 646400 647200

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11312001132000

11328001133600

11344001135200

11360001136800

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500m

1:50000

-9000-8750-8500-8250-8000-7750-7500-7250-7000-6750-6500-6250-6000-5750-5500-5250-5000-4750-4500-4250-4000-3750-3500

Depth

El Dorado ‐ 1

• Well spudded on December 6th and drilled to TD of 6,174ft

• Significant sand packages but only modest net hydrocarbons sands (13 ft of net oil sands and 32ft of gas sands)

• Volumes are deemed sub‐commercial

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West Coast: Future Activity

El Dorado well encountered significant reservoir quality sand packages, however trapping failed and so oil has migrated through this area

• 6 well development programme identified on West flank of Brighton field

2P reserves of 2.2mmbbl (364,000 bbl per well)

• Seeking to secure rig access to commit to project in 2015

May consider bringing in a partner

West Coast business continues to offer significant growth opportunities

• Remaining commitment to drill one exploration well on PGB license

• Acquisition of 3D seismic required to define drilling location

• Block has an existing heavy oil discovery, and adjacent 48mmbbl Jubilee discovery (drilled in 2012 by Petrotrin) demonstrates remaining potential

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2014 Guidance Summary

• Production expected to average 3,800 boepd – 4,500 boepd

Range driven by uncertainty in “J” type well performance

• Minimum capex of US$21m

US$7m for El Dorado (incurred in January)

US$6m for subsurface and infrastructure

Remainder for drilling

Programme may be expanded depending on capital allocation and funding

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Summary

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Fundamentally strong business operating in a prolific hydrocarbon basin

Strong and growing production base

Portfolio of low risk infrastructure‐led exploration prospects

First‐mover advantage in a basin which is creating M&A opportunities

Excellent local relationships

Proven management team and Board

Fully funded near term work programme

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Appendix

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Trinity Key Facts

Market capitalisation c. US$180mm

2P reserves 49 mmbbl

Contingent resources 38 mmboe

Q4 2013 Production 4,250 boepd

Cash @ Dec 31, 2013 US$25 million

Debt @ Dec 31, 2013 US$16 million

Ticker AIM: TRIN

Note: Reserves and resources figures as per Gaffney Cline, RPS Energy and management estimates

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Trinidad Assets

Total of 11 operated assets across 3 different areas: offshore East Coast, offshore West Coast and onshore

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Board of Directors

Name Nationality Experience

Bruce DingwallExecutive Chairman

• Founded Trinity in 2005• Geologist – 30+ years experience with Exxon, Lasmo and Venture 

Production (founder and CEO), sold to Centrica for £1.3 billion

Joel ‘Monty’ PembertonCEO & Executive Director 

• CEO since 2009 and has led business through rapid growth phase• Chartered accountant by background, focus on energy for 13+ years

Finian O’SullivanNon‐Executive Director

• Former Chairman Bayfield Energy and CEO of Burren Energy, sold to Eni for £1.7 billion

• Geologist with 30+ years experience

Jon MurphyNon‐Executive Director

• Former COO Venture Production, grew production from zero to 45,000 bopd and sold to Centrica for £1.3 billion

• Geologist with 30+ years experience, largely with Lasmo & Venture

Anthony BrashNon‐Executive Director

• MD of Well Services Group, leading drilling contractor in Trinidad operating 2 jackup rigs and 12 land rigs

• 25+ years of experience operating in Trinidad

David MacfarlaneIndependent Non‐Executive Director

• Former CFO Dana Petroleum, sold to KNOC for £1.9 billion• Chartered accountant, 25+ years experience upstream experience

Ronald HarfordIndependent Non‐Executive Director

• Chairman of Republic Bank, largest indigenous financial institution in Caribbean

• 45+ years banking experience in the Caribbean region

22

Strong blend of local and international expertise with a significant track record of value creation in the oil and gas sector

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Management Team

Name Nationality Experience

Joel ‘Monty’ PembertonCEO & Executive Director

• CEO since 2009 and has led business through rapid growth phase• Chartered accountant by background, focus on energy for 13+ years

Bryan RamsumairCFO

• Joined Trinity in 2011 • Formerly worked in banking/corporate finance in Trinidad

Ian MacDonaldCOO

• Joined Trinity in 2007• Petroleum engineer with 30+ years experience, largely with BP 

including operating offshore Trinidad’s East Coast

Brian BessonDevelopment Manager

• Joined Trinity in 2011• 30+ years engineering career with BP/Amoco in Trinidad & UK 

Sookdeo HeeralalCommercial Manager

• Joined Trinity in 2012• Geologist with 30+ years experience in technical and commercial 

roles within Trinidad’s national oil company (Petrotrin)

Clive DeokieSubsurface Manager

• Joined Trinity in 2011• Geologist with 25+ years experience with BG, Venture and Petrotrin

focused on Trinidad

Robert GairCorporate Development Manager

• Joined Trinity in 2012• Former investment banker with focus on energy for 10+ years

Lennox WiltshireHSE Manager

• Joined Trinity in 2012• 35+ years of oil and gas related HSE experience with BP/Amoco  in 

Trinidad and Vietnam

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Ambitious management team with significant experience of operating in Trinidad and that has rapidly grown the business

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Galeota: Production & Development

Exciting block with 84mmbbl 2P reserves plus contingent resources, located in shallow water and with significant infrastructure

• 100% operated interest in Trintes field (65% in Galeota License)

• 2P reserves of 39mmbbl

• Shallow water (50‐155 feet water depth) with significant infrastructure in place

• Current production of 1,300 bopd (gross) 

• Significant development upside within existing producing areas: utilise owned platform rig to drill infill wells

• Block also contains 5 undeveloped discoveries with gross contingent resources of 45 mmboe

Net Oil Sand M-Sand Structure Map

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Galeota: Development & Exploration Inventory

Existing discoveries (contingent resources: 45mmboe) and identified prospects (prospective resources 93mmboe) provide deep inventory of development and exploration opportunities

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• Commercial production onshore Trinidad since 1910 and Forest Reserve has produced 1.2bn bbl to date with low recovery rates (c. 12‐15%) leaving significant remaining potential

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Onshore – Low Risk Development Drilling

Cruse Sands

Forest Sands

Morne L’EnferSands

WD‐2 – Type Log

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Onshore (contd.)

• Stacked pay means that each well has multiple producing horizons

• Trinity perforates lowest zone initially (in many cases this isn’t the primary target) and shallower zones are re‐completed once deeper area is depleted

• At conservative planning case assumptions (EUR 60 mbbl) , Trinity expects to deliver 50%+ IRR based on initial completion alone

Stacked pay provides multiple production zones

Sand Package EUR (mbbl)

Lower Morne L’Enfer 12

Upper Forest 42

Lower Forest 170

Total 224

PS-571 (drilled in WD-2 in 2013) Well Log

Note: initial perforations highlighted in blue

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Pletmos (South Africa)

• c. 11,000 km2 block in shallow water (<150 metres)

• 100% interest with 10% State back‐in right (PetroSA) following any commercial discovery

Further 10% available on commercial terms to Historically Disadvantaged South Africans

• No exploration activity on the block since 1990

• 6 identified prospects with 2.7 Tcf net unrisked prospective resources

• Farmout process initiated to find partner to operate next exploration phaseSeveral large IOCs present in surrounding acreage

Note: ExxonMobil acreage under application

First international asset – early stage but significant gas prospectivity

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Trinidad & Tobago

Background• Trinidad is the most southerly English speaking island in the Caribbean, located 

between the Caribbean Sea and the North Atlantic Ocean and seven miles off the northeast of Venezuela

• The Country is 5,128 square km in area, with a population of 1.3 million• Trinidad is a democracy with its political system based on the Westminster 

parliamentary system. The judicial system is based on English common law and practice.  The final court of appeal is the Privy Council

• The Government has a long history of stable fiscal regimes and historically the political parties have abided by the sanctity of contract

• Trinidad’s GDP per capita is one of the highest in Latin America and Trinidad is rated A / Baa1 by Standard and Poors and Moody’s respectively

• The energy industry contributes 44% of GDP, accounts for 83% of the Country’s exports and is the largest earner of foreign exchange

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Corporate Advisers

NOMAD & joint broker RBC Capital Markets

Joint broker Jefferies Hoare Govett

Bankers Citibank

Auditor PricewaterhouseCoopers 

Competent person RPS GroupGaffney Cline Associates

Public relations Brunswick Group

Lawyers Pinsent Masons

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E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N

Trinidad & Tobago office UK officeSSL Building, 40‐44 Sutton Street, 23 Melville StreetSan Fernando, Trinidad, W.I. EdinburghPO Box 3519 La Romain EH3 7PETel: +1 868 653 4369 Tel: +44 131 240 3860

www.trinityexploration.com


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