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Fifty Years of College Choice: Social, Political and Institutional Influences on the Decision- making Process NEW A GENDA S ERIES Jillian Kinzie, Megan Palmer, John Hayek, Don Hossler, Stacy A. Jacob and Heather Cummings V o l u m e 5 N u m b e r 3 S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 4
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Page 1: Fifty Years of College Choice - Lumina Foundation · Fifty Years of College Choice: Social, Political and Institutional Influences on the Decision- making Process NEW AGENDA SERIES™

Fifty Years ofCollege Choice:

Social, Politicaland Institutional

Influences onthe Decision-

making Process

NEW AGENDA SERIES™

Jillian Kinzie, Megan Palmer, John Hayek, Don Hossler,

Stacy A. Jacob and Heather Cummings

V o l u m e 5 • N u m b e r 3 • S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 4

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AcknowledgmentsThis publication originated in discussions among doctoral students at Indiana University who wereconcerned about current issues and trends confronting prospective college students and collegeadmissions and enrollment staff. Our earlier study of high school students’ college-choice processrevealed varied approaches to decision making and complex interactions among institutions andprospective students. As we searched the literature for accounts of the college-choice process, we grewincreasingly curious about continuity and change in that process: How had the expansion of access tohigher education altered students’ college choice? When did college admissions work becomeprofessionalized? We are grateful for the opportunity to explore these questions and to produce thispublication.

The authors wish to acknowledge and thank Lumina Foundation for Education for its financial supportof this project. We would also like to thank the staff at the College Board archives for giving us access todocuments and for providing technical assistance. Thanks also go to the staff at the National Associationfor College Admissions Counseling archives for endless photocopying. Two doctoral students at IndianaUniversity, JoAnne C. Bunnage and Colin Davis, also provided assistance with this research. HaroldWechsler, professor of educational leadership at the University of Rochester, and Joseph D. Creech,recently retired from the Southern Regional Education Board, reviewed early drafts of this paper andoffered suggestions that strengthened the final product. Finally, we are grateful to the Lumina Foundationstaff, and particularly Jerry Davis, for his encouragement and critique of the work in progress.

The opinions expressed in this monograph are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect thepolicies or positions of Lumina Foundation for Education, its officers or members of its board ofdirectors.

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Executive summary1

Introduction3

College choice before World War II: Setting the stage6

The 1940s and 1950s: Shifts in thought on who should attend college8

The 1960s and mid-1970s: Legislative action influences college admissions15

The mid-1970s through the 1980s: Competition and constrained resources23

The 1990s and beyond: Greater accountability and changing demographics31

Summary: 50 years of college choice40

Anticipating the future45

Tables49

References54

Endnotes64

About the authors65

Table of contents○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

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1

Executive summary○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

Prior to the1950s, fewerthan two of every10 high schoolgraduates wenton to college.

T he college-choice process is complexand affects many: high schoolstudents, family members and publicpolicy-makers, as well as institutionsof higher education. This report

provides an overview of the college-choice processfor traditional-age students and examines how ithas evolved during the last half of the 20thcentury. Material from the College Board and theNational Association of College AdmissionsCounselors and popular literature were all datasources for this review.

This report analyzes how student and familycharacteristics, institutional admissions policiesand practices, and public policies have influencedthe manner and timing of students’ college-choicedecisions. Specifically, the report examines thefollowing three topics:

■ Shifts in public policy regarding post-secondary access, equity and financial aid.

■ Changes in recruitment, marketing,admissions practices and financial aid.

■ Other institutional practices that haveshaped the college-choice process.

Clearly, the college-choice process haschanged significantly during the past 50 years for avariety of reasons, including changes in student

demographics and in developments in colleges’admissions recruitment and marketing practices.Prior to the 1950s, fewer than two of every 10high school graduates went on to college. Therewas limited guidance literature available tostudents, and theirdecisions were largelydetermined by personalvalues or by vague notionsof a college’s reputation orits facilities. Fewer women,students of color, or low-income students eitherplanned for or attendedcollege. As access tohigher education becamean important item on thepublic policy agenda, thecollege-choice process wasalso transformed. The enactment of theServicemen’s Readjustment Act of 1944 (com-monly known as the “GI Bill”), the TrumanCommission’s recommendation to expand thepublic community college system, and theSupreme Court’s decision in Brown v. Board ofEducation expanded access to higher education forthousands of students.

The college-choice process in the 1940s and1950s was relatively straightforward, with students

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making decisions from a defined and limited set ofinstitutions. However, the increase in the college-going population forced colleges and universitiesto become more sophisticated and streamline theiradmissions and administrative practices. To createuniformity in the admissions process, memberinstitutions of the College Board agreed to acommon application date — an important firststep toward the standardization of practices andpolicies across colleges and universities.

The Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the HigherEducation Act of 1965 fostered continued growthin college attendance in the 1960s, and by the endof the decade more than half of all high schoolgraduates were accepted into college. With highereducation participation rates increasing and agreater number of students attending two-year orregional colleges, an increasingly competitiveenvironment emerged. Many four-year collegesand universities expanded their marketing effortsin an attempt to attract more students and achieveenrollment goals.

From the mid-1970s through the ‘80s, thecollege-choice process changed even further. Itbecame more complex, began earlier in highschool, and was marked by an increase ofinformation available to families, much of itcoming from the mass media. Additionally, a shiftin focus regarding who benefits the most fromhigher education — the individual or society as awhole — directly affected public policy, institu-tional practices and students’ college-choicedecisions. Also, a decline in the number of highschool graduates prompted colleges and universi-ties to use more sophisticated business- andmarket-oriented techniques to recruit, enroll andretain students.

The 1990s saw significant increases in tuitionand fees at public and private institutions andgreater demand for financial aid. Students wereconsidering more institutions earlier during highschool, and they and their families actively looked

for the “best deal” for a college education. Collegesand universities responded by using financial aidstrategies such as tuition discounting as well asearly-admission and early-decision strategies toinfluence students’ enrollment decisions. Savvystudents and families continued to obtain informa-tion from more sources — including electronictechnologies, college-ranking publications,specialized guidebooks and private collegecounselors. More students and their parents felttremendous pressure to make the right decisionand to make it as early as possible in order to getinto “the right college.”

Factors such as changing demographics, publicpolicy, institutional practices and marketingtechniques all have had subtle but noteworthyeffects on the college-choice process. The studentsof today begin the college-choice process muchearlier than did the students of 1950. Althoughthere is more information about postsecondaryeducational options, there is also more pressure onstudents to make the right decision.

The increased use of sophisticated marketingand communication strategies, combined with thegreater reliance on loans rather than grants, hasplaced low-income and first-generation students ata comparative disadvantage to their more affluentclassmates.

Market and competitive forces among collegesand universities have weakened the ability oforganizations such as the College Board and theNational Association of College AdmissionsCounselors (NACAC) to broker cooperativepolicies and practices that could help students andinstitutions. Indeed, it is uncertain whethercolleges, universities and admissions-relatedorganizations will be able to help sort out theseissues for the public good — and that uncertaintyis troubling, given the potential impact of thesedevelopments on postsecondary equity, access andsuccess.

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Introduction○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

Studiesdemonstrate thatincreased levels ofpostsecondaryeducation lead tohigher salaries,longer workinglives, more careermobility and anincreased qualityof life.

I ncreasingly, the enrollment decisions ofrecent high school graduates have becomeleading indicators for important societal andeducational issues. For example, federal,state and institutional policy-makers often

base their discussions about educational equity andaccess on the sociological and economic back-ground of postsecondary students. At some highlyselective institutions, admissions officers’ jobs maydepend in part on the quality and diversity of theentering class these officers recruit. Students andparents from upper-middle-class and upper-classfamilies look carefully at college rankings to seewhich institutions attract the top students and winstatus as “America’s best colleges.” Recently, early-decision admissions programs at elite institutionshave even been scrutinized by members ofCongress. For many reasons, how students choosecolleges and the factors that influence thosechoices have become important to many segmentsof American society.

In the 21st century, American families, as wellas public and institutional policy-makers, believethat everyone in a modern society should obtainsome form of postsecondary education andtraining. In the United States, a four-year collegedegree continues to be viewed as the most certainpath to personal fulfillment and economic success.Numerous studies clearly demonstrate that

increased levels of postsecondary education lead tohigher salaries, longer working lives, more careermobility and anincreased quality of life(see, for example, Bowen,1977; Leslie & Brinkman,1988; Pascarella &Terenzini, 1991).

In their meta-analysisof individual rates ofreturn on highereducation, Leslie andBrinkman (1988), forexample, conclude thatcollege graduates earnfrom12 percent to 15percent more than thetypical high schoolgraduate when theaverage earnings of highschool and collegegraduates of similarability are compared. Inaddition, collegegraduates are less likely tobe unemployed for long periods, less prone to misswork for prolonged periods of time because ofhealth problems, and report being happier andmore satisfied with life (Bowen, 1977). Although

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economists frequently debate the nature andextent of the economic benefits of highereducation to society and individuals, most assertthat individual states, and the nation, benefit froma more educated citizenry (McGregor, 1994;Wellman, 1999). These benefits include: improvedeconomic competitiveness, higher levels ofproductivity, enhanced government revenues andenhanced social equality.

The value of a large, college-educatedcitizenry, however, goes beyond financial benefits.After reviewing research on societal benefitsstemming from increased levels of education,

Bowen (in 1977) andPascarella and Terenzini(in 1991) concluded thatcollege graduates arebetter citizens and thatthey are more likely tovote, assume civicleadership positions, usenew technologies andsupport advancededucation for theirchildren and theircommunities. Theresearch also showed thatcollege graduates are lesslikely to be involved incriminal activities.

Public policy-makerscan benefit fromunderstanding howstudents’ college-choiceprocesses have evolvedduring the last half of the

20th century and how they are likely to change inthe future. The Servicemen’s Readjustment Act of1944, which became known as the “GI Bill,” andthe National Defense Student Loan program (nowknown as the Federal Perkins Loan program) aregood examples of how public policy-makersshaped the college decision-making process andwhy policy-makers should understand thisphenomenon.

College and university policy-makers also havea vested interest in understanding how studentschoose a college. Student enrollments are thelifeblood of colleges and universities, and studentcharacteristics often define the distinctiveness ofindividual campuses. The number of studentsenrolled accounts for 30 percent to 90 percent ofall revenue. For historically black colleges orsingle-sex colleges, the ability to enroll a sufficientnumber of African-American students, women ormen is critical to their distinctive missions.Church-related institutions also share this need tobe able to reach prospective students with theirdistinctive missions. As competition for studentsintensifies and as the upward spiral of college costscontinues, campus-based policy-makers shouldseek to understand the reasons that studentschoose their institutions.

In this monograph we examine how the collegedecision-making process for traditional-agestudents has evolved during the last half of the20th century. We are especially interested in thetopic of continuity and change in college choice.That is, in what ways have the decisions of recenthigh school graduates to attend a college oruniversity changed in the past 50 years, and inwhat ways are these decisions the same? Certainlythe characteristics of students making thesedecisions have changed over time. But how havesocietal concerns — as reflected in public policyand in the admissions and recruitment policies ofcolleges and universities — influenced the mannerand timing of students’ college-choice decisions?Also, how have these processes influenced thecollege destinations of high school graduates?

To examine these issues, we look at extantresearch, archival material and popular literatureon college choice. We consider the influences ofshifts in public policy in the areas of postsecondaryaccess and equity and financial aid. We also look atchanges and the evolution in marketing, recruit-ment, admissions and financial aid practices, aswell as how other institutional practices haveshaped the college decision-making process. Ourprimary focus is on how traditional-age students

Studentenrollments arethe lifeblood of

colleges anduniversities, and

studentcharacteristicsoften define the

distinctiveness ofindividualcampuses.

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and their parents have negotiated these importantdecisions between 1950 and 2000. We describehow high school students have confronteddecisions regarding their postsecondary education— decisions for which they have had little practiceor experience. After all, the college-choice processis one of the first major noncompulsory decisionsmade by American adolescents.

This monograph is organized in six sections.The first sets a context for examining the topic ofstudent college choice, providing a brief historicalsketch of what is known about the collegedecision-making process in the early part of the20th century. Following this introduction, wemove to the five major sections of the monograph.Each section includes three areas of focus: 1)public policy, 2) institutional policies andpractices, and 3) students and families. Theevolution of developments in public policy,institutional practices and the structure andsubstance of student college choice are not linearor coordinated, so decisions about how todistinguish among major trends are somewhatarbitrary. However, after we considered keydevelopments such as the GI Bill, declines in thenumber of traditional-age high school studentsduring the 1980s and early 1990s, and increasedaccess to student loans during the 1990s, weelected to divide the time periods as follows:before World War II, the 1940s and 1950s, the1960s to mid-1970s, the mid-1970s through the

1980s, and the 1990s. As we look at these timeperiods, we attempt to shed light on the followingresearch questions:

1. What factors have shaped changes in thedecision-making process?a. How have shifts in public policy

influenced the college-choiceprocess?

b. To what extent have college policies andpractices influenced the college-choice process?

c. Have other societal and educationalchanges altered the college choiceprocess?

2. To what extent and how has the collegedecision-making process changed during thepast 50 years?

3. What are the implications of changes instudent college choice for public policy-makers, for college and university policy-makers, for public school administrators,teachers and counselors, and for studentsand their families?

The final section of the monograph offersobservations, conclusions and recommendationsfor public policy-makers and others involved withstudent college choice.

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College choice beforeWorld War II: Setting the stage

○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

F amilies in the early part of the 20th centuryrecognized the value of an advancededucation. Comfort (1925) and Halle (1928)

observed that the college one attended had greatbearing on one’s future. During this time, thepressure to select the right college was great and,according to many, the importance of the decisioncould hardly be overestimated. “The choice of acollege is vital. So many young people go to thewrong institution, not knowing that there arealmost as many kinds of colleges as there are ofindividual character and needs” (Halle, 1928, p. 5).Yet experts debated the degree to which studentsand parents realized the complexities of thecollege-choice process (Comfort, 1925).

The importance of making a good collegechoice continued into the 1940s. For college-goers, who at this time were primarily the childrenof affluent families, college selection was consid-ered the blueprint that helped determine thecourse of their adult lives. College was importantin terms of establishing oneself in a particularcareer path. College was also seen as a place tomeet a mate and select a life partner; this wasespecially true for young women in this period. AsCastle indicates, “choosing a college is one of thethree great choices of a woman’s life, exceeded in

importance only by choosing a husband andchoosing a career” (1938, p. 68). Perhaps thechoice of a college was deemed so importantbecause of the lasting impact that the choice wasthought to have on a student. “The freshman reallymarries into a great family with which he willalways associate, whose gods will be his gods andwhose ideals will be his ideals” (Comfort, 1925, p.3). Consequently, choosing a college was not onlyabout selecting where one would spend four years;it was about selecting one’s life path.

In the 1920s and 1930s, the essential factorsstudents were urged to consider during the college-choice process included: curricular offerings of thecollege, geographical location, coeducation, size ofthe college, type of institution (college oruniversity, public or private, urban or rural), size ofthe college endowment, campus climate and thereligious atmosphere on campus (Comfort, 1925;Ripperger, 1933).

As early as the 1920s, it was argued that one’sfuture plans and the expense of the college shouldalso be included as important factors (Halle, 1928;Tunis, 1939). Topics such as working one’s waythrough school, fellowships, scholarships and loanprograms were also prevalent in the literature ofthe time (Comfort, 1925; Halle, 1928).

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In the 1930sstudents appearedto make choicesthat weredetermined byvague notions ofcollege reputation,facilities andpersonal values.

As more students attended college, societalfamiliarity with higher education increased (by themid-1940s, more than 2 million students wereenrolled in more than 1,800 institutions). Yetstudents and their parents continued to make whatmany educators thought to be ill-considered, poorchoices (Comfort, 1925; Fowler, 1946; Tunis,1939; U.S. Department of Education, 1999). Forexample, Tunis wrote:

Boys and girls and their parents too oftenchoose an educational institution for strangereasons: because it has lots of outdoor life; agood football team; a lovely campus; becausethe president or the dean or some professor issuch a nice man (1939, p. 7).

This point is further illustrated in a studycompleted at Eastern Illinois State TeachersCollege in 1938 (Reinhardt, 1938). Researchersfound that, among the 359 freshmen completing asurvey on college decision-making, the mostimportant factor in college choice was theinfluence of people, especially relatives. Thirtypercent of the class of 1934 reported that a relativehad the greatest impact on their college choice,and, for the class of 1935, this percentage was evena bit higher. Cost ranked just below the influenceof others, with 24 percent of the 1934 freshmenand 22 percent of 1935 freshmen citing low cost asthe single most important factor in selectingEastern Illinois State Teachers College (Reinhardt,1938). Similar studies conducted with freshmen inthe 1930s found that an institution’s proximity to astudent’s home had a strong influence on collegechoice (Corey, 1936; Reeves, 1932). Family andgeographical proximity were sources of influencecited most often, and this fact led researchers toconclude that students’ college-choice processeswere unsophisticated. Corey (1936) stated:

One is impressed, after even a cursory surveyof the reasons given by these freshmen electingto matriculate in the University of Nebraskarather than some other institution of higher

learning, with their navieté. There was littleindication of careful, intelligent appraisal of theopportunities and facilities provided byavailable, similar institutions (p. 211).

To explain the prevalence of this unsophisti-cated method, some researchers pointed to thedearth of resources available to aid the decision-making process. Corey (1936) hypothesized thatinformation was unavailable to make goodcomparisons of college opportunities and institu-tions. For example, in 1940there was no clearinghouseor central educationalbureau to inform studentsabout the vast number ofcolleges and universities.This left students andparents to rely oninstitutionally producedpromotional brochures,pictures and catalogues ofvarying quality — materialthat offered little in termsof comparable information(Tunis, 1939).

In the 1930s studentsappeared to make choicesthat were determined byvague notions of collegereputation, facilities and personal values. Holland(1958) notes that, in general, students had littleinterest in doing extensive research on the collegesand universities they were considering, and seemedcomfortable relying on vague information orgeneral ideas when making their decision. Inaddition, the societal norms and values of thetimes further constrained the college-choiceprocess for many students. As Lovejoy andLobsenz (1954) wrote: “Many Southern collegesstill bar Negroes; and many colleges throughoutthe country have quotas for other minorities, suchas students of Jewish and Catholic faiths” (p. 106).Students’ choices were further limited by discrimi-natory beliefs about gender, ethnicity or religion.

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P rior to 1940, relatively few Americansbelieved that a college education should beavailable to anyone who wanted it and was

willing to put in the effort necessary to earn adegree. College educa-tion was reserved for anelite, socially homoge-neous group of students(Bloomgarden, 1961).The students in college inthe early 1940s werepredominantly male,overwhelmingly white,and from middle- andupper-class families(Rudolph, 1990). Becausehigher education wasprimarily funded throughstudent tuition and withonly minimal aidavailable to students inthe form of scholarships,fellowships and stategovernment funds,college was primarily

affordable only to the middle and upper class.Although there was little federal support for

The 1940s and 1950s: Shifts in thoughton who should attend college

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higher education, some low-income studentsreceived financial assistance from their collegesand through an early form of aid offered by theNational Youth Administration program(Brubacher & Rudy, 1997). For the most part, the“ivory tower” of higher education discriminatedagainst African-Americans, women and the poor(Bonner, 1986). As a result, college was reservedfor a limited population of students, and thesestudents continued to follow the patterns of choicethat prevailed in the previous decade.

The nation’s entry into World War II increasedcollege costs and reduced college enrollments.However, when the American veterans returnedhome, the nation’s colleges became largelyresponsible for their reintegration into society.Financial incentives such as the GI Bill did exactlywhat they were designed to do: reduce postwarunemployment among returning veterans, boostcollege enrollments and expand access topostsecondary education (Babbidge & Rosenzweig,1962; Lucas, 1994; Rudolph, 1990). The collegebenefits to veterans were generous — free tuition,college credit for wartime experience, books, feesand monthly allowances — all provided by thegovernment (Bonner, 1986; Lucas, 1994; Rudolph,1990). The wits and resourcefulness shown by

The students incollege in the

early 1940s werepredominantly

male, over-whelmingly

white, and frommiddle- andupper-class

families.

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American service personnel in wartime suggestedthe tremendous reservoir of potential collegestudents in the U.S. population (Bowles, 1967;Hilger, 1957). The GI Bill and other initiativessuch as the National Defense Education Actexpanded access to college and set off a boom inenrollments.

After World War II, American colleges anduniversities built and expanded at unprecedentedrates (Lucas, 1994). By 1947 approximately 2.3million students were enrolled, almost evenlydivided between public and private institutions, inthe more than 1,800 two- and four-year institu-tions (see Tables 1 and 3, Pages 50 and 52). Aboutthe same time that the GI Bill was enacted toprovide funding to students who were veterans,the United Negro College Fund initiated its firstcooperative fund-raising efforts to supporthistorically black private colleges and universities(Roebuck & Murty, 1993). These efforts increasedenrollments significantly at historically blackcolleges and universities (HBCUs), which alreadywere serving more than 90 percent of African-American students (Roebuck & Murty, 1993).However, in 1954, the landmark desegregationcase Brown v. Board of Education helped createmore opportunities for African-Americans toattend previously segregated white institutions,ushering in changes that significantly andpermanently altered the composition of thestudent body in higher education.

The postwar boom made huge demands oninstitutions of higher education. Housing veterans— many with families — presented a new andsignificant challenge. Quonset huts were quicklyassembled on many campuses to meet the needs ofthese new students. On the positive side, thesuccess of veterans, most of whom were nontradi-tional-age students, shifted public thinking aboutwho should go to college and raised questionsabout equity and access to postsecondaryeducation. In 1947, a special commission empan-eled by President Truman to study the needs ofhigher education called for innovative peacetimeprograms to help college students and expand

educational opportunities to the masses (Bonner,1986). The commission’s report, Higher Educationfor American Democracy, “directed that all barriersto educational opportunity be abolished immedi-ately.” To attain this goal, the commissionproposed that enrollments double within thedecade. Community colleges were central to thecommission’s plans for expanding educationalopportunity (Brubacher & Rudy, 1997; Brint &Karabel, 1989). These local institutions empha-sized associate degree and certificate programs andprovided an alternative route into four-yearcolleges and universities. Municipal colleges anduniversities located in urban areas grew in responseto increased public demand for diversified collegecourses, direct service to industrial areas, and adulteducation. As a result, most colleges and universi-ties served populations in their regions and werenot highly selective.

Expanded access ushers in policy andprocedure for recruitment and admission

Expansion of the college-going populationcontributed to administrative and proceduralchanges on college campuses. Because of develop-ments in professional associations such as theCollege Board, along with the emergence offederal financial aid programs and the increase innumbers of college students, admissions officesexpanded and were further professionalized. Inaddition, the first financial aid offices emerged.Just prior to World War II, institutions of highereducation were widely divergent with regard toadmissions requirements, wording of applicationsand forms, application dates and correspondencewith candidates. In short, what was true for onecollege or university in terms of admissionsprocedures was likely not valid for others.

The College Board, established in 1900, wasfirst organized “to help high school students makea successful transition to higher education”(College Board, 2002). According to Bowles(1967), the primary role of the College Boardbetween 1900 and 1948 was to administer collegeentrance examinations on behalf of its member

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schools. During this time of expanded access, theCollege Board reoriented and broadened itsmission to support college-going rates and reducebarriers to access. A member of the College Boardstated that “very few college applications aresophisticated about business correspondence” andthe mechanics of admission were more “bewilder-ing” and “discouraging to a candidate from a small

country high school inthe Midwest than to anapplicant graduatingfrom one of theNortheastern prepara-tory schools, eventhough both may beapplying to the sameuniversity” (Bowles,1967, p. 53). Thepublication of theCollege Handbook in1941 was one approachemployed by theCollege Board to helpguide prospectivestudents.

During this time,the College Boardbelieved colleges facedthree major problems in

recruiting students. The first was the difficulty inidentifying potentially college-qualified studentsearly enough in their academic careers to givethem incentives to prepare for college and applyfor admission. The second was the complexity ofthe “machinery” of admissions. The third was theweakness of school-to-college articulation systems,the systems by which colleges communicated theiradmissions standards and their expectations interms of high school preparation (College BoardAnnual Meeting, 1951). Because secondary schoolsstill expected no more than 20 percent of highschool graduates to enroll in college, they failed toadapt their curricula to changes in patterns ofcollege admissions and increasing demands forspecific pre-college academic preparation.

Although discussions of the relationship betweensecondary school subjects and college curriculawere under way (and would re-emerge later), someinstitutions decided that aptitude measurementswere a more reliable way to measure a student’spreparation for college than was the establishmentof a common core of courses (Bowles, 1967). Inother instances, experienced admissions officersthought that other factors — character, motiva-tion, personal habits, environment, etc. — shouldbe considered when evaluating a college prospect(Fuess, 1967).

The College Board’s Scholastic Aptitude Test(SAT) was the first nationwide college-entrancetesting program. Although the SAT was firstintroduced in 1901 (as the Scholastic AchievementTest), its use was limited to colleges in theNortheast. The first national SAT examination wasadministered in 1926 to more than 8,000 students(Lawrence, Rigol, VanEssen, & Jackson, 2002).Many of these students were the best andbrightest, those headed to the nation’s eliteinstitutions. Other students often were admittedbased on other criteria, including family ties orentrance exams offered by individual institutions.Following the accepted use of standardizedaptitude tests to identify officer candidates duringWorld War II, the SAT became much more widelyused as a way to evaluate college applicants. In1959, the American College Testing (ACT)program was founded, the test having evolvedfrom the Iowa Test of Educational Development atthe University of Iowa. ACT was founded to helpa wider array of students make better decisionsabout a more diverse group of colleges and toprovide additional information to colleges to helpthem accurately place students in the right courses(About ACT, 2001).

During this period of rising enrollment,institutions also faced the challenge of dealingwith students who submitted multiple applications.The College Board referred to this as a “terriblenuisance” that created problems in smoothing outthe administration of admissions. Responding tothe “multiple application problem,” colleges and

During thisperiod of rising

enrollment,institutions also

faced thechallenge ofdealing withstudents who

submitted multipleapplications.

10

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universities imposed application fees to dissuade“casual shoppers” and help focus their applicantpools. College admission counselors started toseek out the most qualified students and increasedthe number and geographic range of their highschool visits. The Advanced Placement (AP)program, which was first introduced in 1955,helped identify talented students. The AP programwas credited with increasing student engagementin secondary schools and indirectly raising collegeadmission standards. By offering bright studentsopportunities in high school, it reduced thegrowing number of bright students who chose tocomplete high school early to attend college.

With the launch of Sputnik in 1957, competi-tion with the Soviet Union sparked a major shift infederal policy toward higher education (Babbidge& Rosenzweig, 1962). As the United Statesstruggled to recapture the lead in the space race,the federal government pressured all levels ofeducation to strengthen the science and technol-ogy talent pool. The AP program’s classes and testswere emphasized as a way to enhance educationand better prepare students for college-level workin science. Also, the National Defense EducationAct (NDEA) offered institutions of highereducation opportunities for additional funding forresearch and for student scholarships (Bowles,1967; Brubacher & Rudy, 1997). The NDEA wasenacted to induce students to consider defense-related majors (i.e., science, mathematics, foreignlanguage), to provide student loans, to fundgraduate fellowships and to subsidize university-based teacher-training programs (Bowles, 1967).

Although the earliest financial aid office set upoutside the clerk’s or bursar’s office was establishedat Smith College in 1933 (Duffy & Goldberg,1998), colleges and universities did little toadminister grants or scholarships until the passageof the GI Bill in 1944 and the NDEA in 1958.Combined, these two new forms of aid requiredseparate administrative services. In addition, thedevelopment of a formal needs analysis process toestimate a family’s ability to pay for a collegeeducation furthered the creation of campus

financial aid offices to process and administerscholarships and aid (Duffy & Goldberg, 1998).These policies opened the doors of highereducation to many able students who previouslyhad abandoned their college plans, officially wedthe government and higher education, and floodeduniversities with federal funds.

Prior to the enrollment boom after World WarII, it was common for an admissions office to havefew personnel; many offices consisted of one staffmember and one secretary (Duffy & Goldberg,1998, Swann & Henderson, 1998). However, by1949, admissions officers were prevalent enoughthat the American Association of CollegiateRegistrars added “andAdmissions Officers” to itsofficial name (AmericanAssociation of CollegiateRegistrars and AdmissionsOfficers, 2002). Someadmissions officers hadalready been meeting ontheir own since 1937 in agroup now known as theNational Association forCollege AdmissionCounseling. The process ofbringing admissions professionals together on aregular basis to discuss policy and procedures,combined with the College Board’s efforts, helpedformalize the entire college admissions process. Bythe mid-1950s, college entrance requirements hadcreated a fairly uniform prescription for admis-sions, which included a high school diploma, aminimum number of high school classes in certainsubjects, high school rank, recommendations,personal interviews, and aptitude and achievementtest scores (Beale, 1970).

The College Board played an active role inhelping colleges and universities expand orbecome more selective. During the 1950s, theCollege Board began serving as a liaison betweencolleges and universities and students by askingpotential students to list the institutions they weremost interested in attending. The College Board

Competition withthe Soviet Unionsparked a majorshift in federalpolicy towardhigher education.

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“The wise parenthelps his child to

find out aboutcollege, offers hisadvice and then

keeps quiet.”

provided colleges and universities with vitalstudent information: aptitude and achievementscores, gender, race, ethnicity, type of high school,geographic location and class rank. As a result,information that the College Board provided toinstitutions, coupled with visits by admissions staffmembers to the College Board’s regional offices,helped institutions focus and shape their applicantpools. This development allowed representativesfrom some colleges and universities to act as“gatekeepers” who selected the most qualifiedstudents for their institutions.

In the late 1940s, the College Board experi-mented with requiring students to rank their topcollege choices when they registered for the SAT.However, the practice was discontinued by 1951,making it somewhat more difficult for schools to

narrow their applicantpools. During the 1950s,College Board regulationsrequired member institu-tions to use the SAT as apart of the admissionsprocess. This requirement,coupled with changingattitudes from collegesand universities about theincreased use of general-aptitude tests after WorldWar II, helped funnel a

large number of applicants through college anduniversity applications processes. According toDuffy and Goldberg (1998), this early form ofinstitutional selectivity — the ratio of applicantsto admitted students — emerged as a sign ofcollegiate quality.

College choice for students and families:Steady and low-key

Much of the literature on college choice in the1940s and 1950s mirrored that of previous periods.This literature emphasized the importance of thecollege decision-making process, and familyinvolvement in that process was emphasized:

The proper choice of a college is one of themost critical jobs a family faces. ... You arehelping to select the environment which isgoing to shape his career, produce his friendsand maybe wife or husband, and condition hisoutlook and future way of life (Lovejoy &Lobsenz, 1954, p. 48).

However, as students and families progressedthrough the process, the primary role in collegeselection was thought to shift at some point fromparent to student. “The wise parent helps his childto find out about college, offers his advice andthen keeps quiet. Unless the youngster makes thefinal decision himself, he will never really behappy in his college life” (Lovejoy & Lobsenz,1954, p. 107).

In a study conducted with 814 high-abilityhigh school students, Holland (1958; 1959) notedthe complexity of the college-choice process andshowed that different kinds of students selectdifferent kinds of institutions. “Like many personaldecisions, the choice patterns found here areprobably not readily amenable to change becausethey are grounded in cultural and personaldevelopment” (Holland, 1959, p. 26). Accordingto Holland’s study, students’ decisions emergedfrom the interaction of several factors, includingstudent and parental interests, attitude, educationalbackground, gender and socioeconomic status.

In the 1950s, much attention was devoted tothe topic of coeducation. It was often argued thatselection of a single-sex institution allowedstudents to focus more fully on academic achieve-ment, while a coeducational experience fosteredsocial and personal relationships (Dunsmoor &Davis, 1951; Lovejoy & Lobsenz, 1954). Someeducators argued that, “If you are a girl and want toget married, your best bet is a coeducationalcollege” and further suggested “... Cupid tends toavoid women’s colleges” (Lovejoy, 1950, p. 95).

The factors influencing college choice differedsomewhat by student gender. Holland (1958)found that the most influential factor for both menand women in the selection of an institution was

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High schoolguidancecounselorsplayed a smallrole in thecollege-choiceprocess duringthis period.

that it was considered to be a “good college” (53percent of men and 47 percent of women providedthis explanation). Among women, academicreputation was deemed the next most importantfactor in college selection (29.3 percent of womenprovided this explanation). For men, the secondmost important factor was proximity to home (18percent).

Students learned about colleges from relatives,friends, campus-produced publications and byword-of-mouth. Contact between colleges anduniversities and prospective students during the1950s was primarily through letters and campusvisits. It was common for college representatives tosend letters of encouragement to candidates withoutstanding scholastic records and other qualifica-tions. Colleges also sent letters encouragingstudents to visit campus along with the finalapplication (“Freshman admissions forms andletters: A collection of specimens from twelvecolleges,” 1954).

Lovejoy and Lobsenz (1954) recommendedthat the college-choice process begin no later thana student’s junior year in high school. Researchconducted by Lipsett and Smith (1952) atRochester Institute of Technology (RIT)1, and byMoser (1955) at various Texas colleges anduniversities, provides additional insight into thetiming of college decision-making during thisperiod. In a retrospective study of the timing ofstudents’ decisions to attend college, Lipsett andSmith (1952) found that approximately 60 percentof students had made a decision to attend collegebefore their sophomore year in high school.However, more than 54 percent of the studentssurveyed indicated that they did not decide on aspecific college until their senior year or later. In asimilar study of students enrolled at RIT, Moser(1955) found that approximately 85 percent of thestudents decided to attend the institution duringtheir senior year in high school or later.

During this same period, there were concernsabout the “haphazard methods of schools andcolleges in handling candidates” (College BoardAnnual Meeting, 1951). For example, students who

applied to multiple institutions would not learn oftheir acceptance until after the end of their senioryear. To address this situation, the College Boardsought to help member colleges simplify themechanics of admissions by pushing its exam datesback to March or April.This gave candidatesmaximum opportunity toreceive and consider allacceptances beforechoosing a college. Inaddition, in an effort to giveapplicants time to considerall of their options,institutions adopted acommon date by whichadmitted students had tonotify colleges of theirintent to enroll. The firstdate set was June 15, 1948.Eight member colleges ofthe College Board agreed tothis date, which became known as the “CandidateReply Date.” This was an important first steptoward unification of admission practices.

Finally, high school guidance counselorsplayed a small role in the college-choice processduring this period, generally focusing their effortson vocational counseling rather than collegecounseling. In fact, discussion of guidancecounselors often included warnings of counselorswho were ill prepared, ineffective or blatantlywrong in their advice (Fowler, 1946; Holland,1959; Wise, 1958).

Summary: The 1940s to the 1950sUnparalleled expansion and the beginnings of

increased opportunity characterized the context ofhigher education in the 1940s and ’50s. Assecondary education produced more graduates,and more college-qualified graduates, colleges anduniversities were compelled to meet demand. TheGI Bill and other federal initiatives such as theNational Defense Education Act altered thecollege-going population and firmly established

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higher education’s significance as a public policyissue. Colleges and universities were concernedwith accommodating the surge of students. Inresponse to the “tidal wave” of students, admissionsofficers often served as “gatekeepers,” dissuadingcasual shoppers and focusing on the kinds ofstudents that their universities wished to attract.There was a dearth of published guides andinformation for students prior to this time, but thatchanged, thanks to a variety of recruitmentmaterials produced by colleges and universitiesand by the College Board.

The emergence of standardized testing helpedexpand the role of the College Board as acoordinating agency for higher education, whichhad an impact on institutions of higher educationand on students and families. In addition, a roleemerged for organizations such as the CollegeBoard and the National Association for CollegeAdmission Counseling. These organizationshelped regulate and coordinate secondary

education requirements, helped to simplify themechanics of admissions and helped to standardizecollege admissions. Likewise, the role of admis-sions officers grew and was formally recognized bytheir inclusion in professional organizations.

During this period of expansion, manyinstitutions of higher education struggled with thechoice to increase enrollments or become moreselective. Students and their families increasinglyconcerned themselves with making a good choice.Students tended to make their college choices intheir senior year or later. Parents were viewed as asource of support and influence and played rolessimilar to those they played in previous decades,but high school guidance counselors had littleinvolvement in the student’s choice processes.Although expansion and growth characterized thisperiod in college choice, higher educationremained primarily a choice for those fortunateenough to afford it.

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During the ’60sand early ’70s,almost all men’scolleges and halfof the women’scolleges becamecoeducational.

A t the beginning of the 1960s, collegesand universities were still benefiting fromthe postwar faith in higher education

(Bonner, 1986). While in 1945 only 15 percent to20 percent of high school students went on tocollege (Tyack, 1974), by 1960 about 40 percentof all graduating seniors were being accepted intocolleges (Lucas, 1994). Due to the growth ofpublic colleges — especially two-year campuses —and governmental legislation, enrollmentscontinued to rise through the 1960s. In addition,private four-year colleges — the venue for half thestudents in college in the pre-World War II years— no longer enrolled the majority of students(U.S. Department of Education, 1998).

The postwar “baby boom” added to the tidalwave in undergraduate student enrollment.Although the front edge of the “baby boom”generation did not turn 18 until 1964, this group,along with many high school graduates who chosecollege instead of going directly to work, greatlyincreased the student population in the 1960s. In1966, partly in response to expansion in thecollege-going population, the College Boardlaunched its College Level Examination Program(CLEP), which granted college academic creditbased on exam performance. The program was

The 1960s and mid-1970s: Legislativeaction influences college admissions

○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

designed to help measure learning “no matterwhere it was acquired” and “would be aimedespecially at working men and women, ethnic andracial minorities, the disadvantaged, and themilitary” (College Board, 1980, p. 11). A collegedegree was becoming widely viewed as the ticketto a white-collar job and amiddle-class lifestyle. Therise in enrollments causedthis period to be referred toas the “Golden Age” ofAmerican higher education(Jencks & Reisman, 1977).

The civil rights andwomen’s rights movementsand the legislative reformsprompted by the War onPoverty campaign in the1960s did still more toincrease the number ofwomen, minorities and low-income students in college (Gelb & Palley, 1982;Levine & Nidiffer, 1996). During the ’60s and early’70s, almost all men’s colleges and half of thewomen’s colleges became coeducational. For manyprivate colleges beset by declining enrollments,coeducation was seen as a way to combat financial

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difficulties; also, many schools went coed inresponse to changing mores reflected in thewomen’s movement. For some elite institutions,coeducation was seen as a way to increaseenrollment without decreasing the quality of thestudent body (Patterson, 1968). The shift tocoeducational institutions brought about obviouschanges in institutions’ recruiting patterns andincreased competition for top students. Thesedevelopments also raised vital questions aboutequity in educational opportunity — questionsthat affected public policy then and remain apersistent issue for colleges and universities.

Under the leadership of President Lyndon B.Johnson, the most comprehensive nationallegislation concerning higher education wasenacted in the Higher Education Act (HEA) of

1965 (Brubacher & Rudy,1997). The act stands asthe first broad federalprogram of financialassistance to both publicand private colleges — aswell as to individualstudents, specificallydisadvantaged students.The 1968 reauthorizationof the act created theoriginal TRIO programs— Upward Bound, TalentSearch, and StudentSupport Services. Theseprograms, funded underTitle IV of the act, were

established to provide expanded educationalopportunity for all Americans — regardless ofracial or ethnic background or economic circum-stances (Wolanin, 1996). Upward Bound is theoldest and largest (based on total funding) of thefederal TRIO programs. Upward Bound projectsprovide extensive academic instruction as well ascounseling, mentoring and college tours forstudents in ninth through 12th grade. This projecthelped influence student decisions to attendcollege and increased students’ information about

colleges and the choice process. The federalprograms created under President Johnson’s “GreatSociety” plan have been credited with building apositive educational system for the entire nation(Wilson, 1970). HEA further enhanced diversity inthe college student population first initiated by theGI Bill. Enrollment patterns changed as students ofdifferent race or ethnicity, socioeconomic statusand geographic regions were afforded greateraccess to colleges and universities.

Under HEA and its amendments, students andinstitutions saw unprecedented growth in federalstudent financial aid. The Education OpportunityGrants (later renamed Supplemental EducationOpportunity Grant and then expanded andchanged to Pell grant) provided tuition assistancefor low-income students. According to Mumper(1997): “These grants were to be the first step inthe process of insuring that all Americans had thefinancial resources to attend college” (p. 79).Federal financial assistance greatly increasedminority student enrollment in U.S. colleges anduniversities (Bonner, 1986; Roebuck & Murty,1993; Spearman, 1981; Wolanin & Gladieux, 1975)and enabled more students to enter and remain inthe college of their choice.

During the early 1970s, the federalgovernment’s involvement in higher educationincreased. Affirmative action programs, whichwere designed to ensure equal treatment of womenand minority groups, and Title IX of the 1972Federal Education Amendments, which outlaweddiscrimination on the basis of sex, were set in placeon college campuses (Miller, 1999). The Adams v.Richardson decision (480 F.2d 1159 [DC Cir.1973]) enhanced equity in educational opportunityfor students of color by mandating enforcement ofdesegregation and stipulating that states achieve abetter mix of students, faculty and staff in publiccolleges and increase access and retention ofminorities in higher education. The legal pressureto integrate institutions of higher educationresulted in increased funding to historically blackcolleges, more financial aid to minority students,and subsequent rises in student enrollments (U.S.

Under HEA andits amendments,

students andinstitutions saw

unprecedentedgrowth in

federal studentfinancial aid.

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Enrollment ofAfrican-Americancollege studentsnearly tripledbetween 1966 andthe late 1970s.

Department of Education, 1972). African-American student enrollments increased more thanthreefold at predominantly white institutions androse by a third at HBCUs (Allen, 1987; Lucas,1994). Federal financial assistance programs andthese legal circumstances increased traditionallyunderrepresented students’ exposure to college,facilitated their enrollment via additional financialaid and expanded their choice of postsecondaryoptions — as a result, enrollment of African-American college students nearly tripled between1966 and the late 1970s (Bowen & Bok, 1998).

The increased involvement of the federalgovernment in higher education also led to greateraccountability and record keeping at universities(Miller, 1999). Admissions officers, registrars andfinancial aid directors found themselves respond-ing to demands for accountability with regard tofinancial aid reporting. Further, the late 1960s andearly ’70s saw a growing disillusionment withhigher education — as evidenced by studentprotests and increased campus activism (Lucas,1994). Students involved in protests against thewar in Vietnam were characterized as a new breed,more independent and socially aware. In responseto concerns about student rights, the 1974 FamilyEducational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA), alsoknown as the Buckley Amendment, was establishedto protect students’ privacy rights. This act, whichrequired institutions to develop policies, increaserecord keeping and ensure confidentiality, further“professionalized” college admissions work.

Campus-based policies and practices: Openadmission and increased competition

Between 1960 and 1970, universities sawmarked growth in their undergraduate populations,from 3.6 million students in 1960 to 8 million in1970. This boom in admissions engendered a moreoptimistic movement for the “open admissions”policies that were developing (Brubacher & Rudy,1997; Willingham, 1970). Two-year colleges wereurged to adopt an “open door” policy (admitting allhigh school graduates and otherwise-qualifiedstudents), and other four-year public colleges

followed suit (Carnegie Commission on HigherEducation, 1970; Doerman, 1978). Communitycolleges, which were already growing under thepostwar expansionist policies to more than 1,000campuses by 1970 (Bonner, 1986), and theexpansion of public regional campuses led togrowing competition for students, even with thegrowth in the proportions of high school graduatesgoing to college. A downturn in the labor marketfor college graduates inthe early 1970s helpedboost student enrollmentsin vocational programs atcommunity colleges, butincreased competitionamong four-year collegesfor the remaining students(Brint & Karabel, 1989).Competition increasedespecially among the lessprestigious privatecolleges. With thisincreased competition for students, many collegesand universities tried to bolster enrollments byadmitting new types of students (including moreminorities, nontraditional students and those lessacademically qualified).

Increased competition for students also pushedcolleges and universities toward corporate-stylemarketing in the 1970s. Marketing strategiesallowed some colleges to increase the geographicdistribution of their students. Admissions officersbegan to play a larger role in “high schoolrelations,” that is, marketing, recruitment andpublic relations activities. Admissions officesincreased their use of computers, automating andstreamlining the admissions and data-intakeprocesses (Swann & Henderson, 1998).

The “quasi-brokering” roles of testing agenciesalso increased (Litten, 1980), with the CollegeBoard, ACT and other organizations selling thenames of prospective students. For example, theCollege Board created the Student Search Service(SSS) in 1970. The SSS allowed college anduniversity representatives to identify their key

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The guidance andrecruitment

processes of the1970s stood in

stark contrast tothose of previous

decades.

characteristics for prospective students, and thenthe College Board matched these criteria againstfiles of approximately 2 million high school juniorsand seniors. Colleges were sent data files thathelped them expand their recruiting efforts,broaden their geographic range and recruit

students fromunderrepresentedpopulations (CollegeBoard, 1998; CollegeBoard Student SearchService [SSS], 1970).This service helpedlocate prospectivestudents, and directmail quickly became afundamental way forcolleges to recruitstudents (Duffy &Goldberg, 1998).

The College Board’sefforts to promote SSS reflected the trend towardmarketing in admissions. For example, the cover ofone of the SSS promotional brochures featured theslogan, “Finding prospective students has neverbeen easier!” During this time, institutionsexchanged much advice about marketing throughtrade journals, special reports and various meetingsof the American Association of CollegiateRegistrars and Admissions Officers (AACRAO)and the National Association for College Admis-sion Counseling (NACAC).

In addition, by the mid-1970s, economichardships and predicted declines in the number oftraditional-age college students raised concernsabout decreased college enrollments. This, in turn,prompted an interest in understanding studentretention, and suggested the need for a moresophisticated approach to student recruitment(Grabowski, 1981; Pascarella, 1981). For example,admissions officers learned that recruiting materialsshould be related to students’ choices of major,that curriculum-specific information should besent, and that editorial and graphic quality wereimportant. They also learned to apply “targeted”

marketing techniques, making sure that materialssent to a prospective student matched thatstudent’s interests.

As federal financial aid shifted from grants toloans, concerns were raised about the impact ofthis shift on student enrollment, college choiceand institutional financial assistance policies. As aresult, a number of strategies were developed tounderstand and enhance student enrollments.These changes, along with new marketingtechniques and a related focus on retainingstudents, formed the foundation for what would becalled “enrollment management.”

College choice for students and families:Complexities and variations

During this period, there was considerablevariation in the college-choice process, thanks toincreases in the number and type of students goingon to college, and the expansion of collegeoptions. As more Americans came to viewpostsecondary education as important to individualand national prosperity and security, more parentsaspired for their children to go on to college. Inaddition, increased competition for students andgreater diversity in the college-going populationfueled the desire for a better understanding ofcollege choice. The college-choice process wasexamined with more depth and methodologicalcomplexity, and research suggested that theprocess was becoming more nuanced and varied.

The guidance and recruitment processes of the1970s stood in stark contrast to those of previousdecades. At the end of the 1950s and the begin-ning of the 1960s, many parents and students stillfound the college-choice process mystifying. Forexample, prior to 1958, College Board scores werereleased only to guidance counselors and colleges.This practice gave counselors a great deal of powerto influence student decision-making and leftstudents and parents less informed. Collegeguidance counselors used “characteristic leaflets”that provided a basic description of a college’sfreshman class — information that counselors usedto judge whether students could meet the

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Althoughstandardized testscores remainedimportant,weight wasnow given topersonal,environmentalandnonintellectualattributes.

admissions requirements. In the 1960s, about 100colleges produced these leaflets, which weredistributed only to high school counselors. Highschool guidance counselors also used the CollegeBoard’s College Handbook. The 1961-1963 editionincluded a table that listed requirements forinstitutions, including AP credit options, applica-tion dates, test dates, and the adherence to theCandidate Reply Date (in 1961, this date wasMay 1). The College Handbook was organized bystate and institutional descriptions, and it includeddescriptions of student life and other universitycharacteristics as opposed to just degree offerings,deadlines and dates. In the 1960s, a poor collegechoice was often described as the result of“ignorance” or poor guidance on the part of thehigh school counselor.

In 1958, the College Board changed this policyand began releasing entrance scores to candidates(Bowles, 1967). This practice allowed applicants tobetter understand their chance of success in beingaccepted at a given college or the reason forrejection. The practice also gave students moreauthority in the college-choice process andreduced some of the influence of parents andcounselors. Many colleges and universities agreedon a spring notification of admittance and a May 1Candidate Reply Date (Duffy & Goldberg, 1998).These policies created regular recruiting cycles forcolleges and standardized the admissions processfor high school seniors. Admissions criteria alsochanged. In the 1960s, some colleges beganpaying more attention to personal data than waspreviously afforded to applications. Althoughstandardized test scores remained important,weight was now given to personal, environmentaland nonintellectual attributes during the selectionprocess (Beale, 1970).

It was common during this period for studentsto be told that at least half of all college dropoutscould be attributed to poor college choice. Thevast majority of written material published in the1960s on choosing a college advised parents andstudents to work together to make the bestpossible selection. One publication — aimed at

girls and their mothers — suggested that the bestapproach to college selection was the “three-partysystem.” The system involved each of the threeinterested parties: parents, counselors and students.Each offered opinions, facts and feelings to helpmake the final decision on a college a sound one. Ifall three agreed and worked together toward thesame goal, it was believed that the chances ofchoosing the best college were higher (Klein, 1969).

During the 1960s and ’70s, several studies wereconducted that shed additional light on thecollege-choice process. Kerr (1962) sampled morethan 1,000 high school seniors in school systemsthroughout Iowa. These findings provide someinsight into the timing of college decision-makingduring this period. Amajority of the students(almost 80 percent) decidedprior to their senior year topursue a college education,though more than 75percent of those surveyeddecided during their senioryear which college toattend. Kerr’s (1962) resultsare comparable to thefindings of Lipsett, Smith(1952) and Moser (1955) inthat the majority of allstudents make theirdecision regarding whichcollege to attend duringtheir senior year of highschool. Parents wereidentified as the mostimportant source ofassistance, while only 8percent of the studentsindicated that high school guidance counselorswere an important source of assistance.

Authors Wilson and Bucher (1961) reported onwhat they deemed flawed methods of collegeselection. Of the many methods they criticized,the first was that of “family exposure,” defined asstudents’ selecting a college because a relative had

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Only about halfof the high school

graduates of theearly 1970s

actually pursuedpostsecondary

education.

enrolled there. These authors, as well as others,believed that students should not be afraid toinvestigate “unknown” colleges. Wilson and Bucheralso advised students to carefully determine thefactors that may directly influence their college-choice process. Other flawed methods citedincluded acquaintance exposure — meaning afriend had attended the institution — and socialand economic pressures (Wilson & Bucher, 1961).

Although the 1970s are seen as a time whenmany students questioned the relevance of acollege education, parents thought otherwise.Public opinion polls revealed that, while 90percent of American parents wanted their children

to go to college, andapproximately 70percent expected theirchildren to enroll(McCaffrey & King,1972), only about halfof the high schoolgraduates of the early1970s actually pursuedpostsecondaryeducation (McCaffrey &King, 1972). Thisnumber, however,amounted to more than11 million students

enrolled in postsecondary education in 1976(“Helpful hints for selecting a school or college,”1977) compared with only about 6 million just 10years earlier (see Table 2, Page 51).

The 1970s were a time when many studentsand their parents were struggling to make the bestcollege selection possible. Raley (1972, as cited inCarrington & Sedlacek, 1975) identified four setsof factors that appeared to affect a student’s collegechoice: factors internal to the institutions, such asacademic reputation and prestige; factors externalto the institution, such as its location and proxim-ity to home; human influences outside thestudents, such as encouragement from friends orcounselors; and individual student factors, such astheir personal and family finances. Similarly,

Holland and Richards (1965), along with Bowersand Pugh (1973), found that proximity to homewas an important factor. Bowers and Pugh (1973)also identified cost as an important consideration,as well as the social life on the campuses studentswere considering. These researchers concludedthat students and their parents attach differinglevels of importance to specific factors whenmaking a college selection. They reported thatfinancial factors, proximity and academic reputa-tions were all important to parents, while studentsplaced emphasis on social and cultural items.

In a study done at the University of NorthernMichigan, Stordahl (1970) found that women weremore likely than their male peers to say they hadbeen influenced by intellectual considerations intheir college choices. Students who had graduatedin the top half of their high school classes also saidthey were more heavily influenced by academicsthan did students who had graduated in the lowerhalf. Stordahl also found that first-year studentswhose permanent residence was within 150 milesof the university were more strongly influenced byconsiderations of cost and location. Finally,students in this study reported that advice fromfriends, relatives and others had little to do withtheir decision to attend the University of NorthernMichigan. Looking across these studies, it isevident that factors such as academic reputationand the social climate of the institution had astrong influence on discerning parents andstudents.

In an effort to more accurately define howstudents were choosing colleges, Lisack (1978)conducted a focused study that separatelyexamined the plans of white and black students inIndiana (Lisack, 1978). Lisack discovered thatparent or family financial support to pay forcollege was far more likely to be expected fromwhite students than from students of color.Students of color also were more likely than theirwhite peers to be unsure of how they wouldfinance their education. When asked why theychose a particular school, the seniors respondedthat it “offers what I want to study” (24.2 percent).

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The top four reasons for college selections, inorder, were: proximity to home, cost of tuition,reputation or prestige of school, and size of school(Lisack, 1978).

Even though increasing numbers of students ofcolor were enrolling in college during this period(see Table 4, Page 53), their college decision-making patterns are not well documented. Draper(1976) wrote that prior to this period, “blackstudents who went to college did not really haveto go to any great lengths to decide what collegesto attend and what they should consider in makingchoices. They simply chose from the blackinstitutions” (p. 2). Starting in the 1960s, however,many institutions of higher education beganactively recruiting students of color, so Drapertried to understand how African-American studentsmade their college choices. He learned that thenumber of children in the family and the collegeattendance patterns of siblings had a bearing onthe kinds of institutions students chose. The morechildren in the family, the more likely a studentwould attend an in-state institution. Additionally,more than 45 percent of African-Americanstudents surveyed reported that financial aid wasan essential element of their college-choiceprocesses. The vast majority of students in Draper’sstudy reported that the recommendations of familymembers, friends, teachers and guidance counse-lors also were important. Draper found that, inAfrican-American students’ decisions aboutinstitutional type and location, a mother’s level ofeducation played a more significant role than thatof the father.

Additional studies during this period revealedmore of the complexities of the college-choiceprocess. In 1976, ACT published a reportregarding student choices that revealed two mainpoints. The first was that “people are interested incolleges which are more expensive than they canafford” (Munday, 1976, p. 3). Munday furtherstated that the majority of students at all incomelevels attend low-cost institutions, suggesting thatthe relationship between cost and choice is lessthan one might expect. The researcher propheti-

cally observed, “College costs have the mostsignificant impact on college attendance at theextremes of the income distribution” (Munday,1976, p. 14). Wealthy students are more likely toattend expensive institutions, and low-incomestudents are more likely to enroll at low-costinstitutions. According toMunday, students makecollege selections based ontwo main indicators:educational developmentand family income.

The second majorfinding of the ACT reportwas that students tend tochoose colleges where thecurrent student populationmirrors the student makingthe choice (Munday, 1976).In other words, studentsattend colleges where thepopulation seems to comprise individuals muchlike themselves. Mundel (1974) summarized themain factors that influence students’ collegechoices. These include: (1) the students’ ownabilities, achievement, motivations and tastes; (2)costs of attending various institutions; and (3)family considerations such as income and parentaleducation. Mundel found that college costs werean important factor, especially for lower-incomestudents. A parent’s educational level also played asignificant role in a student’s college choice.

In the mid-1970s, Lewis and Morrison (1975)completed a longitudinal study on collegeselection, the most detailed study of the processconducted during this time period. They at-tempted to better understand how students acquireinformation, how they combine information, howthey form overall evaluations of schools, and whatstrategies students employ in applying to schools.The authors found that the greatest number ofstudent requests for college information occurredin the fall of the senior year. The number ofcolleges that students were considering alsopeaked at this same time with the vast majority of

Starting in the1960s, manyinstitutions ofhigher educationbegan activelyrecruitingstudents of color.

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students eliminating schools from consideration inearly January of their senior year.

When making evaluative decisions aboutinstitutions, students tended to look at specificattributes rather than overall evaluations, andevaluations were made both in a absolute sense(“School A is too large”) and a relative sense (“I likethe size of School C better than that of SchoolA”). Lewis and Morrison found differencesbetween white students’ and African-Americanstudents’ decision-making processes, and in theways men and women made decisions. African-American students tended to consider and makerequests from a larger set of institutions than didwhite students. Women, they found, started theirselection process earlier than men and applied tomore schools.

Summary: 1960 to the mid-1970sAs public colleges expanded and competed

with private colleges for traditional students,marketing increased in importance for admissionsprograms. Colleges increasingly viewed highschool counselors as crucial to their recruitmentefforts. ACT, the College Board and NACACplayed roles in encouraging institutions to providemore information and also extended the marketingabilities of admissions offices. Students and theirfamilies were concerned about making informed

choices about college. Although information wasavailable to students, and most students knewbefore their sophomore year that they wanted toattend college, they often didn’t decide to attend aspecific college until the spring of their senioryear.

The list of decision-making criteria expandedduring this period from practicality and the adviceof others to include factors such as cost, proximityto home and academic reputation. Before the CivilRights Act, black students had few choices amongcolleges. However, as black students’ opportunitiesexpanded, researchers began documentinginfluences on their choice processes. Increasedsupport from federal, state and institutionalfinancial aid programs played a role in who couldgo to college and which types of institutions theycould attend.

When more students from lower-incomefamilies decided to attend college, the role of costand financial aid in their decision-makingincreased. Cost and financial aid also increased inimportance as institutions competed for studentenrollment, in part because new students broughtdesirable federal financial aid dollars with them.These trends drove attempts to better understandstudents’ search and choice processes andeventually led to the development of the enroll-ment management field.

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The mid-1970s through the 1980s:Competition and constrained resources

○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

In 1975, more than 11 million students wereenrolled in some form of postsecondaryeducation at more than 2,700 institutions (see

Tables 2 and 3, Pages 51 and 52). Because studentshad many choices among many types of institu-tions, the competition for students was fierce. Thiscompetition was also fueled by other factors: ananticipated drop in the number of traditionalcollege-age students, the channeling of financialaid to individual students, increasing competitionfrom proprietary schools, and rising tuition coststhat increased interest in enrolling students whowere able to pay (Duffy & Goldberg, 1998).

Although Pell grant funding doubled from $2.4billion to $4.8 billion during the 1980s (Trends inStudent Aid, 1996), the corresponding rise intuition created a unique problem — the federaland state-supported grants were failing to keeppace with the rise in cost to students. Thisprompted increased borrowing from federalstudent loan programs (Hearn, 1993; McPherson,Shapiro & Winston, 1993), and this trend raisedconcerns about the effects of reliance on loans onlow-income students’ college opportunities (Levine& Nidiffer, 1996). Although financial aid policieswere characterized as promoting access, they werecriticized for failing to support choice or equity

(Hearn, 1993). The ability of middle- and low-income students to choose freely among collegeswas clearly constrained by the escalating price tagsat most institutions.

Another concern formany was a marked declinein educational performance,which prompted theNational Commission onExcellence in Education’s1983 report, A Nation atRisk, in which thecommission called for“much-needed improve-ment” in elementary andsecondary school systemsand claimed that academicstandards had declined at alleducational levels. Thisreport contributed to themounting tension betweenproponents of collegeaccess and those who feared that expanded accesswould diminish the quality of a college education(Kerr, 1990). The report also led to calls foraccountability at all levels of education.

Althoughfinancial aidpolicies werecharacterized aspromotingaccess, they werecriticized forfailing to supportchoice or equity.

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Assessment and accountability becameimportant to higher education in the 1980s (Bantaand Associates, 1993). Pressure from substantialbudget cuts increased accountability, and wide-spread public acceptance of institutional rankings(Machung, 1988) helped raise the level of scrutinyplaced on higher education (Ewell & Boyer, 1988).Questions about student outcomes coincided with

research documentingthe widely acceptedlinks between collegeexperiences, studentoutcomes and theoriesregarding collegechoice (Jackson, 1978;Hossler, Braxton &Coopersmith, 1989).This literature washelpful in addressingconcerns about studentretention (e.g., Bean,1990; Tinto, 1987) andfinancial and enrollment

policies (Hossler, Bean & Associates, 1990). Theresearch also responded to calls for accountabilityand efficiency.

Still, trends toward non-selectivity in admis-sions continued, and debates about the quality inhigher education increased. In 1955 over half ofthe 2,000 colleges and universities in the UnitedStates had some type of selective admissionspolicies in place. In 1985 fewer than 175 of theapproximately 3,000 institutions were classified asselective (Lucas, 1994).

Competition promptsinstitutional marketing

Although student enrollments were fairly stablein the mid-1970s at most institutions, manycolleges and universities increased their recruit-ment efforts in response to the predicted reductionin the number of traditional-age students. By thelate 1970s, more colleges were using aggressivemarketing strategies to fill their classrooms (Duffy& Goldberg, 1998). As the gap between the costs

of private and public colleges continued to grow,competition for students, especially the “best”students, intensified. All institutions reported anincrease in recruitment activities (College EntranceExamination Board, 1980). Colleges increasinglyrelied on direct mail to recruit students —obtaining student names, characteristics andaddresses from national testing agencies, scholar-ship programs and state and local agencies.According to the College Entrance ExaminationBoard (1980), private four-year colleges relied ontelephone calls to prospects (50 percent), whilefour-year publics used invitations for prospectivestudents to visit campus (35 percent). Manycolleges and universities moved away from basicdirect mail letters to more professionally produced,glossy, specialized publications highlighting theirrespective institutions (Duffy & Goldberg, 1998).Thus, the college “view book” was born.

High school visits by college representativeswere even more common than direct mail (78percent reported “very frequent” visits). Otherrecruitment activities included advertising oneducational television (3 percent), advertising inprofessional journals (3 percent), advertising onbillboards (5 percent), advertising in high schoolpapers (5 percent), and advertising on commercialradio or television (11 percent) (UndergraduateAdmissions, 1980). By the mid-1980s, manycolleges and universities had adopted these aggres-sive marketing strategies (College Board, 1980).

Admissions criteria during the late 1970sincluded the following: ACT or SAT test scores(required of all students at 48 percent of collegesand universities), letters of recommendation (46percent of privates required and only 5 percent ofpublics), and personal essays for four-year privates(required at 84 percent) (Undergraduate Admis-sions, 1980).

During the 1970s, despite this increasedemphasis on more corporate-like marketinginitiatives, colleges and universities were sharplycriticized for the poor quality of their communica-tion with students. According to Lenning andCooper (1978), “Information provided to students

By the late1970s, morecolleges were

using aggressivemarketing

strategies to filltheir classrooms.

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by most postsecondary institutions is oftenincomplete, insufficiently detailed, not clearlypresented, or presented at the wrong time” (p. 5).The authors found that more than half of prospec-tive students might have changed their mindsabout college if they had received more completeinformation regarding potential costs and financialaid. In response to rising attrition rates amongcollege students, loan default rates and publiccriticism, Congress added a student consumerinformation section to the Higher Education Actof 1976 (Public Law 94-482, Section 131).Although colleges may once have had a “onepackage fits all” mentality regarding their recruit-ing efforts, more systematic approaches wereneeded to assess the information needs ofprospective students. These approaches includeddetermining target populations, developing needsassessment surveys, using multiple data-collectionmethods, analyzing data, and interpreting andapplying results (Lenning & Cooper, 1978).

However, marketing was not as pervasive assome observers suggested. By the late 1970s, onlyabout 12 percent of all institutions (19 percent offour-year privates) conducted formal marketingstudies (market segmentation, positioning, costeffectiveness of recruitment activities, communica-tion efforts, etc.). Thirty-nine percent hadconducted informal marketing studies, and 47percent of institutions had not conductedmarketing studies (Undergraduate Admissions,1980). Nevertheless, in an effort to maintain levelsof selectivity in admissions, marketing andrecruiting were becoming necessary activities formany colleges (Duffy & Goldberg, p. 54). Notsurprisingly, the size of admissions staff and theinstitutional resources allocated to recruiting, suchas information technology to process and manageadmissions data, increased to support these efforts(Swann & Henderson, 1998). From the perspectiveof college and university administrators, the stakesof college choice were rising exponentially.

During the 1970s and ’80s, competition forstudents and institutional quality and diversity hadbecome important issues for admissions officers as

well as enrollment services staff. Colleges anduniversities took a longer and closer look atnontraditional (adult) students and internationalstudents as means of increasing enrollment. ACollege Board survey found that colleges wantedto increase their recruitment efforts in order toattract more academically proficient students (67percent), minorities and economically disadvan-taged students (55 percent), adult and part-timestudents (48 percent), as well as athletes (58percent), and students from out of state (Under-graduate Admissions, 1980).

During this period, colleges started usingfinancial aid programs in a more deliberate mannerin order to build a solid recruitment class. Financialaid was used aggressively as a tool to attractpromising students.Although one reportsuggested that collegeswere somewhat reluctant tooffer potential studentsestimates of possiblefinancial aid awards(Lenning & Cooper, 1978),they did use variousfinancial incentives toattract students to theirinstitutions. Theseincentives included no-needscholarships (50 percent)and modified packages thatwere high in grant aid andlower in loans (33 percent)(Undergraduate Admissions,1980). Need- and merit-based aid packages werecrafted to try to increasethe quantity and quality of the admitted pool.Although tuition outpaced inflation during thistime period, private institutions in particularimplemented “tuition-discounting2” plans to attractthe “best and brightest” students, taking advantageof the public perception that high tuition wasnecessary for a high-quality education.

Privateinstitutions inparticularimplemented“tuition-discounting”plans to attractthe “best andbrightest”students.

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The 1980s saw a growing use of businesstechniques, marketing research and more sophisti-cated enrollment forecasting models. This strongerbusinesslike orientation was reflected in a reportby the College Board that included sections titled:“Market positioning studies direct our recruitmentmessage,” “Using volume projections for marketanalysis” and “Using phone-a-thons: A hotline toenhance your recruitment” (The Admissions Strategist,1984). Swann and Henderson (1998) revealed thatin the mid-1980s, 43 percent of institutionsreported “very frequent” use of telephone callswhen recruiting prospective students, up 7 percentfrom 1979. Various forms of advertising were morefrequently used, including billboards (9 percent),commercial radio (20 percent), local newspapers(36 percent), magazines (10 percent), andpromotional audio and visual products such ascampus tours (20 percent). Many colleges anduniversities hired marketing and consulting firmsto aid their recruiting efforts.

In the 1980s, colleges combined enrollment-managed admissions, financial aid, orientation,

retention and institu-tional research underone department in thehope of making theenrollment processmore effective (Hossler,1984, 1986; Zemsky &Oedel, 1983).

In 1983, U.S. News& World Report pub-lished its first set ofcollege rankings. Whilerankings of colleges and

universities had been around since the early 1900s(primarily in the form of efforts to rank graduateprograms [Webster, 1986]), U.S. News’ collegeissue ignited public interest in media-generatedratings and rankings as a proxy for the relativequality of colleges.

College choice for students and parents:Major changes emerge

During this period, researchers developed twodifferent types of models to help explain the manyinfluences on students’ decision-making processes.The first type, econometric models, predicted thata student would select a particular postsecondaryinstitution if the perceived benefits of attendanceoutweighed the perceived benefits of non-attendance or attendance at another institution(Hossler, Braxton & Coopersmith, 1989). Thesecond type, sociological models, asserted thatstudents’ desire to attend college, or “collegeaspirations,” were influenced by socioeconomicstatus, student academic ability, high schoolcontext, gender and the views of significant others.These factors help to explain some students’college-choice behaviors (Jackson, 1982; Litten,1982). Econometric models (reflecting theinfluence of cost on students’ decision-making) andsociological models (demonstrating the influenceof interrelated factors influencing college aspira-tions) were combined in later studies to reflect amore comprehensive view of students’ collegechoice.

By the late 1970s, many more students werebeing actively recruited by institutions of highereducation; even parents were the target for somerecruitment activity (Hoopes, 1976). As institu-tions started to increase their recruitmentactivities, parents and students were advised toresist marketing pressures. Further, students andparents also were advised that the stress associatedwith making college choices early and applying bymid-December was unnecessary, as many collegeshad adequate room when classes began in the fall(Pope, 1973). Parents were counseled that, unlesstheir students were applying to elite privatecolleges or selective flagship universities, there wasno need to feel stressed about the applicationprocess because good students were likely to beadmitted (Pope, 1973). But, because the decisionto attend a particular institution was believed tohave a lasting impact on a student’s path in life, thestakes associated with this decision actually

The “U.S. News”college issue

ignited publicinterest in media-generated ratings

and rankings.

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increased the stress felt by both students andparents (Chapman, 1978).

In the late 1970s, students thought of them-selves as consumers purchasing services fromcolleges (Chapman, 1978). Findings from a seven-state survey of more than 4,900 prospectivestudents revealed that students demanded morespecific information about college costs andfinancial aid. More than half of the studentssurveyed indicated that such information influ-enced their decision-making process (Making itCount, 1977). Low-income students were particu-larly sensitive to information related to cost. Spies(1978) found that many students were discouragedfrom applying to high-priced institutions becauseof financial concerns.

Once again, parents continued to exertinfluence on students’ college choice, particularlyduring the early stages of the process, by settingrestrictions on cost and proximity (Litten, 1983;Welki & Novratil, 1987). Researchers found thatothers — counselors, teachers, peers and collegeadmissions officers — were influential at the pointwhere students formed their particular “consider-ation sets” (the set of colleges they might want toattend), but were less influential when studentswere making final decisions (Chapman, 1981).Chapman also found that, in the early stages oftheir college search, students practiced a level of“self-selection” based on their assessment ofaptitude combined with estimates of theirprospects of admission. Kotler and Fox (1985)reported that students in the early stages of thecollege search sometimes formed images ofschools based on limited information that stronglyinfluenced the later stages of their selectionprocess. However, students’ decisions regardingwhich colleges to attend were ultimately based onspecific information about the colleges’ academicprograms, tuition, cost, availability of financial aid,general academic reputation, distance from home,size and social atmosphere (Keller & McKewon,1984; Stewart, et al., 1987; Chapman & Jackson,1987).

Differences in college-choice patterns relatedto students’ gender, race, ethnicity and socioeco-nomic status were also beginning to emerge.Hanson and Litten (1982) found that women andmen differed significantly in their college selectionprocesses. The differences were primarilyinfluenced by educationalaspirations and wereattributed to disparities inself-esteem or self-assessment. Women seemedmore affected by parentalinfluence, geographicallocation, finances andcollege environment thandid men. Women, ascompared with their malecounterparts, were alsomore likely to apply for“early decision” and submittheir applications earlier.

Well into the 1980s, the participation ofAfrican-American students in higher educationrose and fell (Hossler, 1984), thus making itdifficult to effectively assess trends in the influ-ences on their college-choice process. TheSupreme Court’s 1978 ruling in Regents of theUniversity of California v. Bakke, 438 U.S. 265(1978), which permitted colleges and universitiesto take race into account as one among a numberof factors in student admissions for the purpose ofachieving diversity in the student body, increasedpublic awareness of the importance of access forstudents of color. However, although the federalTRIO programs and Higher Education Act of 1965expanded access to low-income students, and theBakke ruling supported diversity in collegeenrollment, the participation rates of somesubpopulations — specifically those of lowsocioeconomic status, at-risk, or either first-generation or students of color — remained low(Cabrera & La Nasa, 2000). Additionally, theincreasing complexity of the college environmentcontinued to make it difficult for many first-generation students and students of color to

In the earlystages of theircollege search,studentspracticed alevel of“self-selection.”

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compete (Hurtado, Inkelas, Briggs & Rhee, 1997).The continued reliance on the SAT to help makeadmissions and merit aid decisions, the emergenceof private admissions counselors and financial-aidpackaging practices put some at a disadvantage.The National College Counseling Project reportedthat there was a general lack of support forunderprivileged students during the college-choiceprocess, while support for the privileged was

overwhelming (Dalton,1988). Despite thesedifficulties, thepopulation of diversestudents in America’scolleges and universitiesgrew during the 1980s.However, African-American students wereless likely to apply tomore selective institu-tions (Hearn, 1984) andmore likely to beconcerned about collegecost and financial aid(Stewart et al., 1987).

Jackson (1982) andEkstrom (1985) found that socioeconomic status(SES) had a greater impact on students’ decisionsto attend college than did their racial-ethnic status.Because low-SES students were less likely to havecollege-educated parents, as well as fewer contactswith other college-educated role models, they hadfewer sources of information about colleges thandid high-SES students (Litten, 1982; Tierney,1980). Furthermore, high-SES students were morelikely to apply to and attend selective schools andto be less concerned with college cost than werelow-SES students (Hearn, 1984; Zemsky & Oedel,1983). Clearly, students’ college-choice decisionsare mediated by gender, race, ethnicity andsocioeconomic status.

Before the 1980s, the college-choice processtypically began in the senior year of high school,but by the mid-1980s, important shifts were underway in the timing of the college search. Students

began to feel the pressure to start looking earlier atcolleges they might attend. Ekstrom (1985) foundthat 41 percent of students decided to attendcollege as early as sixth grade and that, by ninthgrade, 61 percent were certain about their decisionto go to college. In a retrospective study ofMichigan State University students, Stewart, et al.(1987), found that 80 percent of students haddecided to attend college by the end of theirjunior year in high school. This research supportsJackson’s (1982) conclusion that by the junior year,if not sooner, students have made the decision toattend college. On the other hand, Litten (1982)found that African-American students appeared tostart their college-choice process considerablylater than their white peers. Most of these findingswere strikingly similar to the findings of previousdecades.

However, many new factors were identifiedthat appeared to directly influence the collegedecision-making process. Perhaps not surprising,taking college entrance exams is one of them. Bythis time, taking the Preliminary SAT (PSAT) hadbecome a rite of passage for an increasingly largesegment of high school students. Gilmour (1978)found that taking the PSAT in the junior year ofhigh school was a trigger event for students. Thisevent prompted students to begin developing listsof specific colleges to attend and sometimeshurried their decisions quite a bit. Between the endof the junior year and the first months of thesenior year in high school, students narrowed their“consideration sets” to four schools or fewer.According to Stewart, et al. (1987), the majority ofstudents (70 percent) made the decision to attenda specific institution (in this case, Michigan StateUniversity) sometime during their senior year.However, there is little information on howstudents of the 1980s actually made their finaldecisions. Some studies suggest that students alonemade the decision (Cibik, 1982), while othersidentified a variety of influences on students’decision-making (Ebberly, 1987; Gilmour, 1978).

In addition to starting earlier, the search for theright college became more intense, requiring

Clearly, students’college-choicedecisions aremediated bygender, race,

ethnicity andsocioeconomic

status.

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greater investments of time, money and energy.The increasing costs of higher education and theperceived relationships between college atten-dance and success in the labor market raised thestakes associated with college choice (Hossler,Bean and Associates, 1990; Litten, 1982).

Gilmour, et al. (1978), found that studentsincreasingly consulted Peterson’s Guide and othercollege guidebooks for information about collegesin their “consideration sets.” Chapman (1981)clarified the influence of guidebooks, suggestingthat students tended to use written material simplyto confirm decisions they had already made.Campus visits and the review of campus publica-tions also took on a greater role in choosing acollege (Litten, 1982). In some high schools,guidance counselors were also sought out duringthe student’s junior year. However, as Boyer’s(1983) research on American high schoolsdocumented, counselors had such large caseloadsthat they had little time to talk to students aboutcollege and career choices or to even stayinformed themselves. High student-counselorratios, along with the changing job responsibilitiesof guidance counselors, reduced the influence ofcounselors in the college-choice process at mostpublic high schools. Thus, the influence ofcounselors was often exclusive to private highschools or affluent public high schools.

At this time, race, ethnicity, socioeconomicstatus and parental education played importantroles in students’ college-choice processes(Hossler, Braxton & Coopersmith, 1989). Forexample, Paulsen (1990) reported that African-American students tended to consult more sourcesof information than did white students.

The availability of financial aid was found tobe a strong determinant of college-choiceprocesses (Hossler, et al., 1989; Manski & Wise1983). However, the effects of aid on students’choices were not uniform or consistent. Someauthors found that receiving aid, rather than theamount offered, is what most influenced a student’schoice (Jackson, 1978). Other research showedthat simply providing financial aid to students was

not enough to influence their choice (St. John,1990). It appeared as if the kind of financial aid(grants, loans or work-study) and the amount ofaid offered — in conjunction with tuition costs —clearly influenced student choice (Manski & Wise,1983; St. John, 1990). Further, Paulsen (1990)found that colleges became less attractive tostudents when expenses and distance from homeincreased, yet became more attractive whenavailability of aid increased.

The competition for the limited number ofseats at prestigious colleges and universitiesincreased through the 1980s. Competition wassuch that many students were denied admission bycolleges that would haveadmitted them just a fewyears earlier (Diglio, 1988).The growing belief in theimportance of attendance atspecific colleges was one ofthe primary reasons for thiscompetitive environment.Increases in applications foradmission showed clearlythat more students andfamilies considered collegeessential. According to theCollege Board, applicationsto four-year institutionsincreased by 16 percent, onaverage, between 1980 and1987, even though the number of 18-year-oldsactually decreased during that period (Diglio,1988; Dalton, 1988).

In order to understand expanding enrollmentsand the competitive environment of collegechoice, researchers began to expand the body ofresearch and create theoretical models on studentdropout and retention (see Astin, 1975; Bean,1980; Tinto, 1975). In doing so, they increasedinformation about the impact of the collegeexperience on students, helped explain persistence,and suggested approaches to keep studentsenrolled. In the 1970s and 1980s, a related line ofresearch also developed that explained a student’s

The search forthe right collegebecame moreintense, requiringgreaterinvestments oftime, money andenergy.

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decision to attend college and the factors thatinfluenced his or her institutional choice (Hossler,1984). This trend toward additional researchdemonstrated the growing interest in the college-choice process and served as an indicator of themounting pressure surrounding college decision-making.

Summary: The mid-1970sthrough the 1980s

The mid-1970s and 1980s saw diminishedsupport for growth in federal grant aid andincreased use of loans to students. Marketingefforts became more aggressive and widespread,and college admissions staffs grew to supportadditional recruitment efforts. Admissions officerslooked to international, nontraditional and part-time student markets to meet enrollment targets, asthey simultaneously worked to recruit moreminorities and disadvantaged students. Financialaid became an important tool to build a class, andinstitutions crafted need-based and merit-based

packages to attract talented students. Collegeswere challenged by fiscal constraints, and demandsfor accountability increased. This created afavorable environment for the publication ofinstitutional rankings as a proxy for identifyingquality among institutions of higher education.The widely publicized rankings played anincreasing role in colleges’ marketing efforts and instudents’ college-choice processes.

As a result of more sophisticated marketing andenrollment strategies employed by colleges andthe increased significance attached to choosing theright college, college-choice processes becamemore complex. Several research models weredeveloped to better understand these processes.Some students began to use private collegecounselors to help cope with the associatedmounting pressures. For many students, especiallythose from more affluent families, the choiceprocess began much earlier and required moretime, money and energy.

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31

The trend toward greater scrutiny of highereducation that began in the 1980scontinued throughout the 1990s. Difficult

relationships between state governments andhigher education were strained further byeconomic pressures and concerns about the highcost of college (El Khawas, 1995; Gose, 1995).National reports called for the continued assess-ment and accountability of higher education,raising questions about the effectiveness of manycolleges and universities (Education Commissionof the States, 1995). This accountability move-ment emphasized the importance of makinginformation about colleges and universities readilyavailable to parents and students. Increased interestin rankings and concerns about the provision ofremedial courses at many four-year publicuniversities extended conversations regardingappropriate quality and outcomes assessment inhigher education (U.S. Department of Education,1998).

During the 1990s, the student populationcontinued to grow and diversify (see Tables 1 and4, Pages 50 and 53). More nontraditional-agestudents and part-time students entered college(Hansen, 1998; Lucas, 1994), and women soonoutnumbered men on American campuses

The 1990s and beyond: Greateraccountability and changing demographics

○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

(Hansen, 1998; Harwarth, Maline & DeBra, 1997).Enrollment of African-American students rose, butthe biggest gains in minority student enrollmentwere among Latino students(Lucas, 1994). Changingdemographics had profoundeffects on colleges anduniversities. Enrollmentsheld steady — or evenincreased — thanks toincreases in the number ofolder students and part-timestudents and greater focuson the undergraduatedegree (Keller, 2001).

During this period,admissions officers wereforced to reconsiderestablished affirmative-action policies in responseto legal cases such as Hopwood v. Texas, 78 F.3d932 (5th Cir.), cert. denied, 518 U.S. 1033 (1996).This case, which asserted that diversity does notprovide a compelling interest for race-consciousdecisions in student admissions, shifted thenational climate in the 1990s, threatening thepolicies aimed at expanding access forunderrepresented students (Bresler, 1996).

During the1990s, thestudentpopulationcontinued togrow anddiversify.

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Institutions affected by the Hopwood decision sawimmediate declines in applications from studentsof all racial-ethnic groups (Texas Higher EducationCoordinating Board, 1996), prompting manycolleges and universities to consider alternativeapproaches to ensure a diverse student body.Furthermore, rulings by the United States SupremeCourt on the University of Michigan affirmative-action cases (Grutter v. Bollinger3 and Gratz v.Bollinger4) were likely to produce judicialstatements critically important to the future of

higher education(Michaelson, 2003).Although the courtupheld Michigan’sraced-based admissionspolicies in the lawschool, it struck downracial admissionspreferences at theundergraduate level(Levey, 2003). Thecourt found diversity tobe a compelling reason

for race to be considered in admissions butindicated that limits in time and scope wereneeded. Justice Sandra Day O’Connor’s statementthat affirmative-action policies should not beneeded in 25 years suggests that continuedchallenges to these policies are likely.

The mid-1990s saw declines in federal fundsavailable to colleges and universities. The flow ofpublic money to higher education receded inresponse to increasing claims on the governmentto fund K-12 education and healthcare. Declines intotal grant aid and students’ increased reliance onloans, coupled with a rise in the number of“independent students” (those whose parents don’thelp pay education expenses), shifted participationrates of some students, particularly those from low-and middle-income families (McPherson &Shapiro, 1993). As financial pressures on collegesincreased, enrollment managers were expected tomaximize the net tuition revenue generated bystudent enrollments (“net” after subtracting the

institutional financial aid needed to enroll them).To maximize net tuition revenue, colleges anduniversities must carefully coordinate theirdecisions on financial aid, marketing and admis-sions (St. John, 1998). Tuition-discountingstrategies resulted in a “high stakes” situation forcolleges, with the winners attracting desiredquantities and qualities of students to theircampuses.

Demographic shifts such as those seen duringthis period will continue to alter the face of thenation’s college-going population. Keller (2001)concluded that rising geriatric and immigrantpopulations and increasing needs for employeeretraining will result in a boom in adult education.Globalization and the growing technology markethave looked to higher education to provide bothtraining and retraining. In addition, continuedexpansion of student enrollment is expected, basedon a predicted 26 percent increase in the numberof high school graduates between 1996 and 2008(Western Interstate Commission for HigherEducation, 1998).

Wider and deeper applicant pools may havesome positive effects for colleges and universities.Not only will institutions be able to serve a largerand more diversified student body, they will alsohave the opportunity (similar to that in the 1950s)to make important decisions about institutionalmission (i.e., grow with applicant pool or stay thesame and become more focused and selective).However, population growth will not be universalor uniform, and it will affect some states more thanothers. In some states, colleges and universities willstruggle to find enough seats for students, whileother state institutions will compete for students tofill seats. For example, Arizona and Florida areanticipating increases of 57 percent and 51percent, respectively, in the number of high schoolgraduates between 1996 and 2008. Louisiana andWest Virginia, however, expect the number of highschool graduates to decline by 1 percent and 13percent, respectively (Western Interstate Commis-sion for Higher Education, 1998).

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Tuition-discounting

strategies resultedin a “high stakes”

situation forcolleges.

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Increased marketing in a competitiveenvironment

In the 1990s, postsecondary education optionsexpanded significantly. Students could attendpublic or private four-year institutions, two-yearinstitutions, for-profit institutions, proprietary,technical and vocational schools, or virtualuniversities offering only online courses. This arrayof options increased competition among collegesand universities for the attention of prospectivestudents. During this period, the desire for collegesand universities to be considered the “best”intensified (Hossler, 1998). In trying to enroll thehighest-quality students as early as possible, somecolleges increased already aggressive marketing of“early admission” and “early decision” opportuni-ties. Although research shows that most studentspay little attention to college rankings in thecollege-choice process (McDonough, et al., 1998),institutions continued to lobby for high place-ments in resource and reputation rankingspublished by various media outlets, including U.S.News & World Report’s “America’s Best Colleges,”Money magazine’s “College Value Rankings,” andYahoo’s Internet Life’s “America’s Most WiredColleges.”

Although institutional recruiting still includedthe staples of direct mail, visits to high schools,college fairs and campus visits, colleges anduniversities adopted more sophisticated marketingand recruiting strategies. New marketing mediaand techniques such as CD-ROMs, electronic maildistributions, permission marketing and the WorldWide Web altered the way colleges and universi-ties communicated with prospective students.Swann and Henderson (1998) stated that, in 1992,only 12 percent of institutions reported havingonline services and only 19 percent offeredcomputer services. However, by 1996, about 75percent of colleges in the United States were onthe Web. There was also considerable growth inthe use of electronic tools for enrollment manage-ment, including various Web services, geo-demographic databases and analytical techniques(Enrollment Management Review, 1999). Technol-

ogy also began to play a larger role in the deliveryof higher education courses, degree programs andthe recruitment of individual students to campusesvia, Internet, e-mail, satellite and cable.

“Early admission” and “early decision” admis-sions options have been used since the 1970s(Avery, Fairbanks & Zeckhauser, 2003). However,these practices took on increased significanceduring this period. Early admission is a non-binding option that simply allows students tosubmit applications to a preferred institution andobtain a response earlier than the institution’sregular response date. Early decision offersstudents the same early-admission decision but isinstead a binding contract between the student andthe institution that requires the student to enroll ifaccepted. These optionshave become the primaryways students increase theirchances of admission totheir first-choice institu-tion. Although theseoptions were originallydesigned to help studentsget into the colleges oftheir choice, they havebecome importantstrategies for colleges that seek to increase theirselectivity and yield among admitted students andto better control the size of their entering classes.As a result, many elite institutions of highereducation have filled as much as 40 percent oftheir entering class with early applicants(Hawkings, 2003). Hawkings reported that in2002, 25 percent of private colleges and universi-ties offered early decision, compared with only 10percent of public institutions.

During the 1990s, enrollment-managementprograms became a mixture of marketing,admissions, public relations, financial management,statistics, institutional research and enrollmentprojections. The enrollment-management model inplace at most institutions of higher educationunited admissions and financial aid. However,many financial aid offices began using multivariate

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By 1996, about75 percent ofcolleges in theUnited Stateswere on the Web.

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analytical techniques to award non-need-basedscholarships in order to help achieve enrollmentobjectives. The complexity of the relationshipbetween admissions and financial aid is furtherillustrated in the settlement of the 1991 casebetween the Antitrust Division of the Departmentof Justice and Massachusetts Institute of Technol-ogy (MIT) and the eight member institutions ofthe Ivy League. This case, which alleged that theseschools were unlawfully conspiring to offer tuitiondiscounts to commonly admitted students,determined that institutions could participate incooperative financial aid arrangements if they

agreed to practice need-blind admissions andprovide full financial aidto meet the needs oftheir students (1993,Antitrust Division of theJustice Department v.Ivy (League) OverlapGroup, Third CircuitCourt of Appeals). Thiscase was significant inregard to financial aidpractice, but it also

demonstrated the complicated ways that institu-tions used financial assistance to meet enrollmentobjectives. During this period, many collegesworked to integrate their enrollment services,public relations, institutional advancement andalumni relations programs in order to marketthemselves to the public more effectively.

Changes in the student body andin the choice process of students

From the 1980s to the present, choosing acollege became a more complex and “high stakes”process for students and families. Several factorscontributed to this situation: wider implementationof early-decision admissions programs; growingacceptance of the economic and social benefits ofa college degree (Leslie & Brinkman, 1988;Pascarella & Terenzini, 1991); changes in thefinancial aid environment, and increased competi-

tion for space at the nation’s best colleges(Bronner, 1999). Though these developmentsmade the college-choice process more stressful andintensive for students and families, they helpedcreate a new admissions counseling industrygeared toward helping students and familiesnegotiate this difficult terrain.

The stress of choosing the best collegeincreased in large part because of the growingnumber of high school graduates going on topostsecondary education. At the end of the 1990s,suburban high schools were sending up to 80percent of their senior classes to colleges anduniversities, and 67 percent of all graduating seniorsin the United States were applying to college(Abel, 2000). Similarly, the College Board reportedthat 1.22 million seniors in 1999 had taken theSAT I at some point in their high school careers,up from 1.17 million the previous year (Bronner,1999). Of the students taking the SAT, 60 percentwere women, 364,000 were potential first-generation college students, and more than one-third were minority students (College Board, 2001).

To increase their chances of getting intocollege, students in the 1990s applied to morecolleges and universities than in previous decades(McDonough, 1997). Dey, Astin and Korn (1991)reported that three decades ago, 50 percent of allcollege aspirants submitted just one application,and only 8 percent filled out five or more. By1990, 33 percent of prospective students filled outonly one college application, and 37 percent filledout four or more. In addition, early-admission andearly-decision options were used increasingly byinstitutions and students. Avery, Fairbanks andZeckhauser (2001) reported that most early-decision applicants came from highly esteemedprivate high schools and were more prepared andknowledgeable about the process of applying toand getting into their first-choice college.Perceptions of the competitive nature of theprocess and the desire to deliver an impressiveapplication forced most of these early applicants tobegin the college-choice process at the beginningof the junior year.

34

Students in the1990s applied tomore colleges anduniversities than

in previousdecades.

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Today, the amount of information aboutpostsecondary education available to students canbe overwhelming. Many potential applicantsreceive campus viewbooks and direct mail, listento the anecdotal testimony of friends and families,and learn about potential colleges and universitiesthrough Web sites, college ranking guidebooks,videocassettes, DVDs and CD-ROMs. Today,numerous Web sites exist to offer suggestions onhow students should choose a college, what thingsto consider, as well as how to prepare for thecollege experience (College Choice Web site,2001).

The continued use of computer software andthe Internet has increased students’ access toinformation. For instance, students can use CollegeLink to obtain applications for more than 700institutions and apply online to far more institu-tions with ease (Kelleher, 1995). But the technol-ogy has not lessened the decision-making burdenfor students. Students continue to prepare for andtake the SAT or ACT tests (sometimes twice oreven more), visit many college campuses and sortthrough piles of mail from colleges. They alsoengage in new behaviors, such as conductingInternet searches, participating in video teleconfer-ences and engaging in virtual tours. Improvedaccess to information — especially for middle- andupper-income students — has forced students towade through and evaluate more informationabout colleges than ever before.

A new private sector industry also emerged tohelp students gain admittance to the right college.McDonough (1994) writes, “an industry has grownup to help college-bound students: guidebooks,and software for SAT coaching; private counselors;consortia offering paid trips for high-schoolcounselors to obscure college campuses; and slickmagazines selling private college educationsmarketed to students stratified by SAT scores andsocioeconomic status” (p. 427). Now students whocan afford to do so hire private college counselorsto help with the college-choice process. Privatecollege counselors tend to provide some or all ofthe following: “(a) specialized knowledge or

assistance, (b) uninterrupted time with a counselor,(c) organization and management of the college-choice process, and (d) the cooling out ofunreasonable aspirationswith viable, personalizedalternatives” (McDonough,Korn & Yamaski, 1997, p.300). Another benefit ofthe private counselor is thatparents can shift their rolefrom “taskmaster” and “nag”to “coach” and “friend.”This shift in parental rolesis especially helpful tostudents during peak stresstimes between November and February (whenapplication deadlines are imminent) and betweenMarch and May (when institutions make admissiondecisions) (Zucker, 1997).

Fees for private counseling vary, depending onthe quantity of contact with the students; familiescan spend between $500 and $3,000, dependingon students’ needs (Gose, 2000). As both competi-tion and costs have increased, many savvy parentsbelieve a private counselor to be a sound invest-ment. Although only 3 percent of collegefreshmen used private counselors, their presenceillustrates the increasingly competitive environ-ment of college choice (McDonough, Korn &Yamaski, 1997). As the role of private counselorshas increased, the influence of high schoolguidance counselors in the college-choice processhas declined (DeLany, 1991). At the same time,financial pressures faced by many public highschools have helped shift the counselor’s role fromadviser to scheduler and record keeper.

Rosenbaum, Miller and Krei (1996) stated that,at many public high schools, staff have leftadvising to students and parents, regardless ofwhether parents have adequate information (p.267). This lack of guidance can have a detrimentaleffect on all students, but particularly studentsfrom low-income families, whose parents oftenlack the ability, time and insight to provideguidance on the college-choice process. The

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Technology hasnot lessened thedecision-makingburden forstudents.

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disparities in the college-choice process thuswiden between affluent and low-income students.

The factors influencing students’ collegechoice in the 1990s remained much the same asthose identified in the 1960s by Holland andRichards (1965). They found that four main factorsinfluenced students’ college choice: intellectual

emphasis, practicality,advice of others andsocial emphasis.Practicality includeditems such as “closenessto home” and “low cost,”while items related tosocial climate and co-curricular life fit thesocial emphasis factor.Hossler, Schmit andVesper (1999) foundsimilar influences for

students, but they asserted that either parents,other family members, or, to a lesser extent, peers,had the greatest influence on students’ decisions.These findings are consistent with research datingback to the 1930s and 1940s.

Nora and Cabrera (1992) found manydetermining variables that influenced collegechoice beginning as early as middle school. InGrades 7 through 9, parental encouragement,socioeconomic status, parental educationalattainment, school experience and student abilityinfluenced students’ attitudes about going tocollege. Around the junior year and continuingthrough the senior year, educational and careeraspirations, socioeconomic status, ability, parentalencouragement, college attributes (i.e., quality,campus, academic programs, distance from home)and financial limitations are the factors that mostinfluence students in their college-choice processes.

With regard to the timing of student decision-making, Hossler, et al. (1999), found that by thetime students reached 10th grade, they haddeveloped a short list of colleges and had defined alist of desirable characteristics for preferredcolleges. In the junior year, students developed

slightly longer lists of colleges, but the types ofinstitutions under consideration remained fairlyconstant. In the junior year, many students becamemore active in college information gathering andsought the advice of parents, family members,peers, teachers, guidance counselors and collegeadmission officers. Also during the junior year, costof attendance became an important factor in theirsearch process. During the senior year, informationgathering peaked, and students reduced thenumber of colleges in their “consideration sets.”The influence of teachers, peers and counselorsseemed to replace that of parents and other familymembers. The types of institutions that studentsconsidered remained relatively stable throughoutthe high school years. Students generally considerthe largest number of institutions during the junioryear, as this is often a time of exploration anduncertainty. Seniors, however, narrowed theirchoice set and became more certain of theinstitutional characteristics most important tothem.

Other researchers also found that manystudents began gathering information about aspecific set of colleges by the spring of their junioryear. For example, Cummings, Hayek, Kinzie andJacob (2000) found that students used local andfamiliar sources and experiences (e.g., colleges anduniversities that are close to home, colleges anduniversities family members have attended,colleges and universities that are favorite “teams”for family members) to identify colleges in theirchoice sets. The majority of high school juniors inthis study had a preconceived notion of an “ideal”school. The characteristics of this ideal helped todirect their college search. For instance, studentswho had grown up in a family with a tradition ofattending large state universities believed theywould be most comfortable with this type ofinstitution. By concentrating on a set of institu-tions as a unit of analysis, students refined theirsearch by focusing on other variables, such asacademic programs, varsity sports and location.Interestingly, students whose choices wererestricted by financial considerations or a parental

36

Studentsgenerally considerthe largest number

of institutionsduring the

junior year.

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request to stay in state began the college decision-making process much earlier than did their peers.

For college-bound juniors and seniors, thechoice process required a significant timecommitment. A study conducted in Indiana foundthat, for many students, the cumbersome processof choosing a consideration set, taking collegeentrance exams, writing application essays, sortingthrough mail, searching the Web, visitingcampuses and applying to colleges was justanother set of stressors to be dealt with as theyjuggled academic coursework, extracurricularactivities and, for many, full- or part-time jobs(Cummings, Hayek & Kinzie, 1999). Thispredicament has become commonplace for manyjuniors and is even more intense for seniors.

A number of other factors also constrainstudents’ consideration sets and final college-choice decisions by filtering college optionsthrough a lens of economic circumstances,academic achievement, personal values or futureplans (Braxton, 1990; McDonough, 1997;Terenzini, Cabrera & Bernal, 2001). McDonough(1997) found that “the patterns of students’aspirations ... were shaped by the class context ofthe communities, families, and schools in whichstudents lived their daily lives” (p. 151). Thiscontrasts with the perspective that individualrather than community factors are crucial to thenarrowing of the college-choice set (Braxton,1990; Cabrera & LaNasa, 2000; McDonough,1997). The data suggest that students are morelikely to apply to and attend institutions away fromhome if they are male, if their parents have collegedegrees, if they are from at least a middle-incomefamily, or if they are adequately prepared for theacademic demands of college (Paulsen, 1990).

One cannot ignore the fact that students’academic abilities and socioeconomic status play asignificant role in college decision-makingactivities (Hossler, et al., 1989; Kelpe Kern, 2000;McDonough, 1997). Students of high academicability are more likely to attend selective institu-tions as well as out-of-state institutions; conversely,lower-ability students are more likely to attend less

selective in-state institutions (Braxton, 1990).Heller (1997) found that low-income studentsappear to be more sensitive than middle- or upper-income students to rising college costs. Thissensitivity constrains low-income students’consideration sets and their potential enrollmentoptions, making them less likely to select privateor four-year institutions. The strongest effects ofbackground characteristics on educationalattainment are due to social class, race and gender(McDonough, 1997; Terenzini et al., 2001).According to McDonough(1997), “African-Americans,women, and low-SESstudents are especiallylikely to attend less-selective institutions even iftheir ability and achieve-ments are high” (p. 5).

Race, income andparental education playimportant roles in who andwhat influences students intheir college decision-making process (KelpeKern, 2000; McDonough,1997; Terenzini et al., 2001). For example, Paulsen(1990) reports that African-American studentsappear to consult a greater number of informationsources than do white students, though they areless likely to rely solely on information from eitherfamily members or friends (Paulsen, 1990).

More recent studies also indicate that the typesof factors and the magnitude of their influencemay be different for African-American and whitestudents (Bateman & Hossler, 1996; McDonough &Antonio, 1998). In looking at reasons why African-American students choose historically blackcolleges and universities (HBCUs) over predomi-nately white institutions, McDonough andAntonio (1998) found that geography, religion, aninstitution’s social reputation and familial prefer-ence were strong factors in students’ choice ofHBCUs. Reasons for choosing predominatelywhite colleges included athletic recruitment,

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Race, income,and parentaleducation playimportant rolesin who and whatinfluencesstudents.

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proximity to home and an institution’s academicreputation (McDonough & Antonio, 1998).

Choosing an institution close to home is a wayfor many students to alleviate some of the burdenof higher education’s cost (Angel & Barrera, 1991;Terenzini, et al., 2001). By attending a collegeclose to home, students have the option of livingat home in order to avoid paying rent (Absher &Crawford, 1996; Griffith & Connor, 1994). Formany community college students, attendance ismore dependent on their personal lives, job lives,or the influence of the outside world than onanything specific to the college (Griffith &Connor, 1994). Additionally, attending a localcommunity or four-year college might ensure thata student can avoid other costs and changes, suchas finding a new place of employment, moving, ormaking friends (Absher & Crawford, 1996;Max-well, 1992).

Because they may feel uncomfortable or “out ofplace” on college campuses, many first-generationstudents and students of color consider theinstitutional “environment” important to theircollege decision-making processes (Terenzini, etal., 1994). In some cases, community colleges areseen as viable choices simply because attendancewill allow students to build the confidence to go

on to another college oruniversity (Absher &Crawford, 1996;Griffith & Connor,1994).

The availability offinancial aid is animportant factor inmany students’ college-choice processes.Results from the HigherEducation ResearchInstitute survey

comparing freshmen attitudes toward college costsand financial aid showed that a growing percent-age of first-year students report each year that theymade college-choice decisions based on financialreasons (Geraghty, 1997). In 1996, 33 percent of

first-year students reported financial assistance as“very important” in selecting a college, while thenumber of freshmen who reported they hadselected a college based on low tuition was 31percent (Geraghty, 1997).

While the importance of financial aid wasincreasing, both the amounts and types of aidawarded were changing. By 1992, 52 percent of allfederal aid (Campaigne & Hossler, 1998) was inthe form of loans, and the trend of increasing loanscontinues. The percentage of undergraduatestudents at four-year colleges and universitiesborrowing from the federal government increasedby 11 percent from 1992-93 to 1995-96 (NCES,1998). For this group of students, the average loanamount held by an individual increased from$3,000 to $4,200. As a result, students and familiesincurred even more debt during the first part of the1990s, in both current and constant dollars(Campaigne & Hossler, 1998).

Loans became both an extra benefit for middle-and upper-income students and a deterrent forlow-income students, as the loans provided anunfortunate disincentive to enrollment (St. John,1998). The vast majority of students indicate thatthe potential receipt of financial aid influencestheir college decision-making, and this influence iseven greater on low-income students. In fact,despite the availability of financial aid, nearly halfof high school seniors from the lowest socioeco-nomic group do not go on to college. This numberis 20 percent higher than that of high schoolseniors from the highest socioeconomic group(Terenzini, Cabrera & Bernal, 2001).

Social class shapes the educational attainmentlevels to which students aspire (Horvat, 1996;McDonough, 1994). Low-income studentsperceive that fewer opportunities are available tothem and thus self-select not to pursue a collegeeducation (McDonough, 1997). The growingcomplexity of the college-choice process com-bined with the elimination of college advising inmost public high schools denied many low-incomestudents the information needed to make anappropriate, informed decision (McDonough &

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The availabilityof financial aid is

an importantfactor in many

students’ college-choice processes.

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Antonio, 1998). However, by 1998, federal TRIOprograms provided assistance to 780,000 qualifiedstudents, almost all of them from minority or low-income backgrounds, including 16,000 individualswith disabilities (National Council of EducationalOpportunity Associations, 1998). If not for TRIO,many of these students might have had inadequateacademic preparation and support to attendcollege (Blake, 1998). As the college decision-making process becomes more sophisticated,TRIO programs help to demystify the choiceprocess for a growing number of students.Ultimately, in an environment that is movingtoward more computer-supported informationsharing and requires families to gather, sort andanalyze a growing volume of data, low-incomestudents seem more disadvantaged than ever.

Summary: The 1990s and beyondThe 1990s were marked by a climate of

accountability and the use of rankings to rateinstitutions of higher education. While institutionsstruggled with declining financial support fromboth federal and state governments, publicinstitutions adopted businesslike behaviors torespond to their new fiscal realities. Tensionscontinued to mount as questions arose aboutwhether increasing college access might somehowharm the quality of college education. Althoughchanging demographics supported the continuingracial, ethnic and age diversification of student

bodies in the 1990s, threats to affirmative-actionprograms — and the diversity rationale inparticular — presented new challenges to highereducation. In an admissionsenvironment characterizedby student demands fortimely and accurateinformation, colleges facedserious reductions of thefunds needed to supporttheir sophisticatedmarketing and recruitingcampaigns. Institutionsincreased their efforts towin high rankings invarious media outlets andemployed new technology in their recruitmentinitiatives. Colleges’ enrollment-managementdivisions integrated marketing, admissions, publicrelations, financial management, institutionalresearch and enrollment projections. High schooljuniors and seniors who aspired to attend the bestcolleges started the college-choice process earlierand made decisions earlier — a process that forsome students and families nearly amounted to afull-time job. The availability of financial aidremained an important factor in students’ college-choice process. The combination of rising collegeprices and the increased need to rely on loansinstead of grants significantly constrained thechoice process for many low-income students.

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TRIO programshelp to demystifythe choiceprocess for agrowing numberof students.

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In this closing section we return to our originalfocus: how college-choice processes havechanged over the past 50 years and how they

have remained the same. We review the causes andimplications of the continuity and change and then

shift attention to theimplications of ourfindings for the future.

Have developmentsin student access,admissions recruitmentand marketing strategiesand changing demo-graphics altered thefactors that students andtheir parents considerwhen making theirdecisions? Has the

timing of students’ college-choice decisionschanged? Do the factors students consider whenthey make decisions help us understand howstudents view the college-choice process and thepressures they experience as they move throughthis process? What do answers to these questionsmean for future generations of high schoolstudents and their families?

Prior to the late 1940s, less than 20 percent ofall high school graduates went on to college.Because most students going on to college came

from upper-middle-class and upper-class families,little emphasis was placed on college guidance; formany of these students, college attendance wassimply assumed. With a dearth of popularguidance literature for students or parents, therewas less competition for students and less focus onbeing accepted at a top school. Fewer women,students of color, or low-income students attendeda college or university after high school, andcollege campuses were primarily the domain ofmiddle- and upper-class white males.

However, in the 1940s, these circumstancesbegan to change. Indeed, change became thedominant characteristic of college admissions andstudent college choice during the later half of the20th century. Access to higher education becamean important component of the public policy agenda.

Following the enactment of the GI Bill to payfor the education of millions of World War IIveterans, the Truman Commission recommendedthe expansion of a public community collegesystem throughout the United States, promptingthe building of many such campuses. The SupremeCourt’s decision in Brown vs. Board of Educationthen initiated the process of expanding access tohigher education for students of color. Arguably,these developments may have done more toexpand access and equity in the last 50 years thanthe federal and state financial aid initiatives

40

Prior to the late1940s, less than20 percent of all

high schoolgraduates went on

to college.

Summary: 50 years of college choice○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

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brought about by the Higher Education Act of1965. These and other developments expandedaccess and started moving American highereducation from an elite to an egalitarian system.

As more students pursued postsecondaryeducation, colleges and universities began makingadmissions processes more systematic andefficient. The College Board and the NationalAssociation for College Admission Counseling(NACAC) further standardized the collegeadmissions process. In 1948, eight Ivy Leagueinstitutions agreed to the common date of June 15as the deadline for all students to apply to theirrespective campuses. In the early 1950s, NACACbegan to establish an identity for admissionsprofessionals separate from that of registrars,which is where most admissions professionalsstarted their careers. The college admissions fieldwas becoming a respectable profession, and moreattention was being paid to the college-choiceprocess. During the 1950s, the College Boardbegan to publish admissions statistics. Thisimportant change signaled the beginning of theadmissions marketing era, resulting in a moresophisticated college decision-making process.The selectivity of a college based on admittedapplicants quickly became equated with collegequality (Duffy & Goldberg, 1998).

For students in the 1940s and 1950s, thecollege-choice process was relatively straightfor-ward. Continuity characterized the collegedecision-making process as students and parentsmade decisions from among a defined and narrowset of institutions. However, subtle shifts wereunder way. Parents had previously been theaudience for most of the college-choice guidanceliterature and may have exerted more influence onthe college-choice process than did the studentsthemselves. By the early 1960s, however, moreliterature had been developed specifically for highschool students. Parents started to become asecondary audience. The guidance literature alsostarted to emphasize the role of the high schoolcounselor, as counselors were charged with helpinghigh school students make sound decisions.

During this same period, NACAC, ACT andthe College Board served several important roles:They helped standardize and simplify many of thesteps in the college admissions and recruitmentprocess; they helped to broker policies thatbenefited students, families and institutions; and,in the case of the College Board and ACT, theyprovided tools and strategies to further accentuatethe shift toward a marketing orientation foradmissions offices.

Prior to the 1950s, the only studies done toassess reasons for students’ college choicessuggested that proximity to home and costs werethe primary factors. In the 1950s, researchdemonstrated that colleges’ academic reputationshad become an important factor. Research alsofound that most students delayed their collegechoice until during or after their senior year(Lipsett & Smith, 1952;Moser, 1955). Between 18percent and 43 percent ofstudents did not decidewhere to go to school untilafter they had graduatedfrom high school. Theresearch during this periodindicates that few studentsconsidered that process asone involving “high stakes.”

During the 1960s and1970s, public policy-making continued to focuson expanding studentaccess. The Civil Rights Act of 1964 and theHigher Education Act of 1965 set the stage for thecontinued growth in college attendance. By 1970,the proportion of high school students accepted tocollege had already reached 52 percent (Lucas,1974). This period was marked by significantexpansion of postsecondary educational opportu-nities for women, students of color and low-income students.

The increase in college participation rates,combined with the rising number of communitycolleges and the growth of regional public

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For students inthe 1940s and1950s, thecollege-choiceprocess wasrelativelystraightforward.

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institutions, caused many institutions to struggleto reach enrollment goals. The increased competi-tion for students enhanced the focus on admis-sions marketing, and though only about 100colleges in the early 1960s produced leaflets tosend to high schools, there were clear signs of thegrowing focus toward marketing in the college-choice process.

By 1961, the candidate reply deadline hadbeen moved up from June 15 to May 1. TheCollege Board began publishing average SATscores for all students attending each college anduniversity, allowing students to compare their testscores and determine the likelihood of beingadmitted to certain colleges. In 1970, the College

Board created theStudent Search Service,which made it possiblefor college admissionsoffices to purchase thenames of students whohad taken the SAT andpossessed specificcharacteristics whichmade them desirablecandidates for admis-sion. The lists could beused to communicatewith students by directmail or other means.Once again, the role oforganizations such as

the College Board in shaping the college-choiceprocess is evident.

This period produced changes in students’admissions behavior. High school studentsgathered most of their college information duringthe senior year, narrowed the lists of colleges theyactively considered and applied for admission inJanuary, with the most important factors being:perceived quality or institutional prestige, cost andproximity to home.

During the 1960s and ’70s, federal and stategovernments became more involved in thefinancial aid process for students, while public

policy-makers and college administrators becamemore interested in participation rates in highereducation. Emphasis on college guidance at publichigh schools enhanced access, and collegesincreased their efforts to provide more informationabout themselves to more high school students.While these developments enhanced access for alarger proportion of youth in the United States,they also made the college decision-makingprocess more complex.

By the 1980s, emerging public and institutionalpolicy developments affected students’ college-choice processes. A shift in attitude occurredregarding who benefits most from higher educa-tion — the students (who attend and consequentlyare able to get better jobs and earn more money)or society (which benefits from an educatedworkforce and informed citizenry). The predomi-nate view came to be the former one — thathigher education is largely a personal or individualbenefit. That view contributed to the use of moreloans than grants in federal student aid programs.Studies on the influence of loans on students’college aspirations and choices revealed that loansoften constrained the choices of low-income andfirst-generation students.

At this time, the declining numbers of highschool graduates led to an even greater use ofsophisticated marketing strategies and business-oriented techniques in college admissions offices,specifically: targeted direct mail; a move fromletters to glossy, high-impact brochures;telemarketing, and an increased emphasis onadmissions counselors making high school visits.

Many public policy-makers became concernedthat colleges’ marketing efforts had become soaggressive that the schools no longer accuratelyrepresented themselves to prospective students.So, in 1976, the bill to reauthorize the HigherEducation Act included provisions on the accuracyof “consumer information” flowing to the public.

Starting in the 1980s, struggling privateinstitutions expanded their enrollment-manage-ment programs. They began to use financial aidawards in a practice called tuition discounting to

42

During the 1960sand ’70s,

federal and stategovernmentsbecame more

involved in thefinancial aid

process.

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help achieve desired enrollment levels. In 1983,U.S. News & World Report published its first“America’s Best Colleges” issue, ushering in whatnow appears to have become a national obsessionwith college rankings. The accumulated impact ofthis period, with its focus on accountability andmarketing and other public and institutional policytrends that started in the 1950s, significantlyaltered the student college-choice process. Forinstitutions, students and families, more attentionwas being focused on the college-choice process— attention that raised the perceived stakes for allinvolved.

In the 1980s, increased study of the college-choice process indicated that students werestarting the decision-making process earlier, andthat college proximity and cost of attendanceremained primary factors in students’ choices.However, change was evident. High schoolstudents reported they’d started gatheringinformation as early as their junior year, and anincreasing number of students applied to collegesin the fall of their senior year, rather than waitinguntil January.

The increase in marketing by colleges madethe “admissions game” more visible to prospectivestudents and their families. The emphasis oncollege rankings in the popular media fueledstudent and parental beliefs that institutional statusand college prestige had a great influence onpersonal success in later life. A small percentage ofstudents and families provided a market for privatecollege guidance services. These services targetedupper- and upper-middle-class students concernedabout maintaining or enhancing the status of theirfamilies. These developments indicate thatincreasing societal and familial pressure wasaffecting students’ college-choice decisions.

Throughout the 1990s and on to the present,public policy has moved toward privatization ofhigher education. The proportion of state fundinggoing to public colleges has continued to declineand, consequently, tuition and fees continue torise. The tuition and fees of private institutionsalso continue to rise, increasing the demand for

aid. Enrollment-management models adopted atmany colleges and universities prompted publiccolleges to use financial aid packages to influencestudent enrollment decisions, mirroring practicesalready commonplace among private colleges. Inresponse to these trends toward privatization,colleges adopted even morebusinesslike behaviors insearch of more funding — aprocess Slaughter andLeslie (1997) describe as“academic capitalism.”

Even though demogra-phers predict a 26 percentincrease in the number ofhigh school graduatesbetween 1996 and 2008,colleges are placing greateremphasis on admissionsmarketing; and pressure on students and theirchoice processes is increasing. Private and publiccolleges have adopted complex financial aidstrategies to increase the number of students withdesired characteristics. Increased availability ofnon-need-based scholarship aid has studentsconsidering more institutions earlier, as they andtheir parents look for the “best deal.” Many privatecolleges have initiated early admission and early-decision admission strategies to increase thenumbers of affluent and academically qualifiedstudents. Such practices have increased thepressure on high school students and their familiesbecause, if they hope to be competitive in early-admission opportunities, students must haveimpressive qualifications.

The emergence of electronic technologies suchas CD-ROMs, the Internet, e-mail and the WorldWide Web also has had an impact on admissionsrecruitment. With just the click of a button, highschool students have a wealth of information attheir fingertips. These new technologies also makeit easier for admissions personnel to contactstudents more frequently and in a much morepersonalized way than ever before.

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The increase inmarketing bycolleges made the“admissionsgame” morevisible.

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Rankings publications and guidebooks such asU.S. News & World Report’s “America’s BestColleges,” Time magazine’s special issue oncolleges, the Princeton Review and numerousother publications appear to have increased theinformation available to students while emphasiz-ing the importance of making a sound decision. Asa result, more and more high school students andtheir parents are turning to private counselors tohelp them effectively use aggressive scholarshipand early-admissions programs, and to allow themto take full advantage of new technologies and thegrowing influence of rankings publications.

With more students applying to respectedcolleges and universities, high school students

planning to attend four-year residential institutionsnow gather most of their information in either thespring of their junior year or the summer beforetheir senior year, submitting their applicationsbetween October and December of their senioryear. College-bound students report that they feelmore pressure and that they believe their collegechoice to be a crucial decision. Many educators areraising concerns about one alarming trend: Thesenior year of high school has been “lost” for manystudents. They apply to colleges too early andlearn of their admissions status so soon that theyno longer feel the need to study or focus on theirfinal year.

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There is nowwidespread beliefthat the privatebenefits of highereducationsupercede thepublic benefits.

Today, with more than 14 million studentsenrolled in more than 4,000 postsecondaryinstitutions, higher education has become

much more diverse than ever before (U.S.Department of Education, 1999; U. S. Departmentof Education, 2000). The importance attached toearning a college degree also has grown, withparental influence on students’ choice processesremaining relatively constant. Perennial issues suchas funding and access to higher education link atroubled past to the present, while current trendsin student college-choice patterns predict atumultuous future.

In this report, we have tried to combine socialhistory, public policy, higher education researchand institutional and student perspectives in orderto consider the continuities and changes in thecollege-choice process since before World War II.In this concluding section, we look at currenttrends — in public policy, at institutions andamong students and families — and the implica-tions of these trends for the future of the college-choice process.

Public policy trendsThere have been remarkable shifts in public

policies and changes in institutional strategies andactivities during the years we have examined.Postsecondary participation rates have increased

dramatically. Early shifts in public policy expandedaccess to more citizens through the GI Bill, courtdecisions such as Brown v. Board of Education in 1954,and the expansion of the community collegesystem. Since the early 1980s, public policy shiftshave reflected a rather widespread belief that theprivate benefits of higher education supercede thepublic benefits; there arefew indications that thiswill change anytime soon.Most of the recent publicpolicy debates regardingthe college-choice processhave focused on thestructure and use of federalloan programs to makecollege affordable. It isargued that, since most ofthe benefits of highereducation are personal,students borrow to pay forthe costs of attendancerather than receive “gift aid” from tax-funded aidprograms. Though efforts to increase federal need-based grants have generally been modest orunsuccessful, state grant programs have growndramatically since the 1980s; the constant-dollarvalue of these programs stagnated during the1990s, and current economic conditions in most

Anticipating the future○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

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states make any increases unlikely. It is quite likely,however, that student loan programs will continueto be the primary mechanism for assuring bothaccess and choice in the student college-choiceprocess, which does not bode well for equity in thecollege-choice decisions of high school graduates.

It is unlikely that any new federal initiativessuch as the GI Bill or the desegregation legalopinions of the 1950s and ’60s will emerge. Someof the strongest language in a recent U.S. SupremeCourt opinion in a Michigan case stated that, in 25years, affirmative-action admissions policiesshouldn’t be necessary. Though this opinionfocuses specifically on issues of ethnicity anddiversity in college admissions, there are growingconcerns about the economic stratification ofcollege destinations. There is ample evidence thatstudents from middle-income and upper-incomefamilies are attending four-year institutions, whilelow-income students are concentrated in two-yearcommunity colleges. These patterns demonstrate

serious constraints onthe college-choiceprocess for manystudents, especiallystudents of color, whodisproportionatelycome from lower-income families. Thesetrends representimportant issues forpublic policy-makers inthis and the comingdecades. Many

educators and researchers are troubled by theimpact of admissions tests on equity and access atfour-year colleges and universities, as well as thefailure to address the growing financial inequitiesof federal and state student financial aid policies.There does not appear to be much interest amongpublic policy-makers or the general public to useaffirmative-action laws or other legal or statutorymeans, or to invest the necessary dollars in studentfinancial assistance programs to enhance economicor ethnic diversity in student enrollments.

Institutional trendsDespite increasing numbers of high school

graduates in many states, there is little evidence ofa decline in competition among four-year collegesfor students. Intent to increase the number ofstudents, as well as the quality and/or the diversityof enrolled students, will likely result in continuedor increased marketing and recruitment activitiesat many four-year colleges and universities, as wellas at some two-year colleges. The growing numberof high school students, especially in several high-growth states, may inspire more campus leaders tostrive to “move up” the college status ladder andfurther increase the competition for high-abilitystudents. This will also continue the growingemphasis on use of merit-based aid to achieveenrollment-management goals and will accentuatethe pressure felt by high school students.

Since there are few reasons to expect increasesin state appropriations for public colleges, moreand more of them will increase their tuition andmore aggressively recruit desirable students inorder to offset budget shortfalls. These practiceswill lead to greater use of campus-based tuitiondiscounting in public colleges and likely reducethe availability of campus need-based aid to helpstudents attend these institutions. These trends arelikely to continue, worsening the inequities forcollege-bound students. College enrollment figureswill become increasingly stratified by students’socioeconomic status, with an even greaterproportion of low-income students attending two-year colleges.

It will be interesting to see how colleges anduniversities negotiate the issues associated with theMay 1 application deadline and early-decisionadmissions plans. Springtime application deadlineshave been promulgated over time by highereducation association organizations, led by IvyLeague institutions. Public policy-makers andeducational observers are uniformly critical of thenegative impact of early-decision plans on studentsand their high school experience. Elite privateinstitutions are the primary users of both early-application and early-decision admissions options.

There are growingconcerns about

the economicstratification of

collegedestinations.

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For example, if fewer institutions decided toadhere strictly to a May 1 deadline (because theyare disadvantaged by enforcing it), or if morecampuses chose to participate in early-decisionprograms, chaos in the college decision-makingprocess would follow, and students and theirfamilies would be further disadvantaged. Thiscould return us to a more chaotic period forstudents and colleges — a period similar to theone experienced prior to the establishment of acommon application date in the 1950s. In someways this is already starting to happen: Manycolleges use earlier dates for preferential treatmentregarding housing assignments, orientation andregistration dates and, in some instances, requireearlier acceptance of scholarships they offer tostudents.

All of these subtle changes erode the originalpurpose of the May 1 deadline. Indeed, thedecision of the National Association for CollegeAdmission Counseling (NACAC) in the fall of2003 to no longer attempt to enforce its policiesregarding early decision reflects the problems thatstudents, families and institutions face in prevent-ing increased competition from creating moreanxiety and disorder. During the past 50 years, theCollege Board and NACAC played a role inhelping to address issues of this kind. It is unclearif enough of a consensus and influence exist amongthe various segments of higher education — and inthe guidance and counseling community — toenable these organizations to successfully addressthe challenges of the current market economy inwhich many colleges and universities exist.

Trends among students and familiesWhile many aspects of the college-choice

process have changed during the past 50 years,some important things remain the same. Cost ofattendance and proximity to students’ homescontinue to be important factors in choosingcolleges. Also, for most high school students,parents continue to play an influential role in theirchildren’s college decisions. Given current trends,the junior year will likely become the year during

which most students conduct their college searchand decide where to apply. Unless there is abreakdown of the consensus among institutionsaround the May 1 admission deadline date orunless early-decision programs receive greateremphasis, students are unlikely to apply muchearlier.

Increasingly varied and complex financial aidprograms at the institutional, state and federallevels are further complicating the college-choiceprocess. Early-decision and early-admissionprograms, along with the rise of rankings, make itharder for many students and families to makegood decisions becausethey are unfamiliar withthis new world of market-ing and consumerismamong colleges anduniversities. Affluentfamilies turn to privatecollege counselors, butmany middle- and lower-income families do notknow how to get theirchildren to their desiredcollege destination. Familyincome and attendance at private high schoolswiden the divide among the students who have —and those who lack — access to the informationneeded to make an informed college choice.

In the coming years, we may see two distinctfaces of the college-choice process: While we maylaud the social progress made in the past 60 or 70years because of the increased number of women,low-income students and students of color nowenrolled, a closer examination of students’destinations will reveal one set of choices for low-and moderate-income students and a distinctlydifferent set of destinations for middle- and upper-income students.

Educators, students and their families shouldalso be aware of the growing sense that collegechoice is a critical decision, one that can determineor create the desired life paths of students.Although literature regarding college students’

In the comingyears, we maysee two distinctfaces of thecollege-choiceprocess.

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experiences clearly supports that this choice has arelatively modest effect on a student’s lifetimeincome, career mobility and quality of life, themedia’s focus on college rankings leads many tobelieve the effects are profound.

As a result, many students feel the pressure tostart and complete their decision-making processand to secure the necessary financial means asearly as possible. Although some students have the

means and the resources to conduct expansivesearch and choice processes, many lack theeconomic and cultural capital to understand thesepressures and lack the financial means to considera range of college destinations. It’s easy to see howstudents in this latter group might well feel thatmany of the decisions that constitute the college-choice process are simply not available to them;that their options are sadly and unfairly limited.

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Tables○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

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Table 1: Number of postsecondary institutions by type – 1949-1999

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Year Public Private Total

4-year 2-year Total 4-year 2-year Total

1949-50* 344 297 641 983 227 1,210 1,8511954-55* 353 295 648 980 221 1,201 1,8491959-60* 367 328 695 1,055 254 1,309 2,0041964-65* 393 406 799 1,128 248 1,376 2,1751969-70* 426 634 1,060 1,213 252 1,465 2,5251974-75* 447 767 1,200 1,297 236 1,533 2,7471977-78 454 787 1,241 1,354 231 1,585 2,8261979-80* 464 846 1,310 1,399 266 1,665 2,9751982-83 471 869 1,340 1,412 360 1,743 3,0831984-85* 461 868 1,329 1,450 367 1,817 3,1461987-88** 599 992 1,591 1,536 460 1,996 3,5871992-93** 600 1,024 1,624 1,569 445 2,014 3,6381997-98 615 1,092 1,707 1,694 663 2,357 4,0641998-99 613 1,075 1,688 1,730 652 2,382 4,070

* Numbers for these years do not include branch campuses.** Because of revised survey procedures, data are not entirely comparable with figures for

earlier years. The number of branch campuses reporting separately has increased since1986-87.

† Large increases are due to the addition of schools accredited by the Accrediting Commis-sion of Career Schools and Colleges of Technology.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, HigherEducation General Information Survey (HEGIS), “Fall Enrollment in Colleges and Universities”surveys, and Integrated Postsecondary Educational Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment”surveys. Digest of Education Statistics 2000, Table 245.

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Table 2: Student enrollment by year – 1947-1997

Year Full-time Part-time Men Women Total enrollment

1947 No data No data 1,659,249 678,977 2,338,226available available

1952 No data No data 1,380,357 753,885 2,134,242available available

1957 No data No data 2,170,765 1,153,081 3,323,783available available

1965 4,095,728 1,825,136 3,630,020 2,290,844 5,920,8641970 5,816,290 2,764,597 5,043,642 3,537,245 8,580,8871975 6,841,334 4,343,525 6,148,997 5,035,862 11,184,8591980 7,097,958 4,998,937 5,874,374 6,222,521 12,096,8951985 7,075,221 5,171,832 5,818,450 6,428,605 12,247,0551990 7,820,985 5,997,652 6,283,909 7,534,728 13,818,6371995 8,128,802 6,132,979 6,342,593 7,919,242 14,261,7811997 8,332,362 6,023,054 6,329,960 8,015,456 14,345,416

* Includes part-time resident students and all extension students.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, HigherEducation General Information Survey (HEGIS), “Fall Enrollment in Colleges and Universities”surveys, and Integrated Postsecondary Educational Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment”surveys. Digest of Education Statistics 1999, Table 175.

*

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Table 3: Student enrollment by type of institution – 1947-1997

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Year Public Private Total for all schools

Nonprofit Proprietary Total private

1947 1,152,377 No data No data 1,185,849 2,338,226available available

1952 1,101,240 No data No data 1,033,002 2,134,242available available

1957 1,972,673 No data No data 1,351,110 3,323,783available available

1965 5,969,596 No data No data 1,951,268 7,920,864available available

1970 6,428,134 No data No data 2,152,753 8,580,887available available

1975 8,834,508 No data No data 2,350,351 11,184,859available available

1980 9,457,394 2,527,787 111,714 2,639,501 12,096,8951985 9,479,273 2,571,791 195,991 2,767,782 12,247,0551990 10,844,717 2,760,227 213,693 2,973,920 13,818,6371995 11,092,374 2,929,044 240,363 3,169,407 14,261,7811997 11,146,155 2,961,714 237,547 3,199,261 14,345,416

* Large increases are due to the addition of schools accredited by the Accrediting Commission of Career Schools and Colleges of Technology.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, HigherEducation General Information Survey (HEGIS), “Fall Enrollment in Colleges and Universities”surveys, and Integrated Postsecondary Educational Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment” surveys.Digest of Education Statistics 1999, Table 175.

*

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Table 4: Student enrollment by race/ethnicity – 1976-1997(Student numbers in the thousands)

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Year White Black Hispanic Asian or American Non- Total non- non- Pacific Indian or resident Hispanic Hispanic Islander Alaskan alien Native

1976 9,076.1 1,033.0 383.8 197.9 76.1 218.7 10,985.61980 9,833.0 1,106.8 471.7 286.4 83.9 305.0 12,086.81990 10,722.5 1,247.0 782.4 572.4 102.8 391.5 13,818.61995 10,311.2 1,473.7 1,093.8 797.4 131.3 454.4 14,261.81996 10,226.0 1,499.4 1,152.2 823.6 134.0 464.9 14,300.31997 10,160.9 1,532.8 1,200.1 851.5 138.8 461.3 14,345.4

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Higher EducationGeneral Information Survey (HEGIS), “Fall Enrollment in Colleges and Universities” surveys, andIntegrated Postsecondary Educational Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment” surveys. Digest of EducationStatistics 1999, Table 209.

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Abel, D. (2000, April 9). College admissions racetightens schools turn away top-tier students.The Boston Globe, A1.

Absher, K., & Crawford, G. (1996). Marketing theCommunity College Starts with UnderstandingStudents’ Perspectives. Community CollegeReview, 23(4), 59-67.

About ACT. (2001). Available online:http://www.act.org/aboutact/history/html.

The Admissions Strategist: Recruiting in the1980s. (1984). New York, NY: College EntranceExamination Board.

American Association of Collegiate Registrars andAdmissions Officers. (2002). The 2002-2003AACRAO Member Guide.

Allen, W.R. (1987, May/June). Black colleges vs.White colleges. Change, 19, 28-31.

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○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

Endnotes1 At the time of the study, RIT was a two-year college but in 1953 gained authority to award bachelor’s

degrees.

2 Tuition discounting is the practice of reducing the cost of attendance to individual students by replacingportions of their tuition with funded and unfunded student aid (Allan, 1999).

3 Full citation for Grutter v. Bollinger: 288 F.3d 732 (6th Cir. 2002).

4 Full citation for Gratz v. Bollinger: 135 F. Supp. 2d 790 (E.D. Mich. 2001); 122 F. Supp. 2d 811 (E.D.Mich. 2000); cert. granted, 71 U.S.L.W. 3387 (2002).

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About the authorsJillian Kinzie earned her doctorate in higher education with a minor in women’s studies at Indiana

University, Bloomington. Kinzie is an associate director with the National Survey of Student EngagementInstitute for Effective Educational Practice. Prior to this, she held a visiting faculty appointment in theHigher Education and Student Affairs Department at Indiana University, and worked as assistant dean in aninterdisciplinary residential college and as an administrator in student affairs. Kinzie has co-authored amonograph on theories of teaching and learning and has conducted research on women in undergraduatescience, retention of underrepresented students, and college choice.

Megan Palmer earned her doctorate in higher education at Indiana University with a minor in socialfoundations of education. She holds a bachelor’s degree in speech communication and sociology from theUniversity of St. Thomas in St. Paul, Minn., and a master’s degree in student affairs in higher educationfrom Colorado State University. Palmer’s research interests include the partnership between secondary andpostsecondary education, college choice, early-intervention programs, access and equity in highereducation, and parent involvement in secondary and postsecondary education. Palmer is an instructionaldesign specialist in the Center for Teaching and Learning at Indiana University-Purdue UniversityIndianapolis (IUPUI) and is an adjunct instructor in the Higher Education and Student Affairs program.

John Hayek is senior associate director of the National Survey of Student Engagement, a multi-yearresearch project. Hayek has presented extensively on topics related to collegiate quality and institutionaleffectiveness at national educational conferences, including the American Association for Higher Educa-tion, the Association for Institutional Research, the Association for the Study of Higher Education, and theAssociation of College Registrars and Admission Officers. In addition, he has given invited talks on topicsrelated to improving the college student experience at various staff and faculty retreats and workshops.Hayek has an economics degree from the University of Chicago, a master’s degree in sports administrationfrom St. Thomas University and a doctorate in higher education from Indiana University.

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Don Hossler is a professor of educational leadership and policy studies, a professor of philanthropicstudies, and vice chancellor for enrollment services at Indiana University, Bloomington. He also is associatevice president for enrollment services at Indiana University. His areas of specialization include collegechoice, student financial aid policy, enrollment management and higher education finance.

Stacy A. Jacob has a bachelor’s degree in communication arts from Austin College and a master’sdegree in educational administration from the University of New Orleans. Jacob started her career incollege admissions and has since worked in several university areas. Her research interests include collegechoice, women in higher education, philanthropy and the history of higher education. Jacob is a doctoralcandidate in higher education student affairs at Indiana University and is writing her dissertation on thecollege-choice process of the women who gender-integrated America’s military colleges and universities.

Heather Cummings is director of First Year Programs at the University of Western Ontario, Canada.She earned her doctorate in higher education from Indiana University in 2000. Her research interestsinclude college choice, new student transitions and educational finance. She is working on a study of theinfluence of parents on student transitions.

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Also available from Lumina Foundation for Education○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

When Saving Means Losing: Weighing the Benefits of

College-savings Plans

Roberto M. Ifill and Michael S. McPherson

July 2004

Expanding College Access:

The Impact of State Finance Strategies

Edward P. St. John, Choong-Geun Chung, Glenda D. Musoba,

Ada B. Simmons, Ontario S. Wooden and Jesse P. Mendez

February 2004

Unintended Consequences of Tuition Discounting

Jerry Sheehan Davis

May 2003

Following the Mobile Student; Can We Develop the

Capacity for a Comprehensive Database to Assess

Student Progression?

Peter T. Ewell, Paula R. Schild and Karen Paulson

April 2003

Meeting the Access Challenge: Indiana’s

Twenty-first Century Scholars Program

Edward P. St. John, Glenda D. Musoba,

Ada B. Simmons and Choong-Geun Chung

August 2002

Unequal Opportunity: Disparities in College

Access Among the 50 States

Samuel M. Kipp III, Derek V. Price and Jill K. Wohlford

January 2002

Hope Works: Student use of

Education Tax Credits

Barbara A. Hoblitzell and Tiffany L. Smith

November 2001

Learning in the Fast Lane: Adult Learners’ Persistence

and Success in Accelerated College Programs

Raymond J. Wlodkowski, Jennifer E. Mauldin

and Sandra W. Gahn

August 2001

Debts and Decisions: Student Loans and Their

Relationship to Graduate School and Career Choice

Donald E. Heller

June 2001

Funding the “Infostructure:” A Guide to Financing

Technology Infrastructure in Higher Education

Jane V. Wellman and Ronald A. Phipps

April 2001

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Discounting Toward Disaster: Tuition

Discounting, College Finances, and Enrollments

of Low-Income Undergraduates

Kenneth E. Redd

December 2000

College Affordability: Overlooked Long-Term

Trends and Recent 50-State Patterns

Jerry Sheehan Davis

November 2000

HBCU Graduates:

Employment, Earnings and Success After College

Kenneth E. Redd

August 2000

Student Debt Levels Continue to Rise

Stafford Indebtedness: 1999 Update

Patricia M. Scherschel

June 2000

Presidential Essays: Success Stories —

Strategies that Make a Difference at

Thirteen Independent Colleges and Universities

Allen P. Splete, Editor

March 2000

Are College Students Satisfied?

A National Analysis of Changing Expectations

Lana Low

February 2000

Fifty Years of Innovations in Undergraduate Education:

Change and Stasis in the Pursuit of Quality

Gary H. Quehl, William H. Bergquist and Joseph L. Subbiondo

October 1999

Cost, Price and Public Policy:

Peering into the Higher Education Black Box

William L. Stringer, Alisa F. Cunningham, with

Jamie P. Merisotis, Jane V. Wellman and Colleen T. O’Brien

August 1999

Student Indebtedness:

Are Borrowers Pushing the Limits?

Patricia M. Scherschel

November 1998

It’s All Relative: The Role of Parents in

College Financing and Enrollment

William L. Stringer, Alisa F. Cunningham,

Colleen T. O’Brien and Jamie P. Merisotis

October 1998

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Lumina Foundation for Education, a private,independent foundation, strives to help peopleachieve their potential by expanding access and

success in education beyond high school. Throughresearch, grants for innovative programs andcommunication initiatives, Lumina Foundationaddresses issues surrounding financial access andeducational retention and degree or certificateattainment — particularly among underserved studentgroups, including adult learners. Focusing on these areas, the Foundation framesissues and explores new solutions through fact-basedresearch. Because we strive to be a credible andobjective source of information on issues affectinghigher education, Lumina Foundation encouragesoriginal sponsored research. The results of that research,and therefore the content of this and other LuminaFoundation® publications, do not necessarily representthe views of the Foundation or its employees. Believing that published research may have thelongest-term impact on higher education, theFoundation publishes and disseminates articles, researchreports and books. We prefer topics and approachesthat are more practical than theoretical, and whichemphasize pragmatic tools that will assist institutionsand public policy-makers.

Additional information about the Foundation’sresearch and grant-making programs may be obtainedfrom:

Leah Meyer AustinSenior Vice President for Research and [email protected]

Additional information about Lumina Foundation®

programs and communications may be obtained from:Susan O. ConnerExecutive Vice President for Impact [email protected]

Lumina Foundation for EducationP. O. Box 1806Indianapolis, IN 46206-1806800-834-5756www.luminafoundation.org

Lumina Foundation for EducationNew Agenda Series™

Susan O. ConnerExecutive Editor

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Printed by SPG Graphics Inc.

Lumina Foundation for EducationNew Agenda Series™ is published periodically byLumina Foundation for EducationP.O. Box 1806Indianapolis, IN 46206-1806

First-class postage paid at Indianapolis, Ind.Copyright © 2004Lumina Foundation for Education, Inc.All rights reserved.

Send all name and address changes to:Lumina Foundation for EducationAttn: Database Manager3813 E. Winston StreetBloomington, IN [email protected]

NEW AGENDA SERIES™

September 2004

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